I know, it's driving me crazy too. No matter what the EU says British politicians keep pretending they are the ones deciding whether or not Brexit will be renegotiated. They are suffering from grandiose delusions.
To me it looks more as an attempt to get the Tories in a more promising position when to call a new election. At least Mr. Johnson can prove his Dunkirk spirit. In the very end it might be the best for Britain to elect a goverment being able to get necessary legislation through paliament and break the dead lock.
@@fuerchtenichts Johnson keeps describing the PM's role like the boss of the country, but in reality, parliament greatly limits the PM's powers. That's why I believe Johnson is full of it.
Decades of clap-trap headlines on red tops. Internal bickering in the Conservative party. Cameron eventually calls for referendum thinking it would not pass. Parts of the electorate use it as a protest vote against the government and immigration. That's basically Season 1 - 1986-2016.
The show is still super entertaining, but it probably should have stoped after the first season. The plot have become extremely convoluted, confusing and contradictory. Also... There is way to many loose plot trends to keep track of, and I'm starting to doubt that the show runners will be able to rap it all up in a satisfying conclusion.
@@declanmcardle Good recap, let me do Season 2 for you... Season opener: The cliffhanger is resolved by having the In-or-Out referendum be "Out" The rest of the season is basically about HOW to do it The EU take a few episodes to decide on their team (in the end it's Barnier) Then there are a few episodes about the talks between May and Barnier After over two years May brings the deal they made to the House of Commons... ...and after an action-packed episode we get another season ending cliffhanger: The House says "No." (three times, actually)
I heard the producers are working on a surprise season 3. Johnson goes on a road trip around Europe in the Brexit bus with Rees-Mogg. Nigel Farage runs a hostel in Belgium and the three get into some hilarious predicaments as they try negotiating a new treaty.
Brexit series layout revealed: Season 3 (current season) - It's Boris time Season 4 - The riots Season 5 - Murder in the Parliament Season 6 - Scotland its free Season 7 - The troubles II Season 8 - Just call me IRELAND Season 9 - Guy Fawkes II Season 10 - The mad islands get peace
To all BREXITERs, Dear British friends, we fully respect your decision to leave us - the remaining 27 countries of the block. It was a pleasure to be with you for this 46 years. I fully understand that staying with us is also a question of taste or cultural links - not everybody has to be willing to stay with us. However as you are the country of Alan Turing and Bertrand Russell please do not violate, rape the argumentation art. The number of bullshit arguments I hear about the EU in the UK press resembles the level of wisdom you can gain in the renowned sources such as Facebook. I have not enough time to write it shortly nor exhaustively but please take into account the following facts: 0) Your are not leaving Brussels. You are leaving EU = a block of 28 countries having common market and cooperating to survive against much bigger powers in the world. We, the remaining 27, have some conflicts and differences but against systems such as China, Russia, USA we stay united - so far having comparable economy and negotiating power to resist their domination and their model of life. Soon we will have 15-20% less power (due to BREXIT) but still we remain the second largest market in the world. When you negotiate with all the big powers - please share with us the tactics you are going to use to negotiate better deals than we (you and us) did together. 1) All the crazy things you blame Brussels for is voted by YOUR politicians elected by YOU (see standard legislation procedure). I am afraid that what you call ‘Brussels’ is national politicians (also from the UK) voting in Brussels. Leaving EU or not - you will keep your politicians that voted for the things you do not like - you are not going to leave them in Brussels - we have enough of our own idiots. Your politicians had actually the biggest possible voting power. 2) The EU does not stop you from sending bad guys to 3rd world countries (it is Human Rights aspect dealt by Council of Europe which is not an EU institution and which is in fact established by the UK after WWII) - so if you want to solve this problem you're leaving wrong organisation 3) The BREXIT blockage is currently based on the contradiction promised by the BREXITers that the UK can leave customs union (so have a customs border or hard border) but at the same time have no border between Northern Ireland and Ireland (which stays in the EU). For sure you know that certain relationships are binary and ‘having a border’ is one of them, same way as ‘being pregnant’ - you cannot be half- or nearly-pregnant. BoJo, Theresa or nobody else will be able to make it. All you can get is pregnant or not that your politicians will sell you as ‘nearly-pregnant’ but the consequences will stick to the reality. I remind you that it is YOU who want to keep the border open more then Irish government as the potential conflict caused by reintroducing the border would happen mainly on your territory. So don’t blame the Irish people for having exotic wishes - it’s your wish more than theirs. 4) There are non EU countries that are part of the common market (e.g. Norway, Switzerland) for them paying the full EU contribution does not pay off as it is related to the GDP, so they pay less, they HAVE TO RESPECT all the laws in the common market (common by definition means common rules), which they CANNOT VOTE. So you are welcomed back to join us in the common market/free trade/customs union/free flow of products, services and people but the algorithm of payment used for Norway and Switzerland makes the contribution bigger for the UK as it was the UK’s EU payment still leaving you without the vote and forcing to respect all the laws you hate. What is the logic of this in the context of BREXIT being sold as a financial improvement? 5) Everybody may have a feeling about being or not being part of Europe, many of my friends have a feeling of being part of Asia, but the geography is part of the reality and it says that all your neighbour countries are either part of the EU or at least part of the common market. You acctually share one of your islands with EU (Northern Ireland). If you close your borders and doors you won’t be able to pass them too. There are many more details and wrong assumptions in your press but I have no time nor willingness to fix it all. While I am sad about your decision to leave, having visited your country so many times and having bought many products and services which I will now have to buy in France, Germany or wherever these companies will go after BREXIT, I genuinely wish you all the best outside of the block! Not only because I like you but also because no country or union wants wars or problems in the neighborhood. EU citizen.
Here is your problem : You are listening to the arguments the pro-EU press claim the anti-EU press are advancing. You should be listening to the arguments advanced by the people but are presumably not doing so because to do so would be highly inconvenient to the agenda into which you have been indoctrinated. This is why you are unable to understand that for the UK exiting the European Union is absolutely critical and MUST be delivered, and the chances are it is absolutely critical for your country too.
@@thegrandmuftiofwakanda Well I do not support any of the sides. Genuinely I do not criticise your decision. What I wrote is the reality and facts you can easily verify. These may become arguments for both sides to stay or to leave. You may not like this reality but will this change because of that? Everybody has right for its opinion but not the right for its own facts. As for my country - I see many problems from the EU, bigger countries (such as UK) have bigger voting power and often my country had to give up. But in life we choose from the existing alternatives - when my country was outside of the EU it was anyway dependent economically without having any vote. We still had to respect EU norms when we wanted to trade. Now at least we can veto critical ideas and we act most of the time by the compromise so we are better off. What we gained is capability to resit China, USA and soon much much bigger countries that would eat us in 20-50 years. So yes - it is not a perfect choice but the best I can see.
0) Here you demonstrate your naivety to the fact that there is an optimal size to a trading bloc. Too small and there is little prospect for favourable negotiation. Too large and each individual members interests an desires are diluted to the point of not even being considered. The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland is the 5th largest economy in the world so has absolutely no issues whatsoever in respect of the former. In respect of the latter, the PIIGS and the Eastern European donkey farms are very different economies too our own and it is not in our interest to have their interests dictate our international trade policy. 1.) Here you start off by attempting to advance an argument on semantics, and nobody is interested in semantics. I don't care how you like to refer to the European Union and its constituent entities, here in the UK whenever we refer to "Brussels" in a political context we all know exactly who and what we are refering to. Then you go on to attempt to promote the influence MEPs in the European Parliament, quite evidently naïve to the fact that these elected representatives have no legislative powers whatsoever. THIS is the argument you are being presented with, and as such THIS is the argument you should be addressing. 2.) This is a highly confused point. Leaving the European Union solves problems caused by our European Union membership. Problems not caused by the European Union require different solutions. This is a very standard position and I don't see anyone arguing with this. You are attempting to combat an argument nobody has advanced. If we have two separate sets of problems with two entirely different root causes then we seek to solve both, not neither. 3.) Given the fact that any form of physical border in Ireland is a violation of the UK and Irish Republic's obligations to each other via international law via the Good Friday Agreement and that there is nothing whatsoever in the Good Friday Agreement that compels the UK to remain in the European Union or any of its constituent entities, coupled with the fact that the Irish border has been a VAT, Excise and Immigration (yes, immigration) border for decades and successfully so without physical border infrastructure and that both the British and Irish Prime Ministers have both explicitly pledged that there would be no physical border even in the much berated "no deal" scenario, perhaps you would care to explain what specific natural phenomena, act of god or nefarious supernatural entity is going to raise a physical border from the cold hard Irish ground once the UK's democratic mandate to exit the European Union is fulfilled? This propaganda play from the standard issue pro-EU playbook is DEAD. 4.) Your first point here is not applicable to the UK. We are leaving the European Union and we are not comming back. On the point of the economic benefits of leaving the European Union these are widely understood by those who have not been indoctrinated into an agenda that makes it highly inconvenient to listen : a.) To be able to remove the EU Common External Tariff from 56% (non-EU) of our imports and make such goods cheaper to the British Consumer at the expense of, only in the worst case scenario, having to collect tariffs on only 44% (non-EU) of our imports the proceeds of which would go direct to HMRC in any case facilitating compensatory measures such as tax cuts b.) To allow tariffs collected on non-EU imports to go straight to HMRC rather than Brussels and be distributed exclusively according to the interests of the UK and not according to the interests of Germany, France, the PIIGS and a bunch of Eastern European donkey farms, c.) To be able to implement trade policies exclusively according to the priorities of the UK and not according the interests of Germany, France, the PIIGS and a bunch of Eastern European donkey farms, d.) to repatriate 10BN (and rising) of EU funding to within the UK e.) To be able to implement a meritocratic immigration policy that selects exclusively according to capability and character, regardless of where someone is from, and through this increase the quality of the population, their earning potential and revenue collected from HMRC through General Taxation. 5.) Here you begin to confuse Europe with the European Union. They are not the same thing. However since this may only be a semantic point I will let it go. The UK is not closing its borders. It is a consequence of our European Union the in effect compels us to place impediments on our borders to non-EU citizens. The UK is simply implementing a meritocratic immigration policy that selects exclusively according to capability and character regardless of someones nationality, and if you don't like this then you are a racist, you racist.
