MSNBC Host Gives Democrats A Dose Of Reality | The Kyle Kulinski Show
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"The first time I ever really listened to Kyle Kulinski’s show was in the back of a cab last summer. The driver had his phone hooked up through the stereo and was pumping out an episode through the car speakers - loudly, as if looking to convert a captive audience.
“Do you like Kyle Kulinski?”
The driver, Ahmed, was a recent immigrant and apparently a die-hard fan of Secular Talk, the political talk show that Kulinski broadcasts on TH-cam. I told him, yes, in fact. I do like Kulinski, had come across his show several years ago, and, all things considered, he seemed pretty good.
“He understands what we’re up against,” Ahmed said. “Like Bernie.”
But I was surprised to hear Kulinski’s name mentioned in the same breath as Bernie Sanders, particularly with such adoration. Because what I did remember about Kulinski’s show struck me as mostly capital-P “progressive” takes on the news - the left wing of the Netroots crowd more than the democratic socialism Sanders has popularized.
It’s an impression that wasn’t entirely incorrect.
“I have no time for philosophical, airy bullshit,” Kulinski tells me from his home in Westchester, New York. “I don’t want to hear about Lenin. I don’t want to hear about Marx. I just want a super plainspoken, straightforward agenda with a straightforward way of selling it.”
With over 800,000 subscribers and nearly 670 million total views on TH-cam, selling a progressive agenda is clearly something Kulinski knows how to do - even Democracy Now, the long-standing flagship of progressive media, cannot match his reach on the platform. Chapo Trap House can certainly boast a wildly devoted fan base (and a not insignificant degree of media influence), but their audience is roughly half the size of Kulinski’s.
While Secular Talk might be more likely to be looped in with the progressive networks around Air America and Pacifica alums like Sam Seder than the more resolutely socialist world, Kulinski’s fiery rhetoric, razor-sharp class instincts, and knack for withering takedowns sets him apart from his peers. Judging by his rhetoric alone, he’s closer to a Eugene Debs than a Chris Hayes.
But unlike Hayes, Amy Goodman, or his friend Cenk Uygur of The Young Turks - who began airing Secular Talk on his web network seven years ago - the thirty-two-year-old Kulinski is virtually invisible in the mainstream media. Despite his enormous fan base, his show has never once been mentioned in the obligatory trend pieces on “the Millennial Left” pumped out by the prestige media. Nor has Kulinski’s name ever popped up at all in the New York Times, Vox, the New Yorker, New York Magazine, or the Washington Post, despite his leading role in cofounding Justice Democrats, the organization widely credited with sweeping Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the rest of “the Squad” to power.
Just last week, his Wikipedia page was deleted. The reason? “There is very simply no [reliable source] coverage of this person,” according to one moderator. In new media, he’s king - the Sean Hannity of the Berniecrat left. In old media, he’s nobody.
I suspect there are a few reasons for that. There is nothing “cool” about Kulinski’s show. (As a friend put it, “‘Welcome to Secular Talk’ sounds like something you’d hear on Egyptian radio.”) His no-nonsense social-democratic politics won’t get him much cred with the Full Communism crowd. He records his show not in Brooklyn or Los Angeles, but in a studio he built himself in his modest Westchester home. His hair is too groomed and his taste in clothes too preppy to qualify as “Dirtbag Left.” Nor has he ever attended an n+1 release party. “Not only have I not attended one,” he says, “I have no idea what that means.”
And yet he’s astonishingly plugged-in for a young man in the suburbs. Wondering how Sanders ended up on the Joe Rogan Experience? Kulinski, a frequent guest on Rogan’s wildly popular show, introduced them. “You make the most sense to me,” Rogan told Kulinski on a recent episode. “You’re a normal person.”
Much like Sanders himself, Kulinski’s show has a massive audience that just doesn’t compute with our media’s understanding of “what the kids want” or even “what the left-wing kids want.”
It’s probably for the best - the very woke and very WASP-ish decorum haunting much of the media world is nowhere to be found in Secular Talk. “Corporate Democrats over-focus on identity as a trick to divert you from the issues that unite us all - class issues,” he said on a recent episode.
Read More Here!:
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#KyleKulinski #SecularTalk #news #politics #youtube #biden #economics #left #progressive #viral
The media made trump behaviour normal
I guess, by simply showing his behavior and his followers liking it
@@CesarM780 by not criticizing it. And by praising it at various points.
@@lvli044 criticizing do nothing , all maga cultists are in echo chamber Orange man can do nothing wrong , hes prosecuted for nothing by satan forces
Crox Snooze...perpetuated lunacy. Inexcusable. People succumbing to peer pressure...adults acting like children. Trump did that. The distrust now, as a result of electing a lying conman. The people responsible for electing him into office should be taxed to pay for the damage; just like Germany had to pay reparations for WWI & WW II.
@@lvli044 bit disingenuous, as there were soo many criticizing and pushing back. Most of his supporters aren't watching/consuming "the media" you are citing and tune into lies and grifters for the most part. Facebook memes hold more legitimacy to them than anyone you can refer to as praising him(rightwing talking heads).
Wont let me respond to your response to this so I'll edit it in here. There was plenty "the media" that criticized and push backed, regardless of what you need to say on YT. "they showed his behavior and his followers liking it" is correct. That was the campaign.
