Who Attacked Moscow: False Flags, Ukrainian Drones, or Russian Partisans?
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On May 3, 2023, two small drones exploded over the Kremlin. Although damage was minimal, the location made it an important development in the war. But who was responsible? This video explores the three main possibilities, the motivation for each, and the evidence available.
0:00 Drones Attack the Kremlin
1:09 Ukrainian Origin?
3:38 The Doolittle Raid
5:43 Why This Isn't Like Doolittle
7:52 False Flag Attack?
9:14 Crowd Control and the Victory Day Parade
12:14 Weakening Western Ties
13:37 Embarrassment a Feature, Not a Bug?
16:47 Non-Putin False Flag
18:09 Russian Partisan Attack?
19:37 Boris Johnson Gets a Rooster
The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.
Photos of the Romania and the Romanian Revolution courtesy of the Romanian Communism Online Photo Collection: fototeca.iiccr.ro
Media licensed under CC BY 2.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
From U.S. Secretary of Defense:
www.flickr.com/photos/secdef/...
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From Andrey Belenko:
www.flickr.com/photos/belenko...
Media licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
From RIA Novosti:
Archive, Image #850809 / Vladimir Vyatkin
Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
From Kremlin.ru:
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Doolittle's B-25's did not return to the carrier because it would "reveal the location of the fleet". They did not return to the carrier because there was no way to land a B-25 on one. Only (just barely) take off. It was always going to be a one-way trip - perhaps to China, perhaps not. It highlights the daring of the mission as well as the bravery of the pilots and airmen who flew it.
They were also originally planning to hand the B-25s over to China (I think the KMT) in exchange for helping the soldiers, which is another reason they were used. Obviously, failing to get to the runways let alone deliver the bombers also made it very hard for the crews to survive, its kind of shocking as many made it out as they did. I swear one even fought with Mao and the Communists for a time because they just couldn't get him back to the US fast enough.
Thanks for the additional info mate.
They potentially could have landed them in the water or ditched the aircraft and parachuted into the water, and then they could be picked up by the carrier or another ship nearby, so "revealing the location of the fleet" was still definitely a concern and a major reason why they didn't
@@girthquake1413 Not trying to be smart here, but my question is just from my ignorance. If the B25 could not land on the carrier, then how did it get there to take off from the carrier?
@@starwombat i think they were winched up on deck and secured there as they were too big to go in the hangers. So cranes etc
You know, the most current question isn't "Where's Putin?" or "Where's Zelenskyy?", it's "Where's Lukashenko?".
Putin poisoned him and plans to annex Belarus
Probably dead or dieing thanks to nitup
No joke I did a project in school on Belarus, and suddenly having Lukashenko get sick shocked me... he’s a horrible dictator of course, but it’s like hearing Biden or Putin just disappeared to me compared to a rando dude in Africa or South America as most people saw it
Lukaszenko hat sich im deiner Hinter versteckt,du Affe
If you look at the drones used, they are very short range. It means that they were probably launched from within Moscow itself. That means either a incredibly risky mission with zero chance of success by the Ukrainians, a risky missin with zro chance of success by Russian resistance or a mission with high chance of success by Putin himself.
I am sorry but lounchimg a pair of drones within a city is not risky at all. Pepole use drones all the time for recriation ir to take pictures. And hiding within a large city isnt particualray hard either.
Or amateur terrorists trying to pull off either a symbolic strike or an assassination without the proper intel to pull it off.
Just because something had zero chance of working, in hindsight, doesn't mean nobody thought it could work when it was attempted.
@@yoschiannik8438 It is risky. Transporting explosive materials and drones during wartime into proximity of the Kremlin is very difficult, the FSB keeps a close eye on it.
@@jonathanpfeffer3716 but it looked more like a Molotov strapped to a drone. Getting petol isnt exactly hard in russia
@@bullzebub we are all gonna be playing a guessing game for years to come. if no one claimed responsibilty already. no one will. in time we may know who lauched the drone and from where. Im sure the fsb is "looking into it right now."
This literally could’ve just been a single guy with a quad copter who wanted to give Putin a scare. The drone age of warfare is pretty terrifying due to the ease of access to said drones.
