Dear Rudy: POKEMON IS A BUBBLE - IT'S GOING TO CRASH
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 20 ต.ค. 2024
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If you think Pokémon is a bubble, you don’t know the power of the Pokémon machine to draw in new fans…especially young children. The US cigarette companies are jealous of Pokémon Company (JK…or am I?). And a lot of this money comes from people who are ignorant of how cards work or what is rare than the other. They just love opening packs and looking at the cards.
That's why it's gonna crash. Once they realized all the cards in their collection isn't worth crap. That's when it collapses. No one plays it so the market is based on a loose fabrication of prices without performance stats to back it up. They're like beanie babies. Except the oldest cards are worth something
That last sentence you wrote is the exact reason it will.
@@TheBeast324347 a loose fabrication of prices without performance stats to back it up? 😂 Do you know what your talking about?
Pokémon is a COLLECTORS market we have never played the game you other TCGs that are 90% players could never understand a game that is the exact opposite! 💅
As a buyer/investor/seller (and not just collector) of Pokémon since 96, Magic since 94, sports cards since 85, and the first seller of many CCGs from Rage, L5R, Star Wars and various other Decipher games, comic books(US and Japanese), non-sports like 91 Impel Marvel, and too many other cards/CCGs to name here; I can tell you this:
Pokémon for 95% of its existence has been purely collectors (the 5% is the BW/XY era) that have deep ties to childhood sentimentality. That sentimentality has no price limit. In fact 99% of the trading card business has no bearing on what a card “does” in a game.
Every pokemon sealed booster box rises over time and EVERY SINGLE time it's a bubble, a conspiracy, irrational behavior, etc. It's comical!
^_-
These people must be Trump voters 🤨
@@christianmathew398 atleast they're alive voters unlike Bidens xD
RichyDYupYup
Not the ones who went to the Capital or are going to Ukraine either
@@RichyDYupYup glad you shut that socially awkward nerd up. “That guy” fails
The Pokémon bubble already popped bro, it was 2020/21 and happened with mainly the vintage side but also with some of the more scarce modern products. Pokémon is absolutely fine now.
The simple fact is, if you buy a Pokémon product at or slightly below retail price, it _will_ make money in the long term because it _will_ go out of print and get more scarce, whether there's a slight dip due to a reprint or not.
Exactly ! Scarlet and violet base and paldea have some really good chase cards. These sets are huge in Japan and our singles usually follow their market.
you should see the prices of JAPANESE pokemon cards. used to be the affordable safe haven but prices have gone bat shit crazy
Japanese is the new bubble, give it a couple months
OCG has a good run right now. Get in while the prices are still reasonable.
Weird thing is the vintage Japanese cards still seem cheap but the modern Japanese cards are really expensive. Absolutely bizarre.
@@BlessedVeteranAdventures What's OGC?
@Monkey OCG cards are from Japan, Korea, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. TCG cards are English print, Portuguese, French and Spanish. OCG are much more beautiful and vibrant colors. I think that market is going to go up in price this year. I would get as much as I can. Shipping and product cost from those countries will go up. Hope this info helped. God bless
I don’t think there is a bubble with sealed Pokémon now but I definitely think there was bubble around 2020 and 2021 in vintage Pokémon
yep 100% agree with you, at least the new cards are way better art with the alt arts as well
Agree, but it also handled it's crash very well and has already reached those original highs, I could be wrong and it'll all crash again in a month but it's done astonishingly well for something that followed the timeline of a bubble
@@lostcausecollectibles nope most of the vintage stuff has crashed unless youre talking about the top 5% of cards /sealed product then no for example a psa 7 base set venusaur was going for 2000+ during 2021 guess what they going for now .....81 dollars lol or for example most of the trainer cards are more expensive then a majority of the vintage stuff most is around 1 dollar unless its a holo accept gym challenge for some reason some of those are 6 7 dollars a peice lol
@@thinsmcstash5352 yeah, they all hit all time highs and have come back down since then... They're all higher than they where and the more obscure stuff (not base set) is climbing. Look at gold stars for example. I bought a gold star mew for £200 in 2021 and sold for £500 like a week ago lmao, it really depends, if you just bought into the hype at the peak and followed the crowd you'll be down, if you bought solid cards that had room for growth instead of cards everyone has been buying and pumping for a year the outcome would be different.
