How The Philippines makes the Invasion of Taiwan so difficult: The Bashi Channel
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 1 พ.ค. 2024
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The Philippines occupies a strategic position in the Pacific Ocean, as it sits close to Taiwan and its main bottlenecks. In particular the Philippines controls the southern end of the Bashi channel, which puts the Philippines in a position to make a Chinese invasion of Taiwan much more difficult. This chokepoint is one of China's main strategic weakness, especially in view of of the possible confrontation with the US. For this reason the Philippines, which now host new US bases, are in a position to halt an invasion of Taiwan. In this video we will analyze US and China's reliance on this strait and we will try to answer two major questions. Why is the Bashi Channel so important in the scenario of an invasion of Taiwan? How does this influence a possible US - China conflict?
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Many thanks to:
Narration by Jasper: pdaefaul@gmail.com
Proofreading by Asif
Many thanks to the Patreon and the Discord communities!
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Music: Premiumbeats
Stock footage: Pexels
Softwares: Animations made with ♥️ with Blender, Editing in DaVinci Resolve, and map analysis and editing in QGIS.
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If you are interested in how to make a map in Blender check out @AlaskanFX 's tutorials! Thank you for the inspiration!
Check my previous videos:
Australia's Maritime Strategy: • Australia Maritime Str...
The Strategic Importance of Afghanistan: • Why is Afghanistan so ...
The Malacca Dilemma: • China's weakness: the ...
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References and Bibliography:
mango-roquefort-03f.notion.si...
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Table of content:
00:00 3 Reasons of the Bashi channel's importance
01:46 Taiwan's 3 main chokepoints
03:02 Taiwan Invasion supply lines
05:22 The Bashi Channel in the US-China confrontation
07:19 US perspective on the Philippines in the scenario of an invasion of Taiwan
10:00 US perspective on the Philippines in the scenario of an invasion of Taiwan
13:00 The Bashi channel and the submarine cables network
14:29 Conclusion
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Thank you!
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The quality of this video is excellent.
Awesome graphics!!! Subscribed!!! Greetings from Kaohsiung. 😉
You could have put more emphasis on how Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone is unreasonable due to it extending into China, as in the mainland.
@@eitkoml You could have explained why you think it’s unreasonable.
KAM0TE
As a Taiwanese, I'm always happy when seeing people making videos about Taiwan. Taiwan is critical to every country. The more Taiwan is seen by the international community, the less China dares invade Taiwan. So thank you for making this video, and I hope you can keep making videos about Taiwan. Again, deeply thank to those who support Taiwan.
Naive
It will not anymore, in maybe 5 years, when TSMC US foundry construction is finished. From Pelosi visit until condition today, it's all planned.
Being enemy of US is dangerous but being friend of US is fatal
You got it. You defend your island and we also defend our islands and China is mad. 😂😂
Maybe Vietnam can join Philippines... Vietnam is not a hardcore communist government anyway.. the Vietnamese government is for the people from what I have seen about Vietnamese being happy there.
To be frankly honest, the United States and Philippines are extremely hypocritical since they thought China was a threat when those 2 countries are also threatening China’s security, even on a larger scale than what China is doing. I doubt the United States would be happy if high-powered nukes and missiles were to be stationed in Cuba or the Baja Peninsula and then launched towards Florida or even North Carolina if they were very long-range. You would have to be completely asinine if you think the US & allies would win in this war. Let’s hope this war doesn’t happen but it rather sounds as if US & Philippines want to drag us into this war and it’s not China that want to drag us into it.
Lol. The US & PH would rather resort to diplomatic means, but have the advantage of military prowess and strategic location.
Hypocritical that is China building on islands they never had the rights to build on.
Try again.
Funny how you mentioned these 2 countries threatening China's security when Chinese ships have been harassing Filipinos on their territorial waters for some years now.
The US and its allies would win, and I doubt either Cuba, China, or even Russia would have the logistics to transport that across two oceans and possibly going through the Panama Canal, while the US enjoys itself on emphasizing on logistics more than goosestepping in parades to intimidate their enemies with wonder weapons that wouldn't be sent to the frontlines because of lack of parts and funding, either due to a toxic culture of corruption or unwillingness to send their precious jewels to be destroyed by superior technology.
Armed conflict is inevitable when the intolerable side of the PRC continues to wreak hostility towards its neighbors for innumerable times.
Desert Storm and Desert Shield made the Chinese rethink their doctrine, and I am afraid that the US would win in a war against China. Japan and Germany proved that and even the Soviet Union.
@@theonlyjacknicole China building on its own island.
Try again.
WellChina was a threat first here in the Philippines. The United States provides economic growth and protection and democracy. China doesn’t want democracy and they established the 9 dashed line across the SCS which goes through our and other countries economic zones. They ran our fishing boats, spray our fishermen and harass our navy despite them being hundreds of Km’s away from homeland. We needed protection from them first. If China wants to be more secure, they should try the diplomatic way of resolving things instead of making more enemies.
I see the Cuban missile crisis as just, yes the US placed Nukes near the USSR and the USSR placed nukes in Cuba… because they were friends. If China wants to be less threatened, they should try not threatening others and let them have freedoms
All the best to Phillipines 🇵🇭 our best Ally . Any time anywhere 🇮🇳 is with u always. Show your power with our Brahmos 😎. Long live our Brotherhood 🇮🇳🇵🇭💪
Does india has tie between china?
@@hondafitz
We blocked all our relation with china and blocked their apps especially their imports from china and new project named aatmanirbhar bharat (make in India) was successful from 2020 which made our economy rn at 4.5 trillion dollars from 3.4 trillion back then...
And that's how India's own self made weapons are getting deadlier day by day as a lot of indians are coming back to India to fight for nation against Chinese attack..... This enabled a lot of private defence industries to start in india and later become over 1 billion dollar worth profit companies
@@hondafitz India and China are also rivals
who said to you?😂
@@Riromoko your mom
If you're Filipino and still support China, please take time to read the PCA ruling on the dispute. China's actions in reclaiming land on Philippine waters has heavily damaged the marine life which one expert said was the worst damage he'd ever seen in his decades old career.
then take some time and research the enslavement of your entire country by the U.S
How about supporting neither and worry about damaging marine life??
@@headbanginmetalhead6786 then you're not rooting out the cause and so it will happen again.
Last time I checked, China never killed any Filipinos. Can't say the same thing to USA.
