Hot take, but I'm seriously starting to feel like Anatomy of a Fall gets into Editing. The film has a lot more love than I thought, and similar to TAR, the editing is one of the more unique aspects of the film that I think will convince voters to pick it. Plus, I don't think anything else feels strong (EX: Not feeling Maestro, Holdovers, or Color Purple imo)
So correct me if I'm wrong here - but if Godzilla Minus One were to win Best Visual Effects, not only would it be the FIRST non-English language film to win, I believe it would only be the second film to be nominated after last year's "All Quiet on the Western Front"
my biggest hope for a BTL nom this year might be priscilla getting into costumes. watched it last night (it's only just come out here) and the way that priscilla's costumes tell their own story - both in relation to her actual life and fashion's progression as a whole - is super impressive. in terms of wins, i hope they split between costumes and production design for barbie and poor things. personally i'd go barbie costumes and poor things production design but either way would be fine.
IMO they shouldn’t. They’re just very showy, while their cinematography doesn’t necessarily help to tell the story (alright, maybe Saltburn’s cinematography makes some sense)
@@duckywinks also think it'll increase the quality of action movies. with more emphasis on practical rather than visual effects to try to get oscar gold
A Christopher Nolan film winning best sound at the Oscars is actually one of the events foretold in the book of revelation as preceding the apocalypse. It’s ironic that the movie is itself about the apocalypse.
I actually think the opposite re: costumes/prod design for Barbie and poor things. I think that poor things should be first for both but that costumes is closer to
I guess Joe Hisaishi has a chance at a score nomination this time. Watched Robot Dreams, I think it could be part of 5, and I don't want to underestimate the power of Aardman, so I guess TMNT & Nimona would be bumped out, since TMNT has quite similar style of spider-verse, and netflix might place chicken run 2 in a higher priority for nomination.
The production design in Barbie is great, but Poor Things has more unique amazing sets (vs pretty much just the beach and cul de sac for Barbie) and it's all original work vs recreations, which makes it more deserving in my opinion. Exact same thing for costumes.
@@blackguyofthesouth2161 I was under the impression that the whole point of this channel was for regular people to talk about the Oscar race, my bad on that one.
I'm glad people are recognizing Maestro for what it really is. I watched the movie and thought it was just dull and souless. I'm tired of these clear box check Oscar bait movies that keep getting nominated for Best Picture. Probably not gonna happen, but if the Academy snubbed this for May December I would be thrilled
Same. I had a strong feeling it was gonna be predictable Oscar bait right from the trailer and then after watching the film those instincts were confirmed. It really is one of the most obnoxiously dull films I've seen this year.
I enjoyed Elemental but my list for Animated Feature would include Chicken Run instead of it. The animation was gorgeous and that would make a solid list for this year.
Little oopsie: Ninja Turtles got Critics Choice, not the Globe. Also, Mitchells won at Critics Choice lol. Nimona also only got Critics Choice and not the Globe.
The new Oscar inclusion standards were supposed to take effect with the upcoming ceremony. Do you know if Oppenheimer meets 2 of the 4 diversity standards required for Best Picture?
Poor Things could easily win zero Oscars or one for Emma Stone. Same with The Favourite. It would have gone home with zero if Olivia Coleman did not upset.
I feel like in international they always toss in "little kid" or "animal" movies. a yak in the classroom, the quiet girl, EO, Close. There were a lot of them the past 2 years and I predicted EO just because of that and the critical love and it happened. I think Totem is gonna get in.
It finally makes sense to me why France submitted The Taste of Things over Anatomy of a Fall. Although they’re not winning International Feature anymore, I guess they had two reasons to submit The Taste of Things: 1. They thought that even with Anatomy of a Fall they might lose to The Zone or Interest 2. They wanted more French films to get nominated at the Oscars this year
This. Could be they already know Anatomy will have some noms like screenplay, and actress possibly BP. It's a bigger win to have another french film nominated in a category like Internationl Film, since it can't get nominated anywhere else.
