Phil Anderson on the 18.6-year real estate cycle and more!

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 พ.ย. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 52

  • @FSCtv
    @FSCtv  11 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    🌎 Become a cycles insider. Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/

  • @rogerbason9558
    @rogerbason9558 ปีที่แล้ว +30

    I bought The Secret Wealth Advantage after watching this TH-cam and I its not just a book filled with incredible history but also a roadmap and game plan for the next collapse. Its also a easy read. Would highly recommend it.

  • @fifiaussie4215
    @fifiaussie4215 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Phil Anderson explains so clearly and passionately at times, I hope he never stops sharing his knowledge.

  • @catstac1
    @catstac1 ปีที่แล้ว +16

    A wonderful interview thank you. The amount of knowledge amongst the three speakers is astronomical, life changing and priceless. Thank you so much xx

  • @marcbarnes5174
    @marcbarnes5174 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    Brilliant video. Thank you very much all of you. Great work. Love all you guys. Read both Phil and Akhil’s books.

  • @jasonjennings9389
    @jasonjennings9389 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I've read both books. A wake up moment for me personally which has transformed my approach to wall street and investing. Currently in the middle of my second read of The Secret Wealth Advantage.

  • @MarcInTbilisi
    @MarcInTbilisi ปีที่แล้ว +6

    This was way more interesting than the title suggested. Well done!

    • @mradeelmirza
      @mradeelmirza 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Phil is the original

  • @andrewmckeen2112
    @andrewmckeen2112 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Great as usual by FSC and PSE; Love Phil's saying 'The fed is always behind the curve and governments always make things worse'.

  • @Hacktheplanet_
    @Hacktheplanet_ 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This is fantastic! I love stuff like this, bought both books! It's shocking to see how academic subjects can be so influenced, Noam Chomsky talked about it alot. Thanks for your hard work guys

  • @cointrader9288
    @cointrader9288 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I bought Phil’s book. Thx you

  • @jasbains8127
    @jasbains8127 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Excellent interview all round. Well done chaps.

  • @WillieWood42
    @WillieWood42 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Awesome interview. Thank you for putting this together and asking great questions!

  • @shinecaityy
    @shinecaityy 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This is very insightful, about to buy the book. When he says “takes you a few years to get to that point” regarding debt servicing, is he saying a few years in your home to build equity or a few years for the market to recover in order to be able to access a loan with a reasonable rate?

  • @hughtube86
    @hughtube86 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great chat! 3 Big brains here

  • @Sainter66
    @Sainter66 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Great interview..
    Was watching as Akhil was discussing the umbrella sellers. As I watched that my 8 & 10yo sons out the backyard. One had a tennis racket and the other a soccer ball.. The game looks like, “ who can inflict the most damage on each other “.

  • @nthperson
    @nthperson ปีที่แล้ว +2

    One of the dynamics driving the U.S. residential property markets is the percentage of sales that are for cash and not involve mortgage loan financing. In 2022 (according to Attom) all-cash sales comprised 36.1% of the total. In some high cost markets the percentage is actually much higher. In the city of Augusta, Georgia the percentage was 72.1 percent. The same dynamic occurs in the second home/resort communities.

  • @Guillebrex
    @Guillebrex ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Thanks for this!

  • @neinnein3972
    @neinnein3972 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thank you!

  • @bssb936
    @bssb936 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Brilliant thanks

  • @tochriss
    @tochriss 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It was an interesting exercise to ask chat gpt to project the next cyclical low in UK house prices based on combining various cycle theories.

  • @trevorkeyser9746
    @trevorkeyser9746 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very good 👍 thank you 🙏

  • @josephallen8545
    @josephallen8545 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Please healp me understand the ".6".. 14 years up then 4 years retracement for 18 years. What is the ".6" in the "18.6"? Thank you.

    • @timhet200
      @timhet200 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      It’s just the average amount of time based on all the US cycles that Phil has studied. It’s never exactly a certain number of years, but it averages 18.6. Believe it’s never been longer than 21 and never shorter than 15 or thereabouts. If you’re playing the odds, 18.6 is the average.

