Are there still educated people who think Russia can win? Russia lost in 2022 and nether Finnland nor Sweden will leave NATO again. If the goal was to push NATO away from the Russian border it failed totally.
Seems optimistic to say the least. The Ukrainians haven't shown the ability to break through Russian fortified defences or to stop their FAB bomb attacks which are killing hundreds of soldiers per month. If they can't do those things it will stay as it is IMO, ie, a stalemate.
@Adonnus100 That's not quite accurate. I agree that 2025 is premature, but I follow people who are looking at satellite footage of Russia's long-term storage. At the rates they've been expending tanks and artillery, they'll completely run out in mid-2026. That doesn't mean they will run out then, but it does mean they'll have to stop the huge, daily artillery bombardment they've relied on. A slow-down will basically end the effectiveness of their current tactics. There *will* be a breaking point. As long as Ukraine receives the *same* amount of aid as it has received through 2026, then they'll win by the end of 2026. Russia doesn't have the stockpiles to hold out any longer than that. I said "same aid" because it doesn't matter who's providing it. If the US steps downbut south Korea steps up, then they'll still recieve a considerable amount. Added to what Europe is and will be providing and it would be enough (both Koreas have insane amounts of artillery, though South Korea has slightly less than the North, but theirs is of much higher quality).
Thanks Wes that was extremely interesting and very informative. You speak extremely well, and your analysis is easily understood. All the best Wes. Have a great day bud. SLAVA UKRAINE 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦❤️
@@activatekruger446 "Three days to take Kyiv." - words of american general Mark Milley, the prediction that had a bunch of caviats to it. Who are you laughing at here? At American general?
Outstanding analysis. Like everyone I thought the Ukraine army would be crushed until I heard their President say “I don’t need a ride I need Ammunition.” Awesome leadership instills confidence and can change a battlefield. I knew then the Ukrainian people would win. Whoever thought 300 Spartans and a few friends could stop the most powerful military on earth. Even though they lost the battle eventually the Spartans drove the invaders from Greece with help from some friends
Ukraine army was not crush in 1day or 3 those mean they will win the war please let us advise ourselves and stop pushing this people by praising and hyping... their population is sinking on a very high rapids rate
yes a real ongoing guerrilla struggle - while you rely on the UK to protect your airspace and coast because you’re too lazy or tight to do it yourselves. You are not the same as the Ukrainians.
Our NCO corps is a treasure. I was very sad when I would read the casualty reports in the Iraq wars and Afghanistan because it seemed like the Lance Corporals really bore the brunt of the enemy's attacks. I certainly hope your advocacy and the agitation of other leaders can prevent America from losing our will to support Ukraine in the coming years. Let us hope Trump does not squeak out a win in the EC, since that would be the end of our support altogether.
None of this is a reason enough for why Ukraine could win in 2025. It's just "duh they have no good NCOs" and "duh they're not invincible". I expected something more on the current situation, strategicl or tactical. As it is, this is just clickbait.
How can Ukrraine win in 2025 when Russia lost the war already in 2022? In the moment Finnland and Sweden joind NATO, Russia could not reach its original goals Putin claimed in January 2022.
@@maritaschweizer1117 If you don't understand why Ukraine and Georgia are strategic and Finland/Sweden are not, you need to go back and do some research before gracing us with your opinion.
@@mockingbbirdkilla1771you mean I am not infected by the Russian propaganda? In this point you are right. Of course I see that Georgia and Ukraine is more important for Russia to keep its other colonies together. But all Empires failed and its colonies became independent. The last Empire also will loose its colonies. I guess it will start with the liberation of Chetchnia, Dagestan Igusetia and the other Muslim colonies within the RF.
@@maritaschweizer1117 It has less to do with non-existent empires and more to do with preparing a decapitation strike package followed by an invasion force. That isn't Russian propaganda, that's just strategy. It's a strategy that only works if one is rich enough to afford a luxury bunker, therefore I'm excluded, and so are you.
Also gotta take away those stupid restrictions USA got for striking within Russia . Like for real, my country "Sweden", Finland and such small countries have given them the thumbs up to strike inside of Russia with our weapons. USA better back down on that " No use of our long range weapons within Russia" BS they been japping about. Putins red lines has been crossed servial times by now lol, so hes nuclear threats are just empty threats. He aint gonna attack NATO just because of some long range weapons inside of Russia
All miracle situation changing weapons FAiLED: Bayraktar drones. Leopard tanks, Abrams tanks, Patriot missiles, Storm Shadow, Neptune, French/German/Italian/US/UK artillery, intelligent antitank missiles,etc. F16 are "doing nothing" kept in the background beause when they fly over a battlefield they will be knocked down
not only the ammo depot Toropetsk was hit and destroyed but also a few more were hit with simliar results. Only the one near Volgograd failed but the damage was done, there are reports of Russia artillery ammo shortage in the Ukraine. shortly after the attacks, yep Russians were really caught with their pants down on this one, storing large quantities of their weapons out in the opne preparing for be sent to the front lines, the Ukrainains actually waited for the trains to arrive in the depots and hit them while they were loading the ammo into the trains, strikes on a large pile of ammo resulted in a chain reaction shockwave equal to a 1.8 kiloton which caused the destruction of the other ammo dumps in the depot which cause more explositions and shockwaves.
Love this comedy channel . Best joke in 2022 Ukraine crushes Russia, then another great joke 2023 . Ukraine has won now this best joke 2024 Ukraine is winning plus the follow up which even better Ukraine can win in 2025 I love this channel still laughing keep the jokes coming.
