Challenges & Predictions for the Next 100 Years

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 6 ต.ค. 2024
  • Every year has new challenges, every generation faces its own unique crises, and as we move into the New Year, we will look at the challenges facing us in the next century and out Top 10 Predictions for life in the year 2121.
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    Credits:
    Challenges & Predictions for the Next 100 Years
    Science & Futurism with Isaac Arthur
    Episode 323, December 30, 2021
    Written, Produced & Narrated by Isaac Arthur
    Editors:
    A.T. Long
    Konstantin Sokerin
    Yamagishi
    Cover Art:
    Jakub Grygier www.artstation...
    Graphics:
    Jeremy Jozwik www.artstation...
    Ken York / ydvisual
    Music Courtesy of Epidemic Sound epidemicsound.c...

ความคิดเห็น • 714

  • @Buugipopuu
    @Buugipopuu 2 ปีที่แล้ว +287

    The great thing about these optimistic predictions is that you can't be proven wrong. Either you're right, or everyone's either too busy fighting off radscorpions and bandits to care.

    • @isaacarthurSFIA
      @isaacarthurSFIA  2 ปีที่แล้ว +101

      A bit of win-win scenario for me then :)

    • @RevolverRez
      @RevolverRez 2 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      I feel the same way about being a pessimist. The best thing about that is sometimes you get to be wrong.

    • @effexon
      @effexon 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I liked that take on AI... why make synthetic human robots when there are huge number of people on earth + lot of them likely live longer (and wiser, more experienced) than before due to advances in other mentioned sciences of medicine and gene tech.

    • @nathanielacton3768
      @nathanielacton3768 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I'm a pessimist +optimist together. Maybe I should just say rationalist or something. I assume 'bad things will happen' and 'if people can make money doing something stupid, doing it'll be guaranteed'. So, I built an off grid farm bought a bunch off books on self sufficiency and then spent 10 years growing a lot of our families food as the building progressed. I built it myself so I knew how everything worked, built in things like bigger pipes between buildings to pull through new cables, etc, etc. Took up martial arts and powerlifting, cooking and permaculture, 3 years dry calorie food storage, etc...
      Now, that said, I work in the upper end of technology and a spend all my time on the science and game development . I think humans will be just fine as a species... but a lot of us will have a hard time in the next 50-100 years. My family is mostly taken care of.
      So, If I'm wrong, well, this is just like insurance. COVID? If anything it made 'working from home' at the farm much easier for me. Covid helped my plans becuase I'm mroe resilient to disaster.

    • @echoecho3155
      @echoecho3155 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Or things decline, technological complexity reduces, societies slow down and change, and our descendants laugh at things like fusion power and interstellar travel the same way we laugh at perpetual motion machines or flying cars. Then they get back to working on whatever matters to their civilization.
      Btw, if you see this as pessimistic, that's a problem with your outlook or creativity. Just because we don't have more and fancier gizmos or aren't visiting Alpha Centauri doesn't mean the future has to be hell on Earth.

  • @cannonfodder4376
    @cannonfodder4376 2 ปีที่แล้ว +371

    In a time of social media reinforced pessimism, your clear, articulate, positive yet informed views on important matters and the future are so uplifting. It's truly remarkable how much there is for me and others to learn and how much you know yourself and your ability to teach.
    A fantastic video to end 2021 on Isaac and team. I look forward to 2022 and hope to still be watching and learning with you in the year 2121.

    • @HalIOfFamer
      @HalIOfFamer 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      World is very volotile right now, corporations and governments are trying to take away the basic freedoms of the 1st world. If they succeed, our grandchildren will live in the best timeline, because they will not know any other option. If humanity looses its shackles, reduces consumerism, fix the climate, then we will thrive as a species, in a golden era of enlightenment and freedom.

    • @TheReferrer72
      @TheReferrer72 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      ​@@HalIOfFamer Do they really want to to take these freedoms, were we really free decades ago or just naive? Are they justified to I say this because the individual/small groups have much more power to make mischief than anytime in history.

    • @harmonyspaceagency1743
      @harmonyspaceagency1743 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Seconded, always a hopeful outlook.

