Survivor 46 Pre-Season Cast Analysis
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 30 ก.ค. 2024
- Just in time for your fantasy drafts, my official pre-season Survivor 46 cast assessment is HERE.
/ idoled_out
Music: Silent Partner - New Tires
Read Mike Bloom's interviews here: parade.com/tv/survivor-46-cast
Intro: 0:00-01:28
Ben: 01:29-03:12
Jem: 03:13-04:43
Charlie: 04:44-06:31
Maria: 06:32-08:27
Tim: 08:28-10:08
Moriah: 10:09-11:45
Bhanu: 11:46-13:19
Kenzie: 13:20-14:53
Q: 14:54-16:28
Jess: 16:29-18:07
Jelinsky: 18:08-19:46
Tiffany: 19:47-21:30
Randen: 21:31-23:14
Liz: 23:15-24:53
Tevin: 24:54-26:35
Soda: 26:36-28:06
Venus: 28:07-29:57
Hunter: 29:58-31:43 - บันเทิง
Here after the premiere episode... Your analysis of Jalinski was so spot on 😂😂😂
I’m gonna keep coming back every episode to see the accuracy
holy shit he totally clocked bhanu too (even if he didn't go out via overplaying persay)
The Survivor Gods putting Jesse on Vesi was amusing, but now them putting Bhanu on Yanu... very clever, guys, we get it lol
LMAO I DIDNT EVEN THINK OF THAT 😭
I’m so Team Hunter. He surprised me in his interviews, he’s a lot more charismatic and chill than I thought.
he’s my teacher at my school lol. and yes he’s just like that irl
TeamHunter2024
Oy the Jelinsky prediction should earn you a point during the debrief 😅
I always treat these cast assessment videos like a holiday. Looking forward to watching this back periodically as the season goes on!
I’m gonna take it upon myself to give you my scores for the players who left so far and add to this comment as the season continues...
*Jelinsky*
Full point! This guy volunteered for every activity he could, quickly found he wasn’t in over his head both times, constantly called himself a legend over the most minor of things, and claimed to be blindsided despite his tribe being very clear about their dissatisfaction with him. The only other time I can think of where Luke was this spot on with his prediction was Jesse from S43.
*Jess*
I’m torn between giving a full point and a half point. You said she’d either be the first boot or the winner, and she was the second boot, which is as close to being spot on as you could be. The reason I’m tempted to give a half point is because you said you were leaning closer to her making it far than not. Though this is a pretty stingey thing to deduct points for so... Full point!
*Randen*
Half point!
There’s a few arguments I can make for you being right and you being wrong.
On the one hand, he was the third out, which is pretty close to your prediction of him being the first boot.
On the other hand, he was only the third out due to being medevacced.
On the other other hand, he was arguably on the bottom half of his cast in terms of positioning. He had the Beware advantage, but he didn’t yet regain his vote and his closest ally was the social pariah of Nami.
On the other other other hand, his positioning wasn’t abysmal by any means. He still had the potential to get an idol and was in the best performing tribe. I’m guessing he would have lasted until late premerge or early merge if not for his nerve issue.
Medevacs overall make it tricky to judge these predictions, so I think a half point is fair.
*Bhanu*
Full point!
He went out premerge just like you said, and the editors didn’t even try to hide it, instead using the episode to show him slowly coming to peace with his demise. The one thing you got wrong is that he wasn’t targeted for looking for idols, but instead for carelessly revealing tribe information. Though that wasn’t a central part of your prediction.
*Jem*
Ok, either I’m being way too generous with my points, or your hitting it out of the park. Jem planted the “Beware Advantage” to take the target off her back, but only made her target bigger due to not planting a fake idol, and forcing her tribe on a wild goose chase. She then had a majority over Ben and Tim, but overplayed her hand by trying to get information from players she didn’t need information from.
Full point!
*Moriah*
I don’t really feel confident scoring this one, as your prediction is based on her challenge performance, which is the part I have the hardest time keeping track of, especially when it’s still team challenges. She didn’t have any stand out challenge moments like say, Frannie from 44, but she did have a good track record in challenges overall. Though this is the first time this season where you didn’t peg an early boot as an early boot.
I’ll go half point. It arguably could be no point, but again, I don’t feel confident assessing her challenge performance.
*Tim*
Half point!
