BREAKING NEWS: MAGICAL ZOE Withdrawn from the Melbourne Cup. www.racingpost.com/news/ireland/ebor-winner-magical-zoe-ruled-out-of-melbourne-cup-as-connections-opt-against-australian-trip-for-star-mare-ajHFy3E9v2lk/
He's got a 95 Rating here in Oz. The last two locally trained horses in my top 50 are Future History & Aurora's Symphony. They have ratings of 99. That's pretty much my reasoning for them being above Saint George. We shouldn't sell short the win of Future History in G3 Bart Cummings last year. And I considered that StG had his Queens Vase achievement more than 18months ago. He looked very unlucky in his recent run here in Oz. I'm actually surprised he didn't appear in the Archer Stakes field this weekend.
@@lewdubspersonalbest9070 He was scratched from a spring campaign last year by Ozzie Kheir after a minor setback - looking to his future potential. His one Oz run at sub 2000 would not be relevant to his Melb. Cup hcp. 2024 Melb Cup conditions: Relevant Race Performances A) since 1 February 2023 inclusive, won or was placed 2nd or 3rd in an internationally recognised Group or Graded flat race run over 2300 metres or further; OR....
Hi Lew. Wow you have got a handle on the prelims. Major effort in your compilation. Australia VRC begged for horses to come here sending REPS FAR AND WIDE. GEES TOWER OF LONDON OBVIOUSLY DIDN,T PASS THEIR SCRUTINY ACCORDING TO MR O'BRIANS .SPEECH. LOOKING LIKE A SECOND RATE M.C. CLEARLY THE THE BEST HORSE IN THE WORLD AT 2 MILES EXCEPT FOR EQUINOX WHO HAS A SMILE ON HIS FACE LOL. Oh well here we go again. Lots can change in the remainlng time as you know so weights and Acceptances Critical. Huge effort Lew putting that together but you won' t see the VRC TRYING TO HELP THE BACKBONE OF RACING BEING THE PEOPLE WHO PAY FOR HORSE RACING YES PUNTERS!!!!! When will they wake up?? Keep reducing take out for punters they won't have a job. I keep hearing this and been around a while. 7/2 has become 5/2. Open the markets please or get another job. Cheers Lew.
I get the feeling T O Royal isn't here for the same reason. Instead of racing superstars the Melbourne Cup will continue to attract only horses that have perfect clean sheet in terms of conformation and previous injuries.
Hey Greg, did you get on Fancy Man for the Herbert Power? Not quite the odds I thought we'd get. Also, can you send an email through, I've lost that Viber account and have to make a new one. lewdub2020@gmail.com
I was wrong - St George needs a penalty to get into the MC - nothing like racing to make you look like a dill ! The handicaper at release of weights said a placing in the would lift him into the 40's in order. I thought they got a penalty only if they won?
The conditions are pretty convoluted. Last year's Order of Entry Prediction went into a bit more detail about those conditions. Here's a link to the conditions document if you haven't already seen it. www.racingvictoria.com.au/the-sport/racing/victorian-race-program/-/media/b05d7ef1a79247b68b6afffba11ba1d4.ashx
I just had a look at his position in the Order Of Entry. They're best off having a crack at the Bart Cummings. He still needs a 2kg penalty to get him around the mid 30s. He would need two wins or maybe cop a big 2KG penalty for winning the Moonee Valley Gold Cup. It's rare that the handicapper gives them 2kg in one race win though. He'd have to shit in.
I thought he would have done better in the St Leger, and I've never seen a Doncaster St Leger winner race in the Melbourne Cup of the same year. Now with his well below par performance I'm still doubtful about him coming.
@@lewdubspersonalbest9070 ah great, I'm still learning a lot about melb cup process and making it a big day this year. So keen to put early bets on but that worries me if he's a maybe
He's not going to be back on track until Autumn 2025 at this stage. horsebetting.com.au/melbourne-cup-runner-up-unlikely-to-feature-in-spring/#:~:text=Group%201%20Melbourne%20Cup%20(3200m,good%20progress%20in%20his%20rehabilitation.
@@lewdubspersonalbest9070 This was on RSN The Chief Handicapper was on and Felgate stated that the Horse was Lame and will stay there until he's better I see he is taken of Caul Cup Markets.
BREAKING NEWS: MAGICAL ZOE Withdrawn from the Melbourne Cup.
www.racingpost.com/news/ireland/ebor-winner-magical-zoe-ruled-out-of-melbourne-cup-as-connections-opt-against-australian-trip-for-star-mare-ajHFy3E9v2lk/
You missed the GRP 3 ARCHER STAKES [old LEXUS HOTHAM - SAAB] on the 2nd November (or is it cancelled now?)
Good work, nice early preview
Thanks mate.