It's hard to compare films that have nothing in common but Les miserables is a much stronger film than Portrait imo. It leaves more of an impact, it is drawn from reality.
@@moviemaniac14 Well, Les Misérables was a lot more successful and had better reviews than Lady on Fire in France. Plus it has a more baity subject matter. So I don't think it's quite the same.
What!? Lol. No. They were punishing Justine Triet because she was critical of the government. It's impossible to know with certain if Taste of Things or Anatomy of a Fall will be nominated. We are in January, and we don't know for sure, they certainly didn't know that months ago.
Happy to see ZOI being predicted in Production Design! I've been predicting for a while that it might just have enough passion from a small bubble of international arthouse fans that it could overperform in certain techs!
I know it’s hard to take that step back and know whether or nor you are predicting or wishdicting but you guys have Zone Of Interest in almost everywhere. It becomes a little hard to see past what you are using your expertise on and what you want to see happen. It’s always nice to acknowledge achievement, but it’s perhaps a bit too obvious IMO.
I thought the same at first, but remember how All Quiet came almost out of nowhere and got a ton of tech noms last year? I think it's definitely a possibility that Zone does the same thing this year.
@@christianjalexander Yes. but it was also the de facto Foreign film of the year, and these two didn’t have all Quiet everywhere until it started to show up in the shortlists and BAFTA long lists, and even then they were hesitant. this year, Society Of The Snow actually led the shortlists over Zone Of Interest, but they seem to be giving the edge to the film they’ve seen and liked. I’m not saying Zone gets nothing, but it doesn’t get everything either. A very strong year for international fare.
Barbie's Production Design winning over Killers of the Flower Moon, Poor Things or Napoleon would be an atrocious joke. You can literally go to the kids' section of every mall and find the exact same designs.
I really like Oppenheimer but don't overdo it, because the Oscars are different, they will award the Oscar for best director to Martin Scorsese and best film to Killers of the Flower Moon
The 2 song rule in Original Song was actually implemented in 2008 after Enchanted and Dreamgirls got three songs nominated and lost in back to back years
My current GoldDerby predictions (as of 13.1): *Best Cinematoraphy:* 5. Łukasz Żal (The Zone of Interest) 4. Linus Sandgren (Saltburn) 3. Rodrigo Prieto (Killers of the Flower Moon) 2. Robbie Ryan (Poor Things) 1. Hoyte Van Hoytema (Oppenheimer) *Best Editing:* 5. Nick Houy (Barbie) 4. William Goldenberg (Air) 3. Yorgos Mavropsaridis (Poor Things) 2. Thelma Schoonmaker (Killers of the Flower Moon) 1. Jennifer Lame (Oppenheimer) *Best Production Design:* 5. Asteroid City 4. Oppenheimer 3. Killers of the Flower Moon 2. Poor Things 1. Barbie *Best Costume Design:* 5. Wonka 4. Napoleon 3. The Color Purple 2. Poor Things 1. Barbie *Best Makeup & Hairstyling:* 5. Beau is Afraid 4. Golda (shoutout to my man Guy Nattiv 🇮🇱) 3. Poor Things 2. Maestro 1. Oppenheimer *Best Score:* 5. John Williams (Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny) 4. Joe Hisaishi (The Boy and the Heron) 3. Daniel Pemberton (Spiderman: Across the Spider Verse) 2. Ludwig Göransson (Oppenheimer) 1. Jerskin Fendrix (Poor Things) *Best Sound:* 5. The Killer 4. Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Ferrari 2. Maestro 1. Oppenheimer *Best Visual Effects:* 5. Poor Things 4. Society of the Snow 3. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3 2. Godzilla Minus One 1. The Creator *Best Animated Picture:* 5. Elemental 4. Nimona 3. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 2. The Boy and the Heron 1. Spiderman: Across the Spider Verse *Best Documentary Picture:* 5. Going to Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project 4. Four Daughters 3. Beyond Utopia 2. American Symphony 1. 20 Days in Mariupol *Best International Picture*: (SUPERBET) 5. Fallen Leaves (Finland) 4. The Taste of Things (France) 3. Perfect Days (Japan) 2. Society of the Snow (Spain) 1. The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom) *Best Original Song:* 5. It Never Went Away (American Symphony) 4. Road to Freedom (Rustin) 3. The Fire Inside (Flamin' Hot) 2. What Was I Made for? (Barbie) 1. I'm Just Ken (Barbie)
Yes, but the Academy doesn't care about practical effects that much. So I would predict that either Guardians or The Creator or even Godzilla will win.