Getting that much explosives without getting caught would be very hard
@@vaga4239There is no evidence that the drone carried any explosive. The explosion could have been caused entirely by the air defence system.
I agree with @grfwhatever that anyone with two drones could have done this. Spaniel, like most other analysts, assumes that a major player is behind. In the future expect politicians, celebrities etc. to be chased by swarms of paparazziesque drones.
@@vaga4239 just buy some fireworks, basically what they actually used, also it is close to victory day which is the perfect excuse to be buying fireworks
@@Michaelonyoutub that's A LOT of fireworks! Even the old m80s didn't have all that much in them.
@@vaga4239 you can buy petrol from the petrol station. Don't think theres a limit to how much you can buy
Having been Air Defense in the US Army, I can very easily see a drone making it through a more traditional Air Defense zone. If you aren't specifically defending against drones, most modern static systems are going to be nearly worthless in defending against them. You might be able to detect them, if they're flying high enough, but you're not going to be able to hit them. The usage of consumer style drones is the biggest shakeup in the Air Defense world in decades.
I served on the USS Taylor Swift, mainly intelligence. And I have to agree with your point.
Its even funnier that ukraine uses mostly chinese drones to do these strikes. The drones that destroyed one of the russian awacs plane was a chinese drone
Looks like everyone forgot that a drone landed in the middle of Zagreb, after flying for an hour in NATO airspace, and that one wasn't even trying to hide. Seems like it's not really easy to track those when you have no idea they're coming.
@@u2beuser714 Those weren't Ukrainian attacks those were partisan attacks.
Everybody has been on the Taylor Swift.
“We can bomb you but you can’t bomb us” - Russia, 2023
As a software developer I love the quote 'This can be a feature, not a bug'. So true.
The same resistance group that claimed credit for the two assassinations also claimed credit for the Kremlin attack via their ally Ilya Ponomarev. He said they wanted to do the attack on Victory Day but he convinced them to change the date to avoid harming civilians and to avoid alienating Russians who see Victory Day as sacred.
Interesting. If true*, they are on a surprising roll.
Although, his credibility isn't exactly reliable.
Ponomarev routinely claims credit for literally everything, he’s kind of a meme already. Most prominent opposition figures don’t take him seriously.
@@alexvsergeev Ilya Ponomarev has some plausible explenation, but only CNN gave him airtime.
After all in 2014 he was the only Duma-member to vote against the Annexetion of Crimea, I think that shows that he is not an Opportunist.
I have the sneaking suspicion that some of the russian-exile political groups try to get all the attention and gain some kind of Monopoly, especialy the Navalny-guys.
Though that is not enough to explain why Ponomarev gets shadow-banned by western Media like all pro-ukrainian channels on youtube.
@@alexvsergeev its legit a tactic to throw russian intelligence off and all countries use it, like keep people guessing even if it wasnt him
USA And. UKS. Comes in. NSW. Pomegranate App
"No notable damage was reported."
Either they need a bigger boom or they're not trying.
Not even trying, there was absolutely no point in actually breaking anything. Just showing the capability, that's all.
@@TheAlchaemist yup! Not about the damage, it's about the message.
It probably wasn’t really trying. Hitting that part of the Kremlin had no chance of “assassinating” Putin. Especially while he wasn’t there.
If it was Ukraine, it was either a warning that it’s possible. Or just symbolic as the video states
Too bad it could not change the flag colors to blue yellow.
- there was a working tank in the parade. Off to the front lines with it.
It was clearly about the message. This self-proclaimed advisor to the Russian Resistance called it "a great show".
th-cam.com/users/shorts0WeCxmqRWXI
Russia calls the attempted attack on their leader a "terrorist attack" and vows to kill zelensky as reprisal. Takes one to know one i assume 😅
😂😂😂
Russia has been trying to kill Zelensky since the war started. If they could have gotten him, they would have.
"This is an unacceptable escalation (in the war)" says man who started war and created the situations in which he justified said war over.
Only Russia is allowed to assassinate heads of state. Ukraine's president? Fair target. Russia's president? Unacceptable.