  • @mradeelmirza
    @mradeelmirza 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you very much for this. I will sell my Bank and property shares in 2026. 🤣🤣🤣

  • @ericnatapradja
    @ericnatapradja ปีที่แล้ว +7

    I love an angry Phil 😅

  • @FiscalWoofer
    @FiscalWoofer 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    “They are not getting it and deserve what they are going to get “ 100% this is it. The talking heads just don’t get it and refuse to listen.

  • @superpower612
    @superpower612 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    So if Melbourne didn’t see a down swing after the 18 year cycle that ended in 2008-2009. Should we expect one in 2026?

    • @Hhajsjeieirhrbbr
      @Hhajsjeieirhrbbr 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Hard to say but I think I’ve heard Phil say in other interviews that this time we won’t have China around to a spend a heap of money in our economy during that time. And we were in a mining boom

  • @nightghost569
    @nightghost569 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    So when the downturn hasppens,what does Phil suggest to do/invest again?

    • @Medreg1983
      @Medreg1983 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Read akhils book

  • @DisperseControl
    @DisperseControl 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

  • @nikolaussoundso
    @nikolaussoundso ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Never heard of this 82/84 year cycle Phil mentioned. This corresponds to 1945 in 2027. Is this a war cycle?

    • @MrRfholmes
      @MrRfholmes ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I believe so

    • @justinmobrien91
      @justinmobrien91 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Yes

    • @darrenwilson8921
      @darrenwilson8921 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Yes it is, though its more accurate to say this is the United States' Uranus return (84 years) as timed from Americas birth date (July 4th 1776). Freemasons would understand the significance of the date. Add 84 years forwards from 1776, then add another 84 etc - what do you see?

    • @roseparsons6305
      @roseparsons6305 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@darrenwilson8921 = a good 3 yrs of solid growth

  • @leondbleondb
    @leondbleondb ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Anyone have a TL;DR version for me? I don't have the 2 hours soon.

    • @nikolaussoundso
      @nikolaussoundso ปีที่แล้ว +3

      2008-style debt bubble with real estate crisis to start 2026. Mood will be good by then, developing debt issues will be seen small initially. Crisis center may be saudi arabia or china, not necessarily US. After that, technology stocks will outperform again

    • @nikolaussoundso
      @nikolaussoundso ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Interestingly, Phil doesn't believe that a new gold-backed BRICS currency poses a threat to the $ system and that the inability for currency expansion during crisis exacerbates the crisis in those BRICS nations as it did when the US$ was gold-backed.

    • @leondbleondb
      @leondbleondb ปีที่แล้ว

      @@nikolaussoundso thank you.

    • @Medreg1983
      @Medreg1983 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Shut up and watch it

    • @leondbleondb
      @leondbleondb 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Medreg1983 no.

  • @bloodbathy
    @bloodbathy 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    How much these people have made with this knowledge? Can anyone tell us?

    • @tochriss
      @tochriss 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@bloodbathy I was wondering the same thing. Refunds after 18.6 years?

  • @madmullet69
    @madmullet69 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I like how Phil hates these talks lmao

  • @dogegamer3288
    @dogegamer3288 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Houses will double in just a few years like they always do when the rates come down. I've been saying no crash for 3 years when everyone said it's going to be worse than 2008. I also have comments the last 3 years all over YT saying not only no crash but houses will double in price once rates come down. It always happens in a short time frame 3-4 years.

  • @riverat7558
    @riverat7558 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The reason some people have so little is because they're not willing to take the pain of starting a business and working yourself to the bone. Decade after decade after decade. And then assuming you have profits to invest go forward with buying assets. That's really all there is to it. This is from a 66-year-old boomer who started with a pickup truck and a hammer.

  • @AtaraxiaaixaratA
    @AtaraxiaaixaratA หลายเดือนก่อน

    One would think that with all the 'money' Phil Anderson is making w/ 'land' speculation? He could afford a $20 microphone from Best Buy. Geez...

  • @andrebiswah9241
    @andrebiswah9241 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    And Uranium

  • @cl5379
    @cl5379 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    great