@@quintonposs3286 Many works with practical effects, such as Tenet, 1917, First Man,Ex Machina and Inception have won Oscars for visual effects. VFX category includes CG I hope Godzilla Minus One wins the Oscar for visual effects
Who cares about box office. Women Talking TOTALLY flopped with 9 million dollars total (Color Purple is currently at 36 million) got into Best Picture and won the Adapted Screenplay Oscar.
@@pb.j.1753you’re right it doesn’t necessarily matter but because people suddenly are now jumping back on the color purple train and saying oh well look it’s overperforming at the box office… i just had to point out that that’s not even true because it’s now dropping significantly
@pb.j.1753 box office matters for big budget films so it's not fair to compare it to an indie. It's part of the reason elvis did well last year while babylon did not imo
@@ovandothack Got it. At the end of the day, a voter will vote for the films they enjoyed and will not compile a spreadsheet of what performs how at the box office. Also explains Triangle of Sadness with its meager 4 million at the US box office.
@@onoud9417 Babylon sucked as a film. I know a passionate minority doesn't think so but the majority knows it sucked ass and that's why it underperformed at the Oscars.
I just have a strong gut feeling Saltburn gets nominated for cinematography. It might keep showing up at other places too (ASC, BAFTA) until it’s undeniable. Academy will probably look at Zone of Interest and think it’s too “normal”-looking
My thinking on why the visually stunning visual effects of Oppenheimer isn’t being predicted anywhere is because the FX guys want to show using CGI isn’t being lazy, it’s being progressive. Nolan doesn’t use CGI crutches. FX guys are sending a message.
Godzilla Minus One seems to be the RRR of this year. It was really successful with critics and audiences, made a decent amount of money, and should've been a lock for the International Feature category their country decided to submit a different film instead, leading to it winning only one Oscar, only for Godzilla it's potentially Visual Effects instead of Song.
Nah, it's not quite the same, because Godzilla Minus One was actually released too late in Japan to qualify for this year's eligibility window in the International Feature Film category.
This might be the first year ever where I am genuinely interested into the Best VFX category. Mainly because I want to see Godzilla Minus One get an Oscar nomination (and possible win) so damn badly.
Poor Things has a better chance in costume design. They had to create new costumes for that, vs Barbie that already had the design ideas made for them.
Yes! People are loving “I’m just Ken” I get it but I feel like many are forgetting that people out of the industry are voting. They will not only vote for songs they really liked singing themselves but for songs they musically wise see the most quality in. And from this point of view “What was I made for” is a much stronger song 😅
Saltburn is the best looking movie of the year to me. There were some lone cinematography nominees recently like Silence and The Lighthouse and Bardo (False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths) and Empire of Light. Linus Sandgren can make it in.
Youre right those movirs arent gonna get 12 noms. But Oppenheimer, Killers, and Poor Things are all getting 10+ noms, with Barbie getting the most with 11-12 noms
The Iron Claw is the best movie of the year. If Zac Efron gets snubbed I’m done with this shit. They nominate movies and performances nobody gives a fuck ab every year
It's the battle of the Barbie Songs! You guys have 'I'm just Ken' on top. This is a way for the Academy to honor Mark Ronson outside of the Score category. I love seeing Across the Spiderverse predicted in multiple categories outside Animated Film. It's one of the best movies of the year.
