@georgialerangis2123 Wicked has all the potential to win here, it's a popular musical adapted from the Broadway show, it has every right to win when you see the other nominees.
@georgialerangis2123 History could repeat itself tonight at the globes. Adrien Brody wins for actor and Wicked is Chicago 2.0 and wins Best Picture. I'm calling it now, fingers crossed 🤞🏻.
A few weeks ago I predicted Deadwyler and Ellis-Taylor missing BAFTA (still thought they'd at least get longlisted) which would create a path for Gomez at the Oscars. Gomez is likely getting GG, SAG, and BAFTA (and Cannes) which I think makes her a strong number 6. If the Academy likes 'Emilia Perez' as much as I think they will, they could over-nominate it and then it's just a matter of waiting for weakness from Rossellini, Qualley, and Jones. Deadwyler seems to be done, sadly, but I can still see a surprise nomination for Ellis-Taylor if 'Nickel Boys' overperforms.
After watching “Anora” for the first time the other night. LET MIKEY SWEEP TO OSCAR! I would not be mad about it but I can see a world where Demi is breathing down her neck all awards season.
You're forgetting June Squibb. SAG are mostly actors who have been around a long time and have not gotten much recognition. They identify ahd root for someone who's paid her dues.
Sag Ensemble: A Complete Unknown Conclave Emilia Perez Sing Sing Wicked It might be crazy but they love those August Wilson movies so don't be surprised if Piano Lesson gets it, I'm sorry but I'm feeling an Anora miss especially after the globes Lead Actress: Cynthia Erivo Karla Sofia Gascon Nicole Kidman Mikey Madison Demi Moore Lead Actor: Adrien Brody Timothee Chalamet Colman Domingo Ralph Fiennes Sebastian Stan? I don't know who is number 5 Supporting Actress: Danielle Deadwyler Selena Gomez Ariana Grande Margaret Qualley Zoe Saldana Was considering Jones and Rossellini but after the globes it's clear Perez is crazy strong so I'm going to predict Gomez Supporting Actor Kieran Culkin Clarence Maclin Edward Norton Guy Pearce Denzel Washington
I'm sorry, would anyone explain to me why Timmy has the higher chance of winning the best actor against Adrien Brody or Ralph Fiennes? Also, since I've learned that SAG and Oscars are in correlated, does that mean winning in SAG boosted the chance of taking the Oscar home?
Critics Choice is the one Ariana has to win. No oscar win if she can't win there. I do like Deadwyler getting in. I think Gomez gets in too. This is the one Qualley misses. And I think Felicity Jones misses again. And tbh. Her campaign is dead. Felicity Jones will also miss on BAFTA. And then she won't suddenly be there at the Oscar's. It's over for her imo.
They think that because she's a pop star, it means she has less of a chance. Mikey Madison has only been in Scream 2022 which is all people really know of her. The globes have been accused of being non-dei in the past couple of years and now that's about to change. I'm predicting or Erivo and Grande specifically because of the strength of wicked as a film and how much the critics choice love this film. Anora is definitely not getting a nomination for SAG ensemble, this is Wicked's to win easily. Cynthia Erivo something in the industry longer than she has, heightening the gravitas of the acting race in a way where she is the clear front runner, despite Madison winning the most critics awards. It's going to go all the way left to Wicked's favor following months, I'm predicting that.
They are not giving Wicked 3 awards. If Cynthia Erivo & Ariana Grande win individually then they will go with something else for Ensemble. Supporting I'm going with Zoe Saldana (she's been around much longer & is more established) & Kieran Culkin because he will have TV support. Actor I'm definitely going with Timothee Chalamet. Actress for this body is between Mikey Madison & Cynthia Erivo. If Anora is indeed the front runner for Best Picture, the acting branch will reward it somewhere. If Anora doesn't win anything here with the largest branch then it clearly isn't the Best Picture front runner. It will either break like this; Erivo wins actress & Anora ensemble or Madison wins actress & Wicked wins ensemble. If Emilia Perez gets 3 individual acting nominations, then it will be nominated for ensemble but won't win it. If for some reason Gascon & Gomez both miss then I think that might point to an Emilia Perez ensemble win.