Peculiar. Basically echoing my thoughts exactly. Love the UK; Saddened by what the brexiteering side is doing propaganda wise. And please make more Doctor Who...
Sorry, what's your username there supposed to indicate? Rose, I mean Billie Piper, really don't deserve to be ridiculed like this. @@thegrandmuftiofwakanda
Website's looking good! Great to know you guys have gotten to the point of being able to write and publish comprehensive articles and anylasis! I hope further big things for you and the TDLR team.
Something worth noting that, as usual for Brexit, it's generally the British side saying thing are open to change. Wishing it to be true is basically all they have.
Low taxes? Less regulations? Is that really the direction a country should move into? Doesn’t a big shoppinglist mean that the government needs more money to achieve all that? And big corporations, if they can work under a regime with low taxes and less regulation (workers rights), might not contribute enough. In comes more austerity???
@@jjg19631 the British citizens has been fed lies and misleading information for a long time by media and newspapers. especially run to Brexit vote it went into over drive. then are social media started getting attacked with even more lies by cambridge analytica all this to feed one agenda GREED AND PROFIT. Plus there's other things are history THE GOOD OLD BRITISH CAN DO ATTITUDE LOL. Don't you know we won 2 world war's you on are own you know lol. We are the best country in the world don't you know lol.
"More competitive" regulations. Appealing to corporations. Everyone knows these mean treating employees worse, right? And that would have happened with any economic downturn anyway. "Oh, things are hard, we can't afford raises and benefits so much this year"... and then that becomes the new standard.
What I get from this is that, in the ideal scenario, the UK becomes a safe haven for big corporations to do whatever they please. Why would that ever be seen as positive by a population which is overwhelmingly low to middle class?
It has been popular and seen as positive for the last 40 years though. Both in the usa and uk. And ever increasingly in the rest of europe as well. Propaganda, or public relations whichever you prefer, is a very powerfull tool used by both commercial and political interests to manipulate people into doing incredible things.
Their already doing it that's whole problem we have about 6 tax haven under British overseas territory and loads of really big businesses are registered in them tax havens and a lot tory mp are involved with it. But EU are trying to stamp tax avoidance out.
brexit is all about avoiding the eu from closing tax loopholes which will mean more money in gov pot to finance social projects. but no, give tax breaks to only those already rich, leave eu n bring us even closer to victorian economic divides between rich n poor, take away human rights, increase surveillance, close A&E depts until theres 78 for 7bill people (n sell off for more lining of pockets) bring in foods that encourage chronic illness, n cause medical debt n thus more money to those at the top
Absolute failure to spell out what "increased competitiveness" is actually a code word for; slashing business regulations, lower wages, poorer working conditions, increased concentration of wealth upwards.
Lowering taxes while increasing spending. Am I missing something? There seems to be a problem there. The policies to open Britain for business seem to be very good for the rich and large businesses. I'm not sure the vast majority of the people of the UK fall into this category.
More businesses = more jobs and more tax revenue. The borrowing rate is just going to go up that’s all, austerity didn’t work so they are going to try to stimulate the economy with more spending.
We Europeans will not throw the Irish under the bus, remember. They're part of our Union, and we shall protect our members, whatever the cost may be. Being a European member state is a privilege and a cause worth fighting for.
So Angry . The EU did not create this situation. We have a seamless border with free movement as mentioned as part of the GFA and both our memberships of the EU ensures this free movement of goods and people. When the UK decided to leave they have to have hard borders and the Unionists demanded that it will not be in the Irish Sea. We now have a problem. What’s to stop an influx of people or goods in to NI without a border ? A Customs Union is needed but the UK have ruled this out. Trade Deals also ruled out. After nearly four years at the table even the table is thrown out ! Election in November will sort it because everything else is in the skip !
Ian 1970 . Yes but now it has become a EU Border as well and you need trade deals or a Customs Union as in all Borders throughout the world. Now Trade Deals have bees ruled our and a Brexit Crash is on the cards but more likely an election this year.
These constant hard cuts in the audio makes it harder to listen to. Use crossfades, and/or try to make cuts after a sentence is done. If you do it to speed up the speech, just don't.
Wasn't the Backstop already effectively time-limited? I vaguely recall it being set up in a way, that the Backstop ends the moment that the UK found a solution for the problem. Lipstick on a pig, indeed.
Yeah ... not so much. Seriously, looking at the cabinet as a whole, there are very few competent people in there, most of the competent people that have been around have either resigned and refused to take part or have been dismissed. When you have such pitiful and vacuous non-entities as Rees-Mogg, Leadsom, Patel, Truss, McVey, Raab and f***ing Nadine Dorries having cabinet responsibilities or ministerial posts, it shows you are well past the bottom of the barrel.
@@stevieinselby I actually don't know much abut the people mentioned. I just meant that the tone of the video seemed to be that Johnson's appointments suggested he was going to take a more pragmatic, flexible approach than his campaign rhetoric suggested.
It’s in this channel’s best interest that Brexit does note take place on the 31st of October. It’s honestly the best place to get any Brexit-related news
Halloween is called 'Nos Galan Gaeaf' in Welsh which directly translates as the 'Eve of Winter'. Quite appropriate for post no-deal Brexit UK. We've experienced a Winter of Discontent before, but never one that signifies the downfall of the United Kingdom.
Nonsense.The deal May negotiated is not ac eptable to US.That means it must be scrapped.The EU will have to adapt to a changed situation.We the people who voted to leave never accepted Mays 'sell out deal'.Neither will WE accept a sell out 'deal' from Boris.He knows the situation.We leave fully on terms acceptable to us or the Tory government will fall.Barnier can threaten a he likes.WE ,the British people will decide.
roger woodhouse Let’s be real, It going to be a no deal. There is no way to renegotiate a deal in only three months when other deals took years to negotiate. The EU won’t accept any breach of the goodfridayagreement or it’s principle of the singlemarket. There won’t be any Brit-Bonus this time for sure.
Isn’t it a bit odd that many people hate the backstop but wouldn’t mind Northern Ireland leaving if it meant no deal. Doesn’t that show they don’t really care about the fate of Northern Ireland?
Lesser Spotted Mugwump. Tbh it’s not even that it “belongs” to us. It’s so hard to watch NI be completely neglected by the uk after countless of my relatives died trying to keep it.
Lesser Spotted Mugwump. i think N.I. belongs to rest of Eire (im english) but the history is such that theres been settled 'english' theres for several hundred years. their roots n ancestors r in the land but they think of themselves as english. plus theres bad blood from the 70s n 80s n 90s. THEY as in the majority dont want to leave uk n b part of eire. thats my understanding. it wld b like telling kent to fuck off n join holland xD (mmmm holland 😍)
When comparing the numbers of sacked ministers in Johnson reshuffle compared to Macmillan's "night of long knives", somehow the fact that the numbers of ministers in the modern cabinet is circa 60% greater in the modern cabinet was not included.