I bet Zelenskyy wishes they'd be successful in a way. If only the russians were so stupid... as if that would end the war.
Instead it would make Zelenskyy a martyr in Ukraine, and galvanise support for the country; having all those world leaders lose someone they knew, and one of their own - would bring into focus russia's intentions for Europe and Asia.
The thing I love about your videos is that you don't make assumptions, but just look at the facts and then look at the plausibilities. No wild ungrounded speculations or big claims about things that aren't certain yet. Keep up the great work!
I second that. It's so refreshing because there are so many out there who seem to suddenly be experts and must have a hot line to either Putin or Zelensky and their respective intelligence teams. They 'know' so much have 'proof' of so much I can't think how or where they've got it from unless it's from the top people themselves!!!
He didn't even mention that 2 guards were seen in the video of the "attack" on the Kremlin, the guards were up on the roof on ladders. Very sus. Looked like they were drone operators on the roof actually....why can't this guy mention that fact? He misses a lot of detail in his videos like this actually.
@@michaelfried3123 the two guards went up there after the first drone exploded, probably to look for damage or drone parts.
The video you talk about is of the second drone, roughly 15-20 minutes after the first one, perfectly in line with how long it would take for a command to go down the chain and send two grunts up the roof.
@@TheLumberjack1987 not true. they were up there climbing as both drones hit nearly simultaneously. fact.
@@michaelfried3123 the two drone attacks were almost 20 minutes apart, so what you said makes no sense sorry
That deep analysis of the Rooster photo is the kind of hard hitting journalism we need more of in this world. You’re doing God’s work, well done!
Look forward to these videos as they always make my day better. Great level of insight with a extraordinary level of effort. Thanks!
My No.1 source for all ukraine related news, as you said great insight and reliable information.
I never get bored listening to this guy!
The idea that the USA was behind the drone attack is so strange to me. Just last year, a US drone shot a Hellfire R9X "flying Ginsu" missile through the window of an Al-Qaida leader's house and decapitated him with the blades attached to it. If the US wanted to do serious damage to Putin or the Kremlin, it would be something a lot more than two little drones with fireworks attached.
Yes, but that assumes Billy Joe Ivanovich knows anything at all about what the US does vs. what Putin tells them Russia does, lol.
If the US wanted to off Putin, the headline would be "Disgruntled Kremlin aide shoots Putin dead, there's absolutely no connection between this event and the aide's entire family now being extremely wealthy outside Russia"
Yeah right post a video of that. All I know is we killed all kinds of innocent c innocent children
@@joshuataylor3718
Yes Russian, you did murder children. That's why the world is against you.
I'm sorry you've just got to imagine the sheer level of "Fuck you" involved in that.
"We don't even have to explode our drones. We'll deadass just HIT YOU IN THE FUCKING FACE WITH IT."
(And then explode it.)
The ceramic chicken was a common soviet-era decoration. It was seen on the kitchen wall of an apartment building that had the front sheared off early in the invasion. Maybe in Kyiv. One of the earliest war memes.
That you can invade a country, annex it's territory, and kill it's citizens and at the same time decry them for "escalating the war" is just madness to me.
The 2 firefighters waiting on the roof should give you a clue
What was the latency period after the detonations?
How quick is the usual Moscow Firefighter response time?
Does the Kremlin have a dedicated team?
You bring up a good point.
that wasnt totally true. they scaled the roof inbetween the first and second drone hits. they werent up there before the first one hit.
Very good point.
It is being proven that Russians are not the brightest tools in "Earth's shed".
Do firefighters regularly hang out on the roof 🤔
@@icosthop9998 they might had jammers. Perhaps the kremlin doesnt want aa guns to blast above the city
My theory is that it was an angry Russian citizen who may have lost someone in Ukraine and wanted to make a symbolic strike against Putin.
PS, that rooster thing is hilarious hahaha
It’s also possible Wagner was behind it. Given Dmitry has been extremely hostile towards the military and more recently even Putin’s regime. It may be to make Putin look weak.
Prigozhin definitely is not happy with Volodya these days.