The culture of corruption, is one of the most difficult things to overcome and I’m unaware of any countries who have successfully weeded it out when it was so entrenched in the traditional culture… ever. China and Russia are 2 examples of countries in which corruption has existed forever and has remained embedded within the culture regardless of regime or political system for hundreds of years in Russias case and thousands of years in Chinas.
Ill let you in on a little secret - corruption exists in every country in the world. Also you might want to look at US when you talking about it, there it's infinitely worse.
Over 20 minutes of introduction and analysing the Russian army and fighting methods might be interesting, but does not support the title. Hope you are able to make titles, which support the content. Then I will subscribe again.
AI autonomous sniper drones are a game changer in my view. The most efficient small arms air to ground combat weapon system one could conceive. If Ukraine can develop this to a high degree, it could be a massive boost to their air to ground combat operations toolkit. Imagine a single drone able to take out say 20 ground targets in one sortie. Then head back to a designated ammo dump and auto reload and if necessary auto recharge. Imagine a larger drone depositing a 100 magazine ( 20 shots per magazine ) ammo dump and solar recharge battery centre in a tall tree via a hanging it from a strong branch. It would be a like a robotic wasp .22 calibre sting rearming nest. Then imagine say 10 drones re-arming during one sortie. The tech components already exist. It just has to be designed with R & D then assembled and tested and refined over time. Much of the testing could also be simulated in a real world 3D graphics environment / physics engine. For example a flight simulator type environment etc...
If you reduce the big barrell by 20%, the conveyor belt by 20%, and the little barrell by 20% what have you accomplished? A 20% reduction in Russian fighting power. Or maybe a 60% reduction in Russian fighting power, if the Russians aren't flexible in meshing what remains back together again. In my opinion, it's too large a difference to leave the matter unstated.
All I got from this is that Ukraine will win because Russian army is bad, this is not a sustainable strategy that Ukraine should depend on. Thankfully you are not one of Ukraine's military planners😂. Seriously though, these problems have been plagueing the Russians since the beginning of the war, and they seem to still be winning, I mean September 2024 is one of the best months for the invasion so far, and October looks like it would be better for them. So your video to me is a pipedream.
Ukraine not gonna win through tactic on the battlefield. Of course, inflicting massive damage and casualty to the Russian military greatly help, but the real battle is in the economy. Enforcing of sanctions and oil price are gonna be the determining factors.
True. 19% interest rate with still high inflation and a war economy that cannibalises everything else and doesn t provide returns. Increasing difficulties to trade with China. The loss of allies. This can not turn out well for Russia if Ukraine is able to outwait them.
@@yollon2550 The biggest challenges for Ukraine is their dumb allies. They actually think Time is in Russia favor. Plus, they refuse to return the military age men to Ukraine. If these 2 errors are fixed, Ukraine's victory is absolutely ensured.
Ridiculous fantasies from a complete lack of understanding and unwillingness to understand the reasons for the war, the goals of Ukraine and Russia, and the real state of the opposing armies, economies, and societies.
All well and good, but without extra support from the West, Ukraine can still be overwelmed. The drop like support is killing Ukraine slowly. The deliveries of weapons must be accelerated x3 or times x5.
currently, ukraine's domestic supply is half of their ammo. They've rapidly expanded their domestic production and im hoping they can double again now they've drawn attention to funding being the limiting factor. So at least one country has put in an order to ukraine for stuff for ukraine and one country has sent money to invest in the expansion. ukraine is trying to 'trump-proof' their winning the war
I agree with your analysis of the Russian army's weaknesses. Not much of this is news to anyone who listens to highly credible sources (in the UK, for example, I pay attention to the BBC). I think the only thing I was unaware of is the lack of NCOs in the command structure, and your assessment of that failure is quite convincing. However, at around 18 minutes you say you believe that 'Putin will settle for terms that are unfavourable if it means he maintains power in Moscow' Well yes, but that's a big IF. He is notoriously brutal in suppressing dissent.
One small suggestion: "privet" is a russian greeting. In Ukraine we sat "pryvit" or, because it might be tricky to pronounce, you can say "vitayu" (greetings) which is literally pronounced as written. Also, this vide was an amazing watch. Some good points you have there. Support for Ukraine always seems one step behind.
Russian soldiers are currently complaining about lack of shells for the artillery due to Ukrainian strikes against their ammunition depots. Plus, Russia is losing equipment faster than they can replace it.
The ammo depot destruction is in 2024, in Russia. Ukrainian capabilites was that good in 2022. What's your take on the oil strikes that has Russian oil production down about 15 percent? Are the Western's secondary sanctions working, with the Russian Central Bank's 19 percent interest rate and inflation that is higher than that since the rate has kept climbing this past summer?
