Not original to Isaac, although most often it's not specified what type of train. A collision with any locomotive is more than sufficient to ruin your average pedestrian's day.
The show must go on! Considering that Isaac plays Stellaris, it's great that Paradox confirmed that pre-FTLs will no longer always completely obliterate themselves in a nuclear war in the upcoming updates.
@pll3827 that's good, because it is very difficult to completely wipe out humanity (or any planet-wide species) with just nuclear weapons, so an automatic planetary death is illogical
@@pll3827 dunno if you noticed, but stellaris is more of a story-fiction rather than actual scientific simulation. it's stage-drama with sci-fi trappings.
I'm generally against the smug tone this kind of statement implies. it's entirely reasonable for the average person to believe Carl "nuclear winter will kill us all bro trust me" Sagan, then and now. Sagan, for his part, was cynically exaggerating the threat of nuclear winter, for the rather admirable goal of trying to convince people that nuclear non-proliferation was a good program to pursue as long-standing foreign policy. in all, my view of Sagan has been irreparably damaged by that cynicism which drove decades of terror over something that was bad enough before he and his buddies presented a preliminary report on the climatological effects of the particulate cloud nukes create upon detonation. that said, I will never fault anyone for buying into it. I mean, it was Carl Sagan man. that guy is like THE model of a science communicator.
@@gender_nihilism Yes, I too ruin people's lives by making them think the world is going to end in order to stop us from retaliating if the (much less severe) situation does ever come to pass.
The human race would likely survive even the worst nuclear war scenario. But even the most "optimistic" scenario escalating to mutual ICBM exchange would still suck. Like, really, really, SUCK! Just look at the economic fallout of the Ukraine war, and how many millions are facing starvation from that.
@@gender_nihilism nuclear winter sound terrible - agriculture would collapse and take civilization with it but, I agree, not everyone would die. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_winter what do you think . . . world wide one out of 100,000 might survive? That would be ~80,000 but how many would be women of child bearing age? How would the men and women find each other and feed themselves to repopulate the planet? There was the en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toba_catastrophe_theory#:~:text=According%20to%20the%20genetic%20bottleneck,to%203%2C000%E2%80%9310%2C000%20surviving%20individuals.
A most excellent coverage of the topics. I recall a web site that claimed, "Good news. You will survive the nuclear war!". It was speaking statistically of course. It cheered me up quite a bit. There is a psychological paradigm that shows that everyone believes some catastrophe is just looming over the horizon that will wipe out 99% of the population. The amusing part was that each individual believes they will be one of the survivors. It makes sense, because assuming the opposite would be oh so depressing.
Why would I want to survive?what would be the point of it? I would find myself the best seat in the house and be able to see a second sun before I die 😂
If it was Mad Max or the Walking Dead I think I'd live because I could rely on nature. As long as I can pick birds out of the trees I'm good. If an asteroid hit or nukes destroyed the environment I'd give myself a 50/50 chance, more if I have allies
@@Wi-Fi-El Unless most of the population was wiped out, It would take maybe a week for starving people to eat all of the nature. You'd be eating corpses like everyone else.
As a artillery crewman I am super troubled by hear about your close encounter with the receiving end of our munitions. Though I’m glad to hear that you are okay at the same time
Best be ok... cause they ain't gonna admit to it hurtin twinkies cream filling Especially if there's no reasonable explanation for clandestine heart failure and compression waveatitus
We should subject every advanced AI to the Turing Test, but also to the Sirius Test (named after the protagonist of Olaf Stapledon's novel *_Sirius,_* a dog who hid his human-level intelligence from most of the humans around him), examining it for signs that it is concealing how intelligent and integrated its mind actually is - in other words, whether the AI is dogging it.
Another great episode! No surprise, though... 1. Is it just me, or has the BGM gotten much, much better lately? Or am I this sleep deprived? 2. 32:47 that robots' clip, man. This looks-like-a-face-at-a-glance effect is something!
It's funny, I actually found this to be uplifting. It doesn't seem likely that we'll all die out any time soon when all the various doomsday situations are broken down like this. Unless a huge alien armada is hurtling our way, that is...
Why would an alien armada bother destroying the earth. The other planets have more resources. The alien armada would just mock us, empty the solar system, then offer us second class citizenship for technology. 😅
@@markjohn4203 If Earth is really that worthless and inconvenient to them, why wouldn't they just blanket the entire surface with relativistic projectiles and wipe us all out? That would give them a certain probability of 0.0 that we would attack them one day.
Assuming they trust us that is, or consider us even remote peers. I mean they may just view as inherently evil monkeys that if offered greater strength/intellect would inevitably just cause issues
The reason I love your videos is that it fills in some of the blanks from all the possibilities of how we end or survive in the future , although terrifying I sort of am heartbroken that I won't be around to experience 99.99999 percent of earth's future even if I live to 100 its nothing compared to what i or we will miss out on ...
You only have to live long enough that the treatment that makes you live 10% longer lets you live to the treatment that makes you live 20% longer, etc. so on so on recursively. Just live long enough that anti-aging treatments slow your aging to the point that you're still alive for the invention of the technology for suspended animation that gets you preserved long enough for the tech to actually restore you to youth to be developed. It's quite possible that the first immortal has already been born, even if it's a few hundred years until they actually know it. It's a bit less likely (though nowhere near impossible) that you and me might be lucky enough to benefit from it too!
Isaac, I just read a pretty good post-apocalypse yarn, set 800 years in the future after an apocalypse that caused societal collapse so severe that no one knows its origin. It’s called “The Second Sleep: a Novel” by Robert Harris. You might want to give it a read.
I think a big question is whether or not one would even WANT to survive an apocalypse. In the classic original Twilight Zone episode called THE OLD MAN IN THE CAVE a group of nuclear war survivors were living miserable lives where it was all they could do to stay alive and one of them angrily said WE HAVE NOT BEEN LIVING, WE HAVE BEEN SURVIVING!!!
It's certainly how you feel watching something like Threads. That film gave a VERY bleak portrayal of nuclear winter. The people who survived had to deal with radiation sickness, scarce food, looters and no help from the government (though not from the government's lack of trying). It even cuts to 13 years later, and it depicts society with medieval population levels, bare bones technology, and kids that are uneducated and mutated. The last scene is one of a stillbirth, which spells out a bottleneck situation for the human race. The film came out of '84 and had a slew of advisors on it, including Carl Sagan. I am curious if Isaac has ever seen it, and what he would think of how its depiction holds up today.
