As I was just about to release this video, the US House voted to approve the $95 billion aid package for America's allies that includes $61 billion worth of additional funding for Ukraine. This will undoubtedly have a huge impact on the future course of events in Europe, and if you want to learn more about last year's huge Ukrainian counteroffensive, check out this video's companion episode in Modern Conflict on Nebula here nebula.tv/videos/reallifelore-modern-conflicts-the-2023-ukraine-counteroffensive In addition to my monthly Modern Conflicts videos on Nebula, I'm also posting monthly videos to Nebula in my new series called War Room, which provides monthly updates from active conflicts happening all around the world. The second episode of this new series covering the major global events of March can be seen here nebula.tv/videos/reallifelore-march-2024-recap-isis-ukraine-and-haiti Thanks!
This reality is the direct result of decades of neocon foreign policy disrespecting and using other nations as pawns. It didn't have to be this way, this would have never happened if Trump was elected. Love him or hate him, a strong American leader is the best determent. A demented American leader is an invitation for chaos. How this is so difficult to understand to the majority of America shows how low information our voters are.
@@chargedbowl fine in that case I think this can also be understand as major historical events, threatening major escalation in conflict. That would do just fine I think.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
This time Poland is well prepered and in alliance with a serious ally (USA), unlike Britain and France who just watched as the Germans and Soviets invade in 1939. Greetings from Slovenia.
@@mickpeterson3722 I mean.. all jokes aside. It's a very difficult task to be more prepared for war than to have 31 military alies, including some of the most advanced economies in the world... if sh*t happens... then sh*t happens... but objectively how can a country prepare more than what we have in 2024? The only thing left is to be a better neighbour than we were for our NATO allies. Our previous government wasn't really nice towards Germany. We need to fix that and be thankful for the the modern day cooperation. Many polish people don't want any reparations.
It's true that nazi appeasment and phony war was the worst decision of France and Britain (not the USA since they just didn't care at the time). We must not, and will not make the same mistake again. Thinking that the USA is the reliable partner right now totally eludes me. Like, did you watch the video? The USA might not respond when we need them, or be occupied in the Pacific. Europe must be ready to face the crisis alone. In the USA join in, it's better of course, but we cannot expect them.
@@kacperzimowski4626 już jesteśmy pod okupacji. co mi obchodzi czy to globusi z zachodu czy Putin z Rosji. pozatym wiadomo kto w tej wojnie jest prowokatorem
Damn, it does feel rather uncanny to sit in a city, 30km away from Belarusian Border, casually watching a video of how your entire country would be invaded
@@jaemate21 no, the united states was telling Ukraine that Russians build up on its borders was for an invasion. Russia was saying it was just for a military exercise and that there would be no invasion. Ukraine believed the Russians and did not prepare. they got invaded and the rest is history.
Watching Real Life Lore videos normally: Dang, world is a crazy and complicated place. I sure love learning about it! Seeing a Real Life Lore video with my country in the thumbnail: Well fuck
Family find of mine is a nuclear strategist for nato got deployed to Latvia about 4 years ago I think this isn't far from what might happen unfortunately
as a lithuanian - it’s hard not to think about the war. even at a school concert for mother’s day you hear songs about peace and wishing to grow up without war
Whelp, i dont think baning russian cars, tv chanels and even forcing russians to leave you country really helps you a lot with this idea, imo. Like what kind of relationship you expect to achieve with those kind of actions
@@sgthope3810 We do not plan to maintain relations with terrorist Russia. Fortunately, Finland and Sweden are NATO and Königsberg is a direct target of our NATO. Europe's biggest problem is liberals, left-wing people and politicians and countries in Southern Europe, which always treat Russia like street girls. Fortunately, Ukraine, Poland and the Baltic States opened their eyes to Europe. For 30 years, we have been talking about what is Europe's biggest threat. The awakening is painful, but the killer is not to be bargained with. Today, some in Europe behave like they did in the late 1930s. Trading with the two tyrants Stalin and Hitler. This time we will not be a lamb on the altar of your comfort and peace.
Mind Begs the Question: - When Governed by Politicians - Who justify Starvation,Death Camps,Gassing/White Phosphorus,Ethnic Cleansing,etc - Governed by Righteous or Satanic?
At first, it was just news from far away places, riots in Spain, Japan continued to plunder land in East Asia, the French claimed that the Maginot Line was impregnable, until... no one could escape the fate of being involved.
>September 1st 1939 Hitler invades Poland >France and Britain embargo Germany and begin sending Poland tanks and artillery >By November 1941 the Bismarck was sunk by Polish coastal artillery, the German army advanced to near Warsaw before withdrawing, calling it a feint, the frontlines have remained almost static for the past year, Germany has run out of Panzer IV and IIIs and is running low on Panzer IIs, while Poland has just received new American M3 Lees
Yes they absolutely did. At least the ones who were paying attention did. Countless contemporary quotes saying the end of the Great War was more like a temporary truce than an actual ending. And it became increasingly obvious another war was coming when the National Socialists came into power considering Adolf openly outlined his plans to go east into Russia within his book. And even before then the Allies were increasingly concerned about instability in Germany.
@@hawawah8671 yes and in an alliance that surprise everyone the USSR crossed the borders and invade Poland subjugate half the country and funding Germany to their war with UK and France. Damn if I was living their I would surely realized that hell is coming.
Sensible words my friend. Imagine that money being spent on global warming or generally improving the quality of life for people who need it. We are all human 😢should show each other more ❤.
Dead men tell no tales; we are witnessing a rise in the number of wars around the world as the survivors of world wars are gone, leaving us to grasp the horrors.
Not really, lets look at 1980-1990, we have Soviet-Afghan War Iran-Iraq War Salvadoran Civil War Eritrean Civil War Falklands War Israeli Invasion of Lebanon First Intifada Sri Lankan Civil War US Invasion of Grenada US Invasion of Panama Yemeni Civil War The Iran-Iraq War dwarfs any of the ongoing wars in terms of scale and casualties, with 1-2 million casualties, and it isn't like anyone learned lessons or anything since within a year of it ending we had the First Gulf War, not to mention that in the late 90s and early 2000s the Congolese Civil War killed over 5 million people.
Good guy Russia trying to prevent that by creating countless victims of war that can tell their sad tales. Its an all misunderstood invasion of world peace. Putin is basically Jesus hahaha
I'm on the other side of the world. I feel you E.U. nation. I live in the Philippines and we face china's aggression at the sea everyday, inch by inch they are slowly encroaching our sovereignty. 🇵🇭🇪🇺
Hello from Europe, a few days ago I was thinking about places to go in case a war erupts. Thought about Asia and realized there are lots of countries in the same situation, like your country or Taiwan or South Korea. I don't get it, almost all people on this planet just want to live a peaceful life and have a BBQ with their friends in the evening. But there are some individuals that call themselves "leaders" and make people fight and die for their interests.
@@diecksl Sadly bruh ur logic doesn't fit here... U can't amass 30K troops for years if they don't want...They know they will eventually die there or atleast many of them... Then why don't they raise their voice against those leaders... So it's not about leaders it's about people... Leaders are born from people... U have to win the narrative battle in todays world.. And u can't win that when u will give platforms to core Hamas and khomeinei sympathizers in ur country..
One politician, I don't remember which country, her words stuck with me. I quote "Russia does not care about the rights of its citizens in its own country, but only about its citizens of other countries".
28:03 Citing a _2016_ study on NATO readiness levels to the Baltics? From 10 years ago? That wouldn't be valid even if the Russians hadn't invaded Ukraine.
yeah, thats a pretty big miss without birning that up and talking about the limitations and then doing a "lets see if this and newer info can tell us about now" sort of thing.
Not rly he was just citing from the report how much time it takes for a tank corp to reach those cities ? It had nothing to do with military power or NATO reponses?
Russia does not produce 1.500 tanks per year. They produce and refurbish 1.500 tanks per year. They produce around 200-300 tanks per year- Thats quite a huge difference @4:04
They are still ramping up and they can build much more complex missile systems and also planes which cost more money and time. They will reach that number in 2-3 years at the very least fully. I also dont belive that Russia is building 1500 tanks per year however what are your sources on that 200-300 number. We all know the news about Russians not being able to build either missiles or artillary shells or air defence systems or planes or shovels or toilets etc.
@@muratbayraktar5035 They are not going to reach considerably higher numbers in the next couple of years, Production increases so far have mainly been achieved by extending shifts and 24/6 work weeks. For an additional increase, they would need new machinery and so forth. I doubt Russia would even need 1.500 new tanks per year. You shouldnt underestimate Russias MIC. But you also shouldnt overestimate it. The war is relatively close. Both sides can win as of right now, both sides can loose. There is the TH-camr Covert Cabal who counts tanks with satelite imagery. I forgot the exact number, but his numbers indicate about 1.000 old soviet tanks leaving the storage facilities per year. You can count along if you would like. I can also highly recomend Perun on that topic. He does hour long videos on defense economic every sunday. In his Ukraine Update videos he also goes quite deeply into the loss and production data. Also a quick google search brought up an article from cnn, where it reads: "It is churning out about 125 tanks a month, but the vast majority are older models that have been refurbished. About 86% of the main battle tanks Russia produced in 2023 were refurbished, the NATO official said. And although Russia has about 5,000 tanks in storage, “probably a large percentage of those can’t be refurbished and are only good for cannibalizing parts,” the official said."
It’s not really like Russia can just swipe the baltics in one go. Everyone said they could to Ukraine, that didn’t happen. If there was a clear mass of Russian troops along the borders of the baltics, there would be a lot of NATO troops in Poland ready to counterattack Kaliningrad. Not to mention there would like be plenty of NATO assets placed in the baltics and nearby states to defend.
господи, украину не пинд.рят, потому что это сво, а не война. там наши родственники и все такое. это как брат с аутизмом. прибалты нам никто и всем на них плевать
The Baltic’s are far weaker than Ukraine with only a few million people they will collapse quickly without nato intervention when Russia first invaded Ukraine they captured a lot of Ukraine people and millions of Ukraine r under Russian occupation Baltic’s stand no chance
baltics have a total population of 3.5 mln, which is twice less than ONE Russian city of St. Petersburg. Most of the population are grannies, you can't possibly compare it to Ukraine's: 1. vast territory. 2. huge and much younger population. 3. It's locked with sea and only two fronts, unlike Ukraine. Baltics will be much much easier target for Russia than Ukraine.
@@uroboros4260 but the baltics are not alone. Even if the rest of NATO is very delayed in their attack, Poland would certainly rush to their aid, which is a very formidable opponent on their own.
Yeah there would be no attack from Koinigsburg (rightful German clay) They'd be too busy trying not to get overrun by the poles, and then the rest of NATO coming up behind them. I think the big issue with this video is it implies NATO would do nothing in the event Ukraine fell. There is already a forward battlegroup in Latvia, if Ukraine fell and then (according the the creators hypothesis) Moldova also fell you would guarantee see US and Canadian formations re-opening their bases in Germany or perhaps moving to Poland. And the creation of more forward battlegroups.
The key issue with Hiiuma Island isn't capturing it, it's holding it. The Russians could set anti-ship and anti-air batteries, but the Finnish would do the same to cover their long-range artillery. With that in mind, it means they'd still be a sitting duck unless they could take out the artillery, which, considering the geography of Finland, is not gonna be easy.
Any armed NATO response is not guaranteed (action it deems necessary), and if it comes it will take 48 hours absolute minimum for light forces to arrive, about 2 weeks to activate NATO heavy equipment (tanks and planes and artillery in storage, some parts must be shipped from US like depleted uranium armour plating) in any significant amount. EU Battlegroups may be there in force faster but also 48 hours minimum, 72 more likely. That means that if Russia can overrun the Baltics fast and hard, and their small size and armies, 0 air force and little air defense means it is possible, then NATO/EU must either swing from the north through Finland at which point it is no longer defense but attack, or come from the sea in a very costly amfibious assault. Or come from Poland (as well) which means "neutral" Belarus will be involved.
The NATO Article 5 interpretation presented in the video is not how the alliance functions, only a member state operating either subversively or in extremely bad faith could cause this to happen. The working interpretation is that the collective will decide on a response, then the individual states will comply and take the responsibilities determined for them by the collective. The idea that NATO countries can individually opt out of Article 5 and send limited humanitarian aid is simply not true, and if it was to become true the alliance would cease to exist at that time. Remember that each individual state must treat any aggression on a member state as they would treat an attack on their own soil. The notion that they could send a few helmets and medkits in response is absurd. It is possible that the entire collective may together decide not to respond, but that would require the US military to admit that they are afraid to face the Russian military, which would essentially end the current world order.
We saw what the EU is like with their solidarity during the coronavirus pandemic. When every EU country pulled the blanket over itself. You will find 100 reasons not to get involved in a direct conflict against Russia.
The us cant afford a war with russia even if by god we win there will be hundreds of thousands of dead westerners this will lead to china and iran basicly destroy our global influence
@@РОСПОТРЕБЭКСТРЕМИСТ Lmao what does coronavirus have to do with NATO? There is no organization or legislation that mandates a collective response to a health issue, that is entirely managed at the local level by each EU country. That is the most disingenuous comparison
@@MihaiRUdeRO "By applying Article 5, NATO countries may provide assistance in any form they deem necessary to respond to the situation at hand. This is an individual commitment for each NATO member state, and each member state is responsible for determining what it considers necessary in its particular circumstances. Assistance is provided jointly with other NATO member states. It is not necessarily military in nature and depends on the material resources of each country. Therefore, each Member State independently decides how to contribute. Each country consults with other member states, taking into account that the ultimate goal is “to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic region.” As a lawyer, I can explain the following to you: based on the meaning of this law, each of the NATO member countries, if it deems it necessary, may not engage in direct military confrontation at all, but limit itself to only formal actions, such as sending humanitarian aid or weapons. Exactly the same thing that you are doing to Ukraine now. As for whether the EU has obligations to protect and improve people’s health, read it in the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union - Article 5
@@РОСПОТРЕБЭКСТРЕМИСТ 1. The limits of Union competences are governed by the principle of conferral. The use of Union competences is governed by the principles of subsidiarity and proportionality. Is this what you're citing? Because it confirms what I already stated
CN is really only an economical threat. They are a very resource-poor country that relies heavily on imports to keep things going. Majority of those routes are maritime and would be some of the first things blockaded. CN has a large standing army, but no battle experience, supply lines or embedded logistics and no real ways to project said military power. A true paper tiger. Unlike RU who also struggles to project military beyond 100km from own borders, atleast they have the resources and ability to fight a protracted LAND conflict outside their borders, albeit not too far out.