"Lies that last in the news for more than a day?" one day? lol they are still being megaphoned even TODAY. "the media" is a very broad term with many outlets of engagement, but use seem to apply it in one-dimensional and basic, reactionary ways. You arent solving or saying anything by being contrarian on all the video comments just to be.
The Republicans have won the popular vote twice in my entire lifetime and I’m 36.
And both were Bushes lol
‘88 baby!! You probably graduated in 2006
@@user-ls8ks7kv8cGeorge W never won the popular vote.
@@user-ls8ks7kv8c in fact he lost the electoral college in one of them but Gore conceded
@@Minx7172004
The Electoral College could screw us again.
Almost always does
republicans cry rigged elections, while they are able to win office losing by 3 mil votes
still gotta go out and vote
Yup
It's like blaming the age limits or life expectancy for not getting the result you want
People need to remember that the Hilary situation can happen again if people get complacent.
Hilary got complacent. Snubbed her nose at Wisconsin etc... Didn't bother showing up in their neighborhood.
Not to mention the smug condensation of her voters
@@That85Scorpioand just being an all around horrid person.
Russia had everything to do with Hilary losing.
Trumps way up right now. Nate Silver 58-42. Betting odds are even worse
The electoral college needs to go!
Yup. One vote per state would be much better.
@@jaysontadlock1871popular vote. No way a state like Wyoming should have same amount of polling power as Texas, New York
Yup way past time to dump it
it's not democrazy it republique, stoopid
@@jaysontadlock1871 that would be even worse…
In other words it's not over until it's over
You're damn right 4536!
Trump won't win
It is Joever but we still Kam win.
Exactly!
When you look at 538 polling average, most key states have Harris up but by less than 1%! So yeah, FAR from over
Harris: 48%
Trump: 45%
This election shouldn't be anywhere near this close. Harris should be like 8 points higher.
In a rational country, she would be 30 points ahead.
No she shouldn’t. Shes been a pathetic VP, and shes not going to be any different from Biden. This is why people don’t like her, they don’t want another 4 years of the same.
I guarantee you, if this country put education first, any other democrat would be like 20 points higher.
@@nunyvanstta135So you want another 4 years of the same Trump sh!tshow?
#jewnomatterwho
This is why I think the debate actually will be important. If Harris can actually hit Trump in a meaningful way on his weakness issues, then she can definitely win.
But if Trump keeps himself in composure and can actually counter Harris, then he has a very good shot of winning.
Trump had a terrible debate against Biden, but nobody talked about it because of how bad Biden did. Any time he has to spar with someone remotely competent, he gets obliterated.
I think Kamala crushes Trump in a debate, but Trump is a gifted BS so he has a chance in the debate
Did Trump publicly change his stance? Last I knew he wasn't going to debate her unless it was hosted by Fox News.
@@sirwill619 Trumps temperament will be his undoing & Harris knows it, the debate will be quite entertaining!
@@benjaminharlow3743 The mics are muted so that helps Trump in that regard
It’s gonna be close. Don’t get complacent
And don't fall for Kyle's Jill Stein endorsement where you "destroy the uniparty" by ensuring Trump gets elected.
It still blows my mind at how close. Trump is barely campaigning, talking gibberish and it is still close.
LOL, yes it will be.
Because you can't fix stupid and Democrats are stupid.
The fuck it is, our boy Waltz secured us the Rust Belt for the W. WI, PA, MI all solid, solid blue states time this. We got em by the balls!
Everybody double check your registration
it's not democrazy it republique, stoopid
I did just that I changed my registration from Democratic to Independent. I won't support a party that forces a candidate upon us without a vote.
@Weathernerd27 I felt that way when Biden was thrust on us. There was a vote but it was a formality only, no true vote. Glad it changed for the better
@@eagleotto2527 How did it change for the better? Kamala is not quite as evil as Trump but I still have doubts she will represent me and she was not voted in. It really bothers me that we have a canidate that didn't win the vote if democrats got away with it one time why won't they do the same thing next election?
@@Weathernerd27not to mention kamala harris supports israel and their genocide of the Palestinian people and will continue helping israel if elected, as well as trump also being a big supporter of israel and would help them “finish the job.” i will also be voting independent 👍🏼
What does it say about America when a guy that paints himself orange and tried to overthrow our government has a 50/50 chance to be president, again. It’s insane and embarrassing. The electoral college needs to go.
america has a serious problem not with low information, but rampant misinformation. it has another serious problem with people turning to religion as a solution to problems which itself causes problems.
Democrats should be more aggressive. This thing (Trump) doesn't go away by hoping. Greetings from Europe, I hope you win.
#jewnomatterwho
@@theikki DEMS should disengage from Israel.
They don't have a candidate. They are lost
And Europeans should be more aggressive against adolf putin
We'll see. Too have people put that pathetic weak man on a pedestal. I fear it will take more pain for people to really push back.
Allan Lichtman just predicted Kamala to win in November and he’s been right about each election since he started doing his predictions during Reagan…. 2000 is the only one that was “wrong” but we all know that shouldn’t have gone that way.
Don't get complacent. No matter what. Always act like you are 5 points down.
@@spicymemes7458 for sure!!