I think that it will take many years until after the war until we get a good idea of the myriad of smaller and medium radical groups that were operating at the fringes of either party and may be responsible for actions like this.
It may not even be possible to strictly qualify this as a government or non-government group. It could be a group that's aligned with the Russian or Ukrainian state or military (or just hates Russia) that has some government and some private actors, but acting without public orders.
that what makes this exceedingly scarey to me nothing is more harrowing than having someone who aligned with you fight on your behalf without your knowledge. Think vigilantism but on a national/global scale and you have a recipe for disaster.
Absolutely
This is what I think too. Sometimes a “secret third party” seems like a cop out to these mysteries but it is true that there are a myriad of forces with different motivations.
@@cruzcflores After all, doesn't take much to launch a toy drone with a small bomb, anybody could do it, and right now, many could want to do it, not just state entities.
Glory to Ukraine 🇺🇦 💪 ❤ 🇯🇲.
Fun fact about the Doolittle Raid:
Because of the attack on the Japanese homeland, the Japanese high command sought to expand the zone of control in the Pacific. Part of the expansion plan involved taking a little island called "Midway"...
Materiel 9:49 😮
"Materiel" is a term primarily used in military contexts, referring to equipment, supplies, and resources used by armed forces to support military operations.
Example: "The army received a shipment of new materiel, including weapons and vehicles."
It, or at least its equivalent in Dutch, is also used for rolling stock in general, most notably railway vehicles.
My wife says am a freak, because I get turned on by listening to intelligent people. This is how I stroke my mind. You are one of those people. Love your work man.
Slava Ukraini, 💙💛✊.
@@KASPA-KEY Good one bro 👌
A similar drone attack happened in Venezuela during a military parade.
As with the pipeline attack, though even moreso, I think it's an error to not consider non governmental actors (terrorists). People, with no or limited ties to any government, that try to take matters into their own hands. Russian dissidents, Russo-ukrainians, ukrainians from occupied territories, ukrainians slipping through borders, third party actors such as polish russophobes, there are many possibilities.
This would explain a lot in this specific case. For example, if Ukrainian hotheads from Melitopol had decided to make it to Moscow with a drone and an improvised bomb, they very much could have decided to attack the Kremlin, without actually knowing when Putin is actually there. And it would be very difficult to defend from this kind of attack.
I think so too, but you left out the most likely group....pro invasion Z radicals that are anti putin and want him replaced with a more hardline leader
The Non-State Actor can never be ruled out, or underestimated. Anyone in America in September 2001 knows that
@@ebnertra0004 Europe also saw a large number of terrorist attacks after 9/11. Including Russia. Many terrorist attacks all around the world were foiled, but many were much deadlier than what we saw in Moscow. This is entirely within the scope of third party terrorist attacks.
I don't really have an opinion on who did this, but non-government entities really should be on the shortlist of plausible culprits.
In case of the pipeline it could also have been the oil corporation or their private army, but they would probably not explode a drone over the kremlin... Or maybe they would?
@@mjouwbuis true, though do we have evidence of such corporate armies acting against states in such a direct way? I can't think of any analogous example for this.
Any chance this could be Prighozin trying to make Putin look weak? Symbolic drone attack followed up by a flood of videos about how terrible the Russian MOD is doing and it seems like it would elevate Prighozin.
Good point. Reasonable possibility. Notice all the air time Prighozin is getting. It rivals and sometimes exceeds Putin's time in the lights.
This is my thinking too....not necessarily Progozhin/Wager, could also be any elements within Russia that are pro invasion but not pro Putin. And either want him replaced with a more hardline leader, or to push him into stronger action (or even just make climbing down more difficult that it already is)
Would be try to become the next leader of Russia by taking the throne?
@@CBRN-115 I don't think Prigozhin himself is going to be able to pull that off, but I think Putin does have a problem that potential usurpers of the thrown may at some point think they have to move in order to head off a rival. Its stuff we can't really know of course but if I were to guiess I'd say its too early for that
That might mean its not a pretender to the thrown directly, but it could be people who want to increase pressure on Putin and/or move things along in a way, so it could be a faction rather than a challenger directly. I'm not sure any individual is actually strong enough currently
Weren't there claims of an active resistance against Lukashenko in Belarus? Could they have conducted the attack to make Lucky and Putin both look weak? Or maybe the Belarusian military did it to show Lucky that it's not worth getting too close to Putin since he's an easy target. Note: I don't actually think this is it, but may as well add it to the mix.