@@Satellite_Of_Love I remember Threads (didn't remember the title, but your description is on point). That was interesting. I would love to hear Isaac's thoughts on it.
@@Satellite_Of_Love the stupidity of this statement "could plow your fields like normal and keep on growing" is beyond imagination... the man here just ignore the "detail" nothing will grow if no sun shines out there, the water is contaminated, and the cesium half life is not "1-2 years" . We have China arming with nukes as fast as they can, both Russia and US expanding their stockpiles, and the few still standing nukes control treaties abandoned every day... and, worst, we have senile idiots like US president at the head of one of the biggest nuclear armed nations... Yet, somehow, for Isaac here and some deluded folks, all is pink and nice, because in the lala land, "you could plow your fields like normal and keep on growing" ... Sky reaching stupidity...
Thank you so much for these videos you seem to be the only person truly optimistic about the future, The video is your Has helped a lot with my anxiety
At 4:20, the video of mixed trajectory of landing missiles, completely missed the harmony of missiles trajectory to a counter clockwise rotation of earth that makes all ICBMs to approach their targets from west and course adjust after reentry into atmosphere
One note on the book of Revelation - One of the disasters is a "star" called Wormwood that falls to earth and poisons the water on the planet. Suprisingly a similar scenario imagined if we were hit by a comet.
knowing that the species or society will survive mass death scenarios doesnt stop them being tragic, brutal and scary. definitely worth serious organising efforts to prepare for, prevent or migitage them.
Thank you, I was looking forward to that video from you since the war started. And never before thought of de-urbanisation as (somewhat) effective strategy during a nuclear conflict
That sign off line about the twilight zone episode about the reader whos glasses broke at the end of the world hit me. I was thinking about that shitty scenario like a week ago. Another one that gets me is the guy who dies and is tortured in hell by getting everything he wants. Gives me chills every time.
With nukes, the real issue is dealing with the injured while most infrastructure in the areas are crippled. Modern nukes are actually quite small, but that just means more people with burns and wounds left alive in cities, that are going to include most of the young, fighting age men. A country getting nuked's biggest danger is being invaded by a conventional military force afterwards, ironically for weapons sold as 'the end of warfare'.
Hate the fact that Scifi sometimes make for the most unlikely shelter places for post Apocalypse. Like a train in "Snowpiercer", or a Silo in "Silo" or a Nuclear Submarine in "The Darkest Hour". Really unbelievable.
For any of these apocalyptic disasters, the best chance of survival and reconstruction would be if we could read the warning signs of impending doom and preparing for it. Now obviously, the more time we have to prepare, the better.
"we don't know what to do other than pray" I mean, I don't know, I've never seen any angels dodge an S-300 missile. I've never seen any get hit by one either but that makes it a 50/50 chance they're vulnerable to air defenses with no other information.
15:00 A supernova does not appear fully in an instant way. If you have a shield you can unfurl or move into place, you might easily have time to do so when you detect the event beginning.
36:15 Star Trek finally adressed this fact , that that a K2 civillisation that only has a dyson sphere around one star is orders of magnitude more powerful than the entire Federation due to the sheer amound of energy that civillisation has access to, in Star Trek: Discovery Season 4
"when it comes to disasters, you often get a bulk discount." ... that really nail the nature of disasters. Put me a smile but quickly have to stop thinking deep since the truth behind the statement bites really hard...
13:56 How far up and away from the coast is safe? The Olympic Mountains on the Peninsula, along with the shape of Puget Sound, might protect Seattle and Tacoma. It depends.
If you’re talking about a large tsunami event…. Seattle and Tacoma will definitely flood, but the mountains on the peninsula (above the height of the wave) would probably be “fine”. The waters would recede in (I believe Isaac said) about a day or so?.. but Seattle and Tacoma would definitely have a lot of damage, and a lot of deaths if such a tsunami came with no warning at all.
@@LaserGuidedLoogie Seriously. Aside from bioterrorism, Cobalt-60 is about the most dangerous thing I can think of. The UK did an experiment that showed that it doesn't fission as easily as thought, so it would probably take billions of dollars worth for a proper doomsday. But, still.
@@jengleheimerschmitt7941 I agree. I think think the combination of nuclear war, with the concomitant flux of high energy neutrons, as well as all of the Cobalt 59 in the cities, would create a doomsday scenario. That doesn't even take into account the fact that some nuclear missiles are jacketed in Cobalt 59, which would create a blanketing of gamma ray producing Cobalt 60 over a large area of the planet.
Possibly, it would be the same a few hundred feet of rock, which could be built if someone wanted to, but I'd doubt most would withstand it unless purpose built with that in mind.
Do you have a video on what would happen if earth ran out of a resource like oil, I know it's been predicted to happen some time in this century and I was curious.
Concerning a few of these events, physical destruction, (War, Comet, Asteroid, Massive Volcano, Tsunami) could impact the worlds hundreds of nuclear power plants. Picture runaway reactor failures all over the world, no back up power to contain reactor failures. Spent fuel pools being abandoned and neglected. Yikes!
A very real problem though in most cases the catastrophe causing that neglect and failure would be so big compared to the result of the reactors failing as to make that failure something of a footnote.
I think this overlooks one of the less obvious but more likely apocalypse scenarios; that being a human version of the mouse utopia on a civilization scale. We're already exhibiting similar behavioral patterns and pretty much all of the wealthier nations are experiencing sub-replacement birthrates. Realistically, at what point does that behavioral sink turn around, how much damage has it caused, and what does the path to recovery look like? Does it result in another global great depression (best case scenario in my opinion, given that only one or two lost generations would be required to collapse most countries financially) or does it get so bad that human population drops back into the millions and we can't support the infrastructure for current tech (I'm dubious we'd recede beyond that into near-extinction) or somewhere in-between?