    • @achtsekundenfurz7876
      @achtsekundenfurz7876 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      All of you got a point... There are quite some challenges ahead, but they arent insurmountable. But the most urgent matter right now is that Mankind isn't playing in challenge mode, but stuck in survival mode. Let's fix that first.

  • @TheWebstaff
    @TheWebstaff 2 ปีที่แล้ว +322

    I can't wait for the review video of this 100 years from now..

    • @TheOneTrueGesta
      @TheOneTrueGesta 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Ikr

    • @allanfulton8922
      @allanfulton8922 2 ปีที่แล้ว +10

      I hope I am around in 100 years but 35-40 puts me past my regular life span.

    • @BI-11y_TheStormTrooper
      @BI-11y_TheStormTrooper 2 ปีที่แล้ว +10

      If TH-cam lasts that long .

    • @TheWebstaff
      @TheWebstaff 2 ปีที่แล้ว +13

      @@BI-11y_TheStormTrooper if TH-cam allows us to exist that long.
      FTFY.

    • @InnocuousRemark
      @InnocuousRemark 2 ปีที่แล้ว +20

      Everything will be exactly the same, except all nouns will start with "cyber."

  • @drewskiiiiiiiii
    @drewskiiiiiiiii 2 ปีที่แล้ว +116

    I'm so thankful for Isaac and the whole team here. Isaac is so great at talking about complicated things in a way that I can understand and jive with. Happy new year!

    • @nenmaster5218
      @nenmaster5218 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Yeah, but what about better channels like sci show, joe scott, veritasium, hbomberguy, and so on?

    • @drewskiiiiiiiii
      @drewskiiiiiiiii 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@nenmaster5218 Joe Scott and Veritasium are some of my favorites! I'll have to check out the others. Thank you!

    • @nenmaster5218
      @nenmaster5218 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@drewskiiiiiiiii Cool!

  • @DeathDefiant
    @DeathDefiant 2 ปีที่แล้ว +55

    As someone currently suffering from severe tooth loss (at a young age) I've always had the thought of "Can't wait until they can 3D print teeth so i'll never have this problem again!".
    If i had a choice i would volentarily replace all of them with ones that wont bio-degrade. Teeth are a useful prosthetic that could soon be improved to the point that they're better than natural ones.

    • @mirusvet
      @mirusvet 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Waiting for the same thing. Probably should get my **** together and start a business trying to do just that, to accelerate that prediction >_

    • @jsn1252
      @jsn1252 2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      You'd probably be better off in the long run if regenerative medicine matures enough to grow you new teeth. With prosthetic teeth, you have to worry about the junction between tissue and implant as well as inevitable replacement.

    • @ekscalybur
      @ekscalybur 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      @@jsn1252 They already don't have to worry about either of those things.
      Current implants will last longer than the host body, by quite a LARGE margin. Implant/host interaction in this specific application is also nearly perfected, as bones almost never reject foreign objects, and gums are 'designed' for it.

    • @QT5656
      @QT5656 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      True, and it's going to be a long time until the neural feedback from the mechanorecptors in "real" teeth will be replicated in prosthetics.

    • @deanlawson6880
      @deanlawson6880 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      We sort of already have that..
      I recently had a *root-canal* on a molar that had some tooth decay and became infected, and as part of the procedure, the dentist used a precision 3D laser scanner to scan my existing tooth, before grinding it all down and performing the (awful) cleanout and fill-in of the inside of the tooth (it's an awful procedure..). Then after use of a temporary "crown" for a few days, the permanent synthetic crown (made from lithium disilicate he tells me) is fitted onto the "stump" of the tooth left after the procedure. It is a digital perfect match for the original tooth. Anyway, it's all done and over and the tooth feels and looks perfectly natural, and "works" great.
      This synthetic tooth is supposed to last basically forever and is supposed to be immune from tooth decay..
      I call that a win. Supposedly full implanted teeth are made from the same material, and completely replace the full tooth, so again, we pretty much already have this capability.