They might, Les Mis won 3 awards and so did Chicago and West Side Story. It's not uncommon for musical adaptations to win big at the Golden Globes. They could pull dramatic upsets because of the international appeal of Wicked in the UK and general reception on both sides being so strong that it overpowers the others. I feel like Universal wants to give the NBC broadcasted Globes the Wicked celebration it's craving because universal owns both Oppenheimer and Wicked and is secretly backing Wicked's campaign which is non-stop throughout the season.
@@AntsTheaterCorner2698 These are the SAG predictions. Oppenheimer did win 3 times last year but Wicked isn't Oppenheimer, it's not the Oscar front runner.
@@RodneyDollar What i'm saying is in crowded, competitive categories such as Actress & Supporting Actress they might omit individual nominations for Gascon & Gomez and reward them under the ensemble award instead. It would be highly unusual for a foreign film like Emilia Perez to receive 3 individual acting nominations, a potential win for Saldana & the win for Ensemble. Oppenheimer did it with 3 acting nominations, 2 acting wins & ensemble last year, but Emilia Perez isn't Oppenheimer, it isn't the Oscar front runner.
Demi Moore deserves a nomination. She is great. But I don't think she beats Mikey Madison or Marianne Jean Baptiste in many ways. I saw The Substance again last night and I feel like if she had a bit more screen time, i would have surely put her at top. It's undeniable she's amazing. But to win an Oscar, you always need a bit more.
Thanks for not putting Nicole in your top 5 Hope you eat your word when the nominations are out Baby girl not doing well at box office? Well, in the US domestic box office, the substance only get around 16 millions with 105 days in theatre, Anora getting at around 14 million for 77 days in theatre, while baby girl getting around 13 millions for being only 15 days in the theatre
The singing and dancing in wicked beats by a large margin the performances in emilia perez. I think that y’all are underestimating wicked because it has slightly "less" serious tone than Emilia Perez which by no means makes it a worse movie
@@mayelHorly You're right. I agree with you wholeheartedly. Wicked had four Superior choreography and sung and dance scenes. Plus, the songs were much better and more memorable. The emotion felt real and nothing felt like it was hammered in. And it had tons of light-hearted comedy, but it was also very serious and it knew when to take itself seriously. If Chicago can win all three Globes, Wicked will have no issues, especially considering the casting of Cynthia Erivo which is the strongest point of this film. This film has a powerful racial metaphor that will resonate with international voters, especially considering the other two of this category are the Barbie of the group, complete with the most nominations, just like Barbie. EP could possibly walk away with one win for song and the other with nothing. Wicked is a musical adaptation and those do very well at the globes, especially with the international voting pool. Remember poor things? That was a dark comedy and fantasy. Wicked is a fantasy that also has comedic elements and dramatic elements, it's also the most memorable Musical in this category and might cause a massive upset. Let's be really here, The film with the most Globe nominations never wins all or even any of them. Just cuz international support is high for EP doesn't mean it will do anything. It just means it was eligible for more, meanwhile, the musical adaptation that is possibly the biggest film of the year, not according to box office. Anyway, that film will pave the path for the Oscars and dominate the competition by my way of view. No one is talking about EP unless it's internationally and most people that talk about it, especially the critics really hate it. Despite all the nominations, it will come out as the Barbie of the group and just fall flat as the season goes on. It may not even get a sag nomination at this point if the Critics Choice Awards didn't enjoy them much. The CCA's Don't really feel like the best metric to predict the Oscars, but this is an award season unlike any other. There really is no clear front-runner and it could be a bunch of unexpected surprises that we never expected. I'm excited to see what happens and I know that Wicked is going to pull through in the end. The sequel will also pull through, it's just too popular and successful on all fronts for anyone, even Awards voters to escape from. They can't resist films like this, believe me. Chicago did it and this one will do it too, 🤞🏻
Emilia Perez is winning here. I don't think Wicked can win anymore. It's losing steam within industry. Emilia Perez is dominating nominations in casting and Ensemble everywhere. It even won at a few places. Wicked is only showing prospect in Best Supporting actress, Production Design and Costume Designs.
