A well spoken thesis on the bear argument for the future of U.S. markets. I also enjoyed the insights into China. I agree, I would be interested in a repeat interview in 6 months time.
@@conduit242 I am not a BOT, in the literal or figurative sense. I have beat the market year to date though. Feel free to dig into the numerous playlists I've saved. There's some great stuff in there, much more mechanical than this theoretical/intellectual content. Or not.
Paul McGhee I stand corrected, give this gem (and its second part) a view, you’ll find it very interesting. Starts about 1 minute in: th-cam.com/video/6-Yf0lTmLKQ/w-d-xo.html
Very talented young man. Speaks clearly and articulates well. Very little prompting or stopping to reflect on his thoughts. Genuine knowledge. Thanks for sharing.
this channel is amazing.... seems that the rosier side of Tian's predictions came through, dec 2018 was the bottom for the S&P, and V-shaped dips corrected up pretty quickly through Q3 2019.
Very intelligent guy with real depth of knowledge. The delivery is sober and understated. The thing is, given the scale of debt in the UK (£1.6 tr.), Japan, Europe, China ($10 tr.) and the US ($22 tr.), a bear market will create a disaster of biblical proportions, maybe not experienced since the bronze age collapse of 1200 BCE.
first, such a good channel with only 70 k subscribers? wtf. second, this bro is very smart and knows what he is saying, absolutly no bs, all real. only thing inperfect about him is that he does not yet seem to have ability to translate his knowledge into sample phrases. I wish someone could do the job for me, i cannot follow all the technical details
Probably the best I've seen on here. Great! I love that he wouldnt tell if there is something that would make us so much money we would quit our other jobs.
👍 interview ! This 👦 is much smarter than me, but I don't have the balls to buy put options right now (even if the vol is low etc). And the idea of hedging with futures is too complicated for a retail investor like me. My strategy is to use triple leveraged etf only, no hedge. What do you think about this ?
What is the meaning of, "the probability that the bull run is over", and the point about a double bottom? Key trades depend on QE not being re-introduced, if it is everything goes opposite.
I suppose more or less a useful explanation for discovering the measurement of the market....!!! But man... the jargon in the language he uses in his talk... jeez...! making sense of it all frustratingly challenging!!!
There was a substantial change to the way things were done after interest on excess reserves was introduced to the economy? Liquidity expanded for the central bank to create SWAP instruments to deal out the benefit of TARP to ITS other owners and make a smooth profit in eurozone currency ? Equities have no defense against being used as a transitional currency to force de-risking? Expect a lot of goodwill on overextended balance sheets due to merger activity and artificial price inflation to add more consumer pain from mergers? Debt collection will replace the consumer as 65% of the economy? Bank lenders will scramble to keep their federal reserve accounts topped off at expense of consumer borrowing? T-bills and silver.
@@Jon-br8co I fear there will be no fall. Markets have been socialized and govt. institutions / reserve banks now determine the price of everything. I think the only way a fall will be experienced will be not in markets but in social turmoil a la the 'Jillet Jaune'
@@Jon-br8co Only thing I'm betting against is the AUD (and not worked out well last 4 yrs). Can't bet on or against the whim of the Fed / CCP though. Like you said I'm getting old waiting. I would add also losing my mind. Never thought the Chinese could keep this charade going this long.
While I appreciate this man's insights, he would be MUCH better off watering down his technotalk. Being able to pass on knowledge while using day-to-day language is a skill that, unfortunately, younger economists often lack. KISS.
Yeah, but think of all the trillions to be made at minus negative 100, one-million, one-trillion. There's money to be made in debt and bankruptcy. [heavy sarcasm]
A well spoken thesis on the bear argument for the future of U.S. markets. I also enjoyed the insights into China. I agree, I would be interested in a repeat interview in 6 months time.
Bot
@@conduit242 I am not a BOT, in the literal or figurative sense. I have beat the market year to date though. Feel free to dig into the numerous playlists I've saved. There's some great stuff in there, much more mechanical than this theoretical/intellectual content. Or not.
Paul McGhee I stand corrected, give this gem (and its second part) a view, you’ll find it very interesting. Starts about 1 minute in:
th-cam.com/video/6-Yf0lTmLKQ/w-d-xo.html
Very talented young man. Speaks clearly and articulates well. Very little prompting or stopping to reflect on his thoughts. Genuine knowledge. Thanks for sharing.
Bot
this channel is amazing....
seems that the rosier side of Tian's predictions came through, dec 2018 was the bottom for the S&P, and V-shaped dips corrected up pretty quickly through Q3 2019.
Hands-down best financial interview ever
So much info to digest, thanks for sharing !