People support strongmen like putin and trump because their narratives give them permission to be the worst they can be, they normalise characteristics most find abhorrent, like advocating international war crimes, stoking cultural wars etc etc These 'strongman' leaders, as hitler did, enable people to feel they belong to a community, no longer isolated, rejected loners. Vicariously followers can feel empowered by 'strongmen'. and they are willing to give up freedom of press and democratic right to feel that way. (agenda 2025 written by trump campaign's think tank heritage would turn usa into an autocracy) These followers will reject anything which doesnt align with their world view, at most they experience cognitive dissonance when confronted with reality. It is only when they realise firsthand the damage the autocratic 'strongmen' they worship have caused, (to them, their family and friends, their career prospects, finances etc, or when they themselves are targeted), when it is arguably 'too late' that they finally use their brains and take their ego out of the equation and start noticing the logical fallacies and cognitive distortions in the information they consumed so greedily, so readily. If you place truth above your ego, learning cognitive distortions and logical fallacies will take you far when you dont have time or resources for fact finding missions, when you havent been taught how to research or find primary sources and use critical thinking skills, psychology and history to draw a 'most probable' analysis. Jo public, you, me dont know jack shit for certain^ at best we have ideas, get ur ego out of the game, make truth bigger than yourself^
Wes, I'm 150% with you, me, an American babyboomer 40+ days older than Humpty Trumpty, volunteer teaching English in central Ukraine, we have integrity and survival, they have a need to go home and repair their own country - we are smart, inventive and will overcome their unsustainable efforts, losing too many Russian husbands, brothers, uncles, and sons. Goodbye Putin.
I think it will be impossible in 2025. it depends on many factors. You can't expect NATO, for example, to suddenly give Ukraine three times as many weapons. That would be a possibility that Russia would lose quickly, but rather unlikely. In my opinion, the following is more realistic but much more difficult. On the one hand, support would have to remain constant or even be increased slightly until 2028 or longer. Ukrainians need to stay motivated to fight. those are the prerequisites. After that, the Ukrainians would have to remain on the defensive for years until Russia used up its Soviet reserves. According to satellite images, that won't be until 2027. At that point Russia would suffer massively in terms of material. The losses in tanks are only 6% new T-90. NATO would then have to increase support from 2027 so that Ukraine can go on the offensive and conquer its country...
By then Ukraine Manpower crisis would probably lead to either mutany or a outright collapse and there is a good chance that world goes through a recession thanks to debt crisis.
I like your big barrel small barrel analogy. However assuming its right, if Ukraine strikes the big barrel, doesn't that do little? After all you described the current logistics system as a bottleneck, isn't that true for the whole of the conveyor? If they strike the big barrel, well you still have the same constraints getting things to the front line. So if the big barrel is 800 units of combat power and the conveyor is 100 units. Only 100 units goes to the front. You strike the big barrel so that it goes from 800 units to 700 units - well you still have 100 units making it to the front.
Thank your this info. Good to learn. Glory to Ukraine! And puck futin! from Hungary. as economist, with postgrad degree in int rel, and interested in geopolitics, plius, BIG plus, a Diplomat Father who knew russians very, very, very well, and taught me TONS, I agree with the conclusions and their logic. inherent weakness of the putin regime is not visible, but its there. the bear is fragile, and sick, and below its big fur, and big bluffs, its a weak, always hungry, nasty bear, who can only overcome the weaker prey. Ukraine is a Werewolf. putins biggest error ever was, misguided by his hubris, the FSB, and his bad advisors, all a result of his shitty system, was to go full in against Ukraine. russia will end in Ukraine, I am absolutely convinced of this.
nice intro, Wes.....new to your program...liked popcorn reference, I'm ready!! Like I said, I just got in here....Russian logistics ? Zero. Especially made worse, since they're a Ground army to begin with.
Excellent analysis and an interesting prediction. If the US and NATO soon start doing more to help Ukraine WIN this war then they might well win it by the end of next year. I hope so. Slava Ukraine.
@toi_techno To my Russian in laws, I’ve used Ireland as my example of fighting against colonialism. Which seems to get through to them a tiny bit. But, not nearly enough to counter what they hear daily from Russian news.
NCO is important however not enough to win the war. Another majoc factor is continuing support. Ukraine us miving tiwards a snall well trained army fighting a large soviet style army. The thing that nakes ut work in west us airforce. That us currently lacking.
Great video, and interestingly put. I enjoy your take on things Ukraine. I only question one part though, and I'll add: I love the spirit of the Ukraine, and believe in their values, spirit and ingenuity. The bad part is the USA. Will we keep supplying Ukraine, or will it wain into nothing. Ukraine has a chance, but not without US support. Support Ukraine!!!!
NATO and Ukraine s other allies are equiped with about 30× the economic output of Russia. If we want them to lose, they lose. For some odd reason some just don t want Ukraine to win, they are team Aggressor or just beeing cynical.
Isn't it ironic that part of the solution to introducing an NCO class is go review what Ukraine did from 2014 to this day. They're making so much military history right now. One aspect is to study and use the exact techniques that NATO and the West used to place and train staff and infrastructure. Perhaps THE most valuable thing to come from a RUSSO and anyone war is the destruction of the Russian culture. Starting militarily with a very difficult change of mindset to any of a number of fine western armies. The culture will have to be rooted out in the civilian population as well. Free Speech and thought fully expressed will be a powerful tool. The Russians will need strong national leaders to survive this. It may well be that they exist and will step up as soon as the spectre of PUTINISM is extinguished. Hopefully forward thinkers will be able to rise and bring the people who can reach out to the needs of people. By the time the Ukrainians win the Russians will receive one of the most massive body of walking wounded ever known with healing needs to be provided by a system that doesn't even exist. The pressure on the civilian Women is going to be tremendous. They are going to be encouraged to start families and required to have jobs and create a NEW form of Government. Even as I type this I'm encouraged for the PEOPLE of both countries. The common decency and tenacity that the Ukrainians have operated with prove that common decency and tenacity can be taught and learned with Free Speech.
Finland backed by nazi germany too had a funny habbit of running the most ridiculous propaganda of how much casualties they inflicted to soviets, their population was completely oblivious to what's actually going on due to constant stream of this and that destroyed or the ridiculous number of enemies KIA they printed out in their newspapers. All the way until their defeat. They still read that garbage and think it had any historical value.