Napleon Must give it nomnation for leading role..even if the film not good enght becase some of the moves and actor worst. Jafuin finix must take nommnation. And must take best diroction.
Hot take, but I'm seriously starting to feel like Anatomy of a Fall gets into Editing. The film has a lot more love than I thought, and similar to TAR, the editing is one of the more unique aspects of the film that I think will convince voters to pick it. Plus, I don't think anything else feels strong (EX: Not feeling Maestro, Holdovers, or Color Purple imo)
Please stop dragging Tár nor legendary Monika Willi like that.
I've had it in over Barbie for the past few months
I really want The Iron Claw to be this year’s Phantom Thread and get a couple random nominations on Oscar morning.
No chance. It is not that good.
I hope All of Us Strangers will be the underdog that surprises.
@@pb.j.1753 ok
lmaooo the iron claw bettee@@pb.j.1753
You're comparing The Iron Claw to movie starring Daniel Day Lewis directed by Paul Thomas Anderson
I want Joe Hisaishi to get in for his score. All his scores are amazing.
he won't. Not even a chance
@khylechristianderosales1894 I don’t think it’ll win but to say he doesn’t have a chance of getting in is crazy
So correct me if I'm wrong here - but if Godzilla Minus One were to win Best Visual Effects, not only would it be the FIRST non-English language film to win, I believe it would only be the second film to be nominated after last year's "All Quiet on the Western Front"
my biggest hope for a BTL nom this year might be priscilla getting into costumes. watched it last night (it's only just come out here) and the way that priscilla's costumes tell their own story - both in relation to her actual life and fashion's progression as a whole - is super impressive. in terms of wins, i hope they split between costumes and production design for barbie and poor things. personally i'd go barbie costumes and poor things production design but either way would be fine.
Brother bro congratulations on your app. Its gonna be huge in future
Saltburn, Godland, and Asteroid City should get into cinematography. Maybe they won't, but they should.
IMO they shouldn’t. They’re just very showy, while their cinematography doesn’t necessarily help to tell the story (alright, maybe Saltburn’s cinematography makes some sense)
I may or may of not have completely forgotten about gold derby ever since Awards expert dropped😂 thank you for the app
I just signed up and I am actually wondering what am I supposed to do on the app that I can't do on Gold Derby.
Poor Things is getting in for vfx.
wow the upgrade on the text! good job!
John Wick deserves more tech love 😪
It does, but it missed too many shortlists, so it has no chance
Man, I wish they made that Stunt category happen this year. It absolutely would’ve deserved to be the first winner in that category.
@@duckywinks also think it'll increase the quality of action movies. with more emphasis on practical rather than visual effects to try to get oscar gold
should be in best picture over some movies
Cinematography for sure!!
I think war movies always have a good chance to get into Production Design so Napoleon (which was horrible otherwise) has a chance.
The biggest VFX thing with Spider-Verse is the effects for Spider Punk. It’s revolutionary.
Robot dreams nomination would be great and deserved, feels like a movie that would get In if they didn’t add the new Rule in 2015
A Christopher Nolan film winning best sound at the Oscars is actually one of the events foretold in the book of revelation as preceding the apocalypse. It’s ironic that the movie is itself about the apocalypse.
Well, Christopher Nolan's movies have already won 5 Oscars in Sound and got another 3 nominations 😬
I actually think the opposite re: costumes/prod design for Barbie and poor things. I think that poor things should be first for both but that costumes is closer to
I guess Joe Hisaishi has a chance at a score nomination this time. Watched Robot Dreams, I think it could be part of 5, and I don't want to underestimate the power of Aardman, so I guess TMNT & Nimona would be bumped out, since TMNT has quite similar style of spider-verse, and netflix might place chicken run 2 in a higher priority for nomination.
