Big Thinkers - Alvin Toffler [Futurist]
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 21 ก.ย. 2024
- Big Thinkers is a former ZDTV (later TechTV) television program. It featured a half-hour interview with a "big thinker" in science, technology, and other fields. Interviews were filmed in a 16:9 format and intercut with public domain material from the Prelinger Archives. This archival footage (mostly film clips from the 1940's and 50's) was used to create visual metaphors highlighting the speaker's points.
This episode features Alvin Toffler. He is an American writer and futurist, known for his works discussing the digital revolution, communications revolution, corporate revolution and technological singularity. A former associate editor of Fortune magazine, his early work focused on technology and its impact (through effects like information overload). Then he moved to examining the reaction of and changes in society. His later focus has been on the increasing power of 21st century military hardware, weapons and technology proliferation, and capitalism.
(Text from Wikipedia)
I read Future Shock as a young man. It stimulated me into becoming a psychology major when I first started college, until I realized just how disturbed most psychiatrist and psychologist actually were themselves and switched to medical studies instead, but this book continued to effect my thinking about what was happening in our society as a result of technology. Now, more than ever, we see what Toffler and his wife refered to as Future Shock.
I'm reading it at the moment, reading it aloud and uploading it.
It's incredibly prescient
About three years ago I was able to visit Mr. Toffler in his beautiful home in Los Angeles. Sadly by this time, his dementia was at an advanced age and he was only able to communicate with short sentences that were mostly incoherent. His mind returned almost to a childlike state. It was sad. But his books were on the bookshelves, some of which were very special editions. It was a pleasure to be in his presence in his last days. RIP Mr. Toffler. You lived a long meaningful life.
Reading your comment I feel as if you read my mind because I was just wondering if he's even still alive . It must have been awful for a man like him to have experienced dementia . Or rather I should say it must have been awful for him if he knew in advance that was going to be his demise... wow talk about future shock .
I do believe he had a good life though .
respect for such a brilliant person
good news..technocrat
I read Future Shock shortly after its publication, a time when I was released from US Army service, thinking about my future career. Toffler's ideas were very influential to my thinking then. I decided to embrace the future instead of being left in its dust, so I became an engineer. Now, decades later, I'm grateful. I came to expect that engineering is much like Toffler anticipated: a constant state of schooling. It's been a wild ride here in Silicon Valley!
That's very interesting... had you not read his book what do you think you would have done aside from engineering and or Silicon Valley
its amazing how much you can learn from older peopler, after all they experienced change personally. this is why you should respect elders kids!
I never knew that Alvin Toffler was a major influence to the changes and progress of South Korea. I'm a fan of Mr. Toffler. I read both books, Future Shock and Third Wave. RIP Alvin Toffler.
Just heard the news about this man.
He really was very prophetic and had an enormous insight and intellect.
Because he was an insider... a controller, a planner for the NWO
@@9huginnmunnin93 Maybe you re right but anyway he was a person who tried to warn about the changes were coming.
Toffler has been a huge influencer to the president Kim Dae-Jung in Korea. Kim has read the 3rd wave when he was in prison for democracy work by dictatorship in the 80s(he was a big reader and his wife has brought the book after reading to him in prison). He was shocked with what the future would be and read it more carefully several times then he wanted Korea to lead the 3rd industry in the future. Finally he was elected to be the president in 1998 and invited Masayoshi Son(CEO Softbank) and Bill Gates then took their advice for broadband in nationwide.He also used to meet Alvin Toffler a few times. Korea had spent tons of money for Toffler's report for future Korea which was finshed for 6 months and finally Toffler submitted it to Kim in 2001.( Unbelievably Kim was in 70s and even didn't know how to use a computer. He also received 2000 Nobel Peace prize) Then Kim set up broadband internet network in Korea to make over 80% of Korean use the internet and he has invested the business and people on ICT, nano and bio technolgy . (In late 90s, the book, the 3rd wave has been hit in Korea and it has been regarded as an the essential book to read especially among universities.) That was the base for Korea to be one of the world ICT leasders now.
One of my fav author and this book though written decades ago still carries huge weight esp in regard of our third world countries. Thanks for sharing !
I read this book back in 1974 , my father had read it and referred it to me to read. I did ,glad I did. The key to life is learn and live , not live and learn. A personal spiritual relationship with GOD himself.
