How I Will Make $1,000,000 From Trading In 12 Months
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 27 ม.ค. 2025
- In this video I outline my plan for how I will make $1,000,000 from trading in the next 12 months. Based on my past experience trading crypto and how I plan to optimize my future trading results
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Hey Daniel, you shouldn't exceed 12% for your bet size with a 56% win rate. While you'll still remain profitable if you go higher, your profit ratio will decline. This is supported by the statistics behind the Kelly Criterion.
For those unfamiliar with the Kelly Criterion, it is a formula used to determine the optimal bet size for maximizing long-term growth. Below are the recommended bet sizes for 1:1 trades based on your average win rate:
For an 80% win rate, the optimal bet size is 60%
For a 75% win rate, the optimal bet size is 50%
For a 70% win rate, the optimal bet size is 40%
For a 65% win rate, the optimal bet size is 30%
For a 60% win rate, the optimal bet size is 20%
For a 55% win rate, the optimal bet size is 10%
These values help ensure that you maximize returns while managing risk effectively.
I know this is a bit off topic, but does chunking inhibit mental gains in quad back? It seems its much easier to get to higher level for me if i use it
Do whatever comes naturally to you, don't force any specific method
@@InfiniteIQ That's the thing, though. I read about it some time ago, and it has come naturally to me. But just because an idea comes naturally to you does not necessarily mean it's not cheating. There may be methods that I have read and know will stump gains, but I subconsciously use them without realizing it. Sorry for rambling but I hope you understand
I wish you the best of luck and I believe in you - Just be very very very careful!
Thanks mate
I am at a similar stage, created my play book this year collecting tons of data and refining my strategy and phycology. I trade currencies, a couple of indices and btc/usd. From my experience I would say phycology is one of the most important attributes. I would say for your strategy phycology is going to play a big part as you're trading intraday multiple times, I am a swing trader so only a couple of trades a month with a high RR. I would definitely enjoy following along your journey.
I would be very careful if you've barely made any money, and now you're aiming for a million in such a short time. I say this only for your own good and wish you good luck.
Do you trade with leverage?
Yes, the required leverage to hit my desired risk level per trade
All the very best Daniel, may fortune be in your favour.
7:42 What? 20% risk per trade being "technically optimal"? Only in your dreams man!
With 56% hit rate, you can easily have more than 5 losses in a row many times, or any other combination that will empty the account anyway.
Also, if you loss 20% you have to actually make 25% just to break even; 67% for 40%, 100% for 50%, etc.
20% stop loss you might have 15-20 stocks and its optimality depends on the volatility of the stock but 20% is fine like 1-2% of your total. Logically if you have a 50% win rate you're going to end up with an average of the starting amount so I don't know what the percentages are for. What triggered me was that he's clearly not using fundamentals if he's trading crypto so much and I wonder if he's benefited from the crypto run by taking more longs.
Run the numbers, then you will understand. And 20% of the portfolio on each trade doesn't empty the account after 5 losses, 5 losses in a row would be about a 67% drawdown. It is 1 trade at a time
I mainly trade short in crypto actually
@@InfiniteIQ Ok, right. If every trade isn't a percentage of the initial total, but from the new subsequent equity, the situation is of course better. The DD would be in fact 33%, although, still, because having to win 25% to recover each 20% loss, with so little room to maneuver, it would be super difficult even just keeping the account above high-water mark for the medium-long run.
Why is the starting capital so low though? If you believe in the system you have created based on historical data and backtesting, then shouldn't you start with more than $20K? Also, you could continuously refine your system based on recent performance and adjust the risk regularly based on your recent hit rate/results, it doesn't have to be a fixed strategy for the entire duration.
@@InfiniteCuriousity i am purposely forcing myself to trade smaller and with less risk, as I think it will be a good long term habit to engrain. And if I'm right about my hit rate the small start balance will quickly grow anyway
@@InfiniteIQ Understood, but $1M in 1 year is too slow, we only have a couple of years to make money before AI takes over :D
Great videos, keep making them.