It’s not about war it’s about money and power and survival, I am sure that at some point the man in power have the need to act like this just to survive,it’s the economic and society that needs to change but it won’t because people seek the power instead of the change
Russia has a long history of degrading its society and people. With USSR, they taught their people that going against the government means long life sentence or death. Live quiet, do not raise your voice, ignore a black car that came to pick your neighbor at night. Putin regime however, went with a different approach. He convinced the people that they can live their life, do business, travel, and just enjoy their lives BUT only as long as they do not attempt to take even a percentage of government power. All who did are long dead. I recall there was a very influential general loved by civilians and soldiers. He died in a plane crash, just like Prigozhyn. There were many more with the last one being Navalny. That agreement unfortunately changed in 2022. Russians no longer are free to live as they wish if they do not protest against the government. Their money, freedom and lives belong to the nation. over 400k lives have been "laid for the motherland" in the last 2 years already (well deserved though). My point being is you can train people to behave as you please. To do that, all the brave, all the truly free by nature must leave or die. And they did. The amount of scientists and otherwise smart Russians who left the country since 1990 is astounding. They started to leave faster when they saw that KGB man became the president. Mass exodus happened again in 2022 when they realized they will be forced to become soldiers. And the ones that stayed, well, they are jus ta little more than obedient slaves. They are trained to do what they are told.
Unlike many other countries, right now, Poland looks to be the most reliable NATO country to stand up to Russia that has a large enough military to put up a good fight.
Absolutely. And if Russia attacks Poland, it's on... US, Germany, UK, France (maybe) and now Sweden and Norway will come to aid Poland. Possibly even India. Only thing is you know China, North Korea, Belarus, and more Russian allies will back Russia. It would be the biggest and truest World War that we've ever seen.
Thanks from Germany. My country said it will spend more money, but I dont think they are serious enough about it. Time will tell. Nato will gear up. Putin will never fight on Nato Ground. He wouldnt stand any chance in a conventional war. But, we dont know what his last resort is. So NATO states better wake up
You cannot straight up ignore the thousands of British and European milltary personnel that are currently stationed in the baltics at the moment. If article 5 is invoked, most of western europe are more or less obliged to engage in an appropriate way.
Those people could be pulled out or at least taken away from any fighting. Or just straight up left to be captured with negotiations for return(like lifting sanctions or something).
@@maynardburgerthey are what is called a “tripwire force” they stand and die in order to delay the enemy and provide distant allies a reason to fight close to home
Imagine feelings watching from Ukraine how westerners are afraid to provide us with weapons to win this war for all of Europe. And yet there are people asking - why can't they just stop shooting? - why Ukraine does not negotiate with rusia?
I don't understand how any european can be against NATO intervention in case of a baltic invasion. Is the Munich Agreement not being taught in history class anymore?
@@windowslogo3577Basically, when Nazi Germany asked for the Sudetenland from Czechoslovakia, and the western Allies agreed, because they didn't want a repeat of WW1. Same is basically happening now.
@@windowslogo3577something that is almost always taught wrong in the west. We are taught that Germany used a few Germans in Czechoslovakia as an excuse for an invasion. It wasn’t a few, it was several millions. And they were being treated bad and they should never have been included in Czechoslovakia. The Sudetenland should instead have been made part of Austria after the dissolution of the Austria-Hungarian Empire. There was no respect for the “self-determination of Nations”. It was all about weakening Germany/A-H. Even the creation of Czechoslovakia seems to have been a bad idea. The Czechs and the Slovaks had never been administered together before and the Czechs ended up lording it over the rural and less educated Slovaks. That is important to understand why the Slovaks made a dumb deal with Hitler (that Hitler immediately broke). It is also usually not taught that the British Empire wasn’t ready for a war. It had disarmed, had a low arms production, and it’s population was strongly opposed to anything that sounded even slightly militaristic after the horrors of WW1. Chamberlain agreed to Germany’s (quite reasonable!) demands - while kicking up arms production fiercely. It is thanks to Chamberlain that Churchill could do what he did a few years later.
Taught is a strong word. Meaning everyone understands the consequences. I am from Slovakia and can thell you that most of our history teachers do not understand it themselves. So they mention it, and go for a next topic. WW2 was taught during like 3-4 classes, while after WW2 politics in europe are not taught AT ALL.
It hits you differently when RealLifeLore isn't talking about some political conflict at the other side of the globe, but instead talking about the potential future of the places where you live, your grandparents live, where your friends live.
I really hope they can stop Russia, but it's really sad how most europeans and americans can just ignore the genocide happening right now in Palestine and their governments are sending arms to Israel to support the genocide...
I also live in the US and enjoy learning about history which isn't that surprising considering this is an English speaking history channel. While europe is very far away in distance, society, people, and culture are very similar for the most part. Many of us in the us support europe. My fear is that the west no longer has the balls to stand up to russia. We've gotten comfortable which led to us getting soft.
@PiousFem6 really? Russia has made it pretty obvious for more than 10 years now. Wars don't start suddenly, they build up. Their "mini" invasions like taking over Georgia, majorly alarmed me at the time, and then when I saw no response, it was clear that things would only escalate. The idea that this video only talks about using 3% of these countries budgets, when they should be closer to 10% to deter or prepare for war says it all. The EU was at stake the second Russian troops stepped out of Russia. History makes that very very obvious.
@@pauliewalnuts240as an american I believe we together are still stronger than Russia militarily and economically as long as we are in NATO we can make sure we are all protected hopefully we may also make another military organization in the future for the Pacific to promise protection to them as well we together are strong divided we are weak
Which is a VERY important distinction, as russia has only around 3500 tanks that are refurbishable left. So around another 2 years with the same kind of losses
I'm so happy with Poland as a nato partner. While western europe has been cutting their defense spending in the last 25 years, Poland kept investing and now has by far the most modern and largest army. They truly are our best bet in the east against Russia.
I mean if Poland stepped in, I don't think Russia could muster the strength to fight both wars. They've got men but they've lost so much of their best equipment and men already in Ukraine that fighting a single prepared and well equiped military would probably push Putin to the bargaining table if not threaten outright capitulation. Kind of sucks that it'll never happen because it would cool to see (absolutely tragic from a loss of life perspective, but to be a historian in 25 years it would be fascinating)
The thing about Article 5 (23:55) where it might not be effective because some nations could just do "such action as it deems necessary" is complete bull. Because the start of that sentence "individually and in concert" negates that little snidbit. Because what will ultimately happen if Putin invades the Baltics is that Poland will immediately retaliate with full force, as will Finland and likely the UK, Czechia, and a few others. Whatever ideas that US Congress might have to stall, or that Erdogan or Orban might have to take it slow (side with RuSSia), or that Germany or France might have for a minimalist reaction, won't matter. Because once Poland strikes back- and they will strike back, then Putin will attack Poland too. The idea that the Baltics might be sacrificed in any invasion of NATO is something that only really makes sense to the countries so far away from the Baltics that they'd prefer that and maybe even prefer just making a ceasefire with Russia after the Baltics are taken. But for the Central Europeans, for Finland, the countries that were invaded by Russia and conquered in LIVING MEMORY, none of them are going to just send first-aid kits. And once Poland strikes and is struck back, then the delays are all over. Britain and France have shown already in the past that invading Poland is their red line lol, and the US has troops all over the place anyway and will fight back even if Congress wants to do what Congress does and stays super slow. Then, Hungary and Turkiye will need to make their choices. Either they side with NATO and join in with the fight, or when it's done and Russia is soundly defeated, we just kick them out of NATO. We might have to add a new clause to the treaty since one for removal doesn't currently exist, but the idea that we can't do it is childish. A unanimous vote by the other members to remove the traitors who didn't join in with the fight would be recognized, even if Orban and Erdogan whine about "the rules" afterwards. We'll laugh at them and kick them to the curb. Unless they join in the fight, in which case good for everyone. But just saying, they might be the only 2 who don't join in with an Article 5 decision. No one else would stand back.
Another thing he missed is that an invasion wouldn't just happen out of the blue. There would be months of buildup beforehand, like was observed with Ukraine, that _would_ be noticed.
So much this. The Article 5 verbiage is written to ensure each member contributes as they can while ensuring their own unique concerns are maintained. US would still have Carrier Group(s) in the Pacific monitoring China, and forces stations through out Africa and the Middle East. Other members would send what they could while still keeping their own border safe. Pretty much the only member that doesn't need to ensure NATO works is America so it doesn't matter who gets attacked in NATO, they all comin.
I have been getting this feeling a lot, the last couple of decades have been the calm before the storm that’s about to come in next 2-3 decades or even in the remaining century.
The cold war stayed cold because it was fought with proxies not geographically connected to any of the major players. In this case, we see russian troops marching towards NATO territory after watching them mass and invade ONE of the countries that russia has been talking up. So we might see a case like the Korean war where someone gets too close to the border and the other side gets involved directly.
@@RiddleMaster_ROBLOX he didn't say DIED. he said they LEFT. I do not know any facts, so don't reply to me questioning for sources. But please learn to read before you reply.
A big aspect of history repeating itself is most don't care about history. And how to learn from it. The ultimate downfall is that we're so preoccupied with our TikTok videos and daily struggles we outsource knowledge of history and some other important aspects to other people. And others do similar thing. So what we're left is that few can subjectively predict the folly. And the rest are just sheep running for the cliff again. Low average emotional intelligence doesn't help.
"The more things change, the more they stay the same. Boundaries shift, new players step in; but power always finds a place to rest its head." Lt. Gen. Shepherd
@@links-gut-versifftergrunme1809 I'm no psychic or Eurostat but I feel like most people just want to live peacefully, especially after being bombarded by images of wartorn regions of Ukraine (duh) for close to 10 years. In private "kitchen talks" some (mostly from older generations) wouldn't be opposed to join RF but again, this is 100% just nostalgia coupled with pan-Russian sentiment speaking. Putin's regarded in general as capable and strong leader, which - let's be honest - we severely lack in the West nowadays but no one smart enough wants to live through Donbass scenario since it'll require some kind of Russia/NATO confrontation. We russians are raised to remember the unfathomable toll it took to win WW2 and this whole shebang goes against it. So yeah, reasonable folks wanna stay in EU as it is, few radically minded nutjobs are clamoring either for joining Russia or destroying it altogether. As always. If - IF! - russian army comes here, the reception would be far more lukewarm than in Donbass. From populace, that is. Estonian army is a joke and I served in it)
For some reason RLL appears to be posting Kewmlin propaganda. HIs claims aren't true. Things havent changed for Muscovy. They've got trapped in a quagmire they cant win and they cant sustain even the effective holding position their are doing.
Ahh yes appeasement, that worked so well for the world in 1935. This is why we need leaders that actually understand history. Knowing and understanding are very different things.
This is why its important that the populace pays fucking attention in class. Anyone who says that school is pointless and history is worthless facts should also not be able to have a single goddamn opinion on anything involving the need for historical context. So sick of having to debate morons with zero understanding of history.
This is another reason why Trump must lose 2024, the man thought we had airports in 1776. His isolationist policy also puts all of the united west at risk as he erodes our ties with crucial allies
Not every situation is WWII and not every other nation is ran by the Nazi party. There are far more examples throughout history where appeasement worked and created a lasting peace than the opposite. I'm not advocating for Russia taking these territories, but we need to think long and hard before we decide where to draw the line. Are we really willing to sacrifice millions of lives, both our own and Russian, to protect the territorial sovereignty of, say, Estonia? This question is very near to me. I have been a soldier my entire adult life. I have seen the cost of war, and at a comparatively tiny scale compared to what a war with Russia would bring. I've watched women and children be blown into greasy smears of meat and gore on the side of the road. I've had many of my closest friends killed or Wounded, some physically some mentally. When we think about war, we often think retrospectively. War X happened and Y many people died, but that's not the proper way to view it. Walk out into your neighborhood and look at the kids playing in the street with their parents looking on. Look at those people and choose, physically point your finger at them, and decide how many of them you would be willing to let them scream in angony with their guts blown across some foreign field to stop Russia. Realistically, the answer isn't zero and shouldn't be zero. You do have to stop bullies around the world, but when people say "we must do this" or "we must do that" just remember that that word "must" is written in the blood of your friends, family, and neighbors.
@@weqe2278 A “Nuclear superpower”, What does that even mean? Yes Russia is a nuclear power, no they are not a military superpower. But what does “nuclear superpower” mean
@@bartsimpson8616 they lie, people freely can speak russian or any language they like. Its The support of russian invasion is what is frowned upon. Lithuania is a free country.
I don’t normally thumbs up profanity…. But I have to agree. But then I read how destructive war were in the past with just swards, slings, and spears……. Yea. How has humanity avoided extinction?
@@equargwho gives a fuck what you thumbs up bro. If you are offended by reading profanity and feel the need to comment on it you must have not lived in the real world yet. Good lord grow up.
There were wars/civil unrest in the 2000s and early 2010s. Arab Spring, Benghazi, Iraq, Afghanistan, the Mexican drug war (still ongoing!), Syrian Civil War to name a few.
34:00 some of the reason for not spending so much is to play down potential escalation and conflict. In hindsight you could always say it was a bad idea. I have to say overall this video is very well made with a lot of good research done! It also highlights a lot of "good things". Great job!
