$5,000 Bluff vs. Bart Hanson | Poker Vlog #92

แชร์
ฝัง
  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 3 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 183

  • @leehjones
    @leehjones 3 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    Love the b-roll at 14:20. Not enough dolphins in poker vlogs imo.
    Also glorious when you value bet the top pair on T7733 board, commentators all "only gets called by better", Cy calls with the ace-high and commentators say "targeting ace-high." Easy to commentate when you've seen what happened. Well played, and your analysis is brilliant.

  • @Irka4UDO
    @Irka4UDO 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Mariano, you are playing on a level where I find myself watching your vlog not for amusement but to learn and adopt your deductive approach. Kudos and thank you. It’s cool you don’t lose it when losing big.

  • @welcometoukraine3839
    @welcometoukraine3839 3 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    You played really well this time, Rampage will never make such great folds as you did with Q9, TT, weak trips in PLO. Knowledge when to fold will save you plenty amount of money on a distance

  • @Anthonywisniewski824
    @Anthonywisniewski824 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Are you selling shares?

  • @chrisleos1235
    @chrisleos1235 3 ปีที่แล้ว +64

    Again, a girlfriend who smiles when you announce a 15k loss, in my day, the girls got pissed even when you won! Oh how times have changed

    • @BrianM216
      @BrianM216 3 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Dude is obviously able to punt that kind of money away though, I'm sure it would be different if he only had 30k or under in savings

    • @chrisleos1235
      @chrisleos1235 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@BrianM216 That's a question I always ask myself, where it all comes from, I'm sure they all have different sources, nice work if you can get it.

    • @chrisleos1235
      @chrisleos1235 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @Anon What about 10 losing sessions, in a row, 😂

    • @BrianM216
      @BrianM216 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@chrisleos1235 lol right? Shit doesn't grow on trees

    • @joshk300
      @joshk300 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      😆 😆 😆

  • @nuenen75ehv76
    @nuenen75ehv76 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Westerdam Rotterdam Holland

  • @DavidB01234
    @DavidB01234 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Do they have poker tables at the casino in the Carnival cruises ?

    • @biologistbill8949
      @biologistbill8949 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      An electronic table. It’s actually pretty nice.

  • @GotoyourhomeBall
    @GotoyourhomeBall 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Went from repping a set otf to repping a straight ott, capped it off by repping the flush otr. Nice story indeed.

    • @vinci1235
      @vinci1235 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      That’s not how poker works. Ranges do get narrower with every action, but this has nothing to do with the credibility of the story. Sure, sets wouldn’t value bet the river with this large size. But he is uncapped, whereas Bart isn’t. Great call by Bart, calling with two pair is not easy here. Vs population in general it’s a mistake, i’m sure.

    • @GotoyourhomeBall
      @GotoyourhomeBall 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@vinci1235 You know the lingo but are clueless. Bart is not capped. He 3bet pre and x/c x/c. He can have anything, sets, 8X turned straights, some XXss rivered flushes. Obv not the AsXs. Don’t talk poker with me you don’t know wtf you’re saying. HU 4 Rollz?

    • @vinci1235
      @vinci1235 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@GotoyourhomeBall Get off your high horse man. No need to insult. I’m no high stakes crusher and i’m aware of my own limititations. I did not say you are a bad poker player by the way, i just pointed out that your reasoning is flawed. No need to get butthurt, let’s discuss strategy instead. Your original comment makes no sense. Mariano was playing his range here, as all good players do. By the river he was only really representing a flushdraw that got there, you are right about that. Maybe he could value bet a straight there, given Bart’s light call it’s probably not a bad idea. IP you can put a lot of pressure on the 3bettor on this board so there is no point in checking with a flushdraw here at any point. Thus, the story is more than credible. River spots are highly polarized anyways. I highly recommend checking out CLP. Bart himself said in the analysis of this hand that the real mistake here was sizing. Mariano should have bet the turn larger so he could get the money in easier by the river. Or just overbet jam the river. Bart stated that he only called because of the relatively decent price. And Bart is definitely capped here. Not preflop, but his range does get more and more capped every street. There is no way he plays the top of his range as pure x/c x/c here. He does make sure that his call down range is reasonably protected, for sure. But when you compare both ranges and the lines taken it’s clear that Mariano has a higher % of nutted hands here.