Is this daytrading ? Because we are in a bull run right now. Things will change and could go south very fast if you are not managing your risks.
@@JohanHesselholt-h3l did you watch the video? I clearly outlined my risk. And I trade long and short, bull run makes no difference
@InfiniteIQ famous last words. Good luck
When will you get to quad 9 back
That's the question
@@InfiniteIQI think we'd all like to see a more detailed reflection from you on the brain training so far. How it's going, and in particular how the current level of each of the benefits you've unlocked compares to back when you first noticed it.
I know you've mentioned the benefits a month ago, but you haven't expressed them in terms of a scale. Now I also know it gets harder to measure/determine bcs you improve at a slower rate over time, but anyway what I mean is this: say the level of your hq vision was 1 at the moment of unlocking, then what would it be now? Now of course that's nonsense bcs one doesn't know the maximum possible level, so go for the ratio. E.g. was that initial level 1/2 or 1/3 of what you have now (accumulated through training in the meantime)?
Your other things like the ability to manage your business may be harder to tell bcs a part of it is always attributable to experience (wisdom) acquired over time, but next to hq vision, your general problem solving ability should be quantifiable by you fairly accurately in the way I just described.
I think now is just the proper time to ask this bcs you've been doing it for a long enough time now, and you should therefore be able to at least mostly accurately assess your level even later on, when improvement was way less steep, in such a comparative way.
Hi Sir, great content really but i have a question. How have u calculated 35% maximum drawdown for the first account? Are still considering past performance and model volatilty? Best
Yes i modelled the volatility based on 56% hit rate and 3% risk per trade
hows the n-back been going? have you managed to hit quad 9 back yet?
What is your opinion on RFT
Will the TikToks be after the fact, or will they be live? I’d gladly risk $1,000 and put on the trades with you.
They would be live, but i wouldn't encourage anyone to copy my trades, as i mentioned there will be a lot of variance in the portfolio
Where is good to learn trading on crypto?
Experience is the only way, just start with practice trades (no real money) until you get the hang of it
I would definitely watch the tiktoks
Why havent you tried any neurofeedback trainings? Like biocybernaut one, or any other like SMR therapy, peak alpha, peak beta, etc. Biocybernauts one promises to increase iq by 11.7 points in a week of intense training, and mechanism is pretty solid.
Genuine question
I think he said something about focusing on money and it's possible he just hasn't researched that method yet because he thinks ai will take our jobs in the next 2 years. I don't think ai is that close yet maybe like 5-10 years, but given how exponential it can grow 2 is much more plausible than I thought.
Can you pls Upload a video of a Quad9back Session but without doing anything😅? Its just about the Input. I don't have the Option to train at the moment, but I would like to try something…
Also tell us how you will increase your iq to 190
he wont, lol. training will not make you be able to become the world most intelligent human. Lets take for example bodybuilding; building muscle is much more alterable than building inteligence, yet to perform on stage you cannot achieve this with a bunch of training and steroids, you still need elite genes, same with intelligence, unironically intelligence is even less alterable.
That's a poor example, considering body builders spend thousands of hours training in order to get on the stage, whereas the most intelligent people in the world currently are just born with it. A better example would be someone training for a decade to be a bodybuilder, and then competing on stage with the best untrained natural bodies in the world.
@@InfiniteIQ I understand, but my point was that 190 IQ points for someone who started with +-136 (correct me if im wrong) IQ points would very unlikely be able to achieve 190 IQ points, and what I tried to say is that just like bodybuilding you can train all you want and as hard as you can, but without elite genetics you will not be able to compete for the MR. Olympia. having more than 190 IQ points is something only a handful of people have in this world. But im not discouraging you, perhaps I am wrong, but this is my honest opinion.
@CyberPotato123 the flaw of your argument is an assumption of amount of potential increase. No one knows what is the limit of anyone's brain, because no one simply haven't tried to reach it yet. And the criteria of genetics in that matter is also not clear to even make any guess. Einstein's brain was a bit smaller than average yet he had 160iq, even though gray matter mass, or weight of brain, is the only viable characteristic (genetics) that correlates with iq
@@InfiniteIQI also have a question, why haven't you tried anything like biocybernaut neurofeedback training? Or SMR, peak alpha, peak beta
Biocybernaut's training promises to increase iq by 11.7 points by average, and the mechanism is pretty convincing.