I think in this scenario there is not much difference between the aims and strategies of the Russian and Belarusian resistance, so what he said about the Russian partisans can apply as well for the Belarusian ones
Assuming that Ukraine or NATO did this, it was absolutely more of a "hey bro, your defense sucks and now everyone knows it" than a "let's kill him"
lol if Nato HAD tried this, putin would be dead rn.
@@michellebrown7714 tru as well
Whoever it was, it certainly was not intended to hurt anyone. That's a small drone and a small explosion. I honestly don't think Ukraine would want to put that much effort into something so 'small'.
It was Sergei and Igor who live in the next town over.
Putin must have been furious!!! 😂😂
Everything you said makes total sense to me. :-) After I saw the red square parade (or lack of) I thought the drone was a obvious false flag to give a excuse to scale back and save face after the Kremlin realised that for various reasons they couldn't manage the scale of parade usually expected. Also did you see they said that weather was the reason for no fly by? Despite the fact the weather over Moscow was clear and calm? Haha
I'm not sure. I can see it being an excuse to cancel but less so an excuse only to scale back. I'm open minded about who it could be, but one possibility not mentioned that much is Z radicals, ie pro invasion but not pro Putin elements (either inside or outside the security apparatus)
they had the same bad weather excuse last year, even though no drone attack occured, false flag theory makes no sense
I've been wondering as to the instigator of this drone attack. After watching this video - I'm still wondering🤔
In situations like this, you should be suspicious of people who claim to have the answer, and listen to those looking at all sides and admitting their limitations
@@jaspergreen2314 I'm 70. I narrowly avoided the draft for Viet Nam. Here's my subjective take - Partisans, young men who don't want to die AND don't want to join organized resistance - they just want to be left alone to live their lives w/o some politician telling them it's their turn to die for the fatherland. Just my suspicions in situations like this with which I have some subjective experience. Whippersnapper. RI? NY? MI? WI?
@@marvinegreen don't call me a whippersnapper, I'm 72 kid
00:19 - Actually, William, the Russian government's immediate response was......nothing. I think it took something like 14 hours for the story to break
12 hours from what iv head, but even within all that time they probobly should have known that it clearly shows an attack at a flag at night, But maybe Putin is our on the roof and taking in a all that none existing sunshine
Special Sunshine Operation
They were probably testing the fireworks launcher
@@floydlooney6837 testing everything.....except their own competence and preparedness 😝😝😝
. THANK YOU FOR CLEARING THAT UP!!!
I have been unwittingly confusing the words
"material" and "materiel" for _years_ before you cleared that up!!!
.
great material. thank you
In a podcast they mentioned a Russian dissident that had said to have ties with the group that launched the drones. And that they were launched within Moscow itself. Eithe “Ukraine Battleground” or “Ukraine The Latest”… Not sure which episode.
Its real simple it was me who did it.
Well then. I guess I need to take this one down and post an updated video.
lmao
darn you tim tom tem!
Thanks for the complete info
Good video! Thanks for that info 👍
#whereisputin 17:25 right under the white poster on the wall in the back. right of the door
Distinguished viewers, we have found today's champion!
R. App
The woman who posed with Boris and Zelenskyy early in the war greeted them on their walk around Kyiv and presented both men with the ceramic roosters. She may have made them. There was some symbolism in the rooster but I’ve forgotten precisely what it is.
Those roosters made security wanted to implement Operation Cock Block.
@@annoyed707
🤔
Are you implying that there are three "roosters" in that photo?
To quote Euronews "In Ukrainian folklore the rooster is full of symbolism; 'without a rooster, a house is deaf' so the Ukrainian saying goes. The bird is associated with fire, belligerence, new beginnings and the dawn after a dark night. Its crowing was once believed to have magic power which caused evil night-time spirits to lose their strength. In some parts of Ukraine carved wooden roosters are attached to the roof of buildings to protect them, and rooster motifs can be found embroidered on garments and towels."