Amen
Yes, future shock is a real thing. Ask anybody who was institutionalized; they see us all staring at our cell phones. Things change a lot faster than anyone thinks.
+kyler ferguson Future Shock is now Current Cell Phone Zombies.
I'm reading Future Shock at the moment.
And recording and uploading a chunk at a time to my channel so you can listen along too if you want to.
I wanted to listen to an audio book version but couldn't find one on here, so i thought I'd add one.
It's an incredible book. He truly did see in to the future by looking at the reality of human nature.
Technology has changed but we haven't.
Our biology is still that of stone age humanity, let's face it.
No wonder anxiety, stress and depression is at an all time high. It's no wonder.
Interesting. Did you manage to do the whole boon? I'll check it out over the weekend
@@kamu747
Not yet! It's a long process and I've had a long break from it.
Burt I'm coming back to it and it's going to get finished 👍🏼
Two of my own sayings come to mind:
1. Progress often isn't.
2. Technology! Solving today's problems by creating tomorrows!
I should have some T-shirts made up.
Clever
***** You sound impulsive.
you can write a book!
profound!!
He had discovered the Internet Economy long before Don Tapscott wrote the Digital Economy book in 1998
Alvin Toffler predicted the future and its happening at a fast rate. His books prove it. I agree that like it or not, we do belong to a subculture that exists or we create our own.
Thank you for this important contribution
I miss TechTV. Great channel. Of course I have youtube now, which I wouldn't trade for anything.
this video aged like fine wine
magnificent video. thanks for sharing
Very relevant to what’s going on right now!
I love the mind of this guy!!!
Hi Pete, thanks for sharing. It's still hard to listen to Alvin today and not be persuaded by his arguments. However, I remain sceptical of his apparent benign intentions. He barely mentions the word democracy, which is revealing.
I recently learned of an interview he did with Ayn Rand for Playboy magazine before he become a futurist, which helped to boost her to a wide audience.
I was curious to hear of his deep disapointment about missing an opportunity to go to war by 6 months; and how he and his wife spend five years with as blue collar workers on asssembly lines in order to have something to write about!
For me, his statement, "I believe we are living in a dying civilisation" certainly seems to be increasingly true and perhaps reveals why he believed we're in agreement about needing to move into space!
I never took toffler seriously on the 80s.
He is bang on.
My mistake
@K Will I read the future shock in 2010 when I was almost 40 years old but I knew about this book since 1999 and I regret not to read it before.
@K Will Yes I know it was written in 1970 but here in Mexico we had no idea about there was a book like that. The first lead I had about this book had it in 1999 because National Geographic mentioned it in an article about Globalization.
In my case I read that book only in Spanish even though I can read in English too. But I dont like to read in English because they use a lot of vocabulary I dont know and I have to look up in the dictionary.
In your case you live in a developed country but in my case these issues were not mentioned so many years ago. I mean I live in México which is a third world country. Maybe the book was published here in my country but nobody or almost nobody know about it. Even in College or Faculties or schools in general no one speaks about these kind of books.
@K Will By the way we are the same age you and me because I was born in 1970 the same year the book was released, and I was 11 years old in 1981 too.
@K Will I just watched it too. Imagine that this man advised South Korea maybe in the 90s or 80s about these problems. Thats why they became leaders of the world specially when we know brands like Samsung, Daewoo, Hyundai, etc. etc. etc. In my case I distributed or sold price labelers from South Korea. The name of the brand is Motex. It is a good product, specially for little business like corner stores, mini marts, pet stores, gift stores and hardware stores. Its a leader product in my country mainly in the west part I mean I live in Guadalajara the seconds largest city of my country. And I did maintenance too for the same product.
@@alexisguerrero7043 Presisent Kim Dae-Jung has read the 3rd wave when he was in prison for democracy work by dictatorship in the 80s(he was a big reader and his wife has brought the book to him in prison and recommended it after she has read ). After reading, he has been shocked with what the future would be and he even read it carefully several times then wanted Korea to lead the 3rd industry in the future. Finally he was elected to be the president in 1998 and invited Masayoshi Son(CEO Softbank) and Bill Gates then took their advice for broadband in nationwide.He also used to meet Alvin Toffler a few times. Korea had spent tons of money for Toffler's report which was finshed for 6 months and finally Toffler submitted it to Kim in 2001.( Unbelievably Kim was in 70s and even didn't know how to use a computer. He also received 2000 Nobel Peace prize) Then Kim set up broadband internet network in Korea to make over 80% of Korean use the internet and he invested the business and people on ICT, nano and bio technolgy. That was the base for Korea to become one of the world ICT leasders now.
