He’s an high pitch feminist boy… he left Minot ND for Las Vegas for a more fruitful gay environment.. He’s a far leftist Biden supporting liberal that for Zionist bankers to win Ukraine.. flood it with third world immigration and set up shop there.
I imagine half the money goes through the corruption filter and the sheer volume of equipment losses is wiping out their resources faster than they can rebuild. The tipping point doesn’t seem far off with APVs turning into motorbikes and golf carts.
When there's blood on the streets, buy real estate. Anyone with money in russia can see what is happening and the corruption will get worse as the middle men and military attempt to steal enough stuff to make a cushion of money to make it through the collapse
Thanks Jake - Jake is showing up on other channels. I think Russia is paying attention. I notice quite a number of negative comments directed at his commentary. These comments have the distinct appearance as being generated from within the Russian sphere. Please keep it up Jake. The world needs the truth.
The truth! I do not even know what to do - the lol or the cry - a search for a Holly Grail! The truth! Some people do not even know the meaning of this word anymore!
@@malcolmwallis4 If it comes from right wing America, it won't be the truth. Talk to people with some military experience, the lights will come on and you will see clearly.
Jake stated that Putin didn't tell his Bankers he was invading Ukraine? Putin didn't even tell his military! I have heard that Russian troops were only told they were invading Ukraine when they were in the helicopters on the way in.
Yes, that sounds accurate. There was no full scale invasion. There was only an ad hoc, not really planned out invasion. Russia/Putin had no real plans to invade Ukraine.
Jake Broe is the best commentator on this war, his background and logical, rational thinking is exceptional, an added benefit is that he has a big heart. Slava Ukraini!
The analysis Jake Bloe still won't admit for over two and half years is this war could easily have ended with Ukraine victorious years ago. Biden did Russia a favor denying Ukraine critical military equipment for years, ie long range ATACMS, HIMARs, F-16's, adequate Patriot missile systems, etc. and tens of thousands of Ukrainian Soldiers lost their lives. Biden fails to enforce the sanctions on Russia and failed to ramp up American factories to a wartime level in 2021. Even as members of the Biden's democratic party call for Joe Biden clearly suffering from advanced stages of dementia to step down, Jake says he would vote for Joe for president! Make that make sense how four more years of Biden helps Ukraine win this war.
Jake is 100% correct, BACKGROUND : После 2-й Мировой войны 10-мильонная Белaрусь 🏳❤🏳 не досчиталась около 3-х мильонов своих жителей, однако околь 2-х миллионов были убиты еще до войны органами коммунистического НКВД. В Беларуси физически уничтожили 70 процентов всех белaруских писателей, убили ученых и художников. (Труппа Третьего Белорусского Государственного театра Владислава Голубка была арестована в полном составе. Почти все были расстреляны.) Убивали по национальному признаку. Ради этого был придуман ярлык "нацдем" (это значит -- национальный демократ, хотя такой партии не существовало). Этот ярлык приклеивали ко всем белорусам, которых сталинисты планировали уничтожить. В недрах НКВД была придумана несуществующая антикоммунистическая организация СВБ ("союз освобождения Белaруси"). Под придуманный фантом энкавэдисты проводили аресты, вели воображаемое следствие, допрашивали, пытали, судили, потом ссылали в paсeю и расстреливали невинных людей. После Рижского сговора в 1921 году Беларусь разделили между Польшей и paсeей. Границу раздела провели недалеко от Менска. Существовал тайный приказ НКВД уничтожать всё белорусское население вдоль границы. Российские аккупанты хотели сделать здесь безлюдную зону. Уничтожение осуществляли пограничные войска. Довереным лицам выдавали винтовку и лопату. Когда такой солдат-пограничник встречал в безлюдном месте (на дороге, в поле, в лесу) одинокого белоруса или белоруску, или ребенка, он стрелял человека, тут же лопатой выкапывал яму и засыпал труп. Такова была инструкция. Люди в деревнях не так боялись "человека с ружьём", как солдата с лопатой. (Эти факты опубликованы в белaруской печати в начале 90-х годов.) В 30-х годах на 95-99 процентов (практически полностью) была уничтожена (сослана и расстреляна) белaруская коммунистическо-партийная и советская администрация. Уничтожали даже директорат и хозяйственных руководителей. На должности убитых администраторов и коммунистических начальников-белорусов присылали “русских” из paсeии. “Русские” 🇷🇺 (так называемые "выдвиженцы") приезжали в Беларусь, занимали освобожденные должности, получали льготы, имущество, квартиры и первое, что они делали -- закрывали белорусские школы, переводили их на “русский” язык, чтобы их дети могли учиться, не обременяя себя изучением, как они говорили, "никому ненужного" белaруского языка. Таким образом оккупанты создавали в Беларуси "русскоязычное” население". Этноцид, лингвацид, мнемацид и геноцид проводзились большевиками одновременно. Уничтожение белaрусов рaсeйским НКВД продолжалось и во времена немецкой аккупации. В июне 1941 года в первые дни войны коммунисты расстреляли в тюрьмах и на этапах тысячи заключенных. Только в Брестской крепости, где была страшная тюрьма НКВД, всех арестованных ликвидировать не успели, часть из них разбежалась. Тем временем большая группа надзирателей и функционеров НКВД была заблокирована в крепости немцами. Они сидели там около месяца, пока не вымерли. Лет через 20 после войны коммунисты придумали легенду о "героической обороне" Брестской крепости. Обращает на себя внимание тот факт, что широкое советское партизанское движение было организовано только в Беларуси и частично -- на этнических белaруских землях, которые были в составе paсeии (Смоленщина, Брянщина). В оккупированой России партизанского движения не было. Почему? Да потому, что продолжал действовать план уничтожения белорусской нации. Москва, используя органы НКВД, втянула массы гражданского белорусского населения в войну против немцев, и этим подставила белорусов под немецкий удар. Необходимое дело борьбы исходило из коварного замысла и осуществлялось подлыми методами. (Сталин хотел получить двойную выгоду.) Энкавэдисты специально около белорусской деревени убивали немца или делали другую провокацию, чтобы вызвать карательную операцию гитлеровцев (которые обычно сжигали всю деревню, чаще всего -- вместе с людьми). Таким образом, кстати, в результате специальной провокации советских партизан была сожжена и известная Хатынь, которую коммунисты потом в 70-х годах разрекламировали на весь мир как типичную жертву фашистского зверства. В результате такой коммуно-фашистской совместной "работы" в Беларуси сожгли более 9 тысяч деревень. Поэтому к концу войны, в результате специальной операции НКВД, многие белaaруские командиры были посланы на смерть, отстранены от командования, убиты и репрессированы. Их места занимали русские, присланные из Мосвы, и верные энкавэдисты. Летом 1944 года, когда "красная армия" заняла Беларусь, “русские” провели мобилизацию в армию на белaруской территории. Десятки тысяч молодых белaруских мужчин, почти без подготовки, бросили на передовую линию фронта. “pусские” командиры поднимали их в ненужные атаки под огонь немецких пулеметов, не дав даже оружия в руки, или с винтовками, но без патронов. Они гибли тысячами, как трава под косой. А те, что бежали назад, попадали под пули энкавэдистских "заградотрядов". Впрочем, заградотряды стреляли и в спину. Так продолжалось уничтожение белaрусов на войне, руками немцев и “русских” одновременно. Как говорили коммунисты, "в борьбе за советскую родину". В 40-х годах русские вывезли в Сибирь и там замучили всех лесников и так называемых "кулаков" из Западной Беларуси. Вывозили вагонами, по разнорядках.
And just over the border, they can see people fighting to be free of that. And maybe think - if we rebel, Russia can do little, or Ukraine will strike while Russia is distracted
@@user-pb7ig4sv2l we do our best, but we are ALONG. today EU introduced the new sanctions against Belarusian IT/Architecture people, who fight Moscow imperialism and support Ukraine 7/24
you better hope God is with them, since all of you are nonchalant about vast numbers dying there. Plus dragging people off the street for a losing war, NOT freedom
@@sandiharris5906 'There is a special place in hell for those who, in times of great moral crisis, maintain their neutrality'. You seem to be one of those. God is definitely not with “people” like you who blame victims.
During the Vietnam war, the North launched a very costly offensive, the Tet offensive. Militarily it was a disaster for the North, for the huge losses. But the North gained some ground, and Kronkite said that the South could not win any more this war and it was time to withdraw. That convinced the US public opinion that the war could not be won, without any merit in the reasoning. That is what Russia is trying to do now. If they take Chasiv Yar, or if they go on taking ground, albeit very slowly and very costly, journalists in the US, who as all journalists tend to look at thing with a very superficial understanding, will say all over that the war cannot be won. In reality, if Ukraine resists two more years, Russia is bound to lose this war. Ukraine doesn't need to regain lost territory. Ukraine must just wait for Russia to crumble. Germany lost WWI while having its army in French and Belgian territory. Defeat came from the rear lines, from the inside. Same will happen to Russia. Rage for the deaths, rage for inflation, rage for the lack of fuel, impossibility to carry on the war without tanks and artillery will cause the fall of Russia while Russia is still occupying Ukrainian territory. The only menace to Ukraine, at the moment, is Trump and US journalists of Kronkite ignorance.
I was in country for Tet and it wasn't a complete defeat for the Viet Cong. The shock of it rattled the American Public. Kronkite followed WWII, the Korean War and the Viet Nam war. He was not an ignorant journalist. He was well informed. Ukraine's struggle is bigger than trump and while Ukraine is on life support, ruzzia will fall into the abyss for which it won't recover for 50 years. This conflict won't end in negotiations and no peace accord will happen. (The USA is still in a state of war with N. Korea w/o any peace treaty in place.)
@@murrayhill9000 If Wikipedia is correct, casualties were 46.000 against 104.000 for the North, with a more than 2:1 ratio at the end of the battle, when South Vietnam recovered all initially lost position. From a strictly military point of view, this was a failure for North Vietnam. It was a political success, though, because of the journalistic coverage.
