@@Slavic_Goblinis as fuck. How many times can you make the same video worded differently. “How ukraine stopped the russian invasion” then 3 hours later “the russian invasion was stopped by ukraine, heres how” then the next day “russia failed their invasion of ukraine heres why” Also “heres the same lines on maps I showed the last 40 videos.
I live in Kherson. About the minefields: Option 3 is correct. Traitors not only gave away their locations, but arranged for them to be removed. But more importantly, orcs simply used the normal roads and drove all the way, relaxed and unopposed, all the way from Armanysk to the Antonivka bridge. We watched it in real time. You need to make a separate video about the heroic defense of Mykolyaiv, where regular citizens helped ZSU repel the orcs at the northern entrance to the city. It's an amazing story. Will be a movie. At 7am the morning of the 24th, I said to my wife: we need to blow the bridge. Never happened. We were just sitting there, waiting to see the terrorists enter our city, in disbelief. Very unfortunate we didn't have the same heroic resistance in Kherson.
From outside we don’t doubt the bravery of the people of Kherson. Trying to defend it like those in Mykolaiv did would just have gotten you slaughtered uselessly, because you were betrayed by some of your local leaders.
I think you left out an important part regarding Mykolyaiv. On the first day of the war the council held an emergency meeting, during which someone remembered how Czechoslovakia had been taken by the Russians. A plane called in with engine trouble and was given permission to land. It was full of paratroopers and Czechoslovakia was taken. So the Mykolyaiv council told everyone to bring their heavy machinery and park it on the runway. The next morning a plane descended through the cloud cover and had to quickly abort landing. The subsequent battle for the town failed and Odessa was saved. That’s how I heard it.
That’s how I heard it. :????? So you’re saying that the Russians sent a single plane of troops all the way over to Odessa without any support? That would be like the US in WW2 dropping the 101st on Paris in the hopes that they could hold out for months until relieved
Anybody travelling to Paris in first class, where proper metal cutlery is provided, could secure unconditional surrender within 20 minutes of landing. It’s just that nobody wants to.
@@johnchrysostomon6284 No it wouldn't, put in a plane full of troops and secure airport, follow up by further flights and basically you have a force behind the lines with Ukraine havng to face both ways. Didn't Russia try to take Hostomel airport with the same aim in mind. As far as Paris is concerned in 1944, the German army was retreating after the Normandy battles, I hardly think the 101st would have to hold more than a couple of days.
I don't judge the rest of the news media too harshly. They produce reports for people who don't possess the deeper contextual understanding that is helpful in understanding Dr Spaniel's lectures. You're being here indicates you likely have a higher degree of knowledge about the conflict than does the typical news audience. The thing that surprises me is that Dr. Spaniel attracts as big of an audience as he does. I suspect it is because of his exceptional insight on the subject as well as his speaking ability and the humor he brings. 👍
@@noyopacificliterally a million plus people end up watching some of Perun's defence economics PowerPoint presentations, there's definitely a market out there for this kind of content.
We talk so much about Russia and it’s failure in the conflict, I think a really cool video would be how to ACTUALLY do an offensive. What about a comparison between the invasion of Ukraine and Desert Storm?
We see how ukraine's counterattack is going... Massive losses for no gain... turns out russians weren't sooooo incompetent just that aggressive Warfare is very hard in modern times
@@maximus2536oh absolutely. The only significant losses by the coalition forces was by over eager friendly fire. I remember one of the tank ambushes laid by Saddam's forces mismeasured their distance and rounds fell short as US tanks crested the hill. What followed was the better ranged US tanks wiping out the whole enemy armoured group without having to worry about return fire.
You do a great job breaking down and explaining the war in Ukraine. I can't wait to hear what you have to say about Wagner going rogue and invading southern Russia. Will they make it past Rostov? Confusion to our enemies, Slava Ukraini :)
Excellent presentation W.S. You clarified a few questions I've had regarding some of the areas you discussed. Undoubtedly, many of us wait with anticipation, when will the major push will occur. Am confident Ukraine will come out on top of this, it will be a pleasure watching Russia gets its clock cleaned, hopefully for good!
I can't get enough of your work. Thanks for all the hard work and effort you put into these; your insight really helps shed some light for those of us who want to know more. Keep it up!
I can almost hear you franticly typing after todays news of the Wagner coup. Can't wait, your videos on this war are the best, I hope that when this is all over (very soon) that you continue to make videos on other subjects.
Amazing work, I just discovered your channel and I'm amazed at the quality and depth of your views on this most serious war. I'm currently working my way backwards through your catalogue and learning so much about the back story and tactics that I had previously missed. Great job again and "Viva Ukraine!".
@@mobolajiawe160 I guess you could say he is not. I don't really care. He may support a side, but he keeps to the facts. So, while I guess he may not be unbiased. I do feel that his reports are well researched and pretty darn well, close to the truth. Magnitudes closer than any Russian bot, or propagandist would be on the other side of the coin. William doesn't make things up. Oh, and @reservoirdog (cool nick by the way!!!) said that "his assessments" weren't biased. There's a difference. Play the ball, not the man. 💙⚽💛
I'm still slightly disappointed we didn't get the Dimestore D-Day attempt by Russia trying to do an amphibious landing. It would have made for some interesting reef habitats and kept the fish fed
Slightly, but Russia isn’t quite that stupid. They were only going to land if they had support nearby. So we were only going to see the amphibious landing go horribly wrong for Russia if the rest of the war was going horribly wrong for Ukraine.
its hilarious how terrible their capabilities are. The US can carry out amphibious landings from halfway around the globe, they can air drop enough paratroopers to block out the sun, they can gain air superiority against nearly any foe, and they can carry out special forces missions deep behind enemy lines. Russia thought they had parity with the US but in this war they cant really send planes into enemy air space, they cant air drop their airborne units anywhere, they have no real amphibious assault capabilities, they cant even use their ships against an enemy with no navy, and the lost most of their special forces in the space of months
@@benoithudson7235 That and there was rumours of mutiny in the Russian marines at the time deciding it was a bad idea. Course in light of current events: standby while the ballerinas stretch and warm up for Swan Lake
With rumors of Japan and South Korea possibly wanting to join NATO or to create a similar organization with the United States, they could all just join PATO (PAcific Treaty Organization) and leave Turkey out.