    • @GotoyourhomeBall
      @GotoyourhomeBall 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@vinci1235Apologize if I insulted you. Yes turn sizing was awful, along with the 1/3rd flop stab. Bart 3b pre from sb and checks on 1076r. You’re really betting 1/3rd into him with any pair here? J10 ? A10? Bloating the pot with one pair vs a decent player who just 3b from the sb?We should have a ton of check backs otf. Want to run more bluffs vs a competent opponent? Check one street along the way and your end story starts to become more credible.

  • @havingfun3619
    @havingfun3619 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hopefully, the cruise was a success

  • @hashemqaz3582
    @hashemqaz3582 3 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Super player ... salut man. Though u lost a bunch of money , but you played excellent... The cards weren't in your favor

  • @asdfkljlkjdfkg2290
    @asdfkljlkjdfkg2290 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Your upswing will come in due time haha :)

  • @danielcontreras8745
    @danielcontreras8745 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Will you be in Vegas for edc weekend? If so let us know your hotels you’ll play at / schedule! Been dying to meet you!

  • @VitoC.
    @VitoC. 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Any plans to be at the Venetian this weekend?

  • @danielortiz8903
    @danielortiz8903 3 ปีที่แล้ว +51

    Finally one of you vloggers that doesn’t completely punt in the PLO bomb pots lol.

  • @OscarG396
    @OscarG396 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Loving your videos atm mate! Keep it up👏

  • @marjungamon1722
    @marjungamon1722 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    love seeing you play higher stakes mariano!

  • @w0ntuanASMR
    @w0ntuanASMR 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Good morning to all the degenerates 👍😬

  • @dondre36
    @dondre36 3 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    I have been waiting patiently! Bad run last few sessions but I still think your an amazing thinking player.

  • @hymnofashes
    @hymnofashes 3 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    Bart is probably thinking that with 2 nines and 2 tens accounted for, he's blocking a bunch of the combos containing an 8. You would have to have specifically T8 or 98 of diamonds. Or 88. Or 87s, 3 combos. 11 combos total. And with the spade out there being a king, it cuts down on the number of backdoor spade combos you could have such as KQss. I don't know if he thinks you would ever play a one-pair hand in this way, but if you did, he could beat those-- maybe you have a partial of AA you decided to raise-call and now you're trying to squeeze value from his broadway hands. But I think the blocker effects are more important, if he isn't calling off with this hand, what better calls can he have. As you observed he rarely has an 8 to call down with, and he won't have backed into too many flushes either. Once he calls the turn he's also unlikely to have a king unless he has KK.
    That specific king is unfortunately a hard card to fire a third barrel on because either you give him great pot odds with a small bet or you have to fire large and polarize yourself to something better than one pair. A pair of kings is not a hand you would expect to be good very often if you make a bet and get called. King-queen is a decent double-barrel candidate but would you range-merge by firing big with one pair on the river, trying to get looked up by QQ or JJ? The fact that it's a spade is important but the fact that it's a king is sort of bricky.
    In Torelli-land, I would say, what is your value, assuming you are polarized? 98s, 88, T8, and various flushes. So like, 11 combos of straights and ten-ish combos of flushes. 21-25 value combos, to be generous. But how much missed broadway containing the ace of spades do you have? 3 each of AQ and AJ, plus 3 combos of busted QJs not diamonds, and any other crap you show up with that you decide to bluff with. (pocket fives!) Maybe you start up a bluff with Q9s, pick up equity, and decide the nine is no good. He needs to be shown a bluff 30% of the time, and you are right around there even if you don't add in any of that other creative crap. And if you would ever go ultra-thin value with one pair that's even more reason to call.
    Of course he's probably going to call you given his specific holding and its blocker properties even if you choose a large size, but because you have the nut advantage in having all the straights and even more flushes (he has more big pairs that by definition can't make flushes, and more AKo because you 4-bet that) you might want to leverage this nut advantage by really dropping the hammer on the river. That lets you have more bluffs and still be balanced. If you make it $10,000 is he calling?
    this is easy for me to suggest that you do, since I make $10/hr playing $1/$2. You go bluff Bart Hanson with a massive size, you pussy.

    • @TauxWau
      @TauxWau 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Bart also suggested that the correct play was all-in on the river.