Donald Trump is a much bigger threat to future Ukraine aid than public opinion in the US. But even if the US stops supporting Ukraine, it doesn't automatically mean that Ukraine would give up. They already managed about 6 months last winter without US aid... And Europe is ramping up weapons production as we speak.
The Vietnamese would still be killing Americans if we had not given up and gone home. They have kept the Chinese out for thousands of years. They don't give up.
Your comment involves a total misunderstanding of this conflict. Firstly. Ukraine cannot last two more years. Second, this has NEVER for Russia been about taking territory. Third, there is zero 'rage for the deaths, 'rage for inflation', or 'rage for the lack of fuel', simply because the death rate is comparatively low - certainly compared with Ukrainian casualties (the ones no one in the west or in Ukraine ever talks about) - the inflation rate is perfectly manageable, and there is NO lack of fuel. You need to go back to the drawing board and start your education again, from the beginning.
I feel, that Russia is going to lose. 2 million Russians flew out of the country. And these were not only the most simpel ones. The military has lost too many military material. And Ukraine receives every day new weapons. I feel, the Moscow elites want to get rid Putin. And for Ukraine it will be good to conquer a security zone of Russia of about 200 km.
Time has come for someone in the Kremlin, willing to make a terrible mistake with the tea, with universal gratitude and eternal fame as a reward. As far as I'm concerned, Putin can have his "sanitary zone" as he called it, just as long this zone is situated for 100% on the Russian side of the border.
@@merkvandermeulen3978 right! Some typical Shakespeare scene!!! I'm sure they will stop Putin without western action! The bigger problem will be: how to transform Russia in a modern state? In Germany it functioned well. But I see Russia and China as the last colonial states. This has to be destroyed.
1 million went to Georgia, 1 million went to the west, when the west decided to try start another coup recently where did you think the Russians went?/.returned to Russia, Europe was full of russiaphobia, where do you think 750k of those went??.returned to Russia.. out of those who returned to Russia 1/3 of them volunteered.not conscripted to join the RU forces.
I think That Russia has to break down!!! If not, qe will not live in peace! Russia is still a colonial empire! Like China. Russians live originally only in a part of it. Probably in the size of Ukraine!!! The rest are other ethnic groups! Probably like the sowjet Union broke down it will happen with Russia as well.
I don't know who this guy is, but I am from Russia and he is spot on. Putin's regime is very fragile, If you remember during short lived Vagner mutiny no one from dozens of different police agencies and special forces who every day terrorize us even tried to stop Prigozhin
The Russians might have a high tolerance for misery but there will come a time that that misery will seriously undercut russian efficiency to do things (not that they are particulair efficient). The moment the essentiale services start to crumble it is extremly hard to produce stuff for a war in sufficient numbers. Also they are running out of stockpiles and making stuff from scratch is way more intensive. So it wouldn't suprise me if Russia finds it very difficult to really support the war in 2 years time. Or at least support it to a level that they can fight effective.
Sending soldiers to the front in Chinese golf carts or motorcycles is a clear indication that the ruzzians lack the capacity to continue the war. Total casualties range over 1.5 million. Hyperinflation, lack of essential services and medical care, ultimately spell chaos and widespread social unrest for the population. Two sheets of Charmin T.P. are worth 0.006¢ USD vs 1 Rouble at 0.007¢ USD.
Russia is reported to be putting out something like 4 tanks a day. But this isn't 4 new tanks. In a lot of cases, it's 1 new tank and 3 refurbished T-64 tanks or older. As time goes on, they'll go back to T-60's and older. The result will be that a higher percentage of tanks going into battle will be of lower and lower capability with lower and lower protection and capability. So we can expect as time goes by for Russia to be seemingly going back in time with their military on the front line, increasing their losses and pushing their front line back towards their own country border. There has been this big focus on F-16's coming to Ukraine. They started production in the early 70's yet they're more capable than any Russian aircraft as the systems on board have been consistently upgraded over time. So they're capable of shooting missiles from a distance where Russian targets can't even detect them. Up in the air, let loose with missiles, turn around to go home and a few minutes later, the target is destroyed. Meanwhile, Russia is getting their battle hardened donkeys to ride into battle as they run out of Chinese motorcycles.
The analysis Jake Bloe still won't admit for over two and half years is this war could easily have ended with Ukraine victorious years ago. If Biden was not doing Russia a favor denying Ukraine critical military equipment for years, ie long range ATACMS, HIMARs, F-16's, adequate Patriot missile systems, etc., Russia could not build the extensive defenses that cost so many Ukrainian Soldiers their lives. Even as members of Biden's democratic party and many in the major media call for Joe Biden clearly suffering from advanced stages of dementia to step down, Jake says he would vote for Joe Biden for president! Make that make sense how four more years of Biden helps Ukraine win this war not matter the deteriorating conditions in Russia.
Moscow horde´s war record :- 1856 defeated by Britain and France 1905 defeated by Japan 1917 defeated by Germany 1920 defeated by Poland, Finland, Estonia and all Baltic states 1939 defeated by Finland 1969 defeated by China 1989 defeated by Afghanistan 1989 defeated in the Cold War. 1996 defeated by Chechnya 2022 defeated by Ukraine WW2 won USA/Britain , meanwhile Stalin's officers were shot or sent to the Gulags. Millions went to the Gulags, including Solzhenitsyn Moscow's only victories come from invading smaller countries :- a) Hungary 1956 b) Czechoslovakia 1968 c) Moldova 1992 d) Georgia 2008
@@villanovakid84they dragged every single minority and soviet people (all 15 countries). The tv shows you white men but in reality, massive minorities were sent forward as well..
yes, 'Breaking up Moscow empire is the only way to end its imperialism', And I don’t mean Putin´s imperialism, but Moscow imperialism in general , from Solzhenitsyn and Brodsky to Yeltsin and Dugin.
Even Alexy Navalny did not disown the war in Ukraine, or Russian imperialism in general. The political will does not yet seem to exist inside Russia to go that way.
Yes, they have a high tolerance for pain, but once the government can no longer send out pension checks to the elderly, Russia will collapse within a month. That is the red-line that cannot be crossed. That is the dealbreaker, because Putin's offer to the public has alwlays been - "Don't be concerned about politics and your pension checks will continue to arrive every month." Once the Russian government cannot hold up their end of that bargain, the people are going to be very concerned about politics. The government will fall from below, not from above.
The analysis Jake Bloe still won't admit for over two and half years is this war could easily have ended with Ukraine victorious years ago. If Biden was not doing Russia a favor denying Ukraine critical military equipment for years, ie long range ATACMS, HIMARs, F-16's, adequate Patriot missile systems, etc., Russia could not build the extensive defenses that cost so many Ukrainian Soldiers their lives. Biden still limits Ukraine's use of long range ATACMS to only 16% of their range. Even as members of the Biden's democratic party and many in the major media call for Joe Biden clearly suffering from advanced stages of dementia to step down, Jake says he would vote for Joe Biden for president! Make that make sense how four more years of Biden helps Ukraine win this war.
Russia will break up into small, poor countries because of debt and economic crisis. This happened because they had to pay compensation to Ukraine. Apart from that, China will take part of Russia's territory. because of China's debt trap.. My prayers for the good of Ukraine from Javanese shamans
I doubt that China will take on Russian territory. China has significant internal problems of its own, right now. It's in an undeclared economic crisis - a real and bad one, it has social problems and it has a huge, indeed catastrophic, and unsolvable demographic problem - its population is aging and shrinking faster than the population of any other country in the world, and its economy is not in a good position to keep working with old workers - low degree of automation, proportionally far fewer white collar jobs than in developed countries. Russia's Eastern/Siberian territories are notoriously difficult to both administer and govern. The population is extremely sparse, while the land is huge. Not even spreading both China's and India's population over the land would bring the population density to a reasonable value. With such few people, it would be difficult to maintain infrastructure and reasonably efficient institutions even if the region was a normal one - but it isn't. Climate and nature are extremely harsh. The land is north of the Himalayas and thousands of miles from any body of water. This means extreme weather to the extreme - several months each year when temperature doesn't go above zero even at noon, in many places, scorching heat in the summer in others, excessive rainfall in some areas, excessive dryness elsewhere. Maintaining roads or railways in Siberia is a nightmare. Agriculture is inefficient at best, impossible in many areas. The only thing you can do, in Siberia, is drill for oil or gas, dig for minerals or cut down lumber. The rich oil fields, however, are quite far away from China, closer to the Urals, and with regard to minerals, China has all that it needs. Therefore, all that China would achieve, by taking on some Russian territories, is spending valuable resources for something it doesn't need, while at the same time angering the international community, exposing itself to sanctions, to which China's economy is much more sensitive than Russia's. Which is why China taking any part of Russia, except maybe tiny areas over which it had border disputes with Russia in the past, is IMO unlikely.
Russian people are not suffering at all at least compared to the Ukrainians. That is where I take issue with Jake’s arguments. It is sickening that it would be considered a war crime for Ukraine to target the civilian energy infrastructure while Russia is allowed to do so without penalty. With unbalanced rules like that, the Russian people are not ever going to be inspired to do anything.
On the contrary. Pensioners were seen fighting over discarded food at a disposal bin in St. Petersburg last month. The country is bankrupt. Small communities are wallowing in their untreated sewage. Medicines are not available. Many older ruzzians will die this winter. The country is committing economic suicide and spiraling into the abyss. The army will turn on their leaders and social chaos is close at hand. The four horsemen of the apocalypse have arrived.
Price of potato water also has to increase as well. No more liquid copium for Russians, guess that is gonna be a wakeup call for them when all the alcoholics no longer get their fix.
A question. Russia has conficated, stolen most of the western investments in Russia. Why is that that those western companies do not use international justice to sue for the damages and losses they had. If convicted, the reserves in western banks could be used to pay for the damages.
