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Finally, an expert on molecular dynamics simulations of radiation damage in ceramics and not just another bitcoin cycle expert. I tried listening again and again to what you said after ceramics, but those words are too large for my little brain 😂 Keep up the great work Ben!
7:05 I was distracted by my cat for a minute and when I looked back at the video I heard him say: "Do you see it? It's pretty clear" while looking at his 'decorated' chart. I'm so going to print and frame that masterpiece, name it 'Pretty Clear' and hang it up my wall. 😆
@javierblanco i think the same thing whenever i see the trades going through the chains and the volume it has to fight at certain levels looks super high because a lot of the bots are just running the same AI Parameters, so now just tons of very simillar if not the same buys and sells back to back forever until they make enough money. which isn't ever possible
why is everyone so impatient? just chill out and continue to DCA at these lower prices. A lesson to many, never FOMO all into the market, always have cash on hand so you can plan for market volatility.
@@scottellis8689 lesson to you for next cycle, always have cash on hand, never FOMO all into the market. As ben says "hope for the best, but plan for the worse"
If fed cuts, inflation spikes again, if they don't cut and government has to pay back all these high interest treasuries, our debt crisis is going to explode more. We are just fucked
Some of my best crypto portfolio choices have been made with Ben's guidance in these videos over the years. After not having the longer videos for a few weeks, I appreciate them a lot more when they hit. I feel like I'm potentially making mistakes without them since I've grown to rely on them so much over time. Always great and different perspectives than the average channel, although nobody knows for sure. Frankly your channel's more needed now than ever because of gems like this and macro uncertainties. I for one am thankful for every longer video you put out that isnt about tesla.
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Real Alpha. Speculation is such a powerful reminder, when you find yourself being so sure about anything. Thank you Ben. Would love to listen to you speaking about the future of energy development and specifically about nuclear power. Greetings from dark Germany :)))
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Interesting point but Double Asymmetric Impacts, Dynamic Correlations, and Risk Management Amidst Market Risks: A Comparative Study between the US and China would be more pertinent here
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Fyi⏱Timestamps are created for videos that are an hour or longer-also for Ben’s NFA Live show, the Collaboration Series videos and the weekly ITC Premium AMA livestreams-Enjoy👍
It would make sense about the fed lowering rates before any signs of a recession or drop coming. Would probably minimize said potential drop a bit, too, no?
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Then why did the first peak of the previous cycle correlated to a rising yield instead of falling yield? And narrative follows price then why is the btc price correlated to the yieldcurve and not the other way around? 😅
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It dropped because the economy might be saying stagflation, and it was very obvious from the start of the day after news dropped at 10am. Bitcoin still follows the mag seven unfortunately.
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Hi Ben, Are you using the 10 year yield as it is an accurate reflection of the current interest rates on borrowing? Why is this metric significant? Great video , Thankyou!
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I dunno, the plan for tariffs, tax cuts, deregulation and the pressure to get borrowing rates low so the US can roll over 30 percent of it’s debt this year feels pretty inflationary.
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Fyi⏱Timestamps are created for videos that are an hour or longer-also for Ben’s NFA Live show, the Collaboration Series videos and the weekly ITC Premium AMA livestreams-Enjoy👍
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ETH/USD probably bottomed in 2022, I doubt that we are gonna see that $1k-ish price again. Yes, sub $2k is obviously possible, but I cant see the price lower than $1500(ish).
20 days pump.. 1/5 month bear run... Will we ever smell the bullrun ? These situations never happened in 2021 january! Alts were flying 100-200% till 20 jan 2021
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Ben, thank you for these videos and the detailed explanation. I learn a ton from you. Your videos are so insightful that when you upload longer form videos (like 30 mins plus) I’m out here taking notes. Thanks for all you do. Wen sequel to Bitcoin: The Movie!!!
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Yep it’s called the Dunning-Kruger effect. See it like CRAZY in my field. Someone loses 10 lbs and suddenly acts like they have a PHD in exercise science lol. And honestly I was the same way. 2 years into my journey I thought I knew it all. Now 16 years in (and still always learning) I look back at how little I know and how stupid what I thought was back then.
