Hi, you assumed independence in the results of every individual bet, but it is often not the case, how do you threat with dependence in the bets (dependence between performances of players during a same game of football for example) ?
Hello is it possible to determine what the sports books fair odds are for a prop bet. Example, Zay Flowers 4+ receptions is -192. Since this is not an O / U can we determine what the probability the sports book thinks this will happen just off the odds? As of 11/16 (before TNF) he has hit this line 80% of the time. I am curious what Fanduels odds say the chance of it hitting are compared to the season's hit rate? Hope this makes sense!
Relating to your videos about crash style games, I'd very much appreciate a video about how one might design such a game from the ground up (talking only about the mechanisms which ensure a house edge)
in other words, ensure there is a -EV for the user to ensure house edge depending on the game you want to create, the calculation as to how to find the EV will vary, but the concept is crucial for anything risk/gamble-related
I don't get it because all my math is favorite the unders because the top number is always 100 and the bottom is always the actual number? Or am I looking at it wrong? I'm going off pictures at 6:48
but the issue is that these picks are not independent from one another. example. lets say i do a 3 man play, one person for a completely different team to get 5 rebounds. great, but the other 2 are 2 players on the same team that i both have going over 40 points that night, in basketball its extremely rare for 2 people on the same team to drop 40. meaning i would have to take the over on one and under on the other. right?
Would love if you could set up an Excel ark on Black Jack that showed what the best move whould be depending on the count an which cards that was already been played
you cannot beat online black jack. waste of time. if you want to beat real life black jack you can find all the information you need for free or under a couple hundred dollars if you really want to get into complex deviations. which honestly isn’t recommended if you don’t have the main deviations down perfectly
to get 5 times payin on 3 props is total steal by the bookie Basically if you pull out odds of 3 bets that give 5 it comes out as 1.7 odd for each bet which comes out as 85% payout. In most european markets you will get odd of 1.85 for props and if you put 3 bets with 1.85 you will give you 6.33 times win
50$ a month for oddsjam is a bit steep for a tool that helps with gambling. Is it even possible to make anything after the 50$? I'm talking with a realistic bankroll too not a 50,000$ account. No normal person will bet with that ammount
youll just get spread limited if you bet a winning strategy on sports betting sites. The only way to be a winning sports better is to have a well oiled operation with a constant stream of smurf accounts that can place big figure bets for you
just found your channel but sadly you dont upload anymore
yeah must come back
Babe wake up Minding the data just uploaded
He is back 🎉
It's been too long
@@mindingthedata4218 Please upload regularly if possible , appreciate you
and gone again 😕
about that...
Have been waiting so long for a new video, thanks mate
I love to see you cover the math behind card counting
youre not the smartest
Hi, you assumed independence in the results of every individual bet, but it is often not the case, how do you threat with dependence in the bets (dependence between performances of players during a same game of football for example) ?
Another great video my dude. Please don't leave us hanging
Hello is it possible to determine what the sports books fair odds are for a prop bet. Example, Zay Flowers 4+ receptions is -192. Since this is not an O / U can we determine what the probability the sports book thinks this will happen just off the odds? As of 11/16 (before TNF) he has hit this line 80% of the time. I am curious what Fanduels odds say the chance of it hitting are compared to the season's hit rate? Hope this makes sense!
quick question at 6:42 shouldnt the under bet be 130/(142+100)
Relating to your videos about crash style games, I'd very much appreciate a video about how one might design such a game from the ground up (talking only about the mechanisms which ensure a house edge)
it's all about EV
in other words, ensure there is a -EV for the user to ensure house edge
depending on the game you want to create, the calculation as to how to find the EV will vary, but the concept is crucial for anything risk/gamble-related
Your videos are so informative. Thanks
You should do a video about card counting or blackjack. Could collab with Steven Bridges.
Missed your channel, notification gang here
LETS GOO HES BACK
Please make more vids!!
Can you do Math Behind Options?
The king returns 👑
Love these type of videos
I don't get it because all my math is favorite the unders because the top number is always 100 and the bottom is always the actual number? Or am I looking at it wrong? I'm going off pictures at 6:48
glad you're back
but the issue is that these picks are not independent from one another. example. lets say i do a 3 man play, one person for a completely different team to get 5 rebounds. great, but the other 2 are 2 players on the same team that i both have going over 40 points that night, in basketball its extremely rare for 2 people on the same team to drop 40. meaning i would have to take the over on one and under on the other. right?
Still waiting for the return of the King of Stats yt
Great graphics in the video
Can you do nba over under ?
can you make a video about calculating the weight og mjolnir
how about make video about classic-dice game face-blue-smiling
Can you do a video on GG poker? They have 3rd party verification saying there RNG is legit.
Would love if you could set up an Excel ark on Black Jack that showed what the best move whould be depending on the count an which cards that was already been played
Doesn’t work for online blackjack mate
you cannot beat online black jack. waste of time.
if you want to beat real life black jack you can find all the information you need for free or under a couple hundred dollars if you really want to get into complex deviations. which honestly isn’t recommended if you don’t have the main deviations down perfectly
great video
Great Video!
Could you make a video on the probability of slot machines
Sir. I want you make about bc game and stake ❤
Thanks for amazing video
Talk about aviator game numbers please help us with the secret of winning this aviator
to get 5 times payin on 3 props is total steal by the bookie
Basically if you pull out odds of 3 bets that give 5 it comes out as 1.7 odd for each bet which comes out as 85% payout. In most european markets you will get odd of 1.85 for props and if you put 3 bets with 1.85 you will give you 6.33 times win
50$ a month for oddsjam is a bit steep for a tool that helps with gambling. Is it even possible to make anything after the 50$? I'm talking with a realistic bankroll too not a 50,000$ account. No normal person will bet with that ammount
You will lose
youll just get spread limited if you bet a winning strategy on sports betting sites. The only way to be a winning sports better is to have a well oiled operation with a constant stream of smurf accounts that can place big figure bets for you
Where did you go
How much profit did you make ?
None. You will lose. You will lose your house. Your wife will leave you. Do not gamble
Run bro run all gambling games are made to squeeze your wallet and take your money
Baby, come back 🎶
pls do new videos Bro
❤
I like the math but i think you should include a disclaimer in the video saying that people shouldn't gamble because you will lose.