Something you mentioned with nuclear war is interesting, nuclear trench warfare, or pentomic warfare is a really crazy idea which still may end up being useful knowledge in the future. I'm personally writing a setting in which 1950s europe had a prolonged limited nuclear exchange and the ramifications politically among the survivors. A Russia which reformed its communism to be syndicalist, a new french republic, the english falling back on the security of the king and the germans falling apart as a state, instead taking the ideals of the war era and applying it to a new HRE of pseudo anarchic states losely held together
You make an apocalypse seem less apocalyptic - knowing what we can actually do, and that it isn't nothing, helps me to feel more prepared and less doomed, at least for the race as a whole.
27:44 Our technology (GMF) makes us also unable to individually save for planting the next spring 29:00 If Isaak calls a disease that kills 0,02% of those affected a "true" pandemic, then I doubt it will be the last one.
Isaac, I absolutely love your channel. I’ve been a subscriber for years and rarely miss a video. I do have a small criticism, however. I find the background music incredibly distracting. I feel it takes away from your crisp, expressive narration. Maybe I’m alone in my opinion and others like it or at least aren’t bothered by it. I only mention it because I care.
I think he makes all of his videos available with OR without the music. Possibly on one of the other platforms? I’m not sure exactly, but I know I’ve seen something to that effect somewhere. I just never looked further because I rather enjoy the videos “as is”.
I once looked up my region on nukemap, even by the 20th century estimates I wouldn't be likely to be killed by the blast from even a large nuclear weapon, and the fallout although significant in my area would mostly be going in a different direction. I still wouldn't want to live through a nuclear war, but it is definitely one of the least scary apocalypse scenarios for me specifically.
Biggest issue is the immediate air quality. Then water, then food. There would be such a massive seed shortage the first year of an apocalypse.... The first sign you'll have you're being nuked is the EMP that will cut electronics. When everyone's phones zap out, get down. Except if you're in the survival zone, you'll probably be waiting a while for the shockwave. Just long enough to peak up and get shrapnelled.
@@Valchrist1313 I live far enough from any major cities as well as literally every other nuclear target that shrapnel is extremely unlikely, although the mushroom clouds would still technically be visible if I found a hill.
@@garethbaus5471 I meant a radioactive dust-cloud of high-speed wind. Those reach just about anywhere without a mountain in the way, eventually. Enough to burn and blind.
@@Valchrist1313 Las Vegas was a similar distance from a significant amount of nuclear bomb testing during the 20th century, and the mushroom clouds were visible enough to attract tourists so topography wasn't going to protect them. The radiation certainly wasn't good for them but it wasn't anywhere close to burning and blinding them. With the exception of a few fairly specific circumstances using the jet stream the radiation will just increase the rate at which people get cancer a moderate amount in regions as far from the major cities as I currently am which is bad but once again pretty far from the worst apocalypse scenario.
@@garethbaus5471 The test bombs, A-bombs were nothing like thermonuclear bombs, H-bombs. The first is mainly fission, while the second is fusion, and releases at least an order of magnitude more energy. More energy = more heat.
Hi Isaac I've been following and watching your videos for years now and I love all of your material. With this video, I'm finding the music you have is almost swamping your speech, and I find it distracting to the point of finding it hard to continue. Please consider, at the very least, turning down the volume of the music. I don't think you need any music behind you at all. Your narrative doesn't need any of that backfill and you sound great on your own. Thanks Daniel
I am impartial to the "space age collapse" happening that would mimic the bronze age collapse. Remember that these movies,books and comics that talk about "the wasteland" with roving raiders,feral beasts and green fields turned to desert all happened in real life during the bronze age collapse.Get your wasteland garb ready!*Everyone looks into the future to see flammamancer impaled on a stick in the wasteland*
I was in the kill zone of multiple 155's, the only way I could describe the explosions is like static on TV. every time one went off things just kind of fizzled out of existence for a moment
Can plants survive the 12 hours of radiation on the "day" side until the Earth's rotation shields them until the next "day" until the radiation is over? This assumes that the source is above the Equator.
I can't remember whether it's been discussed already in an earlier episode, but if not you could discuss opening a portal to a hellish dimension as a disaster. I think the notion is ludicrous but potentially interesting. You also discussed a zombie apocalypse which imho is so absurd all the attention it seems to get is a little silly.
“Zombies”, as usually portrayed by Hollywood, is a rather absurd and unlikely scenario. However… A “zombie apocalypse like” event, is absolutely possible. It would require some type of deliberate intervention of sorts…. some laboratory tampering with, meddling with some virus with the intent to create some bio weapon (not that humans ever do such things). Imagine some secret lab doing “gain of function” research…. NOT on some mundane respiratory virus, but instead on something like rabies…. A leak (or deliberate deployment) from such a lab could have terrifying results. It may not involve “real” zombies (whatever THAT means)…. But the overall effect would be about the same.
I think most people fail to consider, about the different kinds of possible Apocalypses (Apocali? Apocalodum?), is which ones are worth trying to survive, and in which ones are you better off being one of the first to die?
My biggest fear is that I wouldn't be selected for rescue, so I would have to remain above ground with the radiation and the mutants and wouldn't get to go down to the converted mineshaft paradise. Does anyone remember "A Boy and His Dog"? Great story. It would be one of those deals. I hope the apocalypse is in the form of a plague. The other ones are too destructive to the planet. The survivors of the plague would have the planet to themselves to form a new and better society. Will they do it? Will they have the strength to survive and start anew?
I would like to point out that while a nuclear war is not world nor civilization threatening, it does stand a very high probability of completely wiping out the nation that was blamed for starting it. Recent experience with toilet paper indicate that humans do horde. Further, even a rather small conventional war has threatened food security for a rather large number of people, far more than are directly involved in the war. Put these together and it's not hard to see how bad things can happen. At the first threat of crop failures, nations will ban food exports. Nations dependent on food imports are immediately at risk of famine. Throw in even moderate crop failures over a single year and there will be billions of humans at risk of hunger, if not famine. Food is not going to be distributed evenly. It is reasonable to assume that the survivors of this will be very, very angry and politicians will be looking for someone else to blame. Toss in the fact that the nations directly involved in said nuclear war will have significantly reduced militaries, damaged command and control systems, nothing remaining of their nuclear deterrent, and be rather busy pulling themselves together. Easy prey for a billion Chinese, a billion Indians, and perhaps a couple billion more from various smaller nations. The nation blamed for starting the war that caused the Great Famine will be fair game and an easy target. People will go there. They will take the food. They will dig the elites of that nation from their bunkers and kill them. They might kill a great many people. I doubt the nation would continue to exist. I doubt the culture of that nation would be allowed to continue. If you start a nuclear war, cause the Great Famine, and a billion humans die as a result then Justifiable Cultural Genocide seems an entirely appropriate response. Humanity may survive a nuclear war, perhaps even the majority of humanity. But, nobody wins a nuclear war. Nobody.
