The future of war
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 3 มิ.ย. 2024
- New technology is transforming the way wars are fought, and not just in Ukraine. As tension increases between China and America over Taiwan, what does the future of war look like?
00:00 Lessons from the Ukraine war
01:03 How drones are shaping war
04:40 Starlink is a lifeline for soldiers
06:15 Why China fears Starlink
07:25 The role of AI in wars of the future
10:15 Defence spending on AI
10:50 Concerns about algorithmic warfare
12:55 Will China weaponise cyberwarfare?
14:40 The tragedy of war
Find our special report on how technology is changing the battlefield here: econ.st/3PFbTMc
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Find our latest coverage on the Ukraine war here: econ.st/3CLAmrx
Listen to our podcast on how Ukrainian drones could change the way wars are fought everywhere: econ.st/3Nuu58u
How AI-wielding tech firms are giving a new shape to modern warfare: econ.st/43Yref4
Read about drone fights above Ukraine: econ.st/3pmqaTs
Why Ukraine is betting on drones to strike deep into Russia: econ.st/3PxkD7g
What Russia’s army is learning on the battlefield: econ.st/3Xshwzf
What will Western armies learn from the war in Ukraine? econ.st/44n4hCp
Read about whether the West can build up its armed forces on the cheap: econ.st/46ftCjc
Why the war in Ukraine is boosting Israel’s arms exports: econ.st/3r1etlt
Why Ukraine’s top guns need new jets to win the war: econ.st/46pveH4
Find out where the deadliest war in world took place last year here: econ.st/3JyUGjL
Why America’s next war may begin in Guam: econ.st/3CKM06b
Find out why China fears Starlink here: econ.st/3NO81aA
How Elon Musk’s satellites have saved Ukraine and changed warfare: econ.st/42UnWIt
Read about the degrading treatment of Ukraine’s internet here: econ.st/42ZLf3P
Why Russian hackers are preparing for a new campaign in Ukraine: econ.st/43Wz34V
Why Ukraine’s tech entrepreneurs turn to military matters: econ.st/3Pw4TBj
I worked for a hobby store that sold Horizon Hobby merchandise from 2012 to 2017 and it was crazy how much drone tech advanced in that time. It went from practically nothing to almost what we see today in that time frame. The tech in these things nowadays is astonishing.
Yes true. At the same time, seeing military personnel bungee launching or hand launching a foam fixed wing plane (for recon or attack) is something you'd see at most RC fields! Minus the munitions of course but some RC'ers have been known to rig up a servo mechanism to drop water balloons back in the day too. 😁
Yeah War is getting smaller and smaller. The 20th century saw giant military hardware dominate the battlefield-tanks, carriers, bombers. The 21st will likely rely more heavily on small drones and other similar devices in large numbers
@@beyondfossil I first "discovered" modern drones when some neighbor used a DJI to drop firecrackers in my boss's back yard when I was staying over. I heard a bang, looked outside, and called to my boss, "Hey! Check it out! A drone!" and we watched the thing and apparently the operator saw we'd seen it and it sidled off. Pretty funny really. That would be what, 2014?
AI is what really shocked me. I’ve been programming for 12 years and the progress made in the last 2 years has been insane.
I remember the switch from 'drones' meaning FPV planes, hand built by hobbyists, to the mass produced quadcopters.
Those early drones were so much more fun to tinker around with.
This was a great overview of future wartech and their ramifications, and I especially appreciated the inclusion of the very human parts at the end - like that Ukranian soldier and his partner.
I have seen so many Ukrainians film their own war crimes with drones. They fly in, drop a grenade, fly back, reload it, over and over for many hours to days attacking the same now unarmed now critically wounded men who are absolutely no longer legal targets under the rule of war. Then they'll continue to bomb their corpses for hours too. It's insane that these Ukrainian drone pilots are not being charged for war crimes. The Hague has attempted to locate 0 of them. I know Russians pretty much INVENTED war crimes, look at Katyn. But Ukrainians are FILMING theirs, should make catching the criminals easy yet nothing comes of it.
We need Radio Shack to make a comeback.
Fax 📠
Circuit City too
Also Heathkit!
Fry's Electronics!
