Cem Karsan: Regime Change and Strategies to Navigate an Inflationary Decade

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 27 ต.ค. 2022
  • #ReSolveRiffs
    It was our great pleasure to welcome back Cem Karsan (also known as @jam_croissant on Twitter), Founder and Sr. Managing Partner at Kai Volatility Advisors. This deeply insightful conversation included topics such as:
    - A recap of the last few months in equity markets
    - Volume-weighted time and why seasonality matters more than most people know
    - The acceleration of gamma, vanna and charm - a dangerous time to be short equities
    - Dealer positioning as a major gravitational force in markets, often overlooked
    - The ‘game of chicken’ played between speculators, hedgers and market makers
    - Less ‘put hedging’ begets the currently very low skew observed
    - Why the first and last two weeks of a year are so important
    - The large impact of retail speculative activity and challenges to market makers
    - Households still sitting on very large excess savings, which is often making its way into equity markets
    - Buy the dip - investors’ conditioning over the last 40 years
    - The risk of another lost decade for equity investors
    - Millennials vs Boomers - a generational tussle
    - Why the American dream has become increasingly unattainable to most
    - And much more
    For the transcript of this video visit: investresolve.com/podcasts/re...
    This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” - live on TH-cam every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management Inc.
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    *ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association ("NFA"). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.
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ความคิดเห็น • 15

  • @tomas-dr9kc
    @tomas-dr9kc ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Cem is so generous with high-quality actionable information!

  • @seunjoong
    @seunjoong ปีที่แล้ว

    Just want to say that Cem nailed his call here. UNREAL.

    • @IStillHaveDialUp
      @IStillHaveDialUp 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

      The man has a crystal ball, I’m convinced

  • @MrRaitzi
    @MrRaitzi ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Mike is the only one without fake background. Boss level.

  • @LanceXBT
    @LanceXBT ปีที่แล้ว +5

    who was cems mentor. I love this guy

  • @paolobernardi6835
    @paolobernardi6835 ปีที่แล้ว

    I agree 100% with Cem views! If you add Climate change events and the attempt to act upon it with not just limited resources but an amount of commodities needed not available in required amount or un-extratables the supply constraint and public debt increase is going to be exponential. Nuclear could be a big part of the answer but several issues cannot be underestimated. See France with a large amount of plants down due to maintenance of cooling pumps issues and lack of water. We need everything from fossil to nuclear to renewables and will not still be enough.

    • @paolobernardi6835
      @paolobernardi6835 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@BenHowellX molten salt are very promising indeed. But they are prototypes so far. There aren't any built for power generation line production yet as far as I searched. They take the ideas used in submarines. Subs have the advantage to have a lot of water around too if needed for cooling and they do (they seal in op combat so not to leave a thermal image). Understand also what they mean. At some point they salts saturate and stop and they have to be cleaned up. But for sure nuclear is a huge part of the power generation equation.

  • @kveite7367
    @kveite7367 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great conversation! What you left out imo is a new participant in the current environment: NGOs
    They haven‘t been there ( or at least that powerful) in any crisis in the last 80 years. Their impact on fiscal policy, monetary policy, geopolitical policy is huge.

  • @LanceXBT
    @LanceXBT ปีที่แล้ว +1

    where can I look for the nummbers Cem is talking about?
    higher Vol
    vanna charm etc

    • @holyshit860
      @holyshit860 ปีที่แล้ว

      twitter look around his twitter, should have something. might be pinned or something

  • @stigerr1036
    @stigerr1036 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    A republic, not a democracy was the foundation for checks and balances.

  • @nonegiven3814
    @nonegiven3814 ปีที่แล้ว

    I look at all of the popular stocks and see 1-2% short interest, all of the heavy short interest is actually in the small cap stocks. 99% of the the short interest pumping is more like ghosts- not real just margin traders trying to inspire others to join in on margin 4-1 up to 10-1,, there are no bears/shorts. The entire 2022 decline was only removing froth not any kind of bear raid. -- today's margin addicted traders have no idea what it's like to do battle with shorts. It's like the staff of twitter believing their time at twitter was a real job.

  • @deadleeistlift
    @deadleeistlift ปีที่แล้ว

    His name is pronounced "Jem" Lol

  • @shred337
    @shred337 ปีที่แล้ว

    No sure I agree that retail is not buying other assets and seeing stocks as the only asset. Look at the Ibond craze and site crashing. The liquidity from the new influx of cash is being stuffed into many assets.

  • @tclaca
    @tclaca ปีที่แล้ว

    black dress code