Wasn’t there something in history? 🤔 Was it France? I think it was France…. Had some kind of famine (can’t recall too many particulars, many years since I’ve been in history class)… People were enraged, etc…. Something or other about putting the heads of the ruling class on pikes or something. The shortest route to revolution, is starvation.
To the volcanic winter survivability point, I'd like to add that in history we have been on the back foot for food, only in the modern age do we have the odd situation of most people not being involved in food production. It would be a harsh changeover, but turning most of our efforts to making food or generating energy for food production should be doable.
John Ringo's Under a Graveyard Sky (1) (Black Tide Rising) Gives a fairly realist portrayal of fast zombies and a mechanism for their creation. I highly recommend anything by John Ringo but will warn that Ghost (Paladin of Shadows Book 1) the hero's is a little dark and kinky for everyone's if he didn't control himself so well he could easily be the villain.
most of the U.S. arsenal of nuclear weapons is located in our most productive agricultural areas in silos such as ne Colorado, nw Kansas, se Wyoming, the Dakotas etc. consequently the impacts to food supplies from a nuclear attack actually would be substantial and not relatively minor as stated.
I worked security for a company during their IRAQ war. Even in the Green Zone it was dangers faced artillery strike as well, saw one bus hit with about 20 people on it men women and children, seen stuff that will make people cry, not as much as some of the service men and women did but did see enough for me... I made enough to pay off my house and all my bills while I was over there
See the online series Salvation War for what would happen if the forces of heaven and hell as described by Dante go up against modern humanity. It's a good read.
What about Taurids meteors? There is hypothesis that there was a comet impact at the end of last ice age roughly 12,800 year ago. It wiped out all megafauna and drastically changed climate. If this did happen, it came from Taurids. We are passing through them twice a year. How viable that scenario is to you?
An AI could very well read our ethical philosophy, understand it perfectly such that it could convincingly apply it, but not internalize it. So the moment you look away it starts building a puppy kicking factory because that maximizes some other goal it has.
"There is a light at the end of every tunnel- just some times that light is an incoming freight train"
Not original to Isaac, although most often it's not specified what type of train. A collision with any locomotive is more than sufficient to ruin your average pedestrian's day.
The show must go on!
Considering that Isaac plays Stellaris, it's great that Paradox confirmed that pre-FTLs will no longer always completely obliterate themselves in a nuclear war in the upcoming updates.
I mean, post apocalypse start was already a thing, but it would be cool to see what else they can do.
@@particles1101 It was, but this upcoming patch/DLC will allow primitives to get the origin. Until now, they always died if nuclear war happened.
@pll3827 that's good, because it is very difficult to completely wipe out humanity (or any planet-wide species) with just nuclear weapons, so an automatic planetary death is illogical
@@pll3827 dunno if you noticed, but stellaris is more of a story-fiction rather than actual scientific simulation. it's stage-drama with sci-fi trappings.
Only Isaac can calmly explain with reason and fact how many apocalypses won't really wipe out humanity.
Another wonderful Sunday episode Isaac.
:) Thanks
So glad to see someone be realistic about how effectively we could "destroy the human race" during the cold war.
I'm generally against the smug tone this kind of statement implies. it's entirely reasonable for the average person to believe Carl "nuclear winter will kill us all bro trust me" Sagan, then and now. Sagan, for his part, was cynically exaggerating the threat of nuclear winter, for the rather admirable goal of trying to convince people that nuclear non-proliferation was a good program to pursue as long-standing foreign policy.
in all, my view of Sagan has been irreparably damaged by that cynicism which drove decades of terror over something that was bad enough before he and his buddies presented a preliminary report on the climatological effects of the particulate cloud nukes create upon detonation. that said, I will never fault anyone for buying into it. I mean, it was Carl Sagan man. that guy is like THE model of a science communicator.
@@gender_nihilism
I believe that Neil Degrasse Tyson is currently doing the same thing to his reputation regarding climate change.
@@gender_nihilism Yes, I too ruin people's lives by making them think the world is going to end in order to stop us from retaliating if the (much less severe) situation does ever come to pass.
The human race would likely survive even the worst nuclear war scenario. But even the most "optimistic" scenario escalating to mutual ICBM exchange would still suck. Like, really, really, SUCK! Just look at the economic fallout of the Ukraine war, and how many millions are facing starvation from that.
@@gender_nihilism nuclear winter sound terrible - agriculture would collapse and take civilization with it but, I agree, not everyone would die.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_winter what do you think . . . world wide one out of 100,000 might survive? That would be ~80,000 but how many would be women of child bearing age? How would the men and women find each other and feed themselves to repopulate the planet?
There was the en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toba_catastrophe_theory#:~:text=According%20to%20the%20genetic%20bottleneck,to%203%2C000%E2%80%9310%2C000%20surviving%20individuals.
A most excellent coverage of the topics. I recall a web site that claimed, "Good news. You will survive the nuclear war!". It was speaking statistically of course. It cheered me up quite a bit. There is a psychological paradigm that shows that everyone believes some catastrophe is just looming over the horizon that will wipe out 99% of the population. The amusing part was that each individual believes they will be one of the survivors. It makes sense, because assuming the opposite would be oh so depressing.
Why would I want to survive?what would be the point of it? I would find myself the best seat in the house and be able to see a second sun before I die 😂
. . .to be fair, there isn't much point in making contingency plans for being among the dead.
If it was Mad Max or the Walking Dead I think I'd live because I could rely on nature. As long as I can pick birds out of the trees I'm good.
If an asteroid hit or nukes destroyed the environment I'd give myself a 50/50 chance, more if I have allies
@@Wi-Fi-El Unless most of the population was wiped out, It would take maybe a week for starving people to eat all of the nature.