I'm so sorry for this young generation to became soldiers and use their skills , intelligence for fighting enemies. I wish this is only temporary- I wish them all the best, with all the respect!
Salute 🇺🇦
Mate has long ruzzia doesn't move out of the ussr era, and communist doesn't disappear from this world from china and nk it will never end, those 3 country are the worst and don't care to simple stop and just dissolve and undo their nukes too.
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦.
The US don't want peace negotiation. They all are going to die / crippled by war
Why sorry? They should be proud.
@content_enjoyer4458 then resist the ruling class who make you a cannon fodder. It's the same story as ww1, war never changes.
No, it will be prolonged and keep escalating, the USA is willing to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian, and the far right fanatics that are really in charge of the war are too.
Watching this made me realize 3 things
1. Wars will absolutely be prolonged doing this, tech is easier and cheaper to replace than military aged young men.
2. Ground tactics of advancing and securing an area will probably take longer, since you don't need troops in the area to clear said area
3. I could see armed conflicts ramping up over the next few decades due to the advancement of tech being able to do the job of soilders on the ground making it easier for countries to garner local support since less actual humans have to die to accomplish the same goal
There’s no actual result in war without people getting killed. Don’t be fooled. It’s not gonna be just robots attacking robots. It’s gonna be robots killing robots and people. The tech is available now, and in Ukraine they still have to fight like in ww1 in trenches with massive casualties. A persons life is cheaper than a lot of these weapon systems and easier to replace
Humans will always die. Any superior power will massacre the other side, it has always happened and it always will. The USA killed 500 000 children in Iraq through sanctions before the invasion became Iraq supposedly had WMDs that didn’t exist, and Madeline Albright claimed it was worth it. And that was before the invasion
Would be horrible. I guess China vs US war will be hiding in basements from drone debris all the time. And for their price if two or 3 big drones can take out a naval carrier then it's over
You will absolutely still need troops to clear an area
For #1, in Russia, historically, it has always been the absolute opposite. We even have a horrible horrific saying : Women will give birth to more
I just wish the future of war would be... non existent. As in, no wars.
Not gonna happen
you got it, but i think outlets like this are made to make war and weaponry to look as it it kind of our behaviour and the status quo, to stuck in this kind of mankind.
Yes there will never be another death on this planet from wars 100%. Except no.
I honestly think war is beneficial and let's be honest
The world being filled with LGBQT, brain dead clout and etc.
So I want Cold War 2.0
That’s like saying I hope no one disagrees forever. Fruitless effort.
Older men declare war. But it is youth that must fight and die. And it is youth who must inherit the tribulation, the sorrow, and the triumphs that are the aftermath of war.
Herbert Hoover
And those older men were younger men who went to war as well. Of course younger men go to war.
Also straight up not true. Plenty of 50 year olds in the Ukrainian army, because they had so many volunteers and took everyone fit enough and committed.
Thanks Sashank! Excellent as always.. Imagine we could of had drones for ww1 and ww2.
Thank you for spending the time to create and share this content awareness/perspective
But how many times have they shown you another side?
1) interviews of the UNR's German occupation leaders who confessed in 1919 that it was them who chipped away and "created" the Ukraine.
2) declassified documents showing that the United States' CIA had been spending (from 1950s till these days) dozens of billions of American taxpayers' money to send arms, propaganda materials and other resources to the successors and followers of the OUN-UPA Ukrainian terrorists who slaughtered 1+ million innocent Russian, Polish and Jewish women, children and old men -- specifically due to the utter, radical national hatred.
3) CIA confirmed in August 1957 almost all citizens of the UkrSSR don't differentiate themselves from ethnic Russians.
4) Nationalistic Battalions and other Bandera glorificators stated killing Russians and Russian-speaking citizens in then-Ukraine even prior to 2014, and from 2014 onward they started using literally the same methods of torture that Fascists (and OUN-UPA members) were using during the WW2.
5) the US paid for the coup of 2013-2014.
6) Armed forces of the Ukraine have been shelling residential houses and civilian infrastructure in Donbass since 2014.
