What El Niño Will do to Earth in 2024
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 4 พ.ค. 2023
- The La Niña and El Niño Southern Oscillation. Visit brilliant.org/astrum to sample their courses in a 30-day free trial + the first 200 people will get 20% off their annual subscription.
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#elnino #lanina #astrum
el nino 2023, el nino drought, el nino and la nina explained, el nino 2024, enso
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What other videos do you want to see about Earth? Suggest on the Astrum discord here: discord.gg/TKw8Hpvtv8
I'd like to see this video but with Europe mentioned😅
I have an idea...how about losing the fear mongering and give people some perspective on what's going on. Just a few points would be, the higher levels of CO2 during past ice ages, periods warmer than today (in just the last few thousand years) with less CO2 in the atmosphere, that the overall amount of ice on the planet hasn't changed, that sea levels haven't risen and finally that fires are so common and have happened for so long in Australia that a large percentage of the plants there need smoke residue in the soil for their seeds to germinate. And FYI, the southwest US is desert, a place of perpetual drought (I know, I live there)....although in 2022, we received almost double our annual rainfall (despite being a La Nina), most likely caused by the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai eruption injecting so much water into the upper atmosphere....oh and that the "bathtub ring" on lake Mead was caused more by water storage mismanagement in California, than by any other factor.
Maybe talk about the true nature of CO2 and how it affects temperature (reference Freeman Dyson & William Happer, both respected physicists from Princeton) or how life has absolutely flourished with up to 10 times the current amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. Also, the fact that this is the first interglacial period where humans kept track of climate and that CO2 levels prior to the industrial revolution were within 30 ppm of plant death. Lastly and probably most importantly, the affects of how the solar and Milankovitch cycles change climate and the comings and goings of ice ages.
Climate change is not something to fear and as you said at the end of your video, we and the rest of the planet are adaptable. However, there are a lot of more serious and immediate issues that need to be addressed like pollution, over fishing and nuclear war. ✌
@Macy Thats not really scientifically correct though is it
I’m afraid this content is highly misleading. TH-camrs who lack the relevant expertise risk misinforming the public if they fail to consult an expert. Your opening comments in this video are a case in point. The climate impacts experienced during an El Niño or La Niña event are not the product of ENSO alone - they are a consequence of the superposition of natural climate fluctuations, including ENSO, on top of human climate change, and since the latter is now the dominant driver of changes in global average temperature and associated shifts in the severity of climate extremes, you cannot imply, as you do, that recent ENSO associated weather extremes are just a consequence of natural cycles. They are not. If you want to be the goto source of accurate information on climate science I suggest you revise the voice over on this content or delete it.
@@ChannelCtrlAltDefeat no one is able to prove one way or the other if God exists. So, kind of a pointless question.
As a Colombian I always thought that El Niño and La Niña were more of a local climate problem, I never thought that it could affect the whole planet.
same
Everything's connected.
... so you don't know how our planet work?
@@hospitalcakewalk ?
@@Alexis-lg3dq means we were taught this in school how El Niño and La Niña work and how it affects the whole world and even if you don’t get taught this why would you assume something like this only affects on tiny part of the world without the butterfly effect ?
As a person who lives on Earth (ocasionally) I do look at the weather sometimes. I'm learning a lot of things here, thanks.
As a person who lives on earth 😂 well we’re else you are going to live Mars ? 😂
@@Leon-yv5qz yes actually, it will eventually be your (humans) 2nd home to share with us once you've assimilated 😊✌️
Well most people live in clown world these days, they left Earth a long time ago lol.
Literally same bestie
@@Leon-yv5qz it's a bot or a human attempting to be clever but failing at it
I really like your presentations. The calm and not so rapid transitions. Not only in the visual but also listening to you talk human instead of a hyper theatrical repetative robot. Thank you.
1998's El Niño in the southwest was amazing. We had mudslides, flooding everywhere. I was too young to understand the dangers, so it just seemed like a really special, cool year with tons of rain. Hoping we can offset the long drought even more this year since it's been forever since we had that kind of rain!
I'm excited as well. Been through the 97/98. Something about that one was magical because most of us only had radios and gas stove to cook. No lights for weeks. Just family bonding through water lol. Then it snowed as well which was so freakin cool at age 12.
Want more rain!!! Move the hell out of the Southwest to somewhere it actually rains regular!! Seems simple lmao
Same here. I remember camping with my dad and uncle and they were screaming, “el nino is Spanish for… THE NINO!” during an intense storm on the Mongollon Rim.
Excited for property damage, death, higher crop and meat prices and more inflation? Weird excitement
I actually love the rain. It’s different than the sunny weather.
I remember El niño being a big deal back when i was a kid 20+ years ago.
Glad to see him making a comeback this season, that kid had potential.
“Blame it on El Niño”
@@Pretermit_Sound "Everybody hates El Nino"
That kid is a fully grown man now
@@savingday Now it's El Señor
😂😂😂😂😂
The person who wrote this should write every single schoolbook from Pre-School through college. The way everything is described and visualized is so incredibly clear that you capture it the first time. Bravo!
Facts!! Second only to Morgan Freeman! For real tho...good work!
@@elinope4745 The point is that this guy is so clear in the details that you don't miss anything. All subjects should be taught this way when first learning a topic and even later until the student reaches a point of understanding of the foundational aspects of the topic. At that point, they can branch out in any direction that favors their learning style.
It would be banned in most public schools. It’s far to realistic in explaining weather patterns. El Ninio is caused by cars and lawn mowers not millennial old patterns.
Totally true!! Are you talking about the schools that are now forced to say that "slavery had it's perks for the slaves" or the ones banning books?@@apollomoon1
@@AngusAngus All of the above
It’s refreshing actually learning and reading something of importance we all need to prepare for. Thank you for your work. 😊
The earth has been changing since it was created
mass extinction events are also a thing
and this recent change is caused by us
Exactly, the earth has and will be in a constant form of change even long after humans are long gone and until whatever it will be that takes earth out. Species also die out, evolve, new species come about. What takes the place of humans who knows.
