Has Rocket Lab Stock Reached Fair Value and What Is My Next Move?
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 18 ก.ย. 2024
- Discussing Rocket Lab Stock's ($RKLB) recent rise and whether it has now reached fair value or is still undervalued as well as what I am thinking about doing next with the stock.
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Bought 21 shares at $5.65 to see what would happen..will buy more next dip!
Congrats of the marriage! Hope you had a great honey moon. I'm at 5653 @average of $5.23. Happily looking at over $11k profit on paper. Was looking to keep building to 10,000 but have pushed pause on the current valuation. Not minded to sell as I'm a very long hold (unless there's a compelling reason to sell). I have some funds and will keep my powder dry should there be a dip. I did previously sell peaks and buy troughs. I had a funny feeling about the start of this run and cancelled a 20% sell at the last minute, really glad I did! I wonder if there is scope for further increases with the rates cut. We'll see. I think some of the new buyers might be fair weather and sell quickly on missed milestones for neutron, if that pulls down then I will add.
Wow, nice call on cancelling that sell!
I think I will keep buying as long there's 10x gains on the table with 50 billion market cap target. That might take 10 or more years, but it's still crazy return when annualized. And there's a possibility we might reach 50 billion in market cap sooner than we think, if the hype builds up on private space industry and things are getting continuously bit overvalued like tech stocks do. Of course living in such a bubble wouldn't be easy, so steady growth backed with solid business would be ideal. I hope everything goes well with Neutron and they already have new plans to present in 2025 for growth. Now a lot of the focus is on Neutron, but we really need to start also looking beyond that. What opportunities will it enable for Rocketlab and what will they build on top of that opportunity? Moon landers?
@@beloved_lover you are right. I think I'm struggling to put my average higher after spending three years getting it down. If the moon and mars missions really happen then there will be a ton of opportunities for rocket lab. And yes 50b market cap is well within the realms o possibility. I'm sure this is a goal for them strategically.
@@beloved_lover I am sure I won't need 10 years maybe 5-6
Welcome back Dave! I built out my position. My last purchase wasn't that long ago. Paid $6.98 per share. DCA of $5.07.
Nice!
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With rate cuts and Q4 updates coming, I think it breaks out and goes to $9 before stock price retreats to $6s. Total guess though, just like every price prediction. Either way, I’m not selling any shares, only buying more.
I suspect that everyone who sold a couple weeks ago in the high $6s and low $7s with the intention of buying back in the $5s has increased their re-entry price to low $6s.
Welcome and nice to have you back Dave.
I am sticking with my plan which DCA. Would love to go down to gain more shares.
Time in Rocket Lab will beat trying to time Rocket Lab! 😊
This is the way.
@@daveginvesting sweet star wars reference!
Welcome back Dave. I’ll not be adding and I’ll not be selling. Happy with my 10,000 shares. Works with my wider portfolio. RKLB is currently 27% of my holdings….. Don’t want to be overweight.
Seems like a solid strategy
Damn 10k .I only have 381 shares.i certainly envy you guys.
@@martinbanks7194 it’s good on good days, and bad on bad days!
I don’t like comparing to others numerically, everyone circumstances is different. I just focus on percentages. At the moment, my RKLB holding is up 66.87%!
Welcome back. Nice to get a fresh update.
Congratzs on your Marriage and Honeymoon! Thank you for the insight on Rocket Lab.
Love this channel so dang much !
Edit : I sold all my 223x 2026 LEAPS + my 18’ Oct $6 (went from $25k to $87k) and redeployed my cash like this :
- 200x call $12 Jan 2027 @$2.6
- 800x puts $4 Apr 2025 @0.3
Left $10K on the sideline to adjust
The goal is not only to have cash if it crashes back down but have even more cash thx to the puts, in order to deploy this larger amount that i wouldn't have had otherwise.
if it goes back to $5 for example ill be making around $20K profit which means $43K worth of puts + $10K cash total $53K that i will fully redeploy into $12 Jan 2027 call options handing me around 600 calls.
if it stays flat like the earth around $7 im fd but if it moves one of two sides within the next 3/4 months i make money
Wow, congrats on doing so well on the Leaps!
Congrats on the wedding/honeymoon!!! RKLB will be over $25 dollars a share by next Fall/2025. Ok maybe not but I’m hoping. Holding for a few years anyhow. That was my original plan. Great video with decent content. I feel we’re in the same boat…Let’s hope for a nice ride upwards!!! Good luck everyone!!!
Welcome back. I hope you did enjoy the honeymoon
We did!
Welcome Back Dave!
Look into a 3 way
Buy call spread sell put
Take advantage of the high volatility
Back month volatility is probably pretty high so your laying out a lot of money for time value
Welcome back !
Thanks!
last time it dropped from $7, I vaguely remember some events: Electron blew, Peter Beck sold $20+ M shares and they took out a big loan convertible to shares?
Congrats on the wedding/honeymoon!!! RKLB will be over $25 dollars a share by next Fall/2025. Ok maybe not but I’m hoping. Holding for a few years anyhow. That was my original plan. Good luck everyone!!!