How about making a deal with China that makes the government respect the EEZ of PH and being neutral, instead of taking a size with the colonizing force that control the Philippines for decades and killing 200000+ people during the occupation and war
One mistake China made was being too aggressive in SCS, especially with the Philippines. The PH was already distancing itself from the US, starting as far as the 90s during the shutdown of US naval and air bases in the PH. They are really trying to be neutral and independent, until now. Even the recent president tried warming up with China (and was really hostile with the US) but to no avail.
Now, even the doves and anti-US politicians in the Philippines are losing their influence on the general population. It's hard to imagine having 4 new US bases (temporary and limited) in the PH, especially before the SCS issue, there's no way the PH government can get away with that. The Filipinos are fearful and angry and now returning to their oldest ally. They know war is inevitable especially when Chinese bases are just a couple of miles away from their homes, locals hear sounds of explosions and see the silhouette of Chinese ships from their shores, and their fishermen are told to scurry away by the Chinese coast guard.
And even now as of writing, the PH president is in the US, strengthening their alliance. If only China left the PH alone with their sea territories, the PH will not have to resort to allowing a substantial US military presence in their country. They would have an easier time with Taiwan, with a neutral PH.
I won't be surprised if the PH in the future will agree to give the US, proper and permanent bases, let's say reopening the Subic Naval Base (the largest US naval base back then in Asia) and the Clark Air Base.
If everyone hasn't yet noticed, China is incredibly clumsy when it comes to diplomacy. Their style is like a bull in a China shop. Recall the Chinese ambassador to France's comment about former Soviet states.
agree with you. it was a mistake but also a mistake that the CCP had to do because they had to rely on radical nationalism to stay in power, lol.
China already established themselves on Philippines claimed area of the SCS without Philippines permission. As we speak, resources are being extract and US military wouldn't dare to bomb China artificial island. So what is your point? You are not stopping China. China do as she please.
Just for perspective: It was in 2013 when China started building artificial structures inside the South China Sea/West Philippines Sea.
Subtlety has never been the PRC's strong suit. Their default to any perceived slight, from John Cena calling Taiwan a country, to the US Navy steaming a carrier strike group through the Taiwan strait is exactly the same. Everyone is tired of it.
And China had the Philippines on the cusp of being a foil to the US military presence in the Pacific--the US had abandoned Subic and Clark, and Duterte was ready to make deals, but ... the so-called "long game" that China is famous for playing was too much for them. Now the US military is welcomed back to the Philippines.
Same story in a dozen other places
Just imagine if Taiwan and The Philippines sign a treaty and hold control over the strait/channel.
Taiwan can't sign any treaties. This would see Nukes flying faster than Climate change.
What legal provision would allow two countries (even one actually) to deny access to international waters (and airspace)?
Never gonna happen, I'm from pH I know it's impossible, pH will not interfere with Taiwan and china
@@deanzaZZR Maybe choke the entrance there? It's not impossible to impose such a thing without directly denying access to such a crucial water way. It's not even about having total control over the said international water, but more about controlling China's access. I can definitely see this happening if the war takes place, not to mention the support this action will get from the other countries invested in this possible war.
@@haochentrendsyou sure about that?
The Bashi Channel was a happy hunting grounds for US submarines in WW2. US subs decimated Japanese shipping going through there between Japan & the Dutch East indies. The Bashi Channel was a choke point for Japanese maritime shipping & most of Japan's oil came through there on heavily laden tankers. It's one of the main reasons we never had to invade Japan. US subs so depleted Japanese oil supplies, that by 1945 many of their major warships were restricted to harbors for lack of fuel. As soon as I saw this video pop up on my choice list, that's the first thing I thought of.
What do you mean we never had to invade Japan? America still occupies Japan it has 50,000 troops stationed there.
As a Taiwanese, thank you for making such a beautiful video. I hope more people can learn more about Taiwan .
❤ 🇹🇼🤝🏻🌏
I will be extremely happy if i come to Taiwan. But i am from Pakistan its not easy for me to come .
Dear can i talk to you in WhatsApp or email please. I need some info of Taiwan
@@arsalananwar1419
Wow that's so cool! Taiwan always welcomes you to travel .
Thank you dear but i cant get visa can we discuss it by email or line app ?
I'm sorry I can't give you the contact information, and I don't know about visa issues. But you may go to other social software to ask .
As long as China is a threat to Philippine sovereignty over it's own waters & islands in the West Philippine Sea or until our own military is capable enough of mounting an effective defense, the US stays. We do not want war, but we are not that naive to prepare should that time ever come. 🇵🇭🇺🇸
Naive, the US will drag you into the war.
Here here. Peace ☮️ through strength 💪🏼🦾. Brothers in arms. An ounce of deterrence is worth a pound of c4 😉. China 🇨🇳 is an anti democratic bully state. We must unite to stand up to the bully. Everyone should. Vietnam 🇻🇳, Philippines 🇵🇭, Taiwan 🇹🇼 , Japan 🇯🇵, South Korea 🇰🇷…every swingin’ d!€k y’all. Y’all saw Hong Kong 🇭🇰 lose their democracy. They’ll do that to everyone they can.
great adage to live by .... "prepare for the worst and hope for the best"
not if the Dutertes are to decide about that.
@@divinemadness8117 The Dutertes like playing the Superpowers against each other. It's just a matter of finding who is the lesser evil and it's certainly not the US who are illegally encroaching on our territory.
So I guess no matter how much we try to remain neutral to avoid being in direct conflict with China, we will still be involved due to the fact that our geographic location is of strategic importance to both China and the US.
By "we" you mean the Philipenes?
Yep, exactly what happened to Ukraine.
Maps don't lie. Taiwan and Ukraine are the modern Belgium. In both World Wars,Belgium declared neutrality, but was invaded by Germany because it sat along a natural invasion route into France. Belgium just had the misfortune of being between hostile powerful states that needed to cross it to get at each other.
yup, china will attack japan and the philippines either way. it's a matter of how prepared the Ph and Japan are if the time comes.
It's your choice to allow US troops stay on your territory, who's fault?