"Created" 🤭
I live in Peru and can confirm, this year El Niño is firing up and has already had some very heavy rains with floods. Here in Lima it rained for 5 nights straight, unheard of in my 14 years here. My concrete ceiling dripped for the first time ever. Really glad you shined a more objective light on this as you always do
Tremendo... Aca tamos alrevez en panamá, días de 40C con humedad alta y para rematar algunas tormentas fuertes, pero mucho más calor que lluvia.
i am from Ecuador ad lived through 83 ad 98 El niños…. lots of rain, higher sea level, destruction of infraestructure….. not good. God help us.
@@bobnandez
Good luck, be safe! 👋🇨🇦
A dripping concrete ceiling sounds very dangerous...
Be safe!
👋🇨🇦
too much sunshine isn't good for you
as an aussie. The time of La'nina has been amazing. There is nothing better than seeing nature recover, birds, insects, trees etc all alive and amazing.
Unfortunately our fellow aussies in rural communities have had their homes destroyed due to the recent flooding
yes but floods...
@@Polai010 yup had to evacuate for 5 days my whole town flooded
the floods…always happen since 2020
You missed snakes
I just started recently hearing and learning about these weather patterns/cycles. Its weird it took until 2023 for these to become so widely known. And then I happened to be taking a Geography class and learned even more about it, and it was definitely fascinating. Makes you really think alot more about the weather and earth in general.
I think you have been living under a rock because i recently Turned 20 and im certain I've heard of this el niño/la niña thing for a couple of years now.
@@Jaztins lmao same. I love in a third world country and we learned about el nino in primary school in the 90s
I grew up as a kid in the 90s and it was definitely talked about a lot then.
This was all taught to us in geography classes when we were 13.. Im surprised there are adults out there who have no idea how monsoons function around the world and in their country.
Back after awhile, I continue in awe of your superb programs and terrific voice.
I am from the Philippines and I noticed that during an El niño event typhoons tend to form near the central Pacific ocean which causes them to intensify more as they are likely to stay over the water. On the other hand, during a La niña event typhoons tend to form near the Philippines which makes them less likely to intensify as they immediately land on land shortly upon forming.
True✔. Thank God, the Weather News always shows us how/where the Typhoon forms or going to land🙏
from my quick research though, El Nino and La Nina just change where typhoons form
El Nino storms usually form near the equator (around Mindanao) while La Nina storms form around the east of Visayas or Luzon
intense storms are possible with either seasons
In the Philippines, we only have 2 seasons...dry and rainy. With El Ninio, means less rain during rainy season. Ground cracked dry...
Build a wall and make mother nature pay for it.
Yes, they always form in that ONE SPOT
In India, we are having one of the weirdest weather conditions that I have ever seen. It's peak summer time, but instead of complete dry weather and temperatures going upto 45-48°C in central regions, we had rains almost every day in April with temperature not going above 40. Same is happening in May as well. This might affect monsoons later, which is a big worry for most people in India.
How can you survive 40 C weather omg, like how does cattle survive😢
@@reeyees50 Mud huts and sheds for cattle keep the temperature in the 20s range while its 45 C outside. And for us people we use evaporative desert air coolers and occasional dips in the local pond.
In Bihar we are having burning days, where you live.
@@reeyees50 Here in Spain we also reach 40º, it has been consistent these last summers
I was about to comment the same :)
The La Niña of 2022/2023 produced “atmospheric rivers” of rain for almost three months, here in Hawaii, then it traveled to California, topping up all the drought stricken, half empty reservoirs. Living on the wet side of the island, it was a constant deluge of rain, and mold and mildew producing humidity. I am ready for the El Niño.
@@Ku_xiaohai amazing, you picked up on the situation. We are having a very hard time here on Maui. The fires have destroyed so much and they continue to threaten. As I write this, one of the fires is burning out of control, one mile from my home. Three 100 ft tall trees have fallen next to my house, one damaging my roof. Lahaina town is completely gone.
Where I live which is Rapid City South Dakota Rapid City had a wet and rainy Summer this year during La Niña
In Kohala we’ve had rain but also long periods of drought in these past few years so I don’t know how much I want that, specially with how much farmers rely on the rain.
Love the well-explained research & graphics.
Great video.
El Niño is something I dread as an Australian farmer.
Water is the most important resource that needs management and protection in Australia
Put a magnifying glass into orbit and point it at the north pole to melt the ice, build an aqueduct from the north pole to the desserts of the world, problem solved. New landmass exposed - Greenland (perhaps anarctica), unusable desserts terraformed, win win.
@@mikejones-vd3fg There's never any unusable desserts in my house.
Don't worry the Chinese take care of water management in Australia 😢😮
El Niño is something I've also learned to dread. My uncles & aunts were all farmers, surviving on tank or dam water. Ground pumps were unreliable, or inoperative. I still remember the cows, sheep, and horses following us on daily runs in the ute when all ran dry. Or finding those who'd succumb to thirst.
"Water" yes Government sold it all to China. Bastards
That's tremendous, I have always felt compelled to pursue knowledge and power in order to contribute to the betterment of humanity. Been seeking a means to be influential and find out more knowledge about the human race and about the things not everyone is destined to know. I wish to fulfill the goal of enlightenment passed down by our forebears.
I can totally relate to your passion, if all that is what you desire then i think it's achievable. Joining the Illuminatus Brotherhood can lead to the enlightenment you seek and more. I am well aware that the idea of this group may sound mythical but it is possible to join.
@@bartholetbay412 Hi, isn't the brotherhood a myth? I mean sometimes i just feel like it's all just a conspiracy theory.
@@Margart526 Yeah I acknowledge that misunderstanding can occur when people encounter what they don't fully grasp, especially in this internet era. The Illuminatus advocates for the acceptance of all religions. You can look up "Anthony Szymon". Will give you clarity and answers to any questions you might have.