While the idea IS funny, the key importance of NATO is locational. Ukraine joining a pacific based alliance, while not meritless, would not have anywhere near as much guarantee’s, success, or value for all parties involved outside of USA.
Whenever i'm clicking on a video of William spaniel i'm expecting a new an deeply satisfactory insight into history that doesnt get talked about ordinarilly. I never get disappointed. 10/10 channel.
The people in the Donbas region is Uralic not slavish. That what the war. Russia wants to give the Uralic people independence. The Donbas region is Uralic.
Well, can't wait for the coup video. Hard to say how long it will last, but I don't like Prigozhin's chances. He better stay away from basement windows.
Most informative channel on this war in terms of analysis rather than daily updates. Really great content! Thanks for providing this much needed perspective.
The Moskva had actually been in terrible shape since at least 2018. The radar and communication systems could not be used together as they interfered with each other, the engines were all multiple thousands of hours past their service replacement date and two could not be switched on without express permission from the admiral. Only one of the air defense systems actually worked because they had to cannibalise all the others to make that one work, and all the damage control equipment, fire extinguishers, etc were in lockers that could not be unlocked unless someone ran all the way to the bridge, got the key, and ran all the way back, meanwhile the ship is on fire. This means that not only were the crew unable to figure out exactly what happened once they got hit(the radar would have been switched on, because that is the protocol for a Russian ship under attack, and thus the communication systems would be disabled) until someone actually got to the bridge and told them, they couldn't deal with the fires or any of the damage because everything was in those lockers, and the only reason that they could tell they had been hit was because they felt an explosion. The ship was done for the moment those missiles were fired, even if they didn't try to "sneak around"(you can't sneak around a radar even if it was working) the defenses.
@solinvictus7582 literally just did Listen Ivan, it's not that fucking hard to maintain anything. I'm actually surprised that the Russian army is this ill maintained. though I guess the oligarchs swallowed up all the money.
Chongar Bridge´s new vulnerability adds 120 Km to the distance of freight on wheels from Novorossiysk to Melitopol and Mariupol. This should affect the Battles there soon.
kind of crazy how people constantly think of Russia as this unbeatable juggernaut until they receive a horrible humiliating defeat and then ignore that go back to making them out to be a superpower level military. The Russo Japanese war was one of the first times a western power lost against a non-western enemy in centuries, they got hammered in WW1, lost a war with Finland, lost against TINY enemies like Estonia, Lithuania, Georgia, and Latvia, lost a war to Poland, and while they did win their second invasion of Finland it was an extremely humiliating victory considering they were fighting a far inferior foe and took 5x the casualties. Similarly their loss in the first Chechen war and victory in the second were both pretty humiliating as they had to resort to leveling whole cities because despite having 10x the men and having an army that's nearly the same population as the entire Chechen Republic they still couldnt even risk going into cities without taking heavy losses, and again the Russians took around 5x the casualties in the first war and around 3x as many in the second war (and killing around 10 civilians for every chechen fighter they killed).
@@Gametheory101 I had tried to get Perun to make a video on the Fire Nation invasion for April Fool's day this year, but he didn't go for it 😁 If you're looking for a topic for an extra video, I would love to see one!
the Neptune missiles didn't "sneak" past Moskva's AA systems as out of the 8 possible ways it had to intercept them ( aa missiles, its multi purpose guns and 6 cwis turrets) only one was operational. its radar was supposedly off so it could transmit and restive communications as the FPP was locked up to stop it getting stolen.
Well, technically, from what little I know, we don’t actually know that’s true. A supposed maintenance report from before sailing made those claims, but I believe no one has officially confirmed that document was authentic, or even in the same style as Russian navy does maintaining reports. If the document was original and accurate, though, it would make the commanders who send out the Moskva be criminally negligent and they should be court-martialed for letting the ship get into that condition, let alone sending it out on war patrol in said conditions. Which, of course, is probably why either 1. Someone faked that report or 2. No one dares confirm it being real, as it actually is. Truth is first casualty in war, and all that
@@KILLERMATYCZ what was determined through those picture? That is was most likely hit by 2 anti-ship missiles, and at least 2 water hoses were working? Yes that we could see on the picture. But interference between radio & radar? State of maintaining of the engines? The other firefighting equipment being missing or locked away? That we can’t determine from 2 pictures on the outside.
@@KILLERMATYCZ it was? Huh. I have been following the war pretty closely, but hadn’t heard about that. Regardless, it is possible (at least in theory) that there is another reason for that then radio interference. Like arrogance or incompetence, wouldn’t be the first or last time either of those showed up in Russian armed forces during this war. And even if the radio & radar indeed interfered, that does not yet proof the rest of the leaked rapport. Gives it more credibility, yes, but not definitive proof. I kinda hope, but also don’t, that the rapport was not fully accurate. Because it would make me sad if their commanders were such criminally negligent bastards to send out their conscripts in a ship in such a bad state. But I would not necessary been surprised, considering the other crimes the Russian leaders had committed to their own people as well as the peoples of all countries they have attacked
Fun fact: cruiser mosscow was given the name “Nemesis” by the people of odessa because of it they were not allowed to swim. Also it did some costal bobmarnent but swimming is the main issue
22:05 if they're not using the English names, then wouldn’t Switzerland end up in a different position? The ISO abbreviation for Switzerland is CH, as in Confederation of Helvetia or the Latin Confederatio Helvetica.
The French name for Switzerland is Suisse. So, it's different, but it still falls in between them (unless there is something further confusing going on).
@Gametheory101 I believe you, I think the weirdness is with the ISO codes. I recently had to look up a bunch of them for a project, and the Switzerland one caused a bit of confusion. I've never heard of them be called the Confederation of Helvetia anywhere else, so why are they with the ISO abbreviation?
@@fematrailer Switzerland has 4 official languages and choosing one of them to be the basis for the abbreviation would be problematic because the speakers of the other languages wouldn't like it. CH is a more neutral choice.