@@thinsmcstash5352 I also state in my original comment that they crashed, they just seem to be recovering if they weren't the Hypebeast cards to buy lol
With the popularity of Whatnot and other streams, packs are being opened at an alarming rate. Booster boxes will continue to rise.
Yup. Imagine in 5 years the supply of these sets?
Squirtle used bubble! It was super effective!
MTG fainted
@@o0QuAdSh0t0o lmao 😂
Just did a prerelease for scarlet violet this weekend and the new pack change with higher rates of getting a hit is insane and made people buy packs even more
Lmao! I only think a few more people keep sealed products compared to earlier but everyone has a price so just stay long and everyone else will be flushed anyway.
@@monkey39128 The supply will become more splintered. It took longer than I expected to. I thought initially that Celebrations would've been what Evolving skies does currently. But I think if you have stacked some ETB's or Collectors Chests of Celebrations for a decent price, you can't complain currently. Don't be the guy selling tho. If you start selling now it wasn't worth the wait. We'll see in a couple o' years.
Solid analysis like always keep the Pokémon videos coming you're very entertaining!
So you're saying there's no chance of Rudy's Pokémon bathroom 2.0?😢
I'm about to blow your mind my friend and maybe make both of us a lot of money too. Your comment made me say outloud "Man.... now its MTG in the bathroom.."
and you know what that means!
@@jonathanmorris7775 what does that mean?
The waifu effect and tax mainly is a japanese card thing since u can find the same card in english for less. It used to not be that way but its exploded as of 2022, I say that since ive been buying those cards since 2019
"Waifu Tax" isnt what you think it is. Go watch opossumbud
I like when you draw on your wall street experience and apply it to things we're into. That's why i keep showing up. thanks for the vid
Pokemon managed to survive Gen 4 -7 when it was dead in water and bounce back. Pokemon is never going away
All anyone needs to see is the Apple TV's Pokemon channel presence. Mind blowing how long game Pokemon is.
Imagine all of the major celebrities who follow Pokémon, streaming it, opening packs and such. Magic has one celebrity outside of Magic itself.
People actually like Pokémon, they watch the anime, play and collect the card game, play the video games and enjoy the largest grossing cartoon franchise in the world
can you imagine what would happen to the market if MetaZoo game designers start publishing well balanced sets for draft AND if they start using better art? I'm thinking Sorcery has a better chance of achieving this goal first based on art and gameplay.
I think it's too late for Metazoo. The owner's strategy is akin to a sweaty octopus trying to unhook bra.🐙
@@monkey39128 not sure about that analogy. Octopi (or octopuses if you're an English major), are so smart that they could probably find a way to unhook 11 bras at once.
@@magusofthebargain I'd pay to see that 😂
I'm so glad you brought this up. Its so stupid that people think this. Its the only TCG game that gives you the option of playing in person or online and pokemon has been around for 26 years. IT'S NOT GOING ANYWHERE! It's only going to get more scarce as more people play and collect. Pokemon is the number 1 game in the world...the WORLD!
Glad I bought all my SWSH Cases at $85/Box ,I'm enjoying this 🤑🤑
Good for you, i only got 2 Evolving Skies cases for 85 dollars a box, havent had the kapital to go Big In, but im sure buying up older products in the present 😏🇩🇰❤️
Pokemon is a weird example, cards dont hold much value on playability but in VARIANT rarity, the most rare cards are pretier and they have colectors that dont even play just want to get the cool looking secret cards. Also, they have regular looking cards so players can enjoy the game
BIG PLUS: all of these cards come in regular boosters, so while collectors fetchs the ultra premium cards, players can enjoy an afordable game
Evolving Skies will go down as the greatest Pokémon set of all time eventually. Anybody that says it won’t is coping and didn’t buy it up when it was widely available.
Nee subscriber here.. love you and Opposum Bud!!!!
I guess Pokemon Evolving Skies sealed boxes to $1K+ 2 The Moon
It’s got competitive play and trading involved as well, not just “selling” in general. I doubt Pokémon is in any sort of bubble right now. It’s just never been as huge as it is RIGHT NOW, because most grown folks weren’t open about collecting, buying, selling and trading Pokémon cards. Now that damn near EVERYONE is open and into it, it’s even bigger, don’t let that fool anyone into thinking that Pokémon wasn’t the biggest thing for years now. It’s always been BIG.
its totally a bubble!!! your wild
In closing, sometimes it's just people buying what they like.
At the end of the day, people buy what they like.