@@bartholetbay412 oh really, i just saw his website, which is interesting. I will leave him a message.
GOD BLESS YOU
Amazing video, thank you very much. I've always struggled to get to grips with the ENSO but this video describes it perfectly.
I'm South African, for the past 2 years we've experienced bizarre rains by our coastal areas, Durban to be exact where we had crazy floods, by the sound of things it was La Nina which gave us a wetter 2years, but i fear the impending El Nino..
PS- Please do more reviews of Africa, the past 10 years of weather have been fascinating, from droughts, floods, cyclones, tornados, snow.. its wild
The street sweepers don't clean the drains 😂
did u also notice how cold it was in some parts of SA , we even received snow
Canadian here. I can only hope an El Nino will bring wetter weather for the central prairies. These last 3-4 years have been the driest and hottest we have seen in recent memory. The ground didn't even freeze this winter because there was no moisture in the soil to speak of. We were seeding wheat today and had to plant as deep as our machine could just to get some slightly damp soil. Only 2 ml of rain in the forecast for the next three weeks just won't cut it. There were no April showers to bring May flowers.
It’s quite interesting… a couple years back maybe 3 here in the Yukon we hit super high temperatures at 31C, Something I’ve seen before in my life living in the Yukon but I’ve never seen that temp stay around for more than a week. then I think a year or two after that heat thing we had a huge dump of snow in November like how it always was when I was a child. That was one of my first real “snow days” where many students and workers stayed home (not me though of course 😅) . I think the other records for much snow fall were in 2013 and 1970s… crazy. So many things happening lol
You guys also have to deal with the effect of receding glaciers north of you. I'm in Canada, but east of there thankfully.
@@sophiophile yupp it’s already starting to effect Kluane national park and wildlife will have to more into different environments for water resources as Kluane lakes gets smaller. the slims river is changing as well in what’s called “river piracy”. It will also affect the life’s of First Nations people that travel on the water to hunt in which will they won’t be able to do in the future with the glaciers melting.
@@tyrapowers7355 Agreed. It makes me pretty upset that water protectors are treated like terrorists, when their way of life is at risk.
In Ecuador it’s been a disaster. Mud and land slides have been a disaster .
I live in Australia and it is the second year that in summer I had my lawn in the garden staying always green!
Usually in summer the lawns are really dry and brown everywhere, you won't ever find a green patch unless you water daily your garden which is not permitted in a hot normal summer!
Dearest fellow Australians, Apologies for the spam but I feel this is important. The amazing boom of plant life we have received as a result of the La Nina's if a greet blessing indeed. We can keep it but it must be carefully managed. The time is now, we must demand the restoration of bush clean up crews canned buy governments on cost. Demand the reform of red tape policies in regards to private land controlled burns. Increase the use of strategic fire breaks.
Most importantly of all we must increase the use of Indigenous fire management. Well there were no doubt catastrophic fires prior to European arrival. It is proven that this practice greatly reduced them. This is also an opportunity for needed Aboriginal employment, and others as many hands are needed.
I say this as a humble horticulturalist who deeply appreciates Australia's unique botany and everything that comes with it. Botany that has the presence of fire written in its DNA, but would much rather not be hit with a massive fire storm.
It is not enough for Governments ( any governments ) to say prepare your homes. They have in my opinion atrociously neglected this issue with red tape and hand sitting. It is not enough. Time to get pestering Local, State, Federal both isles.
Give them hell before hell starts in the Bush, Kind Regards.
🇨🇦Very well presented documentary, visually pleasing and clearly understood! I also thought it only affected certain areas of the globe, I love learning new things like this☺️
a wise man once said "El Niño is spanish for The Niño"
When I was a kid growing up in the Midwest (80’s-90’s) I remember insects being on literally every surface. Spring summer and fall, if you took a road trip anywhere on any highway your car would be completely covered in splattered bugs. It would get so bad even the screen covers for the grill/air intake would get completely caked with bug guts. I’ve been on hundreds of trips since then and it’s scary how incredibly infrequent it is to see a single bug on the windshield. Not that I enjoy seeing insects die, but it would be nice to see a couple just to know they’re still there. So sad.
It's called the 6th mass extinction, we've lost nearly 80% of the insects populations.
@@kacius9579 I know. It’s heartbreaking.
All for the profit of big corn and other big plantation owners
Pesticides.
Pesticides are partly to blame.
Wtf u talking about going for a 5 min drive I need to clean the hood💀
I live in Indonesia, and La Niña explains why clear blue sky is a rarity here in the last few years. As much as I hate the constant downpour, news of upcoming El Niño is terrifying. I was a kid during the megadrought in 1998. I remember my parent's constant worry over water & food availability. I suspect the drought is one of several factors which bring political instability & social upheaval during that time. At the least, it brought the national mood to a downward spiral.
I sincerely hope it won't get that bad ever again. But considering what we've done to the planet, that is a tall order.
while as a farmer living in a small town next to Surakarta i'm loving our consecutive 'wet' dry seasons, i miss the day i can pluck out ulat jati pupae and cook them. idk. maybe it's just me being weird
Indonesia has plenty of fresh water no?
Just bad resource management I'm guessing..
@@freshdonkey1760 yeah, but great chunk of them are in the hands of big companies, like Danone for an example
China is pumping the air full all kinds pollutants. That's your main problem
@@freshdonkey1760 not that easy tho. during drought season, even lakes and rivers dried out. nothing can prevent it.
Thank you for all the hard work you put into these videos!. Thank you for all the hard work you put into these videos!.
In Southern Arizona, we had a very wet monsoon season (June-Sep) during 2021 and 2022 in spite of the raging drought in 2022, the one where you showed the bathtub ring around Lake Mead. They were talking about sacrificing Lake Powell to save Lake Mead. But here, we still had a fantastic monsoon. And California got constant atmospheric rivers, northern Arizona, Utah, and Colorado got way more snow than normal. So, wet conditions instead of drought. In 2023, it was La Niña is fading, and we aren't getting much so far. Fingers crossed for the next couple of months.