Personally I think that the dam blowing up weekend the rusian defensive positions. When the area dries out it could lead to a major Ukrainian strike pointe as it is relatively undefended if at all. All the Ukrainians need to do is hold up until conditions are favorable for attack.
The area is now going to dry out soon. Even when the water level falls, the mud, dead fish, and waste will still be everywhere. It will take several months, but then it will start raining and the mud will return. I doubt this plan will ever work.
Regarding Mykolaiiv, "ignoring" is a very inaccurate word. Ruscists have been shelling and bombing the city every day pretty much from day one and at the very least until the Kherson counteroffensive, though regular rocket and drone strikes continued until recently. The city suffered a lot, so "ignoring" is not tge correct word at all.
I'm pretty sure "ignoring" in that context referred to not directly assaulting the city with infantry to assume full control on the ground. Obviously no part of southern Ukraine was free of "attention," nearly every population center in the country sustains drone bombardment to this very day.
Ignoring might have been a poor choice of words. Gave up might be more appropriate. Although given the mocking tone, ignored was chosen as it would liken Russia pretending it never tried to take Mykolaiiv or Kyiv or three days, therefore weren't defeated.
Been watching your channel for a while and finally subscribed. You are now one of my very discriminative go-to channels for the Ukraine war and history documentaries.
Generally agree, except Ukraine was no ignoring the signs of ruzzian offensive nor optimistic. Their intelligence chief literally stated last year that they had massive dilemma before the invasion started, they knew the attack was imminent, but they had two options of which neither was good (hence dilemma): 1. declare the emergency and make the risks known to the public, but lock all the roads with civilians fleeing and then be unable to adequately manoeuvre the army, resupply, defend, or kill own civilians in collateral damage. outcome - put the people above the country. 2. deny the risks until last minute, allow military to move around as needed, but then leave the civilians in occupied territories for ruzzians to do what ruzzians do (ra*pe, ki*ll, tort*ture etc.) outcome - put country above the people. There were further considerations - like not scaring business and investors, keeping economy afloat, keeping civilians in country to summon for defence duties etc. If they would have declared that ruzzia is about to invade there would have been chaos and they may have lost control of the country, not because of battlefield outcomes, but simply because of overall instability. I am not saying their decision was right, I am just saying it is a FACT that all the agencies and government knew exactly what ruzzia will invade and that invasion was imminent, they didn't have rose tinted glasses and for any good observer it was clear the war will start. Like for example US evacuating their embassy in Kiev, the official denials from Ukrainian officials, despite months of saying that ruzzia will invade. Basically they said for month "please speak with ruzzia because we think they are invading us" and then suddenly started saying "ohhh they just bluffing, no need to panic now"... This was like 10-15 Feb 2022 and I was like "shit this means it is imminent" and then US announces evacuation of "non-essential" staff few days later. Now I am not wizard either... I was wrong in predicting that with stated troop numbers ruzzia will faint all axis of attack, but will only attack Donbass... simple logic said it is impossible to invade country of 40+ million and army of ~500k with just 220k troops. As it turned out I was both right and wrong... I was wrong about where they will attack, I could not predict all fronts, because it was madness, but I was right that it was impossible task to win with such small force in such a big country. The Ukraine's communication in the days leading the invasion was confusing as well, but as I said it was explained later - it was coordinated campaign to prevent panic and to prepare for defence. This was officially confirmed.
Wow cruelty to each other should stop now to stop destructions of property , lives and useless spending of money for no reason , May Russia stop so there is peace , ty William
How about NAETO, the North American & European Treaty Organization? Or maybe it should be NAPETO for the North American & Pan-European Treaty Organization.
you make this so easy to understand! I love the "recap" it really helped me keep track of all that info congrats on publishing your book! I can't wait to read it
Tangentially related question: with Russia in control of the zaporhizia nuclear power plant, if there's a failure in (reactor 6?) and it starts emitting radionuclides, could that be interpreted as a hostile action by the nearby NATO countries?
Theoretically possible? I think. The Poles would be all in, I guess, for any excuse to pull article 5 and go in together with the USA. More likely scenario, in my mind? Something similar to the high-tension person around the time Assad first used chemical weapons against his rebellious schoolchildren and hospital patients. High stakes & pressure diplomatic discussions, threaths, maybe some mediation by South-Africa or Brazil or China or India. Eventually under threat of NATO force, the powerplant gets declared a demilitarized zone under UN protection, with third-party peacekeepers and no actual NATO forces. Second possibility, if Russia doesn’t fold under pressure? NATO goes in just enough to remove Russian forces from the powerplant, using airforce & special forces along with Ukrainian army in support role. When the plant is taken, they pause / pull back, and tell Russia “don’t call our bluff again and don’t make me come over there again. Next time, you die.”
likely depends on how severe it is. US and allied sensors are pretty acute and they're watching nuclear facilities like a hawk so they'll likely be able to tell how bad emissions were and tell them apart from a nuclear weapon. If the leak is weak they're likely to worry but not consider it hostile, but if it suddenly lights up like Pripyat in the 80s they just may. It's possible the UN, EU, and/or US would insist on either impartial UN team or 3rd party nations with relevant skills (like Japan or possibly even China or India) be sent in to fix a leak or assess the issues.
Had the blown dam flood waters crossed into a NATO country then yes, that would have been considered hostile. Intentionally causing a meltdown or blowing up the cooling system would likely constitute hostile action as it spills over. NATO by default has to respond to keep credible deterrence. I have no idea what NATO contingency is. Russia would very likely lose its silent partner China and the global south can't keep pretending the "West" is the cause of their suffering. If nothing else, EU citizens will be angry enough to advocate for some sort of direct action.
I've been watching you channel since this all started and enjoy the deep analysis involved behind certain actions. On that note, the Kakohovka Dam destroyed, the possibility of a new front opening South of Nikopol is a higher now. Russian defenses are thin there and Ukriane could push to the ZPP to flank the defenses towards Tokmak. The Kherson front is paused but the Nikopol front is an opportunity to strike the underbelly of Russian defenses.
