LARRY WILLIAMS: Dow 40k, Cycle Analysis, and Lessons Learned
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 15 มิ.ย. 2024
- 05.16.24: Legendary trader and author Larry Williams joins David Keller, CMT in the StockCharts TV studio. Larry shares his latest thoughts on Dow 40K, the resilient rise of gold and precious metals, cycle analysis on the S&P 500 and crude oil, and lessons learned in over 60 years as a trader. David highlights bearish momentum divergences for AMZN and DE, as how defensive sectors may yield insights on market rotation.
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00:00 - Intro
00:40 - Market Recap
07:55 - Meta (META), Amazon (AMZN)
09:29 - SPX Breadth by Cap Tiers ADLN - Cumulative Advance Decline Lines
10:36 - Consumer Discretionary Sector/Consumer Staples Sector (XLY:XLP)
11:45 - Applied Materials (AMAT), Deere & Company (DE)
14:27 - Larry Williams - The Markets and Lessons Learned
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Larry Williams always makes the journey better
You are not kidding D
How can I get Larry course
Love Larry Williams and listening to his wisdom! Thanks for having him on and asking great questions
Always nice listening Larry Williams. Such pleasure
What a pleasure to chat with one of the greats! D
Always a pleasure to listen to Larry Williams! Wonderful interview! Can you please invite him more often? Thank you so much!
It's so good to have Larry WIlliam on again. I have been following him since 2018.
Money management is the whole thing. And the first part of that is position sizing. Thank you for the explanation, Larry Williams!
And thanks to the host for the best question that prompted that response!
The legendary Larry Williams! What a treat. Thank you!
Larry is also one of the nicest guys ever. D
David - Excellent interview! You are so much better than the anchors of these so-called financial news channels. Thank you for bringing on the legendary Larry Williams.
Larry - Thank you for taking part in this interview! I have learned so much from watching your TH-cam videos and continue to do so. So, thank you again!
We love Larry Williams....we also love you to David :)
Feeling the love- thank you!! D
Larry is one of a kind. He will really help
I always learn something listening to Larry Williams. Thanks guys.
Awesome. Love every opportunity to glean from Mr. Larry Williams.
You and me both! Thanks for watching D
Well said: "Money management is emotional management." Buy three dips on July 4th, Labor Day, and Halloween Day. The broad indices of Dow Jones, S&P500, RSP, IWM are showing green lights. GL.
Love that quote. D
Larry is one of the best, precisely because he has a strong view but remains open to the possibility that he is wrong and is willing to move on. Love the piece on Bitcoin, too funny. Thanks Larry & Dave.
Larry is the G.O.A.T 📈 ❤
Larry is the best
Excellent show featuring two knowledgeable, clearly understandable, humble gentlemen. Keep up the good work!
Larry, Always good to see you, sir.
One of the greats! D
Larry Legend!
Great hearing from Larry.
Gold Nugget from Williams: Study your losing trades 💎
That was a great takeaway from this discussion. D
@@DKellerCMT 🙌
Great job gentlemen.
Legend🎉 insightful as always.
Glad to watch Larry Williams videos. I would like to know whether GLD is ready to short.
Terrific video
Great guest and great interview Dave (as always)
Agreed and thanks so much!! D
Larry Williams Sir is a legend very informative thanks D.
Legend. D
Add David Hunter, Insiidetrack, Signature FD and ITR ECONOMICS--- When all the stars 🌟 align... 🌈 💰
Always a pleasure to listen to Mr Larry Williams , a legend in trading . Where can we read about sample of Larry 's newsletter for stockcharts ..he seems to focus on stocks (only?) , the link gets you drectly to a trial with credit card needed.Does he mention comodities also for instance (in the monthly newsletter?)
@marsery We don't currently offer samples (looking into it!), but he absolutely covers commodities, cycles and stocks. Also, once a month he hosts his Family Gathering webinar, where he presents live to his subscribers. To see a general idea of what this webinar format looks like you can check out his previous specials on our channel, here's the playlist: th-cam.com/play/PLyNJu-3PikrRb9usHsiICHGI2-DDk-H99.html
@@StockChartsTV Thank you so much
As someone who is still relatively new to the Market and trading, how do you know when it's best to sell so to not lose all your gains? Or is it better to hold, and hope it'll go back up? I appreciate all the in depth analysis and how informative you and your channel are. It's definitely been helpful.