7) Merkel, Poroshenko, Hollande, Johnson and Zelensky -- all confessed that Minsk agreements were just a hoax, they didn't plan to start implement them, but instead they've been spending the money to deliver lethal weapons onto the territory of the Ukraine.
8) USAID, UNICEF, OSCE, UN and other organizations had been investing enormous amount of money during last decades into the anti-russian (i.e. russophobic) propaganda in ex-Eastern Ukraine, especially among young children.
9) Numerous American think-tanks (the Atlantic, Hudson Institute and many others) have been working on the plans to destroy Russia into multiple parts in war with each other, using multiple methods.
and so on and so forth...
Did the Economist or any Western-based media show you this reverse side of the medal?
sounds like we have entered the era of the "Droid wars"
No worse time to be an infantryman.
or a dude in a tank with a built in jack in the box
I couldn't help noticing the fact that everyone sound super ok with war itself. Nobody really tries to avoid it, only optimize it. I hope I'm wrong.
Great journalism of economist. Great reports. I have read every articles of the economist form 2016 to now.
A war between China and Taiwan would be much more different and we may see swarms of drone being used as both of them has huge capabilities of drone production
Shouldn't you be reading history? When did Taiwan become independent and change the constitution, flag and song of the Republic of China? Your country recognizes diplomatic relations with him? Recognized by the UN Charter and international organizations such as the World Trade Organization? The Borstein Proclamation, please, and what's in the Cairo Declaration? Taiwan is a sacred and inalienable part of China.
When was Taiwan a country? Is there a single country in the world? World recognition and diplomatic relations with him?
@@user-hc5cg3jc3iTaiwan does been recognize and have diplomatic relationship from 12 countries actually
@@user-hc5cg3jc3i did i mention Taiwan its own a coumtry?
@@cfi8192 And then what? Which few small countries in the world have no presence in the world can represent the international? Represent the world? Do you want to see the major countries who recognize Taiwan as a country and establish diplomatic relations with Taiwan? And when will Taiwan become an independent state? Why don't you look at international treaties and consensus such as the Borstein Proclamation and the Cairo Declaration?
Engagement tactics: 1) fast war, shallow but smart and highly destructive arsenal. 2) Conflict extension, low cost high quantity arsenal to maintain pressure. 3) Mutually assured destruction, nuclear arsenal for the worst case scenario.
1:52 Serious Sam logo, who played may know why, nice sense of humor
You guys and gals are the best thank you
I think denial of tech communications is going to be a huge part in future conflicts. Basically cyber warfare over communication superiority.
EMP guns?
Russia has advanced their capabilities in this area considerably, this is why you don’t see or hear anywhere near the level of successful Ukrainian drone attacks you used to
All the best in the long future! I might subscribe!
Satellite communication helps here but maybe not in the future. It’s extremely vulnerable and at least China, Russia, France and the US have anti-satellite weapons.
It's much easier to scale up the number of satellites than the number of "satellite-destroying" missiles. You only need one rocket to send a bunch of satellites into space, but you need one missile per satellite to shoot them down. Also, as satellites get smaller, they will be even harder to detect and shoot down.
@@Ruzzky_Bly4t The thing is if they destroy a bunch of satellites that will do a lot of debris that will stay in orbit possibly causing a chain reaction destroying even more satellites.
@@raphaelparadis9134 That's true. Space debris is already becoming a problem and might be a huge obstacle for satellites and rocket launches in the future.
@@raphaelparadis9134 Yes, and making near-Earth space unusable for a long time.
@@Ruzzky_Bly4tyou only need one missile to shoot down that rocket, and they are very big, slow and expensive targets. Say Russia shoots 6 down, how long before the USA can make and launch another?
excellent doc
This video is amazing. Such a great perspective, coverage of this topic. I think Taiwan NEEDS to invest in advanced modern nuclear energy options so they can be completely independently energy efficient and not reliant on anything or anyone in the case of a worst case scenario.
Nuclear energy is a giant blinking sign that says "target missiles here"
yes so their nuclear can get bombed, that way china won't even need to nuke them, they could simply just bomb their nuclear power plants
@@andrewferguson6901 make them underground
@@andrewferguson6901so are regular powerplants. China has a big incentive not to irradiate the land it would like to annex, so NPPs would still be a net benefit for Taiwan's energy infrastructure.