In central Phoenix, we had the hottest and driest summer in years marking 54 days of 110+ temperatures :S
I read that! We only hit 106 in Tucson. Good luck and I hope we all cool off soon.
As an Indian this is extremely worrying. The population here already struggles with the effects of global warming. As this is a largely agrarian civilization I feel for the farmers here. Looks like everybody here needs to be a bit considerate of their consumption the next few years.
I’m gonna consume as much as I can in spite of you. Take the L buddy
@@olivernt2667 yeah yeah well done!
I live in the Philippines and I genuinely thought we were experiencing El Niño already with how hot it was, only to find out things were going to get worse 😊 Plus, until recently, I thought El Niño and La Niña were universally considered as bad things, so I never realized that some people actually didn't suffer due to it based on their country, or even benefited due to it. The more you know I guess, though it does make me a little sad that once again, we get the short end of the stick, lol.
I live in Southern Africa, in 2017 El Nino hit and I lost 1,5 million dollar crops. Took two years to recover including all costs on and off the land. The dollar is like 1 to 10 where I am from so it was quite hectic. Good and bad I guess.
@@user-qj6vg9uv4s how do you have so many crops
It's the same in South America, we suffer from flooding, mosquitoes, landslides, wildfire and very hot temperatures along electric storms...
@@aascsvc.. Well you see, some countries are rich agriculturally based on the land, weather etc. but lacks Infrastructural growth, fair global trade off, you can't have them both
@@Marfil0 y did u say sorry two times🙃
What a video! Really gets you thinking too! Brilliant job!
El Niño absolutely happened, up until January, this was the warmest fall/winter in Canada I’ve seen in a while
Where I am in Canada it is been -30 to -40 c here for about a week or 2
California seems to be one of the few places where El Nino is almost completely beneficial. It does cause late-summer coastal heatwaves, but the rain it brings counteracts many of the negative summer impacts.
Exactly.
Maybe that’s why I kept hearing “el niño is a problem but La Niña is much worse”
The downside is that all the lush greenery that grows because of the rain then dries out in the summer and in it’s large quantity, serves as fuel for the summer wildfires. That, and mudslides from the rain. As a SoCal native though, that rainy season is amazing and makes for such a beautiful Spring.
Very bad for Eastern Canada. Strong SW winds in December. NEVER seen that before here where i have lived over 30 years. Then Ice storm in the first week of April. Who could've thought of that. Knocked our power for 5 days. Thank God it was in April and not in January.
You mean La Nina. El Nino is coming. We just finished La Nina
ASTRUM! I'd like to take just a moment to express my appreciation for your consistent excellence. Always one of the most interesting, thought-provoking content that the layman of any subject can readily comprehend, your communication of ANY subject provides valued knowledge that most can grasp in earnest. A HUGE THANK YOU TO ALL INVOLVED!
Good.
Excellent!
Extremely interesting video! Thank you
I live in Bali, and dry season was extreme here because of El ninio, we are waiting for rainy season, but it is still not here
Local people told us that didn’t see such harsh dry season for a long time
I remember one El Nino year it made it a mild hurricane season in the Atlantic. It created a wind shear that hit the top of a hurricane, or one trying to form and wouldn't let it develop. It was a very mild hurricane season on the East Coast. It depends on where you are. La Nina is just the opposite as you said in the video.
I'm from Rio de Janeiro and now I understand why the weather is much more pleasant in the region where I live when the La Nina weather event occurs, but I had no idea that it was the opposite for other regions of the world. Very interesting to understand how our planet is so complex and every event happens for some reason, many still not really understood
I live in Indonesia and personally can't wait for El Nino.
@@pakde8002 I live in the US east coast and also agree. WOOO is it going to be nice to have more than a quarter inch of snow this winter!
I'm in Colorado and we've had the most precipitation in 58 years as we transition into El niño. It's been raining so much that rivers are overflowing and causing evacuations. Flash floods are turning streets into rivers and we are no longer in drought. I've never experienced a more wet season in Colorado in my adult life and I was born and raised here. Pretty neat.
Having lived in central Indiana, US all 65 years of my life, it seems to me that the seasons have shifted approximately a month forward. For example, weather and temperatures that I associated with December in my childhood (snow and temps under 32 F) seem to have shifted to January, and so on through the calendar year. I've not read/watched any studies about this, but this is how it seems to me intuitively.
As a California kid in the 90s. El Nino brought so much water, Freshwater fishing was so much fun. We were literally fishing from trees! Canyons were super lush as well.
I am a volunteer firefighter from eastern Australia.
I follow the ENSO cycle very closely every year and I am a little worried about this coming summer much and hope we don't need a repeat of 2013. Three back to back La Nina events have caused record growth in our grasslands in eastern Australia so an El Nino in 2023 may prove to be a busy year.
This will be different to the 2019-20 season you mentioned as that was following a catastrophic drought spurred by an IOD positive system (perhaps an idea for a future video)
Thank you for covering the global affects of the ENSO cycle. We are taught a very Australian centric view of the cycle and I can say I learnt alot about impacts on the Americas.
Well said!!
You dirty Abos are all gonna burn! Get that hose ready boy because you have not seen what's coming despite your extensive research regarding weather patterns. When the trade winds blow all shall be cleansed and filthy Oz usually is tops on that list!
Also all the burned areas as well as unburnt vegetation have grown so much that people say there is more fuel load than before the 2019-2020 fires.
Any el Nino will dry out all this vegetation. This could lead to even larger and more fires across Australia again.
Thank you for your services. Be careful out there. Hugs from Brazil.