They literally stole every single passenger jet that happened to be in the country on feb 24,2024. They stole every 747 and all jets. Can you imagine that. Ask Maduro in Venezuela or Castro in Cuba if confiscating foreign assets helps your economy. Ask them. Insane behavior by a 71 yr old alcoholic dictator.
That is a good question and although I am not an economist I think I can give some insight as to what is happening here. Western companies that decided they were not going to pull out of doing business as usual with Russia and had their assets seized are not really worried about it. The reason why is because after the war has ended they will get those assets back. In the meantime, those frozen assets are gaining interest in western banks and it adds up to a lot of money which is now being used to help Ukraine. It really doesn't matter what Russia has seized in Western interests because the Ruble has fallen so low it is practically worthless as a currency right now. Hence, the downfall of the Russian economy, just like Jake has stated. They simply cannot keep up with the western economies now that they are taking heavy losses on the battlefield in not only troops but equipment. It is taking a very heavy toll on them and they know it but are not willing to admit it just yet.
its not only attacking resulting in casualties but drone warfare is evolving and once develops a way to use drones for return trips attack after attack will wear down any frontline unit with lower casualties.
2:23 "Based on historical precedence Russia is the most likely country in the world to collapse because they've done it twice in the last 100 years." It’s pretty well-established in the astrological lore that the Saturn/Neptune cycle is relevant to the history of communism, and to major turning points in Russian history. There were subsequent Saturn/Neptune conjunctions in 1917, the year of the Russian Revolution; in 1952 and 1953, the year Stalin died; in 1989, the year the Berlin Wall fell. We know it didn’t take long for the Soviet Union to fall apart from there, in 1991. We can tell, based on this, that the upcoming Saturn/Neptune conjunction will coincide with another turning point in Russian history, and on a similar, if not greater, level of magnitude. The next Saturn/Neptune conjunction will occur at the 0° Aries point, the first degree of the zodiac, itself marking the birth of a new era. The conjunction will be near exact in July 2025, and will perfect at 0° Aries on February 20, 2026.
I wish I had this confidence... This depends on the west keeping it's nerve and commitments and west voters keeping far right away from power... Maybe I'm getting old and cynic but I don't see either coming trough. I sure hope this is not the case.
There is a reason why in Finnish verb "Ryssiä" (Muscovy ) , roughly meaning "to totally fail something". PS If you are pro- Moscow you are anti-humanity...
We have a new emerging terminology in the UK - Jarnailed. This comes from a solicitor - Jarnail Singh - that is at the middle of the post office scandal that you may have heard of. He showed Putin levels of incompetence, sounds like your Finnish verb may be a direct translation for jarnailed.
It is well to hear a commentator of Jake's stature explicitly saying in effect "End Putin and hence end the war," which I among many assorted u/i readers of 'Tube have rattled on about, aware that nobody from Macron on up would take us for action.
@@immukohonen7871 'Breaking up Moscow empire is the only way to end its imperialism', And I don’t mean Putin´s imperialism, but Moscow imperialism in general , from Solzhenitsyn and Brodsky to Yeltsin and Dugin.
It will be the economy and the logistics. Perun has made a nice PowerPoint presentation about that: "Why war economies don't collapse - until they do".
Let's hope Jake is right. Unfortunately it seems an economical collapse in Russia is years away, it seems more likely that there will be a collapse in military moral or a political collapse.
Gasprom is insolvent Luke oil is insolvent Roscom ( russia's largest company ) can not pay their tax bill from last year Corporate bankruptcies were at record levels when Moscow stopped publishing the economic data although a lot of these are retailers with no Western goods to sell . Inflation has doubled Interest rates are at 17% and expected to hit 25% by years end so home loans are 20% Road freight is down by 40%, Rail freight is down by 20% air freight is down 40% , Note these figures exclude military convoys . The best measure of economic activity is freight All tax rates are increased Remember the USSR was in a fine state ready to fight the USA at any moment, till suddenly it was not and the USA & UK had to race in to stop 1/2 the nuclear fleet sinking at their wharfs .Australia sent in thousands of tons of high protein wheat & even more wool because russians were freezing and starving . Argentina sent in wheat & beef , The EU sent in dairy & eggs . How quickly people forget .
Ukraine can’t go on the offensive until they can get air superiority. The West pushed Ukraine to go on the offensive without air superiority, which the West has never done. Then they acted surprised when it wasn’t successful.
Jake, you want to listen to Konstatine's Inside Russia blog, he is talking all the time about the extent to which Russia is collapsing internally, no manpower to do maintenance, roads, bridges, apartments are collapsing.
Question: In the US there is a cash or gig economy people use the avoid taxes and other regulations. Is there a cash/gig economy in Russia and how substantial is it?
My prediction is that the war will be over by next summer. Large portions of the Russian infrastructure have failed, but that's survivable in the summer. There are cities still flooded, cities with raw sewage in the streets, cities without potable water, cities without electricity or central heat. Dams, bridges, and many more have collapsed without being attacked. According to Russia's own estimates, Russia is missing about 500,000 skilled workers of various kinds who are needed to fix these issues. Two of the main agricultural oblasts in Russia were hit by a late frost, destroying a third of their crops while a third oblast was hit by flooding destroying a third of its crops. Basic medicines are in short supply. The five horsemen of the Russian Apocalypse are war, winter, famine, pestilence, and death. Let's face it, the Soviets in WWII had it better than Russians have it now.
That was the case in 1990 and 1991 before the collapse of the USSR. After that, I'm sure pretty much everything was available but the average folk was too poor to buy much.
8:1 casualties is irrelevant when you have the access to the population Russia has. On professor Gerdes channel he had a breakdown of materiel and personnel Russia has access to by a think tank that exhaustively studied this. About mid 2027 for the tanks and artillery and NEVER ENDING for the personnel. It didn't factor for economic collapse or overthrow, mainly just the things I mention. There's plenty to play out yet - perhaps a full 3 years. This is how long the West has to supply military aid to Ukraine for if it wants Russia to fail. Basically distilled down, the longer we meter out aid the way we are the more likely it will take the full 3 years. If we want this to end then we need to increase the aid by many many many times which will ultimately save us money. Why then I ask, are we not doing this?
Three years is IMO an overly optimistic estimation in favor of Russia. Their human resource is in fact running out a lot faster than that. In theory, Putin has indeed several tens of millions of able-bodied men to recruit from. In practice, even with the comparatively high wages for military contractors, it becomes increasingly difficult to find enough fools to just fill the gaps, let alone increase the number of Russians in Ukraine. If Russian daily casualties increase just a little bit more, we'll start seeing the Russian forces in Ukraine slowly but constantly getting thinned out until they are no longer combat capable anywhere on the contact line. Tanks and artillery ... that's a way of looking at it. In theory, Russian tank reserves plus what tanks Russia can produce should last indeed for a few more years. In practice, however, armor is already scarce in various sectors of the front. That's the reason why Russians fare so badly in the north - they have almost run out of armor, and many if not most of their attacks are small groups of dismounted infantry only, with no support whatsoever. Russia did indeed start the war with a lot of artillery, but it's incapable of producing new barrels at the rate at which it looses them, because Ukraine's exquisite counter battery fire, using both artillery and drones. As such, Russian artillery runs increasingly hot. At this rate, barrels will become too few to sustain massive artillery barrages, rather sooner than later. That would deprive Russia of the last leg it stands on. A somewhat famous quote attributed to Yogi Berra: "In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is."
Casualtie ratio favors Russia, not Ukraine. Population size favors Russia, not Ukraine. Artillery advantage favors Russia, not Ukraine. Air superiority favors Russia, not Ukraine. Do the math and finish dreaming...
@@TenylegMinekez-uc7co I don't know what you base your statements on, since you don't give any numbers. Non-Ukrainian estimates for Russian to Ukrainian casualties in the fight for Vovchansk are as high as 10:1, even 20:1. Ukrainian estimates are much lower - just 5:1. How does such a casualty ratio favor Russia? Population size isn't the only indicator. Ukraine can rely on its entire population, because all Ukrainians are affected by the Russian aggression. Russia can only rely on those stupid enough to enlist. Those are fewer and fewer, despite the high pay. As soon as Ukraine manages to kill off more Russians a month than Russia manages to recruit, the balance of forces will change dramatically. How does this favor Russia? Artillery ... Russian artillery drags out ancient barrels and sends them to into battle, while Ukraine shoots modern, far reaching, precise howitzers provided by its allies. Russia's advantage in artillery has constantly decreased, since the war started, and continues to decrease - at some point, Ukraine's artillery will take over. How does this evolution favor Russia?
@@a0flj0 Well reasoned but the point in the vid was clear - much more Western aid is needed. Have you ever played that game Plague? It's like a graph from that game virus evolution vs cure race. Ukraine might get there but at what cost? Unfortunately the troll that commented on this thread has a valid point. For example artillery round deficit has only fallen from 7:1 to 5:1. Well how's that going to work? Not very efficiently I'd assert. What if it was parity or 2:1 in favor? The stingy used car salesman mentality of Western nations is knowingly using Ukrainian lives to do what we won't yet we're metering out aid in such a way that Ukraine wastes its most valuable asset - people. I'm not a right/wrong, black/white, up/down, left and right kind of polarized thinking guy however on this occasion I have to say, it's wrong. This aid BS is wrong. Every single US general says so. Every one. They've been saying since the beginning give Ukraine what it needs. 5x keeps being talked about. Zelensky shouldn't have to be going through what he's going through but he damn well is - Why? Give them the effng military aid. I'm only just getting started but I'll desist.
The you tube channel decoding geopolitics had an interesting count of russian troops. They inform the russian army now have 530.000 vs 420.000 troops in ukraine area now.
We thought the collapse of Yugoslavia was bad. Those frozen ethnic conflicts and ethnic cleansing that took place. It will be awful in a collapsing Russian empire.
Errrr Jake, ever thought about the implications of a Trump win in November and US consequent withdrawal from Nato couples with Le Pen taking control of the French parliament?
