Are We Ready for the Next Pandemic? - with Peter Piot
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 ก.ค. 2024
- 2018 marks the 100th anniversary of the deadly Spanish flu. How prepared are we today if another global pandemic should strike?
Subscribe for regular science videos: bit.ly/RiSubscRibe
Watch the Q&A: • Q&A: Are We Ready for ...
Peter Piot discusses the risk of another global pandemic in our interconnected world and discusses the shortcomings of the global response to the West African Ebola outbreak and, drawing on his experience combating HIV/AIDS, he will highlight the need to focus on prevention and preparedness for future health threats.
Peter Piot is the Director of the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and a Handa Professor of Global Health. He is the first Chair to lead Her Majesty’s Government’s Strategic Coherence of ODA-funded Research (SCOR) Board. He is Vice-Chair of the board of the Global Health Innovative Technology Fund in Tokyo, Vice-Chair of the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) board, Chair of the Global Burden of Disease Independent Advisory Committee and Chair of the King Baudouin Foundation US. He is a member of the board for the African Health Research Institute, in Durban, and the Public Health Foundation of India and a member of the Oxford Martin Commission on Future Generations. He was the Chair of the MRC Global Health Group and a member of the MRC Strategy Board. Previously he was President of the International AIDS Society, Chair of the WHO Ebola Science Committee and Chair of the European Forum for Forward Looking Activities.
This evening discourse was filmed in the Ri on 29 June 2018.
---
A very special thank you to our Patreon supporters who help make these videos happen, especially:
Alessandro Mecca, Ashok Bommisetti, avraham chein, bestape, Elizabeth Greasley, Greg Nagel, Lester Su, Rebecca Pan, Robert D Finfrock and Will Knott.
---
The Ri is on Patreon: / theroyalinstitution
and Twitter: / ri_science
and Facebook: / royalinstitution
and Tumblr: / ri-science
Our editorial policy: www.rigb.org/home/editorial-po...
Subscribe for the latest science videos: bit.ly/RiNewsletter - วิทยาศาสตร์และเทคโนโลยี
![บุษบา - เมนทอล [Official MV]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/IGnWPokSEis/mqdefault.jpg)
![เบิ้ล ปทุมราช - อ้ายกินดอง น้องลาบงัว ft. สแน็ก อัจฉรีย์ [OFFICIAL MV]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/-OK--KaSPcI/mqdefault.jpg)
Hi, I'm from 2020. You're not ready.
@@nossasenhoradoo871 Hi I'm from 2028. We gassed the O! Suddenly we all are better off!
@@nossasenhoradoo871 Oh I wasn't talking about you.
I'm from 2034. We have no diseases anymore. But modern rap music is now used as toilet paper.
@@binixx you're a dumb pos
Hi. You are just arguing
Next existential crisis: algorithms develop cruel humor.
Wait till it starts to recommend clips from "Contagion..." And, just now, "The Stand."
Only if people do not know how algorithms works. They should. It is basic knowledge in this era.
Even worse horror scenario: some people don’t get jokes anymore
Markus Pfeifer
I thought jokes were meant to be funny.
@@markuspfeifer8473 Clowns are scary and sad. It is the real horror when they are gathering in packs.
TH-cams algorithm has absolutely zero chill.
It gives zero pandemics.
This popped up for me as well -- Now I've watched quite a bit of this channel over the last year or so, but this was just the best to see on my feed.
Hahah
You can say that again!
Lol
It turns out that we were NOT better prepared...
Scientifically I think we are ... the problem is that with the rise of nationalism and anti UN and other global governance agents the response by governments is slower.
@TheBrabon1 Yeah, those Obama years were great...
@@chrimony That was obviously sarcasm by @RantzBizGroup. Also I find it hilarious how Obama got a peace prize despite ongoing wars in the middle east
@@maxheadrom3088 Scientifically You can have knowledge, analysis and perhaps scenario assessment, preparedness is not within the scope of academic science since it is about developing and adopting strategies (national and global), and preparing the resources and the logistics for the effort that those strategies entail.
China activated and contained the epidemic.
S.Korea was prepared.
Italy was not prepared.
Rantz - Why?
Couldn't you hamster enough toilet paper?