I’m worried to. South Australia has had a very wet year and they are already doing control burns here ready for summer. Thank you for your service! Bless our fire fighters and cfs
This was a very interesting and concise explanation of terms familiar to the ear but normally lacking in understanding of their vast global impact! Much appreciated❣️🐅
Great job as always Alex... entertaining and informative 👍
I grew up in New Zealand. Many think NZ as a country without disruptive weather, but that isn't the case. Floods and droughts occur, along with catching the tail end of cyclones, and they are huge weather systems which are devastating. Just ask those that live on any Pacific island. As a child the weather was fairly predictable, now it is noticably more chaotic. Seasonal variations feel more exaggerated with anomalous storms, or heatwaves, more common. Understanding the oceans is helping to prepare people for these fluctuations, but it is scary to see how much warmer the ocean temperatures have risen recently and predictions on how that will intensify the weather patterns and sea life loss. At a basic level that puts food security as the number one priority.
Same here in Australia, summers were hot, winters were winter and varied where you lived obviously cause some places winter in Aus is 25c lol but now weather is pretty chaotic it rained where I live currently for almost 6 months straight and we got flooded in my suburb 4 times in about 8 weeks luckily our house wasnt reached and we barely had a summer, we call it weather weirding cause you never know what is going to happen
Where I am, northern Canada, we have way less heat waves
@@AH-lw2bj "northern canada" and "heat wave" is very funny to me
From Philippines here, lightnings have been getting scarier and scarier every year. Storms have been getting stronger and stronger. Summer heats getting hotter and hotter. I can't even imagine how much it will get worse for next year.
El nino is good for us down here the weather is more settled in NZ⛳
During the ‘17/18 El Niño I volunteered just north of SF, CA at a marine mammal rescue. We had much larger numbers of injured animals that year (we were primarily equipped to care for pinnipeds). Such an impact to that ecosystem that most land mammals weren’t aware of.
It was only El Niño from 2014-16. Correction apparently there was a short one in your time frame, but it did not effect winter i don't believe.
In Colombia where I live, albeit having a large Pacific Coast, just North of Ecuador and Peru, we experience drought during El Niño. One multi-year one during the 90s was specially bad. It rained so little that the Hydroelectric plants couldn’t keep up with the energy demand of the country, so scheduled blackouts were carried out.
Western US, especially Utah, has been buried in snow and rain already. The area has tons of flooding.
During la nina, australia had multiple years of record floods just recently. Georgina river is the highest its been since the 90s. A river that usually is mostly arid and dry.
Great video! I’m a huge weather nerd and of course love all your space videos as well. I live in Buffalo, NY and La Niña can play a big role in generating Lake Effect Snow here. A phenomenon that doesn’t happen in many places. We had two very big events this last winter that could have been influenced by La Niña, which may have helped set up these two massive storms. I live just south of Buffalo, about 15 minutes or so. We were hit the hardest both times with up to 7 FEET accumulating in the 1st epic storm. Snowfall rates of over 6 inches per hour were reported! The second storm dropped about 4 Feet, however, this storm was a true Blizzard that lasted 2 solid days. Heavy snow and winds in excess of 70 MPH had devastating impacts on our city. It was a historic winter and a weird one. Despite the two massive storms, we ended up having somewhat of a mild winter and did not experience much snow outside of these events. If interested, go look up these two storms that occurred in November and again, around Christmas. The story won’t disappoint! Thanks again for all your amazing videos! I always get exciting watching them. You’ve got a gift my friend! 😁
Hello fellow person who lives near Buffalo! It was an unusual winter for sure. You know the snow is bad here when schools and stores are actually closed haha.
yes, winter was mild down state, WAY more rain that snow - so it's not surprising that outside of the lake affect on two storms, it was mild not TAHT far away from us down on the island.
Yep! The weather has been VERY wacky in MANY places. Increasingly so year-after-year.
For anyone who has a few decades under their belt they have witnessed the changes in their lifetime.
716 fam! that christmas weekend blizzard was the wildest thing ive ever seen, I live north of Buffalo and was right on the edge of the lake effect band for a full day. couldn't see across the street for 2 days straight
I don't appreciate the click bait attitude of this video. There's nothing new or sinister about the El Nino. Not is it accurate to describe it as an event. It's the ebb and flow of Earth's dynamic weather system, nothing more.
Thanks for the brilliant information. As a Canadian living in Costa Rica it is hard to understand the weather as it seems to change more than North American weather. The locals understand these systems exist and name them but very few understand what to expect. Well researched and very helpful in understanding what to expect. Thank you!
I'm from the Dominican Republic, and I remember as a kid hearing adults talk about El Niño as a terrible thing. It meant that the temperature will increase to almost not bearable conditions and the worst tropical hurricanes will come that year. There was a very bad hurricane called "Hurricane George" in 1998 that destroyed many highways and bridges by the floods of all the rain and wind. I didn't have any idea that these climate things were affecting the entire world, it makes me feel more connected somehow. Thank you for the information.
this interconnected feeling is a great byproduct of our era ,
brings us closer together as well as expanding our vision
Hurricane Georges left me without a home in Puerto Rico lol.
@@joamfeliciano3653 wow, it was pretty bad
eyyyyyy que lo que!!! 🇩🇴🇩🇴🇩🇴
As a chilean, the weather & climate patterns of my country have been forever linked to ENSO. I grew up hearing news forecasting ENSO-related events, and I'm old enough to remember that 97-98 event. It wasn't as catastrophic as our brothers in Perú and Ecuador had it, but DAMN it rained a lot.
absolutamente todas las nacionalidades de esta sección de comentarios llaman a este fenómeno por su nombre: "El Niño". Pero tenía que haber al menos un tonto que se ha tragado la propaganda cultural anglosajona y lo llama "ENSO". De Chile, cómo no 🤣
@@marcosvidal4940 Y a ti quién te pateó la jaula? Quizás si hubieses puesto un poco de atención al video, sabrías que El Niño es sólo la fase cálida del ENSO.
97-98 was pretty wild in La Serena
I'm in California in 1995 and 97 we had massive flooding . The water Temps off of San Francisco were 74 degrees! Normally it's 54 degrees. We were catching tropical Hawaiian fish off of a normally cool climate in northern California coast
@@marcosvidal4940 De hecho la sigla en Español es ENOS (El niño oscilación - sur), que es lo mismo que ENSO (El niño southern oscilation). No hay necesidad de ser tan desagradable.
