11:30 sparked some interest in me, so I spent some time doing the math so you don't have to. (I could be wrong, it's late and I'm prone to mistakes) If the game is played normally and everyone chooses one of the 6 hiding places without knowing what the others chose, the chances of the hunter winning end up at around 63.4%. Math for those who care In 20/36 scenarios, each hider will pick a unique spot. Hiding this way gives the hunter a (5/6)^3 = 125/216 (about 58%) chance of winning In 15/36 scenarios, 2 hiders will be together and the third will be on their own. Hiding in this way gives the hunter a (5/6)^2 = 25/36 (about 69.4%) chance of winning. In only 1/36 scenarios, everyone hides together. This gives the hunter a 5/6 chance of winning. (20/36)(125/216)+(15/36)(25/36)+(1/36)(5/6) = about 63.4% chance of a hunter winning. Math End If any hiders choose the horse, the hunter will be forced to waste a turn finding them, leaving 4 turns to find the others. Assuming you choose the horse and everyone else selects randomly, the chances of the hunter winning drop to 53.7%. If you're playing with real people and tell them not to go to the horse, the chances drop even more to about 48.15%. Math again In 36/49 scenarios, nobody else will choose the horse. They then have a 5/6 chance of choosing differently from each other, which leaves the hunter with a (2/3)^2 = 4/9 (about 44.4%) chance of winning. The remaining 1/6 where the other two choose the same gives the hunter a 2/3 chance of winning. (5/6)(4/9)+(1/6)(2/3) = about 48.15% chance of the hunter winning. Ignore all of the lines below in the case you can tell your teammates you're choosing the horse. In 12/49 scenarios, someone else will choose the horse. This leaves the hunter with a 2/3 chance of success. In 1/49 scenarios, everyone decides the horses would be fun. There's no winning in this scenario. (36/49)(0.4815)+(12/49)(2/3)+(1/49) = about 53.7% chance of the hunter winning. Math End 2 TL;DR: The real Matt has a massive brain and knew he could increase the team's chances of winning by almost 10% by wasting the hunter's first guess. His clone was too powerful, however, and managed to win despite less than likely odds.
Pro tip for ya. When you’re in a roll off, roll the dice first. You’ll have a better chance of getting a higher roll than if you wait for the other Miis to take the high numbers.
@@hachi8284 Perhaps they are. But theoretically, rolling first would give you a higher chance of getting a bigger number seeing as the numbers are never repeated in roll offs.
initially, the players form a Matt purity scale from right to left right: purest Matt, correctly-coloured and naturally occurring second from the right: semi-pure Matt, unnatural but otherwise pure second from the left: unnatural incorrect Matt, the wrong colour but is trying to be Matt left: completely non-Matt
For the hide and seek 1v3 minigame, having one person behind the horses is actually good as even though you can clearly see if someone is there it takes a guess, leaving 2 of the actual hiding spots open as opposed to one.
@@Eidenhoek You can see if someone is hidden behind the horse, so someone wasting the hunter's first guess by choosing that, makes it less likely that the hunter will be able to guess the other 2 hiding spots correctly before running out of turns.
@@Eidenhoek To make it a bit more intuitive: the crux is that if no one hides behind the horses, the seeker is able to see that no one hides there, leaving him with five choices over the six remaining spots. However, if exactly one person does hide behind the horses, then the seeker has to search that area, leaving him with only four choices over the remaining six spots. Although the seeker now only has to find two people instead of three, this still turns out to be in favor for the hiders. To see that this in fact turns into a favor for the hiders, here is some math: First of all, we assume the three (or two) hiders pick a spot at random. In the first case (i.e. nobody hides behind the horses), the seeker has to find the three people behind six possible spots with five guesses. The probability of the hiders winning is equal to the probability of at least one guy hiding in the one spot the hider did not check. If the three hiders hide in different spots, this is equal to 50%, as either there is someone behind that spot or not. It could, however, be the case that two hiders (or even three!) hide in the same spot, but this can only reduce the chances of winning, so that on average the chances of winning are 50%. Hence, it becomes clear that it is in favor for the hiders to have one person hide behind the horses opposed to not doing that, and with the additional maths, we can see that this increases the chances of winning with 13.4 percentage points.