He also predicted biden would win 2024 based on his supposed points. We all know how that went down
Predicted trump winning the popular vote in 2016
Well Alan can lichtma balls, he also predicted Gore would win but his model doesn't account for republican thievery
I thinking the same thing. I remember Cenk said Dems were "toast" in 2020. Yes, the burst in registration is significant.
It’s depressing that it’s this close.
Right? Incredible, how many Americans are deluded.
Guaranteed its not.
Very I didn't think there. We're that many Americans willing to sell us down thiver
Why? This is America
Agree
Really sucks living in a state that doesn’t matter. Get rid of the Electoral College system already.
...yep. greetings from Indiana...they love them some MAGA and Trump here in Hoosierland....
The electoral college was made to protect minority rights. It was also the compromise that allowed for the formation of the US. You don’t support minority rights and you want the US to split up?
Is that how it works? The large states convince the small states to join them by promising they will get a say in electing the leader wit the electoral college. They agree. And then… a few years later, get rid of the electoral college so the small states no longer get a say in who the leader is?
Hey we don't have to put up with tons of TV ads.
Oh great idea... The United States of California
I'm a PA independent. I wasn't going to vote, but with Harris, I will vote for her.
Please get everyone you can to vote for Harris.
Thank you!!
Thank you!😊
Thanks! Bring 5 friends 😊
You will support Genocide?
7:23 the fact that everyone was so sure Hillary would win may have been a big contributing factor to why she lost. A lot of people weren’t exactly thrilled with her and we weren’t eager to go hold their nose and vote for her and since everybody on TV was saying she has this in the bag, I think a lot of people said “well she don’t need my vote“ didn’t vote, and that’s how we got Trump in the first place.
@canaan5337 she won the popular vote by more than 3 million, electoral collage was the culprit
@@benjaminharlow3743 the electoral college just means complacency really only hurts in swing states, if we could get rid of the electoral college system it would make it worthwhile for everyone to come out and vote, regardless if they live in a swing state. Because as it is those 3 million votes, don’t really count.
No the voters did not 'get complacent' in 2016, the campaign was complacent which is totally different.
@@kennethferland5579 no, they are right and you are wanting to do it again in 2024. You keep saying this of the campaign and that it makes you mad, but it was voter complacency.
The trump flags are now accompanied by blue Star of David yard signs exclaiming "We stand with..." and you are still going to be complacent. Well done.
@@kennethferland5579agreed. Hillary failed American voters, thats why she lost. And who paid the price? American voters.
Vote. Need to vote. Polls are not scientific at all since the response rate is so little that the data collected is suspiciously insignificant, in my opinion; it is more of a guess than anything. Go vote 💙 is the only thing matters.
I've given up asking why people would vote for Trump, because there doesn't seem to be anything that would deter them at this point. I just want to point out how ridiculous it is that the Electoral College once again not only makes it very possible for him to win without winning the popular vote, but it also makes Pennsylvania and these other battleground states The only states that really matter. And maybe this is my elitist coastal liberal self-talking, whatever, but I think it's bullshit, absolute bullshit, that every election seems to be decided by whatever the hell like 10,000 people in fucking Michigan think about the issues. It treats blue states and red states like foregone conclusions and just caters to these swing voters occupying such a small portion of the greater population of the country. How is that system fair? And again I don't care if I come off as an elitist coastal liberal year, as I've been called for bringing up this point. It's a stupid system! Absolutely stupid. If Trump was winning the popular vote on his own merits, great! I would accept that. But every time he has run for office, it just comes down to these random people in these few states deciding he gets to be or doesn't get to be the president! Not fair at all
And without the Electoral Collage, states like California would choose the winner all the time, and we all know which side they always go for these days 🙄 So hows that any fairer?
It is ABSOLUTE HORSESHIT and has been FOR YEARS because all the gerrymandering and redistricting BS gives a CLEAR ADVANTAGE in the electoral college to Republicans (despite generally representing tens of millions LESS PEOPLE) and it’s basically advocating for “minority rule.”
That's why everyone hates yall. The map has changed. Florida and Ohio used to be big but not much anymore. The blue wall wasn't huge because Republicans had virginia and Colorado
The last four years haven't been good, particularly with inflation and illegal immigration. So people are frustrated.
@@jasonmitchell7550
These things WOULDN’T HAVE BEEN ANY BETTER under Trump, though.
In fact, a lot of the “pain due to inflation” is from price gouging due to the GOP always taking the most brazenly “pro-corporate, pro-executive-billionaire-class” and “corporate deregulatory” positions IMAGINABLE and IDIOTS keep voting for them under this false pretense that they’re somehow “better” for the economy despite NO GOP ADMINISTRATION being objectively better for the economy since 1989.
Also, I gotta be real: who TF is just living in a state of CONSTANT SEETHING ANGER over people that look and think differently coming here that isn’t just a BLATANTLY RACIST POS? Because I have NEVER ONCE given AF about other human beings effectively coming here to try and improve their lives (furthermore, them being here GROWS the economy AND contributes to growing Social Security with usually no drawback).
It better not be too close or Trump will really try to steal it. 😬
We should support Voter ID.
He will try NO MATTER WHAT
Exactly How? Requiring Signature Verification?
@@jasonmitchell7550 Republicans will NEVER vote for that bill.