  • @FesteringGhoul
    @FesteringGhoul 2 ปีที่แล้ว +48

    Isaac, I love you. I almost freaked out when you had that pause between “last Isaac Arthur episode” and “in 2021.” See you in 2022 man.

  • @Cyberspine
    @Cyberspine 2 ปีที่แล้ว +77

    I am usually very optimistic about technology, but in my opinion the balance between privacy and data-enabled optimization should lean very heavily towards privacy. History teaches that any exploitable form of control *will* be exploited, if left unchecked. We have developed institutions over centuries to form a system of checks and balances, but are lacking such a system for the flood of available data in the information age.

    • @Smiley957
      @Smiley957 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Personally I feel fine having no privacy as there’s nothing that I wish to keep secret and I’m not bothered by advertisements or such. If it improves my quality of life then I’m all for it.

    • @al2642
      @al2642 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@Smiley957 100%with you, man. Privacy is anyway just a mammal instinct, or an appendix of society. Has no real use. What's wrong with sharing all information to find always and inevitably the best move for everyone? Especially when no one is looking at your data but the AI behind the software? Really don't get this freaking out about the violation of my privacy...

    • @realityisenough
      @realityisenough 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      @@Smiley957 insane opinion, but good for you if you want that. Leave the rest of us out of it.

    • @awolbacon9148
      @awolbacon9148 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@Smiley957 While I admire your claimed openness, the issue has little to do with how one feels unfortunately. The institutions and corrupt individuals who would exploit said data don't care whether you want to be left alone or not. Imo, the vast majority of data privacy people out there are perfectly happy with the idea of algorithms making their lives better. The problem with all technology is simply human nature screwing it up. A casual reading of history shows this.

    • @calmexit6483
      @calmexit6483 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@awolbacon9148 how would such openness be exploited for control?

  • @mjk9388
    @mjk9388 2 ปีที่แล้ว +65

    Here's to another great year! Thanks to Isaac and team for putting together such wonderful content.

  • @DoctorMandible
    @DoctorMandible 2 ปีที่แล้ว +68

    DNA checks are already common in developed countries. My daughter was checked in utero for several genetic markers that indicate disease

    • @NoneYobiz.
      @NoneYobiz. 2 ปีที่แล้ว +23

      Mine as well in 2016 the problem is that at this time they are not extremely accurate with diagnosis, for instance they told us the she was going to have a problem with her 18th chromosome and implied that getting an abortion was the best for her and everyone so we took their advice and told the geneticist to go fk herself. Our daughter was born with 0 genetic or physical issues.

    • @NineSeptims
      @NineSeptims 2 ปีที่แล้ว +13

      @@NoneYobiz. my moms friend was told her daughter would have chance of being disabled and reccomended abortion by the doctors. My mom told her to look after it as god wills it and if it is disabled raise it just the same as a normal kid and to never kill a child and that they dont know what will happen for sure. Turns out the baby was pefectly healthy she thanked my mom while crying for a long time.

    • @chasindigo
      @chasindigo 2 ปีที่แล้ว +11

      @@NoneYobiz. the issue is it is likely your daughter has very mild case of NORD, so you can't detect any issues but the DNA test did, what percentile is your daughter in for height?

    • @NoneYobiz.
      @NoneYobiz. 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      She is in the 98th percentile.

  • @REDEYE420ERBMAN
    @REDEYE420ERBMAN 2 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    Here's to the next 100 years! Happy New Year everyone.

  • @williamromine5715
    @williamromine5715 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I am 80 years old, so I won't be around much longer. Of all your predictions, number 10 is the most important one. If you are wrong, none of the others will be right. Happy New Year, and thank you.

  • @wilhelmw3455
    @wilhelmw3455 2 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    The 2006 film Idiocracy will be regarded as a classic work of art long after the film industry as we know it ceases to exist.

  • @upandready4u
    @upandready4u 2 ปีที่แล้ว +44

    As someone who grew up with nuclear war drills I too am optimistic about our ability to survive and overcome doomsday scenarios. Thanks for your hard work

    • @genericytprofile852
      @genericytprofile852 2 ปีที่แล้ว +15

      Exactly dude. It really infuriates me when some people complain about how the world is so shit now, or how they'd love to live in the past. When you don't get to live through the very real threat of nuclear annihilation, you tend to take alot of things for granted.

