I am rooting for Emma Stone. Absolutely next level phenomenal! She had the hardest role to play and she completely knocked it out of the park. She was unreal.
I’m worried about Across the Spiderverse losing the Oscar for Best Animated Feature especially considering it underperformed at the Oscars. It didn’t get either a score or visual effects nomination. Not to mention the Best Animated Feature category is a two horse race between Spiderverse and The Boy and the Heron. Not to mention that the Academy doesn’t like awarding sequels unless it’s Toy Story.
I understand the reasoning, but I would be surprised if the boy and the heron won just because it's not as accessible emotionally as spider-verse. Maybe that's a personal opinion but I think Spider-Verse would appeal to too many people to not win
The category I’m mainly worried about and is the only one I truly care tbh is Best Actor. I still have Murphy winning but Giamatti is definitely coming up close behind.
BAFTA and SAG are only 6 days apart...surely the voting deadline for SAG will have passed by the time the BAFTA winners are announced, so I doubt the BAFTA results will have an impact on who wins at SAG.
Oscar voting starts four days after BAFTA, and two days before SAG, so the BAFTA winner in the acting categories (and elsewhere) are at an advantage to win an Academy Award.
I honestly think Sandra Hüller is winning. It might be personal bias, but while watching her terrific performances in Anatomy of A Fall and The Zone of Interest one can only imagine how the same person can do such different turns with equal complexity and depth! Seeing as how both are in Best Picture, I think many voters will have this same mindset. Meanwhile, Anatomy will probably win the Bafta for Original Screenplay and the fact that it got in Best Film and both Zone and Anatomy were probably top 3 for Best Director there, I can see a straight path she wins Bafta and goes on to the Oscar, empowered by a screenplay win.
She’s my personal pick to win the Oscar. However, even if she wins BAFTA, I highly doubt she’ll win the Oscar especially considering she was snubbed at SAG. Because of last year, I think SAG is the better predictor to win the Oscar instead of BAFTA.
@@laurajones1773you’re right that SAG was extremelly good at predicting last year’s Oscar winners. But throughout the last decade only twice were the Baftas wrong in Best Actress, and one of these two only happened because of the jury system, which acknowledged only the top 2 performances, now top 3. So if Hüller really does win there, I think it can be the start of her chances. It would be unprecedented if she won, because of the SAG omission, but then again her performance is one for the ages. And lets not forget that Regina King won without SAG or Bafta nominations, after that anything can happen.
I think BAFTA winners used to be good predictors to win Oscars in the past because of BAFTA being after SAG. However, SAG is after BAFTA 2 years in a row. Considering that SAG is closer to the end of Oscar voting, SAG is the better predictor. That’s why Michelle Yeoh and Jamie Lee Curtis won last year.
That's how it should be. While some of the other nominees were brilliant it is nothing I haven't seen before. Emma Stone on the other hand has such a fantastic and unique performance. Not only her physical development is perfectly calebrated but also her facial expressions. At the start of the movie she has such a juvenile glance in her eyes and over the course of the movie she lets inteligence seep in to her eyes. I have never seen anything like it. She was absolutely unreal. I think it's the best performance of the year in any category and it isn't particular close.
I don’t know for sure how I would rank them but for me I was more blown away or moved by Sandra, Carey , Annette and Lily. Then I was put off by Poor Things .
Emmas acting was incredible, arguably the best in recent years. Certainly highest degree of difficulty, and this is an acting award. “Narrative” is taking us down a pathway of mediocrity. As for the “controversy,” it’s ironic to hear complaints from the same people that are perfectly fine with May December and Saltburn.
@@mudstyle5288I hear ya. On a related note, Poor Things for 11 nominations for BAFTA and The Academy. While it will easily win best British film and likely take actress and some technical categories, hard to know its BEST chances for the Oscars other than actress in a leading role.