If someone is going to invade me and invests in military to accomplish that objective the escalation already started, If you don’t do anything you’re just giving reasons to the enemy to attack you. If Ukraine had spent at least a 7% of their PIB in defense the last decade(they only spent 3% even with an armed rebellion) Russia might not invaded Ukraine, dissuasion is the language of peace, strong enough to resist Russia but just defensive actions and measures
Everyone knows it, but they are still trying to sell this proposal to release all these crazy budgets. Putin doesn't care about you too. Don't be so naive.
Tas kas notiek pašlaik ir briesmīgi, es mīlu savu valsti un tās kultūru. Ir grūti iedomāties, ka pēc 5 gadiem te vairs nebūs latvieši, visi aizbēguši uz citām valstīm kuras uzskata par drošākām un ka latvijā būs tikai tie kas vēlas sadarboties ar kremli un VISPAR nerespektē šo valsti. Ļoti bēdīgi.
@@ralphkoyomi2254 no joke, ja Trampu ievēlēs atkal, es esmu diezgan parliecināta, ka es piesakos Zemessardzē. vai eju māsu kursos. kaut ko. mana mamma, kura piedalījās kā studente barikādēs, netaisād nekur mukt, bet paliks un palīdzēs kā varēs. man nav attaisnojumu nedarīt tāpat
That's western propaganda to make Russia look more evil so to convince society about that sending aid to Ukraine does have sense. Russia is not going to invade NATO country
Deployment of NATO troops to the Baltics is a very important deterrent, no matter how numerically small. It's one thing for German, Spanish, or US public to think about supporting some far away country because of some treaty. It's a whole other thing when their own people are there on the ground under fire or even dead. Especially with the American "support our troops" mindset.
@@rhus3 no they're sent as help from friendly nations to help in the initial hours/days/weeks of the invasion. If your friend was potentially being attacked, you would try to place yourself closer to be able to defend your friend faster
@@holygooff Im just saying do you think the rusians are stupid to atack NATO country?to gain what? they dont need a war with nato and i bet they dont want and afford a war with nato .Only usa and nato wants a war with russia
4:12 This number is correct, but the context is the biggest key to unlock the real situation here. They're not making 1500 NEW tanks, they're taking 1500 old models and giving them new upgrades to make them more fit for modern warfare. Expect to see everything from T55 to T72 come out from Russia still.
Depends on what you mean by new. The T-14 may or may not exist at this moment at all. Russia is unable to build the most updated version of the T90, the T-90M, due to the embargoes. They have either started building the 20 year old T-90A again or they are trying to update them to almost modern. Multiple factories have started pumping out T-80s. They are probably old vehicles being upgraded, but that is still a Soviet era platform and system. TLDR; not enough to matter.
@@hellagesoon right. I completely believe that an undisclosed number were delivered on an undisclosed date and have shelled Ukrainians at undisclosed positions. A super trustworthy report backed by a history of accurate and honest reports.
@@hellagesoon the T14 and SU-57 are Russia's version of Reagans star wars program. The prototypes we have seen are not at all delivering on the promises made about them.
@@antonina-fk7lq Oh yes the wonderful Russia, Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, The Katyn massacre, 44 years of the communism and Putin saying the collapse of USSR was a tragedy. How many Putin's political rivals got killed ? It seems like majority of Russians are happy with access to cheap bottle of vodka and a bin next to their toilets for used dirty tissues. I personally want nothing with Russians and Ukrainians.
43:19 - Including the bonus option, all three are certain: 1 - The credibility of the European Union and NATO as an organization will collapse because each member will do whatever they want to protect their own financial assets now, while ignoring their own security and the security of their neighbors in the future. 2 - There will be a full-scale war with the members of the European Union and NATO, because none of the member states will join forces with another that is not itself in the middle of the war, which means that Russia as an aggressor will fight all the members of these organizations 1v1 in turn. 3(Bonus) - All treaties and international laws about peace will prove to be worthless, as they are only there to deter a potential aggressor from attacking a neighbor and to make sure that any member who abides them must pay only for a worthless promise of defense that will be broken as soon as the membership benefits of the attacked country fall too much to pay as much as it should to be still considered worth of defending.
Hey, Estonian guy here wanting to make a comment regarding Narva. Narva might be a completely Russian town, but that part of north-eastern Estonia is separated from Russia by a pretty wide river, meaning that invasion over that part of the country would be a lot more difficult (just take a look of the current Ukraine front lines and they all are near big, wide rivers as it is very difficult for armies to advance over such geographic features). Secondly, the russians in Estonia are very well aware that by being part of the EU and getting to live in Estonia, they benefit from far better economic and freedom of movement benefits they would never give up just to be part of Russia. As the invasion of Narva itself would be difficult due to geography, if Russia decided to level Narva through bombing, that would only give even more incentive for the russians of Narva to not want to be part of Russia.
Yeah I can't see Russia even wanting to go there. Way to difficult to take let alone hold. NATO is way more aggressive than Russia historically.....look at NATO taking out all the civilian water infrastructure as it bombed the shit out of Lybia to create a so called no fly zone. ...now the west just sucks out it's oil.....with no rebuilding. I'm more scared of us in the west with our basket case politicians. It another bankers war.
Russia isn't interested in invading these places....its NATO pushing towards Russia because Russia has the resources. It's geopolitical. All the fear mongering is to sell more weapons and try to collapse Russia and fight to the last Ukrainian. The western bankers already have divided up Ukraine in terms Agriculture,Fracking rights and other mining. The unions got smashed and zero sum contracts rolled out etc. This bankers wet dream was all carried out under Victoria Nuland who orchestrated the coupe in 2014 and was just replaced. NATO is the ultra spear head of American corporate acquisition. Ukraine could have remained neutral and really benefited rather than a bunch of Banderites funded by Washington running the show. This exposé on the NATO proxy war with Russia is a load of propaganda to keep you from any rational thought process. Russia doesn't even want western Ukraine because is knows it could never manage it. Anyway Poland will probably take back land it lost after WW2 like the Levov when this is all wrapped up. The west doesn't care about Ukraine with it's little gimp running around securing loans it can never repay sacrificing all it's men. It just cares about weakening Russia and exploiting Ukraine. Wake up! Lots of money being made from this war.
As a Ukrainian, it’s really depressing to hear this. At the same time, I feel most of the NATO citizens don’t fully understand this. For some reason it’s much easier to pretend that peace treaty would mean Putin is happy and everything’s gonna end.
I'm in Italy and the internet is swarmed by russian supporters. I am not exactly sure how, but we need to put a stop to the internet misinformation as soon as possible. Freedom of speech in a virtual envioriment and freedom of vote are not worth a global conflict. Call me fascist, I don't care. This is the reality of the things. We need to take political actions now.
Yes it would 1000%. You wanted +500 euro on your salary (while all the living costs would be driven up, through privatization, but you just dont get it, you think EU is just a Santa Claus) and you got 500K dead.
You are right, many in Western Europe think they are isolated from Russia so they shouldn't bother to lift a finger. It's selfish and blind. But we don't all think like this. I hope we will redouble our aid for Ukraine.
Germany is being tested militarily big time right now. Historians have a running joke that Germans have essentially learned their lesson too much from WWII and have been pretty weak defensively ever since. I think that’s all changing now.
It is astonishing to imagine just how precarious the situation in Europe can still be even in the 21th century. One country can be a domino that will set in motion a contingency of new geo-political scenarios that more or less may lead to the prospect of continental or even a world war.
It appears that Europe learned nothing from two world wars, or perhaps it's been so long they've simply forgotten. A nuclear holocaust IS possible in Europe, and if peace is not achieved that's exactly where they are headed.
I love your videos, but PLEASE cite your sources! Seeing so many specific details you give just makes me wonder where you get them. I'm not denying anything you say, but I would feel much safer in watching this if I could see where your information came from
None of these pop-infographic shows do that. It's just entertainment, not real research. It's all about taking advantage of the algorithm and maximizing the engagement, for the benefit of their sponsors, and themselves. That's all there is to it. Like writing long comments on social media, but in the form of videos.
If he cited sources you'd know to avoid this channel like the plague. I also feel like a lot of it is just made up on the spot to suit the propaganda narrative he's pushing.
Note: pre-war Narva's population included Russian Ivangorod, which is now split. The Narva's side which is on western coast, today's Narva (without Ivangorod) was nearly entirely Estonian.
Well, the way things are now they soon will be reunited. Baltics and in particular Estonia got a lot harsher and more severe ctiticism for far longer over language laws the same as Ukraine has, these laws were a big part of the reason to invade, it being deemed genocidal. Estonia has been warned, again and again and again, even their PM has been indicted. Moscow did that for a reason. Upon invasion that makes the Estonian goverment illegitimate to Moscow.
@@jamegumb7298A shame that we forced the Baltics to keep their Russians. They should have been thrown into labour camps and the survivors after ten years kicked out. The language laws were very, very mild: learn the language to get citizenships + education is in our language, not the language of the colonizers.
im polish and we're getting ourselves fucked by trying to fight a war that's not ours and making everyone believing in a lie that ukraine is supposedly stopping poland from being attacked, gotta be a clown to come up with it and one to believe it too. russia isn't our enemy. if our government drags us into it (Sikorski is making good progress if that name even rings a bell for you) i will buy my family a house in another country and never come back to this shithole again. With idiots like this taunting a world's largest country it can only end up badly. I'm on vacation past the arctic circle, might be a good idea to start browsing offers already lol
@htspencer9084, wrong. Poland has been doing everything possible for a very long time to ensure that it does get fucked again. As a Pole, it gives me no pleasure to write this, but you have to be special kind of stupid to provoke your neighbor in order to suck up to a guy from around the world.
They won't. They are part of NATO. Plus the Russians don't want Poland. It was a disaster the last time. That's why they ris themselves from Poland a long time ago. The Russians don't want to conquer Europe. They just don't want Nato at their doorstep. Unfortunately that's just the reality. Ukraine will be destroyed before it's allowed to enter NATO. And NATO membership would lead to WW3. Is that what you want? You got to give a little to have lasting peace.
To be fair. Last time Russia try to invade Poland, it was Russians that got fucked. (I don´t count the 1945 invasion, because poland didn´t exist in that timeframe)
@@JohnRNewAccountNumber3could try actually asking what the people want. People are suspicious of Europe’s reliance, use some funny math to show the Europeans are paying for the local bases as a gift and what not.
There are no sources this is propaganda video from 20 sentences I menage to listen 10 where twisted bullshit.. Dellusional propaganda idiot nothing else. I agree if you search for facts you are not on Ukranian side you are on the side of reason and common sense
The Suwalki gap topic is overblown - the moment the war starts, Poland and Lithuania make the Königsberg immediately into a barren landscape. There will be no soldiers nor ships to do any missions from there. There's no point of talking about Suwalki gap. In war, it's the first place to cease to exist.
Plus the taking of hiiumaa is basically a brap trap waiting to happen. Any troops sent there will find themselves encircled as Sweden and Finland act as the hammer to the Baltic anvil to trap them there with no chance for resupply on a territory far larger than they can secure with the small amount of troops that would be able to cross over before the door is closed on them. The Baltic is now a NATO interior sea with the Finns and Estonians controlling the Finnish gulf and the Danes controlling the danish straits.
It s not so easy to conquer a city. A city which is always under the threat. Plus, whlist Lithuania totally suck, how many divisions does Poland have? 6?10?
@@jacobfrost2131Yeah to say that the Poles and Lithuanians (lmao) would wipe off the most militarised place on the world off the map is a joke. Lithuania’s pathetic military probably couldn’t even stop a Belarusian invasion let alone the entire 18th Guards Motorized Rifle Division. Poland would try, but they would also have to deal with a Russian attack out of Ukraine and potentially Belarus in such a scenario.
There is no konigsberg it's Kaliningrad. USSR already gave back east germany and let east and west germany reunification on a verbal man to man conditions, promise not an inch to east, also as a gesture of forwarding friendly hand to coexist together. but later as the time passed we found it was not a man to man promise, conditions. so called men were spitting a pile of shit out of their mouths.
@@dampug people brainwashed watching american movies, fantasy american movies and fantasy war movie like top gun. They are out of touch with the reality.
This video is a greatly detailed speculation on possibilities through the Baltic States. However, I don't think it takes something very critical into account. Namely the idea that NATO could now place tactical warheads in Finland and Sweden as a response to Russia placing them in Belarus. This would be a pretty serious move which would make anyone think more than just twice about invading the Baltic States (even as a mere test of Article 5) after putting the world on high alert. This statement is no doubt based on the idea that NATO is brave enough to make such a move. On the other hand, I don't think that gaining air/sea superiority is the only thing that NATO would do at the Baltic States in case of a conflict. The immediate response would be an attack on Russian ground itself, behind the defensive lines rather than defending the Baltic States at the front lines. Not to forget the immense and immediate threat that Finland poses over the 1350km long border directly with Russia - an immediate cutoff would possibly be applied from that side as well. Good show man! Keep up the great work! :)
Yeah so there is a good chance that an attack on the Baltic states will be seen as an attack on the soldiers of these countries thus triggering a very serious note from article 5.
Why wouldn't you Lithuanians just accept living under Russian rule. It could be great as well, I might be even better than the life you currently have. Think about this, you are already under the rule of your own Lithuanian government, while a new Russian government would try to please you.
@@ffiasco How Did Nato cross the line?! Nato never attacked Russia, Russia is the aggressor, NATO has been a DEFENDING alliance always. The west wants to continue to live in prosperity without war
General Breedlove has said that NATO's Article 5 does not require ALL the Allies. All the Allies have a bilateral agreement to defend a member that is under attack even without a majority consensus.
Yeah but European NATO members alone won't participate officially in the war, each european nation had their own economical issues so they can't afford for an official war
@@scorpx3790 I DO believe that some European NATO nations will commit to an Armed-Conflict if an Ally is attacked. The Baltic States & Poland have been itching to fight. Also, Macron has said he is willing to commit troops into Ukraine, I do not doubt he will also commit troops if NATO is attacked.
