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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 ส.ค. 2024
- Hey Everyone, StraightA, Dawson here! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the content.
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2nd video of yours I'm watching. I'm analytical, so don't wait for praise 🤭. I'm not sure why you think guessing how many yards, TDs etc. anyone is gonna have. In '22 Justin Fields threw for all of Five Fewer TDs than Jalen Hurts. One had the best o-line in the NFL & a top-3 WR duo. The other had Chase Claypool, a #1 WR famous for dropping passes that hit him in the hands & o-linesmen that actively ducked away from blocks.
Absolutely _NO_ NFL fans or analysts seem to be capable of realizing that this makes Fields a _WAY_ better QB that would be putting up way more TDs if their positions were reversed. Like this guessing game of how many sacks etc. that being on a roster gains one has No Context or even real meaning. Is someone gonna come back & hold you accountable if you're of by any amount?
The only context that matters is how they stack up against their opponents. My humble suggestion is that you look to find more such comparisons & not bother with the guessing. Derek Carr can throw as many TDs as C.. Stroud but I'll bet ya more of Stroud's will be ones that come from behind whereas Carr is much better when he doesn't have to.
I'm sorry but I really can't understand the point of your comment, feel free to help clarify anything after I respond! I am going off a bell curve of the starters stats in the past 4 years, and I'm placing players and positions in each of those positions because the bell curve is a great analytical estimate of where players can place. The only downside is injuries are impossible to predict, so it does sway the results lower as a result. As for the rest of your analysis, I am writing my predictions down and comparing them after the season is done. If viewers wish to come back and say how well or poorly I did, great! But I want to know if there are better ways of doing this. It's for entertainment, just like anyone else's prediction videos. I do these for fun and to improve myself. I hope others find enjoyment, but it's okay if you don't, that's the great part about TH-cam! Hopefully I can grow and have more time to improve quality, but at the end of the day, I am a guy on the internet making videos for fun and predicting players with at least some level of analytical logic behind it.
Now as for the prediction per game, I'll be doing that this upcoming season as well. Now, comparing Carr and Stroud is probably the craziest thing I've personally seen in a minute. So I'm not sure where your analytical mind set is coming from there. But I do greatly appreciate you opinion and feedback!
@@StraightAMain My writing style doesn't help. Concise isn't my strong suit. Imagine yourself as someone visiting this channel. You think you found an assessment of how teams rank, then the narrator goes on about how many yards, sacks etc. they think players will get. Team sack leaders can get 9 on winning or losing teams, only one is easier. By itself, it doesn't help assess the team much as a whole.
A ranking # or letter grade helps place players, teams, & 'rooms' into a context. Montez Sweat led two losing teams in sacks in one year. That makes _him_ great, not the team. It's okay to use your system _to_ place them but as listeners, VERY few people will use something like how many yards a QB passed for in any context other than trying to say they didn't _completely_ suck. If they get 30+ TDs, no one's going to count their yards
It just doesn't seem to accomplish the purpose intended.
@@StraightAMain The Carr & Stroud analysis is crazy on purpose. Carr has put up decent numbers in the past. But his rep for not coming through in the clutch is apt. Stroud on the other hand makes opposing DCs nervous. That's kind of The Point. Even if Carr put up his Best Numbers & they were in the same tier as Stroud's we'd all still know he will fail in the crunch. He has _earned_ that reputation. I'm not one to say 'once a failure always so' but even past season where he Took Control on the field & shouted at the receivers & straightened out the offense so that their last 3 games the offense clicked:
why'd he wait All Season to do that? He did this So Late they were already out of the playoff picture when the effect kicked in. So saying "he'll have as many yards & TDs as Stroud" wouldn't mean he'd be as successful. His would mostly come in games they were already ahead in. That's why I don't think taking time to list how many of anything anyone might get actually helps the way you think it does. That's one person's opinion. You're 100% free to disregard it.
You know, that's a valid point. Grading system for each positions performance is actually a good idea. I'll either make a recap video or small series of videos showcasing the results or something along those lines.
When I do the series next year, I'll likely incorporate a grading system into it to help simplify the process. I am focusing less on the stats which I think is beneficial. I will likely skip the stats (or a very vague mention) in favor of changes on the team player and coach wise.
No, I actually really like how you laid this out. I would tend to agree with that analysis. As said in my other reply, I will be taking a couple changes for next year. Nevertheless, I still like this series for the time being because it's getting me used to researching teams and familiarizing myself with players. Plus it'll be cool to see how close these predictions get to the actual result!