Demi Moore is sweeping now btw
And Zoe won’t
Si
I think Wicked could do great here winning for Ensemble, Erivo and Grande and getting a Bailey nom
Grande is a joke, she is i----mitating chenoweth in wicked itsweird.
WICKED
MOORE
CHALAMET
GRANDE
CULKIN
Spread the word.
My exact winner list🥳😎
@georgialerangis2123 Wicked has all the potential to win here, it's a popular musical adapted from the Broadway show, it has every right to win when you see the other nominees.
@georgialerangis2123 History could repeat itself tonight at the globes. Adrien Brody wins for actor and Wicked is Chicago 2.0 and wins Best Picture. I'm calling it now, fingers crossed 🤞🏻.
Not of that is happening besides culkin 😂😂
Antony your enthusiasm for Wicked is infectious!! I love it!!
It’s wild that people are still doubting Demi Moore/The Substance
I am predicting Ariana Grande. :)
😂no
So glad you two are back, guiding us through the season! ❤
I just want Marianne Jean-Baptiste to get nominated. If she gets nominated then I will be happy and I wouldn't care who else is nominated
I feel good about the acting races, but i have no clue what's winning ensemble
Wicked
Wicked ensemble
Feel Demi Moore could take actress
Emilia Perez
@@RodneyDollarIf Wicked wins ensemble, Erivo wins actress and Grande wins Supporting actress.
My surprise predictions: Piano Lesson in Ensemble and Anora misses, Josh O’Connor in supporting, and Adams in lead
I think you might be wrong in thinking Zoe will sweep
She's not going to sweep like Da'Vine Joy Randolph, already I'm almost sure she doesn't win the Critic choice
@@glbay9046I don’t know if Zoe is even going to get bafta
@ For the Bafta it will be played between her and Isabella Rossellini (they seem to have liked conclave)
@@glbay9046that’s what I’m feeling don’t know if Emilia Perez will win anything at SAGS
@@glbay9046I'm predicting Grande for critics choice.
A few weeks ago I predicted Deadwyler and Ellis-Taylor missing BAFTA (still thought they'd at least get longlisted) which would create a path for Gomez at the Oscars. Gomez is likely getting GG, SAG, and BAFTA (and Cannes) which I think makes her a strong number 6. If the Academy likes 'Emilia Perez' as much as I think they will, they could over-nominate it and then it's just a matter of waiting for weakness from Rossellini, Qualley, and Jones. Deadwyler seems to be done, sadly, but I can still see a surprise nomination for Ellis-Taylor if 'Nickel Boys' overperforms.
Fernanda torres
My big swing is that Gascon AND Jolie miss in favor for Amy Adams and Nicole Kidman
Yes. Category fraud with a trans-actress.
i'm feeling a surprise o'connor or tyree henry nom here
After watching “Anora” for the first time the other night. LET MIKEY SWEEP TO OSCAR! I would not be mad about it but I can see a world where Demi is breathing down her neck all awards season.
You're forgetting June Squibb. SAG are mostly actors who have been around a long time and have not gotten much recognition. They identify ahd root for someone who's paid her dues.
Fernanda Torres also deserves this recognition from Sag for her incredible role in I'm still here
SAG hates International Films
Same for PGA
Sag can go to Demi Moore cause Emily Blunt won a horror there.
I thought these recommendations were really bad. There were a lot of incredible films and actors missing.
Sag Ensemble:
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Emilia Perez
Sing Sing
Wicked
It might be crazy but they love those August Wilson movies so don't be surprised if Piano Lesson gets it, I'm sorry but I'm feeling an Anora miss especially after the globes
Lead Actress:
Cynthia Erivo
Karla Sofia Gascon
Nicole Kidman
Mikey Madison
Demi Moore
Lead Actor:
Adrien Brody
Timothee Chalamet
Colman Domingo
Ralph Fiennes
Sebastian Stan?