Jennifer lame’s editing is anything but lame
That Dracula impression and the race car impression need to be nominated for an Oscar 😂😂😂
I don't see Barbie winning costume AT ALL. They very much ignore "modern" set films unless it has a fashion industry slant, hence Cruellla winning.
Fun Fact: No Scorsese Movie has ever been nominated for Make Up
The production design in Barbie is great, but Poor Things has more unique amazing sets (vs pretty much just the beach and cul de sac for Barbie) and it's all original work vs recreations, which makes it more deserving in my opinion. Exact same thing for costumes.
What if both Barbie and Poor Things make it in 😱
Well youre not voting
@@blackguyofthesouth2161 I was under the impression that the whole point of this channel was for regular people to talk about the Oscar race, my bad on that one.
I agree wholeheartedly. Would love to see Poor Things win in both categories.
I'm glad people are recognizing Maestro for what it really is. I watched the movie and thought it was just dull and souless. I'm tired of these clear box check Oscar bait movies that keep getting nominated for Best Picture. Probably not gonna happen, but if the Academy snubbed this for May December I would be thrilled
I want the Academy to snub both Maestro and May December lol
@@pb.j.1753 Hey, let's not sleep on Society of the Snow. There's a world where that's possible too lol
Same. I had a strong feeling it was gonna be predictable Oscar bait right from the trailer and then after watching the film those instincts were confirmed. It really is one of the most obnoxiously dull films I've seen this year.
I need the app in playstore. Internationally, apple is not the biggest. Android is like 80% of all phones.
I enjoyed Elemental but my list for Animated Feature would include Chicken Run instead of it. The animation was gorgeous and that would make a solid list for this year.
Idk if you've seen Ferrari but the ending has a very big makeup moment that sticks out to me
Agreed, and the makeup, especially on Adam Driver, is somewhat prominent and well done.
A nice surprise, also first!
48:20 hip hop shit??
i was *just* wondering where this video was
Every day it feels more like The Boy and the Heron will win Animated. I currently have it number 1
talk slow about oscar predication the cat is sleeping
Cat. 🎉
When you finally watch Society of the Snow, you will put it in more categories in the top five.
Oppenheimer:cinematography, sound, editing, score- locked! 🤞🙏
I just want “Oscar nominee Godzilla Minus One” to be a thing… let’s go, VFX branch!
Did you just call the kaiju Godzilla a lizard? 🦎😂
Too much confidence in The Zone of Interest. Not enough confidence in Killers.
Saltburn only 6 at cinematography? Oh nooo.
Little oopsie: Ninja Turtles got Critics Choice, not the Globe. Also, Mitchells won at Critics Choice lol. Nimona also only got Critics Choice and not the Globe.
The new Oscar inclusion standards were supposed to take effect with the upcoming ceremony. Do you know if Oppenheimer meets 2 of the 4 diversity standards required for Best Picture?
Oppenheimer is fully eligible.
Poor things at number 2 in everything is killing me
Poor Things could easily win zero Oscars or one for Emma Stone. Same with The Favourite. It would have gone home with zero if Olivia Coleman did not upset.
NAH, if poor things is the only best picture nominated film in visual effects there’s no way it’s not getting in
I feel like in international they always toss in "little kid" or "animal" movies. a yak in the classroom, the quiet girl, EO, Close. There were a lot of them the past 2 years and I predicted EO just because of that and the critical love and it happened. I think Totem is gonna get in.
I think they also had some films set in school like Close, Yak, Better Days hence I hope The Teachers‘ Lounge makes it in.
40:45 chicken rugget
It finally makes sense to me why France submitted The Taste of Things over Anatomy of a Fall. Although they’re not winning International Feature anymore, I guess they had two reasons to submit The Taste of Things:
1. They thought that even with Anatomy of a Fall they might lose to The Zone or Interest
2. They wanted more French films to get nominated at the Oscars this year
Could that be the same reason with them submitting Les Miserables over Portrait of a Lady on Fire?