Great content Ben. I didn't realize your software included those metrics on jobs data, bonds etc...I will be looking into a subscription tomorrow. Thanks again
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Your videos are super informative and you have a way of clearly explaining things that most people including myself don’t understand! What I don’t understand is who invested in bitcoin gives a rats fuck about all these metrics and would actually sell based on all these factors??? I’m I wrong to assume if everyone invested would just ignored the bs and kept buying or hodling it would be better? All this up and down is just based on people unable to control their emotions, I’m a relative newbie to investing but it seems to me that my way of not freaking out over the day to day crap is a better strategy than most employ…
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You thought you were jumping into the cryptoverse, but you found yourself in the macroverse.
☝️lol🧐-notice how the *Real Ben* is highlighted and TH-cam verified☑️
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Fake out 😮
@@intothecryptoverse please say what your dissertation was again but ten times in a row.
But daaaad
Can you skip to the part where I get my Lambo?
Lol
😂😂😂
So retail is back huh
Get it on loan and by the time the bank starts coming at you for repo in a few months your bitcoin will be able to pay them off
34:37
Finally, an expert on molecular dynamics simulations of radiation damage in ceramics and not just another bitcoin cycle expert.
I tried listening again and again to what you said after ceramics, but those words are too large for my little brain 😂
Keep up the great work Ben!
Watching Ben's videos is my safe place.
1:39 1:39 😊
7:05 I was distracted by my cat for a minute and when I looked back at the video I heard him say: "Do you see it? It's pretty clear" while looking at his 'decorated' chart. I'm so going to print and frame that masterpiece, name it 'Pretty Clear' and hang it up my wall. 😆
If you had watched him draw it, you would have seen that it was, in fact, extremely clear.
@@scottellis8689 It was, once I rewinded to where I got. ;-)
🤣
Ben I think its just liquidation levels that make it juicy for the Market Makers to take the price there and enjoy some liquidation fees
We needed this. Thank you Ben
This was just a liquidation event
I feel like that's what 90% of price movement is, just market makers stop hunting
@javierblanco i think the same thing whenever i see the trades going through the chains and the volume it has to fight at certain levels looks super high because a lot of the bots are just running the same AI Parameters, so now just tons of very simillar if not the same buys and sells back to back forever until they make enough money. which isn't ever possible
Complete denial. At the final top you'll be saying the same crap. Rinse repeat
Occam's razor
I saw them stacking up underneath us, it looked like 94k was the target
Crypto bros getting rich and quitting their 9-5 is the reason why the unemployment rate going up.
Ahaha brilliant. That really is a case of the snake eating its own tail
LOL
Can't believe i heard this whole video even when eyes were closed
We are stuck in a parallel wtf-verse..
why is everyone so impatient? just chill out and continue to DCA at these lower prices. A lesson to many, never FOMO all into the market, always have cash on hand so you can plan for market volatility.
I would but I'm all out of cash.
@@scottellis8689 lesson to you for next cycle, always have cash on hand, never FOMO all into the market. As ben says "hope for the best, but plan for the worse"
These prices are not so cheap anymore.
Bagz full
@@easterislandhead9579 do you not work or earn an income?
i love these long videos ben. Do not listen to dummies telling u to do 5-8 min videos
Keep it simple. Buy in the bear, hold and don't sell - ever. Ignore all news. Done.
I’m sure he just looks at his video analytics
I love the dummies that say "don't sell ever". So how do you realize profit? Can't buy anything with paper gains.
Market's in doubt, Ben to the rescue. Great vid.
If fed cuts, inflation spikes again, if they don't cut and government has to pay back all these high interest treasuries, our debt crisis is going to explode more. We are just fucked
Printing and exploding btc is their only way out
They will cut but the gov will try to reduce energy prices helping lower inflation
I agree, this is all going bazook 🤣
what do you all think the all time high bitcoin might reach this year?