I am from India and I support the Taiwan as independent country 👍🙌
Support by your high-end weapons or your poor money?🤣🤣🤣
Yes we also support taiwan. China a big bully
@@ogsan9772 India can give military support 👍😅😎
Nuclear bomb
Aircraft carrier
Missile
Air defence systems
And more😎
@@normal5461 India has nuclear bomb? hahaha you are good at joking just like your military power🤣
@@ogsan9772 why you are so hating india😡😡
Thanks for pointing out the important of Bashi Channel which I've never notice. Great job
Unknown to many, the Chinese PLA & PLN conducted live fire drills near our Batanes islands last August 2022 & last month. The target area was only about 75 Km from our closest island.
The Bashi channel is a strategic choke point. Chinese war planners knew this well. They need to secure this to surround Taiwan when the time comes. This channel is very important to global supply chain & contains many international communication undersea cables.
Our concern for the 150,000 plus OFW’s adds also to the inevitable link to the Taiwan situation.
If China threatened to deport that many Filipinos, that is, by extension, an act of aggression.
HOW DARE CHINESE MASS MURDERERS THREATEN PHILIPPINE WORKERS WORKING IN TAIWAN. CHINA WILL NOT JUST KILL TAIWAN CHILDREN AND PEOPLE IF THEY INVADE BUT MANY AMERICAN AND BRITISH TEACHERS WILL DIE AS WELL AS PHILIPPINE AND INDONESIA WORKERS.
This is why I consider the average Filipino's lack of awareness on Taiwan's current situation very alarming.
Not that it is not an important issue either, but most of us here are more focused on pissing on our own corrupt politicians than even the defense of our borders. We need to set our priorities straight.
@@boaoftheboaians It is because most Filipinos have to prioritize food on their table before this issue. Even Cagayan province' governor prefer the short term benefits of Chinese investments in their province over the possibility of China taking over Taiwan and probably the Western Pacific!
@@LarryfromPH China taking over Taiwan is not Filipinos' concern, which is a US provocation to cause havoc in the region. Don't be too subservient to US interests at own expense. Just take a look at what happened to all US 'allies' who got involved in US war of aggression around the world.
As an American, I feel we should invest a little more with our long time allies, the Philippines. They deserve it for standing along side us for o long.
Instead, the US gave so much to countries like Pakistan, Egypt etc, that became traitors 😂
Being a US ally is deadly.
Yeah. US have forgotten us for quite a long time. U have bigger FDI in thailand, vietnam and Indonesia than us, the Philippines. And now u want to use us again?
Invest it more to Taliban
@@rcj7299 They will invest more in Vietnam because they have an open economic policy and Vietnam's authoritarian government gives them political stability. Quit dreaming of FDI as long as we have the 1987 Constitution and Western-style democracy. They are both curses.
thank you for the illustration of cuba with the reference to the missle crisis
makes it a lot more clear
Amazing content, the visuals are A+ love it!
Nice to see some quality geopolitical videos, keep up the good work!
Thank you so much, ninja! I will💪
actually is pretty funny video... USA attack from Philippines would be the same as Philippines go to war with China because of Taiwan and that would be USA, Taiwan and Philippines against China?! How is that possible without WW3 and nukes? so whole story is just entertainment fiction
I agree
China claims the Philippines and the USA are the aggressors. Is it not aggression when China stole islands from the Philippines and sunk our fishing boats? The Philippines and the USA are just reacting to the aggression of China in Southeast Asia.
@@oakhauser Thank you!
As a USN Veteran.....this channel TOTALLY got my attention! As I and other sailors practice in, evaluating our, and improving ourselves in attacks in S. Korea, but as I was close to retirement, we were discussing an invasion of Taiwan as well....
The point was they posed to me was .... "What If..." China were to go into Taiwan, how would you protect them?? I pointed out the same evaluation that you present here with Japan protecting the northern portion of the island, while the US, with Philippine co-operation, to the south of Taiwan in the same Bashi Channel....
Of course I got laughed at.....back in the mid-2000s.........Now I wonder, where those other sailors are??
Lastly, I just 'Subscribed', "Kamome"
USN Veteran
84 - 05
Thank you for your service sir!
@@LightForxes Proud to Serve... ALL!!! And still Serving, onboard USS IOWA BB-61!!
Why did they laugh at you? What were their opinions?
Chinese do no fight chinese anymore, the west had it 1884 to 1945 to loot and humilated the chinese. The chinese got nothing and defeated themericans and 18 countries in korea war. Today china's mighty navy and airforce can stop anyone in Asia. Taiwan is china province, they will be united soon or later. I don't see we are going to kill our family from bother side and destroy our economy . America is basically deluded. Nobody can trust America anymore, look at vietnam, Afghanistan, the kurds. Chinese are different people do the rest of the world. we fight only when some one push us to the corner . And when we fight, we fight to win, not pitch battle like America strategy. America is not an Asia country. . Two big major defeated in Asia in vietnam an korea. China is not a small country
@工业党人 lol go back inside your wall wumao
these graphics are great, a lot cleaner than most others in this space imo I am impressed
reaallly good work, i appreciated every second of it! 60fps would be perfect
As a Filipino, this is really an interesting topic. Thanks for this!
Thank you too Leonah!
Please don’t vote in CCP puppets or you’re doomed and so is the West, Japan, SK
Betraying the Asian century and siding with the dying foreign Western power would not bring anything good to Filipine.
I live in Davao City, but we're thinking about moving way up north to Ballesteros. Give me a rifle! I'll help hold off the nasty Chinese invaders!
_Fun fact:_ Ballesteros is closer to China than it is to Davao City.
As an alien 👽, this is a good movie 🎬 to watch
I was initially going to criticize this video because of what I believed was the wrong name given to the Philippines' northern most island: Amianan. But after further research, imagine my surprise as this is the name given to the island in my native language of Ilocano. Well done indeed👏.
Salient and in-depth analysis, thank you for this video and it's relevance for these times in the Philippines 🇵🇭 ...maraming salamat po😌
I'm an ilocano, and aminan literally means north
The other directions are called daya, laud, and bagatan
wen kusto ta kunayo kakabsat.
Lets just pray that you keep flying your flag with the blue part up!
Thank you so much for your kind words, Eugene! Salamat din☺️
@@gh-co1uk ehhhh that’s so interesting! Is Ilocano different from Tagalog?
..many thanks for posting these stunning colored overhead views of this massive and really vast area. This really helps us all here...all over the world..to more easily see and understand..all these old routes of all these old past explorers..and all their armies..and all their naval forces..and the long history of many past conquests and constant wars for land and power that happened here.. and just how critical and crucial are all these.. neighboring countries to their own neighbors.. and all these large numbers of these people living there ..all living together.. and all very close to this important big China.. and very close to this important little Taiwan..and very close to the wide and long strings of the important Philippines islands....
and all of their other neighbors..in and around that critical area..and hopefully we all will now somehow..learn to try to work hard together.. to really help us all.. to try much harder.. to help forge our future history..for all of us..all together here in our really small and fragile world..