Wow, so relevant now, with the advent of AI and everything else going on. Kind of explains what we are seeing happen around the world.
They sure got it right in Future Shock
thanks for sharing this!
When was this filmed 1995 or so?
Maybe in 2000?
I don't think he was wrong on foreseeing people wearing paper clothes!
There are clothes being made of recycled materials today ..
Wonderful hand dealer of the deck... as Julie says. "Rolling!"
Poverty and misery should not walk hand in hand. Virtual Economy= To work is to play and laugh and embrace communicate as well as experience emotional passion. This leads to xfer of consciousness via apotheosis into the aeon Thunderdome of the real estate of second space.
What he forgot to tell us is that we are the same slaves as long ago but now we are masked by some type of freedom "to choose" certain things, but we cannot really choose to leave the society as it is, we have to live in for survival, we, slaves, are still in the same big trouble as 5,000 years ago.
Amen brutha
I would enjoy listening to this if the music wasn't drowning out Mr Toddlers narration. narration.
I read futureshock a lot
I never met Alvin, but he was my second or third cousin. It is ironic that I have become a Food Scientist that tells people the future of food.
what is the future of food???
synthetic @@baby5501
I can recognize an aerial photograph of Philadelphia at 21:01 even at that fast turnover
I don't want to have to look at this again I must have missed it can you tell me where it was as I am from the Philadelphia area..
Edit . Oh no my bad I'm very tired and did not even see where you gave the timestamp I'm sorry
That's amazing I don't know how you recognized it so quickly... I would have had to slow it down and still I probably would have had to decide .
Are you a pilot... how are you able to recognize it so quickly
My new Environment is this Chromebook laptop computer i'm writing this comment on. It's overlaid on my old environment...a brick and stick suburban home with much of the same technology I've had in my life for a very long time. Some of it is physically newer of course. Things like the car and appliances get replaced but they remain mostly the same technology with safety and appearance upgrades.
I'm wondering...what is the next Microwave, VCR, CD DVD Player, Cell Phone. What is the next thing that will change us or add to us in a similar way?
State surveilance....1984 and Spengler's decline of the West.
Mituag ing sabo! Juice ko,.. Tage! Mang Alvin Toffler. Luid
В 60 е было намеренное торможение Развития Человечества
A bridge is the nessesary architecture and this is one that can be seen, felt, tasted, touched as well as smelled. I'm sure Pete Machnic that additional intuitive senses will cross over. The key under the arch is the targeting of the pineal glans and self introspective via knowledge and the quest for it. In the end it i a question of death and Chi reincarnation via source code.
Buenos días,
estimados señores, ¿habría alguna manera de comunicarse con Alvin Toffler directamente? Les preguntamos esto por el siguiente motivo:
En los años '80 el artista Sacha Tebó creó una gran escultura llamada "La Tercera Ola" que fue inspirada en el libro de Alvin Toffler. Esta obra artística, confeccionada con planchas de aluminio fundido y con un peso de 12 toneladas, está montada en Kendall, Miami (EE.UU.).
Deseamos comunicarnos con el Sr. Toffler porque la Fundación Tebó, entidad que promueve y protege el legado de Sacha Tebó, tiene como proyecto la confección de un libro respecto a la escultura "La Tercera Ola"; en esta publicación se describirá todo el proceso de creación de esta escultura, desde su concepción como idea, diseño, planificación, realización en la ciudad de Santiago de Los Caballeros (República Dominicana), transporte e instalación en el sur de Miami, donde actualmente se exhibe, específicamente en Datran Center, a dos pasos de Dadeland Mall, en la terminal del metro aéreo.
En este libro queremos incluir un texto en relación a Alvin Toffler y su libro "La Tercera Ola", por ello necesitamos comunicarnos urgentemente con este reconocido intelectual.
Por favor, si pueden ayudarnos con alguna dirección de correo electrónico, teléfono o dirección física, red social del señor Alvin Toffler, compártanla con nosotros para poder comunicarnos con él o las personas allegadas a él.
