The Luck Factor™* for Kripp was 0,13 on the good luck and 3,05 on the bad luck. He was a bit unlucky this game. The average chance for Kripp to win the winnable games was 69,13%. The average outcome for Kripp was 80,49 (Where 0,01 would represent incredible difficult results and 99,9 the most likely ones). . . *The Luck factor is calculated based on the real outcome vs the possible ones. (100% and 0% results are excluded since no luck was involved). -> A Luck Factor™ of 0,01 would represent everything went as expected with only a negligible amount of luck (as in 99,9% win/tie/loss). -> A Luck Factor™ of 1 would represent the luck of winning a coin flip. -> The higher the Luck Factor™, the luckier (or unluckier) he was.
would you mind explaining how you calculate that "luck factor"? some random number doesn't do anything for me if i don't know what it is supposed to tell me
@@mandurrudnam7632 It is explained under the results in a simple way to get an idea. But I can copy-paste my previous explanation in other videos: In the luck factor I take into account the final outcome vs the possible ones and compare if the others were better or worse. For each case I assign a factor depending on how big was that difference, and then add all the times luck was in his favor vs the times it was against him. Let's take a simple case in which he wins a match with a 50% chance and 50% to lose, the good luck factor would be 1. In the case he then loses a match with 50%, the bad luck factor would be 1. The more unlikely, the higher the number will be.
@@mandurrudnam7632 Yes those numbers don't really mean anything without a proper explanation.. We need a test of statistical significance of his departure from the expectation.. something like a t-test, right? A number that tells us how often (%) would Kripp get this level of luck or greater just due to random variance..
T1: 1:32 "Ok, gimme" T2: 3:06 "Alright, let's get a third" T3: 4:01 "This is uuuuuuuum... pretty decent board I think for a Deathwing match" T4: 5:10 "I'm thinking I can probably beaT a lot of murloc builds" T5: 6:16 "K" T6: 12:39 "Alright"
Spoiler for this video: In this video, Kripp gets... first place. His most recent non-first video was 2 videos ago, in HOW IS SIX JUGGLERS NOT ENOUGH?! where got 2nd as Kael'thas. His most recent bottom four video was 82 videos ago, in DON’T MURLOC ON SLEEP DEPRIVATION, where he got 8th as Yogg.
He had another game recently where he was the one with the golden Baron and he had the beast off a Ghastcoiler proc and ended up giving 3 Finkles to his opponent, but that won him the match because Baron ended up attacking into a 3/3 instead of the opponent's giant minions and he won the game because of it.
Really feeling the midrange meta again at 7-7.5k. I shared a screenshot with my mates of a malygos dragon board I’d built and managed to finish 7th. I was two turns off being literally invincible but got highrolled out by a kobalt jnr build just because I hadn’t pulled a nadina yet.
It still happens at 8k+ but I agree it's hard to pull off. Yesterday barely won with late game menagerie (including a triple Imp Mama) against triple golden Saurilisk.
@@eltjeau Low MMR either means you still do not know how to play the game or you do not care about winning and force your favourite comps whenever you can. For the OP's case, second one i guess.
You go divine shield dragons and try to spike kalecgos on tavern 5. The divine shield build will get you top 4 most games, kalecgos will get you 1st if you get 3 turns of buffing. It's one of the most prominent builds in 9k+
Dragons are pretty good if you're Reno and get Kalecgos off an early Shifter Zerus >:) that run really felt like cheating, I was scaling a board of 5 dragons with a golden Kalecgos by turn 9
Tbh the dragon build is extremely inconsistent and all the mid-range tier dragons are weak as shit, you need a really good rng and must have it as early as possible because some of that rely on buff base on turn... so in conclusion, a dragon build that can barely compete in the early game, that need a good rng to pull off, and even in late game if you manage, you can still lose to some random frogs
Why does Kripp always gets a Kalecgos when tripling something at tavern 5 and I only get it while at tavern 6 when usually it's too late and I just die?
the "win game buff" dragon i always see a curse, every time i get it i just loose... or if i see some one else with it.. well they soon go out... never pick it!!