@@andrewferguson6901 any power plant is, or infrastructure system of any kind. If you really think about it. The point is the advancements in nuclear energy options could benefit us so much. You can collaborate other energy options alongside the nuclear energy and make a huge impact on the environment in a positive way.
Great!!
Interesting, thanks.
These guys profit, you die, and the old guys that started the war get to grow old and be remembered forever
Thanks Sashank! Excellent as always.
The weaponization of Starlink could be devastating.
the next weapon will be AI
The military has had satellites for decades
Who's to say it hasn't started
Starlink is a product made for the military from the start. Just like the internet and GPS.
It has been since day one. Starlink charges the U.S. government 4,500 bucks per router, Per month Each. And musk has been damaging in a myriad other ways with twitter, mostly by picking sides over and over again and making that narrative the only one. So already mission accomplished and war profiteering.
It was either S2 Underground or Covert Cabal, did a video about the details of 5th Generation warfare. would recommend that alongside this.
the first combat drones were used in the mid 90's. the difference is that today you can make drones that can be used for only a few hundred or a few thousand dollars.... but in any case, are we really entering a period of increased conflicts? Yes Ukraine is the first conventional war in Europe since the Balkans but between Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, DRC, Sudan, there have been conflicts for all these years. some like the Congo wars extremely gruesome with millions of deaths and yet none of us really know about it
You never know what future brings, but although you are right, that Syria, Sudan or Congo wars were vary brutal, war in Ukraine is not like them. Not in the sense of number of casualties, but in the fact that this is first war in decades which is not one sided like an afganistan (Afgans fought a partizant war) or war between third world armies like wars in Africa. This is a first war between two powerfull armies.
War never changes.
your jobs are so awesome.
In the future... Knowing how to tackle wars or any forms of it will be handy in securing our lives and our friends or relatives... It's best to enlist and serve and be a reservist...
Excellent and honest analysis
At 12:44 there is a picture of empty CPU socket depicting a cpu... Should have just used midjourney because I doubt it would have made such a mistake.
SkyNet is online😬
This felt like a special backstory trailer for a movie/video game about future warfare
Very frightening!
Drones are a big determining factor for the outcome of any war forward. The fact that they are relatively cheap and expendable means they can be produced like ammunition and deployed in the 100s of thousands.
Hoping this saves human lives in the end, reducing the tally of war.
It won’t, it will mean more deaths
Initially in WW1, enemy pilots would wave at each other when they flew by close. Eventually somebody had the idea of pointing a pistol and shooting at enemy aircraft, and the innocence was lost foreever. Expect drone-on-drone brutality to happen with escalating sophistication.
There are already videos of Ukrainian and Russian drones ramming into each other in the contested airspace lol
@@Annexation_ what I'm claiming is it will get way more sophisticated than that. Can expect to see dedicated anti-drone platforms and weaponry.
@@aaronseet2738exactly like a amicrowave ray jammer type device
@@whatsursource I remember that, but that was years ago, I'm sure nowadays it's smaller, more precise and more effective
this video made me remember series the 100
I hate how AI has just become the new corporate buzzword.
Yeah it is another money laundry thing like crepto
Wah. Wah never changes
Artillery king of the battlefield that's the main lesson. And also without lot of infantry there is no advancing.
The same limitations as AI in trading markets.
I remember watching somewhere on TH-cam that the royal marines, the US and some other nato countries were practicing trench warfare and subterranean warfare and it was a training exercise that focused and theorized that war would be like that due to drone warfare
Economist reporting something that OSInt viewers konw for over a year now.
Are those small drones all DJI? what else makes?
10:15 surprising it's quite tiny of an increase, compared to how fast AI research is moving.
It’s very difficult to get the DoD to spend money on new projects with new companies, the vast majority of their defence budget goes to the approved consolidated military industrial companies like Raetheon and Lockheed Martin. It took Palantir about 15 years of perseverance to land a contract, and they’re the premier AI defence company. The DoD is a slow, bureaucratic monolith that is filled with ex military company employees who favour contracts going to their ex companies
Couldn't open the survey, but this is a well done video. Transforming the magazine's in depth text into TH-cam. Amazing!