I mean let’s be honest, unless there’s a major catalyst in matters I don’t think much will change concerning external involvement outside of more support being sent by other countries. I mean the US just lifted bans on Ukraine firing into Russian territory (possibly to focus on cleaning up on the borders if necessary?) the other day.
do you think russia would attack nato? why in the world would they do that? do you even know why this war started? this channel really misses the mark sometimes because it only sources information from one side, common flaw in western media
@@Dhshevhsusjznsof what? dont tell me you are scared about the one country that historically mostly defends, instead of like america, france, germany, lol, do people these days learn 0 history
@@SamuelYouds bruh, I'm a nurse, so I can get conscripted til I'm 46, I got 16 years left and medical personnel are often drafted first; you only got 5 more years before you age out to safety. 😂
Quality of life is dropping, the economy is in a constant recession, birthrates are plummeting, resource scarcity is here and colossal conventional war/s incoming. I don't want to live in interesting times.
It's all planned. We are the carbon they want to reduce. I never would have thought the primary opposition to a global Communist government would be Russia.
To quote Babylon 5: ”Only an idiot fights a war on two fronts. Only the heir to the throne of the kingdom of idiots would fight a war on twelve fronts.”
@@moanguspickard249 Not really, though. Russians are pretty active in Africa too, right in the part of it, where France is running its little scheme with purchasing pretty valuable resources dirt cheap. That's what got Macron so riled up.
I don't think anybody need Estonia. It had negative balance during the USSR. Since, it got independent external debts grown exponentially. Estonia turned into de- populated shithole, and now draining money out of the EU, together with others Baltic States.. Even thought EU will want secretly pass Estonia to Russia, Russia won't take such a "gift".
I am an old man now. Having served in the US Navy for 10 years, (74-84), and being of 1/2 German and 1/2 Polish decent, I venture my OPINION on this subject. War in Europe over the last 300 or so years appears as though it is the continental pastime. I think it is long past time for the European community to stand up TOGETHER for their right to freedom and a peaceful life. This means spending more capital on your military in all respects. Yes, SOME assistance from the United States should be forth coming. But dependence upon the USA for your freedom and welfare should no longer be a given. We have enough problems of our own right now. I strongly believe that one of the, if not the most evaded country's in the world, POLAND will NEVER allow it's self to be overrun or occupied by Russia again ! And more power to the Polish people for it !!!
Entire reason Poland has a military is thanks to the USSR. And it isnt how it works. Its still a proxy war between America and Russia. It starts from paranoia.
@@karliskokorevics6902 no. It's 3000 working tanks left. The refurbishment includes the non working tanks which there is an insane amount in storages. But even if that runs out Russia would have no problems restarting the creation of brand new tanks. Nothing would prevent it.
Even if NATO ignores, incredibly foolishly, hypothetical Russian advances into the Baltic States, the Suwalki Gap is a border between Lithuania and POLAND. Any invading force getting close enough to Poland to cast a shadow on the border would most certainly get a response, and quickly.
The Poles will turn Kaliningrad into a parking lot and dare Russia to respond if it means protecting the Baltics. Their hate for Russia is endless and any excuse to kill its soliders is reason enough to fight.
Even if Nato ignores it (and they definitely won't), all EU countries are legally forced to fight on the Baltic States' side. Russia knows this and will not dare as they can't hope to win then.
@@Murcatto-hu1ym And France has strongly implied they will answer with nuclear if all else fails. I don't know where Macron found his lost balls, but at least they're attached again.
@My_pfp_beats_all_dog_breeds. How many military bases USA has in Europe or world? Every NATO country is control of America empire. You aren't even human. Garland Nixon, Emil Cosman or Jimmy Dore for try. The New Atlas or The Duran too. Military Summary and Weeb Union for maps.
@@RealLifeLore You have an amazing way of putting complex subjects into perspective. Thank you! I’m very frustrated with Europe for not doing more to assist Ukraine.
As I was just about to release this video, the US House voted to approve the $95 billion aid package for America's allies that includes $61 billion worth of additional funding for Ukraine. This will undoubtedly have a huge impact on the future course of events in Europe, and if you want to learn more about last year's huge Ukrainian counteroffensive, check out this video's companion episode in Modern Conflict on Nebula here nebula.tv/videos/reallifelore-modern-conflicts-the-2023-ukraine-counteroffensive
In addition to my monthly Modern Conflicts videos on Nebula, I'm also posting monthly videos to Nebula in my new series called War Room, which provides monthly updates from active conflicts happening all around the world. The second episode of this new series covering the major global events of March can be seen here nebula.tv/videos/reallifelore-march-2024-recap-isis-ukraine-and-haiti
Thanks!
Ain’t reading allat bro
@@tombo416lazy?
American money should stay in America!!! Foreign aid is taxation without representation!!!
American money should stay in America!!! Foreign aid is taxation without representation!!!
What are you doing in an hour long video if you cant read@@tombo416
as a Pole I would very much like to stop living through historically significant events in my lifetime, thanks
same
i am 70 percent worried but 160 percent more trilled to see where all this goes
Try to ask ur goverment to unblock borders so war does not come to your country
*Article five NATO meme intensifies.*
Facts, get over it
I think I like major historical events more when they are in a history book, not in my lifetime
This reality is the direct result of decades of neocon foreign policy disrespecting and using other nations as pawns. It didn't have to be this way, this would have never happened if Trump was elected. Love him or hate him, a strong American leader is the best determent. A demented American leader is an invitation for chaos. How this is so difficult to understand to the majority of America shows how low information our voters are.
Same
History is being made everyday my guy. Thats how its always been.
@@chargedbowl fine in that case I think this can also be understand as major historical events, threatening major escalation in conflict. That would do just fine I think.
@@chargedbowldude its a joke go home
If this war continues, I might have to step in and tell Putin to stop
Do it !!
NATO shitting their pants when Jeyakaran steps in 💯🔥
What will you do?
Oh no 😟 not Jeyakaran-ir9nb 😱😱
What should russia feel about this statement?
Who would've thought 2019 would be last peaceful and normal year in our lifes...
War in Europe isn't peaceful, but if you pick up a history book you'll see how normal it is.
just wait until you learn that this isn't the first or second or third war putin started
Even before 2020 wasn't normal. Many wars across the globe, famines amongst other things.
@@fraizie6815 in poor countries. Biggest powers didn't fought each other
@@b4nterontilt But... who bombed "poor" Libia into stone age and what for?
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.
"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
Dayyyyyyum. Perfect placement
Oi Oi Oi who let you cook😂
This hits different.
Fits well.
I find this Gandalf quote oddly comforting
Watching from Poland thinking “ah yes I’ve seen this movie before”
This time Poland is well prepered and in alliance with a serious ally (USA), unlike Britain and France who just watched as the Germans and Soviets invade in 1939.
Greetings from Slovenia.
@@Kintabl😂 sure
@@mickpeterson3722 I mean.. all jokes aside. It's a very difficult task to be more prepared for war than to have 31 military alies, including some of the most advanced economies in the world... if sh*t happens... then sh*t happens... but objectively how can a country prepare more than what we have in 2024? The only thing left is to be a better neighbour than we were for our NATO allies. Our previous government wasn't really nice towards Germany. We need to fix that and be thankful for the the modern day cooperation. Many polish people don't want any reparations.
It's true that nazi appeasment and phony war was the worst decision of France and Britain (not the USA since they just didn't care at the time).
We must not, and will not make the same mistake again.
Thinking that the USA is the reliable partner right now totally eludes me. Like, did you watch the video? The USA might not respond when we need them, or be occupied in the Pacific. Europe must be ready to face the crisis alone. In the USA join in, it's better of course, but we cannot expect them.
@@kacperzimowski4626 już jesteśmy pod okupacji. co mi obchodzi czy to globusi z zachodu czy Putin z Rosji. pozatym wiadomo kto w tej wojnie jest prowokatorem
Damn, it does feel rather uncanny to sit in a city, 30km away from Belarusian Border, casually watching a video of how your entire country would be invaded
Dont worry, no one will invade you
@@trickyr903 That was the message that everyone told Ukrainians in December 2021,and 2 years later here we are..
@@jaemate21 Yes, not two years. The invasion started within weeks. 😂
The war been going on for over two years.
Ok, don't warry, you'll still be fine@@jaemate21
@@jaemate21 no, the united states was telling Ukraine that Russians build up on its borders was for an invasion. Russia was saying it was just for a military exercise and that there would be no invasion. Ukraine believed the Russians and did not prepare. they got invaded and the rest is history.
that damn gorilla harambe…. nothing after him was the same ever
😢
His soul was pure and yet he got killed because a mother was unable to look after her child which is her biological job.
OHIO LEGEND 😤 He will live forever
I said the same thing just yesterday to my wife
@@daniels7717 Pretty sure he was trying to protect the child as well, there was no threat to him.
Watching Real Life Lore videos normally: Dang, world is a crazy and complicated place. I sure love learning about it!
Seeing a Real Life Lore video with my country in the thumbnail: Well fuck
Real...
Family find of mine is a nuclear strategist for nato got deployed to Latvia about 4 years ago I think this isn't far from what might happen unfortunately
@kajelvobot Someone's grumpy and vocal about it XD what is your problem, dude?
@kajelvobot2634i think u need to Inform urself first before spewing such garbage.
I shit my pants when I saw his Balkan video 💀
as a lithuanian - it’s hard not to think about the war. even at a school concert for mother’s day you hear songs about peace and wishing to grow up without war
i hope putin stopped and never touch lithuania estonia and latvia
You want peace, yet your government is fueling the war and provoking? Sorry, you have to pick one.
Whelp, i dont think baning russian cars, tv chanels and even forcing russians to leave you country really helps you a lot with this idea, imo.
Like what kind of relationship you expect to achieve with those kind of actions
@@sgthope3810 We do not plan to maintain relations with terrorist Russia. Fortunately, Finland and Sweden are NATO and Königsberg is a direct target of our NATO. Europe's biggest problem is liberals, left-wing people and politicians and countries in Southern Europe, which always treat Russia like street girls. Fortunately, Ukraine, Poland and the Baltic States opened their eyes to Europe. For 30 years, we have been talking about what is Europe's biggest threat. The awakening is painful, but the killer is not to be bargained with. Today, some in Europe behave like they did in the late 1930s. Trading with the two tyrants Stalin and Hitler. This time we will not be a lamb on the altar of your comfort and peace.
@@sgthope3810you think if they cuddle with the enemy they would be spared?
Turns out history sucks when you're in it.
Despite Reading about it, I often wondered what really went on before WW 1 & 2. Ohh. I get it now
May you live in interesting times . . Chinese curse
Chances are most people who have to live through crap like this thought the same. People who lived through the wordl wars for example.
@@benwinter2420 ?
@@Clause-lf6su ? ? ? . . where do you get this Clause moniker from . . Hmm
shit went down hill after we killed harambe.
shit went downhill when we stopped sacrificing virgins to the sun gods
Apes strong together ✊
shit went down after gravity was discovered
Shit went downhill after homework was invented
Mind Begs the Question:
- When Governed by Politicians
- Who justify Starvation,Death Camps,Gassing/White Phosphorus,Ethnic Cleansing,etc
- Governed by Righteous or Satanic?
Earlier today: Ah, yes! A new RealLifeLofe. At last, some clarity…
30 minutes later: I’m sad now.
Help Ukraine now to prevent war from spreading further into Europe
Yep!! And that is your own fault...for taking liars and propagandists like these here serious!! It is all unfounded Russia-fobia!! They are insane!!
@@martinkoitmae6655Damn you are not very bright, little man!!😅😅😅
I mean at least there's the new congress aid pact now
Understanding and happiness are rare bedfellows.
The people living between 1919-1939 didn't know they were living in the interwar period
At first, it was just news from far away places, riots in Spain, Japan continued to plunder land in East Asia, the French claimed that the Maginot Line was impregnable, until... no one could escape the fate of being involved.
>September 1st 1939 Hitler invades Poland
>France and Britain embargo Germany and begin sending Poland tanks and artillery
>By November 1941 the Bismarck was sunk by Polish coastal artillery, the German army advanced to near Warsaw before withdrawing, calling it a feint, the frontlines have remained almost static for the past year, Germany has run out of Panzer IV and IIIs and is running low on Panzer IIs, while Poland has just received new American M3 Lees
Yes they absolutely did. At least the ones who were paying attention did. Countless contemporary quotes saying the end of the Great War was more like a temporary truce than an actual ending. And it became increasingly obvious another war was coming when the National Socialists came into power considering Adolf openly outlined his plans to go east into Russia within his book. And even before then the Allies were increasingly concerned about instability in Germany.
@@hawawah8671 yes and in an alliance that surprise everyone the USSR crossed the borders and invade Poland subjugate half the country and funding Germany to their war with UK and France. Damn if I was living their I would surely realized that hell is coming.
Then again, every peace is an interwar period.
22:00 Narva was considered one of the most beautiful cities in the north, compared to Venice, but exactly 2 houses survived the russan invasion
Could it be better if there was not russian invasion?
😢
Everything in europe is returning back to its traditional origin since escaping the Soviet-communist hellhole
Ой да не звезди шпротный ))
Awesome to see how humanity is still somehow spending so much of its resources killing itself. Kudos.
Awesome ?????? 🤨
It's as though world leaders just get bored and decide fuck it, it's been a couple years since the last one
@@splashnskillz37 its sarcasm genius
@@splashnskillz37 yes it's awesome.
Sensible words my friend. Imagine that money being spent on global warming or generally improving the quality of life for people who need it. We are all human 😢should show each other more ❤.
Dead men tell no tales; we are witnessing a rise in the number of wars around the world as the survivors of world wars are gone, leaving us to grasp the horrors.
Not really, lets look at 1980-1990, we have
Soviet-Afghan War
Iran-Iraq War
Salvadoran Civil War
Eritrean Civil War
Falklands War
Israeli Invasion of Lebanon
First Intifada
Sri Lankan Civil War
US Invasion of Grenada
US Invasion of Panama
Yemeni Civil War
The Iran-Iraq War dwarfs any of the ongoing wars in terms of scale and casualties, with 1-2 million casualties, and it isn't like anyone learned lessons or anything since within a year of it ending we had the First Gulf War, not to mention that in the late 90s and early 2000s the Congolese Civil War killed over 5 million people.