You'd be eating corpses like everyone else.
@@jengleheimerschmitt7941 there are billions of rats to hunt, and countless insects. May not be the best food but it's better than longpork
As a artillery crewman I am super troubled by hear about your close encounter with the receiving end of our munitions. Though I’m glad to hear that you are okay at the same time
Wasn't Isaac artillery, too? Though your statement could mean 'our' as in 'Isaac's and mine' or 'our' as in 'arty like me.'
Was it high was it low where the hell did that one go
@@OOL-UV2 that’ll happen. That’s why I stayed in the infantry where it is safe lol.
Best be ok... cause they ain't gonna admit to it hurtin twinkies cream filling
Especially if there's no reasonable explanation for clandestine heart failure and compression waveatitus
You casually explaining your near-death experiences in the army was unexpected.
Explains his man made global warming brainwashing propaganda. He can't think for himself.
Same! I had no idea he served in the military so hearing his stories came as a huge surprise 😳
First rule of warfare. Expect the unexpected.
@@samiam4544 First rule of warfare. Always be ready to learn and apply a new first rule of warfare.
@@samiam4544 I believe the one from that particular was "Learn to Duck" :) It's one of the more important ones.
Always a good Sunday when we get to watch Isaac
Isaac you make the only videos where I have to watch again and again because I'm always reading the creative comments from all of your viewers.
My favorite video so far. I usually listen to your videos while I fall asleep, but not this one. Loved your stories from the army.
We should subject every advanced AI to the Turing Test, but also to the Sirius Test (named after the protagonist of Olaf Stapledon's novel *_Sirius,_* a dog who hid his human-level intelligence from most of the humans around him), examining it for signs that it is concealing how intelligent and integrated its mind actually is - in other words, whether the AI is dogging it.
Link for this? -there is some college prep testing company named Sirius Testing that is bolloxing up search attempts.
@@jengleheimerschmitt7941 Oh, darn, and I liked that name so much....
Another great episode! No surprise, though...
1. Is it just me, or has the BGM gotten much, much better lately? Or am I this sleep deprived?
2. 32:47 that robots' clip, man. This looks-like-a-face-at-a-glance effect is something!
That's seems under debate, I gather a lot of folks felt it's been getting louder... turns out it was true
@@isaacarthurSFIA Well, I liked it! But it is, of course, for you to decide!)
It's funny, I actually found this to be uplifting. It doesn't seem likely that we'll all die out any time soon when all the various doomsday situations are broken down like this. Unless a huge alien armada is hurtling our way, that is...
Why would an alien armada bother destroying the earth. The other planets have more resources.
The alien armada would just mock us, empty the solar system, then offer us second class citizenship for technology. 😅
@@markjohn4203 I was joking, but you're completely right.
th-cam.com/video/gA1sNLL6yg4/w-d-xo.html
@@markjohn4203 If Earth is really that worthless and inconvenient to them, why wouldn't they just blanket the entire surface with relativistic projectiles and wipe us all out? That would give them a certain probability of 0.0 that we would attack them one day.
Assuming they trust us that is, or consider us even remote peers. I mean they may just view as inherently evil monkeys that if offered greater strength/intellect would inevitably just cause issues
The reason I love your videos is that it fills in some of the blanks from all the possibilities of how we end or survive in the future , although terrifying I sort of am heartbroken that I won't be around to experience 99.99999 percent of earth's future even if I live to 100 its nothing compared to what i or we will miss out on ...
You only have to live long enough that the treatment that makes you live 10% longer lets you live to the treatment that makes you live 20% longer, etc. so on so on recursively.
Just live long enough that anti-aging treatments slow your aging to the point that you're still alive for the invention of the technology for suspended animation that gets you preserved long enough for the tech to actually restore you to youth to be developed. It's quite possible that the first immortal has already been born, even if it's a few hundred years until they actually know it. It's a bit less likely (though nowhere near impossible) that you and me might be lucky enough to benefit from it too!
I love all of your content. The fact that you mix between hard science and SciFy is amazing. Keep up the good work
Isaac, I just read a pretty good post-apocalypse yarn, set 800 years in the future after an apocalypse that caused societal collapse so severe that no one knows its origin. It’s called “The Second Sleep: a Novel” by Robert Harris. You might want to give it a read.
So keen for another episode ❤️❤️
I think a big question is whether or not one would even WANT to survive an apocalypse. In the classic original Twilight Zone episode called THE OLD MAN IN THE CAVE a group of nuclear war survivors were living miserable lives where it was all they could do to stay alive and one of them angrily said WE HAVE NOT BEEN LIVING, WE HAVE BEEN SURVIVING!!!
It's certainly how you feel watching something like Threads. That film gave a VERY bleak portrayal of nuclear winter. The people who survived had to deal with radiation sickness, scarce food, looters and no help from the government (though not from the government's lack of trying). It even cuts to 13 years later, and it depicts society with medieval population levels, bare bones technology, and kids that are uneducated and mutated. The last scene is one of a stillbirth, which spells out a bottleneck situation for the human race. The film came out of '84 and had a slew of advisors on it, including Carl Sagan. I am curious if Isaac has ever seen it, and what he would think of how its depiction holds up today.
@@Satellite_Of_Love I remember Threads (didn't remember the title, but your description is on point). That was interesting. I would love to hear Isaac's thoughts on it.
@@Satellite_Of_Love the stupidity of this statement "could plow your fields like normal and keep on growing" is beyond imagination... the man here just ignore the "detail" nothing will grow if no sun shines out there, the water is contaminated, and the cesium half life is not "1-2 years" .
We have China arming with nukes as fast as they can, both Russia and US expanding their stockpiles, and the few still standing nukes control treaties abandoned every day... and, worst, we have senile idiots like US president at the head of one of the biggest nuclear armed nations... Yet, somehow, for Isaac here and some deluded folks, all is pink and nice, because in the lala land, "you could plow your fields like normal and keep on growing" ... Sky reaching stupidity...