@@ultramaga813 appointing rogue electors, actually.
People are stuck in 2016. Trump is too overestimated.
The internet was a BIG factor in 2016. Trumps numbers online are trash now.
People had no immunity to all this constant BS then.
@@PresidentofAntifa yeah but nobody actually cares about what he says. It's trump being trump
Trump doesn't have the same punch that he did in 2016 for sure, but we also can't get cocky.
A. Kamala is rising, but she is not Obama tier in her dominance in the debate stage and polling.
B. The dems are struggling not so much from Trump becoming exponentially more popular, but from Biden's response to Gaza and the dems as a whole tanking BBB and doing very little in the 2 years they had both houses (no minimum wage hike, paid family leave, etc.). The erosion of Muslim and uncommitted voters plus lefties is where Biden was crashing and Kamala is recovering a bit, but not there yet.
He is much stronger now than in 2016 or 2020. Hands down. Hillary ran a terrible campaign. Harris is running a flawless campaign and she is still behind in EC votes. This isn't going to turn out how everyone expects. It is going to be a Bush v Gore situation.
Agreed
I'm gonna be honest, I don't understand how the numbers are still this close. We have like the BEST possible ticket with Harris and Walz we could have hoped for from the Democrats, and Trump is still this close behind? I would have thought she'd pull much farther ahead after the convention and enough people getting to see her and especially Walz. But if even this ticket isn't enough to get more than a slim victory in November, then I think America might just be hopeless. If we can't get a landslide win with this ticket in an election this straightforwardly good vs. evil, then America is truly rotten to the core and nothing can save it. 45% isn't even just the MAGA base, it's a bunch of average voters still saying they prefer Trump/Vance over Harris/Walz, and that's unbelievable to me. One thing I know is, we can't continue having this every 4 years. We can't keep focusing all our energy fighting back against the tide of fascism every election cycle. It's not sustainable.
It's not good enough to just win, we need to win by a landslide. Anything less means we've already lost. Any scenario where Republicans can sustain themselves at the national level past this election means our eventual doom. They only need to win once from here on out, and everything is over. I'm really depressed that the margins aren't greater. If someone like Walz can't tip the scales more than a couple percentage points, then who can?
This is a good thing. People won't take it for granted and actually vote if it's this close.
If you seen anything in life as “straightforwardly good vs evil”, than you’re the problem
Its pretty obvious why Harris won’t win a “landslide”, if she even wins at all. We already have her now as VP, and shes been hopeless just like Biden. Shes not going to be any different to what we’ve already had for the last 4 years.
That's how inept the dems are. Trump has been the most easily beatable candidate ever, and the dems have been struggling against him since 2015. I wish there were another party I could belong to.
If you think anything in life is “straightforwardly good vs evil”, then you know nothing about either politics or history
So what I understand is that Pensilvania wins the elections
I think Florida is in play for Dems with/ abortion on the ballot, and they can knock out another one, I think. There is no "hidden trump vote" anymore when there's already been two election cycles with him in it. 2022 elections really were evidence of this, like Kyle mentioned.
it's not democrazy it republique, stoopid
yeah also the census gave us this map. Trump wouldn't be able to win with just PA, NC and GA but since CA, NY lost electoral college votes while TX, MT and FL gained.
which means we don't have a democracy, if people from a single state control the outcome
@@the0ne809 I remember reading that NY barely lost the one electoral vote they did. It was like by 20,000 people out of 20 million and was right at the very end of the process. Also, under the old selection method that had been used for much of U.S. history, NY would not have lost that vote, either. Funny how little things can cause big problems.
Idk what you're talking about. *VP Harris has always said she was running as an **_underdog._* 🙄 She's _clearly_ not taking anything for granted & told voters not to either.
How is the race so damn tight?
Trump is better than you think, Kamala is worse than you think
America has brain rot if you haven't noticed the last decade.
Because the U.S. is full of idiots.
The mainstream media is in the tank for the Felon and bending over backwards to normalize him. Notice the absence of incessant calls for TFG to step down every time he slurs his speech or has a brain glitch.
it's all smashed and hamfisted so that republican votes count for like almost 7 times as much
If you've ever played Baldur's Gate 3, you know a 60/40 chance to hit means prepare a backup plan :P
😂
We're looking at you shadowheart
i'm actually moving to Michigan from California and am excited to register and cast a meaningful vote. Gonna look into volunteering for Harris/Walz
I think you need to live in MI for like at least a month to change your residency. So plz get here soon!!
Welcome to Michigan…Vote blue!
@@brenrenn8306 It's kinda tacky to tell people how to vote, in my view. I said i'm going to volunteer for Harris Walz so why would i need your directive?
@@Kormac80 it’s not that serious… you pretty much already said who you are voting for
It's depressing that it's this close
This is a good thing. People won't take it for granted and actually go vote if it's this close. It's only when Huffpost says "98% chance of her winning" is when you should be worried
The last four years haven't been good, particularly with inflation and illegal immigration. So people are frustrated.
@@jasonmitchell7550 Which is funny if they're drivers bc "illegal immigration" hasn't really been a problem for voters. And "inflation" is a price gouging issue.
@@lvli044 Inflation is almost always caused by irresponsible government spending not by artificial increases in pricing.