Watching on my tiny phone, but I think I saw a #wheresputin moment at 17:50 on the power plant (near the dome at the left). Given the hint, it’s probably not Putin tho. 😅
Both countries need to accept that the fight over Crimes will be a stupid path to follow, and sit down, and try to work out a deal on the basis that each cannot be paranoid of each other. A non prejudiced approach to both countries benefiting from the area. It makes no difference who owns it, as long as each country follows proper business principles.
Russia will soon be in checkmate in Kherson counteroffensive 2.0 First move: destroy ammo depot hubs and railway hubs while making probing shaping attacks along the front to establish where the main the Assault Brigades should punch through Second move: cut off all bridges and roads coming into Kherson from Crimea. Third move: launch Assault brigades and cut off supply routes to Kherson region from east. Probably with help of Cluster Bomb munitions. Fourth move: Out of ammo and supplies, Russians retreat from Kherson area. Fifth move: Ukraine moves up to Crimiea border and takes out Kerch bridge and all Russian supply hubs and troop concentrations and naval forces. Russia evacuates Crimea Putin loses power. Pigozhin takes over and agrees to all of Ukraine’s requirements for peace because Russians realize he is the only one telling them the truth. In his latest interview published by his press service, Yevgeny Prigozhin, the Chief of PMC Wagner, reveals the severe contrast between the ground reality on the frontline and the information disseminated to the public by the Kremlin. Prigozhin boldly questions the widely circulated Russian claims of 60 destroyed Leopards and reveals the truth behind the Russian army's retreat and the advancements made by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Checkmate.
Crimea needs to be with Ukraine is safer for the people as putin shouldn't be trusted in the baltic and black sea due the area can be used for commercial purposes, on the other hand business will be suffered in Cremea and there is no security for the west as well. Remember putin will never stop invade other countries. As long as if far away putin from Ukraine is better for west.
Another correction needed: if Switzerland would think over its position on neutrality, they would insist on presenting the REAL SWISS FLAG. It‘s a perfect square. You showed a nautical flag
Considering Russia destroyed the NK dam, do they not realize that the Khahovka Sea was protecting them from amphibious assaults? A depleted river is a far easier crossing.
The rate of uploads recently has been incredible and the quality is still amazing. Thank you William!
So true
The rate might have increased but the quality has decreased.
@@Slavic_Goblinhaters gonna hate
@@Slavic_Goblinis as fuck. How many times can you make the same video worded differently. “How ukraine stopped the russian invasion” then 3 hours later “the russian invasion was stopped by ukraine, heres how” then the next day “russia failed their invasion of ukraine heres why”
Also “heres the same lines on maps I showed the last 40 videos.
Current quality is exceptional, are you saying it was even better before?!?
I live in Kherson.
About the minefields:
Option 3 is correct. Traitors not only gave away their locations, but arranged for them to be removed.
But more importantly, orcs simply used the normal roads and drove all the way, relaxed and unopposed, all the way from Armanysk to the Antonivka bridge. We watched it in real time.
You need to make a separate video about the heroic defense of Mykolyaiv, where regular citizens helped ZSU repel the orcs at the northern entrance to the city. It's an amazing story. Will be a movie.
At 7am the morning of the 24th, I said to my wife: we need to blow the bridge. Never happened. We were just sitting there, waiting to see the terrorists enter our city, in disbelief.
Very unfortunate we didn't have the same heroic resistance in Kherson.
From outside we don’t doubt the bravery of the people of Kherson. Trying to defend it like those in Mykolaiv did would just have gotten you slaughtered uselessly, because you were betrayed by some of your local leaders.
With SBU cspturing people for nothing, now is much safer time, isn't it?
Stay strong man
Russian are evil, that footage of a tank running over a peaceful ukranian citizen still in my mind.
Sniff out the traitors, and when Ukraine is whole again, do not suffer any Russians any longer. Make them choose.
I think you left out an important part regarding Mykolyaiv. On the first day of the war the council held an emergency meeting, during which someone remembered how Czechoslovakia had been taken by the Russians. A plane called in with engine trouble and was given permission to land. It was full of paratroopers and Czechoslovakia was taken. So the Mykolyaiv council told everyone to bring their heavy machinery and park it on the runway. The next morning a plane descended through the cloud cover and had to quickly abort landing. The subsequent battle for the town failed and Odessa was saved. That’s how I heard it.
That’s how I heard it.
:?????
So you’re saying that the Russians sent a single plane of troops all the way over to Odessa without any support? That would be like the US in WW2 dropping the 101st on Paris in the hopes that they could hold out for months until relieved
Anybody travelling to Paris in first class, where proper metal cutlery is provided, could secure unconditional surrender within 20 minutes of landing. It’s just that nobody wants to.
@@johnchrysostomon6284 basically. They didnt think there would be any resistance at all.
@@johnchrysostomon6284 No it wouldn't, put in a plane full of troops and secure airport, follow up by further flights and basically you have a force behind the lines with Ukraine havng to face both ways. Didn't Russia try to take Hostomel airport with the same aim in mind. As far as Paris is concerned in 1944, the German army was retreating after the Normandy battles, I hardly think the 101st would have to hold more than a couple of days.
Russians are known for thier arrogance not thier intelligence!
The Lines on a map guy is back! I love all this analysis that you offer, so much better than in the media
I don't judge the rest of the news media too harshly. They produce reports for people who don't possess the deeper contextual understanding that is helpful in understanding Dr Spaniel's lectures. You're being here indicates you likely have a higher degree of knowledge about the conflict than does the typical news audience. The thing that surprises me is that Dr. Spaniel attracts as big of an audience as he does. I suspect it is because of his exceptional insight on the subject as well as his speaking ability and the humor he brings. 👍
@@noyopacificliterally a million plus people end up watching some of Perun's defence economics PowerPoint presentations, there's definitely a market out there for this kind of content.
@@izak53561 million is small compared to the viewership numbers of news channels, which necessarily go into less detail
Love your content, appreciate you and your team for all you do.
Excellent information. Thanks for sharing.