Thank you so much for these videos you seem to be the only person truly optimistic about the future, The video is your Has helped a lot with my anxiety
At 4:20, the video of mixed trajectory of landing missiles, completely missed the harmony of missiles trajectory to a counter clockwise rotation of earth that makes all ICBMs to approach their targets from west and course adjust after reentry into atmosphere
One note on the book of Revelation -
One of the disasters is a "star" called Wormwood that falls to earth and poisons the water on the planet. Suprisingly a similar scenario imagined if we were hit by a comet.
Breakfast and contemplating various levels of existential dread, I’m ready.
I don't think I've ever felt more upbeat about the apocalypse than after this video.
knowing that the species or society will survive mass death scenarios doesnt stop them being tragic, brutal and scary. definitely worth serious organising efforts to prepare for, prevent or migitage them.
Ah, my favorite youtube genre: existential dread. Also, the last time i was this early, Godfrey was still the first Elden Lord.
Thank you, I was looking forward to that video from you since the war started. And never before thought of de-urbanisation as (somewhat) effective strategy during a nuclear conflict
That sign off line about the twilight zone episode about the reader whos glasses broke at the end of the world hit me. I was thinking about that shitty scenario like a week ago. Another one that gets me is the guy who dies and is tortured in hell by getting everything he wants. Gives me chills every time.
With nukes, the real issue is dealing with the injured while most infrastructure in the areas are crippled.
Modern nukes are actually quite small, but that just means more people with burns and wounds left alive in cities, that are going to include most of the young, fighting age men.
A country getting nuked's biggest danger is being invaded by a conventional military force afterwards, ironically for weapons sold as 'the end of warfare'.
Please make a sci fi Sunday playlist!!!!
I think that's a good idea
"when the soothing light at the end of your tunnel, is a freight train coming your wayyyyy" - metallica
I'd like to see an episode just covering some of the stories from your time in the military.
99% of them would be incredibly boring :) Most of the remainder probably too
Hate the fact that Scifi sometimes make for the most unlikely shelter places for post Apocalypse. Like a train in "Snowpiercer", or a Silo in "Silo" or a Nuclear Submarine in "The Darkest Hour".
Really unbelievable.
As far as I've heard, I've already survived around 9-13 Ends of Days...looking forward to your take on it!
Are you a 7th Day Adventist or something?
@@jengleheimerschmitt7941 Nah, just tuned in to the media...people been babblin' about the End since I was a kid.
For any of these apocalyptic disasters, the best chance of survival and reconstruction would be if we could read the warning signs of impending doom and preparing for it. Now obviously, the more time we have to prepare, the better.
"we don't know what to do other than pray"
I mean, I don't know, I've never seen any angels dodge an S-300 missile. I've never seen any get hit by one either but that makes it a 50/50 chance they're vulnerable to air defenses with no other information.
15:00 A supernova does not appear fully in an instant way. If you have a shield you can unfurl or move into place, you might easily have time to do so when you detect the event beginning.
36:15 Star Trek finally adressed this fact , that that a K2 civillisation that only has a dyson sphere around one star is orders of magnitude more powerful than the entire Federation due to the sheer amound of energy that civillisation has access to, in Star Trek: Discovery Season 4
Thank you so much for being on this topic!
"when it comes to disasters, you often get a bulk discount." ... that really nail the nature of disasters. Put me a smile but quickly have to stop thinking deep since the truth behind the statement bites really hard...
CONGRATS PRESIDENT ISSAC!!! Long time viewer, very excited to see the growth!
Surrender to the aliens?! Damn Protectorate converted Isaac to their cause. :P
13:56 How far up and away from the coast is safe? The Olympic Mountains on the Peninsula, along with the shape of Puget Sound, might protect Seattle and Tacoma. It depends.
If you’re talking about a large tsunami event…. Seattle and Tacoma will definitely flood, but the mountains on the peninsula (above the height of the wave) would probably be “fine”.
The waters would recede in (I believe Isaac said) about a day or so?.. but Seattle and Tacoma would definitely have a lot of damage, and a lot of deaths if such a tsunami came with no warning at all.
Oh…. More on point…
In a “typical” tsunami, 10 miles inland is generally enough.
Issac, if you want a _really_ scary episode, let's do a Cobalt-60 apocalypse. Enough Cobalt-60 to contaminate the airstream and cover the globe.
I second that.
@@LaserGuidedLoogie Seriously. Aside from bioterrorism, Cobalt-60 is about the most dangerous thing I can think of.
The UK did an experiment that showed that it doesn't fission as easily as thought, so it would probably take billions of dollars worth for a proper doomsday. But, still.
@@jengleheimerschmitt7941 I agree. I think think the combination of nuclear war, with the concomitant flux of high energy neutrons, as well as all of the Cobalt 59 in the cities, would create a doomsday scenario. That doesn't even take into account the fact that some nuclear missiles are jacketed in Cobalt 59, which would create a blanketing of gamma ray producing Cobalt 60 over a large area of the planet.
@@LaserGuidedLoogie I don't believe we have jacketed nukes. Certainly not publicly disclosed ones.
@@jengleheimerschmitt7941 I would hope not, but I have read that some people claim to have seen them.
The planes at 3:44 used when illustrating bombers are small cargo planes, the C-47 (Cargo type 47), otherwise known as the DC-3 airliner.
14:25 can your waterproof bunker hold the weight of 1,000 feet of water on it without letting you drown?
Possibly, it would be the same a few hundred feet of rock, which could be built if someone wanted to, but I'd doubt most would withstand it unless purpose built with that in mind.
@@isaacarthurSFIA I'm always glad of an excuse to share this: th-cam.com/video/dKT1r-8viHk/w-d-xo.html
You down with OCPs?
Yeah, you know me.
Nice, Isaac is crossing over into another one of my favorite genres, apocalyptica
Congratulations on your appointment in NSS Isaac. You deserve it. You are a true ambassador of the science
Thanks for sharing & no to apocalypse!
The fear for bioweapons is not a state actor, but rogue operators as the tech becomes more accessible.
The threat of the apocolypse is nearly as stressful to think about as Monday morning.
Laughed when you suggested going to higher ground during a tsunami while the background image was the top of a building falling.
I howled at the thought of catching up on my reading and hobbies after the apocalypse. That ad transition was a classic!
Do you have a video on what would happen if earth ran out of a resource like oil, I know it's been predicted to happen some time in this century and I was curious.