Saludos cordiales,
Fundación Tebó
Web: www.fundaciontebo.org
Teléf. +1 809 473 6812
Dir.: C. Fantino Falco #43, Edif. Naco Real 3, Apto. 9AN, Ens. Naco, Santo Domingo.
Cód. Postal: 10122
We dress psychiatric inpatient in paper clothing. In a small way, Toffler was correct, and in that limited environment, it caught on.
I always find guys like Toffler interesting, but you've got to cross-pollinate their thoughts with each other, like Stafford Beer, Jacque Fresco, Russell Ackoff, Peter Senge, Ray Kurzweil, Murray Gell-Mann etc. if you want to stay open to possibilities. :)
Jimbo Jones You are on to the truth, keep your mind open,and be aware of all around you. Learn to live instead of living to learn.
Toffker founded the futurist movement
Pathological conformity is a collective insanity.
DeWayne Stafford it's called christianity
DeWayne Stafford
Said w8th the natural m8nd of a Sociology Student/Sociologist - I recognize my own kind, lol - we are intellectually unique.
We haven't advanced to any level where the option to leave society should be almost gone, if not, near impossible. I think there is an increase in mental illness due to this scenario. Sagan always said "we are naturally explorers, from hunter gatherers to travelers..." and there's nothing left.
Yesss csa represent
Claudel represent
TA GEULE LIZOTTE
I try to listen and to keep my focus but I get no real information from what he is sayig.. Can somebody tell me what is this exactly about?
The ability to predict and prepare for the future TODAY is the meaning I get from this documentary.
Toffler was wrong about a LOT of things in his 1970 book "Future Shock". He said we had all the elements needed to build super realistic androids back then, predicted undersea colonies, said that people would be changing their skin color at will and, ironically, UNDERESTIMATED the importance and progress of computers. The film version of his book is here on TH-cam. The jury is still out on whether the pace of change is really speeding up.
There is an interview now uploaded with him "future shock 10 years later." He addresses these things.
We just invented all electric cars far more powerful and fast than almost all combustion vehicles. Have surpassed ocean colonization and are planning Mars exploration. Phones and google are surpassing everyone's expectation. But that is beside his point. His point is not to be Nostromdamus. But to help people understand these things are going to happen, how can we best prepare society to be accepting of these things without breaking down entirely.
The sentiment in future shock is as pressing today more than ever. Technological advancement could have happened quicker than it did during the 90s and early 20s had it been left to progress naturally, but after the cold war era, due to political intervention, it was intentionally slowed down by policies and beauracries that trickled down to societal norms, getting ever the more stringent and stagnating. The fear of change was real.
However, you wrote this comment 10 years ago, so let's ground ourselves in the present, In the year 2024, is the pace of change speeding up?
Having witnessed all that's happening, is the jury still undecided by this verdict?
NOTE: It's important to keep in mind that a futurist will never be 100% correct, a futuristic is viewed as great when 40% of what they say pans out, because advancement is never linear and is often ironic and unpredictable.
All a futurist can do is get informed about frontier research, study the times and extrapolate what's to come. I think Toffler has generally been correct with his foresight.
It saddens me to think that we have regressed to such "Big Thinkers".
secret knowledge , interesting .
What possible good can come from mega information to do an insane act super efficiently ????
I have a signed first edition of Future Shock for sale. Just saying.
I have book signed by him and his wife
H+ Transhumanism. Futurist Philosophy. Technological Singularity.
"Nowoczesna definicja transhumanizmu" filozof Max More:
1.Transhumanism is a class of philosophies that seek to guide us towards a posthuman condition. Transhumanism shares many elements of humanism, including a respect for reason and science, a commitment to progress, and a valuing of human (or transhuman) existence in this life rather than in some supernatural “afterlife”. Transhumanism differs from humanism in recognizing and anticipating the radical alterations in the nature and possibilities of our lives resulting from various sciences and technologies such as neuroscience and neuropharmacology, life extension, nanotechnology, artificial ultraintelligence, and space habitation, combined with a rational philosophy and value system." - “Transhumanism: Toward a Futurist Philosophy.”