I can see it quite easily. A rooster crows at dawn, the start of a new day. It's pretty touching then, that the rooster survived. Even the darkest of nights have a dawn I guess.
I caught the 'shaker of salt' reference. It was amusing the first time...and the second!😜 Love your work. Thank you!
Thank you! I just love these well thought out analyses!
Vladlen Tatarsky got blown up by a gifted statue of himself last month, so I totally see why he would think it’s a security concern.
In the context of air defense systems, missile systems like s400 in the Patriot aired fan systems are better for larger targets, moving at higher altitudes and smaller numbers.The moment you have larger numbers and low altitude, especially with drones, the effectiveness of air defense system goes down. For instance, when Kiev was attacked for 20 to 30 drones, it had an 80 to 90% success rate in intercepting the drones and missiles. Increasing that number to 120 to 150 decreases into the effectiveness rate isup to 50% and 60%. This is data gathered from earlier attacks in the winter. The independent variable that has to be taken into account is that there were less air defense systems in the winter time having less coverage.
PS. This is just my observation from statistics and I'm not an expert on the subject. Feel free to comment on what you feel like it is.
In recent months, Ukraine has developed anti-drone measures, namely squads with drone-jamming guns, and apps for residents to quickly report drone sightings. My understanding is that these measures have greatly increased their effectiveness in countering drones, and I haven’t heard of Russia doing anything similar.
@@nw42 I did hear rumours about Russians having drone jammers that worked for specific brands of Chinese-made drones. The rumours also claim that is why Ukrainians stopped using some brands of drones due to being consistently countered by the Russians.
Great video buddy keep it up
The "feature not a bug" part is genius
had to look up at my monitor for a bit at 6:47 lol
That “getting rid of the grain of salt” was ABSOLUTELY brilliant. Greatly appreciate the deeply researched content too!
"It is never a good idea to strike cuccoos" 🤣
Thank you for the video. ^^
William, are you familiar with Martin E. Hellman from Stanford University? He has also done quite a bit of work involving nuclear war and geopolitics even though his discipline is electrical engineering.
I am very impressed by the work both of you have done and this channel is the only source I can trust with respect to the war in Ukraine. You guys keep up the excellent work!
The rooster's story reminded me of a similar, portuguese folk: the rooster of Barcelos, in which an innocent man was saved from hanging thanks to the rooster
False flag? The window has long closed on using that for leverage. Perhaps the parade, yes.
It is also worth noting that a Ukrainian bank set a reward of $500,000 U.S. to the first Ukrainian to develop a drone that could reach Red Square. The fireworks would be the best way to get it filmed to prove success.
This is a good place to use Occam's razor.
500$ That’s not a lot of money when you consider you have to buy all the parts to try and make one.
@@nzs316 yeah
I might be mistaken, but I think the bet was to land a drone in red square during the parade.
@@nzs316 Typo - now corrected $1/2 million. Thanks.
@@bobeyes3284 You may be correct. The Ukrainian sources I got this from just mentioned Red Square.
Can't get enough of your videos.
Thank you for your article about the war
My dirty mind: The woman in the photo chose the roosters as a joke.... Her in the middle surrounded by 2 big "roosters" lol 😂
The Doolittle raid didlittle physically but didmuch mentally to the Japanese populace
What struck me about these drones years ago was there modularity for video and still production. When i built one with some mods, It was immediately apparent to me that they would be a major force multiplier in any war zone.
I could listen to your narrations all day
Whoever did it, the effect was to humiliate Russian leadership and air defense by demonstrating what can be done. That the warhead was of token yield makes it a very deliberate warning without triggering vengeance due to killing. It made what in Christopher Hitchens' words is a "psychopathic dictatorship" look weak and defeatable, rather than strong and infallible. For the psychopath, such an event can stimulate almost immobilizing shame. It's a psy op worth an opponent's resources and even a false denial. We probably will not know who did this for a long time.