Really good and accurate video! Great job! Keep it up, my friend!
The geographic details of the images used in this video are so beautiful and add tremendous depth to the already excellent content. The elevation maps add so much to the overall presentation and really capture the eye.
All the spinning makes it confusing.
Yeah, visuals are great
@@robert7622 Me too. I'm out at 3 minutes worth of unnecessary complexity not related to actually making a point.
Be that as it may.... what. the. fuck. is. he doing? If war this, then that.... I know America is very protective of it's hegemony status.... but 1. Maybe if the US didn't want to deteriorate that, they shouldn't have elected a senile president that's father of a fucking junky. 2. An eye for an eye leaves us all blind. You think that the US can just go in there, attack something to a nuclear power without consequences? Worse still, Syria and Ukraine are proving that the USA has the hegemony power in name only and by being a freak'n loudmouth about it. Militarily the US is already an empire in decline. It's weapons aren't up to snuff compared to latest developments in Russia/China... the heavy use of propaganda through MSM about Ukraine is a sign of weakness, not strength and if it comes to a war... the US would loose. Especially with it's military command in lala woke wonderland being far removed from the actual reality of the state of the US military. Sure, they can still best an insurgence with pitchforks, blankets and AK's in the Middle East... but an actual real war, with an actual competent nemesis country that actually has a competent military? The US doesn't stand a chance.
I agree, it really helps to immerse you into the grand scale of the topic, and i really love the topographic shaded relief map, it really highlights the "geo" in "geopolitics", and adds a whole dimension of terrain and biome to the content that most creators don't bother to use, and it just overall looks beautiful and colourful. He also nicely visualises the equipment aspect of military operations in 3:34, which is a part of geopolitics and warfare that I personally am looking to be more informed about.
The graphics in the channel just keep getting better. Kamome, your graphics and perceptive taking make you my favorite geopolitical youtube channel.
Thank you so much, Toby 🥹
@@Kamome163 I absolutely agree to this ! I hope you keep posting more! Extremely informative!
@@user-jq5yk4ie8o Thank you, J!
You do not have enough subscribers for the quality of this content. Subscribed.
If war were to ever break out between China and Taiwan, I can't even begin to comprehend the sheer scale of the naval-humanitarian corridor from Taiwan to the Philippines. The current population of Taiwan is 23.57 Million, even if half that were to be refugees that would rival the India-Pakistan partition of 14 million displaced. Would the PLA honor a temporary cease fire? Where in the northern island of Luzon would you house 10-12 million civilian refugees? for how long? food, medicine, housing, work permits, language/cultural barriers. It'd be a humanitarian nightmare unless the allies plan ahead.
Very underrated channel. I love how you put visual representations for the viewers to find it easier to understand. More power to your channel.
China made a huge strategic blunder when it continued to project its duplicitous diplomatic policies to the Philippines and continued to allow its Coast guard and fishermen-militia to bully the Philippine fishermen on bancas in the Phil Exclusive economic zone in West Phil sea.
When F. Marcos Jr was elected president, he initially followed his predecessor's foreign policy to be close to China. However, in a short time he realized how dangerous that position was.
In fact, China's bully stance and duplicity helped the Philippines side with the US Alliance.
The Philippine agreement to allow the US to allow 9 strategic bases is the final defining factor to allow the US Alliance to project power closer to China
Marcos realized that China had no respect for the Philippines, so Marcos decided to bring in his big friend the US. If China had respected the Philippines' sovereignty, China might have had more influence in the Philippines than the US - because the Philippines wants nothing but peace.
The US can't do anything militarily. It loses all its wars. It lost in Afghanistan, Syria, Ukraine, etc. It was even defeated by Vietnam. It can never win wars with propaganda
The biggest mistake Philippines ever made by her leader!
@@charttrakarn3438 nope haha. the biggest mistake of china they bite and he though Duterte is still President but he not know Marcos are born a soldier with the tribe of warrior family
@@charttrakarn3438 ngek china about to be back to being isolated oldest empire again😂. Wanna play in our vast jungle and mountains your welcome
Taiwan + US, Japan, S.Korea, Philippines, Vietnam, Australia, New Zealand... Don't even think about it.
The video quality is beautiful. Great work!
Don’t forget the South China Sea angle where like Taiwan the countries pushing back against China the hardest are from Asia. It is simply nonsensical for anyone to argue that the disputes are simply about the US and China
The US can't do anything militarily. It loses all its wars. It lost in Afghanistan, Syria, Ukraine, etc. It was even defeated by Vietnam. It can never win wars with propaganda
It's because of TAIWAN... Everything is because of Taiwan.
China build first island chain..second island chain..
That's why China claim whole SCS..to build defense system to prevent US for interfering in an event of Taiwan invasion
Dispute b/w US and China is what China only want for the world to see. That's their propaganda and it starts to bear fruits. It started during Duterte's administration!
Filipinos should know what really is China's agenda in invading Taiwan and that is to control the Western Pacific!
Fiction. Only USA wants to contain China. Not us neighbors.
No, it is United States wants the war most urgently, not any other country. Don't lie, United States.
Thats karma for China threatening Taiwan Philippines India and Japan simultaneously. 🙃
The new US military access to additional military bases in the Philippines complicates China's military plans of taking Taiwan by force. Hopefully, this situation continues long enough until both China and Taiwan comes to terms and reunites peacefully.
Excellent technical strategic analysis! Well done!!
This is an EXCELLENT video! Wow!! So much depth and insight with respect to giving the strategic perspectives from the opposite sides. I'm definitely going to be watching more of your stuff!!!
The Bashi Channel of the Philippines is the most important channel in entire Asia where all internet cables could be found that connects entire Eurasia to Americas.
I'm really impressed by the visuals - along with the discussion.
Fantastic visuals, thank you so much ! For someone who loves/geography and maps this is very satisfying
The quality on this channel is insane. And the information is next level great
The 16 minutes I spent watching this informative presentation was the best use of my discretionary time thus far in 2023. Well done. Liked & subscribed.