The mid-range meta is really not meshing with me at all. The big menagerie, dragon and murloc builds are my favorites, and they really aren't working. And I don't have the intuition yet for how to play the mid-range when the pieces aren't offered early, so my rating has tanked way down to below 8000 now 😕
I'd love to see the mid-game dominant cards get a negative effect to add some kind of risk for going all-in on midgame. How about something like Juggler deals 1 damage to your hero for each demon you play. Or something like: Juggler deals 1 damage to enemies + 1 per each non-deathrattle demon on your board. If they want to get crazy, you could make Juggler a hand card, same effect but with any demon held in the hand.
@@magi_stricide Yes, that's the point. Juggler build is forceable and all-reward with no risk right now, that's why people do it every single game. Builds like Juggler are what makes the meta fast, adding some risk so they're not so consistent will make them less common and slow the games down.
When you're all dragons, why not taunt the majority of your board for taunt battlecry buffs? Even if you end on Nadina it's not like that getting cleaved is a bad thing.
What is he on about... dragons are alive and well at high mmr. I'm at 10.5k mmr on EU and I see more people going for dragons per game then most other builds, and often enough one of them gets lucky enough to get 1st to 3rd place.
how can u get what u want, all my game give me craps after craps like i rolled 10 times not even a single murloc show up, out of 50 instances nothing show up
Krip complained for almost a minute about a hit that is almost inconsequential. Where he hit the spawn or it will hit him would barely change the outcome. He likes to mislead people, likes to keep his viewer stupid.
The Luck Factor™* for Kripp was 0,13 on the good luck and 3,05 on the bad luck.
He was a bit unlucky this game.
The average chance for Kripp to win the winnable games was 69,13%.
The average outcome for Kripp was 80,49 (Where 0,01 would represent incredible difficult results and 99,9 the most likely ones).
.
.
*The Luck factor is calculated based on the real outcome vs the possible ones. (100% and 0% results are excluded since no luck was involved).
-> A Luck Factor™ of 0,01 would represent everything went as expected with only a negligible amount of luck (as in 99,9% win/tie/loss).
-> A Luck Factor™ of 1 would represent the luck of winning a coin flip.
-> The higher the Luck Factor™, the luckier (or unluckier) he was.
Man, i would like to thank you for your work. Thanks to you, we know if kripp is lucky or unlucky objectively.
would you mind explaining how you calculate that "luck factor"? some random number doesn't do anything for me if i don't know what it is supposed to tell me
@@mandurrudnam7632 It is explained under the results in a simple way to get an idea. But I can copy-paste my previous explanation in other videos:
In the luck factor I take into account the final outcome vs the possible ones and compare if the others were better or worse. For each case I assign a factor depending on how big was that difference, and then add all the times luck was in his favor vs the times it was against him.
Let's take a simple case in which he wins a match with a 50% chance and 50% to lose, the good luck factor would be 1. In the case he then loses a match with 50%, the bad luck factor would be 1. The more unlikely, the higher the number will be.
@@mandurrudnam7632 Yes those numbers don't really mean anything without a proper explanation.. We need a test of statistical significance of his departure from the expectation.. something like a t-test, right? A number that tells us how often (%) would Kripp get this level of luck or greater just due to random variance..
Why do you use a comma instead of a period?
1:24 Skipperino the kripperino
1:32 Skipperino to recruiterino
DUDE, ITS BEEN LIKE, 30 SEVONDS
Where's the real penis at!?
@@SinTransphobicTrigger Yes I support @kronosfuries999 Penis KEKWait
Queef
@@SinTransphobicTrigger confuserino
T1: 1:32 "Ok, gimme"
T2: 3:06 "Alright, let's get a third"
T3: 4:01 "This is uuuuuuuum... pretty decent board I think for a Deathwing match"
T4: 5:10 "I'm thinking I can probably beaT a lot of murloc builds"
T5: 6:16 "K"
T6: 12:39 "Alright"
Spoiler for this video: In this video, Kripp gets...
first place. His most recent non-first video was 2 videos ago, in HOW IS SIX JUGGLERS NOT ENOUGH?! where got 2nd as Kael'thas. His most recent bottom four video was 82 videos ago, in DON’T MURLOC ON SLEEP DEPRIVATION, where he got 8th as Yogg.
