Forgive a beginner's question: What about taking sure winners then losing the lead and trying for the King afterward? There will be 4 hearts out at that point. The only way I think we'd lose the King would be if one of the opponents has all four hearts (which are the same odds as one of them having all four clubs). But in addition - the lead would have to end up in the non-heart opponent hand, so they could then run all 4 remaining non-heart cards and force dummy to discard King. These odds seem more favorable (the current 10% chance of having all four but in addition, just a 50/50 chance of them ending up with the lead in the correct hand). What am I missing? Thanks for your patience, and for the video. So after taking sure winners there are 5 cards/hand, 4 hearts out. I give away lead, there are now 4 cards/hand, with 4 hearts out. At this point, a heart can never be led else I win the King. The only way a heart can never be led is if whatever opponent hand wins the lead, they have all remaining non-heart cards - the odds of which are slimmer than the odds shown in the video. Forgive me if I'm missing something obvious, and thank you for the videos. Thanks! :)
Hi Mark. First, never hesitate to ask me a question. It’s a great way to learn. Second, here is the problem: your opponents can see the King in dummy and will throw away their hearts on other tricks whenever they get the chance. There are only 4 clubs out, so as you win your three, at least one of them will throw away all their hearts. Also, once you lose the lead, your opponents will win the remaining tricks between them. It’s unlikely that one of them will win them all. This gives them another chance to discard hearts. There is a chance your strategy could work, but it is very small, especially against good opponents. I hope this helps. Cheers.
@@jadbridge Thanks so much for your prompt reply. That never even occurred to me (even though you said at 3:40 - "you're only hope is your opponent leads a heart, which I am certain they will not do" - I didn't take it to the logical step, as in "they'll surely dump hearts when possible"). That's great. I knew I was overlooking something obvious.
Very patiently explained. 6C can make but not easy to reach it.
Hi. Yes, finding a 6C contract would take some great partnership bidding.
Brilliant!!!
Hi JD. Managing entries can be vital. Sounds like you are having fun while learning a few things.
Forgive a beginner's question: What about taking sure winners then losing the lead and trying for the King afterward? There will be 4 hearts out at that point. The only way I think we'd lose the King would be if one of the opponents has all four hearts (which are the same odds as one of them having all four clubs). But in addition - the lead would have to end up in the non-heart opponent hand, so they could then run all 4 remaining non-heart cards and force dummy to discard King. These odds seem more favorable (the current 10% chance of having all four but in addition, just a 50/50 chance of them ending up with the lead in the correct hand). What am I missing? Thanks for your patience, and for the video. So after taking sure winners there are 5 cards/hand, 4 hearts out. I give away lead, there are now 4 cards/hand, with 4 hearts out. At this point, a heart can never be led else I win the King. The only way a heart can never be led is if whatever opponent hand wins the lead, they have all remaining non-heart cards - the odds of which are slimmer than the odds shown in the video. Forgive me if I'm missing something obvious, and thank you for the videos. Thanks! :)
Hi Mark. First, never hesitate to ask me a question. It’s a great way to learn. Second, here is the problem: your opponents can see the King in dummy and will throw away their hearts on other tricks whenever they get the chance. There are only 4 clubs out, so as you win your three, at least one of them will throw away all their hearts. Also, once you lose the lead, your opponents will win the remaining tricks between them. It’s unlikely that one of them will win them all. This gives them another chance to discard hearts. There is a chance your strategy could work, but it is very small, especially against good opponents. I hope this helps. Cheers.
@@jadbridge Thanks so much for your prompt reply. That never even occurred to me (even though you said at 3:40 - "you're only hope is your opponent leads a heart, which I am certain they will not do" - I didn't take it to the logical step, as in "they'll surely dump hearts when possible"). That's great. I knew I was overlooking something obvious.