2 years later and this is still one of Poofesure’s funniest Wii Party videos ever made. For those who don’t know why red Matt is the wrong skin color and has the favorite color set to purple, it’s because on his Wii Sports John Wick vs. Matt video from 2019, he made a Matt Mii and the skin color the same as Beef Boss and set the favorite color to purple. Basically, that Matt Mii is a leftover Mii from a previous video.
I mean Matt has the right idea statistically. If you hide on the horses you have a higher chance of winning if you don’t. You can see if someone hides there so if no one is there you can eliminate one without choosing it leaving 1 option that doesn’t have someone rather than 2 if no one hides together
Actually it’s kind of smart to have 1 hide in that middle spot in the hide and seek mint game. Forces the seeker to use one of their things to find them and leaves all the other ones hidden without them knowing which one to choose so they’re basically down one more spot to look at all the time
11:30 having one player take the middle hiding spot is the correct play in that mini game. Now assuming everyone is each in a unique spot, the seeker has an 83% chance in winning the minigame. If someone takes the middle spot, the seekers win chance drops to 66%. This is because everyone needs to be found in order to win. Realistically, there are 6 hiding spots in that minigame. So denying the seeker one extra pick because THEY HAVE TO pick the middle one to win means that instead of having 5 chances to pick out of 6 possibly spots, they only have 4 chance to pick out of 6 possible spots.
I'm pretty sure hiding behind the things were you're totally visible can be a good strat, like, you hide there and purposefully make the seeker waste 1 attempt and has less chances to find the other 2, assuming they're not hiding on the same place, because I think only 1 CPU max hides behind those, so instead of having 2 places to search in their last attempt, the seeker has 3 and less chances of finding the rest, though that is of course assuming the seeker doesn't find them right away
10:53 that is actually a smart strategy. If alle players split up buy no one hides behind the pony thing then the seeker has 5 guesses to find three players in 6 places (not 7, since it's obvious that nobody is behind the ponies). So it's 5 tries for 6 places. Now if one player hides behind the ponies and the other two split up the seeker will find the guy behind the ponies first, which costs him one try. He now has only 4 tries to find the remaining two players in 6 places. Since it makes no difference if the seeker finds one player or nobody, it doesn't matter that he finds that one person behind the pony immediately.
the chance of him getting any other specific combination of 3 results is also extremely unlikely, which would imply that rolls happening at all would mean the game is rigged.
10:50 That's actually super bighead hiding spot. If he didn't hide there, there would be only 1 place the seeker can't try. Now there was 2 places that the seeker couldn't try.
@@mayoisnnaise Because it's obvious. If no one hides there, you can see to not click it. But if someone does hide there, you force him to click you, sparing one of the actual hiding spots.
matt matt matt
Ok
Matt
Yes he can die
lit
Matt
this sounds like a fucking fever dream, 3 matts and a hamburger on an island
sounds like something you shouldn’t look up on the internet
3 matts 1 hamburger
@@Auras718 bru-
Trust me. Somebody did this with 4 Matts
Actually that does sound right it seems like it's a fever dream with in a fever dream at the start of the vid beefboss was at a graveyard
“I have a dream, that one day, we will not be judged by the color of our matts, but by the skill of our mattness”
by Matten Boss Jr.
😂
If Matt decides to sleep, is that a Mattrest? On a Mattress?
@@GamingTopTen Mattrests on a mattress while enjoying his mattness while watching the hunger games, where the winner is katniss
this comment should have more likes lmao
After seeing Poof’s “wrong colored Matt” I don’t even want to imagine a “wrong colored David”
David, you would still look the same but “beef boss coleared”
Part West African.