Also a bit of an update. Japan and the Philippines are discussing plans on setting up radar stations in Bataanes, the Philippine islands on the Basi Channel.
good video. I love the work you did with the maps they were super informative
The animation and content is superb! Can't wait to see more!
Love the presentation format. Very good information provided without the usual (these days) hype and dramatic background music.
Hey Patrick! Thank you so much🥹 Was the music too dramatic?
@@Kamome163 No, it wasn't. It was very nice, and low key. Most sites these days go way over the top, and it's hard to understand the dialog, but on yours the dialog is very easy to hear, and very well delivered. Thank you for the content!
@@patrickd2013 glad to hear that! Thank you too for the feedback!🙌
Damn good job on this video. Thank You 🙏
And new bases were built in the Northern tip of the main Luzon island 🎉
I recently noticed that some of the Geography channels that I watch are becoming more similar both in content and visual aids. And then here comes Kamome, like damnnn the story telling and the visual aids are so nice. Sub!
Finally! I knew you were going to touch on this at some point. Worth the wait 💯 Love this channel
Nathaniel! I told you guys I would! How could I not keep my word with you 😉 Did you like the video?
@@Kamome163 of course I liked the video. How else does one distribute geographic reality and a potential Thucydides Trap to the masses through the TH-cam algorithm.
You should publish an atlas of your content.
THE GOSPEL OF THE WORD OF ALMIGHTY GOD "is a great last day that He save man"
"The Three Stages of Work". ... (the stage in the last days, where man will be conquered, the earliest mankind was in the hand of God, but because of Satan's temptation and corruption man was bound by Satan and fell into his hands)
Almighty God said
The 6,000 year work of God's rule is divided into three periods: the AGE OF LAW, the AGE OF GRACE, and the AGE OF KINGDOM. These three stages of work are for the sake of the salvation of mankind, that is to say, they are for the salvation of a mankind that Satan has greatly corrupted. But, at the same time, they are also so that God can wage war against Satan. So, since the work of salvation is divided into three stages, so the war with Satan is also divided into three stages, and the two aspects of God's work will be handled simultaneously. 🙏
The SALVATION of mankind, and since the WORK of mankind's SALVATION IS NOT A THING THAT CAN BE SUCCESSFULLY COMPLETED IN ONE STAGE, THE WAR WITH SATAN IS ALSO DIVIDED INTO PARTS and STAGES, and THE WAR WITH SATAN WILL BE CONDUCTED ACCORDING TO THE NEEDS of MAN and the EXTENT of SATAN'S CORRUPTION in him. ☀️
Perhaps, in man's imagination, he believes that in this war God will prepare to fight against Satan, in the same way that two armies will fight against each other. This is only something that can be imagined--imagined by the human mind, and these are very vague and unrealistic ideas, but this is what people believe. And because I am saying here that the way people can be saved is through war with Satan, people think that this is how the war will be carried out. ☀️
In the WORK of MAN'S SALVATION, THREE STAGES HAVE BEEN FULFILLED, this is to SAY that the WAR with SATAN is DIVIDED into THREE STAGES before the COMPLETE DEFEAT of SATAN. But the INNER TRUTH of the total WARFARE WORK with SATAN is that its EFFECTS WILL BE OBTAINED THROUGH THE GIFTING OF MAN, and BECOMING AN OFFERING TO MAN'S SIN, FORGIVING MAN'S SINS, OVERCOMING MAN, MAKING PERFECT PERSON. In ACTUALLY, THE WAR WITH SATAN IS NOT THE READY TO FIGHT AGAINST SATAN, but the SALVATION OF MAN, WORKING IN MAN'S LIFE, and CHANGING MAN'S DISPOSITION so that he PRESENTS TESTIMONY to GOD. 🙏
This is how SATAN WAS DEFEATED. ☀️
SATAN WILL BE DEFEATED BY CHANGING THE CORRUPT DISPOSITION OF MAN. When SATAN IS DEFEATED, that is, when MAN is COMPLETELY SAFE, then the HUMMALED SATAN will ALWAYS BE BOUND, and in this way, MAN will be COMPLETELY SAVED. And so, the SPIRIT of MAN'S SALVATION is the WAR with SATAN, and the WAR with SATAN is primarily REFLECTED in MAN'S SALVATION. ☀️🙏
The STAGE in the LAST DAYS, where MAN will be CONQUERED, is the LAST STAGE in the WAR against SATAN, and this is also the WORK for the COMPLETE SALVATION of MAN from SATAN'S DOMINION. The INNER MEANING of the CONQUEST of MAN is the RETURN of the emblem of SATAN, the MAN whom SATAN HAS ATTACHED, to CREATION following His CONQUEST, THROUGH itHe will leave Satan behind and return to God forever. In this way, man will be saved forever. And so, the WORK of CONQUEST is the LAST WORK in the WAR AGAINST SATAN, and the LAST PHASE in GOD'S GOVERNMENT for the SAKE of DEFEATING SATAN. ☀️
WITHOUT THIS WORK, THE ULTIMATE SALVATION OF MAN WOULD BE IMPOSSIBLE, THE COMPLETE DEFEAT OF SATAN WOULD ALSO BE IMPOSSIBLE, AND HUMANITY WOULD NEVER ENTER INTO THE WONDERFUL DESTINY, OR BE FREE FROM THE INFLUENCE OF SATAN. 🙏
Because of this, the work of saving man cannot be finished until the war with Satan is finished, because the essence of the work of God's rule is the welfare of man's salvation. THE FIRST HUMAN BEING WAS IN THE HANDS OF GOD, BUT because of SATAN'S TEMPTATION and CORRUPTION, MAN WAS BOUND BY SATAN and FELL INTO THE HANDS OF THE EVIL. 😪 Thus, SATAN became the THING TO BE DEFEATED in the WORK of GOD'S GOVERNMENT. Because MAN IS POSSESSED BY SATAN, and because MAN IS THE PRODUCT OF ALL GOD'S GOVERNMENT, IF MAN IS TO BE SAVED, THEN HE HAS TO BE TAKEN OUT OF SATAN'S HANDS, this is to say that MAN must be RECOVERED AFTER this CAPTIVE by SATAN. SATAN IS DEFEATED THROUGH CHANGES IN MAN'S OLD DISPOSITION RESTORED TO HIS ORIGINAL FEELINGS, AND IN THIS WAY, MAN, WHO HAS BEEN CAPTURED, CAN BE TAKEN AGAIN FROM SATAN'S HANDS. ☀️🙏
If MAN CAN BE FREED FROM SATAN'S INFLUENCE AND SLAVERY, SATAN WILL BE HURT, MAN WILL FINALLY BE RECOVERED, and SATAN WILL BE DEFEATED. And because MAN is FREED from SATAN'S DARK INFLUENCE, and MAN WILL BE SPOILED in ALL THESE BATTLES, and SATAN will be the THING TO BE PUNISHED AT THE TIME THIS BATTLE IS OVER, AFTER THE WHOLE WORK OF SALVATION IS DONE of HUMANITY is COMPLETE. 🙏
From "Restoring Man's Proper Life and Taking Him to an Amazing Destination". holy book Fulfillment of "When I looked up, someone handed me a book wrapped in a scroll. I opened it and I read on both sides the prayers, lamentations, and curses." (Ezekiel 2:9-10). ... "His clothes were stained with blood. He was called the "Word of God" (Rev.19:13).