They just need to apply a pink filter...
1:59 the serious sam logo gave me flashbacks
what are they doing with indonesian map? 8:35, is the war spreading across continent?
About 4 months ago I wrote to the German and Ukrainian ministry of defense, in the middle of those tank debates that when drones finally get to take out planes and choppers, tanks, artillerie and infantry will lose their cover. I would speed up the development of drone swarms. IMO they are ideal for a smaller army.
Aha, a war monger
Incredible reporting thank you
👍👍
I'd guess it's not that hard to develop an AI-operated machine that will shoot down all objects it sees. That's it for reconnaissance/grenade drones against modern militaries.
And a few seconds later that machine is instantly targeted by the AI-operated machine that launched the bait that was shot down...
This is what cod and battlefield have been teaching us... "Consumables" = killstreak
Starlink is awesome!
If someone can create a device which can utilize EMP, that could potentially be a useful conter measure to drones.
1:57 They really put "Serious Sam" logo on the drone
I do not care about how quickly an information gets to me. OBVIOUSLY I care about the quality of it!
“Greetings! Two years … PLUS, the duration!” ~ Pres. Roosevelt, 1941
hopefully the future of war is no war.
War never changes
6:05 the guys does know how his army fights
All signal jammers will become force field's for the infantry but just get artyd
I am terrified by Jennifer McArdle! Her *eyes* are. . .not right.
Which makes me think that an ad-hoc regional WIFi type communications network with the use of a vast array of high flying & much cheaper drones (than satellites) should be doable
I think the future of war is going to be more mechanical and technology driven but men and women will be needed to operate it. When I think of future wars I think of is the Terminator movies where it’s man vs technology but it looks line men and women operating more advanced tech. I wonder if AI will eventually become a part of the battlefield. Soldiers wearing a lot of battery operated technology but more advanced. Trying to use more unmanned tech to save lives as well.
The nightmare future that’s super likely is that wars will be decided by competing AI’s who deploy measures and counter measures at a speed no human could ever compete with
In my opinion, if humanity manages to survive for a considerable duration, I foresee a future where warfare transitions into a form of controlled competition, taking place in designated arenas that could potentially be simulated digitally and preferably located beyond our planet. This evolution would serve as a means to channel and satisfy our inherent drive for competitiveness, while reducing the destructive consequences of traditional warfare.
Irrespective of technological advancements over the next century, our fundamental competitive instincts are likely to persist. Thus, for the next 100 years, it is plausible that we will continue to embrace and exercise our innate desire to compete.
AI is already very much part of the battlefield. This report omitted much, and was way off the mark in some places. Ukrainian strategy is being run by AI, and there are at least half a dozen separate use cases being fulfilled with AI in this war in the Ukrainian side that I know of. I’m quite sure Russia are using it too, although I don’t b think it will be as sophisticated as America’s, but you never know. If they’ve got their hands on some American kit they might gain some knowledge
@@DoseofTruthnever going to happen. You don’t wage war on terms favourable to the enemy like it’s a sports game. Wars will become more and more brutal and destructive
Either new evolutionary hacking will take place or more use in EMP weapons. In that sense, sound based weapons and light based weapons will need to appear to counter act this. We are at a precipice between what we know and what will come
Like in everything, the rate of technological change is speeding up. Military technologies will appear, be countered, and rendered obsolete, giving way to something new, in a very short time in comparison to the history of warfare
If EMP weapons were truly effective, don't you think Russia and Ukraine would be using them? Russia uses a lot of electrical warfare already.
They are effective, but basic physics still holds ... cube of the distance, i.e. you need a metric fuckton of energy to affect a significant area.
There is a reason the only real way to cause significant EMP is a high altitude nuke, and there is a reason nobody uses nukes.
Whoever the woman in white is, she is most definitely a cyborg. Look at those eyes.
Do a piece on future of peace
Next, the future of war would be play out like in the film "Small Soldiers".
why is it then I knew that as soon as the drone was introduced as a toy many many years ago, I knew that warfare would change. People are finally grabbing the idea just now.
Best case scenario, wars end... How will these new players in the military industrial complex carry-on without these juicy contracts? This will not end well for humans.