    • @edwardmauer7442
      @edwardmauer7442 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@TauxWau I agree. My first thought was to overbet the river. Overall though, I agree with Mariano's line and thinking. It's just unfortunate for Mariano that Bart happened to have what he had, a hand that blocks a lot of 8s. That said, if he shoved instead of just bet 5k, Bart would probably have to fold but who knows. T9 is like the best hand to bluff catch with there.

  • @marctrejo8428
    @marctrejo8428 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great Vlog Mariano. Its great that you show the hands that you lose and it shows that no one is invincible at the table. Just a bad day and move on to the next day or the next session.

  • @davethompson3140
    @davethompson3140 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Jeepers, my wife to be gave me an ultimatum after losing less than that but Mariano’s just smiles? How times have changed!

  • @FishPoker
    @FishPoker 3 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    I remember watching this AJ hand live, so brutal....none the less mad props for that play, u put a sick amount of pressure on Bart

  • @cancel12345
    @cancel12345 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Damn, was really lookin forward to that cruise review my guy

  • @cperalez
    @cperalez 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Best vlog ever. Nice to see HS. Keep on the good job

  • @cj7472
    @cj7472 3 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Are you still signed for the WSOP Main Event? When will that take place? Man, it’d be special to see you play in the biggest tournament of the year. Thanks for sharing.

    • @MarianoPoker
      @MarianoPoker  3 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      Yes

    • @cj7472
      @cj7472 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@MarianoPoker will it be possible to film and vlog any of the WSOP? I know we can see it through streaming, but it’d be fun to hear your thoughts on the event. It’d also be fun to hear Norman Chad give you an introduction. It’ll be fun to have an inside horse in the race. Best of luck.

    • @toad8681
      @toad8681 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@MarianoPoker I think Meagan is a keeper, Just saying...

    • @davethompson3140
      @davethompson3140 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@MarianoPoker Good luck and remember tourney play is a little different than cash…..protect your stack when up in tourney!!

  • @natashasauvage
    @natashasauvage 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Solid play as always!

  • @GarciaCapital
    @GarciaCapital 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Mariano I met you at Morongo casino a few weeks ago! I don’t know too much about poker but I was celebrating my bachelor party with a 5-10 NL.
    A super drunk guy sat next to me and basically verbally abused everyone at the table and you were a class act the entire time.
    Keep your head up these downswings will pass and you’ll be in an upswing in no time!

    • @MarianoPoker
      @MarianoPoker  3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Thanks Danny! Congrats on the marriage

  • @ilovebrandnewcarpets
    @ilovebrandnewcarpets 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    In the 108 hand where Mariano takes his opponent to value town- “you’re really only getting called by a full house” *opponent immediately calls with ace high*
    Imo Mariano is the best poker player that vlogs. Hands like that show why

  • @buk0100
    @buk0100 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    06:52 was this the right size for the river bluff? if you are always ahead then the only size should be all in. Then he really has a hard time to call.

    • @CertifiedSlamboy
      @CertifiedSlamboy 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Are you really gonna shove 3x pot with the value hands though? You need to balance it, right?

    • @buk0100
      @buk0100 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@CertifiedSlamboy the pot at the river was $6.6K. Bart had $12.4K left. So, if Mariano jams, he bets effectively $12.4K, or 1.88x the pot. He could bet less, say $8.5 K, but in the end he puts villain in a very tough spot, if he moves all in. Given the circumstances, table image, this move should be considered, yes.

  • @codytylerwright
    @codytylerwright 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi. New to your vlog, not new to grinding live cash games (MTTs bother me; sitting with any less than 300bb pains me). Fantastic production and editing. However what I like most is finally seeing someone vlog who plays similar to my style. It’s an easier watch and I find myself proud of your thin-value overbets. I appreciate your graphic template you have setup for hands that weren’t streamed. Although appropriate, it’s still funny how your template is set up in a heads-up format. If possible, it would be helpful as a viewer to see stack sizes, or at least eff stack sizes on these recreated hands. First thing I look at when entering a pot against any opponent is stack size. Having this info for the hand-breakdown is paramount information IMO. Looking forward to more of your vlogs. Run well sir.

  • @henrikbrun6562
    @henrikbrun6562 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks for the great content

  • @nyuvert
    @nyuvert 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    All your videos are awesome bro👌 and I enjoy watching every single one.keep it coming. Have a good day.

  • @justinchristensen1135
    @justinchristensen1135 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Good luck in Vegas!!!