You are only noticing it now because it’s on your doorstep, enjoy. We the global south has been suffering all these times alone, welcome to the club 😊
Good guy Russia trying to prevent that by creating countless victims of war that can tell their sad tales. Its an all misunderstood invasion of world peace. Putin is basically Jesus hahaha
Lol
Who deleted my sarcastic comment? shameful display
I'm on the other side of the world. I feel you E.U. nation. I live in the Philippines and we face china's aggression at the sea everyday, inch by inch they are slowly encroaching our sovereignty. 🇵🇭🇪🇺
I wish you best of luck phillipines, don't let china bully you out of your own water!
Hello from Europe, a few days ago I was thinking about places to go in case a war erupts. Thought about Asia and realized there are lots of countries in the same situation, like your country or Taiwan or South Korea. I don't get it, almost all people on this planet just want to live a peaceful life and have a BBQ with their friends in the evening. But there are some individuals that call themselves "leaders" and make people fight and die for their interests.
what the fk is EU nation? EU is not a nation, it is a dictatorship conglamerate built on top of 20 small countries, that steals money and freedom
This whole thing affects everyone globally direct or indirectly, even from an Asian perspective.
@@diecksl Sadly bruh ur logic doesn't fit here... U can't amass 30K troops for years if they don't want...They know they will eventually die there or atleast many of them... Then why don't they raise their voice against those leaders...
So it's not about leaders it's about people... Leaders are born from people...
U have to win the narrative battle in todays world.. And u can't win that when u will give platforms to core Hamas and khomeinei sympathizers in ur country..
One politician, I don't remember which country, her words stuck with me. I quote "Russia does not care about the rights of its citizens in its own country, but only about its citizens of other countries".
WoW cOol
This quote perfectly describes what USA is doing right now
Don't let a Russian clique entrench in area as then used as a excuse for the vodka mongols mafia to 'special military operation'
Laughable reading it in Russia. Only West's arrogance could compete with its ignorance
@@KUSHANDRA lmao true im ready for someone to say "No "tHaTs RusSiA"
28:03 Citing a _2016_ study on NATO readiness levels to the Baltics? From 10 years ago? That wouldn't be valid even if the Russians hadn't invaded Ukraine.
yeah, thats a pretty big miss without birning that up and talking about the limitations and then doing a "lets see if this and newer info can tell us about now" sort of thing.
Also using the phrase "The Ukraine" and not "Ukraine" is a bad look at 13:20
Not rly he was just citing from the report how much time it takes for a tank corp to reach those cities ?
It had nothing to do with military power or NATO reponses?
Not much have changed really. Of course, we could last a couple more hours, but without NATO support, we are doomed either way
@@Nestor_Makhno Yeah I think he just said "that", as in "In the event that Ukraine collapses"
Russia does not produce 1.500 tanks per year. They produce and refurbish 1.500 tanks per year. They produce around 200-300 tanks per year- Thats quite a huge difference @4:04
They are still ramping up and they can build much more complex missile systems and also planes which cost more money and time. They will reach that number in 2-3 years at the very least fully. I also dont belive that Russia is building 1500 tanks per year however what are your sources on that 200-300 number. We all know the news about Russians not being able to build either missiles or artillary shells or air defence systems or planes or shovels or toilets etc.
You don't know
He doesn't care about the truth
The 3 Baltic Countries all together produce 0 tanks per millenium
@@muratbayraktar5035
They are not going to reach considerably higher numbers in the next couple of years, Production increases so far have mainly been achieved by extending shifts and 24/6 work weeks. For an additional increase, they would need new machinery and so forth. I doubt Russia would even need 1.500 new tanks per year.
You shouldnt underestimate Russias MIC. But you also shouldnt overestimate it. The war is relatively close. Both sides can win as of right now, both sides can loose.
There is the TH-camr Covert Cabal who counts tanks with satelite imagery. I forgot the exact number, but his numbers indicate about 1.000 old soviet tanks leaving the storage facilities per year. You can count along if you would like.
I can also highly recomend Perun on that topic. He does hour long videos on defense economic every sunday. In his Ukraine Update videos he also goes quite deeply into the loss and production data.
Also a quick google search brought up an article from cnn, where it reads: "It is churning out about 125 tanks a month, but the vast majority are older models that have been refurbished. About 86% of the main battle tanks Russia produced in 2023 were refurbished, the NATO official said. And although Russia has about 5,000 tanks in storage, “probably a large percentage of those can’t be refurbished and are only good for cannibalizing parts,” the official said."
I miss when you used to talk about walking long distances.
Yes finally someone else 😭
@@hihellohi5714 Trueeee, now it's all politics
@@liternixsorry there's not enough distracting entertainment for you in the middle of two impending catalysts of world wars 😢
@@tupactheory3739 calm down
@@liternix look at buddy liking his own comments :)
It’s not really like Russia can just swipe the baltics in one go. Everyone said they could to Ukraine, that didn’t happen. If there was a clear mass of Russian troops along the borders of the baltics, there would be a lot of NATO troops in Poland ready to counterattack Kaliningrad. Not to mention there would like be plenty of NATO assets placed in the baltics and nearby states to defend.
господи, украину не пинд.рят, потому что это сво, а не война. там наши родственники и все такое. это как брат с аутизмом. прибалты нам никто и всем на них плевать
The Baltic’s are far weaker than Ukraine with only a few million people they will collapse quickly without nato intervention when Russia first invaded Ukraine they captured a lot of Ukraine people and millions of Ukraine r under Russian occupation Baltic’s stand no chance
baltics have a total population of 3.5 mln, which is twice less than ONE Russian city of St. Petersburg. Most of the population are grannies, you can't possibly compare it to Ukraine's: 1. vast territory. 2. huge and much younger population. 3. It's locked with sea and only two fronts, unlike Ukraine. Baltics will be much much easier target for Russia than Ukraine.
@@uroboros4260 but the baltics are not alone. Even if the rest of NATO is very delayed in their attack, Poland would certainly rush to their aid, which is a very formidable opponent on their own.
Yeah there would be no attack from Koinigsburg (rightful German clay)
They'd be too busy trying not to get overrun by the poles, and then the rest of NATO coming up behind them.
I think the big issue with this video is it implies NATO would do nothing in the event Ukraine fell. There is already a forward battlegroup in Latvia, if Ukraine fell and then (according the the creators hypothesis) Moldova also fell you would guarantee see US and Canadian formations re-opening their bases in Germany or perhaps moving to Poland. And the creation of more forward battlegroups.
The key issue with Hiiuma Island isn't capturing it, it's holding it. The Russians could set anti-ship and anti-air batteries, but the Finnish would do the same to cover their long-range artillery. With that in mind, it means they'd still be a sitting duck unless they could take out the artillery, which, considering the geography of Finland, is not gonna be easy.
With NATO having such a huge deterrant in air power,these kind of scenario-nibblings are only war nerds jerking off..
Finland will waste huge money to make the bang stirs happy.
@@spudwesth Bro it's not that expensive to fire some artillery and send drones onto an island. I'm sure it will also be paid by NATO.
@@FinnishNationalist123the NATO defense budget is effectively bottomless
Any armed NATO response is not guaranteed (action it deems necessary), and if it comes it will take 48 hours absolute minimum for light forces to arrive, about 2 weeks to activate NATO heavy equipment (tanks and planes and artillery in storage, some parts must be shipped from US like depleted uranium armour plating) in any significant amount.
EU Battlegroups may be there in force faster but also 48 hours minimum, 72 more likely.
That means that if Russia can overrun the Baltics fast and hard, and their small size and armies, 0 air force and little air defense means it is possible, then NATO/EU must either swing from the north through Finland at which point it is no longer defense but attack, or come from the sea in a very costly amfibious assault. Or come from Poland (as well) which means "neutral" Belarus will be involved.
16:28 Bro on the right saw the opportunity and took it lol. Sincerely hope he got away 😂😭
I respect the gambit
this is when having practiced parkour will pay off!
I mean its stock footage so there was probably gonna be something like that which would show up
Nato just attacked Iran
He is fucked ngl
The NATO Article 5 interpretation presented in the video is not how the alliance functions, only a member state operating either subversively or in extremely bad faith could cause this to happen. The working interpretation is that the collective will decide on a response, then the individual states will comply and take the responsibilities determined for them by the collective. The idea that NATO countries can individually opt out of Article 5 and send limited humanitarian aid is simply not true, and if it was to become true the alliance would cease to exist at that time.
Remember that each individual state must treat any aggression on a member state as they would treat an attack on their own soil. The notion that they could send a few helmets and medkits in response is absurd. It is possible that the entire collective may together decide not to respond, but that would require the US military to admit that they are afraid to face the Russian military, which would essentially end the current world order.
We saw what the EU is like with their solidarity during the coronavirus pandemic. When every EU country pulled the blanket over itself. You will find 100 reasons not to get involved in a direct conflict against Russia.
The us cant afford a war with russia even if by god we win there will be hundreds of thousands of dead westerners this will lead to china and iran basicly destroy our global influence
@@РОСПОТРЕБЭКСТРЕМИСТ Lmao what does coronavirus have to do with NATO? There is no organization or legislation that mandates a collective response to a health issue, that is entirely managed at the local level by each EU country. That is the most disingenuous comparison
@@MihaiRUdeRO "By applying Article 5, NATO countries may provide assistance in any form they deem necessary to respond to the situation at hand. This is an individual commitment for each NATO member state, and each member state is responsible for determining what it considers necessary in its particular circumstances.
Assistance is provided jointly with other NATO member states. It is not necessarily military in nature and depends on the material resources of each country. Therefore, each Member State independently decides how to contribute. Each country consults with other member states, taking into account that the ultimate goal is “to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic region.”
As a lawyer, I can explain the following to you: based on the meaning of this law, each of the NATO member countries, if it deems it necessary, may not engage in direct military confrontation at all, but limit itself to only formal actions, such as sending humanitarian aid or weapons. Exactly the same thing that you are doing to Ukraine now.
As for whether the EU has obligations to protect and improve people’s health, read it in the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union - Article 5
@@РОСПОТРЕБЭКСТРЕМИСТ
1. The limits of Union competences are governed by the principle of conferral. The use of Union competences is governed by the principles of subsidiarity and proportionality.
Is this what you're citing? Because it confirms what I already stated
Another thing to consider often is if Russia tests the West and the West response is weak China will grow bolder
CN is really only an economical threat. They are a very resource-poor country that relies heavily on imports to keep things going. Majority of those routes are maritime and would be some of the first things blockaded.
CN has a large standing army, but no battle experience, supply lines or embedded logistics and no real ways to project said military power. A true paper tiger. Unlike RU who also struggles to project military beyond 100km from own borders, atleast they have the resources and ability to fight a protracted LAND conflict outside their borders, albeit not too far out.
Wests response been nothing but weak this whole fkng war.
@@junkiexl86resource poor country that is now heavily reliant on Russia thanks to sanctions.
How the fuck do a handful of individuals potentially change a billion lives because they want to play war
It’s not about war it’s about money and power and survival, I am sure that at some point the man in power have the need to act like this just to survive,it’s the economic and society that needs to change but it won’t because people seek the power instead of the change
@qrco163 there are different ways to survive - namely "coexist". When there is a will there is a way.
Russia has a long history of degrading its society and people. With USSR, they taught their people that going against the government means long life sentence or death. Live quiet, do not raise your voice, ignore a black car that came to pick your neighbor at night.
Putin regime however, went with a different approach. He convinced the people that they can live their life, do business, travel, and just enjoy their lives BUT only as long as they do not attempt to take even a percentage of government power. All who did are long dead.
I recall there was a very influential general loved by civilians and soldiers. He died in a plane crash, just like Prigozhyn.
There were many more with the last one being Navalny. That agreement unfortunately changed in 2022. Russians no longer are free to live as they wish if they do not protest against the government. Their money, freedom and lives belong to the nation. over 400k lives have been "laid for the motherland" in the last 2 years already (well deserved though).
My point being is you can train people to behave as you please. To do that, all the brave, all the truly free by nature must leave or die. And they did. The amount of scientists and otherwise smart Russians who left the country since 1990 is astounding. They started to leave faster when they saw that KGB man became the president. Mass exodus happened again in 2022 when they realized they will be forced to become soldiers. And the ones that stayed, well, they are jus ta little more than obedient slaves. They are trained to do what they are told.
Welcome to human history
"Old men declare wars that young men must fight and die in"
Unlike many other countries, right now, Poland looks to be the most reliable NATO country to stand up to Russia that has a large enough military to put up a good fight.
a nation with little population wow you are an idiout
Absolutely. And if Russia attacks Poland, it's on... US, Germany, UK, France (maybe) and now Sweden and Norway will come to aid Poland. Possibly even India. Only thing is you know China, North Korea, Belarus, and more Russian allies will back Russia. It would be the biggest and truest World War that we've ever seen.
Thanks from Germany. My country said it will spend more money, but I dont think they are serious enough about it. Time will tell. Nato will gear up. Putin will never fight on Nato Ground. He wouldnt stand any chance in a conventional war. But, we dont know what his last resort is. So NATO states better wake up
youre safe dude. there is 0% chance of russia attacking poland.
Poland finland and sweden pose a significant challenge however this point Russians are battle harden while others are amateurs
You cannot straight up ignore the thousands of British and European milltary personnel that are currently stationed in the baltics at the moment. If article 5 is invoked, most of western europe are more or less obliged to engage in an appropriate way.
Fkn hope not. I pray we leave NATO, just like we left the EU.
Those people could be pulled out or at least taken away from any fighting. Or just straight up left to be captured with negotiations for return(like lifting sanctions or something).
Why are western leaders so intent on starting WW3? Ukraine does not belong in NATO.
@@wildeyshere_paulkersey853 all that does is let russia win lol, dumbass
@@maynardburgerthey are what is called a “tripwire force” they stand and die in order to delay the enemy and provide distant allies a reason to fight close to home
Watching this from Estonia is very unsettling.