Evening from Scotland 🏴 👍❤️
Hello Mate!
Watching from Cumbernauld over here
Some of my best crypto portfolio choices have been made with Ben's guidance in these videos over the years. After not having the longer videos for a few weeks, I appreciate them a lot more when they hit. I feel like I'm potentially making mistakes without them since I've grown to rely on them so much over time. Always great and different perspectives than the average channel, although nobody knows for sure. Frankly your channel's more needed now than ever because of gems like this and macro uncertainties.
I for one am thankful for every longer video you put out that isnt about tesla.
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Real Alpha. Speculation is such a powerful reminder, when you find yourself being so sure about anything. Thank you Ben. Would love to listen to you speaking about the future of energy development and specifically about nuclear power. Greetings from dark Germany :)))
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Molecular dynamic simulations of radiation damage in ceramics and in-situ transmission electron microscopy FTW!
Interesting point but Double Asymmetric Impacts, Dynamic Correlations, and Risk Management Amidst Market Risks: A Comparative Study between the US and China would be more pertinent here
33:29 - 34:32 is such a great mission statement
Nice analysis Ben
Ben, we need more videos like this please 🙏
Thank you.
You should do a video on how tariffs would affect the economy
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Who’s economy?
Inflation for the USA.
Love that Ben. Best spent 37 minutes since forever.
We were at 15.5k 2 years ago and people are whining over a 5% down day. Go back sp500 and make bs money. Volatility is the price of performance.
Oh boy, you will definitely make someone rich. Not you, but someone.
I bought at 16k too soooo... @JoaoCosta-ly1sw
Amazing! I've never had such a short but logical explanation of this subject in my life! Wonderful work!
Among the best content creators/analysts on YT. Thanks Ben.
It's never been tested with this dramatic yeild curve since this bitcoins inception in 2008
What ceramics, Ben?
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2 mos ago it was around $70k. Chill out guys
Sir we are at levels not seen in days!!!
Awesome macro analysis not entirely crypto focused thanks!
Long end of yield curve video = BTC dominance video.
Great content as usual ! 👍
Thanks, GREAT update!!!! Sending joy and gratitude♥
great video ... neither too long nor too short - just perfect :)
If narrative follows Price, what really drives the price (for what reason)?
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Oh boy I can't wait for this subject
Whats do you mean by left and right translated cycles?
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Bear longer than bull and vice versa.
Much appreciated Ben!
Thanks Ben, that was a class...thanks a lot.
timestamp?
Fyi⏱Timestamps are created for videos that are an hour or longer-also for Ben’s NFA Live show, the Collaboration Series videos and the weekly ITC Premium AMA livestreams-Enjoy👍
great vid, thanks Ben.
Great info.! Thanks Ben!!
Please keep up these long formats Ben. We are loving them, they made this channel what it is.🙏🏼
I love Exotic Yield-Curves! Thanks for your views on the long end Ben!
Thank you Ben
the first time in years cowen has veered from his usual video titles
Impressive analysis, Ben! Thank you :)
I don’t understand why people sell bitcoin if other people don’t have job 😅
Thanks Ben. Helps me to understand how the markets are going.
It would make sense about the fed lowering rates before any signs of a recession or drop coming. Would probably minimize said potential drop a bit, too, no?
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30min is just the length i wanted
thanks Ben
my brother...WTF did you say your dissertation was on?! LOL.
Then why did the first peak of the previous cycle correlated to a rising yield instead of falling yield? And narrative follows price then why is the btc price correlated to the yieldcurve and not the other way around? 😅
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Hey Ben can you do an Introduction to Macroeconomics 101 lecture for us?
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would be awesome
Just keep watching you'll get it.
I’m so happy Sheldon is a TH-camr now
He already was. He just changed niche.
Your insight is priceless Ben! Always appreciated 🤝
It dropped because the economy might be saying stagflation, and it was very obvious from the start of the day after news dropped at 10am. Bitcoin still follows the mag seven unfortunately.