  • @celli2191
    @celli2191 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Good thing going on a cruise with your girl bro after that huge loss way to take a step back and Breathe 🧘‍♀️

  • @Boxman911
    @Boxman911 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    There are always ups and downs with poker. I love your videos and you are a solid player!!
    Don’t deviate from your game, you will persevere the variance.

  • @kitbillion7783
    @kitbillion7783 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I think the AJ is a really reasonable river shove. Shoving J8s if in range, all the flushes and the few naked A spades combos sounds nice

  • @tavogp
    @tavogp 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Love the vlog amazing bluff

  • @clipsconfidential
    @clipsconfidential 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    best intros on yt

  • @stanvinken2786
    @stanvinken2786 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    The 10-8 value bet was great😎

  • @ELKORA2324
    @ELKORA2324 ปีที่แล้ว

    #92✅ the growth in your game is insane man so much motivation I’m inspired I had never played poker I came across one of your videos and was hooked I have now watched 1-92 and started playing myself can’t wait to see how good I can get 🎉

  • @healthyfood661
    @healthyfood661 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    very good folds.

  • @Ryanrob444
    @Ryanrob444 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great vlog bro! Way to not leave Megan bored! You and Rampage need to make a trip to New Orleans to play at Harrah’s and Beau Rivage Biloxi.

  • @jackscofield6299
    @jackscofield6299 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Is that a day to remember shirt?

  • @jamesbaldwin1952
    @jamesbaldwin1952 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Your videos are better then rampage 🤙🏻

  • @WalkorBikeinCities
    @WalkorBikeinCities 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great thanks for sharing another great video

  • @yanceyward3689
    @yanceyward3689 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Gotta applaud the bluff attempt. Hanson is probably the only player at that table who might have folded in that exact situation.

  • @paulhamilton5420
    @paulhamilton5420 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    When is the wedding?

  • @iphonelover4610
    @iphonelover4610 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Think the AJ hand is perfect spot to jam, you block nut flush and QJ, the size you bet isn’t really all that effective against any sets or 2 pair Bart has and jamming kinda just bins those hands.

    • @SeanBenson23
      @SeanBenson23 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      I disagree, because I don't think an 8 jams there

    • @gengjiangu7294
      @gengjiangu7294 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      I would overbet at that position, but considering the stack size, essentially jam.

    • @SeanBenson23
      @SeanBenson23 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@gengjiangu7294 you would do shit

  • @gs6810
    @gs6810 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Definitely not going out of my way to play against Bart. Game selection is a big part of being a profitable poker player, especially at the higher stakes.

  • @ryanlam9893
    @ryanlam9893 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I like your video cuz it does not always have to be about poker.

  • @johnbroski1993
    @johnbroski1993 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Good luck at the WSOP my dude

  • @runmachine23
    @runmachine23 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Good luck for the WSOP series who knows you might even bink a big tournament and recover all your losses. You actually played quite well during this Lodge stream. Don't beat yourself up too hard

  • @britthenley
    @britthenley 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I will be on carnival horizon December 5th

  • @sarahdeshay1394
    @sarahdeshay1394 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    “First world problems” very good point.

    • @well.thy.one.
      @well.thy.one. 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      First world status going bye bye soon enough

    • @well.thy.one.
      @well.thy.one. 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@joyride1598 tend to doubt it. Dollar wont last as world reserve currency which will decimate its value. We dont produce much, have a service based economy fueled by massive debt growth and speculation. It wont last, tables will turn.

  • @f0t0b0y
    @f0t0b0y 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Rampage would have called the all in on the last hand. 🤣

    • @wscmy123
      @wscmy123 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      he will nver check that flop.

    • @kukuchev711
      @kukuchev711 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@wscmy123 Checking this flop is bad specially with QQ. I agree checking it with KK or AA, less overcards then.

    • @wscmy123
      @wscmy123 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@kukuchev711 it‘s not that bad multiway/ low spr

  • @marcusrakyat8891
    @marcusrakyat8891 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks 🙏 to start your WSOP bracelet tournament. Do keep us updated.

  • @kinnialex
    @kinnialex 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Awwww, you and your gf are cute.