    • @stardolphin2
      @stardolphin2 2 ปีที่แล้ว +11

      @@genericytprofile852 They tend to forget about things like antibiotics, anesthesia, sanitation, electricity, indoor plumbing (and *never* assume they might be part of an oppressed group in the past)...

    • @nenmaster5218
      @nenmaster5218 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      "Educated public ready to tackle Problems."
      Yeah, no such Civilization exists in the Solar system.
      But if you want some people projecting their hero-need onto Elon Musk
      cause he paid money to his marketing-team: yeah, we can arrange that. We got that.

    • @toby-xo6rb
      @toby-xo6rb 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@nenmaster5218 What marketing team? EM is famous for literally not having a marketing/PR team. Try again, this time with actual facts.

    • @pineapplepenumbra
      @pineapplepenumbra 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Wasn't there something about having a duck, and that would save you from nuclear war?
      Wouldn't a goose be better, as they are larger?

  • @hazonku
    @hazonku 2 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    As someone with Lynch Syndrome I can definitely say society is going to struggle with the issue of genetic tampering & tinkering. They already struggle with genetics that we've yet to be able to tamper with. My nieces who are 6 & 9 are bummed but totally understand that uncle can't give them a new cousin because there's a good chance that cousin would get sick like uncle did. Meanwhile their grandparents still randomly ask me when I'm going to have kids despite explaining numerous times that it would be morally reprehensible & absolutely selfish for me to take a 50/50 gamble on passing down a mutation that will definitely curse any hypothetical kids with cancer in their lifetimes.

    • @nenmaster5218
      @nenmaster5218 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      "Educated public ready to tackle Problems."
      Yeah, no such Civilization exists in the Solar system.
      But if you want some people projecting their hero-need onto Elon Musk
      cause he paid money to his marketing-team: yeah, we can arrange that. We got that.

  • @jaydee4397
    @jaydee4397 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I didn't say it last year, but I'm glad one of my heroes is doing what he loves and sharing the benefit of his labor. Thanks for your time, Isaac.

  • @oneworldonehome
    @oneworldonehome 2 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    "The seas will rise. The lands will dry. Whole cities will have to be abandoned. Whole coastlines will have to be abandoned. Not in some future century, but in this century. Not tomorrow, but it is coming.
    You do not prepare for this when it is about to occur, for that is too late. You do not respond when you are about to be overtaken, for that is too late. You do not build your house in the sand, on the side of a volcano, or next to a river, for then it is too late.
    The signs of the world are coming to you every day if you will pay attention. You must not give up or give in to fear or denial or weakness. This is what will make you strong."
    A quote from *The Great Turning Point from Humanity* - as received by Marshall Vian Summers on December 31, 2019.

    • @tony6795
      @tony6795 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      ok...

    • @alwalw9237
      @alwalw9237 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      I, for one, am really paying attention to the work Marshall Summer has brought into the world. It is devoted to the reality of what both the world is facing and what we as individuals are facing. Critical information that brings with it the solutions that are available to humanity if people can learn of them. Thank you for this. Much appreciated.

    • @tony6795
      @tony6795 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@alwalw9237 Who?

    • @johnchapman5125
      @johnchapman5125 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Thank you, Ivan.

    • @johnchapman5125
      @johnchapman5125 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@tony6795 Marshall Vian Summers

  • @v.k.8153
    @v.k.8153 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    I'm not gonna lie- the phrase: "happy when they *shouldn't* be" sounds extremely dystopian to me.