In Canada here it is extremely cold and it normally is not like this, it’s fluctuating between -30 and -40 c here. -January 2024
“I am EL NIÑO!! All tropical storms must bow before EL NIÑO. El Niño is Spanish for….The Niño.” - Chris Farley (RIP)
I'm in southern California & the weather has been more insane this past year than I can remember in the last 15. Summer was normal, but in Autumn we didn't have the regular fires & it was a bit cooler with some rain.☔ But that was a welcome surprise.
Winter was absolutely bonkers tho! We actually had a winter! There were some weeks where it was raining non-stop for days.🌧️ The mountains had record breaking snowfall & even now, in May, there's still snow on them!🏔️ It was incredibly cold. So cold that it snowed in LA!❄️ I work near Disneyland & we got about 30 second of snow! But that was in between the days of hail storms! There was even a tornado!! 🌪️
As I was heading home today another storm was starting to roll in. The mountaintops have been in the clouds for the past 3 days, so they might be getting more snow! I'm not looking forward to find out how muggy this summer is probably gonna be, but at least we still have the beach!⛱️
Yeah emoji game 💯
Saw extreme overuse of emojis so I stopped reading
This was indeed a wet year, i remember the 98-99 winter was the wettest since i moved here in 93
and it's not el nino
Winter.... Raining.... We had 50 cm of snow in less than 8 hours in iceland. I legit couldn't get my car out of my parking spot. The snow plowing of the street just made it worse and added the plowed snow to the exit of the driveway.
Here in Texas we've experienced severe droughts and water rationing effecting major population areas. The Dallas, Austin, and San Antonia regions are booming in population right now and are forecasted to put huge strains on the aquifers, recharge zones, and water resources... Unless you own a Golf Course, the city gives Golf courses and other elite corporations a pass on water restrictions.
Yup, I’m sure the surf park they’re planning to build just outside Austin will help too 🙃
The golf courses are using piss water that is constantly failing approved clean water discharge perimeters. Golf courses are always looking for dumbasses to go bobbing for golf balls in the contaminated pools. Google satellite will show strong river flows on the downhill side of ALL major cities with small or nonexistent flows on the uphill side of cities. Don't be whining about piss water, you don't want anything to do with it
Of course they get a pass...capitalism is always the priority at the suffering of all else.
Yea. I'm in Boerne TX & we literally haven't had rain in 6 MONTHS! I'm NOT joking. Rain missed us all the time. This recent rain we're having now is a huge relief.
Guys, there are El Niño and La Niña. It’s the names of a globe phenomena. The ocean temps are hot in El Niño and cooler in La Niña. So from this, it affects the global weather.
El Nino was dominating in the early 2000s in Liverpool. good to see he is still performing
As a meteorologist and someone who lives in the southern US, I am welcoming El Nino with open arms. Its pattern shaping influence will provide great relief for a multi-year drought we have been facing.
I'm in Oklahoma and am embracing it too. The panhandle is basically a desert now and my part of Green Country is drying up fast.
I’m in SWOK so hopefully we can finally get some relief around here we have been in drought since 2021
The 2015 El Niño was a huge letdown. I was a HUGE meteorology nerd, and i was really considering it as a career despite being only 15 years old. I kept hyping my friends and family up about the enormous rains we will be getting. They either ignored me or made fun of me for wasting my time, but I didn't care. It was my passion. I rented out library books, watched educational TH-cam videos like this one, and even participated in meteorology seminars. We got a few sprinkles and a heavy drizzle here and there. I was so fckin disappointed. It affected me so much that I completely renounced not only meteorology but also any educational topics. I stopped going to the library. My hunger for knowledge was converted into addiction for mobile games and Nintendo, which are prevalent to this day. I was so pissed. As I am typing this out, I realized that lack of rain in 2015 gave way to my life-endangering procrastination. I graduated high school with decent grades, but I failed college. I just don't have a passion to learn anymore. My recommended has been blasting me with the upcoming El Niño, and I'm going to mark this type of content as "Not Interested" simply because it reminds me of crushed dreams. Once i start having an interest for something good and productive, my procrastination and my depression end it because i dont want to pursue that interest and end up disappointing myself. I've been mediocre then, I'm going to be mediocre now 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
edicius timmoc ot tnaw I
@@cascadia2605 seek help
@@cascadia2605 I think you need to see a therapist
Astrum is one of the most interesting channels. The subjects you cover are really very relevant and you do it in such a way that it glues me to the videos right up until the end. (I try to watch some of the weather channels and get cross eyed after a couple minutes.) This video just explained 3 things I never knew and made such total sense!
From Trinidad and has been observing more and more tropical waves approaching more frequent and more south
Incredible video, well done!
I am born and raised in the Philippines and I would like to share our experience...
EL NIÑO: GIVES US DROUGHT IN SOME AREAS IN OUR COUNTRY AND VERY VERY HOT SUMMER MONTHS...
LA NIÑA: GIVES/CREATES MANY TYPHOONS AND RAINY DAYS (mostly mid-year;JUNE TO OCTOBER)
Disclaimer: I am not a Weather Expert, just a local who lives in the city and have vacations in provinces...
I'm from the Philippines too and I hate La Niña more than El Niño.
Experiencing a rain for a week or a month with strong Typhoons all along is a nightmare for floods. 😭
It's hard to dry clothes and if you have plants, they'll die for lack of sunlight.