Jake did video.... and has talked of it.... Trump elected could mean they have secret deal already being negotiated with Putin via delegates that would mean pressuring ukraine to peace and give territories. NATO would not change, just ukraine situation. Le Pen is big question mark but could align with Trump plans to appease Putin.
Seems unfair to say that Russians have an unlimited capacity for suffering. Maybe some see it as a badge of honor to suffer, but many, especially outside Moscow and St. Petersburg are so used to living in privation that they have never known otherwise. They know how how to survive and just get on with it. Maybe it will change if hunger really becomes an issue. On top of that the population is very widely dispersed, and there is no opposition to organize widespread shows of anger against the Kremlin. In reality, at least in the regions, the war in Ukraine is more likely seen as a way out of poverty, rather that the cause of their problems.
it can be seen as many as possible seek to leave russia for decades if they find a way. especially those who have visited neighboring countries. war in ukraine is very logical: if you could 4-5x your salary let alone get that job from unemployment, nobody would hesitate in west. in that way it resembles what people have told how they went to iraq to fight and were young 20yo who really knew nothing other than their task there.
They know how to SURVIVE?They know a DAM LOT MORE THAN THAT.To compare the ordinary Russian,to the ordinary American" Whatvis an ordinary American?Does such a CREATURE live?" would be like comparing a TODLER to an ADULT.Russians are fighting an existential fight on their hands after comments from the like of Mrs.Kaja Kalis,that Russia needs to be broken,to smaller countries,TO WHICH RUSSIANS ARE RESPONDING: COME AND GET SOME
Autocrats & dictators starve their populations deliberately . The logic is if the vast majority is hard at it just to survive they are not likely to raise an army & rebel Five minutes out for the capital of any dictatorship & electricity ends. 5 km more & the roads go to dirt , then there is no sewerage and finally no running water . There was a video on YT over a year ago done by a russian that was interesting .He was asking an old woman what difference re-electing putin would make It went like this Under the Tzar my great grand mother lived in this house, she milked the goat , drew water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house We got rid of the Tzars and my grand mother lived in this house, she milked the goat , drew water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house We got rid of Stalin and my mother lived in this house, she milked the goat , drew water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house We got rid of theUSSR and I live in this house, I milked the goat , drew water from the well in the village & collect wood from the forest to cook my food & heat the house My daughter will live in this house, milk the goat , draw water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house My grand daughter will live in this house, milk the goat , draw water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house Now who is the putin fellow & what is he going to do for me ?
You are right, the war in Ukraine _is_ seen by many Russians as a way out of poverty - by the ones that enlist. However, not all Russians are that stupid. More than two years into the war, despite Putin's propaganda, whoever wants to know how Russia fares in Ukraine knows. Which is why only the most stupid among the Russians enlist. Which is also why recently Russia has a problem recruiting enough fresh meat to just fill the gaps.
In Russia, we have a proverb - "Пока толстый сохнет, тонкий сдохнет", which loosely translates as - while a fat man gets skinny, a thin man starves to death. Yes, Russians are very resilient and accustomed to struggling. But, on the other hand, many of them are already living hand-to-mouth with debts and no savings, and have little ability to cut expenses even more. In other words, they're already close to their limits and can't take much more.
with that in mind, 1917 russia was big empire and lasted only some 3 years of WW1 and now russia is quickly closing in 3year mark of this special operation and still going on. maybe chinese have started forcing people fighting there explaining some.
I have also been saying this RN. I quote often from Solzhenitsyn 'August 1914', giving the trolls the ol'; 'In the Russian army of 1914, rearguards did not surrender and live. Rearguards died.' They love it! And I never thought I'd witness the break up of a supposed 'Superpower' in my lifetime. Twice!
All the more reason to support the Biden Administration, suppliers must continue to help Ukraine, we in Australia are doing our bit, even if Trump gets into the White House.
History teaches us that Russian governments collapsing, or at least facing a uprisings that come very near to causing it to collapse, as the result of losing a war is the rule and not the exception. (Ref. 1905, 1918, 1989.)
If you only have 50¢ to pay for them it will . Now if it was only potatoes that have gone up that would b fine but everything is going up at a rate of knots Decades of neglect have taken a massive toll on the economy This years harvest is expected to be down 40% electricity ( for those who have it ) is up 20% petrol is up 15% gas is up 11 % rail fares are up 50% and so it goes on. Remember you have to compare cost to wages IN THE COUNTRY not in your country . Remember russian get very low wages
You are right of course but there is no "Win" in this conflict. ruzzia has an estimated 1.5 million casualties, Ukraine over 150,000 casualties with over 5 million of its people dispersed as refugees. The most one can say is that one side will prevail while the other side is completely defeated. "Every war is lost before it began." [Sun Tzu]
Hopefully, we'll see an independent Siberia aligned with the west, Kallingrad as an independent nation and maybe an independent St. Petersburg too. All of these regions suffer from rule from Moscow. All free and democratic.
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Wow! Jake Broe is everywhere. His discussions are clear and concise. I wish western politicians had such courage and clarity. 🇺🇦
"Rublers don't love it?!"
His logic is seductive, but history contradicts him.
He’s an high pitch feminist boy… he left Minot ND for Las Vegas for a more fruitful gay environment.. He’s a far leftist Biden supporting liberal that for Zionist bankers to win Ukraine.. flood it with third world immigration and set up shop there.
Yes. Jake understands russia, history, military and he was a teacher. His skills are needed in the White House.
Ngl, Rl-Wrld logics do be like 'dat sometimes... seggsie-af. ;•}
🙏🏾🙏🏾🙏🏾🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦 Endless prayers for peace and an end to the suffering.
Thanks for the update and views 🇺🇲🇺🇦
Oklahoma USA 🇺🇦🇺🇲
Prayers ❤❤❤
Thanks Jake...
Tots...?
@@ChA0s_AgeNtHow old are you?
:}
Ty Dominik, Jake has a great understanding and covers the Ukraine news well
Great video thank you for the information provided keep smiling and be happy glory to Ukraine slava Ukraine pryvit
I imagine half the money goes through the corruption filter and the sheer volume of equipment losses is wiping out their resources faster than they can rebuild. The tipping point doesn’t seem far off with APVs turning into motorbikes and golf carts.
@@brandonmcheyenehoward1077 THE WHOLE FYCKN TRUTH
@@KDean22Your keybord is broken.
When there's blood on the streets, buy real estate. Anyone with money in russia can see what is happening and the corruption will get worse as the middle men and military attempt to steal enough stuff to make a cushion of money to make it through the collapse
they have no men left
@@Stefan_Dahn WHERE
Thanks Jake - Jake is showing up on other channels. I think Russia is paying attention. I notice quite a number of negative comments directed at his commentary. These comments have the distinct appearance as being generated from within the Russian sphere. Please keep it up Jake. The world needs the truth.
The truth! I do not even know what to do - the lol or the cry - a search for a Holly Grail! The truth! Some people do not even know the meaning of this word anymore!
@@malcolmwallis4 If it comes from right wing America, it won't be the truth. Talk to people with some military experience, the lights will come on and you will see clearly.
@@malcolmwallis4….and here is one of those russian trolls 😂😂😂
@@skymaster4121 u called a British Citizen "one of those russian trolls". I think it is sarcastic.
jake is a deep state shill
Jake stated that Putin didn't tell his Bankers he was invading Ukraine? Putin didn't even tell his military!
I have heard that Russian troops were only told they were invading Ukraine when they were in the helicopters on the way in.
Yes, that sounds accurate. There was no full scale invasion. There was only an ad hoc, not really planned out invasion. Russia/Putin had no real plans to invade Ukraine.
Unfortunately not until the last crust of bread has been consumed….will russians even consider that they have lost
Then Russians will start to cannibalize each other
Jake Broe is the best commentator on this war, his background and logical, rational thinking is exceptional, an added benefit is that he has a big heart. Slava Ukraini!
Well said his abilty to paint a clear picture & he has the courage & brass balls to clearly say, how it is & forcast how it will be , totally logical.
Heroyam Slava ! 🇺🇦
The analysis Jake Bloe still won't admit for over two and half years is this war could easily have ended with Ukraine victorious years ago. Biden did Russia a favor denying Ukraine critical military equipment for years, ie long range ATACMS, HIMARs, F-16's, adequate Patriot missile systems, etc. and tens of thousands of Ukrainian Soldiers lost their lives. Biden fails to enforce the sanctions on Russia and failed to ramp up American factories to a wartime level in 2021. Even as members of the Biden's democratic party call for Joe Biden clearly suffering from advanced stages of dementia to step down, Jake says he would vote for Joe for president! Make that make sense how four more years of Biden helps Ukraine win this war.
His eloquence passion and compassion are worth a $million 😉
@@davefave4351 worth millions of dollars in free advertising for reelect sleazy Joe Biden!
Jake is 100% correct, BACKGROUND : После 2-й Мировой войны 10-мильонная Белaрусь 🏳❤🏳 не досчиталась около 3-х мильонов своих жителей, однако околь 2-х миллионов были убиты еще до войны органами коммунистического НКВД. В Беларуси физически уничтожили 70 процентов всех белaруских писателей, убили ученых и художников. (Труппа Третьего Белорусского Государственного театра Владислава Голубка была арестована в полном составе. Почти все были расстреляны.) Убивали по национальному признаку. Ради этого был придуман ярлык "нацдем" (это значит -- национальный демократ, хотя такой партии не существовало). Этот ярлык приклеивали ко всем белорусам, которых сталинисты планировали уничтожить. В недрах НКВД была придумана несуществующая антикоммунистическая организация СВБ ("союз освобождения Белaруси"). Под придуманный фантом энкавэдисты проводили аресты, вели воображаемое следствие, допрашивали, пытали, судили, потом ссылали в paсeю и расстреливали невинных людей. После Рижского сговора в 1921 году Беларусь разделили между Польшей и paсeей. Границу раздела провели недалеко от Менска. Существовал тайный приказ НКВД уничтожать всё белорусское население вдоль границы. Российские аккупанты хотели сделать здесь безлюдную зону. Уничтожение осуществляли пограничные войска. Довереным лицам выдавали винтовку и лопату. Когда такой солдат-пограничник встречал в безлюдном месте (на дороге, в поле, в лесу) одинокого белоруса или белоруску, или ребенка, он стрелял человека, тут же лопатой выкапывал яму и засыпал труп.