@@activatekruger446 Are you kidding me? You just lost Vugledar! Do you know who big of a deal this is! You lost it along with the two most elite brigades.
Problem with Ukraine winning is that Ukrainian army is mostly as incompetent as the Russian army, they are both parts of the former Soviet army and lack NCOs just as much
Ukraine is as Soviet as Russia was. A third of Soviets wren Ukrainians. 2 out of 5 Soviet heads of state were Ukrainian lol. Ukraine even expanded its borders with the Soviet Union getting land from Russia, Poland, Hungary, and Romania
I believe as well. I wish our so called current leadership would sharpen it's focus and get this over with. Without surrendering ANY of the pre 2014 land borders. All the Ukrainian people kidnapped by Russia MUST be returned. All UA POWs must be repatriated.
I doubt Russia can last much more than one more year. The only positive so to speak, is that most the Russian forces that actually wanted to fight in Ukraine since the war commenced are likely no longer in the fight. If you know what I mean. Those Russian conscripts and contract soldiers remaining, either want to escape or not even arrive on the front. At this stage the majority of the Russian foot soldier forces remaining in this war, are effectively unwilling participants. This is why Putler has turned to jails and now those prisoners on remand about to enter jails. They can't barely last another year or so and what remains is effectively cannon fodder.
_Ukraine’s tenacious spirit and tactical genius_ xD Yeah. Right. We saw this tenacious spirit in number of volunteers for Ukrainian Legion in Poland. Hillarious fact that Russia is neither willing nor able to decisively win on battlefield, doesn't mean that Ukraine is going to 'win' the war.
Thank you for sharing your thoughts and insights. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇸🇺🇦
🇺🇦🇺🇲 HEROYAM SLAVA!
Thank you for believing in Ukraine. Cheers from Sweden and Slava Ukraini!💙💛
It's great to see someone who believes Ukraine will win! Excellent analysis.
Are there still educated people who think Russia can win? Russia lost in 2022 and nether Finnland nor Sweden will leave NATO again. If the goal was to push NATO away from the Russian border it failed totally.
Bruh
Excellent, Slava Ukraine🙏👍
Seems optimistic to say the least. The Ukrainians haven't shown the ability to break through Russian fortified defences or to stop their FAB bomb attacks which are killing hundreds of soldiers per month. If they can't do those things it will stay as it is IMO, ie, a stalemate.
It looks like a video from fall 2022 or 2023
Stalemate would be awful for Ukraine. This means Russia would keep the valuable parts of the country: the Donbass and the coastline
@@LeadLeftLeon There is no chance Ukraine will get those back with the current level of assistance. the west has decided it can afford to lose them.
@Adonnus100 That's not quite accurate. I agree that 2025 is premature, but I follow people who are looking at satellite footage of Russia's long-term storage. At the rates they've been expending tanks and artillery, they'll completely run out in mid-2026. That doesn't mean they will run out then, but it does mean they'll have to stop the huge, daily artillery bombardment they've relied on. A slow-down will basically end the effectiveness of their current tactics. There *will* be a breaking point.
As long as Ukraine receives the *same* amount of aid as it has received through 2026, then they'll win by the end of 2026. Russia doesn't have the stockpiles to hold out any longer than that. I said "same aid" because it doesn't matter who's providing it. If the US steps downbut south Korea steps up, then they'll still recieve a considerable amount. Added to what Europe is and will be providing and it would be enough (both Koreas have insane amounts of artillery, though South Korea has slightly less than the North, but theirs is of much higher quality).
@@jeffbenton6183 lol, sure
Thank you for sharing your positivity
Keep it coming. Nicely done!
The best most incisive commentary Ive come across about the war. Thanks so much!
Your Channel deserves a bigger audience. I'm sure you get that soon. Greetings from Germany.
From your mouth to Gold's ear.🙏🏾🙏🏾🙏🏾 Slava Ukraini!🇺🇦🔱💪🏾
Thank you Wes for your detailed analysis on the Ukraine war. 🇺🇦💙💛
Very well done!
Great channel. Enjoying your take. Keep it up
Thank you for your service and slava, Ukraine.
Love your videos. Subscribed
Thanks Wes that was extremely interesting and very informative. You speak extremely well, and your analysis is easily understood. All the best Wes. Have a great day bud. SLAVA UKRAINE 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦❤️
It is literally impossible to cope harder than this.
"Three days to take Kyiv."
It’s really sad
10 years of the Ukrainian Armed Forces "liberating Crimea" 😂😂😂
@@activatekruger446 "Three days to take Kyiv." - words of american general Mark Milley, the prediction that had a bunch of caviats to it.
Who are you laughing at here? At American general?
Lol. Beyond ridiculous.
G e at summary- keep it up, love your channel
Very informative thanks Slava Ukraine
you got me with the Mcgyver reference! Slava Ukraine.