TH-cam really has the best sense of humor putting this in our recommended
same here
Right !
Yeah wtf
Ikr
I got recommended the movie "The Bat (1959) VINCENT PRICE" and "Contagious 1997 Lindsey Vagner full thriller" ?!
Watching in quarantine
The positive from this is that unlike wars, politicians will die too. That helps them to focus on a course of action.
canturgan I’m not so sure politicians think that they themselves can die from this... being a politician means believing that the rules don’t apply to you, so I suspect most politicians believe themselves safe from infection, their concern isn’t that they may die, rather it is to make sure that fewer of their own constituents die compared to the constituents of their rivals.
@@jpe1 Yeah, so when one of them dies it will be a rude awakening. Trump must be near the top of the list, Corbyn too.
Maybe, if there is an afterlife. If not, they can't do shit when dead. From Guardians of the Galaxy, making of Stormbreaker:
Eitri: "it will kill you"
Thor: "only if i die"
Eitri: "yes.....that's what killing you means"
th-cam.com/video/k4ruDZ634Vs/w-d-xo.html
@@canturgan Unfortunately, Trump's such a miserable POS, even a _deadly pathogen_ would probably get inside him, then just go, "nope, I can't compete with this", and bail. The man is literally a social disease.
Not in the USA.
Are we ready for the next Pandemic?
Arrested Development Narrator: "They were not"
😝😝😝
Ron Howard would approve
Tom 😀😀😀
i love you
someone play frolic
"A new Spanish Flu type epidemic would cost trillions" - how prophetic.
@@shooting4star2023 Interesting that you only got 4 likes, and one of them was mine! You mean fiat money can't buy it, but the Fed et al will keep printing. To quote Buzz - 'To infinity and beyond!'
@@shooting4star2023 you dont know how money works...this is debt money that should be paid.
This aged well.
Exactly what I was going to say!
Watching this video gives me chills 😱 Who would have thought that a pandemic really happened 1 year after this video was released 😱
Good for you
Narrator: No, in fact, they were not.
I read that in Ron Howard’s voice.
Who knows, maybe there won't be tens of millions of deaths this time.
(I am very well aware this comment might not age well at all later on. I just hope I'm not wrong)
How I wished my country valued education. Thank you for all you do.
Fabulous discourse. Thank you all for making this available to people of little means that are hugely curious, like myself. One of the best, especially considering our coronavirus problem in 2020.
Three weeks ago: We are well prepared.
Today: Erm... no.
ends talk with "an epidemic 5000 miles away could affect us tomorrow"
well that tomorrow (Nov 2019 first report) is now yesterday ...
Your comment was prescient - it's now August 2021..
Wonder what this fine gentleman is thinking now. 🤔
At least, he knows what is going on nowadays. And I'm sure he's not surprised.
He's probably thinking something like this:
www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/expert-opinion/100-questions-peter-piot-lshtm-director
Heres one thing to consider...dont infect your smart friends...
Not so prepared as he hoped
He caught COVID-19. Here's what he thinks now www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/finally-virus-got-me-scientist-who-fought-ebola-and-hiv-reflects-facing-death-covid-19 "Let’s be clear: Without a coronavirus vaccine, we will never be able to live normally again. The only real exit strategy from this crisis is a vaccine that can be rolled out worldwide."
I was like "Let's get through THIS one before we worry about the next one!" ...and then I saw the upload date... 😬😭😭😭
Personally. I take this pandemic as a message to humans...you are not in control here, I can end you whenever I want, however I want - Sincerely Nature.
I agree! This virus would not have spilled over into humans had humans not encroached deep into the forests, captured bats, placed them in cages above/below other wild animals in close proximity, and sold them as food for people. Really, it was human cruelty to wild animals for profit and a disregard for nature that caused this. It's most likely that the actual person who placed that cage down where they did in a wet market or the person who hunted the animals were ignorant to the risks of microbial spillover events, they were probably carrying out a profitable business tradition out of necessity. It's also possible that a wealthier person or group who owned the business knew about the risks of spillover because of the 2003 SARS epidemic (also zoonotic in origin via bats) but makes good money from the bush-meat trade.