Такова была инструкция. Люди в деревнях не так боялись "человека с ружьём", как солдата с лопатой. (Эти факты опубликованы в белaруской печати в начале 90-х годов.) В 30-х годах на 95-99 процентов (практически полностью) была уничтожена (сослана и расстреляна) белaруская коммунистическо-партийная и советская администрация. Уничтожали даже директорат и хозяйственных руководителей. На должности убитых администраторов и коммунистических начальников-белорусов присылали “русских” из paсeии. “Русские” 🇷🇺 (так называемые "выдвиженцы") приезжали в Беларусь, занимали освобожденные должности, получали льготы, имущество, квартиры и первое, что они делали -- закрывали белорусские школы, переводили их на “русский” язык, чтобы их дети могли учиться, не обременяя себя изучением, как они говорили, "никому ненужного" белaруского языка. Таким образом оккупанты создавали в Беларуси "русскоязычное” население". Этноцид, лингвацид, мнемацид и геноцид проводзились большевиками одновременно.
Уничтожение белaрусов рaсeйским НКВД продолжалось и во времена немецкой аккупации. В июне 1941 года в первые дни войны коммунисты расстреляли в тюрьмах и на этапах тысячи заключенных. Только в Брестской крепости, где была страшная тюрьма НКВД, всех арестованных ликвидировать не успели, часть из них разбежалась. Тем временем большая группа надзирателей и функционеров НКВД была заблокирована в крепости немцами. Они сидели там около месяца, пока не вымерли. Лет через 20 после войны коммунисты придумали легенду о "героической обороне" Брестской крепости. Обращает на себя внимание тот факт, что широкое советское партизанское движение было организовано только в Беларуси и частично -- на этнических белaруских землях, которые были в составе paсeии (Смоленщина, Брянщина). В оккупированой России партизанского движения не было. Почему? Да потому, что продолжал действовать план уничтожения белорусской нации. Москва, используя органы НКВД, втянула массы гражданского белорусского населения в войну против немцев, и этим подставила белорусов под немецкий удар.
Необходимое дело борьбы исходило из коварного замысла и осуществлялось подлыми методами. (Сталин хотел получить двойную выгоду.) Энкавэдисты специально около белорусской деревени убивали немца или делали другую провокацию, чтобы вызвать карательную операцию гитлеровцев (которые обычно сжигали всю деревню, чаще всего -- вместе с людьми). Таким образом, кстати, в результате специальной провокации советских партизан была сожжена и известная Хатынь, которую коммунисты потом в 70-х годах разрекламировали на весь мир как типичную жертву фашистского зверства.
В результате такой коммуно-фашистской совместной "работы" в Беларуси сожгли более 9 тысяч деревень. Поэтому к концу войны, в результате специальной операции НКВД, многие белaaруские командиры были посланы на смерть, отстранены от командования, убиты и репрессированы. Их места занимали русские, присланные из Мосвы, и верные энкавэдисты. Летом 1944 года, когда "красная армия" заняла Беларусь, “русские” провели мобилизацию в армию на белaруской территории. Десятки тысяч молодых белaруских мужчин, почти без подготовки, бросили на передовую линию фронта. “pусские” командиры поднимали их в ненужные атаки под огонь немецких пулеметов, не дав даже оружия в руки, или с винтовками, но без патронов. Они гибли тысячами, как трава под косой. А те, что бежали назад, попадали под пули энкавэдистских "заградотрядов". Впрочем, заградотряды стреляли и в спину. Так продолжалось уничтожение белaрусов на войне, руками немцев и “русских” одновременно. Как говорили коммунисты, "в борьбе за советскую родину". В 40-х годах русские вывезли в Сибирь и там замучили всех лесников и так называемых "кулаков" из Западной Беларуси. Вывозили вагонами, по разнорядках.
The Treasurey (the gold) of Romania. Also stolen.
Raaaaaalph, mane...?
lmao :]P
And just over the border, they can see people fighting to be free of that. And maybe think - if we rebel, Russia can do little, or Ukraine will strike while Russia is distracted
@@user-pb7ig4sv2l we do our best, but we are ALONG. today EU introduced the new sanctions against Belarusian IT/Architecture people, who fight Moscow imperialism and support Ukraine 7/24
Your impressive testimony has similarities with neighboring countries experiencing that are now members of European Union.
Go Ukraine Go, May God be with them (all Ukrainians) in their fight for FREEDOM
you better hope God is with them, since all of you are nonchalant about vast numbers dying there. Plus dragging people off the street for a losing war, NOT freedom
@@sandiharris5906 'There is a special place in hell for those who, in times of great moral crisis, maintain their neutrality'. You seem to be one of those. God is definitely not with “people” like you who blame victims.
@@sandiharris5906if there was a god these Christian’s wouldn’t be murdering each other because of one madman’s ego
@@sandiharris5906 you are 100% correct. It's a shame what zelensky and nato are doing to ukraine.
@@sandiharris5906Halo, this is the only way to have Ukraine freedom, the guy in Kremlin he’s psycho maniac, much dangerous than Adolf Hitler.
During the Vietnam war, the North launched a very costly offensive, the Tet offensive. Militarily it was a disaster for the North, for the huge losses. But the North gained some ground, and Kronkite said that the South could not win any more this war and it was time to withdraw. That convinced the US public opinion that the war could not be won, without any merit in the reasoning. That is what Russia is trying to do now. If they take Chasiv Yar, or if they go on taking ground, albeit very slowly and very costly, journalists in the US, who as all journalists tend to look at thing with a very superficial understanding, will say all over that the war cannot be won.
In reality, if Ukraine resists two more years, Russia is bound to lose this war. Ukraine doesn't need to regain lost territory. Ukraine must just wait for Russia to crumble. Germany lost WWI while having its army in French and Belgian territory. Defeat came from the rear lines, from the inside. Same will happen to Russia. Rage for the deaths, rage for inflation, rage for the lack of fuel, impossibility to carry on the war without tanks and artillery will cause the fall of Russia while Russia is still occupying Ukrainian territory.
The only menace to Ukraine, at the moment, is Trump and US journalists of Kronkite ignorance.
I was in country for Tet and it wasn't a complete defeat for the Viet Cong. The shock of it rattled the American Public. Kronkite followed WWII, the Korean War and the Viet Nam war. He was not an ignorant journalist. He was well informed. Ukraine's struggle is bigger than trump and while Ukraine is on life support, ruzzia will fall into the abyss for which it won't recover for 50 years. This conflict won't end in negotiations and no peace accord will happen. (The USA is still in a state of war with N. Korea w/o any peace treaty in place.)
@@murrayhill9000 If Wikipedia is correct, casualties were 46.000 against 104.000 for the North, with a more than 2:1 ratio at the end of the battle, when South Vietnam recovered all initially lost position. From a strictly military point of view, this was a failure for North Vietnam. It was a political success, though, because of the journalistic coverage.
Donald Trump is a much bigger threat to future Ukraine aid than public opinion in the US. But even if the US stops supporting Ukraine, it doesn't automatically mean that Ukraine would give up. They already managed about 6 months last winter without US aid... And Europe is ramping up weapons production as we speak.
The Vietnamese would still be killing Americans if we had not given up and gone home. They have kept the Chinese out for thousands of years. They don't give up.
Your comment involves a total misunderstanding of this conflict. Firstly. Ukraine cannot last two more years. Second, this has NEVER for Russia been about taking territory. Third, there is zero 'rage for the deaths, 'rage for inflation', or 'rage for the lack of fuel', simply because the death rate is comparatively low - certainly compared with Ukrainian casualties (the ones no one in the west or in Ukraine ever talks about) - the inflation rate is perfectly manageable, and there is NO lack of fuel. You need to go back to the drawing board and start your education again, from the beginning.
Bravo Jake
Watch Jake all the time one hell of a reporter the best on you tube a really nice person
I feel, that Russia is going to lose.
2 million Russians flew out of the country. And these were not only the most simpel ones.
The military has lost too many military material. And Ukraine receives every day new weapons.
I feel, the Moscow elites want to get rid Putin.
And for Ukraine it will be good to conquer a security zone of Russia of about 200 km.
Time has come for someone in the Kremlin, willing to make a terrible mistake with the tea, with universal gratitude and eternal fame as a reward. As far as I'm concerned, Putin can have his "sanitary zone" as he called it, just as long this zone is situated for 100% on the Russian side of the border.
@@merkvandermeulen3978 right! Some typical Shakespeare scene!!!
I'm sure they will stop Putin without western action!
The bigger problem will be: how to transform Russia in a modern state? In Germany it functioned well. But I see Russia and China as the last colonial states. This has to be destroyed.
1 million went to Georgia, 1 million went to the west, when the west decided to try start another coup recently where did you think the Russians went?/.returned to Russia, Europe was full of russiaphobia, where do you think 750k of those went??.returned to Russia.. out of those who returned to Russia 1/3 of them volunteered.not conscripted to join the RU forces.
I think
That Russia has to break down!!!
If not, qe will not live in peace! Russia is still a colonial empire! Like China. Russians live originally only in a part of it. Probably in the size of Ukraine!!!
The rest are other ethnic groups! Probably like the sowjet Union broke down it will happen with Russia as well.
@@dvsfreekthat doesnt seem very plausible
Love Jake.
I don't know who this guy is, but I am from Russia and he is spot on. Putin's regime is very fragile, If you remember during short lived Vagner mutiny no one from dozens of different police agencies and special forces who every day terrorize us even tried to stop Prigozhin
The fact is that Russia is easily winning, and ukraine is not - everyone knows this, but a few propaganda sights like this one.