I found this video very comforting, thanks 👍
Concerning a few of these events, physical destruction, (War, Comet, Asteroid, Massive Volcano, Tsunami) could impact the worlds hundreds of nuclear power plants. Picture runaway reactor failures all over the world, no back up power to contain reactor failures. Spent fuel pools being abandoned and neglected. Yikes!
A very real problem though in most cases the catastrophe causing that neglect and failure would be so big compared to the result of the reactors failing as to make that failure something of a footnote.
Most reactors are built to require power to stay on, as a fail safe. The issue with Fukushima was that it was not built with such redundancies
Haven’t seen you in my feed lately been wondering where you’ve been!❤
I think this overlooks one of the less obvious but more likely apocalypse scenarios; that being a human version of the mouse utopia on a civilization scale. We're already exhibiting similar behavioral patterns and pretty much all of the wealthier nations are experiencing sub-replacement birthrates. Realistically, at what point does that behavioral sink turn around, how much damage has it caused, and what does the path to recovery look like? Does it result in another global great depression (best case scenario in my opinion, given that only one or two lost generations would be required to collapse most countries financially) or does it get so bad that human population drops back into the millions and we can't support the infrastructure for current tech (I'm dubious we'd recede beyond that into near-extinction) or somewhere in-between?
Something you mentioned with nuclear war is interesting, nuclear trench warfare, or pentomic warfare is a really crazy idea which still may end up being useful knowledge in the future.
I'm personally writing a setting in which 1950s europe had a prolonged limited nuclear exchange and the ramifications politically among the survivors. A Russia which reformed its communism to be syndicalist, a new french republic, the english falling back on the security of the king and the germans falling apart as a state, instead taking the ideals of the war era and applying it to a new HRE of pseudo anarchic states losely held together
"Pentomic"!, that was the word I kept trying to remember, thank you. My brain kept inserting 'penultimate' when I was writing and trying to recall it.
You make an apocalypse seem less apocalyptic - knowing what we can actually do, and that it isn't nothing, helps me to feel more prepared and less doomed, at least for the race as a whole.
27:44 Our technology (GMF) makes us also unable to individually save for planting the next spring
29:00 If Isaak calls a disease that kills 0,02% of those affected a "true" pandemic, then I doubt it will be the last one.
Congratulations on your appointment at the NSS! Best wishes for a fulfilling and fruitful service!
I gotta say isaac (may I call you isaac?) You're a legit stud.
Possible typo in captioning? At time index 16:52, Chapter 4 "Supernova", narration is "8 and 32 times" but captioning reads "8 and 33 times".
What in Cascadia is up with that Thumbnail?
Speaking of which 24:34
Isaac, I absolutely love your channel. I’ve been a subscriber for years and rarely miss a video.
I do have a small criticism, however. I find the background music incredibly distracting. I feel it takes away from your crisp, expressive narration. Maybe I’m alone in my opinion and others like it or at least aren’t bothered by it.
I only mention it because I care.
I think he makes all of his videos available with OR without the music.
Possibly on one of the other platforms?
I’m not sure exactly, but I know I’ve seen something to that effect somewhere. I just never looked further because I rather enjoy the videos “as is”.
I once looked up my region on nukemap, even by the 20th century estimates I wouldn't be likely to be killed by the blast from even a large nuclear weapon, and the fallout although significant in my area would mostly be going in a different direction. I still wouldn't want to live through a nuclear war, but it is definitely one of the least scary apocalypse scenarios for me specifically.
Biggest issue is the immediate air quality. Then water, then food.
There would be such a massive seed shortage the first year of an apocalypse....
The first sign you'll have you're being nuked is the EMP that will cut electronics. When everyone's phones zap out, get down. Except if you're in the survival zone, you'll probably be waiting a while for the shockwave. Just long enough to peak up and get shrapnelled.
@@Valchrist1313 I live far enough from any major cities as well as literally every other nuclear target that shrapnel is extremely unlikely, although the mushroom clouds would still technically be visible if I found a hill.
@@garethbaus5471 I meant a radioactive dust-cloud of high-speed wind. Those reach just about anywhere without a mountain in the way, eventually. Enough to burn and blind.
@@Valchrist1313 Las Vegas was a similar distance from a significant amount of nuclear bomb testing during the 20th century, and the mushroom clouds were visible enough to attract tourists so topography wasn't going to protect them. The radiation certainly wasn't good for them but it wasn't anywhere close to burning and blinding them. With the exception of a few fairly specific circumstances using the jet stream the radiation will just increase the rate at which people get cancer a moderate amount in regions as far from the major cities as I currently am which is bad but once again pretty far from the worst apocalypse scenario.
@@garethbaus5471 The test bombs, A-bombs were nothing like thermonuclear bombs, H-bombs.
The first is mainly fission, while the second is fusion, and releases at least an order of magnitude more energy.
More energy = more heat.
Hi Isaac
I've been following and watching your videos for years now and I love all of your material.
With this video, I'm finding the music you have is almost swamping your speech, and I find it distracting to the point of finding it hard to continue.
Please consider, at the very least, turning down the volume of the music. I don't think you need any music behind you at all. Your narrative doesn't need any of that backfill and you sound great on your own.
Thanks
Daniel
I am impartial to the "space age collapse" happening that would mimic the bronze age collapse. Remember that these movies,books and comics that talk about "the wasteland" with roving raiders,feral beasts and green fields turned to desert all happened in real life during the bronze age collapse.Get your wasteland garb ready!*Everyone looks into the future to see flammamancer impaled on a stick in the wasteland*
The Mistborn Trilogy will always be my favorite fantasy trilogy ever. I've lost track of how many times I've read it.
Isaac, congratulations on your installation as president of NSS. Well deserved.
I was in the kill zone of multiple 155's, the only way I could describe the explosions is like static on TV. every time one went off things just kind of fizzled out of existence for a moment
Can plants survive the 12 hours of radiation on the "day" side until the Earth's rotation shields them until the next "day" until the radiation is over? This assumes that the source is above the Equator.
The dose makes the poison.
The best channel
I can't remember whether it's been discussed already in an earlier episode, but if not you could discuss opening a portal to a hellish dimension as a disaster. I think the notion is ludicrous but potentially interesting. You also discussed a zombie apocalypse which imho is so absurd all the attention it seems to get is a little silly.