If the UK was really being considerate they would have waited to launch their daily political drama until the US resolved their own. I simply don't have the time to watch both of these crazy reality shows. It's sad to see once proud democracies and world leading countries dismantle their futures but it is undeniable sarcastically entertaining. It must be tough for Putin to have to keep telling his own hawks to continue to lie low while insuring them that the low point still hasn't been reached by either country.
"high tech, low tax, low regulation British economy" which is just a nicer way of saying plutocracy. Get ready for (more?) government-backed monopolies, a corporate-run education system, elimination of the social safety net, oh, and privatized health care.
Everyone's panicking about how Johnson will get a deal by 31 Oct. Thing is, he's not even trying for a deal. He's decided to bypass the gov and Parliament by saying 'backstop must go' knowing full well that the EU won't go for this. Then he framed it as 'if YOU don't want to deal, that's not our fault.' setting up to put all the blame on the EU. I've been pointing out for months that Parliamentary decrees that the gov cannot intentionally choose no-deal are futile. All Johnson has to do is not come up with a deal and let the clock tick out. To avoid that, the gov would have to pass the WA, or revoke A50 or ask for another extension. The EU isn't interested in doing this again. The other options seem unlikely. So we're out on 1 Nov. Which was the goal all along.
Obviously, the biggest hurdle for the WA is the backstop. UK is pushing for a technological solution that, right now, is highly questionable and not reliable. A tech border means, among other things, facial recognition, something that Parliament's Science and Technology Committee is asking to ban (Interestingly, actual Chancellor Sajid Javir has backed the use of it in the past). This will turn every citizen of a nation that has refused to create an ID database into a walking ID (personal data might need to be stored in a database to be useful). Just think about that for a minute... UK refused the Identity Cards Act of 2006, and now is asking to create a similar database, to avoid a hard-border in NI. Isn't it a bit ironic? You'll ALL be in a database, and you'll ALL be identified and recognised by cameras, ALL THE TIME. Nice, UK, nice...
There is nothing wrong with the backstop. Some brexiteers just don't want to maintain regulation alignment and the only way to do it is to get out with no deal.
The eu is also doing the exact same thing in fact theirs is gonna be the third biggest facial recognition database right after China and India. I agree I don't like loads of facial recognition software buuut at least it won't be as bad as the eus
In what way will it be better than the EUs? Not trying to argue, genuinely interested in understanding. The size of the database woukdnt make it inherently worse for the individual people surely?
Is it possible that, just to stay in 10, Johnson will try to get the May-deal accross the line with minor adjustments? As a No Deal is not popular and calling an election might result in him looking for another place to live soner than he would like.
i watched this video and felt motivated. my friends saw this video and felt motivated. my neighbours saw this and were motivated. we rent a projector in a big field and my village people saw this and felt motivated. thank you so much for this video. may the universe bless you.
Wait. A proposed answer to Brexit is foreign direct investment? So if you want more say in your country, you hand the powers of finance over to foreign business leaders? Did I pick that up wrong?
Next market crash pound and euro will get trashed. Euro could even collapse the months after that, because there is nothing more the cantral bank can do and there is still austerity everywhere.
I have to correct you on a certain point. David Cameron wasn't a very hands on Prime Minister. He delegated a lot to his ministers, not much different to how you expect Boris Johnson to be. George Osbourne as Chancellor was basically left to economic affairs, Theresa May to policing, immigration etc. etc., Michael Gove was left to do what he wanted with education and so on and so on. Theresa May I agree wasn't like this and was hands on, although since she was so focused on Brexit it's hard to know what she would really have been like in a less turbulent time, although I don't think it would have been much better!!!
You guys are so good at explaining everything in such an understandable way! Thank you!! It's also good to get information that doesn't involve a debate, shouting, angry people etc.. I've had my fill of the aggression and nastiness that this whole thing has released.
Would take you to make these videos for them because they rarely know what they are talking about and they never explain anything, its just pro EU propaganda.
@@allanlarmour7460 they are mostly using objective facts if these are pro EU propaganda according to you you might want to reevaluate your position on the subject
@@tristan3196-l2i No they are not, and the titles are misleading because they never explain anything and just give a pro EU opinion. They couldn't "Explain" anything never mind Brexit.
The backstop doesn't do anything. It's a few useless paragraphs in the withdrawal agreement UNLESS the UK spends the transition period doing nothing. If the UK agree to the WA, gets the 2 year transition period and has all its ducks in a row at the end, the back stop does nothing and disappears. Even if the UK sat on its arse for the 2 years, the backstop would only keep them exactly where they were the day before it came into effect. Then when they get their shit together and finalise the deal, it's gone and the UK is fully out.
As long as they are capable of getting the economy extremely competitive - which is hard - the UK should do okey economicaly, though it might probably have a big effect on the social well beeing.
How is it okay for Boris to put his brother in such a powerful position? Pure nepotism and it sickens me, we need to copy the actions of those in Hong Kong and tear the whole thing down.
1:59 ~ The saying is not that it’s better to “be” inside pissing out than outside pissing in but that it’s better to have someone considered a liability inside pissing out than outside pissing in. President Lyndon Johnson said it of J Edgar Hoover.
This doesn't make sense. The problem with Johnson wanting to make the people believe he defeated the EU by putting the no-deal gun to their head and forcing them to change the deal is that he really has to force the EU to make changes to the deal by putting the no-deal gun to their head.This requires the EU to believe that Johnson, unlike May, will pull the trigger on a no-deal brexit for the threat to work, while all indications are that Johnson won't do it either when push comes to shove.
As well as the eu actually caring enough to avoid a no deal exit at all costs. They will give the uk all the time it needs to avoid a no deal brexit for sure, but they will not change the conditions under which it will need to be done. He is putting the nodeal gun against his own head. Not the eu.
@@baronvonlimbourgh1716 I don't think the EU want to avoid a no deal at all costs, but a no deal will hurt some important member states economically so they'll avoid it if they can, it's just that giving up single market exclusivity would hurt them a lot more. I agree that it's more of a "I'll hurt myself so bad you'll get bloodstained all over" threat, but that doesn't mean that nobody is deluded enough to pull the trigger anyway. Johnson wants the EU to believe he is, but it appears more and more his vanity won't let him. (Interesting name you have by the way, it was a very long time ago when Limbourg was a barony.)
Ok, I have a question. Why do you British always talk about "" of the deal. There will be none. You don't have a partner to renegotiate anything with. You are much like Hitler talking about the Endsieg while Russian troops sacked Berlin...
I am from the USA so forgive me if I sound confused but how can you lower taxes, cut tariffs and use fiscal headroom without borrowing? Is it from adjusting the regulatory environment meaning cut gov jobs, lower salaries from MP and other gov jobs and shrinking government in general?
The fiscal headroom will be made by the selling the gold which the new government is going to get from those pots at the end of the rainbow. The easiest way to get there is to ride on unicorns.
@Dahn then we will see. If the EU (that is not EU members, but the EU itself) is willing to negotiate the backstop then I am wrong and will be happy about it. If they don't then you will find that you are wrong. BTW I'm not worried about WTO either, it might cause short term issues but long term it will be better. The EU has three choices. 1. Complete unification politically and fiscally to save the Euro which I think highly dangerous given the lack of direct representation. 2. The failure of the Euro which will be a disaster with only countries such as Germany who might have the foresight to have printed Marks for such an eventuality to partially offset the impact. 3. An orderly exit from the Euro and therefore the end of the EU as it currently stands. I don't believe the EU would stand for that forcing options 1 or 2 on the members.
Could you do a video on Scotland and N. Irelands positions after the cabinets re-shuffle? Alistair Jacks position is at odds to Ruth Davidsons and Robin Walker is to serve in both N.Ireland and the Scottish office. Scottish Independence is now when not if and Ireland is set to be unified.
Would the leavers accept 5 or 7-year Time limit? That's how long the negotiation of the trade deal will take. Because the 2-year-long transition period will not be enough. The back stop is there to go beyond the transition period
@Dave Richardson On the contrary. It would give business the certainty that nothing will change for the next 7 years as the UK will still operate within the single market. And after that they would have enough time to implement the new trade deal.
@Dave Richardson Until there is a trade deal, there will be a lot of uncertainty. But it will take at least 5 or 7 years to make the deal which means 3 or 5 years of uncertainty (2 years being covered by the transition period).
What that would do is give companies more than enough time to make up their mind and plan a transition to the mainland. That amount of time is plenty to move operations without any pressure and even if there were a trade deal, they wouldn't be worse off.