Same, this is fucked
Imagine feelings watching from Ukraine how westerners are afraid to provide us with weapons to win this war for all of Europe.
And yet there are people asking - why can't they just stop shooting? - why Ukraine does not negotiate with rusia?
I don't understand how any european can be against NATO intervention in case of a baltic invasion. Is the Munich Agreement not being taught in history class anymore?
What is the Munich agreement? From Lithuania
@@windowslogo3577Basically, when Nazi Germany asked for the Sudetenland from Czechoslovakia, and the western Allies agreed, because they didn't want a repeat of WW1. Same is basically happening now.
@@windowslogo3577something that is almost always taught wrong in the west. We are taught that Germany used a few Germans in Czechoslovakia as an excuse for an invasion. It wasn’t a few, it was several millions. And they were being treated bad and they should never have been included in Czechoslovakia. The Sudetenland should instead have been made part of Austria after the dissolution of the Austria-Hungarian Empire. There was no respect for the “self-determination of Nations”. It was all about weakening Germany/A-H. Even the creation of Czechoslovakia seems to have been a bad idea. The Czechs and the Slovaks had never been administered together before and the Czechs ended up lording it over the rural and less educated Slovaks. That is important to understand why the Slovaks made a dumb deal with Hitler (that Hitler immediately broke).
It is also usually not taught that the British Empire wasn’t ready for a war. It had disarmed, had a low arms production, and it’s population was strongly opposed to anything that sounded even slightly militaristic after the horrors of WW1.
Chamberlain agreed to Germany’s (quite reasonable!) demands - while kicking up arms production fiercely. It is thanks to Chamberlain that Churchill could do what he did a few years later.
Taught is a strong word. Meaning everyone understands the consequences. I am from Slovakia and can thell you that most of our history teachers do not understand it themselves. So they mention it, and go for a next topic. WW2 was taught during like 3-4 classes, while after WW2 politics in europe are not taught AT ALL.
NATO is going to break up in the next year or so. And Europe will cut military ties with the US.
It hits you differently when RealLifeLore isn't talking about some political conflict at the other side of the globe, but instead talking about the potential future of the places where you live, your grandparents live, where your friends live.
Lol! Lmao, even!
😂😂😂
them white privilege perks... aint even your fault the whole system is rigged. brainwashing since birth . good luck you can break the cycle.
Dont poke the bear
If you decide not to believe the false narratives, Putin is less likely to harm you than your own Government controlled by foreigners.
I really hope they can stop Russia, but it's really sad how most europeans and americans can just ignore the genocide happening right now in Palestine and their governments are sending arms to Israel to support the genocide...
a foreign state being taken over really hits different when ur just 3 or 4 countries away..
I'm in the US and a big history nerd, it's still shocking for me here. Insane to think of a major war in Europe
I also live in the US and enjoy learning about history which isn't that surprising considering this is an English speaking history channel.
While europe is very far away in distance, society, people, and culture are very similar for the most part. Many of us in the us support europe.
My fear is that the west no longer has the balls to stand up to russia. We've gotten comfortable which led to us getting soft.
@PiousFem6 really? Russia has made it pretty obvious for more than 10 years now. Wars don't start suddenly, they build up. Their "mini" invasions like taking over Georgia, majorly alarmed me at the time, and then when I saw no response, it was clear that things would only escalate. The idea that this video only talks about using 3% of these countries budgets, when they should be closer to 10% to deter or prepare for war says it all. The EU was at stake the second Russian troops stepped out of Russia. History makes that very very obvious.
on behalf of the entire middle east and africa, you learn to get used to it , have fun
@@pauliewalnuts240as an american I believe we together are still stronger than Russia militarily and economically as long as we are in NATO we can make sure we are all protected hopefully we may also make another military organization in the future for the Pacific to promise protection to them as well we together are strong divided we are weak
4:00 They won't produce 1500 tanks, they will refurbish 1500 tanks, less than 300 of those are new production.
Which is a VERY important distinction, as russia has only around 3500 tanks that are refurbishable left. So around another 2 years with the same kind of losses
Russia didn't gut their manufacturing sector - they could certainly produce vehicles to cover their losses
@@seb_5969you realize Russia didn't outsource their manufacturing sector ? Meaning , they can make what they want for as long as they want
Yep, just checked. You're right. I'll give you a gold star lol
@@m.hughmungus121 Hello, it is the 1990's calling to tell you you're completely oblivious to reality.
38:07 Poland out here getting PTSD 💀
LOL
As a ethnic russian from Latvia. I want honesty say that i love this country, culture, calm people. Turamies, kungi!
I was going to tell you they treat you ethnic russians as second class citizens, but thet don't even consider you citizens.
*an
putins ir gejs
LYING Dawgs
@@NeverUseAnApostrophe let this one slide lol. English isn't his first language :)
I'm so happy with Poland as a nato partner.
While western europe has been cutting their defense spending in the last 25 years, Poland kept investing and now has by far the most modern and largest army.
They truly are our best bet in the east against Russia.
I mean if Poland stepped in, I don't think Russia could muster the strength to fight both wars. They've got men but they've lost so much of their best equipment and men already in Ukraine that fighting a single prepared and well equiped military would probably push Putin to the bargaining table if not threaten outright capitulation.
Kind of sucks that it'll never happen because it would cool to see (absolutely tragic from a loss of life perspective, but to be a historian in 25 years it would be fascinating)
100% agree
Be humble, Poland is in east Europe…not part of the west geographically ..just on papers…
@@YY-dv3yk Poland is central Europe, Belarius, Ukraine, Russia etc.. are eastern europe. This is by most definitions including goverment ones.
Why would Russia want a conflict with Poland?
The thing about Article 5 (23:55) where it might not be effective because some nations could just do "such action as it deems necessary" is complete bull. Because the start of that sentence "individually and in concert" negates that little snidbit. Because what will ultimately happen if Putin invades the Baltics is that Poland will immediately retaliate with full force, as will Finland and likely the UK, Czechia, and a few others. Whatever ideas that US Congress might have to stall, or that Erdogan or Orban might have to take it slow (side with RuSSia), or that Germany or France might have for a minimalist reaction, won't matter. Because once Poland strikes back- and they will strike back, then Putin will attack Poland too. The idea that the Baltics might be sacrificed in any invasion of NATO is something that only really makes sense to the countries so far away from the Baltics that they'd prefer that and maybe even prefer just making a ceasefire with Russia after the Baltics are taken. But for the Central Europeans, for Finland, the countries that were invaded by Russia and conquered in LIVING MEMORY, none of them are going to just send first-aid kits. And once Poland strikes and is struck back, then the delays are all over. Britain and France have shown already in the past that invading Poland is their red line lol, and the US has troops all over the place anyway and will fight back even if Congress wants to do what Congress does and stays super slow. Then, Hungary and Turkiye will need to make their choices. Either they side with NATO and join in with the fight, or when it's done and Russia is soundly defeated, we just kick them out of NATO. We might have to add a new clause to the treaty since one for removal doesn't currently exist, but the idea that we can't do it is childish. A unanimous vote by the other members to remove the traitors who didn't join in with the fight would be recognized, even if Orban and Erdogan whine about "the rules" afterwards. We'll laugh at them and kick them to the curb. Unless they join in the fight, in which case good for everyone. But just saying, they might be the only 2 who don't join in with an Article 5 decision. No one else would stand back.
Another thing he missed is that an invasion wouldn't just happen out of the blue. There would be months of buildup beforehand, like was observed with Ukraine, that _would_ be noticed.
Amen🇺🇸🇵🇱❤️🩹
erdogan is a goner. turks will topple him. if he goes then also orban is a goner because their employer is the same thing.
So much this. The Article 5 verbiage is written to ensure each member contributes as they can while ensuring their own unique concerns are maintained. US would still have Carrier Group(s) in the Pacific monitoring China, and forces stations through out Africa and the Middle East. Other members would send what they could while still keeping their own border safe. Pretty much the only member that doesn't need to ensure NATO works is America so it doesn't matter who gets attacked in NATO, they all comin.
👆 excellent summary 👍
I have been getting this feeling a lot, the last couple of decades have been the calm before the storm that’s about to come in next 2-3 decades or even in the remaining century.
I'm still convinced that this won't be more than another cold war, but I also didn't believe we'd ever be where we are now, so what do I know?
Ukraine is dead. 18 million+ people already left. Why would they return?
@@gooddogtalks who told you that 18+ million people left? twitter?
The cold war stayed cold because it was fought with proxies not geographically connected to any of the major players. In this case, we see russian troops marching towards NATO territory after watching them mass and invade ONE of the countries that russia has been talking up. So we might see a case like the Korean war where someone gets too close to the border and the other side gets involved directly.
@@RiddleMaster_ROBLOX he didn't say DIED.
he said they LEFT.
I do not know any facts, so don't reply to me questioning for sources.
But please learn to read before you reply.
@@RiddleMaster_ROBLOXhe said they left lol not dead
The more things change, the more they remain the same. History will repeat itself.
A big aspect of history repeating itself is most don't care about history. And how to learn from it. The ultimate downfall is that we're so preoccupied with our TikTok videos and daily struggles we outsource knowledge of history and some other important aspects to other people. And others do similar thing. So what we're left is that few can subjectively predict the folly. And the rest are just sheep running for the cliff again. Low average emotional intelligence doesn't help.
@@HHalcyonid say the biggest part of history repeating itself is actually some people care too much about a specific parts of history…
History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes 🤷🏻♀️
@@thepax2621 Fair enough. I can't argue with that.
"The more things change, the more they stay the same. Boundaries shift, new players step in; but power always finds a place to rest its head."
Lt. Gen. Shepherd
25:20 *sarcastically* Nice, my city of Narva is finally remembered by someone. What a time to be alive
How is the vibe arround the people? Are they urning for a russian occupation or are they cool with living in Estonia?
I love the Narva map in Squad!
@@links-gut-versifftergrunme1809 I'm no psychic or Eurostat but I feel like most people just want to live peacefully, especially after being bombarded by images of wartorn regions of Ukraine (duh) for close to 10 years. In private "kitchen talks" some (mostly from older generations) wouldn't be opposed to join RF but again, this is 100% just nostalgia coupled with pan-Russian sentiment speaking. Putin's regarded in general as capable and strong leader, which - let's be honest - we severely lack in the West nowadays but no one smart enough wants to live through Donbass scenario since it'll require some kind of Russia/NATO confrontation. We russians are raised to remember the unfathomable toll it took to win WW2 and this whole shebang goes against it.
So yeah, reasonable folks wanna stay in EU as it is, few radically minded nutjobs are clamoring either for joining Russia or destroying it altogether. As always. If - IF! - russian army comes here, the reception would be far more lukewarm than in Donbass. From populace, that is. Estonian army is a joke and I served in it)
@@TheLastCustomer Wtf is Squad?🤣
@@VladissimoTheMocker its a game
Really interesting and educational video!
Thanks for increasing my anxiety this Monday morning while at my barista job.
For some reason RLL appears to be posting Kewmlin propaganda. HIs claims aren't true. Things havent changed for Muscovy. They've got trapped in a quagmire they cant win and they cant sustain even the effective holding position their are doing.
Ooooòooo Vinte with nothing but creamer ooooooooooo
Lol.. Get to work.. That video was an hour long..
dude stop watching youtube at work
you don't have anxiety, you just consume too much caffeine.
Ahh yes appeasement, that worked so well for the world in 1935. This is why we need leaders that actually understand history. Knowing and understanding are very different things.
This is why its important that the populace pays fucking attention in class. Anyone who says that school is pointless and history is worthless facts should also not be able to have a single goddamn opinion on anything involving the need for historical context. So sick of having to debate morons with zero understanding of history.
This is another reason why Trump must lose 2024, the man thought we had airports in 1776. His isolationist policy also puts all of the united west at risk as he erodes our ties with crucial allies
Not every situation is WWII and not every other nation is ran by the Nazi party. There are far more examples throughout history where appeasement worked and created a lasting peace than the opposite. I'm not advocating for Russia taking these territories, but we need to think long and hard before we decide where to draw the line. Are we really willing to sacrifice millions of lives, both our own and Russian, to protect the territorial sovereignty of, say, Estonia?
This question is very near to me. I have been a soldier my entire adult life. I have seen the cost of war, and at a comparatively tiny scale compared to what a war with Russia would bring. I've watched women and children be blown into greasy smears of meat and gore on the side of the road. I've had many of my closest friends killed or Wounded, some physically some mentally.
When we think about war, we often think retrospectively. War X happened and Y many people died, but that's not the proper way to view it. Walk out into your neighborhood and look at the kids playing in the street with their parents looking on. Look at those people and choose, physically point your finger at them, and decide how many of them you would be willing to let them scream in angony with their guts blown across some foreign field to stop Russia. Realistically, the answer isn't zero and shouldn't be zero. You do have to stop bullies around the world, but when people say "we must do this" or "we must do that" just remember that that word "must" is written in the blood of your friends, family, and neighbors.
@@jackpeters2884Thats incredibly deep and dark bud. Where are you from by chance?
@@weqe2278 A “Nuclear superpower”, What does that even mean?
Yes Russia is a nuclear power, no they are not a military superpower. But what does “nuclear superpower” mean
Some days I wished that I was dreaming about all this in 2019
😂😂you were. Look what you've done.
Who would have thought that 2019 would be the good Ole days?
@@Scaliadya what changed? Oh, Donald trump was president and there were no new wars in the world
@theredsalmon612 yeah Trump did side with Putin over US intelligence when he was president.
Yep 2019 was the good ole days before the 2020 bioweapon unleashed on the world.
This video was extremely informative. Thanks!
as a lithuanian, i would very much like history happening in books, not in my lifetime
Not a single human in human history missed humand history. Stupid idea.
did still in Lituania cant buy bread if spoke RUSSIAN ?? or that is ''lie'' putin propaganda''
@@bartsimpson8616 they lie, people freely can speak russian or any language they like. Its The support of russian invasion is what is frowned upon. Lithuania is a free country.