Lilly Gladstone is not the lead in killers of the flower moon. Shes a supporting actress in that film. She was barely in the film. Her performance was just OK, nothing special
Here's how I think it will go: BAFTA : Sandra Huller (or any actress not Emma Stone) SAG: Lily Gladstone Oscar: Very likely Gladstone BAFTA: Emma Stone SAG: Lily Gladstone Oscar: Toss up but leaning towards Gladstone BAFTA: Emma Stone SAG: Emma Stone Oscar: Very likely Emma Stone
Honestly I think that this years Best Actress is a hard one. But I do believe that Emma Stone is most deserving of the award although it is a close tie. And although I think that Lily Gladstone winning would be a terrific moment in history for Native Americans, I dont think that that should get her the award. I 100% believe the Oscars should rely on performances only. Instead I think that Lily Gladstone not winning should give an incentive to Hollywood to cast more Native American actors, not as background actors or guest stars, but as leading performers. I would absolutely love to see more representation in films in the next decade. With this in mind i still cast my vote to Emma, but will still be overjoyed if Lily wins. They both deservs it. Also, I REALLY hope to see Lily in more movies in the next few years. Her performances are so natural!
Nothing against Emma who I love but really pushing for Lily, a newcomer who gets a push, I think, cause she might be the only winner for "Killers..", a movie the Academy obviously admires
It's literally a joke that we're even comparing Best Actress performances that were this spectacular. Every one of them was great in their own way. And they were so tremendously different. Awards for acting are ludicrous. There, I said it.
I’m on the Sandra Hüller train. Some voters will bypass Gladstone’s supporting role, others will dislike Stone’s over-the-top performance. Hüller will grab a lot of the international voters, she’s in two big films this year, and I haven’t heard anyone say anything negative about her performance.
I am rooting for Emma Stone. Absolutely next level phenomenal! She had the hardest role to play and she completely knocked it out of the park. She was unreal.
I think the Best Actor race is a two horse race between Cillian Murphy and Paul Giamatti.
Agree
Murphy embodies the man. Giamatti gives a lovely bittersweet performance. BEST performance? Cillian Murphy’s hands down.
I’m worried about Across the Spiderverse losing the Oscar for Best Animated Feature especially considering it underperformed at the Oscars. It didn’t get either a score or visual effects nomination. Not to mention the Best Animated Feature category is a two horse race between Spiderverse and The Boy and the Heron. Not to mention that the Academy doesn’t like awarding sequels unless it’s Toy Story.
If ATSV wins ANNIE & PGA is the race over! I don’t care about BAFTA this year
I understand the reasoning, but I would be surprised if the boy and the heron won just because it's not as accessible emotionally as spider-verse. Maybe that's a personal opinion but I think Spider-Verse would appeal to too many people to not win
The category I’m mainly worried about and is the only one I truly care tbh is Best Actor. I still have Murphy winning but Giamatti is definitely coming up close behind.
BAFTA has a great track with predicting best lead actor and last year was an outlier imo
Lily Gladstone and Emma Stone are the frontrunners ,but I wouldn't rule out Sandra Huller she was Phenomenal!!!!!
BAFTA and SAG are only 6 days apart...surely the voting deadline for SAG will have passed by the time the BAFTA winners are announced, so I doubt the BAFTA results will have an impact on who wins at SAG.
Oscar voting starts four days after BAFTA, and two days before SAG, so the BAFTA winner in the acting categories (and elsewhere) are at an advantage to win an Academy Award.
SAG voting doesn't end till a day before the show so it may affect it
I honestly think Sandra Hüller is winning. It might be personal bias, but while watching her terrific performances in Anatomy of A Fall and The Zone of Interest one can only imagine how the same person can do such different turns with equal complexity and depth! Seeing as how both are in Best Picture, I think many voters will have this same mindset. Meanwhile, Anatomy will probably win the Bafta for Original Screenplay and the fact that it got in Best Film and both Zone and Anatomy were probably top 3 for Best Director there, I can see a straight path she wins Bafta and goes on to the Oscar, empowered by a screenplay win.
She’s my personal pick to win the Oscar. However, even if she wins BAFTA, I highly doubt she’ll win the Oscar especially considering she was snubbed at SAG. Because of last year, I think SAG is the better predictor to win the Oscar instead of BAFTA.
I could not predict an actor that misses SAG. But, we know SAG hate international films
@@laurajones1773you’re right that SAG was extremelly good at predicting last year’s Oscar winners. But throughout the last decade only twice were the Baftas wrong in Best Actress, and one of these two only happened because of the jury system, which acknowledged only the top 2 performances, now top 3. So if Hüller really does win there, I think it can be the start of her chances. It would be unprecedented if she won, because of the SAG omission, but then again her performance is one for the ages. And lets not forget that Regina King won without SAG or Bafta nominations, after that anything can happen.