Even that wouldn't be too bad, the moment an angry enough man shows up with a pistol and 50 bullets that Hell invasion is as good as over.
@@RevolverRez -LOL like Doom?
If prep for a zombie apocalypse, you’ll be ready for economic collapse, civil unrest, war, EMP, etc
“Zombies”, as usually portrayed by Hollywood, is a rather absurd and unlikely scenario.
However…
A “zombie apocalypse like” event, is absolutely possible. It would require some type of deliberate intervention of sorts…. some laboratory tampering with, meddling with some virus with the intent to create some bio weapon (not that humans ever do such things).
Imagine some secret lab doing “gain of function” research…. NOT on some mundane respiratory virus, but instead on something like rabies…. A leak (or deliberate deployment) from such a lab could have terrifying results.
It may not involve “real” zombies (whatever THAT means)…. But the overall effect would be about the same.
I think most people fail to consider, about the different kinds of possible Apocalypses (Apocali? Apocalodum?), is which ones are worth trying to survive, and in which ones are you better off being one of the first to die?
First choice is right
My biggest fear is that I wouldn't be selected for rescue, so I would have to remain above ground with the radiation and the mutants and wouldn't get to go down to the converted mineshaft paradise. Does anyone remember "A Boy and His Dog"? Great story. It would be one of those deals. I hope the apocalypse is in the form of a plague. The other ones are too destructive to the planet. The survivors of the plague would have the planet to themselves to form a new and better society. Will they do it? Will they have the strength to survive and start anew?
Know me and never doubt me
Welcome home my brother. Im a vet too. I love your show
I like your optimism Isaac, even if I don't share it.
Could you cover a realistic cyber war scenario? Such as one which could happen today or in the near future.
Issac I think you are our new alien overlord.
"Hail & rise all to Arthur of Issac, subjects we all are to him and his own."
I would like to point out that while a nuclear war is not world nor civilization threatening, it does stand a very high probability of completely wiping out the nation that was blamed for starting it. Recent experience with toilet paper indicate that humans do horde. Further, even a rather small conventional war has threatened food security for a rather large number of people, far more than are directly involved in the war. Put these together and it's not hard to see how bad things can happen.
At the first threat of crop failures, nations will ban food exports. Nations dependent on food imports are immediately at risk of famine. Throw in even moderate crop failures over a single year and there will be billions of humans at risk of hunger, if not famine. Food is not going to be distributed evenly. It is reasonable to assume that the survivors of this will be very, very angry and politicians will be looking for someone else to blame.
Toss in the fact that the nations directly involved in said nuclear war will have significantly reduced militaries, damaged command and control systems, nothing remaining of their nuclear deterrent, and be rather busy pulling themselves together. Easy prey for a billion Chinese, a billion Indians, and perhaps a couple billion more from various smaller nations. The nation blamed for starting the war that caused the Great Famine will be fair game and an easy target.
People will go there. They will take the food. They will dig the elites of that nation from their bunkers and kill them. They might kill a great many people. I doubt the nation would continue to exist. I doubt the culture of that nation would be allowed to continue. If you start a nuclear war, cause the Great Famine, and a billion humans die as a result then Justifiable Cultural Genocide seems an entirely appropriate response.
Humanity may survive a nuclear war, perhaps even the majority of humanity. But, nobody wins a nuclear war. Nobody.
Wasn’t there something in history?
🤔
Was it France? I think it was France…. Had some kind of famine (can’t recall too many particulars, many years since I’ve been in history class)…
People were enraged, etc…. Something or other about putting the heads of the ruling class on pikes or something.
The shortest route to revolution, is starvation.
Thanks for your service sir. And your vids. :)
To the volcanic winter survivability point, I'd like to add that in history we have been on the back foot for food, only in the modern age do we have the odd situation of most people not being involved in food production. It would be a harsh changeover, but turning most of our efforts to making food or generating energy for food production should be doable.
I'm a prior TEAM guy, that that was in Ramadi peak GWOT; 07/08. I imagine dystopia would appear similar.
what is the music used for the Volcano chapter? the description does not mention it.
Have to talked to or seen the work of Ben Davidson & the Suspicious Observers? His understanding of upcoming events are very insightful.
As long as it comes with a background choir
John Ringo's Under a Graveyard Sky (1) (Black Tide Rising)
Gives a fairly realist portrayal of fast zombies and a mechanism for their creation.
I highly recommend anything by John Ringo but will warn that Ghost (Paladin of Shadows Book 1) the hero's is a little dark and kinky for everyone's if he didn't control himself so well he could easily be the villain.
Had to rewatch with a different 👀👂 left them thinking well done my friends both of you your time and effort shine 💯💖🍻
They all say the same with a big rusty dusty brain start thinking and not on there social media 😂
TRUE
Comming from Kurzgesact, surviving the apocalypse is a nice video to go to sleep just fine.
most of the U.S. arsenal of nuclear weapons is located in our most productive agricultural areas in silos such as ne Colorado, nw Kansas, se Wyoming, the Dakotas etc. consequently the impacts to food supplies from a nuclear attack actually would be substantial and not relatively minor as stated.
Thank you for your service and sacrifice soldier
"I was once inside the kill radius for an artillery strike. Aside from getting fucking artillery striked, i was fine"
Chad
I worked security for a company during their IRAQ war. Even in the Green Zone it was dangers faced artillery strike as well, saw one bus hit with about 20 people on it men women and children, seen stuff that will make people cry, not as much as some of the service men and women did but did see enough for me... I made enough to pay off my house and all my bills while I was over there
See the online series Salvation War for what would happen if the forces of heaven and hell as described by Dante go up against modern humanity. It's a good read.
Yay new video
What about Taurids meteors? There is hypothesis that there was a comet impact at the end of last ice age roughly 12,800 year ago. It wiped out all megafauna and drastically changed climate. If this did happen, it came from Taurids. We are passing through them twice a year. How viable that scenario is to you?
2250A.D. - Andre Norton - great book about this.
An AI could very well read our ethical philosophy, understand it perfectly such that it could convincingly apply it, but not internalize it. So the moment you look away it starts building a puppy kicking factory because that maximizes some other goal it has.