Yeah but you have to say it in the voices of two old ladies from the Simpsons Patty an Selma, they love him.
interesting 👍👍👍
Outstanding analysis. Like everyone I thought the Ukraine army would be crushed until I heard their President say “I don’t need a ride I need Ammunition.” Awesome leadership instills confidence and can change a battlefield. I knew then the Ukrainian people would win. Whoever thought 300 Spartans and a few friends could stop the most powerful military on earth. Even though they lost the battle eventually the Spartans drove the invaders from Greece with help from some friends
Ukraine army was not crush in 1day or 3 those mean they will win the war please let us advise ourselves and stop pushing this people by praising and hyping... their population is sinking on a very high rapids rate
😂😂😂 фильм! 🤣🤣🤣
ahahahahahaha
Here in Ireland we fought an 800 year guerrilla war against the English which has not ended
We never surrendered and never will
Erin go bragh
yes a real ongoing guerrilla struggle - while you rely on the UK to protect your airspace and coast because you’re too lazy or tight to do it yourselves. You are not the same as the Ukrainians.
ironic then that you lost to the migrant invasion that is destroying Irish culture and identity
@@toi_techno No it ended in the 90s when you signed agreements to that end.
“Never surrender and never win” there i fixed it for ya
Slav Ukraine 🇺🇦
GREAT VIDEO WES- INSPIRING AND MOVING- SAD BUT TRUE COMMENTARY THANKS
Our NCO corps is a treasure. I was very sad when I would read the casualty reports in the Iraq wars and Afghanistan because it seemed like the Lance Corporals really bore the brunt of the enemy's attacks.
I certainly hope your advocacy and the agitation of other leaders can prevent America from losing our will to support Ukraine in the coming years. Let us hope Trump does not squeak out a win in the EC, since that would be the end of our support altogether.
Thank you Wes! Nicely stated. I subscribed today.
None of this is a reason enough for why Ukraine could win in 2025. It's just "duh they have no good NCOs" and "duh they're not invincible". I expected something more on the current situation, strategicl or tactical.
As it is, this is just clickbait.
I hope we get an update on this in twelve months. I suspect, in fact, Ukraine will not win the war in 2025.
How can Ukrraine win in 2025 when Russia lost the war already in 2022? In the moment Finnland and Sweden joind NATO, Russia could not reach its original goals Putin claimed in January 2022.
@@maritaschweizer1117 If you don't understand why Ukraine and Georgia are strategic and Finland/Sweden are not, you need to go back and do some research before gracing us with your opinion.
@@mockingbbirdkilla1771you mean I am not infected by the Russian propaganda? In this point you are right. Of course I see that Georgia and Ukraine is more important for Russia to keep its other colonies together. But all Empires failed and its colonies became independent. The last Empire also will loose its colonies. I guess it will start with the liberation of Chetchnia, Dagestan Igusetia and the other Muslim colonies within the RF.
@@maritaschweizer1117 It has less to do with non-existent empires and more to do with preparing a decapitation strike package followed by an invasion force. That isn't Russian propaganda, that's just strategy. It's a strategy that only works if one is rich enough to afford a luxury bunker, therefore I'm excluded, and so are you.
My boi is insane
Excellent content. We’ll put together content and smooth flow of presentation. Keep it up!
Ukraine can win with better weapons and more of them. We know they got the smarts.
Also gotta take away those stupid restrictions USA got for striking within Russia . Like for real, my country "Sweden", Finland and such small countries have given them the thumbs up to strike inside of Russia with our weapons. USA better back down on that " No use of our long range weapons within Russia" BS they been japping about. Putins red lines has been crossed servial times by now lol, so hes nuclear threats are just empty threats. He aint gonna attack NATO just because of some long range weapons inside of Russia
Which weapons? The list they needed to win from last year resulted in zero counteroffensives, continuous lost territory
All miracle situation changing weapons FAiLED: Bayraktar drones. Leopard tanks, Abrams tanks, Patriot missiles, Storm Shadow, Neptune, French/German/Italian/US/UK artillery, intelligent antitank missiles,etc. F16 are "doing nothing" kept in the background beause when they fly over a battlefield they will be knocked down
@@MrAttriti0nYeah, the LIST was limited by Western red lines and even what was promised was not delivered on time or in a fully operable state.
@@kostyantyntyshkovets6500 You are avoiding the question
You are the man pal and thank you for what you do
Its easy, just go to sleep & you can have everything in your dream !!
"Three days to take Kyiv."
That seems to be Putler's military strategy so far.
@@activatekruger446😐
@@RafaelPereira-vz5qf cry about it
@@kirillzakharov7336 huh
Thanks Wes . Great insight 🍻
Thanks
one year. Nice one
3 days 😂 nice one
@@cyclesaviorn2700did your mom told you that?
@@cyclesaviorn2700 Crimea in 10 years?
not only the ammo depot Toropetsk was hit and destroyed but also a few more were hit with simliar results. Only the one near Volgograd failed but the damage was done, there are reports of Russia artillery ammo shortage in the Ukraine. shortly after the attacks, yep Russians were really caught with their pants down on this one, storing large quantities of their weapons out in the opne preparing for be sent to the front lines, the Ukrainains actually waited for the trains to arrive in the depots and hit them while they were loading the ammo into the trains, strikes on a large pile of ammo resulted in a chain reaction shockwave equal to a 1.8 kiloton which caused the destruction of the other ammo dumps in the depot which cause more explositions and shockwaves.
In Wes's analogy, what would this constitute, the big barrel or the little barrel?
Sure that's why Ukraine is losing Pokrovsk
Can u do it without our money??
Love this comedy channel . Best joke in 2022 Ukraine crushes Russia, then another great joke 2023 . Ukraine has won now this best joke 2024 Ukraine is winning plus the follow up which even better Ukraine can win in 2025 I love this channel still laughing keep the jokes coming.
Well he’s a law student indulging a wishful reader.
During the Chechen Wars Russian individual soldiers would sell weapons and ammunition to the enemy.
I hope you’re right brotha
Thanks Wes
Thank you for a very cool and inspiring video. Slava Ukraiini!