I am not a believer that Boris holds all, or even most, of the answers to the questions that face our country. I am neither a believer that Boris is any more honest and straightforward than any that have gone before him in the role of PM. I think it more than possible that Boris has some plans further down the road that are perhaps not in the fairest interest of the broader electorate.Never-the-less I am absolutely certain that his appointment is in the best interest of this country at this time. His optimism, Leadership, Positive Delivery, hits the nail on the head, satisfying the inner yearnings of the electorate in a fashion not delivered by successive PMs over decades. Woe betide any middle of the road MPs that step in the way of his ' Steam Train '.
How indicative is voting for May's deal when these MPs were either adhering to the whip or at least fell into the party line? Now bojo is PM there would be a new party line right? I'd be more interested in what his cabinet members have said and done in regards to brexit.
This change to the economic model is highly unlikely to have the desired effects. Why? Because businesses make investments deals on a collection of factors, not just one or two. Lowering business taxes can be effective if all other factors are equal, but in the event of a no deal Brexit, that will certainly not be the case. Furthermore, if they lower tariffs across the board to encourage trade in the absence of established trade deals, that means that the British market will be flooded with cheap goods being dumped by countries with an abundance of cheap leader and even weaker regulations than they want to end up with. So, people will still end up being out of work. Finally, I'm trying to figure out where all of this "fiscal headroom" is supposed to come from, considering the contraction of the economy that will occur. The proposed tax cuts might encourage some additional business expenditures, but that effect would be seriously limited by the poor and uncertain market conditions many businesses will face. It's always nice to be able to keep more of the money you earn, but that doesn't make a bad decision profitable. Doing so would also lead to a reduction in revenue for the government, making a massive expansion in government spending much more expensive, as it would be more dependent on borrowing.
Every thing looking like a no deal brexit should result in problems with Northern Ireland. Northern Ireland seems to be completely ignored by 'London'. I wish you could include a sentence or even just a half on N.I. in each news. How things would affect them or their reaction to it. Are there "troubles" ahead?
So it seems we're left with two scenarios only: 1) general election after Johnson has been taken down, which means Corbyn and a second membership referendum, or 2) the Queen asking for another extension to allow time for three referenda - in NI and in the Republic, and the other in Scotland. Either way, lots of public voting ahead. Taking back control means hoping that the EU will grant yet another extension, and that the Irish are willing to take NI.
In who's opinion have those ministers that have been replaced been ..'competent..' to the extent that their replacement poses a '..risk..' On the contrary, to leave them in position, given the objective of delivering Brexit poses a greater risk not only to the country but also the government/Tory party itself. These replacements are quite rational and the razor thin majority is very overstated on the Brexit issue as a general election would be parliamentary suicide for many who oppose it.
"Fiscal headroom", assuming Johnson also plans to cut taxes, must mean further indebtedness. I wonder what the cost of financing that debt is going to be under a no-deal Brexit?
The thing is that the offer from the EU was precisely formulated that way because May went into the negotations with lots of red lines. BJ is not taking a different approach and using even more threatening language: Give me.. or else. Besides the EU negotiators know that he is a serial bullshitter who might tell the EU negotiators one thing and then something completely different to parliament and press. So he is not trustworthy in keeping any agreement made. Low tax, low regulation trickle down lol-economics have been proven to be unworkable, but to pursue this goal he will probably sacrifice healthcare, farming and industry.
I've said this before: just put a 99 year deadline to backstop, after which the country is given to China.
Hahahaha
Why not - Johnson is about to give it to Russia - let Russia and China fight it out in 99 years!
Alan Moss = idiot
Legacy of this new Little Trump for Little Britain.
Jari Komppa
And like 20 years in China can start drastically reducing the freedoms and liberties of Britain.
You keep talking about _”renegotiation”_ of the Brexit deal when the EU has been crystal clear that there will be no such thing...
I know, it's driving me crazy too. No matter what the EU says British politicians keep pretending they are the ones deciding whether or not Brexit will be renegotiated. They are suffering from grandiose delusions.
Well, they also keep talling about no deal brexit, when the house of commons has been very clear that there will be no such thing.
To me it looks more as an attempt to get the Tories in a more promising position when to call a new election. At least Mr. Johnson can prove his Dunkirk spirit. In the very end it might be the best for Britain to elect a goverment being able to get necessary legislation through paliament and break the dead lock.
@@fuerchtenichts Johnson keeps describing the PM's role like the boss of the country, but in reality, parliament greatly limits the PM's powers. That's why I believe Johnson is full of it.
What is said is so rarely what actually happens. This is inevitably so when the sides say opposite things.
I really NEED a recap episode of Season 1 & 2 of Brexit...
Decades of clap-trap headlines on red tops.
Internal bickering in the Conservative party.
Cameron eventually calls for referendum thinking it would not pass.
Parts of the electorate use it as a protest vote against the government and immigration.
That's basically Season 1 - 1986-2016.
The show is still super entertaining, but it probably should have stoped after the first season.
The plot have become extremely convoluted, confusing and contradictory.
Also...
There is way to many loose plot trends to keep track of, and I'm starting to doubt that the show runners will be able to rap it all up in a satisfying conclusion.
@@declanmcardle Good recap, let me do Season 2 for you...
Season opener: The cliffhanger is resolved by having the In-or-Out referendum be "Out"
The rest of the season is basically about HOW to do it
The EU take a few episodes to decide on their team (in the end it's Barnier)
Then there are a few episodes about the talks between May and Barnier
After over two years May brings the deal they made to the House of Commons...
...and after an action-packed episode we get another season ending cliffhanger: The House says "No." (three times, actually)
A lot of people say that--but Brexit doesn't make any more sense if you've followed it from the start.
I heard the producers are working on a surprise season 3. Johnson goes on a road trip around Europe in the Brexit bus with Rees-Mogg. Nigel Farage runs a hostel in Belgium and the three get into some hilarious predicaments as they try negotiating a new treaty.
absolutely zero need to censor the word "pissing".
Brexit series layout revealed:
Season 3 (current season) - It's Boris time
Season 4 - The riots
Season 5 - Murder in the Parliament
Season 6 - Scotland its free
Season 7 - The troubles II
Season 8 - Just call me IRELAND
Season 9 - Guy Fawkes II
Season 10 - The mad islands get peace
Pathetic.
Treasonous
How so, specifically? Any idea? Yeh, thought not.
To all BREXITERs,
Dear British friends, we fully respect your decision to leave us - the remaining 27 countries of the block. It was a pleasure to be with you for this 46 years. I fully understand that staying with us is also a question of taste or cultural links - not everybody has to be willing to stay with us. However as you are the country of Alan Turing and Bertrand Russell please do not violate, rape the argumentation art. The number of bullshit arguments I hear about the EU in the UK press resembles the level of wisdom you can gain in the renowned sources such as Facebook. I have not enough time to write it shortly nor exhaustively but please take into account the following facts:
0) Your are not leaving Brussels. You are leaving EU = a block of 28 countries having common market and cooperating to survive against much bigger powers in the world. We, the remaining 27, have some conflicts and differences but against systems such as China, Russia, USA we stay united - so far having comparable economy and negotiating power to resist their domination and their model of life. Soon we will have 15-20% less power (due to BREXIT) but still we remain the second largest market in the world. When you negotiate with all the big powers - please share with us the tactics you are going to use to negotiate better deals than we (you and us) did together.
1) All the crazy things you blame Brussels for is voted by YOUR politicians elected by YOU (see standard legislation procedure). I am afraid that what you call ‘Brussels’ is national politicians (also from the UK) voting in Brussels. Leaving EU or not - you will keep your politicians that voted for the things you do not like - you are not going to leave them in Brussels - we have enough of our own idiots. Your politicians had actually the biggest possible voting power.
2) The EU does not stop you from sending bad guys to 3rd world countries (it is Human Rights aspect dealt by Council of Europe which is not an EU institution and which is in fact established by the UK after WWII) - so if you want to solve this problem you're leaving wrong organisation
3) The BREXIT blockage is currently based on the contradiction promised by the BREXITers that the UK can leave customs union (so have a customs border or hard border) but at the same time have no border between Northern Ireland and Ireland (which stays in the EU). For sure you know that certain relationships are binary and ‘having a border’ is one of them, same way as ‘being pregnant’ - you cannot be half- or nearly-pregnant. BoJo, Theresa or nobody else will be able to make it. All you can get is pregnant or not that your politicians will sell you as ‘nearly-pregnant’ but the consequences will stick to the reality. I remind you that it is YOU who want to keep the border open more then Irish government as the potential conflict caused by reintroducing the border would happen mainly on your territory. So don’t blame the Irish people for having exotic wishes - it’s your wish more than theirs.