We'll probably never know for certain, but either way, the moral of the 2019-2020 COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) story so far is to better educate *ALL* people around the planet to stop operating "wet" markets, enforce restrictions and bans on "wet" markets, expand public healthcare facilities globally (and make them affordable and stocked with reserve equipment for future pandemics), teach and practice sanitation and hygiene every day and encourage others to do so daily as well, and invest in plant-based foods to replace the widespread meat-based diet that so many people practice today.
Unfortunately, some people, especially poor people in undeveloped/developing countries or remote areas, can't afford to eat an all-plant based diet or even a partially plant-based diet. To improve this situation and prevent _worse_ pandemics from starting in the future, perhaps all nations should come together and prioritize development of an international society that is dedicated to providing free and open access to quality education, healthcare, sanitation, and food to as many humans as possible (goal: 100% of humanity) while also taking active and drastic measures to curb the meat, bush-meat, and poaching industries' power. Additionally, we all need to come together globally and work *hard* to halt anthropogenic climate-change and global warming, a.k.a the destruction of human civilizations via ecosystem collapses and sea-level rise while also getting back to nuclear arsenal reduction (e.g. nuclear non-proliferation of the large military powers).
The most probable and dangerous disasters that humanity will likely see this century are 1. More and Worse Pandemics, 2. Exponentially Worsening Global Warming and Chaotic Mass Migrations due to Sea-Level Rise, 3. World War III (possibly triggered by fascists/dictators coming into power due to mass migrations after sea-level rise scaring people into voting for hardliners/strongmen), 4. A Major Nuclear Weapons Exchange (either accidental or war-related, see risk #3), 4. More Pollution, 5. Serious Asteroid Impact, 6. Man-Made Superbug Pandemic due to Synthetic Biology/Genetic Engineering by a Psychopath, Terrorists, or Hostile States.
All of these major global disasters are deeply connected and must all be prevented through immediate international unity, education, pooled resources, and encouragement/motivation to take action now. If the world fails to come together to tackle and prevent these major global risks, then humanity most likely will not survive past this century in any large numbers, or at all.
@@metanumia can say that about all livestock
@@metanumia All of those trends are causing the sixth great extinction which we should realize has the ability to make us extinct
@@carlwessels2671 Exactly! Unfortunately, the natural state of the neurotypical human brain is to be terrible at predicting the magnitude of future consequences that will result far in the future (>20 years or so) from today's routine and societally accepted/encouraged actions. Thankfully, with a lot of education and critical thinking reinforcement, the neurotypical human brain *_can_* be taught how to think far into the future and think rationally, logically, compassionately, introspectively, and to use the scientific method properly for constructive efforts.
This is why education is so insanely important, we should have been making civilization-wide fundamental cultural and technological changes decades ago to properly deal with the upcoming ecological disaster. Anthropogenic climate destruction and global warming/sea level rise is truly an extinction level event for the majority of the Earth's living organisms (including humans), comparable to in severity to the asteroid that ended the dinosaurs, except it's been progressing so slowly compared to typical human timescale events that most people just totally underestimate it.
@@metanumia What you have said, Melody, was said after the WW1 and WW2 and so we got the League of Nations and the United Nations organisations. Yes they have done good work and helped, that is probably why the world population is now at 7 bill + approx; that, and no serious warfare, YET!
Short answer : No.
Long answer : Actually... no clearly no.
This was posted one year ago and today it's happening. Wow.
2020 NEWS ANCHORS: NO ONE PREDICTED THE CORONA PANDEMIC
TH-cam ALGORITHMS: BLAME YOURSELVES FOR FOCUSING ON SELFIES INSTEAD OF SCIENCE
lol
Except TH-cam only started promoting these videos again after everyone started talking about Corona.
Intelligence told them that this was coming ... in 2017, 2018, Jan 2020.
The first case occurred in South Korea and USA at the same time.
Trump said it was under control and did nothing. The Koreans went into overdrive and have it under control. USA has over 8000 dead as of April 5.
See
www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/u-s-intel-agencies-warned-rising-risk-outbreak-coronavirus-n1144891
And
thehill.com/policy/healthcare/488763-intel-reports-going-back-to-january-warned-of-coronavirus-threat
no ONLY the military LABS or the drug companies have the ability to predict the next virus attack in None European countries. Don't European always keep running around yelling the world is overpopulated and something must be done about it as their population keeps declining ?