This. Could be they already know Anatomy will have some noms like screenplay, and actress possibly BP. It's a bigger win to have another french film nominated in a category like Internationl Film, since it can't get nominated anywhere else.
It's hard to compare films that have nothing in common but Les miserables is a much stronger film than Portrait imo. It leaves more of an impact, it is drawn from reality.
@@moviemaniac14 Well, Les Misérables was a lot more successful and had better reviews than Lady on Fire in France. Plus it has a more baity subject matter. So I don't think it's quite the same.
What!? Lol. No. They were punishing Justine Triet because she was critical of the government.
It's impossible to know with certain if Taste of Things or Anatomy of a Fall will be nominated. We are in January, and we don't know for sure, they certainly didn't know that months ago.
Happy to see ZOI being predicted in Production Design! I've been predicting for a while that it might just have enough passion from a small bubble of international arthouse fans that it could overperform in certain techs!
"International Arthouse Fans" don't vote for nominees in Production Design. The Production Designer's branch of the Academy does.
@@pb.j.1753 I mean a small bubble of fans within the Designer branch lol.
I know it’s hard to take that step back and know whether or nor you are predicting or wishdicting but you guys have Zone Of Interest in almost everywhere. It becomes a little hard to see past what you are using your expertise on and what you want to see happen. It’s always nice to acknowledge achievement, but it’s perhaps a bit too obvious IMO.
I thought the same at first, but remember how All Quiet came almost out of nowhere and got a ton of tech noms last year? I think it's definitely a possibility that Zone does the same thing this year.
@@christianjalexander Yes. but it was also the de facto Foreign film of the year, and these two didn’t have all Quiet everywhere until it started to show up in the shortlists and BAFTA long lists, and even then they were hesitant. this year, Society Of The Snow actually led the shortlists over Zone Of Interest, but they seem to be giving the edge to the film they’ve seen and liked. I’m not saying Zone gets nothing, but it doesn’t get everything either. A very strong year for international fare.
So is your app just a copy of GoldDerby?
Barbie's Production Design winning over Killers of the Flower Moon, Poor Things or Napoleon would be an atrocious joke. You can literally go to the kids' section of every mall and find the exact same designs.
For best song, What Was I Made For is so much better than I'm Just Ken. Not even close. I'm Just Ken is formulaic and pretty forgettable
nothing proves that The Academy does political calculations w their nominees more than GOLDA somehow being nominated for anything lmfao
I mean 2024 is Godzillas 70th birthday and he has such an big Impact for the hole movie industrie... I think he has to win an oscar
Black and wkike is not always a dead cert for cinematography. Tons, if not hundreds, of films were not even nominated when not in colour!