4) There are non EU countries that are part of the common market (e.g. Norway, Switzerland) for them paying the full EU contribution does not pay off as it is related to the GDP, so they pay less, they HAVE TO RESPECT all the laws in the common market (common by definition means common rules), which they CANNOT VOTE. So you are welcomed back to join us in the common market/free trade/customs union/free flow of products, services and people but the algorithm of payment used for Norway and Switzerland makes the contribution bigger for the UK as it was the UK’s EU payment still leaving you without the vote and forcing to respect all the laws you hate. What is the logic of this in the context of BREXIT being sold as a financial improvement?
5) Everybody may have a feeling about being or not being part of Europe, many of my friends have a feeling of being part of Asia, but the geography is part of the reality and it says that all your neighbour countries are either part of the EU or at least part of the common market. You acctually share one of your islands with EU (Northern Ireland). If you close your borders and doors you won’t be able to pass them too.
There are many more details and wrong assumptions in your press but I have no time nor willingness to fix it all.
While I am sad about your decision to leave, having visited your country so many times and having bought many products and services which I will now have to buy in France, Germany or wherever these companies will go after BREXIT, I genuinely wish you all the best outside of the block! Not only because I like you but also because no country or union wants wars or problems in the neighborhood.
EU citizen.
Here is your problem : You are listening to the arguments the pro-EU press claim the anti-EU press are advancing. You should be listening to the arguments advanced by the people but are presumably not doing so because to do so would be highly inconvenient to the agenda into which you have been indoctrinated.
This is why you are unable to understand that for the UK exiting the European Union is absolutely critical and MUST be delivered, and the chances are it is absolutely critical for your country too.
@@thegrandmuftiofwakanda Well I do not support any of the sides. Genuinely I do not criticise your decision. What I wrote is the reality and facts you can easily verify. These may become arguments for both sides to stay or to leave. You may not like this reality but will this change because of that? Everybody has right for its opinion but not the right for its own facts.
As for my country - I see many problems from the EU, bigger countries (such as UK) have bigger voting power and often my country had to give up. But in life we choose from the existing alternatives - when my country was outside of the EU it was anyway dependent economically without having any vote. We still had to respect EU norms when we wanted to trade. Now at least we can veto critical ideas and we act most of the time by the compromise so we are better off. What we gained is capability to resit China, USA and soon much much bigger countries that would eat us in 20-50 years. So yes - it is not a perfect choice but the best I can see.
0) Here you demonstrate your naivety to the fact that there is an optimal size to a trading bloc. Too small and there is little prospect for favourable negotiation. Too large and each individual members interests an desires are diluted to the point of not even being considered. The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland is the 5th largest economy in the world so has absolutely no issues whatsoever in respect of the former. In respect of the latter, the PIIGS and the Eastern European donkey farms are very different economies too our own and it is not in our interest to have their interests dictate our international trade policy.
1.) Here you start off by attempting to advance an argument on semantics, and nobody is interested in semantics. I don't care how you like to refer to the European Union and its constituent entities, here in the UK whenever we refer to "Brussels" in a political context we all know exactly who and what we are refering to. Then you go on to attempt to promote the influence MEPs in the European Parliament, quite evidently naïve to the fact that these elected representatives have no legislative powers whatsoever. THIS is the argument you are being presented with, and as such THIS is the argument you should be addressing.
2.) This is a highly confused point. Leaving the European Union solves problems caused by our European Union membership. Problems not caused by the European Union require different solutions. This is a very standard position and I don't see anyone arguing with this. You are attempting to combat an argument nobody has advanced. If we have two separate sets of problems with two entirely different root causes then we seek to solve both, not neither.
3.) Given the fact that any form of physical border in Ireland is a violation of the UK and Irish Republic's obligations to each other via international law via the Good Friday Agreement and that there is nothing whatsoever in the Good Friday Agreement that compels the UK to remain in the European Union or any of its constituent entities, coupled with the fact that the Irish border has been a VAT, Excise and Immigration (yes, immigration) border for decades and successfully so without physical border infrastructure and that both the British and Irish Prime Ministers have both explicitly pledged that there would be no physical border even in the much berated "no deal" scenario, perhaps you would care to explain what specific natural phenomena, act of god or nefarious supernatural entity is going to raise a physical border from the cold hard Irish ground once the UK's democratic mandate to exit the European Union is fulfilled? This propaganda play from the standard issue pro-EU playbook is DEAD.
4.) Your first point here is not applicable to the UK. We are leaving the European Union and we are not comming back. On the point of the economic benefits of leaving the European Union these are widely understood by those who have not been indoctrinated into an agenda that makes it highly inconvenient to listen : a.) To be able to remove the EU Common External Tariff from 56% (non-EU) of our imports and make such goods cheaper to the British Consumer at the expense of, only in the worst case scenario, having to collect tariffs on only 44% (non-EU) of our imports the proceeds of which would go direct to HMRC in any case facilitating compensatory measures such as tax cuts b.) To allow tariffs collected on non-EU imports to go straight to HMRC rather than Brussels and be distributed exclusively according to the interests of the UK and not according to the interests of Germany, France, the PIIGS and a bunch of Eastern European donkey farms, c.) To be able to implement trade policies exclusively according to the priorities of the UK and not according the interests of Germany, France, the PIIGS and a bunch of Eastern European donkey farms, d.) to repatriate 10BN (and rising) of EU funding to within the UK e.) To be able to implement a meritocratic immigration policy that selects exclusively according to capability and character, regardless of where someone is from, and through this increase the quality of the population, their earning potential and revenue collected from HMRC through General Taxation.
5.) Here you begin to confuse Europe with the European Union. They are not the same thing. However since this may only be a semantic point I will let it go. The UK is not closing its borders. It is a consequence of our European Union the in effect compels us to place impediments on our borders to non-EU citizens. The UK is simply implementing a meritocratic immigration policy that selects exclusively according to capability and character regardless of someones nationality, and if you don't like this then you are a racist, you racist.
Peculiar. Basically echoing my thoughts exactly. Love the UK; Saddened by what the brexiteering side is doing propaganda wise. And please make more Doctor Who...
Sorry, what's your username there supposed to indicate? Rose, I mean Billie Piper, really don't deserve to be ridiculed like this. @@thegrandmuftiofwakanda
Some workers may find themselves "surplus to requirements". A polite way to say your only worth is as compost.
Website's looking good! Great to know you guys have gotten to the point of being able to write and publish comprehensive articles and anylasis! I hope further big things for you and the TDLR team.
Something worth noting that, as usual for Brexit, it's generally the British side saying thing are open to change. Wishing it to be true is basically all they have.
Boris Johnson's different hairstyles are just nests of different birds.
One day it's a magpie nest aesthetic. Another day it's some water bird nest.
So he is environmentally friendly.
🤦🏽♀️😄
🎶 B-b-bird, bird, bird, bird is the word! 🎶
Nice *optics*
where can i apply to be one of the people pissing into the cabinet?
ROFL! 🤣 😂 😅
Low taxes? Less regulations? Is that really the direction a country should move into? Doesn’t a big shoppinglist mean that the government needs more money to achieve all that? And big corporations, if they can work under a regime with low taxes and less regulation (workers rights), might not contribute enough. In comes more austerity???
Jeroen Geurtsen Historically they do.
Niall Higgins I apologize, I might have put too many ???? in one comment. So please elaborate.
That's a Tory for you benefit their screw everyone else.
@@jjg19631 public relations is the simple answer.
@@jjg19631 the British citizens has been fed lies and misleading information for a long time by media and newspapers. especially run to Brexit vote it went into over drive. then are social media started getting attacked with even more lies by cambridge analytica all this to feed one agenda GREED AND PROFIT.
Plus there's other things are history THE GOOD OLD BRITISH CAN DO ATTITUDE LOL. Don't you know we won 2 world war's you on are own you know lol. We are the best country in the world don't you know lol.
"More competitive" regulations. Appealing to corporations. Everyone knows these mean treating employees worse, right? And that would have happened with any economic downturn anyway. "Oh, things are hard, we can't afford raises and benefits so much this year"... and then that becomes the new standard.
Kunori it sickens me that so many cannot 'read between the lines' or translate rhetoric n political jargon into plain english
What I get from this is that, in the ideal scenario, the UK becomes a safe haven for big corporations to do whatever they please. Why would that ever be seen as positive by a population which is overwhelmingly low to middle class?
It has been popular and seen as positive for the last 40 years though. Both in the usa and uk. And ever increasingly in the rest of europe as well.
Propaganda, or public relations whichever you prefer, is a very powerfull tool used by both commercial and political interests to manipulate people into doing incredible things.
Their already doing it that's whole problem we have about 6 tax haven under British overseas territory and loads of really big businesses are registered in them tax havens and a lot tory mp are involved with it. But EU are trying to stamp tax avoidance out.