@@jasonmitchell7550 This is economically illiterate lmao. If that were the case, 2017-2020 would've seen the worst inflation in human history. Literally record breaking deficit spending the likes of which we've never seen before.
The inflation we're seeing now is just greedflation. The Biden admin hasn't spent nearly enough and everythings been passed through paygo. The deficit has shrunk precipitously.
I live in the Phoenix area of AZ. I'm a member of one of the Democrat Clubs here that supports the Legislative Districts in our area. We've been working with the districts all year on registering voters, getting signature to have Dem candidates on the ballot, & signatures for the abortion ballot initiative (we needed 384k signatures - we got almost 825k). Talking to voters during this time, there was a lot of displeasure expressed about GOP candidates & trump in particular including from Republicans and Libertarians. At the same time, the effort we're seeing by the GOP here is minimal. Not necessarily the candidates but their ground game. We've been at the same events and their efforts are sad & thrown together. On top of that, after the Dem convention, the number of people actually calling us saying they want to "do something" has markedly increased. Also consider that the majority of Arizonans live in Maricopa county (fastest growing county in the US so a lot more libs here than in 2020). Gallego is trouncing Lake, in polls, money and volunteers. Republican friends have told me they can't vote for Harris, but the won't vote for trump. I'm no expert, but I am pretty damn sure AZ is going for Harris. To be fair, I don't really believe we are quite a purple state, but the "McCain Republicans" here are really fed up with MAGAs.
Wow! I am from Gilbert area and the excitement here is palpable. But that excitement won't count if we don't go VOTE
@@JilSpangenberg-ys7fz - that's great to hear about Gilbert. Katrina Schaffner is an awesome candidate for AZ5. So much better than Biggs. Hope there is high turnout in Nov & some seats can definitely be flipping.
AZ has a Dem governor and voted for 2 senators with a D next to their name, so I would say it's pretty purple right now. It's always been weird compared to other conservative states, though because of the huge amount of Libertarianism and Goldwater Republicans. Neither one of those is Trump friendly and it makes sense Reps going MAGA crazy to appeal to national politics turn them off.
@@jasons5916 - yeah, that's the thing. We have a Dem governor because the Republican choice was Kari Lake. Someone who openly hated on McCain Republicans & also a huge MAGAt. Same reason she'll lose to Gallego this year. It started when Sinema beat McSally, another trumper, years ago. The GOP keeps electing trumpers in primaries the non-Trumper Republicans & Independent conservatives won't vote for. That doesn't mean they support Dems. They don't. Many don't vote for the Dem candidate or the GOP candidate. I believe in the 2020 election, 40,000 ballots had no Dem or GOP selected for President.
That doesn't mean that if the GOP regains it's sanity, they won't go back to voting for Republicans. They will. That's when we'll really find out if this is a purple state or not. I'm guessing not.
@@hermansmom709thats why I don't trust Arizona as a swing state. Dems just win because of Republican bad candidates.
I'm tired of these small states deciding who's president for the entire country. I didn't say backward out of respect for the few that live in those states.
And that is irrelevant, bc that happened for a long time already
Which small states?
Look up the population per state.
PA, Georgia, Michigan are all quite large.
‘Small’ is Montana and Idaho.
@@nenafan1 All the states that have higher than average representation wrt their population like Wyoming, N and S Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, ect. Also annoying that the same states always get to vote in primaries earlier and kick out some candidates that might do better in other states. Why are Iowa and SC choosing the Dem candidate when those states are super conservative and won't go to the Dem candidate? IMO better to identify swing states and hold primaries there first.
@@jasons5916
That’s more to do with the Senate than much else, though I get what you’re saying overall and agree plenty.
Primaries are an issue, as is a 2 party system and the electoral college in general.
"Small states" like TX and FL? Buffoon
None of this would matter if we removed or reformed the electoral college. Why have you stopped talking about election reform?
@@sidjohnston9670 meaningful reform will require a constitutional amendment. I’m not holding my breath.
@@ericdaniel323 you can get rid of first past the post mechanics on a state by state basis. Moving it to proportional distribution would alleviate the winner take all aspect. You also can add in ranked choice voting on a state by state basis and distribute the electoral college that way. None of these require a constitutional amendment.
@@sidjohnston9670 true, but you are still describing a situation in which Republicans and Democrats would have to deliberately vote to dilute their own electoral power. In states that allow ballot initiatives it’s possible.
@@sidjohnston9670 Election reform will never happen because Elections in the US are a billion dollar industry. No way in hell would they allow any state government to change the rules.
Are you serious. Getting rid of the electoral college would be an absolute disaster. Also the Dems won’t even need to do that to win in 2024 because obviously Harris is headed for a win.
It's beyond time to get rid of the electoral college.
It would have come in the form of a Constitutional Amendment. Good luck convincing 38 states to give up their representative power.
Yesterday Kyle said Harris's polls were "skyrocketing".
So which is it?
We should act like we're 10 pts down and get everyone out to vote.
He did....puppet head
Kyle has to make money too.
She has. She was major underdog when she first took over and has skyrocketed to surpass Trump in polls. 50/50 in polls if u want to be nice. But still major climb from where they were
He's saying that the polls in which Harris is skyrocketing could be overestimating her support, but we just won't know for sure until Election Day. So nobody should get overconfident.