I don't know who is number 5
Supporting Actress:
Danielle Deadwyler
Selena Gomez
Ariana Grande
Margaret Qualley
Zoe Saldana
Was considering Jones and Rossellini but after the globes it's clear Perez is crazy strong so I'm going to predict Gomez
Supporting Actor
Kieran Culkin
Clarence Maclin
Edward Norton
Guy Pearce
Denzel Washington
Not ariana😂
I'm sorry, would anyone explain to me why Timmy has the higher chance of winning the best actor against Adrien Brody or Ralph Fiennes?
Also, since I've learned that SAG and Oscars are in correlated, does that mean winning in SAG boosted the chance of taking the Oscar home?
Sight unseen, kind of hoping for wicked to win best picture. Not excited about anything else.
I think the campaign of Selena Gomez is dependent on a nomination from SAG. If she misses here; it is hard to imagine an Oscar nom.
She won't get sag nominations. EP is not getting a SAG nomination.
She deserves no nominations her performance was horrible.
@@perryjones7771 Can't wait to dread watching that film.
Critics Choice is the one Ariana has to win. No oscar win if she can't win there.
I do like Deadwyler getting in. I think Gomez gets in too. This is the one Qualley misses. And I think Felicity Jones misses again. And tbh. Her campaign is dead. Felicity Jones will also miss on BAFTA. And then she won't suddenly be there at the Oscar's. It's over for her imo.
Why does newcomer work against Ariana but not Mikey Maddison
They think that because she's a pop star, it means she has less of a chance. Mikey Madison has only been in Scream 2022 which is all people really know of her. The globes have been accused of being non-dei in the past couple of years and now that's about to change. I'm predicting or Erivo and Grande specifically because of the strength of wicked as a film and how much the critics choice love this film. Anora is definitely not getting a nomination for SAG ensemble, this is Wicked's to win easily. Cynthia Erivo something in the industry longer than she has, heightening the gravitas of the acting race in a way where she is the clear front runner, despite Madison winning the most critics awards. It's going to go all the way left to Wicked's favor following months, I'm predicting that.
They are not giving Wicked 3 awards. If Cynthia Erivo & Ariana Grande win individually then they will go with something else for Ensemble. Supporting I'm going with Zoe Saldana (she's been around much longer & is more established) & Kieran Culkin because he will have TV support. Actor I'm definitely going with Timothee Chalamet. Actress for this body is between Mikey Madison & Cynthia Erivo. If Anora is indeed the front runner for Best Picture, the acting branch will reward it somewhere. If Anora doesn't win anything here with the largest branch then it clearly isn't the Best Picture front runner. It will either break like this; Erivo wins actress & Anora ensemble or Madison wins actress & Wicked wins ensemble. If Emilia Perez gets 3 individual acting nominations, then it will be nominated for ensemble but won't win it. If for some reason Gascon & Gomez both miss then I think that might point to an Emilia Perez ensemble win.
🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄
Emilia Perez won’t win ensemble if it just wins one acting sorry
They might, Les Mis won 3 awards and so did Chicago and West Side Story. It's not uncommon for musical adaptations to win big at the Golden Globes. They could pull dramatic upsets because of the international appeal of Wicked in the UK and general reception on both sides being so strong that it overpowers the others. I feel like Universal wants to give the NBC broadcasted Globes the Wicked celebration it's craving because universal owns both Oppenheimer and Wicked and is secretly backing Wicked's campaign which is non-stop throughout the season.
@@AntsTheaterCorner2698 These are the SAG predictions. Oppenheimer did win 3 times last year but Wicked isn't Oppenheimer, it's not the Oscar front runner.