Beef Boss vs Long Haired Joe vs Long Haired John vs David
Well it will just look lighter
COppp}
“One of my Matts is not Matt colored”
-Poofesure 2021
He isn't matt black 😎
@@vertz1515 "We don't judge by skin color here"
@@thatbiachecalledLoue Truer words have never been said
@@vertz1515 "We don't judge my skin color here"
2 Matts are not Matt colored, technically speaking.
11:30 sparked some interest in me, so I spent some time doing the math so you don't have to. (I could be wrong, it's late and I'm prone to mistakes)
If the game is played normally and everyone chooses one of the 6 hiding places without knowing what the others chose, the chances of the hunter winning end up at around 63.4%.
Math for those who care
In 20/36 scenarios, each hider will pick a unique spot. Hiding this way gives the hunter a (5/6)^3 = 125/216 (about 58%) chance of winning
In 15/36 scenarios, 2 hiders will be together and the third will be on their own. Hiding in this way gives the hunter a (5/6)^2 = 25/36 (about 69.4%) chance of winning.
In only 1/36 scenarios, everyone hides together. This gives the hunter a 5/6 chance of winning.
(20/36)(125/216)+(15/36)(25/36)+(1/36)(5/6) = about 63.4% chance of a hunter winning.
Math End
If any hiders choose the horse, the hunter will be forced to waste a turn finding them, leaving 4 turns to find the others. Assuming you choose the horse and everyone else selects randomly, the chances of the hunter winning drop to 53.7%. If you're playing with real people and tell them not to go to the horse, the chances drop even more to about 48.15%.
Math again
In 36/49 scenarios, nobody else will choose the horse. They then have a 5/6 chance of choosing differently from each other, which leaves the hunter with a (2/3)^2 = 4/9 (about 44.4%) chance of
winning. The remaining 1/6 where the other two choose the same gives the hunter a 2/3 chance of winning. (5/6)(4/9)+(1/6)(2/3) = about 48.15% chance of the hunter winning. Ignore all of the
lines below in the case you can tell your teammates you're choosing the horse.
In 12/49 scenarios, someone else will choose the horse. This leaves the hunter with a 2/3 chance of success.
In 1/49 scenarios, everyone decides the horses would be fun. There's no winning in this scenario.
(36/49)(0.4815)+(12/49)(2/3)+(1/49) = about 53.7% chance of the hunter winning.
Math End 2
TL;DR: The real Matt has a massive brain and knew he could increase the team's chances of winning by almost 10% by wasting the hunter's first guess. His clone was too powerful, however, and managed to win despite less than likely odds.
this deserves more likes y’all
🤔
*smart*
Nerd
This is the greatest math problem I’ve ever seen :0 :3 nice job! That must’ve been very complex to solve.
Therapist: light skin Matt can’t hurt you, he’s not real
Light skin Matt:
🗿
🗿
🗿
🗿
🗿
im no longer going to refer to myself as black, i am now "matt colored"
Omg 🤣🤣 I’m Matt colored too
I’m 💀
Matt colored gang lets go!
I'm sad to say that I am not Matt colored
lightskinned poc,, wrong colored matt
“Stupid mini games are stupid” never have truer words been true.
I read this as he said it... Destiny exists
@@cherrybee95 are u even watching the vid or just looking at the comments?
@@Eric_Gurtyou can do both? 🤨
@@Josh-ym9vx yes
@@Eric_Gurt what kind of question is that then when you acknowledge you can watch the video and comments? 😂😭
"please win this" followed by "you're worthless" TOOK ME OUT LMAOOO
Sounds like my dad watching football
I’m a soprano, and I need to say, I’m jealous of poofesure high notes
You should try to play wii party master difficulty maybe it'll help you for the high notes
Gabagool
as a bass, same
Pro tip for ya. When you’re in a roll off, roll the dice first. You’ll have a better chance of getting a higher roll than if you wait for the other Miis to take the high numbers.
but then he will win and make us sad because he will not rage
are you sure the rolls aren’t predetermined before anyone throws the dice?
Hachi they probably are but i still roll asap as well 🤣
@@hachi8284 Perhaps they are. But theoretically, rolling first would give you a higher chance of getting a bigger number seeing as the numbers are never repeated in roll offs.
Wouldn’t the same be true for low numbers
Wife at Ikea: Honey, should I buy this blue mat for the living room?