Pokémon bulk being valuable is what seems to keep prices up on unopened product. I still don't find much fun in stashing sealed products but it clearly is a solid investment.
Interesting point. I myself and storing all my bulk for the day I’m bored and need money.
Pokemon has been one of the most consistent increase in value over time out of a lot of card games and sports cards
One other group are speculators in this situation who want to move their money to investments they still feel are higher growth. Take Evolving Skies at $400 for example. ES from $400 to $800 will possibly take longer than the Charizard UPC going from $100 to $200 (just an example here not saying this is what will happen). So, I think that's the reason why you see so many people take a lot off the table and realize gains when they think they might be able to do better elsewhere.
I agree with this
can confirm, i didn't watch the metazoo box opening.. i have standards.
watching rudy explain waifus in pokémon was da bess 😂😂😂
Rudy what do you think about the base,jungle,and fossil sets?
If it ends up being a bubble, the cool thing is that I can just open the packs and enjoy them for myself. I can't lose.
most assets are in a bubble when bonds, stocks, real estate are overvalued since asset values are almost always cross correlated....except gold...and to think cards will go up if the major assets goes down will prove they are correlated in the end to a bubble.
Remember seethers; pokemon makes 3-4 arts for some of their chase cards and they all sell.
I’ve been accumulating sword and shield boosters for about 15 months now. Very happy so far - my evolving skies case at MSRP is my pride and joy lol. SWSH to the moon.
Same bro a case of ES BB and a case of ES ETBs, both under msrp at the time. Alt arts are just so undeniably good that it's carrying the tcg on its shoulders. And this era is stepping it up even more. Gotta love being ahead of this for the past 2-3 years
Alright - just chillen in my bubble with an Alt Art Lugia, I guess ..
Pokemon isn't a bubble, it's a game.
Exactly. The New stuff will tank for a period of time because of oversupply but not forever
It's also a collectible
My dad's not a cell phone.
@@AaronBruffett I'm not a part of your system!
Rudy could you do a video on how you feel about a potential Recession? The FED is supposed to do QT, but look at the balance sheet of the FED it exploded recently to yet again help out the banks.. It's basicly a form of QE and I'm sure it's going to cause more inflation. I think the Fears will start in the second half of 2023 as the FED can't raise rates more and inflation will still be to high. Thats when I expect a new market crash. Just wanna hear your current opinion
We've been in a recession all this time already.
@@christopherbownes494 not according to the White House. They decided to change what the definition of a Recession is to prevent fear.
@@PokemonHolo exactly. So why say the phrase, "potential recession"?
During the next 15-20 years, there is going to be a significantly increasing amount of nostalgia for these sets from the people who were kids during lockdowns and just hung out with friends and played games instead of doing online learning (which was 50-75% of students).
I think most of the people who got into Pokémon during COVID were already fans 20 years ago
"Crash" is a harsh term when it comes to Pokémon. Its never going to outright crash unless the franchise itself stops. Its not like other card games because its audience is much bigger than all the others combined. But of course, there was the hallowed time from 2019-2022 when it went NUTS. That wasn't the norm at all, and I don't think we're going to see something like that again for a long time, but don't be mistaken, Pokémon is overall a safe investment and is here to stay for the foreseeable future.
Dont watch Rudy on a regular basic, but his knowledge on Wallstreet, and his way of explaining market swings, in the TCG marked, is worth Gold, this man knows his stuff, and i really love his way of entertaining us, its very informative 🧐🇩🇰❤️
And NO Rudy, you are wrong, 2020 - 2021 wasent THE Bear marked that is coming, it was only a little down turn, a small blop 😬
You can get Brilliant stars on the Pokecenter at $143 plus tax. Meanwhile, people are still buying at $170-$175 on TCG. Is the price going down gradually down on TCG? Yes, but still, that tells you something. The market is voracious.
The Alt Arts towards the end of Sword and Shield are really valuable. Even Battle Styles has a couple decent ones.
The Waifu cards help too. Any cards that increase in value... help the box price.
Everyone should take off their tinfoil hat and buy some Crown Zenith. While it's still new.
I would have trouble writing out the amount of cards with potential in the set.
This is probably more important then what I said. Top card PRICES:
Battle Styles: Tyranitar V Alt Art $70
Chilling Reign: Blaziken VMax Alt Art $178
Evolving Skies: Umbreon VMax Alt Art $606 / Rayquaza $200 / and more.. box is expensive for a reason
Fusion Strike: Gengar Vmax Alt Art $135 / Special mention to Espeon at $100 - I don't think that's it's ceiling.