@@AUMINER1easily? We’ll be done in 3 weeks says Putin, how many easy weeks ago was that again?
The Russians might have a high tolerance for misery but there will come a time that that misery will seriously undercut russian efficiency to do things (not that they are particulair efficient). The moment the essentiale services start to crumble it is extremly hard to produce stuff for a war in sufficient numbers. Also they are running out of stockpiles and making stuff from scratch is way more intensive. So it wouldn't suprise me if Russia finds it very difficult to really support the war in 2 years time. Or at least support it to a level that they can fight effective.
I believe the moment when Russian production of stuff will abruptly decrease is much closer than two years.
Sending soldiers to the front in Chinese golf carts or motorcycles is a clear indication that the ruzzians lack the capacity to continue the war. Total casualties range over 1.5 million. Hyperinflation, lack of essential services and medical care, ultimately spell chaos and widespread social unrest for the population. Two sheets of Charmin T.P. are worth 0.006¢ USD vs 1 Rouble at 0.007¢ USD.
Russia is reported to be putting out something like 4 tanks a day. But this isn't 4 new tanks. In a lot of cases, it's 1 new tank and 3 refurbished T-64 tanks or older. As time goes on, they'll go back to T-60's and older. The result will be that a higher percentage of tanks going into battle will be of lower and lower capability with lower and lower protection and capability. So we can expect as time goes by for Russia to be seemingly going back in time with their military on the front line, increasing their losses and pushing their front line back towards their own country border. There has been this big focus on F-16's coming to Ukraine. They started production in the early 70's yet they're more capable than any Russian aircraft as the systems on board have been consistently upgraded over time. So they're capable of shooting missiles from a distance where Russian targets can't even detect them. Up in the air, let loose with missiles, turn around to go home and a few minutes later, the target is destroyed. Meanwhile, Russia is getting their battle hardened donkeys to ride into battle as they run out of Chinese motorcycles.
Don't know where you get your info from, but F16s are not better than ANY Russian SU30, 35 or 57. All your stated info is Western propaganda.
Well actually F16s are from the late ‘70s. 1979 I think
@@skymaster4121 the ones given are from later blocks from the 90's, with updated avionics, etc.
Jake Broe is awesome ! Follow him if you care about Ukraine 🇺🇦
Jake hates Ukraine! He never asks for peace. Only praises more weapons and destruction. A truly despicable human being
The analysis Jake Bloe still won't admit for over two and half years is this war could easily have ended with Ukraine victorious years ago. If Biden was not doing Russia a favor denying Ukraine critical military equipment for years, ie long range ATACMS, HIMARs, F-16's, adequate Patriot missile systems, etc., Russia could not build the extensive defenses that cost so many Ukrainian Soldiers their lives. Even as members of Biden's democratic party and many in the major media call for Joe Biden clearly suffering from advanced stages of dementia to step down, Jake says he would vote for Joe Biden for president! Make that make sense how four more years of Biden helps Ukraine win this war not matter the deteriorating conditions in Russia.
Moscow horde´s war record :-
1856 defeated by Britain and France
1905 defeated by Japan
1917 defeated by Germany
1920 defeated by Poland, Finland, Estonia and all Baltic states
1939 defeated by Finland
1969 defeated by China
1989 defeated by Afghanistan
1989 defeated in the Cold War.
1996 defeated by Chechnya
2022 defeated by Ukraine
WW2 won USA/Britain , meanwhile Stalin's officers were shot or sent to the Gulags. Millions went to the Gulags, including Solzhenitsyn
Moscow's only victories come from invading smaller countries :-
a) Hungary 1956
b) Czechoslovakia 1968
c) Moldova 1992
d) Georgia 2008
Interesting list, but you are understating the Soviet effort in winning WW2. 80% of the German casualties occurred fighting the Russians.
What a record ha
With a lot of American aid and weapons.@@villanovakid84
@@villanovakid84they dragged every single minority and soviet people (all 15 countries). The tv shows you white men but in reality, massive minorities were sent forward as well..
@@villanovakid84 80% of what and where !? ..not all the battles were in the East
🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
Thank You
Love Jake broke
Insightful
Jake must be expanding or something. He appears on all TH-camrs platforms now!!! Good for him.
Slava Ukraini!!
yes, 'Breaking up Moscow empire is the only way to end its imperialism', And I don’t mean Putin´s imperialism, but Moscow imperialism in general , from Solzhenitsyn and Brodsky to Yeltsin and Dugin.
+1!!! "Благодаря невероятно успешной внешней политике путина у нас всегда будут полные холодильники! " - заявил директор Ростовского морга 🇷🇺 ...
Чувак, откуда вы??@@hybridarmyoffreeworld
@@KankerTH-cam Спасибо ВСУ за пропавших без вести орков! Луганск с вами!
@@hybridarmyoffreeworld привет из Нидерландов
Even Alexy Navalny did not disown the war in Ukraine, or Russian imperialism in general. The political will does not yet seem to exist inside Russia to go that way.
He’s an excellent commentator.
Excellent commentary by jake .
Yes, they have a high tolerance for pain, but once the government can no longer send out pension checks to the elderly, Russia will collapse within a month. That is the red-line that cannot be crossed. That is the dealbreaker, because Putin's offer to the public has alwlays been - "Don't be concerned about politics and your pension checks will continue to arrive every month." Once the Russian government cannot hold up their end of that bargain, the people are going to be very concerned about politics. The government will fall from below, not from above.
Praise Jesus 🙏 from your mouth to God's ears 🙏
Spot on Jake, Russia staying on the offensive favours Ukraine and they should exploit it to the max advantage.
The analysis Jake Bloe still won't admit for over two and half years is this war could easily have ended with Ukraine victorious years ago. If Biden was not doing Russia a favor denying Ukraine critical military equipment for years, ie long range ATACMS, HIMARs, F-16's, adequate Patriot missile systems, etc., Russia could not build the extensive defenses that cost so many Ukrainian Soldiers their lives. Biden still limits Ukraine's use of long range ATACMS to only 16% of their range. Even as members of the Biden's democratic party and many in the major media call for Joe Biden clearly suffering from advanced stages of dementia to step down, Jake says he would vote for Joe Biden for president! Make that make sense how four more years of Biden helps Ukraine win this war.
Cheers...
YOU ARE RIGHT IN WHAT YOU ARE SAYING.
Jbvvbbh bin b VG
😊00
Russia will break up into small, poor countries because of debt and economic crisis. This happened because they had to pay compensation to Ukraine. Apart from that, China will take part of Russia's territory. because of China's debt trap..
My prayers for the good of Ukraine from Javanese shamans
I doubt that China will take on Russian territory.
China has significant internal problems of its own, right now. It's in an undeclared economic crisis - a real and bad one, it has social problems and it has a huge, indeed catastrophic, and unsolvable demographic problem - its population is aging and shrinking faster than the population of any other country in the world, and its economy is not in a good position to keep working with old workers - low degree of automation, proportionally far fewer white collar jobs than in developed countries.
Russia's Eastern/Siberian territories are notoriously difficult to both administer and govern. The population is extremely sparse, while the land is huge. Not even spreading both China's and India's population over the land would bring the population density to a reasonable value. With such few people, it would be difficult to maintain infrastructure and reasonably efficient institutions even if the region was a normal one - but it isn't. Climate and nature are extremely harsh. The land is north of the Himalayas and thousands of miles from any body of water. This means extreme weather to the extreme - several months each year when temperature doesn't go above zero even at noon, in many places, scorching heat in the summer in others, excessive rainfall in some areas, excessive dryness elsewhere. Maintaining roads or railways in Siberia is a nightmare. Agriculture is inefficient at best, impossible in many areas. The only thing you can do, in Siberia, is drill for oil or gas, dig for minerals or cut down lumber. The rich oil fields, however, are quite far away from China, closer to the Urals, and with regard to minerals, China has all that it needs.
Therefore, all that China would achieve, by taking on some Russian territories, is spending valuable resources for something it doesn't need, while at the same time angering the international community, exposing itself to sanctions, to which China's economy is much more sensitive than Russia's. Which is why China taking any part of Russia, except maybe tiny areas over which it had border disputes with Russia in the past, is IMO unlikely.
Russian people are not suffering at all at least compared to the Ukrainians. That is where I take issue with Jake’s arguments. It is sickening that it would be considered a war crime for Ukraine to target the civilian energy infrastructure while Russia is allowed to do so without penalty. With unbalanced rules like that, the Russian people are not ever going to be inspired to do anything.
On the contrary. Pensioners were seen fighting over discarded food at a disposal bin in St. Petersburg last month. The country is bankrupt. Small communities are wallowing in their untreated sewage. Medicines are not available. Many older ruzzians will die this winter. The country is committing economic suicide and spiraling into the abyss. The army will turn on their leaders and social chaos is close at hand. The four horsemen of the apocalypse have arrived.
Agree with both hands.
I agree.
Putin lost when he invaded and realized he wasn’t welcome. But we underestimated his arrogance/ stupidity
I would have hoped potatoes were up 400%.
Check back in a month or two.
Well said! Accurate.
Perseverance - one of the few good traits that Slava have.
Great channel! Now I know the prices for potatoes in Russia - they will collapse! Great analysis, man. Very talented.
Price of potato water also has to increase as well. No more liquid copium for Russians, guess that is gonna be a wakeup call for them when all the alcoholics no longer get their fix.
That information was also a big topic in the you tube channel from Konstantin (inside Russia)
west is saying for more than 2 years that Russia will collapse, just a propaganda, and theory but with 0 real facts
America, Russia, Ireland, Ecuador etc. .....it always comes down to the Price of Potatoes doesn't it ?
@@Richard-od7yd Well, the Arab spring was caused by sky high grain prices. If people can't afford their staple food, you get unrest.
My groceries have gone almost triple, and I live in Texas. I doubt he thinks U.S. is collapsing . This war is extremely stupid from all sides
An interesting and informative piece, very much food for thought Thank you.
No pun intended I'm sure.