We talk so much about Russia and it’s failure in the conflict, I think a really cool video would be how to ACTUALLY do an offensive. What about a comparison between the invasion of Ukraine and Desert Storm?
have you never seen the power difference in desert storm? that wasnt an offensive, it was a slaughter by massively overpowered armies.
We see how ukraine's counterattack is going... Massive losses for no gain... turns out russians weren't sooooo incompetent just that aggressive Warfare is very hard in modern times
@@zigo373 What massive losses? Two leopards at max? (Prigozhin's words, and you wouldnt dare to deny his words, would you?)
@@maximus2536oh absolutely. The only significant losses by the coalition forces was by over eager friendly fire.
I remember one of the tank ambushes laid by Saddam's forces mismeasured their distance and rounds fell short as US tanks crested the hill. What followed was the better ranged US tanks wiping out the whole enemy armoured group without having to worry about return fire.
@@zigo373 ruzzy lover cope of doom; they took more than 2.5 bahmuts in are in less than two weeks; cope harder, and retreat further
You do a great job breaking down and explaining the war in Ukraine. I can't wait to hear what you have to say about Wagner going rogue and invading southern Russia. Will they make it past Rostov? Confusion to our enemies, Slava Ukraini :)
Sounds like they've already occupied all military facilities of Voronezh
Welp,they chickened out
Excellent presentation W.S. You clarified a few questions I've had regarding some of the areas you discussed. Undoubtedly, many of us wait with anticipation, when will the major push will occur. Am confident Ukraine will come out on top of this, it will be a pleasure watching Russia gets its clock cleaned, hopefully for good!
Ukraine will win but they will take time. I am confident on Ukrainian leadership only thing west should supply more weapons.
Can't wait for lines on maps to include Wagner vs Russia in Russia!
Love the video, William. Great topics and analysis as always. ❤❤❤
I can't get enough of your work. Thanks for all the hard work and effort you put into these; your insight really helps shed some light for those of us who want to know more. Keep it up!
I can almost hear you franticly typing after todays news of the Wagner coup. Can't wait, your videos on this war are the best, I hope that when this is all over (very soon) that you continue to make videos on other subjects.
Amazing work, I just discovered your channel and I'm amazed at the quality and depth of your views on this most serious war. I'm currently working my way backwards through your catalogue and learning so much about the back story and tactics that I had previously missed. Great job again and "Viva Ukraine!".
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Keep up the quality and informative content!!
Waiting for your inevitable video on Wagner's latest actions. I look forward to your analysis of it.
Love the work Mr. Spaniel! I'm a big fan and really love the non biased assessments on the war. You do a great service !
*I agree 100%*
Great voice, style, research and insights.
lol. when was Spaniel unbiased?. goan rest bot!
@@mobolajiawe160 How much are you paid every hour patrolling youtube comments for pro-ukraine sentiments? I need the extra money.
@@mobolajiawe160 I guess you could say he is not. I don't really care. He may support a side, but he keeps to the facts. So, while I guess he may not be unbiased. I do feel that his reports are well researched and pretty darn well, close to the truth. Magnitudes closer than any Russian bot, or propagandist would be on the other side of the coin. William doesn't make things up.
Oh, and @reservoirdog (cool nick by the way!!!) said that "his assessments" weren't biased. There's a difference. Play the ball, not the man. 💙⚽💛
@@centraltension8790 1 million dollars bro. Come have some. Do me your PayPal
I'm still slightly disappointed we didn't get the Dimestore D-Day attempt by Russia trying to do an amphibious landing. It would have made for some interesting reef habitats and kept the fish fed
Slightly, but Russia isn’t quite that stupid. They were only going to land if they had support nearby. So we were only going to see the amphibious landing go horribly wrong for Russia if the rest of the war was going horribly wrong for Ukraine.
@@benoithudson7235The Battle of Sevastopol, UIFS Victory
If they aren’t that stupid why did they do that in hostomel airport
its hilarious how terrible their capabilities are. The US can carry out amphibious landings from halfway around the globe, they can air drop enough paratroopers to block out the sun, they can gain air superiority against nearly any foe, and they can carry out special forces missions deep behind enemy lines. Russia thought they had parity with the US but in this war they cant really send planes into enemy air space, they cant air drop their airborne units anywhere, they have no real amphibious assault capabilities, they cant even use their ships against an enemy with no navy, and the lost most of their special forces in the space of months
@@benoithudson7235 That and there was rumours of mutiny in the Russian marines at the time deciding it was a bad idea.
Course in light of current events: standby while the ballerinas stretch and warm up for Swan Lake
With rumors of Japan and South Korea possibly wanting to join NATO or to create a similar organization with the United States, they could all just join PATO (PAcific Treaty Organization) and leave Turkey out.
I like it. 👍 😄
While the idea IS funny, the key importance of NATO is locational. Ukraine joining a pacific based alliance, while not meritless, would not have anywhere near as much guarantee’s, success, or value for all parties involved outside of USA.
Make that POTO
Pacific Oceania Treaty Organization
NOTO: Northern Oceans Treaty Organization.
Russian MEAT GRINDER let's go Ukraine!!🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
Whenever i'm clicking on a video of William spaniel i'm expecting a new an deeply satisfactory insight into history that doesnt get talked about ordinarilly. I never get disappointed. 10/10 channel.
Thank you western countries for your support of Ukraine fighting against this evil country. We Ukrainians are eternally grateful 🙏🇺🇦
The people in the Donbas region is Uralic not slavish. That what the war. Russia wants to give the Uralic people independence. The Donbas region is Uralic.
Well, can't wait for the coup video. Hard to say how long it will last, but I don't like Prigozhin's chances. He better stay away from basement windows.
William Spaniel..Thanks Much !.......
I love how fast you're putting these out. Looking forward to your next one, considering what Progozhin just announced.
seems like some shits about to hit the fan for Moscow/putin!
Would be interesting to see your opinion on the current situation inside Russia.
Most informative channel on this war in terms of analysis rather than daily updates. Really great content! Thanks for providing this much needed perspective.
18:44 Ironic, he could save others from death, but not himself.
Cant wait for your vid regarding the coup
Japan and Ireland need to get in on N.A.T.O. Rename it to the Pacific Ocean and Trans Atlantic Treaty Organization. P.O.T.A.T.O.