29% CAGR over 2.5 years occasionally trading RKLB -- average of one trade every 2 months.
Lovely. Cheers :)
Congrats on your marriage! Thanks for keeping us updated on Rocket Lab.
trimmed at $7, rebought at 6.15 and sold CC on them at $8 for October. Let's see what happens!
Interesting, so far it's worked quite well for you!
I’m buying with market reaction to neutron in mind. This is a 20 year hold
My main shares are a very long term hold as well.
Please god give us sub $5 so Dave and I can slam those leaps like never before in our lives. Let's go dude!
🚀🚀
Congratulations on the marriage, all the best wishes. Hope the needed vacation was all you hoped it be. I know we all appreciate the updates and really appreciate seeing RKLB soar 😁
Thanks!
congrats! and welcome back. well done on LUNAR too! a nice wedding gift! Is the Intutive contract a loss for rocket lab, or something for us RKLB fans to be hopeful about?
Soon $8
I've got 1484 Shares, bought at an average price of about $4.70 per share. Going to hold till Rocketlab reaches $25 and then assess.
Hi Dave, What line of work are you in to be able to put 60k into one stock? Thank you for your work!
To be honest I do pretty well in my job but nothing that special. It really came down to saving a lot very early on and starting to invest early to get the compounding returns ball rolling! I stayed living with my parents a good while after grad and built a nice Easter egg.
I'm hoping for a dip after the launch this week and if so I'll pick up a few more
Good job Dave 👍✌️
Thanks
4.66$ * 700 shares.
Will buy more at 5$-5.5$range
Welcome back Dave... Hello to the misses too... If you sell RKLB, who are we going to subscribe to... I'm assembling a few thousand cash to drop if RK dives back below $6.00 each... RK are not a flashy company so they are perceived as lessor than the billion $$ club... Peter B, he talks about achievements not possibilities, so when they go to profit, I want to own as much as possible...
Haha I would hope you would stay subscribed even if I sold one day :)
Till 10 i will accumulate, to 20 i will hold and above 20 i will sell CC's against half of my shares. I am to dumb to time the market, so i will just buy whenever i have cash.
Put the cash into QDTE and wait to see what happens to RKLB after today's abort
I was in at 3.50 and out at 6.50, i have puts in place to get back in
According to Simply Wall St, Rocket Lab is still 74.2% undervalued at a price of $7.17
No way the stock goes back to the 4s
That time's over
Congrats on the wedding. I trade technicals often, $5.74 set as the new temp floor. If you want to get back in that would be a good place to target on a pullback if the market stays bullish. fomc should shake up the price this week.
I will keep an eye out for 5.74ish!
@@daveginvesting if it gets that far down. 50%retracement on the current surge is about $6.60.. I kinda would like a negative reaction to the fomc and a big market pullback in IWM to help push it down, be nice to get a few more shares in the $5s, I doubt it would break lower than that $5.74 (last weekly low in the trend change) without the whole market pulling back, techinically speaking that is.
I'm still here with rocket lab
Hi
You already have your allocation of Rocket lab so I would not add now. If it go down below the 4,50$ the may be it would be ok to oversize then
I couldn't figure out WHY AST soared...the data didn't change? All market sentiment?
Neutron 1st stage assembly photos may push SP higher. Soon...
I am definitely looking forward to seeing that!
Hi Dave, do you have any new status on Archimedes engine testing? Also, is there a plan by Rocket Lab USA to vertically land Neutron? Thanks.
i dont think 5s or even 4s are out of the question yet. neutron is still a long way off. i wouldn't even be surprised if neutron 2026. engineering takes time. it took spacex 3 years and 10s of attempts to dial falcon9 landing. sure that was quite a few years ago now and there's a big advantage in going second, but these things are still hard. look at starship IFT 1, 2, 3 - it took a few attempts just to get to stable orbit and splashdown stage 1 - thats before any of the wild parts of the flightplan. yes, very different vehicle, i know.
Next time you guys talk to Peter, I'd really like to know if Serial Number 2, 3... are/will be in production yet; if/when serial number 1 blows up.
ill hold
rklb options are too expensive right now. you don't really get that much of a multiplier on leaps. jan 2026 $7 will give you 2.7x vs a doubling of the stock. That is not worth the risk. I always look for at least 2x the underlying with options to make up with the added risk. I'm staying in the stock for now and will reload on calls if we get a drop or if the IV starts to bleed enough.
Counting on a sub $6. Not sure this is the best decision.
In my humble opinion, RL can turn wildly downward if Neutron launch fails. Being in the industry its to be expected to fail first launch..but what if they fail second launch and third..
I believe in the team but always possible on a first launch
You better not let her hear you calling her your fiancé anymore. Get it right. It’s Mrs. David G investing now.😂
Oh man, that habit will take a while to break
It's still cheap
Agreed
Sell puts Dave, if you are thinking of buying back in.
That's also a decent option to consider 🤔
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