A question. Russia has conficated, stolen most of the western investments in Russia. Why is that that those western companies do not use international justice to sue for the damages and losses they had. If convicted, the reserves in western banks could be used to pay for the damages.
Same reason ICC, UN and other supernational bodies don't work: inforcement or lack there of.
Interesting thought, but I am assuming that the money belongs to individuals and not the state, so it might be tricky.
What YOU are telling the Russians is,DON'T DO AS WE DO,BUT AS WHAT WE SAY.PUTIN QUOTE: WHO THE FUCK ARE YOU?
They literally stole every single passenger jet that happened to be in the country on feb 24,2024. They stole every 747 and all jets. Can you imagine that.
Ask Maduro in Venezuela or Castro in Cuba if confiscating foreign assets helps your economy. Ask them.
Insane behavior by a 71 yr old alcoholic dictator.
That is a good question and although I am not an economist I think I can give some insight as to what is happening here.
Western companies that decided they were not going to pull out of doing business as usual with Russia and had their assets seized are not really worried about it. The reason why is because after the war has ended they will get those assets back. In the meantime, those frozen assets are gaining interest in western banks and it adds up to a lot of money which is now being used to help Ukraine. It really doesn't matter what Russia has seized in Western interests because the Ruble has fallen so low it is practically worthless as a currency right now. Hence, the downfall of the Russian economy, just like Jake has stated. They simply cannot keep up with the western economies now that they are taking heavy losses on the battlefield in not only troops but equipment. It is taking a very heavy toll on them and they know it but are not willing to admit it just yet.
its not only attacking resulting in casualties but drone warfare is evolving and once develops a way to use drones for return trips attack after attack will wear down any frontline unit with lower casualties.
That's already present: the drones that drop munitions -- RPG warheads, 82mm mortar shells, and so on.
Dreaming and dreaming.
2:23 "Based on historical precedence Russia is the most likely country in the world to collapse because they've done it twice in the last 100 years." It’s pretty well-established in the astrological lore that the Saturn/Neptune cycle is relevant to the history of communism, and to major turning points in Russian history. There were subsequent Saturn/Neptune conjunctions in 1917, the year of the Russian Revolution; in 1952 and 1953, the year Stalin died; in 1989, the year the Berlin Wall fell. We know it didn’t take long for the Soviet Union to fall apart from there, in 1991.
We can tell, based on this, that the upcoming Saturn/Neptune conjunction will coincide with another turning point in Russian history, and on a similar, if not greater, level of magnitude.
The next Saturn/Neptune conjunction will occur at the 0° Aries point, the first degree of the zodiac, itself marking the birth of a new era. The conjunction will be near exact in July 2025, and will perfect at 0° Aries on February 20, 2026.
I wish I had this confidence... This depends on the west keeping it's nerve and commitments and west voters keeping far right away from power... Maybe I'm getting old and cynic but I don't see either coming trough. I sure hope this is not the case.
According to Center of Aesten Studies (Poland), Russia's financial reserves would still be amount to 1.2 billion from 3.2 billion
So should run out within a year if that is correct.
@@ml4319 I believe it will be faster than that. They are burning money faster now than they did a year ago.
There is a reason why in Finnish verb "Ryssiä" (Muscovy ) , roughly meaning "to totally fail something".
PS If you are pro- Moscow you are anti-humanity...
We have a new emerging terminology in the UK - Jarnailed. This comes from a solicitor - Jarnail Singh - that is at the middle of the post office scandal that you may have heard of. He showed Putin levels of incompetence, sounds like your Finnish verb may be a direct translation for jarnailed.
@@bostonbikebits6539 Everything in Muscovy is s h i t - except .... p i s s
@test123test-v5b yes you will. Trip to vuhledar for you!
I like it 🤣
@test123test-v5b " Saddam Putsein the Great Loser" is rapidly sending Muscovy back to 15c borders .
It is well to hear a commentator of Jake's stature explicitly saying in effect "End Putin and hence end the war," which I among many assorted u/i readers of 'Tube have rattled on about, aware that nobody from Macron on up would take us for action.
None else is smarts as journalists how Jake Broe!
" Saddam Putsein the Great Loser" is rapidly sending Muscovy back to 15c borders .
Well said.
@@immukohonen7871 'Breaking up Moscow empire is the only way to end its imperialism', And I don’t mean Putin´s imperialism, but Moscow imperialism in general , from Solzhenitsyn and Brodsky to Yeltsin and Dugin.
Germany was starved into submission in WW1.
Shiny spaceship you got there.
And Slava Ukrani!
What a brilliant prophecy !
It will be the economy and the logistics.
Perun has made a nice PowerPoint presentation about that: "Why war economies don't collapse - until they do".
Russian pain threshhold is not the same as it was for Soviets who never tasted prosperity. Genie aint going back into the bottle.
Youre interviewing a guy who has a ukranian flag on his wall…
Let's hope Jake is right. Unfortunately it seems an economical collapse in Russia is years away, it seems more likely that there will be a collapse in military moral or a political collapse.
🔥lmao🔥
Russia will collapse for several reasons - the economy is hitting Russia very hard, but of course this is just one nail in Russia's coffin
they say even with this rate loosing armored vehicles they could sustain 1-2years more.... which is insane 10thousand+ lost already.
Gasprom is insolvent
Luke oil is insolvent
Roscom ( russia's largest company ) can not pay their tax bill from last year
Corporate bankruptcies were at record levels when Moscow stopped publishing the economic data although a lot of these are retailers with no Western goods to sell .
Inflation has doubled
Interest rates are at 17% and expected to hit 25% by years end so home loans are 20%
Road freight is down by 40%, Rail freight is down by 20% air freight is down 40% , Note these figures exclude military convoys .
The best measure of economic activity is freight
All tax rates are increased
Remember the USSR was in a fine state ready to fight the USA at any moment, till suddenly it was not and the USA & UK had to race in to stop 1/2 the nuclear fleet sinking at their wharfs .Australia sent in thousands of tons of high protein wheat & even more wool because russians were freezing and starving . Argentina sent in wheat & beef , The EU sent in dairy & eggs .
How quickly people forget .
That " collapse" that YOU are talking about,IS MORE LIKELY TO HAPPEN TO YOU,than RUSSIANS
The Australian Slinger has joined the Vampire 🦇. I wish them luck 🙏
Russias national debt: 20% of GDP… what about US and EU countries ?
USSR wasn't Russia. And how did it end for them in the Afganistan adventure?
Yes. Jake understands russia, history, military and he was a teacher. His skills are needed in the White House.
Good joke.
Ukraine can’t go on the offensive until they can get air superiority. The West pushed Ukraine to go on the offensive without air superiority, which the West has never done. Then they acted surprised when it wasn’t successful.
That's a good one. LOL! 😅😅😅
Mr Jake what is the current state of affairs in the battlefield now??
Jake, you want to listen to Konstatine's Inside Russia blog, he is talking all the time about the extent to which Russia is collapsing internally, no manpower to do maintenance, roads, bridges, apartments are collapsing.
Question:
In the US there is a cash or gig economy people use the avoid taxes and other regulations. Is there a cash/gig economy in Russia and how substantial is it?
The Firefly model next to the Ukrainian flag made me tear up...Shiny!
My prediction is that the war will be over by next summer. Large portions of the Russian infrastructure have failed, but that's survivable in the summer. There are cities still flooded, cities with raw sewage in the streets, cities without potable water, cities without electricity or central heat. Dams, bridges, and many more have collapsed without being attacked. According to Russia's own estimates, Russia is missing about 500,000 skilled workers of various kinds who are needed to fix these issues. Two of the main agricultural oblasts in Russia were hit by a late frost, destroying a third of their crops while a third oblast was hit by flooding destroying a third of its crops. Basic medicines are in short supply. The five horsemen of the Russian Apocalypse are war, winter, famine, pestilence, and death.
Let's face it, the Soviets in WWII had it better than Russians have it now.
Russia has six horsemen of the apocalypse, the tsar, his name this time is Putin.
@@JohanLofgren-jc4mh I'll accept that.
I remember when there was nothing in the Russian shops in the 1990s when I was there.😊
That was the case in 1990 and 1991 before the collapse of the USSR. After that, I'm sure pretty much everything was available but the average folk was too poor to buy much.
❤❤❤❤ Jake Broe
❤Vlad Vexler
nice guy, but i stopped watching because he never gets to a point within an hour. He keeps taking detours and it just gives me an itch in my head.
@@CyberBeep_kenshi Yes, it's special, but the videos on the main channel are pretty straightforward.
The kid is outsmarted you Joe. Let’s be honest
Oh dear, potatoes going up in price? better stock up on the vodka.
Well we will just see wont we?
Dominik got a turkish hairtransplant it seems
😵💫😵💫
Temple Secretum
8:1 casualties is irrelevant when you have the access to the population Russia has. On professor Gerdes channel he had a breakdown of materiel and personnel Russia has access to by a think tank that exhaustively studied this. About mid 2027 for the tanks and artillery and NEVER ENDING for the personnel.
It didn't factor for economic collapse or overthrow, mainly just the things I mention.
There's plenty to play out yet - perhaps a full 3 years. This is how long the West has to supply military aid to Ukraine for if it wants Russia to fail.
Basically distilled down, the longer we meter out aid the way we are the more likely it will take the full 3 years. If we want this to end then we need to increase the aid by many many many times which will ultimately save us money.
Why then I ask, are we not doing this?
Three years is IMO an overly optimistic estimation in favor of Russia.
Their human resource is in fact running out a lot faster than that. In theory, Putin has indeed several tens of millions of able-bodied men to recruit from. In practice, even with the comparatively high wages for military contractors, it becomes increasingly difficult to find enough fools to just fill the gaps, let alone increase the number of Russians in Ukraine. If Russian daily casualties increase just a little bit more, we'll start seeing the Russian forces in Ukraine slowly but constantly getting thinned out until they are no longer combat capable anywhere on the contact line.
