Severe wintry weather for livestock & travel as airflows clash over NZ
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 18 ต.ค. 2024
- NZ: Subtropical airflows in the north meet subantarctic airflows in the south - this produces heavy snow at higher elevations, with miserable conditions for livestock (even at sea level due to the wet, cold, windy nature of the weather).
This is not a storm - but the combination of low pressure plus two highs and the two airmasses meeting in the depths of winter means there are severe weather risks in both main islands…especially the South Island.
At the other northern end of New Zealand temperatures will be up into the mid to possibly upper teens with a mixture of heavy rain, showers and large dry areas too in the milder northerly flow.
The much colder airflow works its way up the eastern side of the country this week, bringing colder, wetter and windier weather into the eastern North Island too (and a dusting of snow on the eastern ranges high up). But western parts of the North Island may not be so affected by the colder air.
Snow will be heavy in the South Island above 400 or 500 metres (and may go down to 300m or lower in some spots) and this may affect travel on highways and some airports due to snow and/or visibility issues. Otago, Southland and Canterbury are most exposed.
High pressure rolls in later this week and weekend and will bring frosts to sheltered areas.
See our newsfeed at WeatherWatch.co.nz or in our new App for more details, maps and links.
Thanks Phil we are on the flats of Canterbury and been lambing for a week , appreciate your heads up
Thanks for the thanks - all the best for the next few days ahead. Phil.
Thanks Phil. For your rational and cogent weather analysis! Very useful.
Thank you very much :)
Thank you for the update, I really appreciate your time. Please take care and stay warm.
Glad I've subscribed to this channel because, when you present the weather you tell us the certainties and uncertain things. You " lock in" the definites when you're sure.
Thanks heaps, I learnt that from our original connection to CNN Weather where their meteorologists were very focused on describing the WHY just as much as the FORECAST. :) Cheers, Phil D.
Hi Phil
Thanks for the new update...hope you had a great weekend....🤗
help
Refreshing & informative broadcast!
Thank you kindly!
Thanks Phil! appreciate the weather reports.
Thanks for your update
Thanks for caring about the animals ❤.
thanks for the update. been pretty warm up in the North Island tbh...
Great stuff,Phil.
aww.. yes.. nice chilly crisp winter mornings coming up this weekend... looking forward to them!
Thanks for your accuracy without drama, have followed you for 3 years .
Thank you so much, really do appreciate the support over that time! :)
Thanks Phil informative as always and , also, your WW app is just the bees knees thank you and your team.
Thanks heaps for the cool feedback! Really appreciated :) Phil
Good on you Phil...gr8 as always.
Thank you Phil as usual very well explained.
Thanks heaps for that, Phil.
Excellent, thank you. Cheers, John. (Christchurch)
Awesome thank you Phil
Like this thanks for doing update really helps when your doing lawns😊
Partly cloudy today, and have a nice rest of the day.
Thank You Phil from Ataahua/Beautiful Bland Bay Whangaruru Aoteoroa New Zealand.😊😊
Such a great spot!
Just hung out with a mate in southland, calving and lambing hast just started, I said to my mate a week ago, must be time for a big winter system.... Murphy's Law is cruel seeming at times. 😢 Good luck livestock and crop growers ❤❤❤
You're not the only one who has said that to me about Murphy's law. You could wait to September and have the exact same set-up too.
Happens every year
Major outlets are selling windscreen de-icer in Auckland.
It's colder than we thought.
Whats your thoughts on the huge low around the 6th-9th next week? Looks interesting on Windy. Cheers
So much chaos at the moment nothing is locked in that far out, but will start focusing more on August over the rest of this week :)
Very good presentation. I like it.
Many thanks!
Snow in Queenstown Phil?
Possibly tonight and tomorrow - but with the airflows coming in from the east to north-east it may not be much as it tends to dry out the further west you go.
Thanks, Phil. I love the expected warmer weather in the North Island woo-hoo 🏝 ❤
The west of the lower North Island 🏝 looks like it might not be too bad
Thanks for the update
And Thursdays monthly Climate Update
Cheese 🧀
love some of that white stuff here in winton but looks like its only going to be on the hills sigh......
Yeah might be close, but not cigar...