@@connordrake5713 true✔...and worst is that I live near a creek😅
Yall live in the urban areas but for us who live in rural parts, wed rather have la niña than el niño. We have lesser crops, no water, high temperatures leading to heat strokes, etc during el niño. Go consume imported goods then, if yall want el niño so bad
@@-...................- Dude,who u fighting to? I understand your point...we need water for better crop production and we never said we like el niño! Actually both is bad...too much heat and too much rain! I'm living in the City and had years lived in the Province that's what I can share👍👍
@@connordrake5713 I'm from central luzon, even with La Niña it barely rains here ( or atleast there wasn't any too excessive amount of rain for the last three years) I wonder what El Niño's effect will be
The snow's gone here north of the alps. We used to prepare for it, you could expect a good three feet of snow to last between two to four months, temperatures never getting as high as 0°C for weeks on end, it's gone now, we get snows but they melt within a week.
In the Rocky Mountains we had an abnormally late spring, didn't see insects or flowers til the last week of April.
Alex's VOs are simply outstanding, and the climate graphics time lapses are mesmerizing. It costs money to produce such high quality content.
Let me add that El Nino for Southern California (where I live) is good news. California needs the rainfall. And yet marine life in the Pacific suffers. All of which leads me to believe that climate change is a kind of zero sum game. As conditions deteriorate in one part of the world, they improve in another part. It's almost like a game of poker, where from hand to hand, one player wins and the other loses.
I live in Edmonton Alberta and this el nino winter has been amazing. Usually like -30 around this time of year but it's only 0 out today Jan 24th
La nina in Australia resulted in some of wettest years on record especially in NSW and Queensland. It also resulted in significant grass growth too. Setting the stage for horrific bushfires when el nino does arrive.
You can thank the Australian govt. for that! The Chinese have bought up so much land for cotton fields & therefore, that requires a great deal of water & that water has been diverted away from the areas that would normally have enough to be able to quell the bush fires a lot quicker in the past, but not anymore! They're only going to get a lot worse!!
Hire the goats to do some trimming bro
@josiemainecoon you have drunk to much kool aid my dear
Unfortunately in Australia, the Greens have prevented Shire Councils from doing burn backs (clearing the forest floor of rotting timber and growth which is the fuel of a bushfire). If they were allowed to do controlled burns in winter, much of these issues would be reduced.
@@Melbournelost66
In 23-24 summer period we are sure to see big firefighting season like 2019-20 wildfires due to the concentration of undergrowth developed during our long wet . Glad Morrison is no longer in office
I heard about El Nino as a kid in the 90s but never read too much into it since I thought it only affected those along the Pacific coast of the Americas. This video certainly taught me a lot.
Chris Farley was instrumental in teaching the world about el nino.
I remember one in the 90s because it stayed in the 60s and 70s during the winter in the Midwest. I havent seen it do that since.
Lat Am west coast (Chile, Colombia and Peru) is the canary in the coalmine for El Nino and its effects on the whole planet.
only areas on the equator are affected, look at the heating lines!
The Humboldt stream affects the west coast of the americas, a totally different effect
JUST LOOK AT IT
Turns out it wasn't a Specific Coast as so many americans seem to believe.
In Italy the last 4 years have been very hot, with temperatures out of the ordinary. At the moment it seems to be in midsummer. El Nino of course affect the Earth's climate. Thanks for the video!
Northern Sydney Australian here. This year, we get El Nino drought and duststorms. Last 3 years, La Nina drowned significant parts of the country. The year before that, the bushfires (wildfires) were so widespread and frequent it like half the country was on fire at once.
I live several metres above flood levels to date. Don't know how long it will before the floodwaters comes up to my eaves.
11:40 "There's a 60% chance El Niño will set in by autumn"
It's June and it's here already 😬
I applaud you for making this type of video. It's relevant, topical, and important. I love all of your astronomical videos, of course, but this just shows you are a student of multiple disciplines. I just graduated with an Environmental Science degree from Iowa State University, so I've been studying a lot of stuff connected to this video
and the hope for space exploration at the end
Environmentalism will crush your hopes for world conservation.
With all these types of videos, I still try and see it from an astronomy perspective - studying Earth as if we were studying the weather of Venus from space, kind of thing. I try and have a more zoomed-out perspective when showcasing these things.
@@astrumspace and it shows, wonderfully produced and thought provoking as always! Love everything you’ve been doing lately
I remember el niño in Philippines in 2010. It was a severe. No rain at all in above 3 months. The grass and farms turns to brown. Then came rainy season and it gave birth to a super typhoon juan(megi) in 2010
Fantastic description of this phenomena...you are one of my fav narrators...you speak as though you are smiling😁
As a sailor travelling around the world, learning more about meteorology as part of my training and through experience, as well as always having been fascinated by meteorology and geography, things such as El Niño are very interesting. I have noticed how seemingly more extreme the weather is globally, not just back in my native UK.
When I was in Brazil, on my last ship last summer, the daily weather was just as extreme in how quickly it changed as back here in the UK. Bright, sunny, equatorial conditions then a few hours later monsoon like rain that caused loads of landslides and flooding with deaths and widespread damage. We later sailed through a monsoonal tropical cyclone (not a TRS/Typhoon/Hurricane but a pretty low pressure) in the Arabian Sea and the rain was comparable to what we experienced in Brazil.
Brazilian here and I live on São Paulo, where metereologist throws their hand to the air because the weather is quite unpredictable. Sure they do get some days right... but there always that day when no rain was forecasted and then rains like there is no tomorrow... or a day that was forecasted as colder was so hot that you can fry a egg in a rock. You can feel this discrepancy more keenly in the Capital City, which is a gigantic heat isle, full of shiny, glasss panelled buildings trapping heat.
In my city here in the north of brazil, every summer we have a kind of tropical storm which makes wind here around 80-110km/h, the rain is extreme and even with our brick houses that are very resistent some even lose their roofs or collapse due to falling trees.
The graphics in this video are so good. This should be used by teachers and parents to teach kids about El Nido/La Nina
You guys are amazing. Thank you
Beautiful weather all around the world we blessed.