Me: no, let's buy this 3:37
Good meme
actual funny comment
The most original comment I've seen this year
and the smartest joke award goes to
initially, the players form a Matt purity scale from right to left
right: purest Matt, correctly-coloured and naturally occurring
second from the right: semi-pure Matt, unnatural but otherwise pure
second from the left: unnatural incorrect Matt, the wrong colour but is trying to be Matt
left: completely non-Matt
Beef Boss is what peak Matt looks like wym?
Woah.
No one can never forget the most legendary relatable character of all, Time and his name is Matt.
Silence bot
Being Matt from Wii sports, I had high hopes Matt from Wii Sports was gonna win. Always on team Matt from Wii Sports.
@Pablo From Wii Sports hi Pablo!
Matt Wuhu! Big fan of your ping pong skills
I like Matt more than Matt
@@prime_231what ???
@@jayisgoated78 And you have to ruin the joke 🤦
I hope the next be: Beef Boss vs Elisa vs Abby vs Lucia
Poofesure would rage sooooo much
Hi Abby
@@pinkypink_real hi gacha girl
Battling with Beef Boss's ladies
Well beef boss and Abby would just make love during the middle of it!
:)
"Mom, can we have Matt?"
"We have Matt at home?"
Matt at home: 1:28
For the hide and seek 1v3 minigame, having one person behind the horses is actually good as even though you can clearly see if someone is there it takes a guess, leaving 2 of the actual hiding spots open as opposed to one.
wat
@@Eidenhoek You can see if someone is hidden behind the horse, so someone wasting the hunter's first guess by choosing that, makes it less likely that the hunter will be able to guess the other 2 hiding spots correctly before running out of turns.
@@Eidenhoek To make it a bit more intuitive: the crux is that if no one hides behind the horses, the seeker is able to see that no one hides there, leaving him with five choices over the six remaining spots. However, if exactly one person does hide behind the horses, then the seeker has to search that area, leaving him with only four choices over the remaining six spots. Although the seeker now only has to find two people instead of three, this still turns out to be in favor for the hiders.
To see that this in fact turns into a favor for the hiders, here is some math:
First of all, we assume the three (or two) hiders pick a spot at random. In the first case (i.e. nobody hides behind the horses), the seeker has to find the three people behind six possible spots with five guesses. The probability of the hiders winning is equal to the probability of at least one guy hiding in the one spot the hider did not check. If the three hiders hide in different spots, this is equal to 50%, as either there is someone behind that spot or not. It could, however, be the case that two hiders (or even three!) hide in the same spot, but this can only reduce the chances of winning, so that on average the chances of winning are 50%. Hence, it becomes clear that it is in favor for the hiders to have one person hide behind the horses opposed to not doing that, and with the additional maths, we can see that this increases the chances of winning with 13.4 percentage points.
I'm not going to believe that until Scott Steiner tells me so.
@@joelganesh8920 Good work!
The original matt is just reminding me of that meme about the character when you face them during a boss battle vs the character when you unlock them.
That’s one small step for Matt one giant leap for mattkind
This is a certified hood classic
Greetings
Hello there
Why am I seeing you everywhere??
Thanks Shrek
remember me shrek
Alternative title: an adult male screaming at 3 Matts
Real Matt has to divide his power between himself and the other two Matt's. He is vulnerable in this state.
This has been an episode of… Matt Fucks With You. Starring Poofesure, White Boy Matt, Matt, and Matt
"One of my Matts is not Matt-colored"
Damn, Poofesure going for the Twitter cancelled glitchless world record
I laughed so hard at this
Next is the Speedrun ban glitchless world record
Sad to say that twitter cares more about black people than asians, indians, etc
@@TheMenaceHimself2006 true :(
@@TheMenaceHimself2006 they alternate wvery few days also depends on what side of Twitter
2 years later and this is still one of Poofesure’s funniest Wii Party videos ever made. For those who don’t know why red Matt is the wrong skin color and has the favorite color set to purple, it’s because on his Wii Sports John Wick vs. Matt video from 2019, he made a Matt Mii and the skin color the same as Beef Boss and set the favorite color to purple. Basically, that Matt Mii is a leftover Mii from a previous video.