Brilliant Stars: Charizard V Alt Art $100
Astral Radiance: Machamp V Alt Art $114
Lost Origin: Giratina V Alt Art $325
Silver Tempest: Lugia V Alt Art $165
Crown Zenith: Giratina VStar $120 - Release In January. Not as solid as the other prices.
No hat required though. People want the card(s)
Thank you Rudy for the financial advice
Pokemon is the most valuable IP of all time. Pokémon cards are the number one collectible for that IP. It’s not going anywhere.
I don't know about a bubble but I could see things changing real fast if market took a huge dump. But good products will always be hot regardless.
I'm buying certain sets from The Pokemon Center directly for quality purposes. With prices being neck & neck in the secondary market, it's a no-brainer.
Good ol retail investors, missing the early growth when smart money moves in, and calling a bubble 2-3 years after the bubble actually existed lolol
Did you know that in terms of human-Pokémon compatability, Vaporeon is the most bubbly?
i think with scarlet and violet you will see that since pull rates for the ex cards is going to be super low and increase in price per pack will start biting. Silver tempest was probably a start of being too big of a set to try and pull all the cards for your collection. Me and my 8 year old are stopping at Crown Zenith which is a very fun set
just no.
It's all a bubble.
My Pokemon investments from 2020 until today are still the best return I've had on anything ever. Japanese booster box storage is like printing money.
Scarlet and Violet Pokémon Bathroom v2.0! Let's do it :)
Stop talking about evolving skies, I have PTSD of me opening an entire box to find only an off centered jolteon full art and a couple of Vs lol
I think TPC has been reprinting swsh all along, just not in booster boxes. If you think about it, they can get the cards into more hands by doing loose sleeved boosters, blisters, tins and ETBs at big box stores.
They have for sure, it has been a Goldmine for them, i i cant blame them, cause the products is good 😬🇩🇰❤️
You love to hear it
Don’t worry Rudy. I’m still holding on to my towers in time sealed boxes
Following Rudy's bathroom video, I kept tabs and bought every single under priced pokemon product these past 2 years. Invested in Battle Styles aka the worst set ever - bought boxes under 75$ from anyone who wanted to sell, and look at that, they already going for almost 700$ per case or 115-120 per box...
Can't wait to see what's the price going to be by the end of this year :)
After inflation, shipping and selling costs; sounds like you might break even.
@@D0012D13 Incorrect. If he didn't invest the money, it would still be effected by inflation. $100 invested return $110 after an inflation of 10% he still has the same buying power. WIthout investing he would have $90 buying power.
will the sun and moon era be even better, smaller print run and first time have tag team, alternate art cards and rainbow rare cards?
Lol I have a TCGPlayer seller account and sold my Evolving Skies BB case for $2.5k, there are definitely people buying it up LOL
HA! You've exposed yourself Rudy. You're clearly in league with TCGPlayer and the Pokemon Company. Time to dump your S&S boxes folks 😉
Rudy talks pokemon!!! :D
You got a sub from me my friend!! Great content 🎉
Rudy owns 69% of The Umbrella Corporation and I'm here for it.
It's ok, Timmy...Pokemon didn't mean to hurt you. Go soak in your Mr Bubble bath and relaxe.
Pokemon is the biggest franchise in the world
I like this weekly timmys talk.
No Rudy, NOOOO!!
The Card market has been slowly deflating whilst inflation is rising
Whats that called
Anyone who has kids or been around kids today knows that Pokemon will be around for another 50 years at least. Its part of growing up and the only tangible thing kids really have in a digital world of you tube slime videos , social media and video games.
Rudy, people equate the market to the health of most other markets during 2020-2023. Stocks, Crypto, and everything was pumped during this time period. For Pokémon; You can thank all of the influencers who bought Pokémon at absurd prices during a time of over printing. Not saying Pokémon will have an epic crash but it's possible after seeing most other markets. The shear amount of product in major retailers is insane, no one is buying them as I have been to the same Walmarts, month after month; I can only imagine sealed booster boxes and blister packs will hold value and accrue.