Good video! S. U.
The culture of corruption, is one of the most difficult things to overcome and I’m unaware of any countries who have successfully weeded it out when it was so entrenched in the traditional culture… ever. China and Russia are 2 examples of countries in which corruption has existed forever and has remained embedded within the culture regardless of regime or political system for hundreds of years in Russias case and thousands of years in Chinas.
Ukraine is the same corrupt mess as Russia
Exactly ukraine is also incredibly corrupt. Ukraine is still as Soviet as Russia used to be
Ill let you in on a little secret - corruption exists in every country in the world.
Also you might want to look at US when you talking about it, there it's infinitely worse.
So is Ukraine.
Over 20 minutes of introduction and analysing the Russian army and fighting methods might be interesting, but does not support the title.
Hope you are able to make titles, which support the content. Then I will subscribe again.
This video is hopeful thinking to indulge a wishful reader.
AI autonomous sniper drones are a game changer in my view. The most efficient small arms air to ground combat weapon system one could conceive. If Ukraine can develop this to a high degree, it could be a massive boost to their air to ground combat operations toolkit. Imagine a single drone able to take out say 20 ground targets in one sortie. Then head back to a designated ammo dump and auto reload and if necessary auto recharge. Imagine a larger drone depositing a 100 magazine ( 20 shots per magazine ) ammo dump and solar recharge battery centre in a tall tree via a hanging it from a strong branch. It would be a like a robotic wasp .22 calibre sting rearming nest. Then imagine say 10 drones re-arming during one sortie. The tech components already exist. It just has to be designed with R & D then assembled and tested and refined over time. Much of the testing could also be simulated in a real world 3D graphics environment / physics engine. For example a flight simulator type environment etc...
EWM is a joke for you
Imagine, SkyNET sends terminators to help Ukraine.
If you reduce the big barrell by 20%, the conveyor belt by 20%, and the little barrell by 20% what have you accomplished? A 20% reduction in Russian fighting power. Or maybe a 60% reduction in Russian fighting power, if the Russians aren't flexible in meshing what remains back together again. In my opinion, it's too large a difference to leave the matter unstated.
All I got from this is that Ukraine will win because Russian army is bad, this is not a sustainable strategy that Ukraine should depend on. Thankfully you are not one of Ukraine's military planners😂.
Seriously though, these problems have been plagueing the Russians since the beginning of the war, and they seem to still be winning, I mean September 2024 is one of the best months for the invasion so far, and October looks like it would be better for them. So your video to me is a pipedream.
Ukraine not gonna win through tactic on the battlefield. Of course, inflicting massive damage and casualty to the Russian military greatly help, but the real battle is in the economy. Enforcing of sanctions and oil price are gonna be the determining factors.
Most bigger wars in the past were deceided by the economy. So yes Ukraine will win if Trump lose the election.
Europe needs Russian oil lol. Russia sells what’s called inelastic goods
True. 19% interest rate with still high inflation and a war economy that cannibalises everything else and doesn t provide returns. Increasing difficulties to trade with China. The loss of allies. This can not turn out well for Russia if Ukraine is able to outwait them.
@@yollon2550 The biggest challenges for Ukraine is their dumb allies. They actually think Time is in Russia favor. Plus, they refuse to return the military age men to Ukraine. If these 2 errors are fixed, Ukraine's victory is absolutely ensured.
Ridiculous fantasies from a complete lack of understanding and unwillingness to understand the reasons for the war, the goals of Ukraine and Russia, and the real state of the opposing armies, economies, and societies.
All well and good, but without extra support from the West, Ukraine can still be overwelmed. The drop like support is killing Ukraine slowly. The deliveries of weapons must be accelerated x3 or times x5.
currently, ukraine's domestic supply is half of their ammo. They've rapidly expanded their domestic production and im hoping they can double again now they've drawn attention to funding being the limiting factor. So at least one country has put in an order to ukraine for stuff for ukraine and one country has sent money to invest in the expansion. ukraine is trying to 'trump-proof' their winning the war
Because the West doesn’t have the manufacturing output to match Russia in ammo. If need be, Russia can brute force a victory through sheer volume
@@kim-ys2fsname me at least two factories producing shells in Ukraine? 😂😂😂 lol
I agree with your analysis of the Russian army's weaknesses. Not much of this is news to anyone who listens to highly credible sources (in the UK, for example, I pay attention to the BBC). I think the only thing I was unaware of is the lack of NCOs in the command structure, and your assessment of that failure is quite convincing. However, at around 18 minutes you say you believe that 'Putin will settle for terms that are unfavourable if it means he maintains power in Moscow' Well yes, but that's a big IF. He is notoriously brutal in suppressing dissent.
>BBC
>highly credible sources
oh my sides 😂
Greetings from Irelang.
One small suggestion: "privet" is a russian greeting. In Ukraine we sat "pryvit" or, because it might be tricky to pronounce, you can say "vitayu" (greetings) which is literally pronounced as written. Also, this vide was an amazing watch. Some good points you have there. Support for Ukraine always seems one step behind.
Russian soldiers are currently complaining about lack of shells for the artillery due to Ukrainian strikes against their ammunition depots. Plus, Russia is losing equipment faster than they can replace it.
Haven't you been saying this since 2022??😂😂,
You are not too smart 😂😂😂
The ammo depot destruction is in 2024, in Russia. Ukrainian capabilites was that good in 2022. What's your take on the oil strikes that has Russian oil production down about 15 percent? Are the Western's secondary sanctions working, with the Russian Central Bank's 19 percent interest rate and inflation that is higher than that since the rate has kept climbing this past summer?