As a ukrainian who currently in Saint Petersburg, I heavily agree with you
прибалтика уже выписала себе приговор
Nuclear weapons meant in
1962: Mutual assured destruction
2024: Mutual assured deny of mutual assured destruction.
Back to conventional warfare. Fuck.
It's ironic at it's finest, war is happening because people don't want to have a nuke war. Funny how a few years ago nukes prevented wars
Better than the alternative. But not by much.
I don’t normally thumbs up profanity…. But I have to agree.
But then I read how destructive war were in the past with just swards, slings, and spears…….
Yea. How has humanity avoided extinction?
@@equargwho gives a fuck what you thumbs up bro. If you are offended by reading profanity and feel the need to comment on it you must have not lived in the real world yet. Good lord grow up.
Nato Just attacked Iran
Why can’t we just go back to listening to our iPod nano’s with internet that took minutes to boot up. This world we live in now sucks
You'll never escape wars, as back then my country had boots on the ground in an active zone..
The chance of any country going to war in any year is 0.03 percent
There were wars/civil unrest in the 2000s and early 2010s. Arab Spring, Benghazi, Iraq, Afghanistan, the Mexican drug war (still ongoing!), Syrian Civil War to name a few.
Take off your rose tinted Elton John glasses. The 90s had huge wars and economic recession. Dont get me started on 2000s
@@Genghis_of_Swans The Drug war has become a war on people..
34:00 some of the reason for not spending so much is to play down potential escalation and conflict. In hindsight you could always say it was a bad idea. I have to say overall this video is very well made with a lot of good research done! It also highlights a lot of "good things". Great job!
If someone is going to invade me and invests in military to accomplish that objective the escalation already started, If you don’t do anything you’re just giving reasons to the enemy to attack you. If Ukraine had spent at least a 7% of their PIB in defense the last decade(they only spent 3% even with an armed rebellion) Russia might not invaded Ukraine, dissuasion is the language of peace, strong enough to resist Russia but just defensive actions and measures
As lithuanian russian I don't want Russia to "protect" me
Everyone knows it, but they are still trying to sell this proposal to release all these crazy budgets. Putin doesn't care about you too. Don't be so naive.
They will not ask you
да кому ты сдался
@@frustilefs13 Bro thinks his the main character
one or another side will "protect" you anyway
as a Latvian I would very much like to stop living through historically significant events in my lifetime, thanks
Ditch NATO and you are safe.
Tas kas notiek pašlaik ir briesmīgi, es mīlu savu valsti un tās kultūru. Ir grūti iedomāties, ka pēc 5 gadiem te vairs nebūs latvieši, visi aizbēguši uz citām valstīm kuras uzskata par drošākām un ka latvijā būs tikai tie kas vēlas sadarboties ar kremli un VISPAR nerespektē šo valsti. Ļoti bēdīgi.
hold my beer. greetings from Ukraine ;)
@@ralphkoyomi2254 no joke, ja Trampu ievēlēs atkal, es esmu diezgan parliecināta, ka es piesakos Zemessardzē. vai eju māsu kursos. kaut ko. mana mamma, kura piedalījās kā studente barikādēs, netaisād nekur mukt, bet paliks un palīdzēs kā varēs. man nav attaisnojumu nedarīt tāpat
@@ugumol Slava Ukraini!! 🇱🇻❤️🇺🇦
As a Swede the fact that this war could advance into the baltics is very alarming.
The possibility, not the fact. I hope
That's western propaganda to make Russia look more evil so to convince society about that sending aid to Ukraine does have sense. Russia is not going to invade NATO country
A Finn: ”First time?”
Not happening, stop whining
Dw it won't
Thanks for video.
Deployment of NATO troops to the Baltics is a very important deterrent, no matter how numerically small. It's one thing for German, Spanish, or US public to think about supporting some far away country because of some treaty. It's a whole other thing when their own people are there on the ground under fire or even dead. Especially with the American "support our troops" mindset.
True. Russians attacking our forces would make it very hard to not intervene. We need to force ourselves to reespect our commitments.
So they are effectively sent as hostages and potential scapegoats. What a fate.
@@rhus3 no they're sent as help from friendly nations to help in the initial hours/days/weeks of the invasion. If your friend was potentially being attacked, you would try to place yourself closer to be able to defend your friend faster
it's a key diplomatic move since to conquer the local place the russians forced to shoot germans are directly attacking germany as well.
@@holygooff Im just saying do you think the rusians are stupid to atack NATO country?to gain what? they dont need a war with nato and i bet they dont want and afford a war with nato .Only usa and nato wants a war with russia
4:12 This number is correct, but the context is the biggest key to unlock the real situation here. They're not making 1500 NEW tanks, they're taking 1500 old models and giving them new upgrades to make them more fit for modern warfare. Expect to see everything from T55 to T72 come out from Russia still.
So how much new ones they make?
Depends on what you mean by new. The T-14 may or may not exist at this moment at all. Russia is unable to build the most updated version of the T90, the T-90M, due to the embargoes. They have either started building the 20 year old T-90A again or they are trying to update them to almost modern. Multiple factories have started pumping out T-80s. They are probably old vehicles being upgraded, but that is still a Soviet era platform and system.
TLDR; not enough to matter.
@@robertedwards2959they already confirmed first batch of T14s.
@@hellagesoon right. I completely believe that an undisclosed number were delivered on an undisclosed date and have shelled Ukrainians at undisclosed positions. A super trustworthy report backed by a history of accurate and honest reports.
@@hellagesoon the T14 and SU-57 are Russia's version of Reagans star wars program. The prototypes we have seen are not at all delivering on the promises made about them.
In Poland we know what total war means, our ancestors suvived it between 1939 and 1945 but 6 millions of them were killed.
this is a situation where there should be a FB-like sad vote instead of just thumbs up/down
И какой урок вы, поляки, вынесли из той войны?
Poland also owned EVERYTHING between Moscow/Berlin, Black and Baltic Seas, So they also know invading neighboring lands.
Your ancestors also did everything possible to instigate it but boohoo I guess.
@@antonina-fk7lq Oh yes the wonderful Russia, Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, The Katyn massacre, 44 years of the communism and Putin saying the collapse of USSR was a tragedy. How many Putin's political rivals got killed ? It seems like majority of Russians are happy with access to cheap bottle of vodka and a bin next to their toilets for used dirty tissues. I personally want nothing with Russians and Ukrainians.
So in other words this war will never end unless someone intervenes??
I just stumbled across this site and feel like I received a national security briefing.. Kudos..
Well, time to prepare for my wasteland raider king story arc
Hits different when you see your country in a RealLifeLore thumbnail
Bro imagine us who live in Ukraine and Russia right now. We are almost in every rll video :(
@@max_me_isbro that's so truuuee
@@max_me_isso true
I want a RealLifeLore video about my country !
But probably wont happen with little boring Denmark 😔
@@Rune__ oh bro, I dont think you'll want. Trust me, I'm Ukrainian
43:19 - Including the bonus option, all three are certain:
1 - The credibility of the European Union and NATO as an organization will collapse because each member will do whatever they want to protect their own financial assets now, while ignoring their own security and the security of their neighbors in the future.
2 - There will be a full-scale war with the members of the European Union and NATO, because none of the member states will join forces with another that is not itself in the middle of the war, which means that Russia as an aggressor will fight all the members of these organizations 1v1 in turn.
3(Bonus) - All treaties and international laws about peace will prove to be worthless, as they are only there to deter a potential aggressor from attacking a neighbor and to make sure that any member who abides them must pay only for a worthless promise of defense that will be broken as soon as the membership benefits of the attacked country fall too much to pay as much as it should to be still considered worth of defending.
Hey, Estonian guy here wanting to make a comment regarding Narva. Narva might be a completely Russian town, but that part of north-eastern Estonia is separated from Russia by a pretty wide river, meaning that invasion over that part of the country would be a lot more difficult (just take a look of the current Ukraine front lines and they all are near big, wide rivers as it is very difficult for armies to advance over such geographic features). Secondly, the russians in Estonia are very well aware that by being part of the EU and getting to live in Estonia, they benefit from far better economic and freedom of movement benefits they would never give up just to be part of Russia. As the invasion of Narva itself would be difficult due to geography, if Russia decided to level Narva through bombing, that would only give even more incentive for the russians of Narva to not want to be part of Russia.
Yeah I can't see Russia even wanting to go there. Way to difficult to take let alone hold. NATO is way more aggressive than Russia historically.....look at NATO taking out all the civilian water infrastructure as it bombed the shit out of Lybia to create a so called no fly zone. ...now the west just sucks out it's oil.....with no rebuilding. I'm more scared of us in the west with our basket case politicians. It another bankers war.
You really think that the russians care about the russians in Narva if ever they invade there?
What can you afford that a Russian can't?
Russia isn't interested in invading these places....its NATO pushing towards Russia because Russia has the resources. It's geopolitical. All the fear mongering is to sell more weapons and try to collapse Russia and fight to the last Ukrainian. The western bankers already have divided up Ukraine in terms Agriculture,Fracking rights and other mining. The unions got smashed and zero sum contracts rolled out etc. This bankers wet dream was all carried out under Victoria Nuland who orchestrated the coupe in 2014 and was just replaced. NATO is the ultra spear head of American corporate acquisition. Ukraine could have remained neutral and really benefited rather than a bunch of Banderites funded by Washington running the show. This exposé on the NATO proxy war with Russia is a load of propaganda to keep you from any rational thought process. Russia doesn't even want western Ukraine because is knows it could never manage it. Anyway Poland will probably take back land it lost after WW2 like the Levov when this is all wrapped up. The west doesn't care about Ukraine with it's little gimp running around securing loans it can never repay sacrificing all it's men. It just cares about weakening Russia and exploiting Ukraine. Wake up! Lots of money being made from this war.
@@JebLee-f4yEstonia has a higher GDP per capita. What are you confused by?
As a Ukrainian, it’s really depressing to hear this. At the same time, I feel most of the NATO citizens don’t fully understand this. For some reason it’s much easier to pretend that peace treaty would mean Putin is happy and everything’s gonna end.
Trump the isolationist wannabe dictator and democracy ender, and Putin obeyer, is going to enable all of this 🇺🇲
I'm in Italy and the internet is swarmed by russian supporters. I am not exactly sure how, but we need to put a stop to the internet misinformation as soon as possible.
Freedom of speech in a virtual envioriment and freedom of vote are not worth a global conflict. Call me fascist, I don't care. This is the reality of the things.
We need to take political actions now.
Yes it would 1000%. You wanted +500 euro on your salary (while all the living costs would be driven up, through privatization, but you just dont get it, you think EU is just a Santa Claus) and you got 500K dead.
Change nickname to copium or delusionium...
You are right, many in Western Europe think they are isolated from Russia so they shouldn't bother to lift a finger. It's selfish and blind. But we don't all think like this. I hope we will redouble our aid for Ukraine.
bro just let me live i wont even be able to enjoy my early adult hood outside the front lines
Service guarantees citizenship, comrade!
It is what it is
It isn't fair, is it
Putin doesn't care. He wants glory, not peace.
Good luck. I hope you stay safe
as a german big thanks to the poles for saving our ass
Germany is being tested militarily big time right now. Historians have a running joke that Germans have essentially learned their lesson too much from WWII and have been pretty weak defensively ever since. I think that’s all changing now.
...the world will never let us live down sending those helmets, won't it? Probably fair.
You'd think losing half their country would make them more committed to fighting Russia
@@frostyalaska6371 "them", you mean somebody else besides you ?
@@johnteets2921 damn Germans, can’t ever count on em when it matters most😒 and ppl wonder why we like the English/French more
The minister who did that was let go, and germany gives more than GB or France while being way closer to russia@@abba-Flammenfresser
@@bombelz while have a larger economy and 20 million more people
It is astonishing to imagine just how precarious the situation in Europe can still be even in the 21th century.
One country can be a domino that will set in motion a contingency of new geo-political scenarios that more or less may lead to the prospect of continental or even a world war.
Listen to Scot Ritter and open your eyes
@@JimBaldwin-te8eq listen to the guy who gets paid by the Russian government?
@@JimBaldwin-te8eq listen to the guy who is paid by the Russian government? I think I'll pass.
21th century?
It appears that Europe learned nothing from two world wars, or perhaps it's been so long they've simply forgotten.
A nuclear holocaust IS possible in Europe, and if peace is not achieved that's exactly where they are headed.
I love your videos, but PLEASE cite your sources! Seeing so many specific details you give just makes me wonder where you get them. I'm not denying anything you say, but I would feel much safer in watching this if I could see where your information came from
100% this.
thank you! up that comment!
None of these pop-infographic shows do that. It's just entertainment, not real research. It's all about taking advantage of the algorithm and maximizing the engagement, for the benefit of their sponsors, and themselves. That's all there is to it. Like writing long comments on social media, but in the form of videos.
@@goldbullet50 I agree. Sites like Business Insider, Forbes, Vox...produce videos, better sourced, since they're connected to their print pubs
If he cited sources you'd know to avoid this channel like the plague.
I also feel like a lot of it is just made up on the spot to suit the propaganda narrative he's pushing.
The Cold War never ended people never really got cold either
Note: pre-war Narva's population included Russian Ivangorod, which is now split. The Narva's side which is on western coast, today's Narva (without Ivangorod) was nearly entirely Estonian.
Well, the way things are now they soon will be reunited. Baltics and in particular Estonia got a lot harsher and more severe ctiticism for far longer over language laws the same as Ukraine has, these laws were a big part of the reason to invade, it being deemed genocidal.
Estonia has been warned, again and again and again, even their PM has been indicted. Moscow did that for a reason. Upon invasion that makes the Estonian goverment illegitimate to Moscow.
@@jamegumb7298 Another russian troll spotted
@@jamegumb7298A shame that we forced the Baltics to keep their Russians. They should have been thrown into labour camps and the survivors after ten years kicked out. The language laws were very, very mild: learn the language to get citizenships + education is in our language, not the language of the colonizers.
@@jamegumb7298 When Narva and Jaanilinn are united once again there will be no russoids left to live there.