2. People's freedom to innovate technologically is highly valuable, even critical, to humanity. This implies a range of responsibilities for those considering whether and how to develop, deploy, or restrict new technologies. Assess risks and opportunities using an objective, open, and comprehensive, yet simple decision process based on science rather than collective emotional reactions. Account for the costs of restrictions and lost opportunities as fully as direct effects. Favor measures that are proportionate to the probability and magnitude of impacts, and that have the highest payoff relative to their costs. Give a high priority to people’s freedom to learn, innovate, and advance.” - Max More, "The Proactionary Principle."
3."We have achieved two of the three alchemists’ dreams: We have transmuted the elements and learned to fly. Let us blast out of our old forms, our ignorance, our weakness, and our mortality. The future belongs to posthumanity." - Max More, "On becoming posthuman."
"I believe in transhumanism: once there are enough people who can truly say that, the human species will be on the threshold of a new kind of existence, as different from ours as ours is from that of Peking man. It will at last be consciously fulfilling its real destiny."
("Transhumanism." Julian Huxley. In New Bottles for New Wine, pp 13-17. London: Chatto & Windus, 1957).
Technological Singularity (lub osobliwość, z ang. singularity) - "hipotetyczny punkt w przyszłym rozwoju cywilizacji, w którym postęp techniczny stanie się tak szybki, że wszelkie ludzkie przewidywania staną się nieaktualne. Głównym wydarzeniem,mającym do tego doprowadzić, byłoby stworzenie sztucznych inteligencji przewyższających intelektualnie ludzi."
Deklaracja Transhumanizmu"Transhumanizm opiera się na założeniu, że ludzkość nie stanowi końca naszej ewolucji tylko jej początek. Bycie człowiekiem to dla wyznawców tej myśli nieustanne przekraczanie granic".
+Grzegorz Wxx When you blast out of morality, you leave humanity for insanity. Throwing the baby out with the bathwater is not wise.
When this happened?
My mum says I should read his books.
Your mum is a smart woman. I advise the Bible as well. Good day.
what is the piece of music at @10:30 ?
Hello from the future. Did you ever find out? It's called:
Slavonic Dance in E minor, Op. 72, No.2 (Slovak Radio New Philharmonic Orchestra & Alexander Rahbari)
I used a smartphone application called shazam to find out. With the touch of a bottom, i have a catalogue of most of the songs in the world at my fingertips. It's amazing how common this app has become in the last 11 years. Technology, right?!
why do not american leaders talk to their own people about these things? i would like speaches like this done in america
MST3K made fun of Century 21 Calling.
Third waves pushing @ to 1st.by bigger thinkers….
Sounds like a set of truisms and simplifications. It does feel like a like watching a 1950s newsreel, not just because of the footage used...
The win lose dichotomy of antisocial dar-WIN-ism is obsolete.
DeWayne Stafford you jest
What?
He gives the recipe for the destruction of humanity that we’re following...
there is no universe. there is no body or brain. there are no particles, no matter. there is no time or distance. no past and no future. there is no mathematics, science, language or logic. there are no emotions, memories, imagination, or feelings. what you think you experience is your infinite consciousness feeling itself into a creation, a creation that can be changed very easily. can you believe that you're creating an infinite universe in an instant right now? can you believe that the infinite universe is made of consciousness and that consciousness is who you truly are? i can. can you believe that you aren't reading this right now and actually creating the experience of reading it? can i believe that i'm not writing this? i can. "all" is the same consciousness, a singularity experiencing itself as separate parts and finding its' way back to the truth, that it is an infinite "nothing" that is becoming infinitely anything.
So is consciousness "something" or "nothing?"
+sally yulitz There is no opinion you gave !!!!
sally yulitz in India it is sometimes said when 2 people meet each other they say : the God in
me greets the God in you !! the absolute became the dream of multiplicity !!! such is the now expanded dreamed world !! only the ONE is !!!
George Benichou 👏🏾👏🏾
Just beware without faith of some kind that type of thinking can lead to nihilism
Give age Country
22 South Africa
Auto pankcake maker 😮
drawing future drawing future map design future city think about future write future then take it now
Alvin Toffler, like many futurologists, was an irrational view of the future of technology and society.
Futurist not futurologist
🤖🤖🦾🦿
another fellow Jew who only produced 1 offspring
cause He was smart
Sounds more like a religious sermon rather than anything enlightening
well, i'm 4:42 in and I haven't learnt a damn thing
Claudel est beau
Yeahhh jc
Sadly Toffler is in Hell
my name is alvin toffler...and im a scam artist.
Wow, It is good