Very intelligent guy with real depth of knowledge. The delivery is sober and understated. The thing is, given the scale of debt in the UK (£1.6 tr.), Japan, Europe, China ($10 tr.) and the US ($22 tr.), a bear market will create a disaster of biblical proportions, maybe not experienced since the bronze age collapse of 1200 BCE.
Count your blessings for a bear market buying opportunity.
Excellent analysis and presentation. Like other comments have him on in 3-6 months. Very informative
An insider's highly technical view. I understood about ten percent of it.
Great informative interview! Keep it up!
Thanks, Andrew.
Yes, the market spoke the same in the middle of March, but not now (4-8-2019).
Superb high quality content
Thanks, Verne.
first, such a good channel with only 70 k subscribers? wtf. second, this bro is very smart and knows what he is saying, absolutly no bs, all real. only thing inperfect about him is that he does not yet seem to have ability to translate his knowledge into sample phrases. I wish someone could do the job for me, i cannot follow all the technical details
Brilliant. Coming back to this in June and he absolutely nailed the bear market prediction. Leading indicators don’t lie.
A very insightful interview. Great content!
Excellent- fresh too ! ! 👍🏼👍🏼
Wow what a talent
Very Nice InterView
Probably the best I've seen on here. Great! I love that he wouldnt tell if there is something that would make us so much money we would quit our other jobs.
excellent interview!
Excellent, very informative.
this guy is actually smart. please more interviews with him
LOVE THAT GUY. Humble, inteligent and very persuasive. This guy could sell me my own death and I would buy.
👍 interview ! This 👦 is much smarter than me, but I don't have the balls to buy put options right now (even if the vol is low etc). And the idea of hedging with futures is too complicated for a retail investor like me. My strategy is to use triple leveraged etf only, no hedge. What do you think about this ?
@Barbara Stamm Agreed
This well spoken young man is the Shiznik........
Tians’ clearly very smart and knowledgeable. I just wish he’d use less jargon.
I didnt think he could spit knowledge the whole video but he did!!!
Great video
Nice one finally!!
What is the meaning of, "the probability that the bull run is over", and the point about a double bottom? Key trades depend on QE not being re-introduced, if it is everything goes opposite.
wow... smart analysis... agree
This guy knows what’s up
I suppose more or less a useful explanation for discovering the measurement of the market....!!! But man... the jargon in the language he uses in his talk... jeez...! making sense of it all frustratingly challenging!!!
wow great interview! the news on bloomberg is sounding a lot more like waiting room filler.
There was a substantial change to the way things were done after interest on excess reserves was introduced to the economy? Liquidity expanded for the central bank to create SWAP instruments to deal out the benefit of TARP to ITS other owners and make a smooth profit in eurozone currency ? Equities have no defense against being used as a transitional currency to force de-risking? Expect a lot of goodwill on overextended balance sheets due to merger activity and artificial price inflation to add more consumer pain from mergers? Debt collection will replace the consumer as 65% of the economy? Bank lenders will scramble to keep their federal reserve accounts topped off at expense of consumer borrowing? T-bills and silver.
Long story short, shit is about to hit the fan
Can't even fasten his 3rd shirt button. Odd.
Thoroughly enjoyed. Waiting for the fall.
getting old waiting but still waiting. lol...
@@Jon-br8co I fear there will be no fall. Markets have been socialized and govt. institutions / reserve banks now determine the price of everything. I think the only way a fall will be experienced will be not in markets but in social turmoil a la the 'Jillet Jaune'
@@uxpjsxu So you're the guy betting against the yield curve inversion? Brave....
@@Jon-br8co Only thing I'm betting against is the AUD (and not worked out well last 4 yrs). Can't bet on or against the whim of the Fed / CCP though. Like you said I'm getting old waiting. I would add also losing my mind. Never thought the Chinese could keep this charade going this long.
@@uxpjsxu You don't think this is a Bull trap? Saw the exact same setup at the Dotcom reset as well as the last one in 08.
He is pretty much right on everything. I can agree with everything he said.
and you are..?
I'm in awe. Top class brain with C-pop movie star good look...Sigh...
very smart guy
While I appreciate this man's insights, he would be MUCH better off watering down his technotalk. Being able to pass on knowledge while using day-to-day language is a skill that, unfortunately, younger economists often lack. KISS.
Yeah, but think of all the trillions to be made at minus negative 100, one-million, one-trillion. There's money to be made in debt and bankruptcy. [heavy sarcasm]
and this one time, at uptalking bobblehead camp
Austrian Economics doesn’t say that. This guy doesn’t know anything about “animal spirits.”
But he knows enough about all the other "spirits" & some of the "ghosts" .
Tell me what he doesn’t know?
@@fredfrond6148 The exact date & time of the recession
JmwSeattle explain animal spirits to me I want to know when the recession is going to come. Date please? Myself I have no idea🤷🏼♂️.
Read “Ethics” and “Politics” by Aristotle