The kingdom He brought down and set up in the highest in the sky so that it can occupy His creation in the universe and engrave on it the entirety of His Holy name "THE CHURCH OF ALMIGHTY GOD" 💐 fulfillment of (Mat. 16:18) "And I say as for you, you are Peter, on top of this rock I will build my Church, that even the power of death will not be able to overcome it.". ... and "The Letter to the Church in Philadelphia" (Rev. 3:7-13). ... And the fulfillment of "The New Jerusalem" 💫 (Rev. 21:10) "The Spirit enveloped me, and the angel led me to the top of a very high mountain. He showed Me Jerusalem, the Holy City, which coming down from heaven from God." (1 Peter 4:17) "For the time has come in the house of God for the beginning of judgment in the house of God."
💌Calling and leading God's sheep to His glorious Throne "THE CHURCH OF ALMIGHTY GOD"💐 to submit again to His government so that He continuesg teach, guide and protect even in plague, famine and wild animals it will not move and completely win this final battle with the big red dragon! "They say aloud, "Salvation comes from the Lamb, and from our God who sits on the Throne!" (Rev. 7:10). ... "But you are a chosen race, a company of royal priests, a a nation dedicated to God, a people belonging to God to declare the wonderful things he has done. He is the one who calls you out of darkness into wonderful light." (1 Peter 2:9). ... and fulfillment that will be built above the sky/TH-cam in (Isaiah 2:2) "In the Last Day, the mountain on which Jehovah's temple stands will stand out above all the mountains. All nations will flock there. " 📩,
Being the USA Army General, i am pretty much impressed with your presentation
Thank you good explanations of what's happening in that part of the world
Man the history between taiwan and the Philippines go WAY back. Before they were even called their present-day names of Taiwan and Philippines, the natives of these two groups of islands have already been trading with each other for centuries. In fact there is a term for this, which the historians have dubbed the "Maritime Jade Network." Many artifacts have been unearthed in the regions of SEA, from vietnam to the Philippines and Taiwan. The latter being called the "Sa-Huynh Cultural Sphere." So blood really runs deep and thick in relation to Taiwan and the rest of southeast asia.
Thanks for sharing that!🥹
@@Kamome163 you're welcome 🤗 and thanks to you as well for making this video. I believe learning history is key to having an open minded view of the world. And having an open mind leads to world peace ✌️🙏
You are correct... and they have a common bully to deal with. The CCP is dangerous and they have a lot of little nasty pinko boneheads steeped in mao BS that have to be dealt with as well. China is a real mess at this point and a big problem for everyone they are dealing with.
DNA analysis of some of Philippine northern tribes up to Bataan came from the natives of Taiwan. So yeah, our ancestry are linked even from the early times.
That's right @Kit Ander. As a matter of fact, one of the island in Taiwan is home to a group of people who speak a Bashiic language, part of the Philippine language group. Orchid Island (Lanyu island) is home to the Tao people, who share a close kinship with their neighbors to the south in the Batanes islands. They call their language Ciricirin no Tao, which means "Human Speech."
And the Vietnamese have no love for the Chinese, either. So what they do will be relevant.
Vietnamn, in a recent survey, Vietnam gave China a higher unfavorable rating than that given by the Philippines. It seems Vietnam hates China more than the Philippines does LOL
Epic video. Amazing visualization capabilities.
China being surrounded by US allies: "Oh no, I'm in danger"
Also China: Bully them
Great stuff here. Great info and very well structured! Being a motion designer myself I admire the smart and measured use of motion design. Keep on the good work!
I like this channel due to its precise content on geopolitics, while uploading content rarely is unfair, try uploading the content at least once a week and that would be a savior of knowledge in those aspects
awesome vid. glad i found your chan. you've got a new subscriber.
The Filipino people stands with taiwan in this case, china has been harassing the Philippine waters for decades and still ongoing.
Your animation is on point sir. Some of the best I’ve seen
Nonsense. The US can't do anything militarily. It loses all its wars. It lost in Afghanistan, Syria, Ukraine, etc. It was even defeated by Vietnam. It can never win wars with propaganda
It is AI. Nearly the entire video. As a human, I do not like the presentation format. Thumbs down.
yeah it's on point but u forget there are lives on the island... don't be stupid! which ever way Taiwanese people will die in great numbers, as there might be no warning of an invasion 👌
@@greymatter6834 Would you have preferred that he had done it with a blackboard and coloured chalk?
Thank you sooo much🥹
Philippines is well aware of this. That is why theres a lot of on going military exercises here in PH especially in Northern Luzon, US is currently providing training PH soldiers to use their military hardware such as the HIMARS and artillery, also opening of additional EDCA sites from 4 bases to 9.
US military industries are harvesting profit again.
Poor Filipino people with no equipment and still armed with old weapons like in MARAWI BATTLE with ISIS due to broken promises of military bases and Trade SANCTIONS and non payment of 1942 WWII veterans compensations against the Japanese....
Looking at the historical records of the economy of the Philippines they were doing pretty good until 1991 when 12 Philippine senators decided they did not want to host Subic Naval base and Clarke Airforce base. Their economy struggled for decades after that. But those senators were portrayed as heroes for the Sovereignty of the Philippines. In hindsight they doomed the Philippines by rejecting the protection offered by the USA and the hundreds of millions of dollars those bases brought into their economy. They lost many Islands in the South China sea to China. China already has maps depicting their maritime border as encompassing the Philippines. Now they want US bases to come back. I say offer them ZERO monetary compensation for the USA to do that. The USA should not have to pay the Philippines to protect the Philippines.