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Not sure what of the things you wrote is the wrongest, but its close between all of them.
i am veeery excited 🙂
Really good analysis Ben, i learned alot and enjoyed listening to this vid. Cheers mate
Thanks Ben for your time and thoughts.
Benjamin’s video duration is also picking up like the 10y yield 😊
If interest rates go very much higher banks start failing - Bitcoin 🚀
Hi Ben,
Are you using the 10 year yield as it is an accurate reflection of the current interest rates on borrowing? Why is this metric significant?
Great video , Thankyou!
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benji stopped talking english at 34:34
ben really needs a hype man
You right- Most armchair experts suffer under Dunning Kruger Effect
Thx ben
Wow, thanks for every video you made, are great
We need to consider AI as a New Entrant as well?
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This is so informative I have to play it again
I dunno, the plan for tariffs, tax cuts, deregulation and the pressure to get borrowing rates low so the US can roll over 30 percent of it’s debt this year feels pretty inflationary.
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It’s definitely something to watch next few weeks. Equities might be really reactionary. Great analysis Ben
Timestamps please
00:00 BTC.D
The END
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How long after ETH/BTC bottom did ETH USD take to bottom?
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ETH/USD probably bottomed in 2022, I doubt that we are gonna see that $1k-ish price again. Yes, sub $2k is obviously possible, but I cant see the price lower than $1500(ish).
Thank you
20 days pump.. 1/5 month bear run... Will we ever smell the bullrun ? These situations never happened in 2021 january! Alts were flying 100-200% till 20 jan 2021
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Ben, thank you for these videos and the detailed explanation. I learn a ton from you. Your videos are so insightful that when you upload longer form videos (like 30 mins plus) I’m out here taking notes. Thanks for all you do. Wen sequel to Bitcoin: The Movie!!!
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Good question
34:43 pardon me?
You are pardoned......
Long vids FTW!
Yep it’s called the Dunning-Kruger effect. See it like CRAZY in my field. Someone loses 10 lbs and suddenly acts like they have a PHD in exercise science lol. And honestly I was the same way. 2 years into my journey I thought I knew it all. Now 16 years in (and still always learning) I look back at how little I know and how stupid what I thought was back then.
34:30 words to live by
Great content Ben. I didn't realize your software included those metrics on jobs data, bonds etc...I will be looking into a subscription tomorrow. Thanks again
Do Ai will affect BTC sir? Big company like nvidia and amd talk alot about ai thing at the CES 2025.
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FML!! I got liquidated!
Greed kills bro.
Stop trading crypto, simple solution
Why were you long?
stop gambling with leverage trades, the market preys on people like you
Haha moron.
It’s down because some major alt coins started to pump. It’s really that simple. It’s been dumping anytime alts start a move up.
Has anyone else noticed the similarities between eth/btc last cycle and sol/btc this cycle?
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Bitcoin winter is here….. hold on.
„You can blame it on the boogie“
molecular dynamics simulations of radiation damage in ceramics and in situ transmission electron microscopy.. it all makes sense now 🤔
I’m not sure I’m enjoying this new short video formatting…. What happened to the longer videos ? ;)
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FINALLY 37 minutes of pure bliss❤😂❤🎉🎉😂😊😊❤😂🎉😂❤😂🎉
What a question: more sellers than buyers wacko 😮
Your videos are super informative and you have a way of clearly explaining things that most people including myself don’t understand! What I don’t understand is who invested in bitcoin gives a rats fuck about all these metrics and would actually sell based on all these factors??? I’m I wrong to assume if everyone invested would just ignored the bs and kept buying or hodling it would be better? All this up and down is just based on people unable to control their emotions, I’m a relative newbie to investing but it seems to me that my way of not freaking out over the day to day crap is a better strategy than most employ…
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Can you do short videos and the long videos , I love the short videos . I love the long videos . Do the short videos do the long videos
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But no medium ones. Everyone would hate those
BOOM 💥 BOOM 💥
Oh I panic! Trying to get more money to throw at it! Hahaha buy the dip!!! 🤘
Thanks