Tanks and artillery ... that's a way of looking at it. In theory, Russian tank reserves plus what tanks Russia can produce should last indeed for a few more years. In practice, however, armor is already scarce in various sectors of the front. That's the reason why Russians fare so badly in the north - they have almost run out of armor, and many if not most of their attacks are small groups of dismounted infantry only, with no support whatsoever. Russia did indeed start the war with a lot of artillery, but it's incapable of producing new barrels at the rate at which it looses them, because Ukraine's exquisite counter battery fire, using both artillery and drones. As such, Russian artillery runs increasingly hot. At this rate, barrels will become too few to sustain massive artillery barrages, rather sooner than later. That would deprive Russia of the last leg it stands on.
A somewhat famous quote attributed to Yogi Berra: "In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is."
Why are we (Americans) not?
Because Joe Biden never could get foreign policy right, and it's worse now.
Casualtie ratio favors Russia, not Ukraine. Population size favors Russia, not Ukraine. Artillery advantage favors Russia, not Ukraine. Air superiority favors Russia, not Ukraine. Do the math and finish dreaming...
@@TenylegMinekez-uc7co I don't know what you base your statements on, since you don't give any numbers.
Non-Ukrainian estimates for Russian to Ukrainian casualties in the fight for Vovchansk are as high as 10:1, even 20:1. Ukrainian estimates are much lower - just 5:1. How does such a casualty ratio favor Russia?
Population size isn't the only indicator. Ukraine can rely on its entire population, because all Ukrainians are affected by the Russian aggression. Russia can only rely on those stupid enough to enlist. Those are fewer and fewer, despite the high pay. As soon as Ukraine manages to kill off more Russians a month than Russia manages to recruit, the balance of forces will change dramatically. How does this favor Russia?
Artillery ... Russian artillery drags out ancient barrels and sends them to into battle, while Ukraine shoots modern, far reaching, precise howitzers provided by its allies. Russia's advantage in artillery has constantly decreased, since the war started, and continues to decrease - at some point, Ukraine's artillery will take over. How does this evolution favor Russia?
@@a0flj0 Well reasoned but the point in the vid was clear - much more Western aid is needed. Have you ever played that game Plague? It's like a graph from that game virus evolution vs cure race.
Ukraine might get there but at what cost?
Unfortunately the troll that commented on this thread has a valid point.
For example artillery round deficit has only fallen from 7:1 to 5:1. Well how's that going to work? Not very efficiently I'd assert. What if it was parity or 2:1 in favor?
The stingy used car salesman mentality of Western nations is knowingly using Ukrainian lives to do what we won't yet we're metering out aid in such a way that Ukraine wastes its most valuable asset - people.
I'm not a right/wrong, black/white, up/down, left and right kind of polarized thinking guy however on this occasion I have to say, it's wrong.
This aid BS is wrong. Every single US general says so. Every one. They've been saying since the beginning give Ukraine what it needs. 5x keeps being talked about.
Zelensky shouldn't have to be going through what he's going through but he damn well is - Why? Give them the effng military aid.
I'm only just getting started but I'll desist.
It is not a long yarn show or is it ?
Careful, lots of wishful thinking here. How do any of these prediction, that we've been hearing for the past 2 years, translate to the battle field?
"3 days to [Kiev]" and the rest of the syndrome is pretty wishful too.
The you tube channel decoding geopolitics had an interesting count of russian troops.
They inform the russian army now have 530.000 vs 420.000 troops in ukraine area now.
We thought the collapse of Yugoslavia was bad. Those frozen ethnic conflicts and ethnic cleansing that took place.
It will be awful in a collapsing Russian empire.
My worry is Trump becoming president again and helping Russia
Not the interest of America to help ruzzia.
Why would he do that? He helped arming Ukraine.
Errrr Jake, ever thought about the implications of a Trump win in November and US consequent withdrawal from Nato couples with Le Pen taking control of the French parliament?
Jake did video.... and has talked of it.... Trump elected could mean they have secret deal already being negotiated with Putin via delegates that would mean pressuring ukraine to peace and give territories. NATO would not change, just ukraine situation. Le Pen is big question mark but could align with Trump plans to appease Putin.
Trump ALWAYS loses. It's a fundamental part of the Universe.
Trump is not going to withdraw the U.S. from NATO.
Potatoes! How will 🇷🇺 make vodka without 🇺🇦 wheat! 🦝
wait arent potatoes a vital strategic war material for the russian military to make vodka?
Seems unfair to say that Russians have an unlimited capacity for suffering. Maybe some see it as a badge of honor to suffer, but many, especially outside Moscow and St. Petersburg are so used to living in privation that they have never known otherwise. They know how how to survive and just get on with it. Maybe it will change if hunger really becomes an issue. On top of that the population is very widely dispersed, and there is no opposition to organize widespread shows of anger against the Kremlin. In reality, at least in the regions, the war in Ukraine is more likely seen as a way out of poverty, rather that the cause of their problems.
it can be seen as many as possible seek to leave russia for decades if they find a way. especially those who have visited neighboring countries. war in ukraine is very logical: if you could 4-5x your salary let alone get that job from unemployment, nobody would hesitate in west. in that way it resembles what people have told how they went to iraq to fight and were young 20yo who really knew nothing other than their task there.
They know how to SURVIVE?They know a DAM LOT MORE THAN THAT.To compare the ordinary Russian,to the ordinary American" Whatvis an ordinary American?Does such a CREATURE live?" would be like comparing a TODLER to an ADULT.Russians are fighting an existential fight on their hands after comments from the like of Mrs.Kaja Kalis,that Russia needs to be broken,to smaller countries,TO WHICH RUSSIANS ARE RESPONDING: COME AND GET SOME
Autocrats & dictators starve their populations deliberately .
The logic is if the vast majority is hard at it just to survive they are not likely to raise an army & rebel
Five minutes out for the capital of any dictatorship & electricity ends. 5 km more & the roads go to dirt , then there is no sewerage and finally no running water .
There was a video on YT over a year ago done by a russian that was interesting .He was asking an old woman what difference re-electing putin would make
It went like this
Under the Tzar my great grand mother lived in this house, she milked the goat , drew water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house
We got rid of the Tzars and my grand mother lived in this house, she milked the goat , drew water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house
We got rid of Stalin and my mother lived in this house, she milked the goat , drew water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house
We got rid of theUSSR and I live in this house, I milked the goat , drew water from the well in the village & collect wood from the forest to cook my food & heat the house
My daughter will live in this house, milk the goat , draw water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house
My grand daughter will live in this house, milk the goat , draw water from the well in the village & collected wood from the forest to cook her food & heat the house
Now who is the putin fellow & what is he going to do for me ?
You are right, the war in Ukraine _is_ seen by many Russians as a way out of poverty - by the ones that enlist. However, not all Russians are that stupid. More than two years into the war, despite Putin's propaganda, whoever wants to know how Russia fares in Ukraine knows. Which is why only the most stupid among the Russians enlist. Which is also why recently Russia has a problem recruiting enough fresh meat to just fill the gaps.
In Russia, we have a proverb - "Пока толстый сохнет, тонкий сдохнет", which loosely translates as - while a fat man gets skinny, a thin man starves to death.
Yes, Russians are very resilient and accustomed to struggling. But, on the other hand, many of them are already living hand-to-mouth with debts and no savings, and have little ability to cut expenses even more. In other words, they're already close to their limits and can't take much more.
Since 2022, i said russia will repeat 1917 and 1991..
with that in mind, 1917 russia was big empire and lasted only some 3 years of WW1 and now russia is quickly closing in 3year mark of this special operation and still going on. maybe chinese have started forcing people fighting there explaining some.
@@effexon It's not yet three years now. Chances are, Russia's collapse isn't that far away.
I have also been saying this RN.
I quote often from Solzhenitsyn 'August 1914', giving the trolls the ol';
'In the Russian army of 1914, rearguards did not surrender and live.
Rearguards died.'
They love it!
And I never thought I'd witness the break up of a supposed 'Superpower' in my lifetime.
Twice!
What are you talking about?
Ukraine will need continuous support from the EU and US. Same message every day, and eventually, Russia will start to suffer.
All the more reason to support the Biden Administration, suppliers must continue to help Ukraine, we in Australia are doing our bit, even if Trump gets into the White House.
@@johntomasini3916 Australian support has been great. All eyes are on US elections at the moment.
History teaches us that Russian governments collapsing, or at least facing a uprisings that come very near to causing it to collapse, as the result of losing a war is the rule and not the exception. (Ref. 1905, 1918, 1989.)
Potatoes went from $ 0.6 per kh to $1 per kg 😳 thats going to shake Russians economy real good 🤦♂️
Price of liquid potatoes skyrocket 😂
If you only have 50¢ to pay for them it will .
Now if it was only potatoes that have gone up that would b fine but everything is going up at a rate of knots
Decades of neglect have taken a massive toll on the economy
This years harvest is expected to be down 40% electricity ( for those who have it ) is up 20% petrol is up 15% gas is up 11 % rail fares are up 50% and so it goes on.
Remember you have to compare cost to wages IN THE COUNTRY not in your country .
Remember russian get very low wages
Russians are poor, when the price of everything doubles that's not good for the average Russian.
Russia has to win and Ukraine just has to not lose. Every day Ukraine is getting stronger as Russia is in a nose dive.
You are right of course but there is no "Win" in this conflict. ruzzia has an estimated 1.5 million casualties, Ukraine over 150,000 casualties with over 5 million of its people dispersed as refugees. The most one can say is that one side will prevail while the other side is completely defeated. "Every war is lost before it began." [Sun Tzu]
Go to LA or any major cities, free shopping!
Putin’s bought his bullet on the toilet from his own FSB agents - good outcome.
Hopefully, we'll see an independent Siberia aligned with the west, Kallingrad as an independent nation and maybe an independent St. Petersburg too. All of these regions suffer from rule from Moscow. All free and democratic.
What will happen if Russia does not collapse as Jake Broe suggests?
Is the Kidd using makeup? He looks like a doll!