@@michaeljorgensen790 Know ypur History how U.S massacre the civillian filipino and invade this country
@@michaeljorgensen790 you clearly don't know shit what do you think will happen if china invade taiwan and Philippines what do you think will happen to U.S economy if china take that sea huh u.s will benefit on that because of micro chip in u .s came from taiwan u.s will not allow that to happen that's why
Excellent graphics, well written and narrated. 👍✌️
Great analysis of the region. I hope the US-Japan-Philippines bond stays strong!. Great analysis of the region. I hope the US-Japan-Philippines bond stays strong!.
Excellent analysis. China had a chance with Duterte. If China gave up its claim of Philippines EEZ's as per UNCLOS, it would have changed Filipino strategic thinking. But Xi Jinping is not as visionary as Deng Xiaoping. Xi insisted it "owns" the South China Sea. Even "allowing" Filipinos to exploit that EEZ for 50 years(maybe) can be earthshaking in that region. Today, even a Code of Conduct will not be sufficient to turn around strategic evaluations.
Tell American navy to stay the F away from west PH sea then maybe the Chinese will remove military bases there.
Exactly my thoughts. A lot of Filipinos would've sided with the Chinese and allowed them to peacefully build their bases if only they didn't bully our navy and the poor fishermen and just focused only in helping us develop. Fucking idiots. Now Marcos has no choice to bring in uncle sam to counter their shit. Wasted opportuniy by China, now they're gonna get attacked from all angles.
us and china will not consider what small countries think about.
@@zxp8272 You are absolutely correct, Pee. Each nation on God's Green Earth only looks at its own self interest. China only look at its own selfish reasons to claim "ownership" of South China Sea. The US has its own selfish national interests that China doesn't act, with its military, that it actually owns SCS. The Philippines own selfish national interests is that it controls its EEZ according to 1982 UNCLOS. The US and Filipino selfish national interests are the same in the SCS. Therefore, the US and Filipinos are allies against China "ownership" of SCS. The US, being a superpower, bring along other allies like UK, Japan, South Korea, EU etc etc to the equation. Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia(other SCS coastal states) have similar national interests as the Filipinos and US but are not as active as military allies. Which relevant nation support China in the SCS? Zero. Big fat zero. Xi Jinping should have a good look at that situation. Putin is finding out the hard way when it invaded Ukraine for "historical rights".
That's because Han Chinese don't respect Filipinos You really have to understand that. As I've stated elsewhere in this comment thread Filipinos can come to the United States and there is basically nothing stopping them from holding any office in the land and becoming American in every way. Many Filipinos already are. China will never let a Filipino achieve anything worthwhile in China. Why? There are racists in America and racists in China, but America is evolving and changing China will never change. China will never respect the Philippines in the same way that the USA will. All the Chinese know for the last 1000 years is they are the center and everyone should pay tribute to them. You can't form a base of power and influence in China. Filipinos can achieve anything in the United States
Thanks for creating such a beautifully rendered, thought provoking video! Also, may I know which software you used to generate these maps?
beautifully-made video！
Big thanks from Taiwan
Very thought provoking thanks for this
One of the best videos i ve ever watched
We Filipinos need to find a way to strengthen our country so we can defend it well!.!.
You guys have god
We have dense jungles and mountainous positions in Cordillera Administrative Region and Sierra Madre in north east Luzon they are good defensive positions it is high ground and rough terrain. Our soldiers will mow down their invading Ships with Brahmos batteries and now American HIMARS systems. The only thing that will give them the edge are Nukes 1 Nuke on Luzon would vaporize us leaving Manila at a mercy.
Which is possible thru the assistance of the US, and the much-needed upgrade for the AFP.
@@theonlyjacknicole We cannot rely on America for everything. We need to find a way to empower ourselves.
@@marlonelias For now, we need the US, give it time and hope the military assets bought from Korea, India, Japan, etc. will arrive.
Highly informative and factual, depicting ably what the likely future scenario would most likely be. Kudos to the researchers amd content creators!
Thank you so much! ❤️
Superb graphics!
Showed me new angles.
Angles I should’ve discovered earlier, however, didn’t.
How come I just discovered this seemingly superb channel for the first time today?
I’ve been on TH-cam for more than and decade now.
fantastic animation. I think there is an issue with the frame rate though - there is a noticeable jump every few frames. I believe the animations frame rate differ from the one used while editing and exporting the final video, which usually gives this effect. Please take this as a positive feedback, this issue has happened to me. Again, great content.
Ah, you explained why there are skipped frames. Indeed, for such a high quality animation, this is really a shame.
Don't know where you get your information from, but makes sense with the limited information I have. Presentation quality very good 👍Both graphics, speed and tone. Thanks for sharing 👍🏼
Personally, I felt that this was informative.I would preferred not knowing and treat just Confidential for US allies. No doubt CCP took this content seriously for military use and enhancement
@@whoisperfect_no1.381 I would be very surprised if CCP doesn’t have all this info and more to spare. Same for US military.
Your in-depth sharing helps a Taiwanese know more about my island than ever. Thank you!
Wow, this channel is amazing, especially its motion graphics.
Excellent video! 👍🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻 Thanks and congrats!
Great analysis of the region. I hope the US-Japan-Philippines bond stays strong!
Common enemies make for great friends.
I hope that China will stand strong
@@nouriaasrorova8986 It’s as if China is doing every it can to drive its neighbors into a mutual defense organization. I hope they succeed.
@@nouriaasrorova8986 I hope china loses the war against Taiwan
The empire and it's subjects, lol
As a Mission Crew Commander Air Battle Manager on AWACS and prior commander of the largest US ground radar unit in Japan, you did a pretty good job bringing up issues for both sides. You were a little light on the US numbers and capability from Okinawa, which is quite formidable.
VERY
I agree with you Commander, but wouldn't you agree the vital importance of proximity, the closer you can get your troops/military to any conflict is the key to the US military superiority when it comes to a possible conflict. As a former sailor myself, we sail around the world to show military might to deter any if not all possible threat.
Card board warriors.