I think the state of the Pokemon franchise is in the gutter, but no, the TCG is probably not in a bubble. In fact, the massive spike we saw in SuMo was a market overcorrection, where people realized there are Base Set Charizards worth a few hundred bucks, when they realistically should cost thousands. Now we're behind the uptick, the prices are slowly coming back to normal, market is calming down. If they'd continue going up, I'd say it's definitely a bubble, because interest in Pokemon isn't actually that high. The games are garbage and the TCG is now garbage too.
games are garbage, but they still sell tons. pokemon to the mooooooon
I’d start buying Korean eevee heroes . Can’t beat it at $50
I think people just find it hard to believe how consistent pokemon is at making people money. Every set ever has just gone up in price. You certainly can't find a set that was even printed 5 years ago for retail. You can't really say the same for other card games like magic and yugioh.
Thanks Rudy!
There is for sure a modern Japanese/“Waifu” bubble. I think English has seen some buyouts and manipulations for certain alternate arts but no where near what’s happened to Japanese. Sword and Shield era boxes are accurately priced tho
Lol conspiracy theorists, surprised we haven’t heard it’s the government buying all the Pokémon cards
Rudy, my gf said it’s not my fault I dump my cardboard load too early for too cheap
Though I don't disagree about the bubble, the TCG stores do communicate and then those that don't simply follow downstream. It's as easy as clicking send on a mass email with BCC.
If you don't believe this, then you clearly weren't around for the massive "pull out cards" prior to MtG unbans that was unilateral across all big TCGs.
GGT getting unbanned tomorrow? Look at that, a week ahead all stocks on this card that was never unbanned went to 0 and suddenly, the day of the announcement, it went back up to 100 units for every store.
Get real...
Ty
Why would they reprint sets that are still available at msrp on Pokémon center?
It’s hilarious that you still have to explain this to Timmy’s
POKEMON CARDS ARE THE NEXT BEANIE BABIES!
wait, that's funko poops
Pokemon content is the best! I've kept 1 booster box and etb from every set for about 5 years now. It was the smartest thing I ever did.
@@CrosswaIk What does that mean? Take up equestrian tightrope walking?
The only manipulation for Pokémon cards is so called “investors in Pokémon cards” themselves. They treat those cards as stocks. Whatever happen on Wall Street has carries over TCGs.
What's crazy about rusty is he has never sold out but I'm just a tom. Maybe I'm wrong I'm going have some burritos 🌮
Who is this person that said that pokemon is a bubble loool. I'm in the pokemon tcg community and there's just so so much hype and it just doesn't seem to die down.
I feel like people don't understand that Pokemon is the biggest franchise in the world. Ofc. MetaZoo can't compete with that.
Pump and Dump evolves into Rudy ex in this gen of pokemon
Time to blow bubbles
I think the guys problem is he can’t see the sheer size of the Pokémon market plus a little bit of positive reinforcement.
Aka I only hoard Pokémon boxes because they only go up. All you see is people hoarding boxes because you hang out in groups or Reddit communities that talks about that which makes you think that people don’t open it and the market is just keeping them sealed.
You then miss the tens of millions of other people worldwide opening them to enjoy them or play them or grade them.
I’d love to see Pokémon sales figures. I bet they’d be absolutely insane to look at!
Most successful IP in the world for a reason
The pokemon market is big. While it's not impervious to manipulation, it does go back to its natural ebbs and flows. What we are seeing right now could be as normal as it will be for a while. Pokemon, like other collectibles, had a pullback from mid-2021 but quickly stabilized back in 2022. The overall demand does indicate some high's but the market is moving so slowly that it may take a while for it to be back for some down trends.
Hell I hope it is a bubble so I can rip all my sealed and buy anything I like that I don’t pull!😎👍🏼
Dear Rudy what about the Outsiders situation, will you comment on that? :D
This dude's asking the tough questions
Why what happened?
@@monkey39128 people getting around 60 legendarys and 6 fabled per case (a case is 4 display ea 24 boosters so 96 packs)
Pokemon booster boxes will always retain their value. Even the worst sets (B&W Emerging Powers is my least favorite set of all time) will rise in value. Battle Styles will rise too, albeit at a slower pace.
Rudy will soon join the waifu pokemon club. JOIN US RUDY!
evolving skies to the moon
Just having fun with the cards, it's a trading card GAME after all. :) If the new alternative card are super cheap, build an alternative art deck! Build a pokedex 0001 to 1000+ with the normal cards you pull.
and then those will get rare after some time.
Everything Ruby owns is under priced.
Dear Rudy, its pronounced why-fu. Have a nice day folks!