  • @markcarrion323
    @markcarrion323 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Marino let's see a couple PLO vlogs! As much of action you're im surprised you don't play PLO

  • @Twizzzz510
    @Twizzzz510 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Why you not showing all the punts at hustler 😭😭😭😭😂😂😂😂

    • @MarianoPoker
      @MarianoPoker  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Previous vlog

    • @MarianoPoker
      @MarianoPoker  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Ridingaroundandgettingit i always leave out hands that aren't worthy to include in vlogs

    • @rodneydaly2021
      @rodneydaly2021 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Ridingaroundandgettingit Well, if you want to hate or don't like the content then just stop watching!!

  • @DaveNash
    @DaveNash 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    love you broski, no matter what the mean comments say. would love to play with you one day

  • @jortiz2734
    @jortiz2734 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Going on a cruise ship for the first time next Wednesday 🙌🏻

  • @dennismassie3552
    @dennismassie3552 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    👋🏻Florida ☀️🌴🇺🇸

  • @scottmichaelson7378
    @scottmichaelson7378 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Definately feel you have the make up and stones, to play in high level cash games . Very entertaining video. Kerp them coming

  • @T-roc57
    @T-roc57 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Q9 on a KKQ board isn't a tight or painful fold.

  • @jonphanspromotions
    @jonphanspromotions 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I think he got a Jackpot.

  • @robertlewis7886
    @robertlewis7886 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I think your a little bit better then rampage but you guys are good.

  • @robloo1782
    @robloo1782 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Biggest gamble is going on carnival cruise. .ouch

  • @jamalsowell3650
    @jamalsowell3650 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I swear The Lodge is the cemetery for vloggers. I know it's not every single time. But I feel like everytime someone goes on stream they just get rolled over. Rampage, Mariano, Pokerbeast. Did RDP win Monday? Maybe he broke the curse

  • @timsullivan4566
    @timsullivan4566 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    "1st world problems" - good outlook :- ) Bye, Megan.

  • @VegasEbikes
    @VegasEbikes 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Some days the bluffs don't work they know you don't like to soow down or fold lol

  • @jayshah6032
    @jayshah6032 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Seems like all vlogger loose at live stream at the Lodge..!

  • @cuttingedgestainlesssteel6771
    @cuttingedgestainlesssteel6771 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    easy call,

  • @sidviciousentertainment7339
    @sidviciousentertainment7339 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Are you backed by anyone to play these stakes or is it your own $? If its your own money how did you build up the bankroll?

    • @MarianoPoker
      @MarianoPoker  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      It's my own money, Just poker

    • @Kennedysports90s
      @Kennedysports90s 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Im guessing the backing is the TH-cam Channel money.
      This guy is a cut above adv for a 2-5 player.
      Def getting in over your head in deepstack games vs better comp.
      But the channel pays!

  • @calvinandhobbesdk
    @calvinandhobbesdk 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Why are u deleting comments?

  • @robertbriggs501
    @robertbriggs501 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Good play, but playing with Bart is a mistake.

    • @beforelandx
      @beforelandx 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @Kazuya Mishima don't give nits action

    • @robertbriggs501
      @robertbriggs501 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @Kazuya Mishima Bart is a tough pro who has been grinding for years. Part of being a good player is knowing who to avoid.

  • @daniellefinley5770
    @daniellefinley5770 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    play big lose big! thought when the video first started you would never be able to bluff him! well watching the hand i started to get nervous because i thought he was 100% folding! great spot funny to watch bart go into the blender! thats why i love live poker! tells are important!

  • @davehuie7793
    @davehuie7793 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Wow you really taking a cruise at this time? With COVID? Yikes

    • @MarianoPoker
      @MarianoPoker  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      I'm vaccinated

    • @beforelandx
      @beforelandx 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      lol there's always a disease, can't let that stop you from living life

    • @cafferacer
      @cafferacer หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@MarianoPoker
      What a shocker. Hmmm what do boring sheep with trust fund poker bankrolls and “I’ve got a band” SoCal dudes do? They follow the mandates and do what they are told. You have zero creative dude, quit the band Ringo

  • @bigfanvideo140
    @bigfanvideo140 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    You better straight out your black pinky buddy mind, he is losing it.

  • @mycommentpwnz
    @mycommentpwnz 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Mathematically speaking, folding that trip 6 (@ 2:50) was the incorrect decision, assuming he had 7k (or more) remaining after his 2k turn-bet.