Respect for Poland deciding they ain't gonna get fucked again.
im polish and we're getting ourselves fucked by trying to fight a war that's not ours and making everyone believing in a lie that ukraine is supposedly stopping poland from being attacked, gotta be a clown to come up with it and one to believe it too. russia isn't our enemy. if our government drags us into it (Sikorski is making good progress if that name even rings a bell for you) i will buy my family a house in another country and never come back to this shithole again. With idiots like this taunting a world's largest country it can only end up badly.
I'm on vacation past the arctic circle, might be a good idea to start browsing offers already lol
@htspencer9084, wrong. Poland has been doing everything possible for a very long time to ensure that it does get fucked again.
As a Pole, it gives me no pleasure to write this, but you have to be special kind of stupid to provoke your neighbor in order to suck up to a guy from around the world.
They won't. They are part of NATO. Plus the Russians don't want Poland. It was a disaster the last time. That's why they ris themselves from Poland a long time ago. The Russians don't want to conquer Europe. They just don't want Nato at their doorstep. Unfortunately that's just the reality. Ukraine will be destroyed before it's allowed to enter NATO. And NATO membership would lead to WW3. Is that what you want? You got to give a little to have lasting peace.
To be fair. Last time Russia try to invade Poland, it was Russians that got fucked. (I don´t count the 1945 invasion, because poland didn´t exist in that timeframe)
@@pedros1 Screw you you pesimist.
Evil triumphs when good men do nothing.
The West is the evil one..That is why we are losing!!!
Yeah you're right, but there's not really a sound way of opposing the US government.
Putin thinks he is the good guy…
@@JohnRNewAccountNumber3could try actually asking what the people want. People are suspicious of Europe’s reliance, use some funny math to show the Europeans are paying for the local bases as a gift and what not.
But what is a man, though? What is a woman?
Best streaming i could ever need
As a german here, i wish my government would take this more seriously (except for pistorius. he does a good job)
Yeah... In terms of geopolitics Germany is irresponsibly inept. China and Russia have infiltrated the AfD, SPD and the CDU...
shut up ghoul
Just like how your Nazi government supports genocide in Gaza?
not a good mix is it, gemany in a war has meant world wars
Why didn’t we just help them the first/second time ?
Please start using sources! The video essays are very interesting but it would be nice if we can continue research ourselves!
Then you would not be on Ukrainian side…
Shut up @@josteincarlsen2905
@@josteincarlsen2905 what even is this
There are no sources this is propaganda video from 20 sentences I menage to listen 10 where twisted bullshit.. Dellusional propaganda idiot nothing else. I agree if you search for facts you are not on Ukranian side you are on the side of reason and common sense
@@toasterowens8916 English language.
The Suwalki gap topic is overblown - the moment the war starts, Poland and Lithuania make the Königsberg immediately into a barren landscape. There will be no soldiers nor ships to do any missions from there.
There's no point of talking about Suwalki gap. In war, it's the first place to cease to exist.
Plus the taking of hiiumaa is basically a brap trap waiting to happen. Any troops sent there will find themselves encircled as Sweden and Finland act as the hammer to the Baltic anvil to trap them there with no chance for resupply on a territory far larger than they can secure with the small amount of troops that would be able to cross over before the door is closed on them. The Baltic is now a NATO interior sea with the Finns and Estonians controlling the Finnish gulf and the Danes controlling the danish straits.
It s not so easy to conquer a city.
A city which is always under the threat.
Plus, whlist Lithuania totally suck, how many divisions does Poland have? 6?10?
@@jacobfrost2131Yeah to say that the Poles and Lithuanians (lmao) would wipe off the most militarised place on the world off the map is a joke. Lithuania’s pathetic military probably couldn’t even stop a Belarusian invasion let alone the entire 18th Guards Motorized Rifle Division. Poland would try, but they would also have to deal with a Russian attack out of Ukraine and potentially Belarus in such a scenario.
There is no konigsberg it's Kaliningrad. USSR already gave back east germany and let east and west germany reunification on a verbal man to man conditions, promise not an inch to east, also as a gesture of forwarding friendly hand to coexist together. but later as the time passed we found it was not a man to man promise, conditions.
so called men were spitting a pile of shit out of their mouths.
@@dampug people brainwashed watching american movies, fantasy american movies and fantasy war movie like top gun. They are out of touch with the reality.
This video is a greatly detailed speculation on possibilities through the Baltic States. However, I don't think it takes something very critical into account. Namely the idea that NATO could now place tactical warheads in Finland and Sweden as a response to Russia placing them in Belarus. This would be a pretty serious move which would make anyone think more than just twice about invading the Baltic States (even as a mere test of Article 5) after putting the world on high alert. This statement is no doubt based on the idea that NATO is brave enough to make such a move. On the other hand, I don't think that gaining air/sea superiority is the only thing that NATO would do at the Baltic States in case of a conflict. The immediate response would be an attack on Russian ground itself, behind the defensive lines rather than defending the Baltic States at the front lines. Not to forget the immense and immediate threat that Finland poses over the 1350km long border directly with Russia - an immediate cutoff would possibly be applied from that side as well.
Good show man! Keep up the great work! :)
American, spanish, italian, german soldiers and many more are already in the baltic states, myself at the moment included
Yeah so there is a good chance that an attack on the Baltic states will be seen as an attack on the soldiers of these countries thus triggering a very serious note from article 5.
Russia won't attack, they lack the economy for it
So you will be the first in that meat-grinder GL
@@Donk322🤔
*...myself at the moment included [ chuckles ] I'm in danger* 😂😂😂
As a Lithuanian, this definitely hits different
Lithuanian here and yea… I also dread the future.
Latvian here as well. How lovely
I am a Lithuanian who just got his nationality. This video hit hard
Why wouldn't you Lithuanians just accept living under Russian rule. It could be great as well, I might be even better than the life you currently have. Think about this, you are already under the rule of your own Lithuanian government, while a new Russian government would try to please you.
Russia has literal zero desire to hold any land not already inhabited by ethnic Russians
this channel is US state department propaganda
Please Russia wait until we all had at least 6 months with GTA6
Based 😭
It's funny, of course, but it won't happen.
Russia didn’t give up on such a war
NATO crossed the line, Russia invaded Ukraine, that's all
@@ffiasco How Did Nato cross the line?! Nato never attacked Russia, Russia is the aggressor, NATO has been a DEFENDING alliance always. The west wants to continue to live in prosperity without war
@@ffiasco Can't believe such people still exist.
@@alexlover1619 I can’t believe that someone thinks that Russia is an aggressor and people there have no rights. Dumb
Good analyst keep it up
General Breedlove has said that NATO's Article 5 does not require ALL the Allies. All the Allies have a bilateral agreement to defend a member that is under attack even without a majority consensus.
Yeah but European NATO members alone won't participate officially in the war, each european nation had their own economical issues so they can't afford for an official war
@@scorpx3790 I DO believe that some European NATO nations will commit to an Armed-Conflict if an Ally is attacked. The Baltic States & Poland have been itching to fight. Also, Macron has said he is willing to commit troops into Ukraine, I do not doubt he will also commit troops if NATO is attacked.
I mean let’s be honest, unless there’s a major catalyst in matters I don’t think much will change concerning external involvement outside of more support being sent by other countries. I mean the US just lifted bans on Ukraine firing into Russian territory (possibly to focus on cleaning up on the borders if necessary?) the other day.
@@i_luv_marbled_bread retired United States Air Force General Philip Breedlove, former Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR).
@@Nonyobiz ok, I'm sorry if I was offensive
As Latvian this is my biggest fear .
Nemīz
@@eizens1000 nogalini sevi
As an estonian I am scared to
do you think russia would attack nato? why in the world would they do that? do you even know why this war started? this channel really misses the mark sometimes because it only sources information from one side, common flaw in western media
@@Dhshevhsusjznsof what? dont tell me you are scared about the one country that historically mostly defends, instead of like america, france, germany, lol, do people these days learn 0 history
I'm about to turn 30 and we are coming up on like ten or so once in a lifetime paradigm shifts/disasters and I don't like it
I'm 30 and I want off this ride. 😂
Go get prescribed Ritalin if you're in the US. You are considered unfit for the draft if you ever take it.
As a 21 year old I have the joy of being the perfect conscription age yipee
@@SamuelYouds bruh, I'm a nurse, so I can get conscripted til I'm 46, I got 16 years left and medical personnel are often drafted first; you only got 5 more years before you age out to safety. 😂
This is BY FAR the most balanced source of information I've seen on youtube. Incredible work keep it up this puts ahead of everyone.
Quality of life is dropping, the economy is in a constant recession, birthrates are plummeting, resource scarcity is here and colossal conventional war/s incoming. I don't want to live in interesting times.
You have no choice
@@havetodosmth Succinctly stated.
all connected when you think about it. when european/usa zionist puppets push poverty on you, you will be forced to risk your life.
It's all planned. We are the carbon they want to reduce. I never would have thought the primary opposition to a global Communist government would be Russia.
You remember all those new world order shit from last decades yeah its here.(I mean after we live through 5 years of global war and shit)
It is always a great idea to fight a war at multiple fronts...never gone wrong in history.
To quote Babylon 5: ”Only an idiot fights a war on two fronts. Only the heir to the throne of the kingdom of idiots would fight a war on twelve fronts.”
What mulltiple fronts? Eu n Ru have 1 front
@@moanguspickard249 Although it could be a pretty wide one, if Belarus was directly involved too
@@moanguspickard249 Not really, though. Russians are pretty active in Africa too, right in the part of it, where France is running its little scheme with purchasing pretty valuable resources dirt cheap. That's what got Macron so riled up.
I believe he means China and Russia but the 2 fronts thing is a wash. Look at the USA in WW2
Finland would be the first one to defend Estonia. Those two are like family countries.
I don't think anybody need Estonia. It had negative balance during the USSR. Since, it got independent external debts grown exponentially.
Estonia turned into de- populated shithole, and now draining money out of the EU, together with others Baltic States..
Even thought EU will want secretly pass Estonia to Russia, Russia won't take such a "gift".
Yeah, how else will the Fins get their cheap booze 😄
Not cheap anymore. Estonia sucks ass
You are living in Fantasy world sir
Estonia is not in the Nordic treaty. Sweden and Finland is more "Family" and look how that went during WW2
I am an old man now. Having served in the US Navy for 10 years, (74-84), and being of 1/2 German and 1/2 Polish decent, I venture my OPINION on this subject. War in Europe over the last 300 or so years appears as though it is the continental pastime. I think it is long past time for the European community to stand up TOGETHER for their right to freedom and a peaceful life. This means spending more capital on your military in all respects. Yes, SOME assistance from the United States should be forth coming. But dependence upon the USA for your freedom and welfare should no longer be a given. We have enough problems of our own right now. I strongly believe that one of the, if not the most evaded country's in the world, POLAND will NEVER allow it's self to be overrun or occupied by Russia again ! And more power to the Polish people for it !!!
Entire reason Poland has a military is thanks to the USSR. And it isnt how it works. Its still a proxy war between America and Russia. It starts from paranoia.
A big caveat on russian production of tanks. They're counting "refurbishing" or modernization of the Soviet tanks from storage to this number too
Which they basically have unlimited supply of
@@KolyaUrtzActually, it's only around 3000 left.
@@karliskokorevics6902 no. It's 3000 working tanks left. The refurbishment includes the non working tanks which there is an insane amount in storages. But even if that runs out Russia would have no problems restarting the creation of brand new tanks. Nothing would prevent it.
@@karliskokorevics6902lmao so Ukraine would invade russia eh😂
Russia has energy, food, people and raw materials. They can produce as many tanks as they want.
Even if NATO ignores, incredibly foolishly, hypothetical Russian advances into the Baltic States, the Suwalki Gap is a border between Lithuania and POLAND. Any invading force getting close enough to Poland to cast a shadow on the border would most certainly get a response, and quickly.
The Poles will turn Kaliningrad into a parking lot and dare Russia to respond if it means protecting the Baltics. Their hate for Russia is endless and any excuse to kill its soliders is reason enough to fight.
Even if Nato ignores it (and they definitely won't), all EU countries are legally forced to fight on the Baltic States' side. Russia knows this and will not dare as they can't hope to win then.
@@Murcatto-hu1ym as a pole poland is weak
@@Murcatto-hu1ym And France has strongly implied they will answer with nuclear if all else fails. I don't know where Macron found his lost balls, but at least they're attached again.
@@WatcherCCG Good point, then we're back to the nuclear stand-off. Not great, but hopefully a stable peace, in Europe at least.
It's so sad that something as big as war is fought over something as small as the greed and egos of a few people.
It's for geopolitics and US hegemony.
The Duran for geopolitics.
@My_pfp_beats_all_dog_breeds. How many military bases USA has in Europe or world? Every NATO country is control of America empire. You aren't even human. Garland Nixon, Emil Cosman or Jimmy Dore for try. The New Atlas or The Duran too. Military Summary and Weeb Union for maps.
@My_pfp_beats_all_dog_breeds. Serbia has different opinion.
@@marko8059 I note you didn't mention Russia's contribution there
As a latvian I feel a bit depressed hearing this info, thanks.
how tf do you eat up usa propaganda as a eastern european, wake up bro
@@leight420 🫡
@@Ed17151 you arent gonna wake up are you
If things go south, Poland will not rush to secure Suwałki. Poland will rush into Kaliningrad
How many times you polaks need to be served that lesson...
The gap isn't as important anymore with Sweden and Finland in the fold they can take that gap all they want to Saint Petersburg isn't that far either
Poland will rush into Warsaw lol.
You will rush to hell.
Poland will rush backwards towards Berlin
Thanks!
Wow thank you so much!!
@@RealLifeLore You have an amazing way of putting complex subjects into perspective. Thank you!
I’m very frustrated with Europe for not doing more to assist Ukraine.
This is like ww2 if Hitler had been stopped by Czechoslovakia.
So WHOs this time Hitler?
@@slapallanBob Ross
@@slapallan Who do you think?
You mean poland?
Eh it's all good. You people over exaggerate. The U.S took 2/3rds of Mexico by force and the world didn't end. 😒