He did make the merge like you predicted, but just barely. I definitely think he could have been the class clown of the season, but the editors didn’t let it happen. The most we saw of his sense of humor was from the immunity challenge in the episode he left.
*Soda*
She did have a bit too much trust in Tevin, but I wouldn’t say that’s enough to say she was too nice for Survivor. Her main storyline this season was her constant bickering with Venus, and she got blindsided while trying to attempt her own blindside. She left too early for us to know if she’d be willing to make more ruthless moves to win, but I feel like she would have if the situation came.
I’ll go no point here. It may be excessive, but it feels warranted as I’m yet to give no points for a player.
*Tevin*
He wasn’t an endgamer like you said he’d be, but he was a contender to be. He was friends with Soda and Liz like you expected, but those two relationships wound up being fairly shaky. Half point.
*Hunter*
You really overestimated his ability to manage his threat level and stay in the middle of the pack. Hunter was immediately labeled as the Ozzy-esque golden boy who would be as soon as the merge comes. He went out with an idol in his pocket and only survived one tribal council without immunity. No point.
*Tiffany*
She was in the center of her tribe premerge, but slowly lost her footing in the merge like you said. The one caveat is that her threat level rose through Q’s wacky gameplay more than anything she did, but she did hold on to that idol despite knowing she could lower her threat level by playing it.
Full point!
*Venus*
Definitely talked a bigger game than she walked and did give some entertaining confessionals. My one discrepancy is that she was more of an Angelina than a Courtney, as we were meant to be laughing at her more than with her, but in broad strokes, you were spot on. Full point!
*Q*
Accurately predicting he’d make the merge isn’t that impressive to me when 2/3’s of every cast makes the merge. In broad strokes, you were right. He did have people targeting him and did get used as a meat shield until it was time to cut. However, these are also fairly vague predictions to make. You didn’t give a range for when you thought Q would get cut, but I bet you expected it to be earlier than 6, and you definitely didn’t anticipate what a force for chaos he would end up being.
No point.
*Maria*
You were right about her being a bigger threat than people expected, you were right about her aligning with Charlie, and you were right that players wouldn’t be threatened by her having an advantage, as she told her entire tribe about her extra vote at the premiere and wasn’t targeted.
Full point.
*Liz*
I don’t know if “pleasant surprise” is the best way to describe her. She is responsible for one of the most talked about moments in the season, but it was largely because it was a point of controversy with people arguing over if she or Q was in the wrong. With that being said, she did make it much farther than expected and was responsible for taking out some pretty big names so… half point.
*Ben*
I’d say you were right about how popular he’d be but overestimated how in the loop he’d be socially. He was in the majority for a lot of the votes, but he was more of an extra number for the power players than some sort of social nucleus. Half point.
*Charlie*
He adapted to the “good vibes” of Siga really quickly, was the player most consistently in the loop of who was going, and came two jury votes away from winning.
No point.
*Kenzie*
I have no idea how she’s viewed by facebook fans, but your predictions for her were so optimistic, that she seemed on the verge of being your winner pick.
Full point.
Final score: 11/18
your analysis on kenzie was on point and will be even more on point when she wins
And she did!!!
A swiftie in law school who's also a survivor superfan isn't making it past pre-merge there's absolutely no shot
Edit: nvm
Edit 2: oh he’s in the finale that was a very bad prediction
Edit 3: LMAO I'M NOT VERY GOOD AT THIS
Don't worry, they will control their threat level by concealing their Swift fandom.
I hope so , we need to set the record that swifties do not belong on survivor
Pretty sure 99.9% of the population is a Swiftie at this point but if hating someone/something for no reason makes you feel cool/better about yourself then don’t let me or anyone else stop you :)
Being a swiftie is probably a casting requirement
@@BradsPitts. no disrespect but what in god's name are you smoking brother
drew being the emblem for most likely to be a pleasant suprise is CRAZY
I loved Drew 😭
Drew has great returnee equity on his own merit. There are others on his season that a lot of us would like to see play again but their game would be dependant on getting a good alliance
I never understood the vitriol for Drew. Worst thing people could say about him was he was arrogant.
Personally I'd rather see Drew return over Carson. As I think Drew has more room for improvement. I don't know, I liked Drew, I'm with Luke and that I was pleasantly surprised by Drew.
@@RandomTask5263 "its like the sword of damocles 🤓☝️"
Rooting for Venus, Hunter and Jessica!