This is just gibberish
I can 100% confirm, we were definitely not ready!
The benefit of living in 2020 is that we can now answer the question at hand. Hindsight is a cruel thing.
Thank you very much for this presentation. And a big thanks to everyone who is working so hard to keep the world safe
This guy is doing some incredibly valuable work.
Thank you!
But we were not prepared.
Now we know he really was
@@ChrisRedfield-- In this lecture, Peter Piot clearly stated that a lot more work needed to be done globally to better prepare for the next pandemic. Some governments listened and prepared more after the 2014 Ebola outbreak, some did not. In fact, the US prepared for future pandemics back when Obama was president by establishing the Pandemic Response Group in the White House, but one of the first things Trump did when he was elected was to disband and shutdown the Pandemic Response Group, the selfish fool.
yup !
We dont have a vaccine !!!!!!!!!
14th April 2020
1,923,210 SARS-CoV2 Coronavirus cases !
2019 video: 'We know today that economic impact of epidemics can be huge'
2020: hold my Corona
Use lime,...it's better that way, or add Tequila you'll get a Desperado, very nice on a hot day.
Nice subtle pun.
Humor. Cynicism. Irony. They are defence meganisms. Maybe our only sensible response next to the intensive care people going into PTS there is nothing we can do but lock up ourselves.
Good one.
TH-cam: "IN YOUR FACE!"
Are we sure AI was not behind this all along?
"WHO was not fit for the purpose, it have to become more responsible"
He knew it two years ago
Who knew?
Thank you, Peter, for all the fantastic work you have done. A wonderful list of humanitarian achievements. You have lived a very worthwhile life, I think.
The algorithm is a cruel and unapologetic mistress
Mmmmmm
I am old enough to have seen some people affected severely by polio. My grandmother and father talked about what it was like with the 1918 flu but they were very young at the time so they were remembering story said they heard or talking about people they knew who had lost someone. My family was not affected at all we were lucky.
Pamela Homeyer Polio was pre Salk vaccine - 1950s. Most hospitals have old Iron lungs hanging around fro the time period.
My dad was crippled by polio before I was born, his youngest kid. He wore a caliper on one leg for the rest of his life.
I stocked up in November 2018 after watching this video in October 2018.... Glad I did as in March 2020 in the panic buying I did not have to worry in getting toilet rolls. Now I am starving as got no food, and all I have is these sodding toilet rolls.
I hear they fry up nicely, add salt to taste
Could one possibly make a tasty casserole out of it.
We should have listen to that before 😷
Thx for this speech and the informations.
All the armies in all the countries
All the money spent on defence
The enemy’s invisible
And we are the transport
SPOLIER ALERT we didn’t learn a thing 2020
Bend over for the long thickness
@mark hart and we weren't ready
Yes, dying your hair red is soooo, 1980's we didn't learn a thing indeed.
@@binixx So are you m8.
@mark hart It was the US.
His message, that we need global cooperation and prevention, rings true today.
“In epidemics what’s crucial is: act early” Major Oof
39:00 "In epidemics what's crucial is act early."
Yes, true. Unless the WHO say specifically NOT to ban flights coming in from affected countries because it's 'xenophobic'
Exactly, yet here we are in 2020 months into the Covid-19 virus after all the deaths and warm weather is upon us, people have seemingly learned nothing and think its okay to relax social distancing and go to the beach, parks, forest preserves and just forget we have to suck this up to save not only our lives, our families and anyone else we come in contact with. What does it take? Are people really so weak and ignorant that they cant see they are becoming the bigger problem in combatting this virus? I cant believe all the protests about staying home while people are still dying from this virus. The people have the power and they just wont do whats needed.
@@mogznwaz Also the WHO - “No evidence that the virus can be passed from person to person“
TRUMP - “Stop flights from China.”
Idiots - “Boo Hoo Twump’s a waaaaaaacist!!!”
Go check your timeline of events. Even your strawman here shows Trump not listening to experts. The data showed that stopping all flights was a good idea, Trump's no fly wasn't full, and truly was based on his personal enemies list.
Spoiler:
The answer is 'no'.