Will cost you like $20k but increase iq by 11.7 points
And if you know these things but still decided to not do it, what's the reason?
Hey Daniel, I have a question: Is 30 Minuten per das Squad N Back optimal?, because I did 1 Hour and every second day and it felt like I didn‘t make much progress.
Every second day is best
Hi Daniel. I am a 19 year old boy. I just started university and I have a lot of free time. University takes me up about 10 hours a week. I have 10 thousand euros that I am willing to risk completely. I have an IQ of 133. I wanted to ask you, in your opinion, how much could I increase this mini capital by the end of 2025, so in one year? And what would you advise me to do? I'm willing to spend a lot of time on this. Thanks in advance.
I know you asked Daniel but I feel I can share some valuable knowledge as a trader for 5 years. Long term investing I personally go with Index funds which is basically a basket of the top 500 US stocks, technically you're investing in a large portion of the US economy. There are also bonds but I don't personally do this, if you do stick with government bonds. Another long term would be bitcoin, buy dips and don't sell, it's that simple. Short term, as degenerate as it is, meme coins. Only if you put in the effort to follow narratives. Split 1k in to 10 different trades and get a couple 10 - 20x and then repeat until you reach 6 figures, obviously this is high risk. My best meme coin play was 50 pounds to 5k, not flexing just example of how powerful it can be. I also swing trade but this took me many years to learn and most of my savings down the drain. I don't want to shill on Daniels page but there are signal groups out there that are legit (most are bs though so be careful) these would allow you to scale over the span of a year, like Daniel is looking to do, and get returns above 20%. For reference the S&P low end averages around 8% annually. To summarise one hundred percent set up a stocks and shares ISA and start investing in the S&P, for a beginner maybe start with 100 euros a month and gradually increase that to atleast 300 - 500 for best results. Secondly invest in bluechip cryptos I personally have money in bitcoin and ETH and I will be holding that until atleast 2030 (I never check my portfolio). Finally you have short term plays like memecoins or day trading, personally I wouldn't recommend day trading unless you are going in 100% and make a career out of it. Good luck and remember this isn't financial advice lol.
Well, there's no sensible answer for that, less if you have just started. So, good luck (you're gonna need it).
If I have you capital I'd start a business, it can be daunting to commit 10000 euro seems super risky so you should perhaps try starting a small hobby business. That's the fastest way to grow your money. I personally had about 100 quid and bought some secondhand anime figures, merch, clothes, shoes with them and sold them on ebay. You can easily double your money but there's a lot of knowledge you need and things to consider such as postage costs, turnover rate, ect. But you should be a lot more comfortable with that cash you're holding. I'd say start any business you find interesting or potentially fun. Lots of people in America often go to nice neighborhoods and mow their lawns on a regular basis. Basically get creative with what you'd like to do. I just happen to like the idea of flipping purchases. It doesn't have to be an official business before you earn more than is taxable, just make sure to know the laws around what you'd like to do but the idea is that investments are extremely far away from what makes money which is people's business. If you're talking about investing as the thing you'd like to do, just know that realistically your upper limits are 30% for the super elite in the entire world, whereas 30% ROI for a business is very common and with the IQ advantage may be extremely easy. However as someone who's recently graduated myself I really messed up my university assuming all the work would be equal in first year to second and third year. If I were you I'd start asking second years to just give you the resources for the year so you can just work on that if you have extra time you'd like to get a return on. I also helped my family sell unwanted clothes and jewelry and personally made 700 quid over the summer without investment.
TLDR: any business you are interested in will get biggest return.
Invested in an index fund with someone like Trading212, it could be €800,000 by age 65 if growing at 10% per year. €1.6million if you add €1,000 to it each year. Even higher if you add larger amounts.