Thanks for keeping up the good work. It is always really informative to listen to your explanations.
Another great video! Was always wondering when someone would talk about the coast - and more about the dam. Slava Ukraine!
Lines on maps guy always has banger videos
The Moskva had actually been in terrible shape since at least 2018. The radar and communication systems could not be used together as they interfered with each other, the engines were all multiple thousands of hours past their service replacement date and two could not be switched on without express permission from the admiral. Only one of the air defense systems actually worked because they had to cannibalise all the others to make that one work, and all the damage control equipment, fire extinguishers, etc were in lockers that could not be unlocked unless someone ran all the way to the bridge, got the key, and ran all the way back, meanwhile the ship is on fire. This means that not only were the crew unable to figure out exactly what happened once they got hit(the radar would have been switched on, because that is the protocol for a Russian ship under attack, and thus the communication systems would be disabled) until someone actually got to the bridge and told them, they couldn't deal with the fires or any of the damage because everything was in those lockers, and the only reason that they could tell they had been hit was because they felt an explosion. The ship was done for the moment those missiles were fired, even if they didn't try to "sneak around"(you can't sneak around a radar even if it was working) the defenses.
No one is gonna read all that jibberish
@@solinvictus7582I saw your other comment. Maybe sort out your own gibberish and spelling before you "correct" mine.
@solinvictus7582 literally just did
Listen Ivan, it's not that fucking hard to maintain anything. I'm actually surprised that the Russian army is this ill maintained. though I guess the oligarchs swallowed up all the money.
@@solinvictus7582shut up orc. This is easily readable.
Phoo! It's NAFO with LAZERPIG, Animachy, Falcon & friends! 😆
Thank you! This explanation clears up a lot of nagging questions that I have had.
Chongar Bridge´s new vulnerability adds 120 Km to the distance of freight on wheels from Novorossiysk to Melitopol and Mariupol. This should affect the Battles there soon.
No lines on maps were hurt during the creating of this video
Thanks for making your videos.
It helps that the enemy it’s fighting is [checks notes] not competent
kind of crazy how people constantly think of Russia as this unbeatable juggernaut until they receive a horrible humiliating defeat and then ignore that go back to making them out to be a superpower level military. The Russo Japanese war was one of the first times a western power lost against a non-western enemy in centuries, they got hammered in WW1, lost a war with Finland, lost against TINY enemies like Estonia, Lithuania, Georgia, and Latvia, lost a war to Poland, and while they did win their second invasion of Finland it was an extremely humiliating victory considering they were fighting a far inferior foe and took 5x the casualties. Similarly their loss in the first Chechen war and victory in the second were both pretty humiliating as they had to resort to leveling whole cities because despite having 10x the men and having an army that's nearly the same population as the entire Chechen Republic they still couldnt even risk going into cities without taking heavy losses, and again the Russians took around 5x the casualties in the first war and around 3x as many in the second war (and killing around 10 civilians for every chechen fighter they killed).
His next video: Why Ukraine is running out of popcorn.
Best weekend ever.
Thanks!
I love that a lot of the names of battles from this war sound like they could come out of Avatar The Last Airbender. Really gives it a mythic quality
Next video is about the Battle of Ba Sing Se. It will be very short, of course, because there is no war in Ba Sing Se.
@@Gametheory101 I had tried to get Perun to make a video on the Fire Nation invasion for April Fool's day this year, but he didn't go for it 😁
If you're looking for a topic for an extra video, I would love to see one!
@@jacob_90s Sounds like a greta idea!
@@jacob_90s I'd watch that for the novelty of it. I haven't even seen Avatar. (or is that Naruto?? )
Fabulous information.Interesting, concise, informative.Really excellent
the Neptune missiles didn't "sneak" past Moskva's AA systems as out of the 8 possible ways it had to intercept them ( aa missiles, its multi purpose guns and 6 cwis turrets) only one was operational. its radar was supposedly off so it could transmit and restive communications as the FPP was locked up to stop it getting stolen.
Well, technically, from what little I know, we don’t actually know that’s true.
A supposed maintenance report from before sailing made those claims, but I believe no one has officially confirmed that document was authentic, or even in the same style as Russian navy does maintaining reports.
If the document was original and accurate, though, it would make the commanders who send out the Moskva be criminally negligent and they should be court-martialed for letting the ship get into that condition, let alone sending it out on war patrol in said conditions.
Which, of course, is probably why either 1. Someone faked that report or 2. No one dares confirm it being real, as it actually is.
Truth is first casualty in war, and all that
@@JABN97 It was determined by pictures of sinking Moskva.
@@KILLERMATYCZ what was determined through those picture?
That is was most likely hit by 2 anti-ship missiles, and at least 2 water hoses were working? Yes that we could see on the picture. But interference between radio & radar? State of maintaining of the engines? The other firefighting equipment being missing or locked away? That we can’t determine from 2 pictures on the outside.
@@JABN97 The radar was not in active position, but stowed. There was quite a lot talk about that
@@KILLERMATYCZ it was? Huh. I have been following the war pretty closely, but hadn’t heard about that.
Regardless, it is possible (at least in theory) that there is another reason for that then radio interference. Like arrogance or incompetence, wouldn’t be the first or last time either of those showed up in Russian armed forces during this war.
And even if the radio & radar indeed interfered, that does not yet proof the rest of the leaked rapport.
Gives it more credibility, yes, but not definitive proof.
I kinda hope, but also don’t, that the rapport was not fully accurate. Because it would make me sad if their commanders were such criminally negligent bastards to send out their conscripts in a ship in such a bad state.
But I would not necessary been surprised, considering the other crimes the Russian leaders had committed to their own people as well as the peoples of all countries they have attacked
I LOVE YOU MR. SPANIEL
Oh boy, time for some maps on line!
Fun fact: cruiser mosscow was given the name “Nemesis” by the people of odessa because of it they were not allowed to swim. Also it did some costal bobmarnent but swimming is the main issue
Mo
It's going to be good ✨
Certified first comment!
Great video as always!