I really like Oppenheimer but don't overdo it, because the Oscars are different, they will award the Oscar for best director to Martin Scorsese and best film to Killers of the Flower Moon
The 2 song rule in Original Song was actually implemented in 2008 after Enchanted and Dreamgirls got three songs nominated and lost in back to back years
I hope Billie eilish won again oscor
My current GoldDerby predictions (as of 13.1):
*Best Cinematoraphy:*
5. Łukasz Żal (The Zone of Interest)
4. Linus Sandgren (Saltburn)
3. Rodrigo Prieto (Killers of the Flower Moon)
2. Robbie Ryan (Poor Things)
1. Hoyte Van Hoytema (Oppenheimer)
*Best Editing:*
5. Nick Houy (Barbie)
4. William Goldenberg (Air)
3. Yorgos Mavropsaridis (Poor Things)
2. Thelma Schoonmaker (Killers of the Flower Moon)
1. Jennifer Lame (Oppenheimer)
*Best Production Design:*
5. Asteroid City
4. Oppenheimer
3. Killers of the Flower Moon
2. Poor Things
1. Barbie
*Best Costume Design:*
5. Wonka
4. Napoleon
3. The Color Purple
2. Poor Things
1. Barbie
*Best Makeup & Hairstyling:*
5. Beau is Afraid
4. Golda (shoutout to my man Guy Nattiv 🇮🇱)
3. Poor Things
2. Maestro
1. Oppenheimer
*Best Score:*
5. John Williams (Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny)
4. Joe Hisaishi (The Boy and the Heron)
3. Daniel Pemberton (Spiderman: Across the Spider Verse)
2. Ludwig Göransson (Oppenheimer)
1. Jerskin Fendrix (Poor Things)
*Best Sound:*
5. The Killer
4. Killers of the Flower Moon
3. Ferrari
2. Maestro
1. Oppenheimer
*Best Visual Effects:*
5. Poor Things
4. Society of the Snow
3. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3
2. Godzilla Minus One
1. The Creator
*Best Animated Picture:*
5. Elemental
4. Nimona
3. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
2. The Boy and the Heron
1. Spiderman: Across the Spider Verse
*Best Documentary Picture:*
5. Going to Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project
4. Four Daughters
3. Beyond Utopia
2. American Symphony
1. 20 Days in Mariupol
*Best International Picture*: (SUPERBET)
5. Fallen Leaves (Finland)
4. The Taste of Things (France)
3. Perfect Days (Japan)
2. Society of the Snow (Spain)
1. The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom)
*Best Original Song:*
5. It Never Went Away (American Symphony)
4. Road to Freedom (Rustin)
3. The Fire Inside (Flamin' Hot)
2. What Was I Made for? (Barbie)
1. I'm Just Ken (Barbie)
I'm SO rooting for Godzilla Minus One to win Special Effects
Maestro is receiving serious backlash. Everybody is complaining about this film.
For many good reasons
the app is so amazing thank you for making it so i can keep track of this stuff easily!!!!!!!
I would love for the iron claw to get a few nominations
I thought Killers Moon’s score was pretty weak.
Oppenheimer should have been placed in the Oscar Best Visual Effects category
Yes, but the Academy doesn't care about practical effects that much. So I would predict that either Guardians or The Creator or even Godzilla will win.
@@quintonposs3286 Many works with practical effects, such as Tenet, 1917, First Man,Ex Machina and Inception have won Oscars for visual effects. VFX category includes CG
I hope Godzilla Minus One wins the Oscar for visual effects
the color purple is still weak, it did well christmas day at the box office and then hard dropped
Who cares about box office. Women Talking TOTALLY flopped with 9 million dollars total (Color Purple is currently at 36 million) got into Best Picture and won the Adapted Screenplay Oscar.
@@pb.j.1753you’re right it doesn’t necessarily matter but because people suddenly are now jumping back on the color purple train and saying oh well look it’s overperforming at the box office… i just had to point out that that’s not even true because it’s now dropping significantly
@pb.j.1753 box office matters for big budget films so it's not fair to compare it to an indie. It's part of the reason elvis did well last year while babylon did not imo
@@ovandothack Got it. At the end of the day, a voter will vote for the films they enjoyed and will not compile a spreadsheet of what performs how at the box office. Also explains Triangle of Sadness with its meager 4 million at the US box office.
@@onoud9417 Babylon sucked as a film. I know a passionate minority doesn't think so but the majority knows it sucked ass and that's why it underperformed at the Oscars.
I just have a strong gut feeling Saltburn gets nominated for cinematography. It might keep showing up at other places too (ASC, BAFTA) until it’s undeniable. Academy will probably look at Zone of Interest and think it’s too “normal”-looking
Amazing vid 🎉
My thinking on why the visually stunning visual effects of Oppenheimer isn’t being predicted anywhere is because the FX guys want to show using CGI isn’t being lazy, it’s being progressive. Nolan doesn’t use CGI crutches. FX guys are sending a message.