@@hudsonstraight8628 Just look at our record homie LOL
I would argue China would never invade directly when the time comes but blockade Taiwan till it runs out of fuel. It’ll allow other vessels to pass, and therefore force US forces to fire on them first. As for actually engaging China I would ask how come not a single NATO troop is helping fight in Ukraine? Nuclear ICBMs. Which Chinese also has and rapidly expanding. The narrator even mentioned the Cuban missile crisis but it works both ways. Do the rest of the world want to risk nuclear war for Taiwan? They certainly won’t for Ukraine.
Very interesting and instructed analysis about the confrontation with China regarding Taiwan
Excellent presentation, salamat! 👍🏽 🇵🇭 + 🇺🇸 💪🏽
Dude, these animations are so awesome!
Excellent video!
Such a underrated channel when it comes to narrative and especially visuals.
10000% 🫡
Nonsense. The US can't do anything militarily. It loses all its wars. It lost in Afghanistan, Syria, Ukraine, etc. It was even defeated by Vietnam. It can never win wars with propaganda
Love the visuals.
Thank you so much! 🥹
@@KinokoCardano キノコさん，discordのアカウントがありますか？
philipines,, a figure of sibling that never disapointing you, and never let you down,, we love this bro, indonesia greeting you pinay,,
Thank you for this video
I love your videos. Very elaborated, very informative. Well done!
Honestly, I did not think about this channel at all when thinking about factors towards the defense of Taiwan. This video puts a lot of perspective into how important owning this waterway will be to either defend or take Taiwan. I love how this video also puts a lot more perspective to the position the US currently holds against China and how that can affect an eventual invasion..
Great video as always Kamome. I'm still waiting on a Latin American video in the future!!!! But other than that keep doing what u do!!!
Alphastar 🥹 I don’t know how could I do this without you. Totally, the Philippines have became with the new US bases the second pivots after Japan in China’s containment strategy. We’ll definitely have to cover more this area in the future 💯
We might get the next two new videos on South America depending on the poll results 😏 And I can’t wait to see the South America desk🤩
Mexico also
@@buht-head4866 there is a video on mexico already
As sure as the sun sets, these bases will all be destroyed in the first hours of a war.
It can even be occupied by China as China will certainly neutralize the threats.
PH may even lose the Islands ...... all for a few pieces of rock ? Stupid.
Dont play play with China is the advice.
China is no one's enemy .
Nonsense. The US can't do anything militarily. It loses all its wars. It lost in Afghanistan, Syria, Ukraine, etc. It was even defeated by Vietnam. It can never win wars with propaganda
we here at the phils, already aware of situation, and we are ready to face the consequences, when the worst of the worse could happen, invasion of taiwan, first, it is closest to our geographic location, from the most northern tip of batanes,when war broke out, islands of batanes could also be invaded as well, because it has a main shipping lines, whether we dont want to involve,, it is our responsibility to protect those islands and our neighbor taiwan, helping taiwan by sending additional troops repel the invasion and prevent possible invasion of batanes is visible.
The reason why my whole family apply for dual citizenship Taiwan and Philippines. If this invasion will came at anytime we can go back to Pampanga.
This is a great example of strategy. I am living here in Basey Samar Philippines right now on the shores of the Leyte Gulf. Where the biggest naval battle in history took place in WW2. I have been watching the escalation here for over 5 years. Now things are really heating up here and forces are growing.
I Hope you aren't there for the next Battan death march.
Samar is a backwater. Luzon is the main buildup in the future.
@@thegreatone11 Thank you.
看来菲律宾人非常希望卷入战争。
@@bestirs they are just sick and tired of Chinese stupidity, like most of the world.
I feel like an expert on the subject matter after watching the video. Awesome presentation. Thank you!!!
This presentation was very helpful in understanding the strategic and logistical issues/possibilities relative to current China/Taiwan situation.
Undoubtedly, the Philippines holds a pivotal role in the US strategic planning to safeguard Taiwan from China's potential aggression. Situated at a critical geopolitical juncture, the Philippines provides strategic bases and access points that enhance the US ability to project power in the region. This partnership underscores the global significance of maintaining stability in the Indo-Pacific, reminding us that international cooperation remains vital in upholding peace and deterring conflict.
Filipino kicked out Americans in the 90's. Now they want them back.
Make up your minds Filipino.
China claims virtually the entire South China Sea, including areas within the Philippines exclusive economic zone
@@jesse75lol thats all u know😂😂😂 r u jealous
@@jesse75 Who would have thought that China would act this way? US did some measurements but no one expected that they would become a powerhouse in Geopolitics
During the COLD WAR just below the BASHI Channels, are the BATANES several small islands, it has a rought and deep sea level. This area used to be the resting place for US Nuclear Submarine, stay submerge for 2-3month then report back to Subic Bay. Today Pres Marcos agreed for 4 additional existing military bases under the EDCA agreement. LAL LO Airport base and OSIAS NAVAL BASE both located in CAGAYAN, the northern tip of the Philippines, which is 300 km away from TAIWAN. The closes island which is MAVULIS Island is 80 km away from TAIWAN and it has PH MARINES detachment guarding the Island.
You have to convince the incumbent gov of cagayan dr. Manny Mamba that it is worth it. Otherwise, he will keep rejecting that proposal.
Mamba must know the limitation of his law-granted power.
Philippines should pay for US Protection this time since they played us and flip flopped with being Pro China many times in the past and denied SOFA AGREEMENTS. That country is notoriously corrupt. Lived and worked there twice, Very nice place but also VERY CORRUPT.😊
Dude I would take this information off the internet… keep it quiet :p
Sshhh.. Just keep it.
Love the 3D maps you're using, this way you can really see how insanely mountainous Taiwan is.
Good info and I really like how you show Chinas perspective.
Beautiful graphics, very professional.
If the CCP was not extremely hostile to all of their neighbors there would be no issue in any of this.
China is getting double whammied here. The highlight of this video is that Philippines defending itself is INDIRECTLY helping Taiwan's own defense because of that narrow body of water and vice-versa. Philippines is not interested in China-Taiwan issue but the country could also get dragged simply because of geography after reaffirming commitment with US based on a mutual defense treaty. This, on top of the maritime dispute which both Philippines and China also have. If China learns to play a little nicer to the Filipino fishermen as a good gesture by avoiding 200 diplomatic protests later, Uncle Sam and his friends wouldn't be there. 😁
Very well said bro, I totally agree
When I heard news US would establish several military bases in Philipines, I was so gland and relieved. I know US force stationed in Philipines will be an extremely powerful deterrent to China (or more precicely, CCP).