Better name would be something like:
GDI - Global Defense Initiative
Great walkthrough thanks for the video
Any video that details the Moskva’s sinking is a good video.
Sir thanks for sharing this video GodBless yuo allways and yuor family ✌️👊❤️
The timing is perfect
22:05 if they're not using the English names, then wouldn’t Switzerland end up in a different position? The ISO abbreviation for Switzerland is CH, as in Confederation of Helvetia or the Latin Confederatio Helvetica.
The French name for Switzerland is Suisse. So, it's different, but it still falls in between them (unless there is something further confusing going on).
@Gametheory101 I believe you, I think the weirdness is with the ISO codes. I recently had to look up a bunch of them for a project, and the Switzerland one caused a bit of confusion. I've never heard of them be called the Confederation of Helvetia anywhere else, so why are they with the ISO abbreviation?
@@fematrailer Switzerland has 4 official languages and choosing one of them to be the basis for the abbreviation would be problematic because the speakers of the other languages wouldn't like it. CH is a more neutral choice.
@seneca983 Ah, that makes sense, true neutrality through and through.
Thanks for the clarification.
Personally I think that the dam blowing up weekend the rusian defensive positions. When the area dries out it could lead to a major Ukrainian strike pointe as it is relatively undefended if at all. All the Ukrainians need to do is hold up until conditions are favorable for attack.
The area is now going to dry out soon. Even when the water level falls, the mud, dead fish, and waste will still be everywhere. It will take several months, but then it will start raining and the mud will return. I doubt this plan will ever work.
Regarding Mykolaiiv, "ignoring" is a very inaccurate word. Ruscists have been shelling and bombing the city every day pretty much from day one and at the very least until the Kherson counteroffensive, though regular rocket and drone strikes continued until recently. The city suffered a lot, so "ignoring" is not tge correct word at all.
I'm pretty sure "ignoring" in that context referred to not directly assaulting the city with infantry to assume full control on the ground. Obviously no part of southern Ukraine was free of "attention," nearly every population center in the country sustains drone bombardment to this very day.
Ignoring might have been a poor choice of words. Gave up might be more appropriate. Although given the mocking tone, ignored was chosen as it would liken Russia pretending it never tried to take Mykolaiiv or Kyiv or three days, therefore weren't defeated.
@@Sky_Guy Yeah, I get it, I just meant that such statements can create a false impression for people outside of the actual context.
@@oohhboy-funhouse Right, everything is going according to ***the plan***...
Been watching your channel for a while and finally subscribed. You are now one of my very discriminative go-to channels for the Ukraine war and history documentaries.
Generally agree, except Ukraine was no ignoring the signs of ruzzian offensive nor optimistic. Their intelligence chief literally stated last year that they had massive dilemma before the invasion started, they knew the attack was imminent, but they had two options of which neither was good (hence dilemma):
1. declare the emergency and make the risks known to the public, but lock all the roads with civilians fleeing and then be unable to adequately manoeuvre the army, resupply, defend, or kill own civilians in collateral damage. outcome - put the people above the country.
2. deny the risks until last minute, allow military to move around as needed, but then leave the civilians in occupied territories for ruzzians to do what ruzzians do (ra*pe, ki*ll, tort*ture etc.) outcome - put country above the people.
There were further considerations - like not scaring business and investors, keeping economy afloat, keeping civilians in country to summon for defence duties etc. If they would have declared that ruzzia is about to invade there would have been chaos and they may have lost control of the country, not because of battlefield outcomes, but simply because of overall instability.
I am not saying their decision was right, I am just saying it is a FACT that all the agencies and government knew exactly what ruzzia will invade and that invasion was imminent, they didn't have rose tinted glasses and for any good observer it was clear the war will start. Like for example US evacuating their embassy in Kiev, the official denials from Ukrainian officials, despite months of saying that ruzzia will invade. Basically they said for month "please speak with ruzzia because we think they are invading us" and then suddenly started saying "ohhh they just bluffing, no need to panic now"... This was like 10-15 Feb 2022 and I was like "shit this means it is imminent" and then US announces evacuation of "non-essential" staff few days later.
Now I am not wizard either... I was wrong in predicting that with stated troop numbers ruzzia will faint all axis of attack, but will only attack Donbass... simple logic said it is impossible to invade country of 40+ million and army of ~500k with just 220k troops. As it turned out I was both right and wrong... I was wrong about where they will attack, I could not predict all fronts, because it was madness, but I was right that it was impossible task to win with such small force in such a big country.
The Ukraine's communication in the days leading the invasion was confusing as well, but as I said it was explained later - it was coordinated campaign to prevent panic and to prepare for defence. This was officially confirmed.
Do you know there is a region in Russia called "Mordovia"? a republic, close to Moscova region. That's where the orcs came from, to conquer Ukraina.
Unfortunately it didn't save Black sea. It lost Azov and Black sea. From Crimea everything is nothing else but nice target excercise
Hi Will, M.A.Y.O would sound pretty terrifying to have to fight.
Dr. Spaniel is one of the ONLY sources I trust regarding coverage of the war. I have been watching since Week 2 of the war and I'm here to stay.
Great info as always, clear & digestible for the average human!
The NATO flag bit at the end!!
Turkey 🇹🇷
Too funny 😂😂😂😂
🤣🤣play at 1.25x, he sounds like the guy from Breakin Bad. And about as stoned.
May God bless the land of Ukrsine .may Ukraine retrieve its own land grabbed by Russia
Wow cruelty to each other should stop now to stop destructions of property , lives and useless spending of money for no reason , May Russia stop so there is peace , ty William
Free Ukraine!!🇺🇦✌🏻
No problem William as long as Sweden is with NATO , that’s what matters , ty for your brilliant analysis as usual ..
As a Swede I dare say Ukraine has an excellent taste when it comes to flag colours! 😁
💙
💛
It seems the scuttleing of ukrains ship was pre mature. I read that the captian got in big du du
Glória a Ucrânia. 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷
I see new William Spaniel, I click new William Spaniel
Great recap! 💪
How about NAETO, the North American & European Treaty Organization? Or maybe it should be NAPETO for the North American & Pan-European Treaty Organization.