Huh, Kripp is so talented. Has gotten top 4 82 games in a row.
Al Yi Crazy how he can play for like half a day at a time and win every single game
@@dssc8691 I espect this is sarcasm.
I was nowhere to be seen this entire game
As always
The Finkle Einhorn carry at the end there :O
He had another game recently where he was the one with the golden Baron and he had the beast off a Ghastcoiler proc and ended up giving 3 Finkles to his opponent, but that won him the match because Baron ended up attacking into a 3/3 instead of the opponent's giant minions and he won the game because of it.
@@Stand_By_For_Mind_Control in this game though, the baron died just before the finkle spawns reducing the potential damage
When you watch Kripp and your a baguette et qu'il est 4:20 am sur Paris. I'm proud of this.
American Translation please
Wigglytuff Gaming
When you watch Kripp while being French and it’s 4:20 am in Paris. Blaze it.
@@asw654 Thanks dude, my english is really bad so i does'nt want to make big mistakes
MU MO don’t worry about it we may seem ignorant but we really appreciate people trying
@@asw654 sick af
Kripps Bob impersonation at 3:49 killed me
That wink was priceless
He perfectly captured how much bob is anoying. God, i hate bob
18:59 The one time killing Baron first is bad... Never lucky dude.
7:23 good to see his salt kept in check with the statistics sometimes lol
Kripp: My best Bob impression? Kripp: I’m rootin for you Bob: *Laughing*. Bob: We all hit some bumps now and then
That basically sums up my Dragon experience: Get 2 Kalecgos and be 7th place...
Kripp was NOT carried by murlocs this game. Mrglmglrmgl.
Really feeling the midrange meta again at 7-7.5k.
I shared a screenshot with my mates of a malygos dragon board I’d built and managed to finish 7th.
I was two turns off being literally invincible but got highrolled out by a kobalt jnr build just because I hadn’t pulled a nadina yet.
Someone make a kripperino for every time kripp mistakes kalecgos for malygos
you do it
It still happens at 8k+ but I agree it's hard to pull off. Yesterday barely won with late game menagerie (including a triple Imp Mama) against triple golden Saurilisk.
Dragons are my favorite build. This midrange meta makes me sad. Lucky me at my 5.7k I can get away with dragons :)
At 5,7 k you get away with everything lmao
If you get away with it/anything, how are you 5.7k?
@@eltjeau Low MMR either means you still do not know how to play the game or you do not care about winning and force your favourite comps whenever you can. For the OP's case, second one i guess.
@@eyupunlu2944 No, low MMR means you don't win.
@@remnant24 That's what they said - they just detailed the reasons why one might not win
Today's fact: Sunsets on Mars are blue.
This is the comment i look for in every bg video
You go divine shield dragons and try to spike kalecgos on tavern 5. The divine shield build will get you top 4 most games, kalecgos will get you 1st if you get 3 turns of buffing. It's one of the most prominent builds in 9k+
baron dies when last 2 relevant deathrattles are the beast and replicating menace.
Kripp: "YES BARON DIE FINALLY"
Dragons are pretty good if you're Reno and get Kalecgos off an early Shifter Zerus >:)
that run really felt like cheating, I was scaling a board of 5 dragons with a golden Kalecgos by turn 9
Top damage: 34
I'm kinda disappointed he didn't go searching for Murozonds after playing a guy with two Kalecgoses.
Forget the game play 20 minute video of Bob impersonations for next video.
I was the double Kalecgos guy that got demolished :(
No
I just realized, when is the last time Kripp played mechs on one of these youtube videos? Seems like it's been ages.
Ages? I'm still holding out for some Arena content 🙂
What app is that at the top? Thx and great content krip
Bob's buddy, I believe it's part of the deck tracker extension but I may be wrong
Dang Kripp has a dragon fetish now
Fun fact: Dragons do not exist
Tamerlan Burgumbayev Is this real??
not yet
That you know of >:D
If that's true, then explain the komodo dragon
:(
Tbh the dragon build is extremely inconsistent and all the mid-range tier dragons are weak as shit, you need a really good rng and must have it as early as possible because some of that rely on buff base on turn... so in conclusion, a dragon build that can barely compete in the early game, that need a good rng to pull off, and even in late game if you manage, you can still lose to some random frogs
......