@@RodneyDollar What i'm saying is in crowded, competitive categories such as Actress & Supporting Actress they might omit individual nominations for Gascon & Gomez and reward them under the ensemble award instead. It would be highly unusual for a foreign film like Emilia Perez to receive 3 individual acting nominations, a potential win for Saldana & the win for Ensemble. Oppenheimer did it with 3 acting nominations, 2 acting wins & ensemble last year, but Emilia Perez isn't Oppenheimer, it isn't the Oscar front runner.
Demi Moore deserves a nomination. She is great. But I don't think she beats Mikey Madison or Marianne Jean Baptiste in many ways. I saw The Substance again last night and I feel like if she had a bit more screen time, i would have surely put her at top. It's undeniable she's amazing. But to win an Oscar, you always need a bit more.
Demi Moore is my third pick for best actress
Anora is overrated.
Agreed. Wicked and Demi Moore, imo, are going to win😎🥳
Emilia perez is a stronger film than wicked is the craziest take… but we value opinions 🤪
Thanks for not putting Nicole in your top 5
Hope you eat your word when the nominations are out
Baby girl not doing well at box office?
Well, in the US domestic box office, the substance only get around 16 millions with 105 days in theatre, Anora getting at around 14 million for 77 days in theatre, while baby girl getting around 13 millions for being only 15 days in the theatre
That stupid guy with glasses hates Nicole Kidman.
Gurl...Selena Gómez cant act her scenes are CRINGEEEE
Saying Ariana grande is gonna win anything but a tie for critics choice is crazy yall need let the Stan brain go Zoe deserves this
She is going to win everything. A much better performance by far.
Zoe gave the better performance. Her singing and dancing is just something else.
The singing and dancing in wicked beats by a large margin the performances in emilia perez. I think that y’all are underestimating wicked because it has slightly "less" serious tone than Emilia Perez which by no means makes it a worse movie
@@mayelHorly You're right. I agree with you wholeheartedly. Wicked had four Superior choreography and sung and dance scenes. Plus, the songs were much better and more memorable. The emotion felt real and nothing felt like it was hammered in. And it had tons of light-hearted comedy, but it was also very serious and it knew when to take itself seriously. If Chicago can win all three Globes, Wicked will have no issues, especially considering the casting of Cynthia Erivo which is the strongest point of this film. This film has a powerful racial metaphor that will resonate with international voters, especially considering the other two of this category are the Barbie of the group, complete with the most nominations, just like Barbie. EP could possibly walk away with one win for song and the other with nothing. Wicked is a musical adaptation and those do very well at the globes, especially with the international voting pool. Remember poor things? That was a dark comedy and fantasy. Wicked is a fantasy that also has comedic elements and dramatic elements, it's also the most memorable Musical in this category and might cause a massive upset. Let's be really here, The film with the most Globe nominations never wins all or even any of them. Just cuz international support is high for EP doesn't mean it will do anything. It just means it was eligible for more, meanwhile, the musical adaptation that is possibly the biggest film of the year, not according to box office. Anyway, that film will pave the path for the Oscars and dominate the competition by my way of view. No one is talking about EP unless it's internationally and most people that talk about it, especially the critics really hate it. Despite all the nominations, it will come out as the Barbie of the group and just fall flat as the season goes on. It may not even get a sag nomination at this point if the Critics Choice Awards didn't enjoy them much. The CCA's Don't really feel like the best metric to predict the Oscars, but this is an award season unlike any other. There really is no clear front-runner and it could be a bunch of unexpected surprises that we never expected. I'm excited to see what happens and I know that Wicked is going to pull through in the end. The sequel will also pull through, it's just too popular and successful on all fronts for anyone, even Awards voters to escape from. They can't resist films like this, believe me. Chicago did it and this one will do it too, 🤞🏻
Emilia Perez is winning here. I don't think Wicked can win anymore. It's losing steam within industry. Emilia Perez is dominating nominations in casting and Ensemble everywhere. It even won at a few places. Wicked is only showing prospect in Best Supporting actress, Production Design and Costume Designs.