A Id It doesn’t work like that.
There are rules.
@@mrmagoo-i2l rules the eu has been changing over the last decade. Which probably is why this whole brexit thing even exists.
brexit is all about avoiding the eu from closing tax loopholes which will mean more money in gov pot to finance social projects. but no, give tax breaks to only those already rich, leave eu n bring us even closer to victorian economic divides between rich n poor, take away human rights, increase surveillance, close A&E depts until theres 78 for 7bill people (n sell off for more lining of pockets)
bring in foods that encourage chronic illness, n cause medical debt n thus more money to those at the top
Absolute failure to spell out what "increased competitiveness" is actually a code word for; slashing business regulations, lower wages, poorer working conditions, increased concentration of wealth upwards.
but that sounds as if there are problems with neo-conservative late stage capitalism. we cant have that
it actually dumbfounds me how many of the boris hate comments are literally just assumptions and putting words in people's mouths. it's pathetic.
you forgot about " tax cut for corporation"
Lowering taxes while increasing spending. Am I missing something? There seems to be a problem there.
The policies to open Britain for business seem to be very good for the rich and large businesses. I'm not sure the vast majority of the people of the UK fall into this category.
You must be new to concervative politics :)
It's called a vacuum. Blo Job is vacuous.
More businesses = more jobs and more tax revenue.
The borrowing rate is just going to go up that’s all, austerity didn’t work so they are going to try to stimulate the economy with more spending.
@@mrmagoo-i2l I see you passed third grade economics... Congratulations!
Baron von Limbourgh No, we don’t have grades in the UK.
I certainly wouldn’t of studied economics.
He is cunningly developing the Churchill stoop. “We Will Fight Them On The Beaches” speech will not resolve the Backstop issue.
He was particularly stooped returning drunk from from Lebedev’s exotic Italian party.
Ian 1970 Correct, no winners only losers on a no deal and America will not give a Trade Deal as they are guarantors for the GFA.
We Europeans will not throw the Irish under the bus, remember.
They're part of our Union, and we shall protect our members, whatever the cost may be. Being a European member state is a privilege and a cause worth fighting for.
So Angry . The EU did not create this situation. We have a seamless border with free movement as mentioned as part of the GFA and both our memberships of the EU ensures this free movement of goods and people. When the UK decided to leave they have to have hard borders and the Unionists demanded that it will not be in the Irish Sea. We now have a problem. What’s to stop an influx of people or goods in to NI without a border ? A Customs Union is needed but the UK have ruled this out. Trade Deals also ruled out. After nearly four years at the table even the table is thrown out ! Election in November will sort it because everything else is in the skip !
Ian 1970 . Yes but now it has become a EU Border as well and you need trade deals or a Customs Union as in all Borders throughout the world. Now Trade Deals have bees ruled our and a Brexit Crash is on the cards but more likely an election this year.
These constant hard cuts in the audio makes it harder to listen to. Use crossfades, and/or try to make cuts after a sentence is done. If you do it to speed up the speech, just don't.
Wasn't the Backstop already effectively time-limited? I vaguely recall it being set up in a way, that the Backstop ends the moment that the UK found a solution for the problem. Lipstick on a pig, indeed.
This sounds rather like the early days of Trump's Presidency: "oh, he's appointing competent people, they'll keep him from doing anything too dumb."
"There's an adult in the room after all!"
Yeah ... not so much. Seriously, looking at the cabinet as a whole, there are very few competent people in there, most of the competent people that have been around have either resigned and refused to take part or have been dismissed. When you have such pitiful and vacuous non-entities as Rees-Mogg, Leadsom, Patel, Truss, McVey, Raab and f***ing Nadine Dorries having cabinet responsibilities or ministerial posts, it shows you are well past the bottom of the barrel.
@@stevieinselby I actually don't know much abut the people mentioned. I just meant that the tone of the video seemed to be that Johnson's appointments suggested he was going to take a more pragmatic, flexible approach than his campaign rhetoric suggested.
Hilarious that Prity Patel is already embroiled in a scandal. Doesn't waste time, that one.
Charalampos Koundourakis the Israel army one?
@@silverhawk923 no, working as a consultant for a military comms company.
@@silverhawk923 The same person but for a new woopsie. Calum Spencer has it right.
Whatever, racist.
@@inquaanate2393 snowflake alert! You are a waste of oxygen
It’s in this channel’s best interest that Brexit does note take place on the 31st of October. It’s honestly the best place to get any Brexit-related news
Halloween is called 'Nos Galan Gaeaf' in Welsh which directly translates as the 'Eve of Winter'. Quite appropriate for post no-deal Brexit UK. We've experienced a Winter of Discontent before, but never one that signifies the downfall of the United Kingdom.
Might finally get the epic winter that GoT promised us
The indoctrination is strong with this one...
@@thegrandmuftiofwakanda Pot, Kettle, Black
There is no renegotiation, it is what it is, take it or leave it!
Nonsense.The deal May negotiated is not ac eptable to US.That means it must be scrapped.The EU will have to adapt to a changed situation.We the people who voted to leave never accepted Mays 'sell out deal'.Neither will WE accept a sell out 'deal' from Boris.He knows the situation.We leave fully on terms acceptable to us or the Tory government will fall.Barnier can threaten a he likes.WE ,the British people will decide.
@@rogerwoodhouse7945
Nope.
The WA is take it or leave it.
All this circus UK put together was just a waste of time.
roger woodhouse Let’s be real, It going to be a no deal. There is no way to renegotiate a deal in only three months when other deals took years to negotiate. The EU won’t accept any breach of the goodfridayagreement or it’s principle of the singlemarket. There won’t be any Brit-Bonus this time for sure.
Billie Piper’s Teeth TM We’re no longer the 5th largest economy but 7th
or 9th by GDP PP
@@rogerwoodhouse7945 No Deal it is then
Isn’t it a bit odd that many people hate the backstop but wouldn’t mind Northern Ireland leaving if it meant no deal. Doesn’t that show they don’t really care about the fate of Northern Ireland?
I'm pretty sure Northern Ireland would have been cut loose a long time ago if the government didn't need those 10 DUP votes they bought.
Many people think N Ireland belongs to the Irish,
I guess you like the idea of Empire.
Lesser Spotted Mugwump. Tbh it’s not even that it “belongs” to us. It’s so hard to watch NI be completely neglected by the uk after countless of my relatives died trying to keep it.
Lesser Spotted Mugwump. i think N.I. belongs to rest of Eire (im english) but the history is such that theres been settled 'english' theres for several hundred years. their roots n ancestors r in the land but they think of themselves as english. plus theres bad blood from the 70s n 80s n 90s. THEY as in the majority dont want to leave uk n b part of eire. thats my understanding. it wld b like telling kent to fuck off n join holland xD (mmmm holland 😍)
When comparing the numbers of sacked ministers in Johnson reshuffle compared to Macmillan's "night of long knives", somehow the fact that the numbers of ministers in the modern cabinet is circa 60% greater in the modern cabinet was not included.
THIS IS THE SHOW THAT NEVER ENDS
IT JUST GOES ON AND ON MY FRIEND
why would anyone want it to end, it's pure entertainment!
Reality Show, 2019 style! 📺
If the UK was really being considerate they would have waited to launch their daily political drama until the US resolved their own. I simply don't have the time to watch both of these crazy reality shows.
It's sad to see once proud democracies and world leading countries dismantle their futures but it is undeniable sarcastically entertaining. It must be tough for Putin to have to keep telling his own hawks to continue to lie low while insuring them that the low point still hasn't been reached by either country.
Izin2296 basically eastenders init
Cant believe Patel is back after the mess she made. Astonishing. Johnson run out of candidates?
He's actually run out of ideas before he starts SACK BORIS
Ur, are you some kind of racist mate? You only hate her cos she’s brown.
Ah yes, the racist accusation... Equally as effective as an argument and rhetorical weapon in 2019 as in years prior
@Dave Richardson she is Priti lol
@Miles Prower Inqu is a snowflake.
"high tech, low tax, low regulation British economy" which is just a nicer way of saying plutocracy. Get ready for (more?) government-backed monopolies, a corporate-run education system, elimination of the social safety net, oh, and privatized health care.
Possibly the most cretinous government we’ve had. That’s impressive considering how bad May’s cabinet was.
Imperial Guard I assume you’re not a Tory then.
Niall Higgins I’m against anyone who damages this country and it’s people for personal gain.
@@the_9ent that's what he's doing look at cabinet ministers.
I have to say I am not really jealous of your situation as a German.
the fat fishermen 83 Pardon?
