Ukraine Conflict (20240502): Full Frontline Update, What Now? Strategic Analysis
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 19 พ.ค. 2024
- Here is a run through the frontlines for the Ukraine conflict.
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0:00 Start
0:10 flu
29:05 What Now? Analysis
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Thank you, Jonathan for the front line update👍👍
Zhenya says Och er re tin ye. I think Reporting from Ukraine uses an automated translation system that sometimes pronounces things weird, like General Ser sky instead of Ser skee.
Good evening team, thanks Jonathan
If Fred Kagan and Bill Kristol are upbeat on Ukraine’s chances at the end of the summer you should be worried. You will have a hard time finding anyone with as many failed predictions as those two.
Sad but true.
Great frontline update JP.
Thank you! 💛💙
Howdy JP! I’ve thought about how effective ATACMS would be on the frontlines as well, and it led me down a rabbit hole of other cluster capabilities in the US arsenal, and it turns out the US has shorter range cluster rockets that can be fired out of HIMARS/M270 called the M26, and they also have an air launched cluster bomb compatible with F-16s called the JSOW-A. I wonder if the US would be willing to send either of those capabilities soon?
I totally agree. I know after 2008 many of the M26 rockets were either converted to dummy training rounds or sold. I have been trying to find out how many we have left. I think it's still in the 300k range.
great video Jonathan , lots of helpful information
Take care team!
Thanks for the great update Jonathan. Cheers
Produce,produce, produce...production race...is on!
Thank you Jonathan ❤ JR ❤ Love to all ❤ 🫂
Evening JP 👍🖐
Thanks. Great update.
I think the reason for the Russian forces around the Kursk and Belgrod Regions is cause of the Forces that went over the border from Ukraine weeks ago. The Free RU Legion and them. That is why I think they are their...
If the ATACMS have the same issues as GLSDB then you don't want them used anywhere near your troops. I saw somewhere, it was said that the EW is affecting them too and that's why the Luhansk training ground, only one of 3 were on target. They may have been mistaken, I don't know.
@@johnboie4964 👋😊 Thank you John. That's good to know. Maybe the 2 strikes which appeared to be off target were actually targeting something else 🤔 ❤️
Does anyone know if the mine fields are helping Ukraine ?
Ukrainian minefields are very helpful. Pause the overnight news when the verified loss spreadsheet is on the screen. "mine" is a frequent cause for a vehicle to get destroyed or damaged.
The Ukrainian minefields funnel Russian attacks. For example, a narrow column following a mine roller. Even when the mines themselves don't directly stop an attack, they limit the attacker's options.
Every time I comment youtube deletes it 😒
It's frustrating I know
👋
You see how Ukraine struggled without US aid and solely was reliant on Europe? Thats the same boat Europe would be in without the US as well. Even with the full back of Europe apparently, it was essentially nothing, and led to Ukrainian lines collapsing.
Perhaps you guys should stop relying on that free lunch.
Hence Europe is massively
increasing production of arms and Europe realising that US (the only country to invoke article 5) is not a reliable ally.
So you can maybe post about something else.
@@NikkiOwen too bad it's not retroactive. Making you guys essentially useless and even more unreliable. If we were under attack, not only would you guys be absolutely worthless. We'd be able to handle it ourselves. You literally can not say the same.
Not only that, NATO is fracturing within Europe with Greece and Turkey at each other's throats, and then there's also Hungary sympathetic to Putin... not to mention Britain throwing in their lot with US over NATO through AUKUS, because they know who has the bigger stick. Once again... We'll be fine, with or without you. And you guys might just be late to your own party.
Good luck you guys. Wish you listened earlier.
Russia casualties losses for nine day is what 10.000
50 thousand troops is a large number for sure but spread across three attack vectors then not so much considering the daily losses Russia sustained as of now and if the ammunition supply reaches the frontlines and the longer range artillery pieces on its way arrives with in the next week then maybe the enemy will have a much bigger problem the losses are going to rise beyond current figures it makes sense to me
Jonathan.... again, and again, and again.... Ukraine must, absolutely must, cut the avenues of Russian logistics, if Ukraine is to achieve its objectives. Ukraine has not done that, and apparently has not been enabled to do that. Unforunately that is very necessary. We have also discussed a few very fundamental battlefield strategies that must be mastered and practiced that are still scarce or non existent on the battlefield. Unfortunately that too is a problem, but we know that it is a problem that arises from insufficient heavy guns, artillery, and missiles. Without sufficient assets the necessary strategies cannot be effected and the battlefield remains a brutal slugging it out with the Russians, which in itself gives the Russians significant superiority, on a statistical and tactical basis. I am not going to go over those fundamentals again, but the evidence as to reports, from both sides, as to battlefield events, is clearly indicative of what is wrong.
Why do people think russia will do a big offensive in summer when all there offensives have always been in winter Russians defend in summer in nice dry trenches
It is still not a conflict but a brutal invasion.
Russia might have deployed 50.000 troops but their in the wrong area, Russia needs these at Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan and wherever the Russian volunteers are. Not where they have put them.
Denys Davidov has a different POV from you about your contention that if rus had specific resource, new tanks in this case, they would use them as they came available. Denys Davidov suggests that rus is "saving" it's newly produced tanks for use all at once, "in the right place". Eh ... maybe:
th-cam.com/video/TKvxvi0lcjA/w-d-xo.html
yes, quite possibly. I think that could be happening, I just disagree that this is a good idea. They are waiting to use them when the Ukrainians will be stronger.
@@ATPGeo It could be a "good idea" IF they were holding back enough new machines to equip a powerful unit. One that would be powerful enough to overcome Ukrainian opposition.
It just doesn't seem to be the way the russians work. Like you say, they use it almost as fast as they can make it ...
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Who likes Macron's statement that he would send French troops to Ukraine?
A demcratic vote, about swapping to a totalitarian dictatorship.
...
Funny!
Macron is a fool who thinks he’s Napoleon. He couldn’t even stop France getting kicked out of Africa by a much of mercs and tribal warlords, now e thinks he can fight Russia. Yea good luck with that.
the
playing videos that aren't yours. weak. like that Dr. geredes guy who has never once produced his own content.
Whatever
thanks to the republicane "s they lost all this grond and adivca nice history for them i never vergive them
Russia has been going forward long before that
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G'day Jonnie, my head is spinning mate, my government has put out a online census on whether the government was quick enough and supporting enough in its efforts towards Ukraine. So I've been pointing out a lot of your points and analysis (&my 2 bob) so that people saying stupid Russian propaganda will get a different veiw🙄 hopefully 🫣🤗👍🫵👏🍻👍🇺🇦🇬🇧🇦🇺🇬🇪🇿🇦
I want to point this out to people if you are referencing the Australian consultation.
@@ATPGeo That's it👍