Exactly
Literally my list too ++ Q 😍
Jessica was disappointing😭
@@nativegirl2337 she’s got time to make it up 😭😭😭
@@maxhook9862nope second voted off
I've gotten my hair done by Kenzie before, and you were spot on for her! I'm definitely anticipating her going far as well.
Major props for calling Jelinsky exactly how it went down!
here mid-way through the season to say you were spot-on about ben. he is my favorite. he's such a sincere character.
I really enjoyed most of Mike’s interviews with this cast. Pretty excited to see what they can do! From a personal standpoint, I’m rooting for Jess, Kenzie, and Tevin the most, but it feels like almost anyone could win this season.
I can’t wait.
YOU PREDICTING MARIA AND CHARLIEEEEE OH MY GOD
I look forward to these videos so much since you started doing them
Having watched all of Mike Bloom’s interviews, looks like we got a fun group. Interested to see Silly Shield strategy play out.
I adore the fact that the pleasant surprise reward comes in the face of Drew he deserves it❤
EPISODE 1 SPOILERS:
Damn, you had Jelinsky right on the money, but I didn’t think it’d happen this fast
Hunter is definitely my favorite! Really hoping he does well!
Now this guy does a really great job at cast analysis unlike someone who thinks it’s funny to make fun of peoples, personal appearances cough cough memeview
The only reason memeview doesn’t bother me is because it’s very clear he says the shit he does in a parody vein, like saying everything’s racist and whatnot 😂
@@synyster5469 yeah because saying how a contestant mother should’ve aborted them before birth is definitely funny
It's especially ironic considering what he actually looks like
You just can’t go a day without talking about me huh? What a loser lol
I've played with him in several different ORGs/bets online and he quits EVERY SINGLE TIME, for example: Last year we were doing an immunity challenge and he attempted to cheat but I reported him, once he was striked he straight-up rage-quitted. I don't hate his videos but he's not a good person.
I really hope Venus doesn't end like Justine
I'm really nervous for her, lol. But I still have her as my winner pick.
im here mid-way through the season, and so many of these are spot-on so far.
so far, you are completely right about ben and charlie and maria. I can't remember gem too well to know if you were right, but what you said seemed right to me.
You were right, Jem DID overthink this!
Jelinsky..
Both my parents are addicts, so I went into business selling slot machines so other people can take advantage of gambling addicts.
Good job bud.
With Jeff describing this cast as "unusual", I'm super excited to see what this season has in store! This cast seems like a lot of fun, with a lot of unique casting decisions, and I really hope they utilize the 90 minute episodes in a way that makes the season a cut above the rest.
Only “Unique people” is not what most fans want. Give us back some people to identify with and look up to !
@@Ryan_Tizianospeak for yourself, i'm quite unusual myself and relate to this cast WAY more then the days when it was mainly generic pretty people. that's also the casting formula that a good chunk of other shows are doing these days too, like if you want that just watch big brother or the trust or smth
@@Ryan_Tiziano I don't think you speak for "most fans"
@@lerdog most OG fans ;) 23 years and counting
@@Ryan_Tiziano congratulations for watching a tv show
I really hope Jess dodges the Asian Woman curse
Erika says "naniiiii?"
She is pathetic, get a real woman Survivor.
Update: welp
UGH IT STRUCK AGAIN
Great analysis and heps to get to know the contestants.
honestly I get the same vibe you got from Ricard with Hunter he checks every box and if I'm noticing he checks every box that means if he makes F6 someone else is (and as we saw with Omar all it takes is one would be goat with enough ammo to boot someone in power that late in the game)
I thought Ben was lying when he said he was going to be on survivor 😂😂 stoked for him
Awesome breakdown of the cast! I'm super excited for the new season. Your channel has made me become even more of a Survivor nut. Does anyone know if this season will have the 1.5 hour episodes again?
Completely agreed on the two winner picks. Hunter as the most likely and Jess as the wild card. Really rooting for Jess, she seems so fun.
I'm torn between Ben, Hunter, Jess and Venus for my winner pick, but I already adore Kenzie
Hunter and Venus are my picks
I always wondered what would happen if your first boot pick and winner pick were on the same tribe. I thought this was the likeliest way you’d handle it, it’s nice to be validated.
People complained about 45 having too many laywers so 46 casted three dads before 45 aired.
Ooooooo I am 1 minute into this video (first one I’ve seen from your channel) and I am intrigued!!! Where have you been? I’m so glad the algorithm showed me this!