How about NEATO, the North European and American Treaty Organization?
@@Gametheory101very neat
Did they save their coastline you say ? NUTS !
Thanks
Thank you!
POTATO - Pan-Oceanic Trade and Treaty Organization.
you make this so easy to understand! I love the "recap" it really helped me keep track of all that info
congrats on publishing your book! I can't wait to read it
I live in Kherson.
About the minefields:
Option 3 is correct. Traitors not only gave away their locations, but arranged for them to be removed.
Tangentially related question: with Russia in control of the zaporhizia nuclear power plant, if there's a failure in (reactor 6?) and it starts emitting radionuclides, could that be interpreted as a hostile action by the nearby NATO countries?
You can hold a grenade with the pin pulled. Maybe preventing someone from holding it is more important.
Theoretically possible? I think.
The Poles would be all in, I guess, for any excuse to pull article 5 and go in together with the USA.
More likely scenario, in my mind? Something similar to the high-tension person around the time Assad first used chemical weapons against his rebellious schoolchildren and hospital patients.
High stakes & pressure diplomatic discussions, threaths, maybe some mediation by South-Africa or Brazil or China or India.
Eventually under threat of NATO force, the powerplant gets declared a demilitarized zone under UN protection, with third-party peacekeepers and no actual NATO forces.
Second possibility, if Russia doesn’t fold under pressure? NATO goes in just enough to remove Russian forces from the powerplant, using airforce & special forces along with Ukrainian army in support role. When the plant is taken, they pause / pull back, and tell Russia “don’t call our bluff again and don’t make me come over there again. Next time, you die.”
ask Poland
likely depends on how severe it is. US and allied sensors are pretty acute and they're watching nuclear facilities like a hawk so they'll likely be able to tell how bad emissions were and tell them apart from a nuclear weapon. If the leak is weak they're likely to worry but not consider it hostile, but if it suddenly lights up like Pripyat in the 80s they just may. It's possible the UN, EU, and/or US would insist on either impartial UN team or 3rd party nations with relevant skills (like Japan or possibly even China or India) be sent in to fix a leak or assess the issues.
Had the blown dam flood waters crossed into a NATO country then yes, that would have been considered hostile. Intentionally causing a meltdown or blowing up the cooling system would likely constitute hostile action as it spills over. NATO by default has to respond to keep credible deterrence. I have no idea what NATO contingency is. Russia would very likely lose its silent partner China and the global south can't keep pretending the "West" is the cause of their suffering. If nothing else, EU citizens will be angry enough to advocate for some sort of direct action.
I bust out laughing when Bill Dog said, "R, S, T,… ah yes, Turkey (Türkiye)"
Ouch!
I've been watching you channel since this all started and enjoy the deep analysis involved behind certain actions.
On that note, the Kakohovka Dam destroyed, the possibility of a new front opening South of Nikopol is a higher now. Russian defenses are thin there and Ukriane could push to the ZPP to flank the defenses towards Tokmak. The Kherson front is paused but the Nikopol front is an opportunity to strike the underbelly of Russian defenses.
Goooo have fun with yourself 🤣🤣🤣
Watching on my tiny phone, but I think I saw a #wheresputin moment at 17:50 on the power plant (near the dome at the left). Given the hint, it’s probably not Putin tho. 😅
Somebody definitely exits the scene in a hurry.
Amazing
the moscava has a lot in common with the titanic as in the titanic got damaged on april 13 th and sank on the 14th
Both countries need to accept that the fight over Crimes will be a stupid path to follow, and sit down, and try to work out a deal on the basis that each cannot be paranoid of each other. A non prejudiced approach to both countries benefiting from the area. It makes no difference who owns it, as long as each country follows proper business principles.
Make an audiobook of your book and I will buy it.
Russia is not a real country. Split it up!
Civil War kicked off in Russia today.
it sure didn't mensa man
Oh snap, I wonder if you're going to do a video on Prigozhin and his march to Moscow.
Looking forward to his take on the Wagner mutiny.
Give me 10 minutes...
@@Gametheory101 Diffenitely gonna watch it next, after this video. Need to run to the store to bought some popcorn, first.
Your 'war in Donbass' was in fact a genocide.
Name one dead person and/or at what time they died.
Russia will soon be in checkmate in Kherson counteroffensive 2.0
First move: destroy ammo depot hubs and railway hubs while making probing shaping attacks along the front to establish where the main the Assault Brigades should punch through
Second move: cut off all bridges and roads coming into Kherson from Crimea.
Third move: launch Assault brigades and cut off supply routes to Kherson region from east.
Probably with help of Cluster Bomb munitions.
Fourth move: Out of ammo and supplies, Russians retreat from Kherson area.
Fifth move: Ukraine moves up to Crimiea border and takes out Kerch bridge and all Russian supply hubs and troop concentrations and naval forces. Russia evacuates Crimea Putin loses power. Pigozhin takes over and agrees to all of Ukraine’s requirements for peace because Russians realize he is the only one telling them the truth.
In his latest interview published by his press service, Yevgeny Prigozhin, the Chief of PMC Wagner, reveals the severe contrast between the ground reality on the frontline and the information disseminated to the public by the Kremlin. Prigozhin boldly questions the widely circulated Russian claims of 60 destroyed Leopards and reveals the truth behind the Russian army's retreat and the advancements made by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Checkmate.
Crimea needs to be with Ukraine is safer for the people as putin shouldn't be trusted in the baltic and black sea due the area can be used for commercial purposes, on the other hand business will be suffered in Cremea and there is no security for the west as well. Remember
putin will never stop invade other countries. As long as if far away putin from Ukraine is better for west.
And of course, the day after a video is uploaded, a major event occurs that requires another analysis video. 😅
Another correction needed: if Switzerland would think over its position on neutrality, they would insist on presenting the REAL SWISS FLAG. It‘s a perfect square.
You showed a nautical flag
Considering Russia destroyed the NK dam, do they not realize that the Khahovka Sea was protecting them from amphibious assaults? A depleted river is a far easier crossing.
Maybe after warm spring to dry all the mud out. The bottom of that dam has had decades to emulsify.