I mean Matt has the right idea statistically. If you hide on the horses you have a higher chance of winning if you don’t. You can see if someone hides there so if no one is there you can eliminate one without choosing it leaving 1 option that doesn’t have someone rather than 2 if no one hides together
True lol
You must have an IQ of at least 200
To avoid confusion, we'll call:
1) *Beef Boss Matt* MatPat
2) *The Matt Poof made* Matthias
3) *Real Matt* is just Matt.
"One of my Matt's is not Matt colored"
- Poofesure November 7th 2021
I can only imagine 3 Matts kicking his ass
It’s only a matter of time
Poor Poof….
He beat Master Difficulty Once
Like Heck He’ll ever do it again
Actually it’s kind of smart to have 1 hide in that middle spot in the hide and seek mint game. Forces the seeker to use one of their things to find them and leaves all the other ones hidden without them knowing which one to choose so they’re basically down one more spot to look at all the time
"It's time for MATT!!!"
- In reference to the swordplay video where Matt was the boss
A fellow 2019-era fan
“He’s the wrong color Matt we still love him”🤣🤣🤣 I’m done
Glad to see Matt out here competing, too bad Matt didn’t really show up today
Alternate title: poofesure criticizing a differently colored matt for almost 16 and a half minutes
LOL
@@mariomaster101official LOL LOL LOL LÒL OMG SO FUNNY
I thought you said mattnutes for a second
In the hide and seek 1 v 3 minigame, it is actually better for one person to hide in the middle spot, so that the seeker has to waste a turn.
Poof's angry warbling never gets old.
Nobody:
Poof: AAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHH
Yeah pretty accurate
Lol so true
🤣🤣
He’s very invested
😅
3:55 bringing back his witch laugh again for after halloween
11:30 having one player take the middle hiding spot is the correct play in that mini game. Now assuming everyone is each in a unique spot, the seeker has an 83% chance in winning the minigame. If someone takes the middle spot, the seekers win chance drops to 66%. This is because everyone needs to be found in order to win. Realistically, there are 6 hiding spots in that minigame. So denying the seeker one extra pick because THEY HAVE TO pick the middle one to win means that instead of having 5 chances to pick out of 6 possibly spots, they only have 4 chance to pick out of 6 possible spots.
smart
That was genuinely the calmest reaction I've heard of him losing ever
"Video games help you unwind"
Poofesure: 😡😡🤬
“Light-skinned Matt” is goated
I'm pretty sure hiding behind the things were you're totally visible can be a good strat, like, you hide there and purposefully make the seeker waste 1 attempt and has less chances to find the other 2, assuming they're not hiding on the same place, because I think only 1 CPU max hides behind those, so instead of having 2 places to search in their last attempt, the seeker has 3 and less chances of finding the rest, though that is of course assuming the seeker doesn't find them right away
I wish Poof can put Beef boss together in that puzzle minigame for once
10:53 that is actually a smart strategy.
If alle players split up buy no one hides behind the pony thing then the seeker has 5 guesses to find three players in 6 places (not 7, since it's obvious that nobody is behind the ponies). So it's 5 tries for 6 places.
Now if one player hides behind the ponies and the other two split up the seeker will find the guy behind the ponies first, which costs him one try. He now has only 4 tries to find the remaining two players in 6 places.
Since it makes no difference if the seeker finds one player or nobody, it doesn't matter that he finds that one person behind the pony immediately.
Me: Well time to sleep
Poofesure: hey~~~~
Me: Sleep can wait
My favorite part about this is that, he doesn’t have to do this, he’s already beaten master difficulty
Fun fact:
This is the first time that we see Matt winning a single Board Game Island in Poof's Channel.
PS: Dog
@Dante the devil hunter If Matt wasn't from Atlanta*
Man is the Poof lore keeper.
10:49 actual Matt is actually smart, ur odds of winning become better when somebody uses themselves as a decoy so it forces the seeker to choose it
Welcome to the squad kid
We got mat
Mat
Mat
And beefboss
What did beefboss do?