@@binixx that's a slur, not an argument.
I stocked up in November 2018 after watching this video in October 2018.... Glad I did as in March 2020 in the panic buying I did not have to worry in getting toilet rolls. Now I am starving as got no food, and all I have is these sodding toilet rolls.
@@pqrstzxerty1296 What a maroon
All these incredibly intelligent and talented people who have spent their lives working on these sorts of issues, almost entirely ignored when the time came to listen to them :(
Who gives a video like this a dislike?! There is nothing to like or dislike about facts. Just absorb them.
Uhm . . .uhm . . .uhm . . .
coronavirus?
I like 👍 this comment!
Best comment I read
Lazy kids doing a school report?
Thank you so much for your work, Professor Piot, and thanks too to the Royal Institution for filming and communicating such superb lectures. It is always a pleasure - as a lay-person - to hear deeply technical research being so clearly conveyed.
Nope :( We also have the “its just like having a cold” demographic....
Denial is a powerful force that makes people believe and say very strange things indeed. If you find that demographic infuriating, just wait until a vaccine is developed. There will be people who will refuse to be inoculated because of conspiracy theories. As vaccines largely rely on herd immunity, those fools will hurt us all.
@@uptown3636 There's not going to be a vaccine. Common cold has no vaccine yet, SARS has no vaccine. With people getting reinfected with NCIV-19, a vaccine isn't going to be possible. If anything, this disease might be the death to the vaccine paradigm, as people get a different attitude completely to behavior that lead to infections in the first place.
@@grimfpv292 No virus of these proportions has ever roamed the Earth since the 1918 pandemic. Since then we have developed anti-viral medications etc., did you ever stop to think that maybe there's no vaccine for SARS and other viruses because there simply was no need for one? SARS, MERS, Ebola and so on were all contained locally and didn't spread globally like SARS-NCoV-2, therefore it was easier to contain. This virus has an incredible infectious potential, which is why it is such a big deal.
@@meandnoother Won't matter if the immune-system can't keep a record of the pathogen for more than weeks or months. People are getting reinfected already.
@@grimfpv292 There's no proof of reinfection by this virus yet. There was one case where someone was infected, recovered and got sick again. But the virologists think that the virus was still in their system from the earlier infection.
*waves sadly out the window to 2018 while self-isolating in 2020*
Currently living the experiment that empirically answers the headline.
TH-cam algorithm likes to rub to my face that none of us were really ready.
Remember not to touch your face though...
@@user-sd7hh8ek1c Will do, thank you. Currently in lock down. Groceries set up for pickup or delivery. Nothing has hiked my washing compulsions more than this crisis. Hope you and yours are safe and healthy.
AI that likes to torment us.. bad start
Please do not upload "Are we ready for the next world war" cause I don't
😂
They upload it, and then one year later...
@Heragoth 😅😂😂😂
Short answer: we are not ready at all, for everything: hungry, diseases, genocides, wars...
I went to this talk... never thought it would be so relevant
"Gee. I wonder why this is being recommended in March of 2020."
and now april 2020
An excellent talk to spend an hour of “social/physical distancing” time. So much of what he said was prophetic. But he also gives a fascinating historical overview of epidemics. If you’re short of time, skip to minute 39 and watch the rest. (But the whole thing is well worth your time; watch it twice!).
Help! The TH-cam algorithm has become sentient and has developed a snarky sense of humor!!
So, in summary (55:30): the risk of future epidemics is increasing.
- most important is the capacity for local, early detection and early response
- the WHO is not "fit for purpose" and needs to become far more responsive
- need to engage with people on the ground
- governments and scientists need to share information in epidemics
- need a system for developing therapies and vaccines where there is no market incentive.
Too bad no one took this seriously.
it's cool, the world values 100x more a football player than a researcher... we totally deserve it
I read in a Greek news site that a Spanish biochemist spoke to the media about a possible cure and said I'm getting paid 1800 per month. Go to Ronaldo and Messi that get a million per month for a cure
not all WE
Really appreciate this knowledge being given freely thank you 👍
The economic impact of COVID-19 is going to be insane. I'm deeply concerned.
I hope all the people commenting on the YT algo serving this up now are actually WATCHING the video, and not just making smartass remarks. This is information that needs to be spread around!