Exactly the weather info that should be broadcast on NZ prime media.
Quality data presented expertly.
That's very kind, thank you.
Cheers!
Thank you Phil 😊 thinking ahead for washing, enforcing the wear item twice ( cothes)...smalls ( underwear)hand wash.
Cheers Phillip jolly good
I have had a bad run this time if year losing calves to winter blasts so this season I am not calving until October
Good work. It must be tricky trying to find the sweet spot when NZ's weather is so all over the place in winter and spring.
Bring on the highs 😜😜😜
bring on the wet weather , I'm sick of living in a desert.
Blue line is moving further north
Like watching the tide come in, then it retreats later in the week
Mother in law lives in Kurow 400 metres above sea level does that mean north Otago will get snow
It's possible but the further inland the drier it is for Otago.
Chur bro mean weather reports but can u add gisborne on the map please
Thanks, but we don't do main centre forecasts like TV weather so why would you need Gisborne on the map, unless you don't know where Gisborne is :)
The place names just auto generate on some maps. But our free app has 10 day hourly forecasts for Gizzy :)
epic proper job ..do a surf report too? subscribers in that!
Too much extra work and not enough maps at this stage, but we're working with someone else to be able to do this and build a surf/marine page at WeatherWatch.
We need sponsors first as not enough viewers to make money from it just on TH-cam.
@@WeatherWatchTV ill be here ;)
Additional geomagnetic storm in approaching!
Can New Zealand get ice storms?
Not really, we tend to be too warm for it. We do have icing maps and they tend to only be in the mountains/Southern Alps, not in the main centres or populated rural areas.
@@WeatherWatchTV Thanks, I was just curious. You are about the same distance from the equator as my aunty was when she lived through this (video title): The Worst Natural Disaster in Canadian History (Ice Storm 1998). I have experienced smaller ice storms a couple of times, elsewhere, and find them much more disturbing than snowstorms.
Next update 30/7/24
👍👊
Thank you for speaking in layman's terms
What winter? Try living in Canada.
You will like the article I just wrote for Farmers Weekly then! As someone with family across Canada - and have experienced -40C in North Dakota too - I tend to agree with you! www.farmersweekly.co.nz/news/the-final-month-of-winter-is-upon-us/
Still winter for us born and bred kiwis.
I understand what you are saying but that doesn't mean it is right. We consistently receive 10 x the amount of rainfall you forecast. Consistently! It also seems to me that your forecasting also tends to detail weather before and after it arrives with no real indication for how long it may sit in one place. How would you feel about a rainfall challenge... You predict and I record? 🙄
Considering you tax fund/pay for Niwa and MetService - and I'm providing an entirely free service - it would make sense for you to compare what you pay for vs what is entirely free.
Also, if rainfall matters that much to you - then you definitely should read this: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/education-the-most-accurate-ways-to-read-a-rain-forecast-get-fewer-false-alarms
❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
otherwise a normal winters day
Your forecasting is SO WRONG it is dangerous! You seriously need to PROPERLY audit your reporting!!
More than happy to show you the independent audit: We use the world's most accurate data - and has been the world's most accurate since 2017 for starters: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/ibm-forecast-data-ai-used-by-weatherwatch-ruralweather-deemed-worlds-most-accurate-once-again
The modelling in our videos is globally the most used too, and is trusted/used by NASA.
Have a happy day!
Nobody should have newborn livestock at this time of the year in the South Island!
@@2hands_and_a_brain917 so how do you earn a living and farm genius?
Why exactly? Maybe you need to talk to the large producers who demand dairy, beef and lamb to maintain availability so you can keep skipping through your supermarket
Maybe try thinking before typing. Fairly apparent by your unsolicited post that you have no farming experience or understanding of the economic/trade/food supply demands. Supply/demand + physical biological attributes = reality as we know it = lambing now. Maybe in a utopia where there are Star Trek like food synthesisers .......
@@DW-10 oh don't you worry, they well into synth food poison research.
@@user-ii1iy8fz1d Second only to tin foil hat research 😂
But a dress 👗 on it...😅
Weatherwatchtv! ‘sup?-best , 🤗
Thank you! :)
Thanks for the update