⭐
11:15 crazy eyes
AI is great. People can now destroy each other more efficiently. 😞
The Ukraine War isn't what made it obvious that armed drones (UCAVs) are the future of warfare. Turkish MALE drones, Iranian kamikaze drones and even Chinese MALE drones were already used extensively before that and gave users an edge across multiple battlefields. Russia and Europe happened to fall behind on the tech, while the US and Israel has also had its own armed drones albeit they're less strategic now due to their high cost and thereby limited numbers and their evaporating strategic exclusivity.
Yemen's Ansarullah used Iranian kamikaze drones against Saudi Arabia and the UAE which finally got them begging for a ceasefire that went into effect in April 2022, this despite the two also extensively using MALE drones themselves. Azerbaijan's use of Turkish MALE and Israeli kamikaze drones finally won them the war against Armenian separatists in late 2020. Armed drones have also been used extensively in Libya, Ethiopia, Syria and now the Sahel. The new play is armed drone boats (AUSVs).
Imagine drone submarines😮
You are using the term "drone" in a broad sense. There are drones that look like small aircraft, and then there are modern, commercial drones that are bing used in tactical warfare.
2020 Azerbaijan - Armenia war already proved how effective drones, Aznerbaijan obliterated Armenia with Turkrish and Isreali drones and Ukraine war is just continuation of that.
It is not true that the U.S. and Europe, or even South Korea could not build armed drones like those in China, Iran and Turkey. It is just that the U.S. and its allies seem to restrain on exporting drones despite the majority of the public supporting armed drone export.
Taiwan is an example that the U.S. and Israel are willing to export armed drones to.
Yep, this was one of the key observations from the most recent nagorny karabach conflict.
Hope you're having a happy Fourth with your family.
Such a melodramatic piece of reporting complete with sound effects and all the pizzazz, only to end up saying nothing.
Haha
That lady is already living in the past thinking that AI "remains incredibly brittle." That mindset will not age well.
I would LOVE to buy a subscription. But I live on less than 800$ per month.
In the future war will be like sitting in the home and playing video games
Imagine billions of tiny drones dropping bombs on the battlefield. For sure, this is the future.
I dont see how an attacking force could not simply use a swarm of kamikaze drones against much more expensive targets especially in a full scale war aircraft carriers might become huge targets. maybe a laser precision cannon of sorts on future destroyers could help or some kind of airburst shockwave future weapon
artillery
Just think of it: war breaks out and no one turns up.
Electronic walfare laughing in corner😂😂😂
This is only because we don't sent Ukraine the jets that they need.
Naivety👆
@@CharlieHill_26 don't you have your own internet?
Not really as even if they are sent they will be denied by Russian active air defense..
I have a proposal: I will vote for who you ask in Russia and you will vote for who I ask unconditionally of results in Russia
Ukies would need ~200 jets to turn it around. Who will pilot them? Who will provide maintenance?
5:42 🦅🔱
Its a 21st century war. Like, the sheer amount of Video documentation by GoPro's, individual youtube, Instagram, Telegram channels it self is never like before. You dont have much videos of wars in the past decade it self until now. Its crazy.
Afghanistan and Iraq also featured warfare as cheap wireless devices and social media grew. In Ukraine, there's someone with rocket artillery and close to similar sigint capability on the other side.
I bet they don't use remote id
These small and cheap drones makes it easier for less powerful opponents to fight against much more powerful enemies.
If this goes like this then in future there is no Human only Machines
You've chosen a guy with a Waffen SS division patch for the video preview. Nice work, Economist!
Wait where is it?
@@mehoV2The patch on his arm. You can google "14th Waffen Grenadier Division of the SS (1st Galician)"
@@mehoV2The patch on the guy's arm.
You can google "14th Waffen Grenadier Division of the SS (1st Galician)"
Someone, anyone can start a war. No one can walk away truely alive. - Anberlin
9:11 hmm why are they doing simulations in the Philippines?
The more things change..............
Thank you for your research. I find your videos are well done. RIght now Im keeping an eye on Cannafarm ltd
Nice. mrcnts are shy to translate what soldier said :D