Great question! Will address on a future show and thanks for the kind words D
Great video interview with Larry. I watched twice and noticed you didn't mention the jobless claims numbers. Did I miss that ? Is the number important?
I would argue the reaction was priced into the market movements, and the specifics on jobs #s are better covered elsewhere! D
Tell em Larry.
Yea williams
Always enjoy your videos Dave. As for Larry, he makes sense with the money management and I know Larry is a legend but his past few cycles and trades he has brought up on Cramer's show have been 100% wrong with his cycles such as the FNGD and FNGU months ago and recently QQQ and SPY and NVDA all totally wrong. Not saying the guy is not an accomplished trader but today with J&J or Boeing right now makes no sense in my opinion but I do enjoy all your different guest's opinions so thank you for always having such a diverse range of guests. Enjoy your weekend.
The larry fans don't let little details like this get in the way
Thanks for the thoughtful comments! Pleasure to bring different perspectives. D
no one is always right....we did get a decline...not as much as i wanted ---but also showed when to expect the low Charts i sent to Cramer showed a low--buy point in mid May.
@@ireallytrade1 Hi Larry. Hey, I genuinely appreciate you taking the time to respond. Yeah, I agree, nobody is always right and nothing personal is meant but the past 9 months +- of your calls on Cramer and here have been pretty far off. The slight decline we got was far far off from the cycle Cramer showed for your work and your FNGD and FNGU calls were both far off and same with NVDA. Hey, listen, regardless you are much better of a trader than me and I follow all the "experts" on all the channels for many years and will keep watching you but as all of you guys say, this is for educational and entertainment purposes only. A sincere thank you again for taking the time to respond and I appreciate that. Have a good weekend.
great comment re studying losing trades
100% agreed D
❤nice
Larry has been a journalist in the past!
A trader and educator from the beginning! D
@@DKellerCMT Larry has been visual as a trader but this time was a journalist! Talk no charts!
i have my degree (BS) from U of Oregon but never was a reporter---
@@ireallytrade1 Markets from your perspective has always been visual! I am surprised you are talking markets in this instance like a reported! Where are your charts?
@felicitymabudusha Larry is a guest on this show, and it's an interview format. If you're interested in seeing his charts and presentations, you can check out his Focus on Stocks/Family Gathering service on our site where he covers stocks, commodities and cycles in depth for his subscribers: www.stockcharts.com/larrywilliams
Will the Hang Seng Index (HSI) of Hong Kong ALSO FOLLOW THE US BULL MARKET??? To a T?
Larry I love you but I pay with crypto in shops all the time. You're behind brother. Larry is a legend and I subscribe to all of his services but on crypto it's time for the new generation to take over.
Crypto is uncharted territory (pun intended) for many! D
you amay well be right still just dont get it.
Larry saying BTC will go down soon & short will be my final gauge of the guy ……… clock’s ticking 🕛
How old is he now, feels like Lw been around since the 70s trading
Larry started trading in the 1960's. He shared some fantastic stories off camera. D
i'm 82 in october
[1M] SPY linear chart. Oct 2022 low to July 2023 high = X. Oct 2023 low + X ==> Mar 2024 high. Can it go higher on the log chart : yes. [1M] RSI was never in bearish territory since Feb 2009.
I’m a huge Larry Williams fan, but I cringed when he said he was long TLT. Kind of took the shine off for me.
hey Doug thats whats great about thus business ---one of us will earn; the other learn Let;s check back end of June
Love you man!
I must have been paying and watching a different Larry as his 2024 predictions which I paid for called for a significant drop in late March or April. I didn't watch the video but honestly I wouldn't rely on his methods, too ethereal
hold on!!! the annual report started saying we are in a bull market PLEASE look at chart 8 in the report my Natural Cycle.
I’ll respectfully agree to disagree about the usefulness and my interpretation of the predictions
That's what I got from it as well.
Larry the Great : [1Y] SPX. 2012 flip. 2020 #9. 2024 #5. 2023 inside bar. Hikkaki risk. 2024 UT ? Dr RSI Resistance line : 1929 [H] to 1999 [C] . 1999 RSI : 97.10. [1Y] RSI never entered a bearish territory,. Not in 1932, or in 1973 nor in 2009. Can we move higher along this line : Yes !