I’m in Massachusetts, this sounds identical to what we experienced last year. We literally had almost no rain, extreme high temperatures of 96°-97° up to 102° _DAILY_ with nearly no cloud cover from May into the first part of October. And then just like that, it snapped and cooled and stayed cool - but mild. This past winter was also probably the most mild winter I’ve ever seen. I think we got about 8-9” where I live in SE Mass. But I’m 37 and that was without question the hottest, driest, most extreme spring, summer and fail I’ve ever felt
Thank you for all the hard work you put into these videos!
BRO EL NINO IS COMINGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG
This was really interesting and informative. Appreciate very much
I live in the Philippines, and have pretty much experienced these weather phenomena but never really understood why they happen. I particularly remember that year when summer was extremely longer and hotter than it used to be, there’s not even a drop of rain coming even though it’s June already (if you live in Southeast asia, summer/dry season starts in March and ends in May). I vaguely remember my parents telling me that it’s because of El Niño.
Another exceptionally clear explanation of a fascinating topic. Marvelous meteorological graphics (and some smooth segues too). Astrum is such a classy production.
Here in the Philippines, a weather forecast was sunny but suddenly rain occurs unexpectedly. Half the country has experienced temperatures as high as 49° while some areas had low pressure areas that caused numerous flooding.
Here in Romania, it's raining one day and very cold, then just cold, then very sunny.
I live in Colombia and here you can truly see the effects of El Niño and La Niña phenomenon. Right now, El Niño is starting, and you can see it on the hot weather!
This was very interesting, thanks for sharing.
I reside in Australia and we just came out of a 2 year long La Niña… It was very wet and humid with a lot of flooding that occurred right along the East coast. We are thankful to have dry days back but we have been warned to brace ourselves for an El Niño later this year. Hopefully, our bushfire season won’t be too extreme 🤞🏽
I think the amount of bushland which has grown as a result of all the rain is a recipe for disaster if we have a ripping hot El Niño.. I hope fire services have done enough burnoffs
I hope so too. It was so hard to see what happened in 2020 right before covid. Here in Canada I was part of a group making and sending donations for burned wildlife that sanctuaries had asked for. Idk if I can see that happen again to the people and the wildlife, it broke my heart
@@peterhathaway807
This Video clearly states that due to the current cycle there have been fewer Hurricanes in your region, thus the Average Rain Fall,
HOWEVER;
In the SouthEast (Victoria/NSW) there has been an incredible amount of Unseasonal Rain in part caused by that UnderWater Volcanic Eruption in the Middle of the Pacific 18 Months ago. All that Water Vapour from the Eruption ended up over Antarctica causing the Catastrophic the ColdFronts that crosses the Great Australian Bight to move move further South than Normal resulting in the Unseasonal Rains expected by the SOUTHERN States.
@@DMSVICAU thank you 🙏🏽
Exactly! I live in NSW. Can confirm the rainfall was not “usual” in any sense of the word. Tell that to the damage my house and many others endured @peter 👊🏽🥊
I live in Australia too and I fear that rain have grown a lot of new fuel to burn. What we saw in 2020 might be puny compared to what we will see at the end of this year 😱
I live in rural NSW, Australia. 2020 a large bush fire came about 2km away from our house and we were evacuated for a week. People are still paranoid about bush fires since like literally even today, people up the road are doing burning/hazard reductions in their paddocks and I can smell the smoke from them as I'm typing this comment.
I live in Arizona, and I’ve been familiar with the ENSO cycle for my whole life, as it fuels our yearly monsoon season. As far as I’ve ever known, an El Niño is a godsend, because it gives the Sonoran desert a wetter, more intense rainy season. I never know about the global impacts, and it’s kind of heart-sinking to hear about the converse effect in the Asian Pacific. Our climate is fascinating
Great video. Thank you! 😊
I remember the El Niño in 97-98. There was SOOO MUCH FLOODING in Southern California.
My friends mom ended up stuck on top of her minivan dressed as Mother Goose.
Some places the street flooding was waist high.
Interesting to see how there are some quick major climatic events that affect us, and that we can only sit, prepare, watch and survive as they pass us by!!
Or we can stop using fossil fuels, polluting the air, and exacerbating the impact of the climate. The philosophy of "we can't do anything" / "only god controls the weather" is going to be remembered VERY poorly by future generations.
crazy for me to sit here and listen about how much we know about our planet and how such little we still know about others (of course) i’d love to see more space exploration in my life time.
I appreciate your detailed explanation!
Right now California is having mass flooding and has even brought back a “ghost” lake in Tulare. There’s a river by my house that hasn’t been filled since 1998 and there’s water running through it. I’m just super concerned about the coral reefs aren’t they the bees of the sea?! Stay safe and be prepared.
Thanks Alex. That was the clearest description of ENSO I've ever seen! One little point, while Australia does have extensive grasslands, it is the temperate rainforests which cause the most damaging bush fires.
Australia has very little temperate rainforest left. There's some in Western Tasmania and there's sub-tropical rainforests on the East Coast in Northern NSW and Queensland plus one or two other very small pockets. The rest is a mix of woodlands and forest that's mostly eucalypts, which burn very intensely and quickly.
u mean forests not rain forests
Very happy for Cali to get the rain 🙏🏼 the whole southwest 🙏🏼 good for you, I am so happy for you!
Meanwhile down in Louisiana, we have reversed roles, there is a drought and wild fires out here currently, it is so scary.
Grass started dying since early this month.
However, hurricane season has hit the gulf 🫣
The warm weather in Toronto this winter, led me to this video
Imagine how powerful and destructive a tropical cyclone would be if it formed in that area. Remember; the fastest tropical cyclone on record, Hurricane Patricia, formed not too far from that El Niño location. That tropical cyclone reached a speed of around 215mph (346kph).
In New Zealand, we hardly had a summer this year. It was mostly raining, and we have had on going floods all year.
Although I haven’t surfed for a few years, weather watching sticks with you. And we used to love the el nino..
This is the weirdest year I have known in my 40 odd years on earth.
The seasons have also shifted slightly and are over lapping with each other.
Past two years here in Hawkes Bay the grass has been green at the end of summer when normally it would be yellow. Then there was the cyclone of course.