Omgosh I said that Hunter reminds me of Malcolm as a comment on his Mike Bloom interview
1. Moriah
2. Jess
3. Liz
4. Hunter
5. Kenzie
6. Ben
7. Tevin
8. Tiffany
9. Venus
10. Q
11. Maria
12. Bhanu
13. Charlie
14. Tim
15. Jelinsky
16. Soda
17. Jem
18. Randen
Where is the infamous dude with black beard
I hope this guy is on 47 so badly.
omg we have the same winner pick ! last time i had kaleb and in 44 i had helen so not going great for my winner pciks but hope Hunter can win
Luke you just gave Jeff an idea for a new tribe theme, the "down-to-earth-vibes" tribe
I used to love Wipeout. Never thought I’d encounter any sort of connection between the two.
15:02 A lot can go wrong, actually
Randen was your first boot pick, meanwhile before episode aired he was my winner pick...
I got into Survivor the same way Jelinsky did and I haven’t watched watched BB since like 22 😂
Watched
I'm glad I'm not the only one who sees potential in Liz. Well, I already knew I wasn't the only one, because (as someone pointed out to me), in a shot in the preview, you can see Liz and Kenzie on the same beach (they're two of the legs in the leg shot) despite them starting on different starting tribes, so I think there's a shot they both make the swap. either that or it's a staged image for the preview.
Jelinksy learned the hard way today 😭
Fellow Hunter Winner Pick
Team Hunter is getting new tires for their Survivor ride to the million dollars! 🚗💰
You need a lift? Me and the rest of team Venus are going in that direction
The only person I was rooting for before your analysis was Venus because she reminds me of queen Natalie Bolton
Before I watch this and your opinions influence mine (bc they usually do lmao).. when I was looking at the cast interviews, I took some notes so I wouldn't forget the names of who I felt good about.. I wrote "Moriah, Soda, Tiffany, Tim. Venus might surprise us" 😂
Omg Jem’s one is soooo spot on!!! 😂
I'm putting my support behind, Venus, Q, Hunter, Kenzie, Jem & Tim!
I mean that gives you a 1 in 3 chance just mathematically lol.
Just going where the star power is, never did me wrong before.@@dinohall2595
Survivor 46 LFG!
@beaujarkko Thank you so much for the super thanks! Let's go!
If players like Hunter make the merge 99/100 times, is Marcus from season 17 the 1/100?
You gonna make some claims out here after last years disaster! :D Good on ya man!
Alot of people say there gonna play a big bold game then never do once the season starts.
SODA
Most likely to win players from each tribe for me:
I fell like these people I’m about to mention have the perfect combination of quirkiness that most New Era players and characters fall in to and level headed game savvyness to make a deep run and potentially win.
Yanu: 1st place: Tiffany, 2nd place: Kenzie
Siga: 1st place: Jem, 2nd place: Maria
Nami: 1st place: Hunter, 2nd place: Soda
(Note: I didn’t listen to the Mike Bloom interviews of Tevin and Soda cause I reached burnout and just decided to play Fallout)
What's with the overalls???
Hunter will win assuming his threat level is managed.
Based on pre season only. I’m drawn to the nami tribe the most.
Loving what we are getting from Kenzie, Moriah, Soda and Hunter!
I can definitely see Hunter being a more likable version of Tommy
I really think it’s going to be Jess
Wait.. what do you mean "the rest of Spencer's trajectory"?? What happened with Spencer???
It was close tonight but I guess Jess is the winner now
You got Liz and Jelinsky on POINT.
My top 3 picks are Liz, Randen and Jessica. With Liz winning at the end.
would love for you to be right !
Go, Hunter!
My winner pick always places at 4 or 5, so I try to guess who it is out of the people they carry to the end 😂
Gooch land hurt me. As someone from nearby it hurt the ears.
23:33 for the record.. i actually gave drew top 5 preseason lol i kept telling everyone they were underestimating him. And I do think Liz will make it far too.. but, just as I thought with drew, idk if she'll actually get to the end. I think by then she might be perceived as too much of a threat to win jury votes.
When does season 46 air?
Feb 28th
I WANTED HUNTER TO WIN SO BAD!!!!