It does feel like internal Russian political conflict
Regarding the issue of embarrassment: wouldn't receiving such a symbolic strike be much more embarrassing than the Iran example? Considering the ongoing war and Russia's expected superiority, it seems more likely that this display of their inability to protect their own capital would (further) disappoint Russians in their government. Alternatively, is it possible that Russians are so disconnected or apathetic that they don't take notice or simply don't care about this?
Agreed. The 9/11 strike was unprovoked, in peace time. I'm not sure what the reaction would be if another such strike had occured during a war started by the US itself. These situations aren't analogous.
@@bobseven310 Indeed the fact that Russia started this war itself is key here. I will say I find it hard to believe Russians would see this as an unprovoked act, but of course I'm not Russian.
i understand the horrors of wars BUT Will really does help me understand this in depth.
Ukraine would be “counting coup” if they did that. The purpose would be to tell the leadership of Russia that they could be directly targeted so hopefully the leadership begins fearing the consequences of their own invasion the way they sought to make the government of Ukraine fear in the opening days of the war.
Eh, it's a really dumb strategy if so. The last thing Ukraine should want is to try to make it a "it's us or them" survival situation for Russia's leadership, considering Russia has put zero effort into trying to off Ukraine's civilian leadership (as a diplomatic agreement with Western leaders, if we are to believe some reporting).
@@zeriel9148 Russia tried to off the Kyiv leaders in the first 3 days but were pushed back.
I feel that if that were the case, the would have actually caused damage. This was superficial and not strong enough to send that message.
It would be foolish to reveal the ability to strike that far to no effect. If it was leveled, then I would agree.
Well, I think it's the May 9 Parade just in Moscow, because I would not want people to see young woman standing holding photos of there dead husband's or dad's.
It's the only thing that fits correctly.
I think Victory Day rationale for a false flag is a pretty convincing argument. Russia has been haemorrhaging men and equipment - to admit this as the reason for a scaled back, pathetic display of outdated WW2 tanks would have been humiliating.
Its impossible to overstate how important Victory Day is to Russia. It is pretty damn sacred - more than what Independence day is to America. On the balance, I think creating a perception of Ukrainian threat in the heart of Moscow would be more palatable to the Kremlin than exposing their weakened military on Victory day.
I feel like the biggest argument against it being a False Flag is that it makes Putin look weak. The US comparison isn’t strong since the US President isn’t in such danger of getting overthrown. Add to that Russian media downplayed the attack and it doesn’t make sense to do this for the purpose of propaganda.
Thank you, William. 😎
Great, this is a good investigation!
I can't take credit for this, but the best thing I heard was that Putin had dubbelgangers out when the camera didn't show close ups of him. That means it was more Putins than tanks at the parade 😁
The battle of Brittain is one as well.
Very cool
11:40 Erwin Rommel himself at the Victory parade behind Lukashenko 😂😂
God bless Ukraine
Didn't some American general say that if the US had their hands in it there would have been no building left? Or was that just some rumour that got spread?
Supposed that was a brit I think
0:59 "Let's get rid of that grain of salt." *Blows* 🌬🧂
LOL
It's very difficult to say given each possible suspect has a long list of motivations, and disincentives to conduct such an attack. The only concrete thing I take away from it, is that it was obviously intended as theatre and cannot be seen to have intended any real harm. But again, even this act of theatre has pros and cons for all potential suspects.
It's a feature, not a bug. Well played Sir Spaniël.
Isn't how Americans would react to a drone attack on the WH a bit different because the US is a democracy? We feel a sense of ownership of our political institutions that I don't think the Russians do.
Ha!! I'm happy & proud to have watched this less than 10 minutes after posting!
That's actually a really cool back story to the roosters. Thanks for looking into it.
20:16
You couldn’t resist another Zelda reference could you?
I couldn't! But there was a second, more subtle one that I weaved in here too...