@agag2684 Would say that the term "skyrocketing" implies a comfortable lead. Or at the very least contributes to complacency, which is insanely dangerous rt now.
He needs to choose his words more carefully.
I don't give a shit if she has 50 pt lead in the polls. Until the votes get tallied the words skyrocketing, 1 or 2 pt lead, etc means nothing.
We need to get on the gas and stay on the gas.
That language is irresponsible and dangerous. Too much is on the line
These are why debates matter .
Americans do not know how to debate. Trump will go wild after Harris, and she needs to stay somewhat decent. That is not a debate. I rarely watch a real debate in American politics. Two party systems simply suck.
What are the odds Kamala gets destroyed by Trump in the debate?
@@YamadaDesigns very remote considering Trump has the temperament of a child
@@YamadaDesigns pretty low. He lost to Biden in 2020.
@@YamadaDesigns pretty bad odds there bud. . .
So stop making videos saying Trump is Done!
I follow a more pragmatic view of the polls. Completely ignore them and assume that each election is always 50/50. That will prevent people from being too optimistic and deciding they don't need to vote and it will also prevent them from being too pessimistic and say to themselves; "why should I even bother voting?".
Debates are coming and so is a sentencing.
🤞💙🇺🇸
We have to vote, vote, vote!!!!
Abortion is on the ballot in Nevada, Arizona, Florida, Colorado, Missouri, Maryland, Montana, Nebraska, South Dakota and New York. I don't hear pollsters factoring in these abortion initiatives.
It's basically impossible to take Silver seriously anymore after he went all in on the red wave narrative in 2022 and included polls done by high schoolers since they fit that narrative.
WTAF is wrong with this country, how the hell could Trump even be in double digits? I have lost all faith in humanity.
Irrational fear of immigrants. That's pretty much it.
Living in Arizona, I'm fairly sure Trump won't take this state. Kari Lake is really disliked and she tied her whole political identity to him. She'll drag him down.
When looking at National Polls, here is what you need to do to determine if the poll is "good' for Harris.
1) Add 4% to the poll's margin of error.
2) Then ask yourself, is Harris leading Trump by that amount? If yes, it's not only telling you that she will win the popular vote, but it says she has a good chance at the Electoral College.
Example (National Poll): 50% Harris, 47% Trump (Margin of Error 3%)
1. 4% + 3% (MoE) = 7%
2. Is Harris leading Trump by 7% in the poll? NO.
Note: In 2020, Joe Biden was always leading in the national polls - outside the margin of error. It overestimated how much more he received, but it showed one thing -- he had a decent shot at the electoral college.
Rule: A Democrat MUST receive at least 4% MORE of the national popular vote than the Republican in order to be competitive with the electoral college.
In 2000, 0.5% more was NOT enough for Albert Gore, Jr.
In 2016, 2.1% more was NOT enough for Hillary Clinton.
In 2020, 4.5% more was ALMOST NOT enough for Joe Biden.
it's not democrazy it republique, stoopid
Seriously, US democracy wouldn't even qualify as democracy in a poor nation
my understanding is the margin of error is 2.5
@@Jakeurb8ty82Also Harris has surpassed 50% Biden barely hit 50%. Hillary’s ceiling was 47%. VP Harris is going to win this.
People keep forgetting that two of the main reason Hillary lost in 2016 was that to many people on the left thought she had it in the bag and didn't vote, did a protest vote like a lot of left wing media was telling them to do and wrote in a name or left the top of the ticket blank that why she lost PA and MI! There are many reason she lost but those are two of the biggest reason! We didn't do that in 2020 and Biden won, I hope we keep that same energy this time around!
It is a great thing that those things happened in 2016 and that the war criminal mass murderer lost. I remember how happy I was when Hillary Clinton lost.
Thank goodness the progressive media told viewers not to vote for her and thank goodness people weren't dumb enough to vote for that evil incarnated.
Just like Kyle Kulinski
Don’t forget Comey
I have a bunch of IDIOT FRIENDS that did that in 2016.
Voting for a third-party is worthless, you MAY AS WELL have NOT VOTED.
She lost because she was not nominated by voters. She insulted every last one of us by nominating herself.
Trump's base had enthusiam in 2016. Now its with Harris.
No, only her own base have enthusiasm for her.
Yeah, Trump is no longer even pretending to be populist, he exposed himself as a fraud when it comes to outsourcing and foreign policy too. January 6th happened in the meantime too, all while he is running against Kamala and Waltz instead of against Hillary Clinton.
I just don't see how the race is 50-50 (the betting companies even have Trump as a slight favorite).
@@nunyvanstta135 She's leading with indies and moderates.
Cope and seethe. 😊
@@derekrequiem4359 LOL betting odds have her behind no one is voting for a SOCIALIST
🤞💙🇺🇸
VOTE
The good thing is that Harris is aware of this. She made that clear in her labour day speech: "Don't pay attention to the polls, we are the underdogs in this race"
I've been wanting electoral reform in Canada for nearly half my life. Our first past the post system sucks, but good god compared to the Electoral college, Canada's electoral system looks like the greatest thing ever made.
....I hate the Electoral College so much.