Boris thinks "I can do anything", but it'll just end up with "Chaos Chaos".
i was just thinking "when is tldr gonna upload?" and wow you just did...
Everyone's panicking about how Johnson will get a deal by 31 Oct. Thing is, he's not even trying for a deal. He's decided to bypass the gov and Parliament by saying 'backstop must go' knowing full well that the EU won't go for this. Then he framed it as 'if YOU don't want to deal, that's not our fault.' setting up to put all the blame on the EU.
I've been pointing out for months that Parliamentary decrees that the gov cannot intentionally choose no-deal are futile. All Johnson has to do is not come up with a deal and let the clock tick out.
To avoid that, the gov would have to pass the WA, or revoke A50 or ask for another extension. The EU isn't interested in doing this again. The other options seem unlikely.
So we're out on 1 Nov.
Which was the goal all along.
It’s like how the Japanese refer to their wars as _”incidents”_ the way the Tories talk about _”short term disruption”..._
ROFL! 🤣 😂 😅
Why I am not so optimistic? UK will struggle and loose big chunk of competitiveness and businesses.
and maybe scotland
@@gawkthimm6030 and northern ireland
Obviously, the biggest hurdle for the WA is the backstop.
UK is pushing for a technological solution that, right now, is highly questionable and not reliable. A tech border means, among other things, facial recognition, something that Parliament's Science and Technology Committee is asking to ban (Interestingly, actual Chancellor Sajid Javir has backed the use of it in the past). This will turn every citizen of a nation that has refused to create an ID database into a walking ID (personal data might need to be stored in a database to be useful). Just think about that for a minute... UK refused the Identity Cards Act of 2006, and now is asking to create a similar database, to avoid a hard-border in NI. Isn't it a bit ironic? You'll ALL be in a database, and you'll ALL be identified and recognised by cameras, ALL THE TIME. Nice, UK, nice...
There is nothing wrong with the backstop. Some brexiteers just don't want to maintain regulation alignment and the only way to do it is to get out with no deal.
If they had a tech solution they would have been shouting loud and far for all to hear, they......... have........ nothing.
If they would have had a solution for the border then the backstop wouldn't have been a problem at all.
The eu is also doing the exact same thing in fact theirs is gonna be the third biggest facial recognition database right after China and India. I agree I don't like loads of facial recognition software buuut at least it won't be as bad as the eus
In what way will it be better than the EUs? Not trying to argue, genuinely interested in understanding. The size of the database woukdnt make it inherently worse for the individual people surely?
Is it possible that, just to stay in 10, Johnson will try to get the May-deal accross the line with minor adjustments? As a No Deal is not popular and calling an election might result in him looking for another place to live soner than he would like.
IncredibleGoliath Might be the best outcome to this mess. I guess he will never ever take the risk of a general election.
He may do and I believe its more likely than people think but I still don't think it'll pass in Parliament. There are too many issues with the WA
Love TLDR...
Thank you for educating the masses.
i watched this video and felt motivated.
my friends saw this video and felt motivated.
my neighbours saw this and were motivated.
we rent a projector in a big field and my village people saw this and felt motivated.
thank you so much for this video. may the universe bless you.
Wait. A proposed answer to Brexit is foreign direct investment? So if you want more say in your country, you hand the powers of finance over to foreign business leaders? Did I pick that up wrong?
No preety much nailed it. .... "more power for Britain" doesnt mean for the British people. No no no its for the British elite living in Monaco.
With your voice mate, you SHOULD have read all those new comers to the cabinet! :P I'm really loving your videos and great effort guys
We are heading to the end game. Halloween is gonna be fun
@Miles Prower marvel got phase four. Borris could be the Thanos type character and really fuck stuff up
remoaners are absolutely on suicide watch
@@Carl-hs420a serious didn't know that. How interesting
Next market crash pound and euro will get trashed. Euro could even collapse the months after that, because there is nothing more the cantral bank can do and there is still austerity everywhere.
Live Enjoy your 10% GDP drop in the UK!
It’s a nice change to have positive, unbiased, factual news that is straight to the point. Great work TLDR, keep up the fantastic work
I have to correct you on a certain point. David Cameron wasn't a very hands on Prime Minister. He delegated a lot to his ministers, not much different to how you expect Boris Johnson to be. George Osbourne as Chancellor was basically left to economic affairs, Theresa May to policing, immigration etc. etc., Michael Gove was left to do what he wanted with education and so on and so on. Theresa May I agree wasn't like this and was hands on, although since she was so focused on Brexit it's hard to know what she would really have been like in a less turbulent time, although I don't think it would have been much better!!!
Exactly
You guys are so good at explaining everything in such an understandable way! Thank you!! It's also good to get information that doesn't involve a debate, shouting, angry people etc.. I've had my fill of the aggression and nastiness that this whole thing has released.
I'm not saying my "5-PM-year" bet is looking GOOD, but it's looking more likely than it did before Boris came into office :)
I love this channel. Very informative and in depth analysis.
Very good video. Keep up the good work.
I think you mean “what Johnson’s cabinet reshuffle MEANS for Brexit”
Love your videos I’m just helping you out
Would take you to make these videos for them because they rarely know what they are talking about and they never explain anything, its just pro EU propaganda.
@@allanlarmour7460 they are mostly using objective facts if these are pro EU propaganda according to you you might want to reevaluate your position on the subject
@@tristan3196-l2i No they are not, and the titles are misleading because they never explain anything and just give a pro EU opinion. They couldn't "Explain" anything never mind Brexit.
Allan Larmour One must wonder why you watch their videos. If I find a youtuber content to be bad then I just don’t watch!
@@allanlarmour7460
Facts over feelings.
If you are looking for a brexiteers circlejerk echo chamber, you are in the wrong place.
The fact that all Ministers/Secretaries of State have to be MPs is something problematic and advantageous at the same time
What kind of people care about having their "names featured"?
Anyhow. Keep up the good work.
Isn't there a new Disney film coming titled "Boris the liar king"? Greetings from a Flemish European.
The backstop doesn't do anything. It's a few useless paragraphs in the withdrawal agreement UNLESS the UK spends the transition period doing nothing. If the UK agree to the WA, gets the 2 year transition period and has all its ducks in a row at the end, the back stop does nothing and disappears.
Even if the UK sat on its arse for the 2 years, the backstop would only keep them exactly where they were the day before it came into effect. Then when they get their shit together and finalise the deal, it's gone and the UK is fully out.
Do more Economics and Business in uk. Brexit is getting tired.
Well, most of economic and business issues are tied to Brexit right now.
As long as they are capable of getting the economy extremely competitive - which is hard - the UK should do okey economicaly, though it might probably have a big effect on the social well beeing.
one of your more informative and impartial vids. Keep it up!
It’s not impartial, they are a pro Labour, pro remain channel.
They’ve said this themselves.
@@mrmagoo-i2l A 2+2 = 5 conclusion. This vid's about as level an explanation as humanly possible.
Gary Walker It’s not a conclusion, it’s a statement. One that I just reiterated.
I don’t understand how Boris can consider spending money on anything other than mitigating the many negative effects of Brexit.
Best thing about delegation is you always have a scapegoat when things go wrong.
BREXIT "are you not entertained "
WORLD " yes we are"
lol I just realised Javid's little icon is a completely plain stickman
How is it okay for Boris to put his brother in such a powerful position? Pure nepotism and it sickens me, we need to copy the actions of those in Hong Kong and tear the whole thing down.
Jo Johnson held the exact same job under Theresa May
And David Cameron
Mac, boris and trump best friends, trump works together with his family, and boris does it too, he does what trump says, very simple !!
@mininmalta 123 No, but they hated his brother and gave him the job anyway.
*grabs popcorn*
1:59 ~ The saying is not that it’s better to “be” inside pissing out than outside pissing in but that it’s better to have someone considered a liability inside pissing out than outside pissing in. President Lyndon Johnson said it of J Edgar Hoover.
Bojo is playing tough you come to us EU! Meanwhile the EU preparing for no deal. What is Bojo preparing for? Besides energising
DUDE ! Its all about DUDE !!
"Dude, we're going to energize the country!" - BoJo, 2019
He lets the clock run down to midnight on Halloween - UK falls out of EU - Boris is triumphant having presided over Brexit. Next step Election.
Did op even watch the video haha?
@@sambland3903 Why would he? He hasn't paid much attention to what's going on if he's asking the question that he is.
Priti Patel is a shady character. She went on a holiday where she ran into the Israeli deligation including their Prime Minister!
What an absolute coincidence! Not!
3:25 David Frost!? Oh, not the dead David Frost, the other David Frost...
Patel:
"The threat of the Irish Famine should be a good threat enough to get The EU to do a deal"
Did she say this?