Idk if I’m also a teacher or because I’m also from the south but I LOVED him!!!
venus, kenzie, q, charlie & hunter giving final 5 vibes tho
My mom is part of the "Facebook audience" you describe and she loves Kenzie and hates Ben 😂
I genuinely hope you’re wrong about David. I think he could surprise us and do well
Soda and Maryanne would be besties
Unfortunately the Sia Award is now done after 45. There will be no more Sia Award going forward so Tevin can’t be correct.
I’m rooting for Randen, Tim, and Tiffany
jem is blessed, I thnk she wins
Damn no Tom Laidlaw awards this season
I think that Bhanu is most likely to fill that role
@@BrainstormerX37 Good call. Or maybe Tim.
@@beaujarkko I think Tim’s personality more so fits a leadership type role whereas the Tom Laidlaw award is for the footiest of the foot soldiers
Now that the premerge is done, let's review which ones have already been confirmed or denied.
(spoilers, obviously)
Jem: full points. her weird idol shenanigans, plus her aggressive behavior before tribal caused an amazing flameout.
Charlie: 0 points. if only you had more confidence in the Maria/Charlie alliance you mentioned.
Tim: 0 points. this one isn't fully confirmed, but he's the most invisible player this season, so I doubt he'll be the big personality you described.
Bhanu: 1/2 points. the show definitely wanted to make him seem like a heartbreaking premerger, but that just never resonated with the audience all that well.
Q: full points. he made the merge, enough said.
Jess: 1/2 points. was the second boot, both from her tribe and on her season, but I think that's close enough to get half points, if not full.
Jelinsky: full points. he is a legend for several reason. his belief that he was the mastermind is one of them.
Randen: 1/2 points. well, he was the first boot from his tribe, just not how you thought.
Liz: 0 points. might change, but I doubt it.
Soda: 0 points. she's not out yet, but people are targeting her because she's playing too hard. not exactly what I'd define as "too nice for survivor".
unsure:
Ben
Moriah
Maria
Kenzie
Tiffany
Tevin
Venus
Hunter
the jalenski thing is on the spot!
Hunter is my winner pick💪🏻 but I think his archetype is the too good to be true, bros is arguably the biggest dude, has good survivor knowledge, and he won’t be a early boot I guarantee that cuz his tribe is highkey the weakest from the visuals
But I’m sticking with my winner pick 💪🏻
Oh yeah, Hunter is good at building stuff including survivor challenges like where could he go wrong
31:16 But Tommy had Karishma. No? Ok.
Jessica is definitely my winner pick, she just radiates it!!!
Thank you!!! because of you I won 2048!!!!!!
My scoring of your predictions:
Jelinsky +1
Jess +0.5
Randen +0.5
Bhanu +0.5
Jem +1
Moriah 0
Tim 0
Soda 0
Tevin +0.5
Hunter 0
Tiffany +1
Venus +1
Q +0.5
Maria +1
Liz +0.5
Ben +0.5
Charlie 0
Kenzie +1
Total: 9.5/18 (pass)
Okay though, Venus is pretty fine
Rooting for Bhanu
16:28 am I just a blind bat, or does this photo of Jess literally have two left feet? 😂
well u first boot eliminated not fpr reason you thought
Boot Prediction
18th - Maria
17th - Q
16th - Venus
15th - Kenzie
14th - Ben
13th - Tim
Mergatory -
12th - Soda
Merge
11th - Charlie
10th - Randen
9th - Bhanu
8th - Tevin
7th - Jessica
6th - Tiffany
5th - Liz
4th - Jem
FTC
3rd - Jellinsky 0 votes
2nd - Moriah 2 votes
1st - Hunter 6 votes
I don't think it's diverse enough this time... A swifty. what about other artist? Yes, that 1 that you said, kenzi?, is gonna be hated.... I can see that.
Hopefully better than the last three.... Well, the last one actually turned out semi decent. I miss the old days. Hopefully not fifty million idols, twists
I love your vids! But Ben as a fan favorite?!? Ima bet that he goes out early boot. And he was one of my least favorite 😂. I’m betting more on Hunter or Venus their already pre Season favs
fr he seems like Sifu 2. Maybe facebook will love him but I was already annoyed lol
I cringed when he said “transcendental shredditation” in his interview
Sleeping on Jem
22:28 idk.. if he's even half decent at challenges he might not be FIRST boot. Plus these days people jump into the game immediately like "they're not a threat lets keep them" on day 1 😂 so unless he totally bombs in the challenges.. he might make it through to second or third boot from his tribe lmao