1 year is not a lot of time, especially if you have no experience. It is far more likely you will lose the money. If you decide to try trading i suggest spending 4 months paper trading only (no real money), then 4 months risking very small amounts maybe $10 per trade (assuming you were successful at paper trading). Then the last 4 months risking 2% per trade, assuming you were successful with the previous step
Daniel is back, good to see you bro! You‘re such a big Inspiration source for me. Pls make more Videos and I have a question to you: Do you believe in God?
I would recommend believing in God to everyone, because it makes your worrys, fears and inner resentment or negative expectation disappear with literally no effort. In addition it makes you a better, kinder person. It also makes you internally stronger and happier. I would recommend reading books about Islam and strengthening your connection to god. Even if it is all not real, if it gives you power, it is still worth using and it is still better to use it than not to try it at all.
@@LegendEditz-b1t This is an interesting postmodern ideological stance - something like Utilitarian Theism. Now imagine what a real connection to god could give you in terms of "benefits" :D
I believe there is likely a god-like entity in the universe, either a super advanced alien race, or the creators of the simulation, which would appear as gods to us.
Are you doing fundamental analysis?
Mostly technical, but i factor in fundamental too
One question: Have you read any books on money or anything like that or talking with highly intelligent people or those with a lot of experience? I haven't heard you mention anything like this on this channel.
I read a lot of trading books, but that contributes almost nothing to success in trading, it is all about personal experience
@ Right then. I wasn’t specifically referring t trading books. I think some self improvement books and biographies on some smart people would be good. I can list some. Maybe listening to some interviews could also contribute a small amount.
What software are you using
None, my crypto trades are all discretionary
@@InfiniteIQ What platform though.
Looking at the best one fees wise.
Hi man Im working on a method which helps you learn a language within 30-90 days with approx 2hrs of effort daily.
I'd like to teach it to you. I'd like to see your iq before and after learning a language
At some point i would like to try that, but that's too much time commitment for me at the moment
@InfiniteIQ no problem. I can reduce it upto 45min per day for 2 months.
Incase your interested tell me in future. I plan to make a video on this once I acheive my goal
Hey I'm interested
@@Nikoloz-g8x hi just to inform in advance it is mentally exhausting and requires huge time commitment at the start.
Im using this specifically for japanese.
If ur interested to learn Japanese, feel free to join me.
@@random-content6969 no problem I definitely want it but I'm in school right now do you have faceBook or any other platform where we can contact
Hey Daniel.... How much can I increase my iq Iam 18 and my iq is 136... Can I really increase my iq? What about researches that say that iq doesn't increase after 18.. After your experience what do u think?
You can get to 150+ easily
Hi, long time no video 😅
Just checking in to see if everything’s alright and to know if you’ve gotten to 9 back yet?
Personally, I’m waiting for you to replicate an increased IQ score on an official test so I can confirm by the scientific method that N back indeed works and so I can start intensive training as well. Right now I am afraid I could be wasting my time…
Yeah minus the 37% tax
lol i will be happy to pay it
Did you actually reach your goal to increase your IQ to 195 from all your brain training or did it not work? its been 3 years now
It is not possible to measure above 160 accurately
@@InfiniteIQ Wait so you actually increased your IQ to over 160??? when you are so convinced about the fact that you increased your IQ successfully to 195 IQ then please tell us or me more about it
Did you start to feel changes?
and what kind of changes?
can you learn languages extremely fast?
can you think more logically?
can you remember 100 words per minute? when you have an IQ above 160 ofc what about numbers or pictures? do you remember everything with all details in your mind
Do you feel like you have now habits that you never had in your life before? or do you have new interests as example how everything works or starting to question reality or the universe?
Hello Daniel, would you let me be you through an impossible wish prayer to Jesus?I' m Edwin
Instead of tiktok, just do TH-cam shorts......
tiktok is a lot faster if i want to post in real time
You dont have any evidence your trading is successful. Seems fake. Go and show us a live account working!
You so rude
@@candoit123 did you even watch the video
@@InfiniteIQ yeah watched it. He had no evidence, just talking off the top of ya head. Pretty useless content