    • @MarianoPoker
      @MarianoPoker  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Wrong

    • @mycommentpwnz
      @mycommentpwnz 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@MarianoPoker Here's the math, tell me what you disagree with:
      1.) You had 23% chance of filling-up on the river.
      2.) However, only three of your outs were a (virtually) guaranteed win. The jack.
      3.) Consequently, 16% of your equity (which is comprised from filling-up with the 7 or the 9) loses 23% of it's value (because your nemesis has a 9/40 chance of having a ten in his hand.)
      4.) After you take that into consideration, you REAL equity going to the river is 19%.
      Basically 4-1.
      5.) Yes, "real odds" going to the river would require about 30% equity, (2k to call, and there would be 6.5k in pot, after you call) but implied odds, with the 7k remaining in his stack, gives you 7-1 (assuming you're going/calling an all-in every time you boat-up.)
      6.) Okay, but sometimes, as we've discussed, when you "boat-up," you're STILL going to be behind. So, now that 2k just cost you an additional 7k (the remaining chips in his stack.)
      -9k net, 16% of the time. (Chances of you having 6's full of 7's, or 9's, and him having 10's.)
      7.) But, 84% of the time, your full boats will be good. So, that 2k just won you 14k.
      84% of the time, when you fill-up, that 2k wins you 14k.
      8.) Now, you must subtract your losses from your winnings x ( Equity.) Like so,
      14k(.86) - 9k(.16) = 10.3k
      That's 5.15 to 1.
      In that specific situation, I think the implied odds are almost certainly going to be the remainder of his stack.

  • @itsBayFreshALLday
    @itsBayFreshALLday 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    winning or losing, gotta make moves.....
    100% Luck
    0% Skill ~

  • @andrewandretti7379
    @andrewandretti7379 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Megan is #1 GF.

  • @zoiks6631
    @zoiks6631 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I avoid cruises because I don’t like to pay for a vacation that has a non-zero chance of ending with everyone pooping in buckets.

  • @stevestevenstevensontheste4943
    @stevestevenstevensontheste4943 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    " seems like a close spot for him" watch his coverage of this

  • @jeffreydas3981
    @jeffreydas3981 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Stop playing live streams so you can win another 58 sessions in a row

  • @armandom4998
    @armandom4998 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    The second hand was horrible.. You’re lighting money on fire my friend.. Goodluck…

  • @Nunya_BizNess
    @Nunya_BizNess 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Been on 12 cruises and will never go on one again. Don't do mandates, I'm straight! PS. Carnival sucks!

  • @TheHardRockG6
    @TheHardRockG6 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I’m Afraid Bart Loves To Call Down.

  • @howard2031
    @howard2031 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    When you said you lost 15k.at the end, she cringed a little.. I don't blame her... thats a lot of money.

  • @glazed420
    @glazed420 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Of course Carnival is affordable, come on man.

  • @stevestevenstevensontheste4943
    @stevestevenstevensontheste4943 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    honey, don't worry, completely okay to lose 300 big blinds! just ran bad!

  • @Nikodemis
    @Nikodemis 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    A dolphin is not a fish. 🙂

  • @PuraVidaAdventures506
    @PuraVidaAdventures506 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sad u lost man by that happens at poker
    I love you blogs dude

  • @Troy2573
    @Troy2573 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Loved the content but hated the results. I have been watching a lot of his older videos trying to catch up.

  • @antonybaker8752
    @antonybaker8752 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    "I lost about 15k"... Your Mrs inside saying "WTF how much??"

  • @26bisket
    @26bisket 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Aj I think you need to shove or at least do 10k

  • @ilovebrandnewcarpets
    @ilovebrandnewcarpets 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    @16:17 I’m going to use my amazing people reading abilities to say that is the face of a woman who’s in love with you my friend!

  • @threedog2925
    @threedog2925 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    there’s no shame in playing tight when you move up in stakes… you got looked up light during this whole downswing because your regular stakes are public knowledge.

    • @kerrywinters5002
      @kerrywinters5002 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Wouldn’t you think bluffing would be more advantageous then? If I was playing someone who moved up to high stakes I would consider them scarred money and avoid looking them up light.

    • @threedog2925
      @threedog2925 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      if there’s somebody at your table that just got stacked you’re gonna call them down light, similar concept here.

  • @schnu2u
    @schnu2u 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Dude?! You're a great player but he's wearing a shirt that says, Crush Live Poker... That is his company.

  • @MikeTidman
    @MikeTidman 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    "Touching the nips."

  • @Diamondback_boy
    @Diamondback_boy 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Card dead 💀 = No can defend