Very good video. Your on it
Saint George 2nd G2 Queens Vase at Ascot 2023 that surely gets him a few ks above the bottom weights?
He's got a 95 Rating here in Oz. The last two locally trained horses in my top 50 are Future History & Aurora's Symphony. They have ratings of 99. That's pretty much my reasoning for them being above Saint George. We shouldn't sell short the win of Future History in G3 Bart Cummings last year. And I considered that StG had his Queens Vase achievement more than 18months ago. He looked very unlucky in his recent run here in Oz. I'm actually surprised he didn't appear in the Archer Stakes field this weekend.
@@lewdubspersonalbest9070 He was scratched from a spring campaign last year by Ozzie Kheir after a minor setback - looking to his future potential.
His one Oz run at sub 2000 would not be relevant to his Melb. Cup hcp.
2024 Melb Cup conditions:
Relevant Race Performances
A) since 1 February 2023 inclusive, won or was placed 2nd or 3rd in an internationally recognised
Group or Graded flat race run over 2300 metres or further; OR....
Hi Lew. Wow you have got a handle on the prelims.
Major effort in your compilation. Australia VRC begged for horses to come here sending REPS FAR AND WIDE. GEES TOWER OF LONDON OBVIOUSLY DIDN,T
PASS THEIR SCRUTINY
ACCORDING TO MR O'BRIANS .SPEECH. LOOKING LIKE A SECOND RATE M.C. CLEARLY THE THE BEST HORSE IN THE WORLD AT 2 MILES EXCEPT FOR EQUINOX
WHO HAS A SMILE ON HIS FACE LOL.
Oh well here we go again. Lots can change in the remainlng time as you know so weights and Acceptances Critical.
Huge effort Lew putting that together but you won' t see the VRC TRYING TO HELP THE BACKBONE OF RACING
BEING THE PEOPLE WHO PAY FOR HORSE RACING YES PUNTERS!!!!!
When will they wake up??
Keep reducing take out for punters they won't have a job.
I keep hearing this and been around a while. 7/2 has become 5/2. Open the markets please or get another job.
Cheers Lew.
I get the feeling T O Royal isn't here for the same reason. Instead of racing superstars the Melbourne Cup will continue to attract only horses that have perfect clean sheet in terms of conformation and previous injuries.
Hey Greg, did you get on Fancy Man for the Herbert Power? Not quite the odds I thought we'd get. Also, can you send an email through, I've lost that Viber account and have to make a new one. lewdub2020@gmail.com
I was wrong - St George needs a penalty to get into the MC - nothing like racing to make you look like a dill !
The handicaper at release of weights said a placing in the would lift him into the 40's in order.
I thought they got a penalty only if they won?
The conditions are pretty convoluted. Last year's Order of Entry Prediction went into a bit more detail about those conditions. Here's a link to the conditions document if you haven't already seen it.
www.racingvictoria.com.au/the-sport/racing/victorian-race-program/-/media/b05d7ef1a79247b68b6afffba11ba1d4.ashx
I just had a look at his position in the Order Of Entry. They're best off having a crack at the Bart Cummings. He still needs a 2kg penalty to get him around the mid 30s. He would need two wins or maybe cop a big 2KG penalty for winning the Moonee Valley Gold Cup. It's rare that the handicapper gives them 2kg in one race win though. He'd have to shit in.
Hey Lew why do you say Grosvenor Square probably wont come over?
I thought he would have done better in the St Leger, and I've never seen a Doncaster St Leger winner race in the Melbourne Cup of the same year. Now with his well below par performance I'm still doubtful about him coming.
@@lewdubspersonalbest9070 ah great, I'm still learning a lot about melb cup process and making it a big day this year. So keen to put early bets on but that worries me if he's a maybe
What about solcum last year's second place any updates
He's not going to be back on track until Autumn 2025 at this stage. horsebetting.com.au/melbourne-cup-runner-up-unlikely-to-feature-in-spring/#:~:text=Group%201%20Melbourne%20Cup%20(3200m,good%20progress%20in%20his%20rehabilitation.
Hi Lew Jan Brueghel will be coming
@@lukeroche2123 you're getting all the scoops. Where did you hear it?
Hi Lew Middle Earth now won't be coming
Really? Where did you hear that?
@@lewdubspersonalbest9070
This was on RSN The Chief Handicapper was on and Felgate stated that the Horse was Lame and will stay there until he's better
I see he is taken of Caul Cup Markets.
@@lukeroche2123 cheers mate.
@@lukeroche2123 Is it possible Middle Earth will come on second flight? He was amongst names published in Melb Cup weights today.
@@lewdubspersonalbest9070
Yes just saw this.
Felgate did say he pulled a Tendon.
Unless it's minor not too sure