We shall remember.
Charge of the light brigade
*Imperial Russian artillery officer shouting orders to load and aim the cannons*
@@TheCimbrianBull giddy up 🏇
This doesn't make sense. The problem with Johnson wanting to make the people believe he defeated the EU by putting the no-deal gun to their head and forcing them to change the deal is that he really has to force the EU to make changes to the deal by putting the no-deal gun to their head.This requires the EU to believe that Johnson, unlike May, will pull the trigger on a no-deal brexit for the threat to work, while all indications are that Johnson won't do it either when push comes to shove.
As well as the eu actually caring enough to avoid a no deal exit at all costs.
They will give the uk all the time it needs to avoid a no deal brexit for sure, but they will not change the conditions under which it will need to be done.
He is putting the nodeal gun against his own head. Not the eu.
@@baronvonlimbourgh1716 I don't think the EU want to avoid a no deal at all costs, but a no deal will hurt some important member states economically so they'll avoid it if they can, it's just that giving up single market exclusivity would hurt them a lot more.
I agree that it's more of a "I'll hurt myself so bad you'll get bloodstained all over" threat, but that doesn't mean that nobody is deluded enough to pull the trigger anyway. Johnson wants the EU to believe he is, but it appears more and more his vanity won't let him.
(Interesting name you have by the way, it was a very long time ago when Limbourg was a barony.)
Evil.
Sounds like it’s chopped up sound bits.
What is a "Bane minister"?
aha got it !!! Black Asian Minority Ethnic
Might be another name for Brexit minister
They have terrifying respirator masks and funny accents, if I remember correctly
"There came into Egypt a Pharaoh who did not know."
Ok, I have a question. Why do you British always talk about "" of the deal. There will be none. You don't have a partner to renegotiate anything with. You are much like Hitler talking about the Endsieg while Russian troops sacked Berlin...
It’s to run the clock down, they can say they tried but the EU wouldn’t budge.
I think you need to explain BAME mate. Foreign listeners wouldn't understand.
V V Good. Thanks!
I am from the USA so forgive me if I sound confused but how can you lower taxes, cut tariffs and use fiscal headroom without borrowing? Is it from adjusting the regulatory environment meaning cut gov jobs, lower salaries from MP and other gov jobs and shrinking government in general?
The fiscal headroom will be made by the selling the gold which the new government is going to get from those pots at the end of the rainbow. The easiest way to get there is to ride on unicorns.
Magic. Harry Potter will help.
I doubt the EU will discuss. Any give on the deal will make them look weak worldwide and so I think they are more scared of that than of a WTO Brexit.
@Dahn That is a remarkably accurate metaphor, well done
@Dahn brilliantly put 👌
@Dahn who is 'we'? Are you talking on behalf of the EU.?We the British people are not scared of Barnier and his threats.WTO is fine by us.
@Dahn then we will see. If the EU (that is not EU members, but the EU itself) is willing to negotiate the backstop then I am wrong and will be happy about it. If they don't then you will find that you are wrong. BTW I'm not worried about WTO either, it might cause short term issues but long term it will be better.
The EU has three choices.
1. Complete unification politically and fiscally to save the Euro which I think highly dangerous given the lack of direct representation.
2. The failure of the Euro which will be a disaster with only countries such as Germany who might have the foresight to have printed Marks for such an eventuality to partially offset the impact.
3. An orderly exit from the Euro and therefore the end of the EU as it currently stands. I don't believe the EU would stand for that forcing options 1 or 2 on the members.
@@iain5615 the eu itself = all eu members together.
Not sure what kind of difference you think there exists.
Could you do a video on Scotland and N. Irelands positions after the cabinets re-shuffle? Alistair Jacks position is at odds to Ruth Davidsons and Robin Walker is to serve in both N.Ireland and the Scottish office. Scottish Independence is now when not if and Ireland is set to be unified.
Would the leavers accept 5 or 7-year Time limit? That's how long the negotiation of the trade deal will take. Because the 2-year-long transition period will not be enough. The back stop is there to go beyond the transition period
@Dave Richardson On the contrary. It would give business the certainty that nothing will change for the next 7 years as the UK will still operate within the single market. And after that they would have enough time to implement the new trade deal.
@Dave Richardson Until there is a trade deal, there will be a lot of uncertainty. But it will take at least 5 or 7 years to make the deal which means 3 or 5 years of uncertainty (2 years being covered by the transition period).
@Dave Richardson That is the problem with leavers. They wanted out immediately. But we all knew it was going to take a decade to sort it out.
What that would do is give companies more than enough time to make up their mind and plan a transition to the mainland. That amount of time is plenty to move operations without any pressure and even if there were a trade deal, they wouldn't be worse off.
Chorizo mate!
£1=1.1€.....how low we can go.....
I am not a believer that Boris holds all, or even most, of the answers to the questions that face our country. I am neither a believer that Boris is any more honest and straightforward than any that have gone before him in the role of PM. I think it more than possible that Boris has some plans further down the road that are perhaps not in the fairest interest of the broader electorate.Never-the-less I am absolutely certain that his appointment is in the best interest of this country at this time. His optimism, Leadership, Positive Delivery, hits the nail on the head, satisfying the inner yearnings of the electorate in a fashion not delivered by successive PMs over decades. Woe betide any middle of the road MPs that step in the way of his ' Steam Train '.
How indicative is voting for May's deal when these MPs were either adhering to the whip or at least fell into the party line? Now bojo is PM there would be a new party line right? I'd be more interested in what his cabinet members have said and done in regards to brexit.
This change to the economic model is highly unlikely to have the desired effects. Why? Because businesses make investments deals on a collection of factors, not just one or two. Lowering business taxes can be effective if all other factors are equal, but in the event of a no deal Brexit, that will certainly not be the case. Furthermore, if they lower tariffs across the board to encourage trade in the absence of established trade deals, that means that the British market will be flooded with cheap goods being dumped by countries with an abundance of cheap leader and even weaker regulations than they want to end up with. So, people will still end up being out of work. Finally, I'm trying to figure out where all of this "fiscal headroom" is supposed to come from, considering the contraction of the economy that will occur. The proposed tax cuts might encourage some additional business expenditures, but that effect would be seriously limited by the poor and uncertain market conditions many businesses will face. It's always nice to be able to keep more of the money you earn, but that doesn't make a bad decision profitable. Doing so would also lead to a reduction in revenue for the government, making a massive expansion in government spending much more expensive, as it would be more dependent on borrowing.
3:28 "... AS A DIPLOMAT..."
Let's watch those transition a little more closely ;)
What is the full form of TLDR
Every thing looking like a no deal brexit should result in problems with Northern Ireland.
Northern Ireland seems to be completely ignored by 'London'.
I wish you could include a sentence or even just a half on N.I. in each news. How things would affect them or their reaction to it.
Are there "troubles" ahead?
Priti Patel looks like Nicola from Corrie and it’s honestly annoying me 😂
I am not sure this will end as well as these people keep promising us it will; I hope I am wrong.
Johnson doesn't want a no-deal brexit.
No deal is coming people's
Brace yourself!
So it seems we're left with two scenarios only: 1) general election after Johnson has been taken down, which means Corbyn and a second membership referendum, or 2) the Queen asking for another extension to allow time for three referenda - in NI and in the Republic, and the other in Scotland. Either way, lots of public voting ahead. Taking back control means hoping that the EU will grant yet another extension, and that the Irish are willing to take NI.
*jonathan pie*
In who's opinion have those ministers that have been replaced been ..'competent..' to the extent that their replacement poses a '..risk..' On the contrary, to leave them in position, given the objective of delivering Brexit poses a greater risk not only to the country but also the government/Tory party itself. These replacements are quite rational and the razor thin majority is very overstated on the Brexit issue as a general election would be parliamentary suicide for many who oppose it.
You can say "pissing". It's fine.
Unfortunately the algorithm doesn't think so 😏
Repeat after me: sec-re-tary.
You're welcome.
This channel has way more ads than any other channel I follow :/
"Fiscal headroom", assuming Johnson also plans to cut taxes, must mean further indebtedness. I wonder what the cost of financing that debt is going to be under a no-deal Brexit?
The thing is that the offer from the EU was precisely formulated that way because May went into the negotations with lots of red lines. BJ is not taking a different approach and using even more threatening language: Give me.. or else.
Besides the EU negotiators know that he is a serial bullshitter who might tell the EU negotiators one thing and then something completely different to parliament and press. So he is not trustworthy in keeping any agreement made.
Low tax, low regulation trickle down lol-economics have been proven to be unworkable, but to pursue this goal he will probably sacrifice healthcare, farming and industry.