If that’s the fact then why do Ukrainian officers claim Russia as around a 10 to 1 advantage in artillery in some areas.
To get the truth from what he’s saying just replace anytime you hear him say Ukraine with Russia and you will get the truth
People support strongmen like putin and trump because their narratives give them permission to be the worst they can be, they normalise characteristics most find abhorrent, like advocating international war crimes, stoking cultural wars etc etc
These 'strongman' leaders, as hitler did, enable people to feel they belong to a community, no longer isolated, rejected loners. Vicariously followers can feel empowered by 'strongmen'. and they are willing to give up freedom of press and democratic right to feel that way. (agenda 2025 written by trump campaign's think tank heritage would turn usa into an autocracy)
These followers will reject anything which doesnt align with their world view, at most they experience cognitive dissonance when confronted with reality.
It is only when they realise firsthand the damage the autocratic 'strongmen' they worship have caused, (to them, their family and friends, their career prospects, finances etc, or when they themselves are targeted), when it is arguably 'too late' that they finally use their brains and take their ego out of the equation and start noticing the logical fallacies and cognitive distortions in the information they consumed so greedily, so readily.
If you place truth above your ego, learning cognitive distortions and logical fallacies will take you far when you dont have time or resources for fact finding missions, when you havent been taught how to research or find primary sources and use critical thinking skills, psychology and history to draw a 'most probable' analysis.
Jo public, you, me dont know jack shit for certain^ at best we have ideas, get ur ego out of the game, make truth bigger than yourself^
Wes, I'm 150% with you, me, an American babyboomer 40+ days older than Humpty Trumpty, volunteer teaching English in central Ukraine, we have integrity and survival, they have a need to go home and repair their own country - we are smart, inventive and will overcome their unsustainable efforts, losing too many Russian husbands, brothers, uncles, and sons. Goodbye Putin.
Unless you are an afghan forget about it
Right now it is uncertain if this war will continue into 2025. It all depends on what the next US president does.
I think it will be impossible in 2025. it depends on many factors. You can't expect NATO, for example, to suddenly give Ukraine three times as many weapons. That would be a possibility that Russia would lose quickly, but rather unlikely.
In my opinion, the following is more realistic but much more difficult.
On the one hand, support would have to remain constant or even be increased slightly until 2028 or longer. Ukrainians need to stay motivated to fight. those are the prerequisites. After that, the Ukrainians would have to remain on the defensive for years until Russia used up its Soviet reserves. According to satellite images, that won't be until 2027. At that point Russia would suffer massively in terms of material. The losses in tanks are only 6% new T-90. NATO would then have to increase support from 2027 so that Ukraine can go on the offensive and conquer its country...
By then Ukraine Manpower crisis would probably lead to either mutany or a outright collapse and there is a good chance that world goes through a recession thanks to debt crisis.
Even if NATO dumps all of their weapons and vehicles there's already nobody left to hold it in their hands.
Its a glove for everyone else to put stuff in Ukraine, the only thing Ukrainian owned is the sticker on the tank.
I like your big barrel small barrel analogy. However assuming its right, if Ukraine strikes the big barrel, doesn't that do little? After all you described the current logistics system as a bottleneck, isn't that true for the whole of the conveyor? If they strike the big barrel, well you still have the same constraints getting things to the front line. So if the big barrel is 800 units of combat power and the conveyor is 100 units. Only 100 units goes to the front. You strike the big barrel so that it goes from 800 units to 700 units - well you still have 100 units making it to the front.
Lookin' for ideas... they need help. ❤❤❤
Nice dream 😊😊😊😊 don't believe your won propoganda my free suggestion
Thank your this info. Good to learn. Glory to Ukraine! And puck futin! from Hungary. as economist, with postgrad degree in int rel, and interested in geopolitics, plius, BIG plus, a Diplomat Father who knew russians very, very, very well, and taught me TONS, I agree with the conclusions and their logic. inherent weakness of the putin regime is not visible, but its there. the bear is fragile, and sick, and below its big fur, and big bluffs, its a weak, always hungry, nasty bear, who can only overcome the weaker prey. Ukraine is a Werewolf. putins biggest error ever was, misguided by his hubris, the FSB, and his bad advisors, all a result of his shitty system, was to go full in against Ukraine. russia will end in Ukraine, I am absolutely convinced of this.
Cool story bro
nice intro, Wes.....new to your program...liked popcorn reference, I'm ready!! Like I said, I just got in here....Russian logistics ? Zero. Especially made worse, since they're a Ground army to begin with.
So how do they advance and how do they support their army if they are that bad in logistic?
Excellent analysis and an interesting prediction. If the US and NATO soon start doing more to help Ukraine WIN this war then they might well win it by the end of next year. I hope so. Slava Ukraine.
If, if , if...
Yup, all valid points. Let's hope russians will call it before 1 million dead
@toi_techno
To my Russian in laws, I’ve used Ireland as my example of fighting against colonialism. Which seems to get through to them a tiny bit. But, not nearly enough to counter what they hear daily from Russian news.
How would you get me convince with Ukrain Flag behind your channel😅
Hoe long brfore ruddia gets chinese firklifts snd start making pallets.
NCO is important however not enough to win the war.
Another majoc factor is continuing support.
Ukraine us miving tiwards a snall well trained army fighting a large soviet style army.
The thing that nakes ut work in west us airforce.