I had a game last for 18 rounds recently. And we weren't even that powerful. We must have all been low rolling!
how do you do a mid range build?
Why does Kripp always gets a Kalecgos when tripling something at tavern 5 and I only get it while at tavern 6 when usually it's too late and I just die?
the "win game buff" dragon i always see a curse, every time i get it i just loose... or if i see some one else with it.. well they soon go out... never pick it!!
kripp does not go afk in this video
Well,
Dragons were almost bombed into extinction this game
here 8 mins after the skiperino, must be my lucky day
The mid-range meta is really not meshing with me at all. The big menagerie, dragon and murloc builds are my favorites, and they really aren't working. And I don't have the intuition yet for how to play the mid-range when the pieces aren't offered early, so my rating has tanked way down to below 8000 now 😕
Finally not murlocs
Because how's it going ktipparian here
That why I always use 100% moves in Pokemon games ; /
I'd love to see the mid-game dominant cards get a negative effect to add some kind of risk for going all-in on midgame. How about something like Juggler deals 1 damage to your hero for each demon you play. Or something like: Juggler deals 1 damage to enemies + 1 per each non-deathrattle demon on your board. If they want to get crazy, you could make Juggler a hand card, same effect but with any demon held in the hand.
@@magi_stricide Yes, that's the point. Juggler build is forceable and all-reward with no risk right now, that's why people do it every single game. Builds like Juggler are what makes the meta fast, adding some risk so they're not so consistent will make them less common and slow the games down.
Dragons aren’t a good strat but even at high mmr the winner of the lobby is whoever high rolled and it’s often dragons
damn he's good
8k+? Half the lobby is dead on turn 5 at 5k mmr..
Makes me wonder if high level players farm low MMR
this dragonbuild isnt that highrole in my Oppinnion. no Nadina and only one Kalegos but yes on that MMR ranking thats Unlikely enough.
1:28 why opponents name are those of the characters ? it was not supposed to be someone's nickname
what does mid range mean?
So I actually want to drop to 5k and stay there? Aight then, I can do.
I think battlegrounds would be a bit better if everyone started with 50 health
Kalecgos Park
My games are also shorter than before, at 5.5k. Folks are gitting gud
Edit: that was not Bob lol
Kripp sounds so depressed
When you're all dragons, why not taunt the majority of your board for taunt battlecry buffs? Even if you end on Nadina it's not like that getting cleaved is a bad thing.
What is he on about... dragons are alive and well at high mmr. I'm at 10.5k mmr on EU and I see more people going for dragons per game then most other builds, and often enough one of them gets lucky enough to get 1st to 3rd place.
Lol
gotta love how he picked up comment that "dragons are the most boring build"
prettty sure that reward goes to murlocs
how can u get what u want, all my game give me craps after craps like i rolled 10 times not even a single murloc show up, out of 50 instances nothing show up
Kripp love your video and your irl but can fix the fouce on the camer it's anyoing somtimes
If you can fix your spelling he can fix his camera
dude, what's with the right side of your face, did u sleep wrong or did you get hit in the face?
IMPORTANT PUBLIC ANNOUNCEMENT
We are running out of sarcasms. In fact, there is only one sarcasm left, so we have to REALLY make it count.
Okaaayy, I’ll be _sure_ to do that
Wow! So original!
Kevin Tu Thanks, I tried my _very hardest_ to make it “good.”
Damn, reading this was such a waste of time that I instantly gave up on spending my time wisely and decided to reply to this horrendous comment. gg wp
So old to hear him complain about games he has little to no chance of winning
Another see battlecry pick battlecry game ZZZZZ
Dragons are super boring
Krip complained for almost a minute about a hit that is almost inconsequential. Where he hit the spawn or it will hit him would barely change the outcome. He likes to mislead people, likes to keep his viewer stupid.
kaly is such a brainless boring way to win the game. but gg
More ugly murlocs i see