Broke his wii remote
And one of the Matt’s is white
Things you don’t looks up
1. Blue waffles
2. Deez nuts
3. Literally anything poof says in this video
Wii Party's new difficulty, MATTster Difficulty.
Lmaoo
“PLEASE win red matt!”
*doesn’t win*
_”you’re worthless.”_
2:37 “these people are perfect at finessing the board”
I mean it’s not like you’re playing Matt 3 times or anything
P2 Matt: he's just the shiny edition
Yes Poofesure there is beef boss x Matt smut, the light skin Matt is a production of all those fan fics.
There is? Omg-
Link pls
a
What a terrible day to have eyes
wait what there is????
The probability of him getting a 3 with 2 dice twice in a row then getting 2 1s is
(1/18)(1/18)(1/6)(1/6) = 1 in 11,664. This game is rigged
the chance of him getting any other specific combination of 3 results is also extremely unlikely, which would imply that rolls happening at all would mean the game is rigged.
Like we didn't know that
three matts versus one obese hamburger
poofesure: i like my odds :)
3:27
"It's not about size, it's about how you use it beefboss" - Poof 2021
One poofesure and 3 Matt's, you fill in the rest.
I have been watching poofesure for over a year now and i seriously cannot believe the bad luck he experiences. Its absolutely insane
Can someone get a 3?
- Cuts to him getting a 3
I love this editing.
8:45 . The best of poofesure
lightskin matt
BunsMatt is like Mewtwo, a clone that's been altered to be even stronger than the original
Hiding in the visible spot in the hide and seek mini game is actually the best strategy because it wastes one of the seekers guesses.
"it's not about size, it's how you use it."
- Poofesure, 2021
You know it’s bad when he’s doing the crazy laugh instead of screaming
Thank goodness he brought up the fact one Matt was a different colour cause I genuinely thought there was something wrong with my eyes for a moment.
im getting kingdom hearts flashbacks except for sora , its MATT!
Of course you lost, there in no Abby to help you
Just wonder if beef boos would love to see 3 abbys
Now try speedrunning Wii Party U Highway rollers now.
Matt: **Exists**
Poofesure: *Two can play this game.*
I’ve never seen a computer player hide by the ponies until today 😭
Poof not understanding that someone hiding in the middle is actually almost essential to win gets me every time
Now we all understand what drive poofesure insane. His own insanity and crazy challenges!!!?.
I don't know why but I always enjoy it when poof devolves back to monke
Considering my irl name is Matt, this is literally hilarious to watch
You've played Mario Party, you've played Wii Party, and you've played Wii Party U. What about... PacMan party?
In local new: man loses his mind to Wii Party
Bro I was binging these all night and boom you upload rn
im not matt colored too! glad youre supportive :>
10:50 That's actually super bighead hiding spot. If he didn't hide there, there would be only 1 place the seeker can't try. Now there was 2 places that the seeker couldn't try.
hows that bighead?
@@mayoisnnaise Because it's obvious. If no one hides there, you can see to not click it. But if someone does hide there, you force him to click you, sparing one of the actual hiding spots.
Poof: *uploads a Wii Party video*
Me: *puts hand on the volume buttons*
15:03 yellow Matt is always right… proceeds to continue guessing opposite of yellow matt
ok so now it’s guaranteed that he’s trading his sanity for views……respect
He has sanity?
I choose to believe that if you beat 3 Matt's in a single match, you transform into a Matt and join them
Poofesure is the only human capable of taking on 3 matts at the same time
This was a really close game, I thought Matt would win
Begging your parents for a pet every month be like: 6:29
I just love to here him rage, laugh, cry, scream, and suffer all from Matt
1 beef boss and 3 Matt’s, wow
This difficulty should be called mattser
Or _Mattster_
I swear when poof laughs he sounds like mfing nutty from htf
Imagine if it was all Abbys?
I’ll eat beef boss
Thank god he finally figured out that Matt is the wrong skin color
I have Covid but Poof makes me feel better