The point in time that Democrats started outperforming polls was when Roe v Wade was overturned. If I'm a strategist I would tell Kamala to just talk about abortion for 90 minutes at the debate and run ads about abortion until November.
It's an important issue, but certainly not the only concern of voters, especially older voters
hey who cares if we cannot afford anything at least we will get our abortion. Got it.
The one difference will be young people
I'm glad you mentioned that couple of factors that Kornacki ignores. I would add that Dems enthusiasm levels are higher than in previous years and that affects turnout. Seems like Kornacki cherry picks angles to worry Democrats and make MAGA feel comfortable. He was on the red wave bandwagon for too long in 2022.
Dems enthusiasm is dying with Kamala's pivot to the right...
If Pennsylvania gives us another Trump Presidency...smdh
I'm in PA, lot of trump signs are popping up. It doesn't look good. If I had to guess I'd say she's gonna lose PA. I love this state. But if these people put trump in the whitehouse, after what he did with the last election it's really gonna hurt my soul
@@DayTukErrJawbsI honestly have no faith in people in this country anymore. The fact that people still support this guy is beyond me
A lot of Americans want a dictator, sadly.
@@DayTukErrJawbs😂😂😂
@@923cronohe's so stupid though!!! He sounds like he hasn't read a single book in 40 years!! His vocabulary is ass!! What a disgrace if this guy wins!!! Our country will soon be 250 years old and this fat orange will be its president!!! 🤦♂️
The info you leave out Kyle is the sky rocketing voter registrations are in which states? They can register a bunch of new voters in New York and California and it would make zero difference.
I think that Kamala has a 51% chance of winning and Donnie has a 49% chance of winning.
Where tf is Taylor Swift at when we need her
Shes a narcissist she doesnt care about the US. She cares more about her money and losing a few fans.
Absolutely. Wondering where she was for the DNC!
@@colbylandwehr3334 pushing 60
An endorsement from her could backfire. I'm sure the party elites are researching scenarios and running simulations to see if that will work. They may be holding her in reserve as a counter punch for whatever october surprise the republicans come up with.
Lol Taylor swift🤦🏽♂️
Took 11/05 off work to vote. Not taking any chances. My💙is showing up in person.
2 day ago
Kyle “Trump is done”
Today
Kyle “it’s super close”
This has been razor thin the whole time and it will continue to be stop saying Trump is done.
We have to fight. She’s right, we are the underdogs.
Like Red Leader said: Stay on target!🙂
GET OUT AND VOTE FOR HARRIS.
DO NOT SIT HOME,
DO NOT VOTE 3RD PARTY
DONT FORGET YOUR VOTER ID
Right, because that’s worked so wonderfully every other time. People really are incapable of learning
Lmao if you are in swing state sure but I’m in a deep red state so I’m voting Green Party gave Kamala a chance but fck no
@@summteach sure you did bud. Make sure you brush your teeth after eating that boot, shill.
@@summteach Not bothering to vote Democrat because you're in a red state is how a red state stays red.
Nate silver currently has it as 57 to 43.
That title, coming from whoever does Kyle's titles, is wild. Kyle and his title-writer need a dose of reality. They've been over-hyping Dems' chances, as much as anybody.
Kyle from 4 years ago would call new current Kyle a democratic shill.
peroxide seeping into his grey matter
Losing with 71% odds is more likely than flipping two coins and they are both tails.
She’s got this!
Afternoon Kyle.
Doing probabilities for elections is useless. If the election was run 100 times, 60-40 for Harris means Harris is expected to win 60 times and 99-1 for Harris would mean Harris is expected to win 99 times. The election is only run ONCE, though, so it is possible that under the 99-1 scenario, the one time Trump is expected to win ends up being the first one, but that is all that matters. The election is not being run 100 times, and even if it were, those are just EXPECTED numbers anyway. Harris could actually be 99-1 but Trump could get lucky and actually pull off, say, three wins if the election happened 100 times. Once again, the election is run just once and there is in reality no probability: when it comes to winning it is certain for one person and impossible for all others, we just don’t know who is who yet.
Also the republican dude yelling at the other republican for not voting for trump reminds me of how democrats yelled at me for not wanting to vote for Hilary. I think that dynamic creates the “shy voter” in polling. Where republicans will say they’re voting for trump but when they get in the booth they can’t do it or end up staying home.
Yep, if you want to challenge the status quo (which always needs challenging), we are told, just vote for the establishment one more time, we promise this time it will be better. Then they do nothing for the people and everything for corporate donors (exactly like the GOP, only in a nicer package). Nope, I've voting Jill Stein of the Green Party - the only pro-peace, pro-worker and pro-environmentalist who's running. No spoiler here!
Haven’t you been chuckling for a month now over Trump’s inevitable defeat?
You are obsessed with Kyle. It’s creepy.
@@mikeh6700What are you on about?
@@matt94alexander32you know what they’re on about or you are willfully ignorant about your crush on Kyle.
@@Embarblaze 🤨
@@EmbarblazeIs it not embarrassing to you that this is all you can come up with?
But Kyle you said Trump was "done" "spiraling" ect ect 😉
Made you watch the video, didn't it?
@@Chronix- I follow to refute all of Kyle's crap.