Did you say Nimona got a Golden Globe nomination? Because that is not the case and I think it's looking pretty vulnerable unfortunately.
Golda gets zero... you are wishcrafting!
Godzilla Minus One seems to be the RRR of this year. It was really successful with critics and audiences, made a decent amount of money, and should've been a lock for the International Feature category their country decided to submit a different film instead, leading to it winning only one Oscar, only for Godzilla it's potentially Visual Effects instead of Song.
Nah, it's not quite the same, because Godzilla Minus One was actually released too late in Japan to qualify for this year's eligibility window in the International Feature Film category.
@@cepho8349 fascinating
This might be the first year ever where I am genuinely interested into the Best VFX category. Mainly because I want to see Godzilla Minus One get an Oscar nomination (and possible win) so damn badly.
Poor Things has a better chance in costume design. They had to create new costumes for that, vs Barbie that already had the design ideas made for them.
How fun is that Ryan Gosling might not win an acting Oscar, but his singing could win a second one 😂
12th Fail>>>
That nasty Spider Man movie better not get score. Joe Hisaishi needs to get nominated for How Do You Live? instead of that annoying baby movie
What was i made for song
Lyrics wonderful
What Was I Made For? is hands down taking Original Song. Dance the Night should be in the top 5, not I’m Just Ken 😂
Yes! People are loving “I’m just Ken” I get it but I feel like many are forgetting that people out of the industry are voting. They will not only vote for songs they really liked singing themselves but for songs they musically wise see the most quality in. And from this point of view “What was I made for” is a much stronger song 😅
Love the new display format
Hope you continue with this one
Y'all have too much confidence in The Zone Of Interest.
What is the scream at 31:18...?!
...ghosts! 👻🎉
You guys are waaaaaaaaay underestimating Saltburn. The buzz and passion is insane right now
Saltburn is getting no love 😪
God I cannot wait for that Android App
Mitchells won critics choice
How about paw patrol the mighty movie Thor best animated feature film
Nice joke
@@pb.j.1753 I meant to say for best animated feature film
Hello Kitty!
Saltburn is the best looking movie of the year to me. There were some lone cinematography nominees recently like Silence and The Lighthouse and Bardo (False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths) and Empire of Light. Linus Sandgren can make it in.
and bardo, and empire of life
Saltburn deserves nominations for cinematography and editing.
How did bro watch Ferrari at home? 👀
Screener probably
Youre right those movirs arent gonna get 12 noms. But Oppenheimer, Killers, and Poor Things are all getting 10+ noms, with Barbie getting the most with 11-12 noms
Poor things gave me that Parasite, Coda feeling.
Stop insulting Parasite please
@@pb.j.1753 no
Should we wait the review for "The Boy and the Heron" ?
They reviewed it back in September during TIFF. Look it up.
The colour purple is DEAD on arrival. Maybe best song and best costume. Thats all
The Iron Claw is the best movie of the year. If Zac Efron gets snubbed I’m done with this shit. They nominate movies and performances nobody gives a fuck ab every year
It's the battle of the Barbie Songs! You guys have 'I'm just Ken' on top. This is a way for the Academy to honor Mark Ronson outside of the Score category.
I love seeing Across the Spiderverse predicted in multiple categories outside Animated Film. It's one of the best movies of the year.
??? Mark Ronson already won a Song Oscar for A Star is Born
Barbie in editing??
Napleon
Must give it nomnation for leading role..even if the film not good enght becase some of the moves and actor worst.
Jafuin finix must take nommnation.
And must take best diroction.
I think it would be cool if you guys do your "own Oscars" and simulate who would you nominate and gave the win in each category
saw society of the snow and I think it has a great chance in makeup and hairstyling and visual vfx
Godzilla minus one is not only the best movie of the year, but also one of the best things to happen in 2023 period.