That us currently lacking.
ahahahahahah you did the same video about 2023, than about 2024
Great video, and interestingly put. I enjoy your take on things Ukraine. I only question one part though, and I'll add: I love the spirit of the Ukraine, and believe in their values, spirit and ingenuity. The bad part is the USA. Will we keep supplying Ukraine, or will it wain into nothing. Ukraine has a chance, but not without US support. Support Ukraine!!!!
Russia has an artillery advantage 10 to 1
Russia has a population advantage 5 to 1
Russia has air superiority
There is no way Ukraine is going to win
It’s silly when people insist that casualties aren’t in Russia’s favor. When they have 10x the artillery
@@LeadLeftLeon Exactly
Had!
NATO and Ukraine s other allies are equiped with about 30× the economic output of Russia. If we want them to lose, they lose. For some odd reason some just don t want Ukraine to win, they are team Aggressor or just beeing cynical.
Google translate is particularly bad for Russian.
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦
Ukraine little but smart Russia Big and dunmb
Isn't it ironic that part of the solution to introducing an NCO class is go review what Ukraine did from 2014 to this day. They're making so much military history right now. One aspect is to study and use the exact techniques that NATO and the West used to place and train staff and infrastructure. Perhaps THE most valuable thing to come from a RUSSO and anyone war is the destruction of the Russian culture. Starting militarily with a very difficult change of mindset to any of a number of fine western armies. The culture will have to be rooted out in the civilian population as well. Free Speech and thought fully expressed will be a powerful tool. The Russians will need strong national leaders to survive this. It may well be that they exist and will step up as soon as the spectre of PUTINISM is extinguished. Hopefully forward thinkers will be able to rise and bring the people who can reach out to the needs of people. By the time the Ukrainians win the Russians will receive one of the most massive body of walking wounded ever known with healing needs to be provided by a system that doesn't even exist. The pressure on the civilian Women is going to be tremendous. They are going to be encouraged to start families and required to have jobs and create a NEW form of Government. Even as I type this I'm encouraged for the PEOPLE of both countries. The common decency and tenacity that the Ukrainians have operated with prove that common decency and tenacity can be taught and learned with Free Speech.
That's PRYH- VEET ( rhymes with beet) not PRYH-VEHT( rhymes with BET).
I am pro ukraine but this is "bla bla clickbait, I have no idea what I am talking about but here is 25 mins of random information"
This feels like watching Germany in 1944 making a plan on how they will win WW2
Finland backed by nazi germany too had a funny habbit of running the most ridiculous propaganda of how much casualties they inflicted to soviets, their population was completely oblivious to what's actually going on due to constant stream of this and that destroyed or the ridiculous number of enemies KIA they printed out in their newspapers. All the way until their defeat.
They still read that garbage and think it had any historical value.
Officer says this is your mission NCO no problems Sir I’ll sort it out job done basically 😉
It's very simple: It can't! Period.
"Three days to take Kyiv."
@@activatekruger446 Are you kidding me? You just lost Vugledar! Do you know who big of a deal this is! You lost it along with the two most elite brigades.
@@activatekruger446 They never said they were going to take Kiev in 3 days. They never had it as an objective! Those were western estimates.
Problem with Ukraine winning is that Ukrainian army is mostly as incompetent as the Russian army, they are both parts of the former Soviet army and lack NCOs just as much
No matter how bitter it may be, but as acting Ukrainian serviceman I fully agree.
Ukraine is as Soviet as Russia was. A third of Soviets wren Ukrainians. 2 out of 5 Soviet heads of state were Ukrainian lol. Ukraine even expanded its borders with the Soviet Union getting land from Russia, Poland, Hungary, and Romania
I believe as well. I wish our so called current leadership would sharpen it's focus and get this over with. Without surrendering ANY of the pre 2014 land borders. All the Ukrainian people kidnapped by Russia MUST be returned. All UA POWs must be repatriated.
I doubt Russia can last much more than one more year. The only positive so to speak, is that most the Russian forces that actually wanted to fight in Ukraine since the war commenced are likely no longer in the fight. If you know what I mean. Those Russian conscripts and contract soldiers remaining, either want to escape or not even arrive on the front. At this stage the majority of the Russian foot soldier forces remaining in this war, are effectively unwilling participants. This is why Putler has turned to jails and now those prisoners on remand about to enter jails. They can't barely last another year or so and what remains is effectively cannon fodder.
To accelerate Ukraine's path to victory, a crucial first step is to ensure that Trump does not win the election this November.
Trumps peace plan: Just Capitulate to Russia. Cede all territory to Moscow.
kamala would delay the inevitable Ukraine loss. The longer this war runs, the more land returns to Russia
It's twitter, dude, calling it X just helps musk be more fascist.
If Russia used pallets, they could steal far more toilets! 😅😅😅
He is complet idiot. He dos not know russians.
Thank you ❤🇨🇦🇺🇦🌻🍻
All good, Wes, but we’ve heard all this on other TH-cam channels. Might want to do some research before you plan your segment.
Ukraine is done,they stand no chance so stop lying to them.
Your delusion is dangerous.
If the West is steadfast, I don’t see how Russia could win.
the west is a sick joke
_Ukraine’s tenacious spirit and tactical genius_ xD Yeah. Right. We saw this tenacious spirit in number of volunteers for Ukrainian Legion in Poland. Hillarious fact that Russia is neither willing nor able to decisively win on battlefield, doesn't mean that Ukraine is going to 'win' the war.
I hope you are right and Ukraine are victorious. I also hope your nutter of a president does not stab Ukraine in the back.