I think BAFTA winners used to be good predictors to win Oscars in the past because of BAFTA being after SAG. However, SAG is after BAFTA 2 years in a row. Considering that SAG is closer to the end of Oscar voting, SAG is the better predictor. That’s why Michelle Yeoh and Jamie Lee Curtis won last year.
@@laurajones1773 Since Blanchett won for Blue Jasmine, won every oscar Winner the least precursor
There's no competition, Emma stone will get that oscar
But no one saw the movie
That's how it should be. While some of the other nominees were brilliant it is nothing I haven't seen before. Emma Stone on the other hand has such a fantastic and unique performance. Not only her physical development is perfectly calebrated but also her facial expressions. At the start of the movie she has such a juvenile glance in her eyes and over the course of the movie she lets inteligence seep in to her eyes. I have never seen anything like it. She was absolutely unreal. I think it's the best performance of the year in any category and it isn't particular close.
@@hopsfd Emma should absolutely definitely win. Her performance is extraordinary.
Screenplay should go to Anatomy of a Fall ✊
very high quality analysis !
Thank you!
Lily has the narrative. Biggest cheer from that crowd for nominations. Emma has an Oscar already and the role is somewhat controversial.
I don’t know for sure how I would rank them but for me I was more blown away or moved by Sandra, Carey , Annette and Lily. Then I was put off by Poor Things .
@@kellie-nd1yp They probably needed to explain the maturity process better because it can be seen in a bad light
Emmas acting was incredible, arguably the best in recent years. Certainly highest degree of difficulty, and this is an acting award. “Narrative” is taking us down a pathway of mediocrity.
As for the “controversy,” it’s ironic to hear complaints from the same people that are perfectly fine with May December and Saltburn.
@@rhythmoriented I didn’t care for Saltburn or May December. It would be great if the awards were based on talent alone, but this is the Oscar’s lol.
@@mudstyle5288I hear ya.
On a related note, Poor Things for 11 nominations for BAFTA and The Academy. While it will easily win best British film and likely take actress and some technical categories, hard to know its BEST chances for the Oscars other than actress in a leading role.
Sandra Huller is phenomenal in Anatomy of a fall
She was.
Lilly Gladstone is not the lead in killers of the flower moon. Shes a supporting actress in that film. She was barely in the film. Her performance was just OK, nothing special
I said the same exact thing. Its virtue signaling. Plain and simple
Here's how I think it will go:
BAFTA : Sandra Huller (or any actress not Emma Stone)
SAG: Lily Gladstone
Oscar: Very likely Gladstone
BAFTA: Emma Stone
SAG: Lily Gladstone
Oscar: Toss up but leaning towards Gladstone
BAFTA: Emma Stone
SAG: Emma Stone
Oscar: Very likely Emma Stone
Honestly I think that this years Best Actress is a hard one. But I do believe that Emma Stone is most deserving of the award although it is a close tie. And although I think that Lily Gladstone winning would be a terrific moment in history for Native Americans, I dont think that that should get her the award. I 100% believe the Oscars should rely on performances only. Instead I think that Lily Gladstone not winning should give an incentive to Hollywood to cast more Native American actors, not as background actors or guest stars, but as leading performers. I would absolutely love to see more representation in films in the next decade. With this in mind i still cast my vote to Emma, but will still be overjoyed if Lily wins. They both deservs it. Also, I REALLY hope to see Lily in more movies in the next few years. Her performances are so natural!
Nothing against Emma who I love but really pushing for Lily, a newcomer who gets a push, I think, cause she might be the only winner for "Killers..", a movie the Academy obviously admires
rooting for Sandra Huller to win. Anyone who has seen Anatomy of a Fall will agree.
I’ve seen anatomy of a fall but I haven’t see maestro or poor things yet.
Like last year. Not the better actress will win.
100%true 😢
It's literally a joke that we're even comparing Best Actress performances that were this spectacular. Every one of them was great in their own way. And they were so tremendously different. Awards for acting are ludicrous. There, I said it.
Sandra or Carey should win BAFTA
I’m on the Sandra Hüller train. Some voters will bypass Gladstone’s supporting role, others will dislike Stone’s over-the-top performance. Hüller will grab a lot of the international voters, she’s in two big films this year, and I haven’t heard anyone say anything negative about her performance.
I think she'll pull a Olivia Colman surprise win
The Boy and The Heron needs to win, along with Lily Gladstone and Godzilla minus one