I used to like Kyle but he’s basically a democratic propagandist now
Everyone has been acting like Kamala is running away with it, but Nate Silver still has Trump ahead, and Polymarket has Trump up by seven points.
The fact that Trump is even remotely close is mind-boggling, we are fucked
Allan Lichtman predicts a Harris Walz win!! LFG!
well, there ya go. LOL
still gotta go out and vote
Wasn’t he saying the Democrats would lose if they got rid of Biden as the nominee?
@@ZiemakAttack He said they'd lose if they didn't keep at least one incumbent already on the ticket (Biden/Harris).
They kept Harris so his prediction is a narrow advantage for Democrats.
@ericmetts2289 are his predictions not limited to the national vote ? he has said it does not cover electoral college
😂😂😂😂 Kyle was saying the other day it was over for Trump. Kyle is such a clown Trumps up a lot
Nate Silver has Trump up, Kyle doesn't say the right numbers, followed by I have it 60/40 😂 Well thank goodness Kyle says so.
So true he’s a democratic propagandist
Nate Silver....Hahahaha! That guy is a total joke!
@@ricomajesticKyle used him for reference here and didn't say the correct numbers. My reason for writing that. ✍️
I found this particular podcast of his very informative and straight forwardly truthful but yet still hopeful and positive at the same time which I like and really appreciate!/ Pennsylvania 🏳️🌈🔹️🇺🇸
This is why the Electoral College is so broken because only a few states really matter instead of the whole country one person one vote.
Time to abolish the Electoral college. Get rid of the Senate, as well.
No, pure democracy is trash.
Nate Silver has Trump as a 58% favorite to win as of September 4th by the way. Not 50-50.
Nate silver is a right wing hack
LOL! Like that means anything!
@@ricomajesticActually he doesn’t. It’s a Concern troll literally making up numbers.
IMO i dont think its going to be as close as people think ...i think Trump has annoyed more people than we know
In the back of my mind, this is what I’m thinking. I feel like at the ballot box, there will be last minute fear of project 2025, women in red hats to support their husbands secretly vote blue, etc. That’s what happened in France when the far right was projected to win. I do however fear the stock market between now and November.
There's one huge factor that's about to go into play in about two weeks that could change things pretty drastically for some MAGA voters: Trump's sentencing in New York before Judge Merchan on September 18. Trump's been trying desperately to delay the sentencing by bouncing the case up to a federal judge, but so far his efforts have failed. I think he's actually going to get some jail time. I don't think it's going to end up being much jail time, but I think he'll get some.
The GOP would loose every race if there was automatic voter registration, voting day being a holiday, no gerrymandering, ranked choice voting and no electoral collage.
Alan Lichtman just predicted Harris.
@@RustyShackleford-s2o he doesn't make predictions. He has a model that says Harris will win. There's a difference. A slight difference, but a difference.
@@lvli044 LOL! That's what models are used for...to make predictions!
Lichtman predicts Harris wins so I feel good about her chances
Al Gore felt good about his chances too
still gotta go out and vote
2000 was the actual stolen election @@c.f.okonta8815
He also predicted Biden could beat Trump...even AFTER the debate.
7:19 HuffPost had Hilary at 98%.
This isn't 2016 anymore. Let it go.
@@spicymemes7458 I'm clarifying Kyle's statement.
And it’s HuffPost, not exactly the best source
Voter registration is up 175 % for black women, 149% for Latino voters just to start. Pretty sure its gonna be a blow out muhaaaaaaa woot
Let us hope so. Life would be unbearable if the Repukes win it again
As somebody not from the US the electoral college makes my blood boil lol how can a few small estates have so much decision power? It's crazy to me
It boils down to this we all need to VOTE!! Up and down the ballot vote blue all the way through
@@mini-t2348 VOTE BLUE" NO MATTER WHO" IS MINDLESS CULT BEHAVIOR. Facts and decency do not matter? No corruption in the Dem Party?
😃 😀 . That's mindless stupidity! Embarassing.
Kyle--you are one of the biggest culprits in Kamala cheerleading lol
I don’t understand how it’s this close. If it was generic republican like desantis I’d get it, but we already know Trumps strategy. I just don’t get it
Republicans are cultists
@@alexthefae45% of voters are not Republicans. So that explaination does not work.
Trump is very charismatic. It’s not surprising that he could win
@@c.f.okonta8815 he's not charismatic, he's just a good BSer and his cult is ignorant to the truth.
@@c.f.okonta8815Yep an even if Trump runs again 2028 it's gonna be close again if he's the nominee again.
The polls had Obama +1 on Romney and he won comfortably
I needed that!
Moral of the story. VOTE. Make sure you VOTE. Make sure your family, friends, colleagues... VOTE. It's that IMPORTANT.
The electoral college needs to be removed
Wish we weren’t arguing about which one of these idiots gets to control our lives. We are all such sheep.
If Trump wins Pennsylvania and wins then I blame Fetterman. If I voted for him then saw what he became after, I'd never vote again.
Allen Lichtman made his prediction and I can’t argue with his record.
Kyle last week on Krystal & Kyle: "Trump is done!!!"
Kyle today: "it's still a race"
The tides shift to quickly to be making any definitive declarations this far out.
The difference is Kamala at least puts the democrats back in the game. Biden was nowhere close to in the runnings.