5:52 You have said the same in every video the I remember: The success rate is below average, which is statistically very improbable, because of the tendency to regression to the mean. How do you calculate the average?
Many athletes (or their coaches) are attempting heavier weights than usual right now because of olympic qualification. To qualify you need to lift a top 10 total within your weight class. So athletes are encouraged to prioritize getting a huge total once over several competitions, whereas usually the optimal strategy is to try and lift just a bit heavier than your competition. So the below average success rates right now are just a reflection of above average weights attempted.
@@TheSnahsnah Ok, let's assume your premise is correct: since weightlifters are less averse to risk due to the Olympics, there is a higher occurrence of invalid lifts. Do you see the problem? The mean is sensible to those occurrences, which poses a statistical conundrum. It is highly improbable (≈ impossible) that the success rate should be below average consistently because there is a statistical tendency to the regression to the mean. Imagine that I eat ice-cream everyday, unless it rains. Not eating ice-cream in the summer is below average because it doesn't rain regularly. What happens in the winter then? If it rains more, then I won't eat ice-cream on a regular basis so the average changes. That's my point .
@@vladibarraza The obvious answer is that whatever mean he is comparing to must have been taken over a time long enough that the current Olympic qualification method doesn't have a large impact, right?
@@TheSnahsnah I have another explanation. Initially, I thought he confused the median and the mean because the median is more resilient to fluctuations, but it's simpler. By average he means 50%. Watch the last video he uploaded and you will see.
@@Anticommunism99 It should be pretty close. Rahmat has a few 360kg+ totals recently while Andreev does not. Also you never know what China will show up with.
Check out our playlist th-cam.com/video/IVHZ2eFKwoE/w-d-xo.html&pp=gAQBiAQB
Bozhiydar is a real GANSTA MAN - so EPIC😮
Bozhidar is the best! He's a star!💪🏻😎🤩🤩🏋🏻♂️
Was so impressive
Just in Europe
- Но не в мире! На прошедшей "Азии" он был бы лишь 3- им.( там Рахмат Эрвин поднял 159+204=363, а второй 158+195=353)
@@elleazarmakadesh7725😅
Нашето момче е най кораво😁! 👍
Браво Божидар 🤍💚❤️🎖🎖🎖👍
To Andreev - A long-sought and well-earned record-cracking performance. Congratulations!
Thanks for the video! Can't wait for the 89s and +109s!
Браво Божо!
Thank you for review!
Bulgarian Power- Unmatched 👏🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬
Thank you for showing the USA lifters! And explaining the no medaling. Awesome videos!!
they’re performing as a guest country, the USA is not a part of Europe that’s why they don’t participate
Strong guys !!!🥸
Andreev very good!
This is Bulgarian power
5:52 You have said the same in every video the I remember: The success rate is below average, which is statistically very improbable, because of the tendency to regression to the mean. How do you calculate the average?
Many athletes (or their coaches) are attempting heavier weights than usual right now because of olympic qualification. To qualify you need to lift a top 10 total within your weight class. So athletes are encouraged to prioritize getting a huge total once over several competitions, whereas usually the optimal strategy is to try and lift just a bit heavier than your competition.
So the below average success rates right now are just a reflection of above average weights attempted.
@@TheSnahsnah Ok, let's assume your premise is correct: since weightlifters are less averse to risk due to the Olympics, there is a higher occurrence of invalid lifts. Do you see the problem? The mean is sensible to those occurrences, which poses a statistical conundrum. It is highly improbable (≈ impossible) that the success rate should be below average consistently because there is a statistical tendency to the regression to the mean. Imagine that I eat ice-cream everyday, unless it rains. Not eating ice-cream in the summer is below average because it doesn't rain regularly. What happens in the winter then? If it rains more, then I won't eat ice-cream on a regular basis so the average changes. That's my point .
@@vladibarraza The obvious answer is that whatever mean he is comparing to must have been taken over a time long enough that the current Olympic qualification method doesn't have a large impact, right?
@@TheSnahsnah Yes, the large sample is one answer.
@@TheSnahsnah I have another explanation. Initially, I thought he confused the median and the mean because the median is more resilient to fluctuations, but it's simpler. By average he means 50%. Watch the last video he uploaded and you will see.
great job, i think erwin abdullah can sleep peacefully
😂😂😂😂
Rahmat 204 kg😅 paris 2024 210 kg 😵💫 73 kg or 81 kg ✌️
@@kevinsanjaya6841 81 isnt an olympic category
HahHahaha
Man, that French guys arm looks like it’s gonna snap
Nice to win on your home turf
🎉🎉🎉
👏👏👏🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬
Да живее България👍
Bearded dude from Bulgaria is going to be a problem in the Olympics.
for who tho ? rahmat is setting world record after world record
@@Lechedeesnutsrahmat that dog of Islam stands no chance against the Bulgarian Crusader
@@Anticommunism99 It should be pretty close. Rahmat has a few 360kg+ totals recently while Andreev does not. Also you never know what China will show up with.
BOJIDAR CHAMPION
epic event, Max should be 3rd place 🥉
3:46 He's cool but isn't he afraid of lt when he bites it off?
Bozhidar vs Rahmat, who is win ??? 😂😂
Человеку, который видел атлетов 80 х , 90х это не впечатляет ,результаты посредственные
america won the gold medal at european championship....... whats next?
Is there something wrong with your voice?
He has a strong accent so im sure this is am AI voice
yeah the voice is annoying as fk@@Watchingvids01