@BlueGamingRage It was very lucky because they needed this exact sequence. Crit and double flinch. The only possible change would be which eq crits during the sleep cycle but then you'd still need double flinch
OK, so, Rock Slide hitting and flinching is 27% (factoring in miss chance), and Rock Slide hitting and critting is about 5.6% (1/16 crit chance plus 1/10 chance to miss). Assuming I'm right about the numbers, the total is 0.0041, or 0.4% - so less than half of one percent.
The EQ hit at 84% for a crit, which is 6.25%. So you take that starting probability and multiply it by the 27% probability of Rock Slide hitting and critting, and then you do that again. Your math will look like 0.0625 x 0.27 x 0.27, and then treat 1.00 as 100% for converting it back. That results in 0.4556% chance, or roughly 1/219. However, the real-world probability is very slightly higher, because either of those 2 Rock Slides also could have crit, rather than the 2nd necessarily needing to flinch. I don't feel like doing the hardcore math which multi-path probabilities require, but my lazy way of rationalizing it comes up with 1/192, and that's probably what I'd leave it at while playing the game.
I wish I had not to work 11 hours a day 6 days a week, and I was not addicted to weed, and I wasn’t every time paired with 9-5 workers 7 hours behind me.. I swear I would have gone further than I did in rev2 (8th round) ggs to ABR
The indomitable human spirit vs pressure stalling
Amir playing to his outs in game 2 and getting it
Is simply pokemon
He went full Joey Wheeler on that one
It wasn't soooo shocking. Double flinch is fully a 7.3% chance, and he had no less then 3/4 turns in which to attempt it
Crazy set of games. It ain't over til' it's over. Great pivot to the Mence by Amir in game 3.
large william with the unmatched team knowledge as per usual
13:25 "Unfortunate" doesn't begin to describe my series, this game rewards blind luck and nothing else-
BigWill has such good team building foresight, great commentary!
Best episode of Talk Tuah yet!
that salac hera in game one was insane
Aerodactyl: "Nah, I'd win."
I was about to close the video because I thought you had 5 minutes of post-game commentary after game 2
SAME they do sometimes have super long post-commentary lmfao
Sometimes they put timestamps, but not always, unfortunately.
I can see the semi finals title now. “Battle for top two-uah”
stealing this thanks
@ it is an honor, thanks for the hard work and great content.
Imagine if Aero had pressure instead of rock head at the end of Game 2 since he didnt have Double Edge
That game one was wild
Loving the chortle after hearing the words “rest ‘cune”
Amir performs well under pressure
Spoiler
What a comeback Amir!
GASP, Goldmason commentary! yay :D
Crit into double flinch and no misses, lmao
Edit: Tbf, a flinch necessitates not missing, lol
Given how many chances there were for it to happen, it wasn't too lucky
@BlueGamingRage It was very lucky because they needed this exact sequence. Crit and double flinch. The only possible change would be which eq crits during the sleep cycle but then you'd still need double flinch
Idk why fakes didnt just attack lol, He put himself into that position
@@wingdinggaster2480 right? Tried to stall with fear of the berry .-.
crazy good matches
what a set
Okay that game 2 ending made me mad lol
Anyone know what the youtube link he kept posting was?
A link to music.
Should’ve clicked the link.
Can my maths bro's give me a percentage chance for crit into double rock slide flinch
OK, so, Rock Slide hitting and flinching is 27% (factoring in miss chance), and Rock Slide hitting and critting is about 5.6% (1/16 crit chance plus 1/10 chance to miss). Assuming I'm right about the numbers, the total is 0.0041, or 0.4% - so less than half of one percent.
The EQ hit at 84% for a crit, which is 6.25%. So you take that starting probability and multiply it by the 27% probability of Rock Slide hitting and critting, and then you do that again. Your math will look like 0.0625 x 0.27 x 0.27, and then treat 1.00 as 100% for converting it back.
That results in 0.4556% chance, or roughly 1/219.
However, the real-world probability is very slightly higher, because either of those 2 Rock Slides also could have crit, rather than the 2nd necessarily needing to flinch. I don't feel like doing the hardcore math which multi-path probabilities require, but my lazy way of rationalizing it comes up with 1/192, and that's probably what I'd leave it at while playing the game.
@@BelugaTheHutt .... amazing
1 st battle
Amir are you s,tup1d?????
Yes.
Big Will???
Very 🅱️ig
Haxfest.
classic aero bullshit. I did not expect it to win
I wish I had not to work 11 hours a day 6 days a week, and I was not addicted to weed, and I wasn’t every time paired with 9-5 workers 7 hours behind me.. I swear I would have gone further than I did in rev2 (8th round) ggs to ABR