A theory I've been thinking about is that the attack was done by Ukrainian drone operators acting independantly.
a) Ukraine's drone groups were formed at the start of the invasion as far as I remember, and it makes sense, given the dynamic nature of the conflict, that they act with a degree of freedom.
b) The way this attack played out feels like a one-upping challenge. There were two drones, and we got to see the second strike about half an hour after the first. The blast was before the flag pole, which could point to no real intention to do damage, but made me think of a flight simulator-like challenge in which you must reach a place. In this case, the operator must have wanted to reach the pole against an unknown timer for an eventual AA retalliation. You want to score before that happens, and detonating close enough to the pole would be a valid score. The operator must have been holding their breath before pushing the button in those last few seconds, and didn't wait till the drone made contact.
This would explain why nobody is taking the blame. Ukraine would love to spit on that flag, but Kiev doesn't want to admit the chance that some parts of its military can do this kind of things if they are fighting against the West's fears of an escalation.
Mind you, this would signal some level of independence within the AFU, but not fragmentation like Russia's forces.
I like the theory…
Interesting theory and I have the same thoghts.
And right to say Kyiv not Kiev. Kiev is a russian way of naming Ukrainian capital.
@@ggg-cf9zl oops, slipped by. My bad.
I really like ur vids.
The rooster is a symbol of France as a nation. Nice reboot for Ukraine as a sovereign nation! It is variously a symbol of alertness, courage, bravery, hope and faith. Seems appropriate.
'T was my cousin Niko.
...And next time I see your cousin Niko sneaking around my backyard, I will sic my neighbor's dog on him.
My neighbor's miniature poodle will show no mercy ❗️ 😡
18:25 the bombing of nordstream requires a real complexe operation, you need undewater bombs and people who can go there. Not a peasant task.
That's a special ops kind of thing. So it has to be a military branch.
Bullshit, afaik nordstream is at 70m depth. Nordstream is accesible to recreational tec divers. It's not rocket science to stick some plastic explosives on there. Hell you could get away with a bounce dive if you're feeling a bit suicidal but there are enough divers out there who would attempt that on single tank.
How does this channel not have over a million subs!?!?!? C’mon everyone, share this with everybody you know!!
on cnn on may 3rd. In an exclusive interview, Ilya Ponomarev told CNN’s Matthew Chance that "it's one of Russian partisan groups," adding that "I cannot say more, as they have not yet publicly claimed responsibility."
I saw this guy actually saying he had been contact with the people who did. Look it up.
1. I find it interesting that the explosion didn't even seem like an explosion... More like a light pyrotechnics display that wouldn't have done more then superficial damage even if it was a direct hit to the dome.
2. It wasn't a direct hit, and I don't think it hit at all... You could argue that it was set to go off at a given coordinate, but it seems much more likely that someone was watching and detonated the drone manually.
3. Why were people on the roof? Did people get communications crossed and accidently have people on the roof early to ensure that any potential fire was out quickly. Similar to CNN commenting on Building 7 going down prior to it actually going down, while building 7 was still standing in the Video displayed behind her?
To me it adds up to Russia being the culprit? In the hope of drumming up Patriotic Support. Although I don't think it worked very well.
The symbolic meaning of the single T-34 tank on the parade could be that this one was the "best" tank in the great patriotic war which they managed to beat the nazi Tigers with? Maybe? Just a guess :)Btw. I appreciate your work. Really insightful content :)!
0:59 masterpiece of delivery made me spit-take
Real talk!
appear weak when you are strong
Personally, there is a possibility of a 3rd party/nation playing a hardball version of "Let's You & You Fight". What other nation or group would benefit from Russia escalating? I can think of 2 or 3. Can you?
What is your current opinion of how things are going ? I appreciate your assessment.
1:00 i cackled when he blew away the grain of salt
This is an unacceptable escalation in the war that we started.
This is an unacceptable assumption on your part.
Yup…he DEFINITELY thought it was a security concern😂
Blinken’s “large shaker of salt” was a quote from a Jimmy Buffet song, Margaritaville.
The sheer brazenness of Russia calling this fireworks display "an unacceptable escalation", after having indiscriminately bombed Ukraine for a year and a half, is just mind boggling. 0:20
Just more Russian hypocrisy.
That attack was not an attempt to assassinate putin because those two small drones were not able to do any damages to the building, except perhapse to break a window. Not to mention that there is common knowledge that putin is never there at night. So, the attempt may have various reasons but not assassination.