No this is information that should have already been known...but people are too worried about their selfies and online bullying classmates and making a quick buck that everyone is oblivious...it disgusts me that everyone is caught so off guard when this has been a topic of science talks for the last few years
Is this supposed to be funny?
TH-cam: yes
Loved working with this guy.
Hopefully this time people will remember and act accordingly...
This highly intelligent man predicted this to the letter.
Look at the expression on his face in the thumbnail! He knows darn well we are not ready!
What a fantastic presentation. Thank you, Dr. Piot, for sharing your knowledge with us.
I found it very interesting and relevant to my searches and videos I watch.
Oh good, the algorithms are waking up...
We think we are so advanced with all the technology, research facilities and education. And we can’t even protect the healthcare workers nor the general public with enough PPE’s.
WE could. Tories don't
Great man. Thanks!
Frustrating that no leaders ever listen.
Frustrating that people never vote for the right leaders.
You see what I did? I did some senseless blaming too!
I also came here to say NO.
Well, whoever ignored this guy is to blame.
Thank you. Much appreciated. MA-USA
Fascinating. Many thanks.
Fascinating speaker. It was riveting!
No he isn't.
@@undergroundfamous264 why wasn't he underground famous? Was there something you perhaps didn't understand?
Underground Famous - he made some good points though. Hi from March 2020
This video got a huge boom on clicks. One could say it got....
.......viral.
like a virus
Get out ^^
Great review. Very relevant to today's pandemic.
Good info. Thanks.
With travel & other factors speeding up the spread up pandemics & the length of time needed to spool up production of many desperately needed items, pandemics are "come as you are" events.
and we didnt eed his word for covid 19 and we are all over the place now. Govts are way too slow in reacting.
Fantastic speaker .congratulations Doctor Piot
seeing how we are currently in one and how we are dealing with it I would say no we were and still are not ready
This is the Army of the “12 Monkeys” attacking us for real
1 year after upload: Absofuckinglutly not.
I haven't seen this yet. Nobody post any spoilers.
I understand a lot of you are angry, mostly because of the title, but we really should thank people like him have been fighting against unknown diseases since long ago.
I kept forgetting this was from a year ago. So current.
In 100 years from now, some professor will be talking about how quickly pandemics can spread from planet to planet
In 100 years no professor will say anything
Western Abrahamic greco roman culture is linear in behaviour and thinking ,totally out of sync with the cyclical construct of the cosmos . Both cant survive together one will have to go. Will the cosmos survive ?
Interesting. I see here that S. Korea had experience with MERS and learnt from it. So far with Covid-19, after 13 days they are the first to get some kind control of it. All the others are taking 30 days.
"All the others" dont have the discipline
Well, here we are.
Great delivery
That has aged well
I’m from the future. NO. DEF NOT PREPARED AT ALL.
It fascinating to find out just how impactful human behavior is in the spread of viruses. As always, variety is helpful. But you can have a perfect storm too.
lost two great grandparents who were London cockneys.
My Grandfather was 6 months old, raised in Oxford.
Kilroy was here.
10:02 He explains the importance of masks in one simple statement: "people wear them not to protect themselves, but to protect others." In other words, refusing to wear a mask during a pandemic is not an expression of individual liberty but a reckless and selfish disregard for the health of everyone else.
Keep wearing your mask forever then. There will never be a "responsible" time to take it off, as you will always risk infecting others with viruses that they might be vulnerable to.
@@Tom_Quixote I'm baffled that I have to keep pointing this out. But here goes: Covid is not like other viruses such as colds or even the flu. It's much more dangerous and has the potential to overwhelm our healthcare facilities (as we saw at the beginning of the pandemic). So, no people don't need to continue wearing masks indefinitely. They should consider staying home from work if they're sick and perhaps getting a flu shot every year. I thought it would be obvious by now that Covid is not like other viruses we typically deal with. But I guess not.
Maybe next time we will listen (hopefully)
Really well thought out talk that made me a little less cynical about people.
59:40 is a warning about a big epidemic of a respiratory virus, almost as if he knew what would happen.
Turns out were really not.
This is 2021. We were not ready
I watched this when it came out last year. And now I'm watching again like😷