  • @StonedGossard_
    @StonedGossard_ 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    you sir are a treasure, thank you for your dedication and your unbridled passion which shines through in every video you post! here's to the next 100 years of SFIA 🐐

  • @MarkusAldawn
    @MarkusAldawn 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Isaac at close of 2121, seconds after midnight, watching his email inbox explode: oh dear lord

  • @Versudan
    @Versudan 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    "you'll be alive in 100 years to see if this video is right"
    > Implying this video and TH-cam will still be around in 2121
    > Implying we'll be able to remember it/retrieve a copy of this video in a usable format in 2121

  • @jedih8526
    @jedih8526 2 ปีที่แล้ว +43

    Your point about AI needing to interpret what humans actually mean as opposed to doing exactly as they said, is a point I personally feel extremely connected to.
    Due to my Autism I have this exact issue and have had many hilarious outcomes due to it. For example, my mother (a teacher) asking me to get her the laminating pockets from the supply store room. She didn’t say how many… So I brought all the boxes.. which in total was probably several tens if not hundreds of thousands of pockets.. In hindsight I feel extremely stupid for doing so but like.. she never said how many she wanted so I got them for her like she said 😅

    • @hyrumhanson3390
      @hyrumhanson3390 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      I was thinking folks with non-typical minds, Autism, adhd ect, could be an asset for developing such systems on an A.I.

    • @Yezpahr
      @Yezpahr 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      I'm on the autism spectrum as well, but less dramatic as average.
      I remember my chemistry teacher asking the class "What is a solution?". And I answered: "An answer to a question."
      Needless to say, the class went wild, faces went purple, laughter resonated from one class to the other igniting laughter from other classrooms which could be heard in our classroom.

    • @ljftw1516
      @ljftw1516 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@hyrumhanson3390 siri keeton

    • @harmonyspaceagency1743
      @harmonyspaceagency1743 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      If the AI existed maybe autistic people could use it, or maybe autistic people will be better catered for in our society in the future, or maybe gene editing will eliminate most of the neurodivergent people. Very weird ethical questions we'll have to answer in the future once we can do these things

    • @jedih8526
      @jedih8526 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@harmonyspaceagency1743 Indeed.

  • @someguycalledcerberus9805
    @someguycalledcerberus9805 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    If I'm not alive in 100 years I will definitely come back here and write an angry rant.

  • @OniMetsuki
    @OniMetsuki 2 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    I think that "data" backup of all forms of life's DNA is a fantastic contingency plan also from the point of view of restoring life from natural disasters too.

  • @renderproductions1032
    @renderproductions1032 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Now that was a great ending

  • @bkbland1626
    @bkbland1626 2 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    I propose that technological advance without corresponding ethical growth is a recipe for certain disaster.

    • @Bland-79
      @Bland-79 2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      Unfortunately ethical or morality is being taught as a bad thing. Loss of moral compass is why the United States is collapsing before our eyes.

    • @dsnodgrass4843
      @dsnodgrass4843 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      As long as capitalism rules the roost, its "ethics" will be the only ones that matter. It cannot abide any competing system and will destroy anything it must to prevent one from rising. So it's gonna depend on if you're riding the train or tied to the tracks.

    • @qam2024
      @qam2024 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@dsnodgrass4843 Too funny. Totally backward. Socialism is the system that can't stand competition. Notice all Censorship and government crackdown on the opposition is coming from the left.
      One prediction is unfortunately easy to make. In 100 years there will still be idiots claiming all the past socialist failures were because we didn't spend enough money or that wasn't real socialism but this time it's xxxx socialism and it will surely work this time

    • @dsnodgrass4843
      @dsnodgrass4843 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      @@qam2024 I've watched capitalism crush way too much of my society and my heritage to buy what you're trying to sell here, man. And I didn't mention socialism at all; that has its problems too. But you can't "whatabout" these issues away, no matter how hard you try; and your opinion of me is of zero consequence. None of it will exonerate the system you refuse to fix.

    • @nothingnobody1454
      @nothingnobody1454 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@qam2024 the war of all against all sounds like a poor strategy.

  • @notthemessiah9243
    @notthemessiah9243 2 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Imagine how good life would be with holodecks and replicators.
    Everyone could live in a holodeck and it could be literally any place you could think of.

    • @nenmaster5218
      @nenmaster5218 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      The next 100 Years will probably decide what wins:
      Science or Anti-Denial.
      To affect this, i even go so far as to ask random strangers like you: Want some
      recommendations? Some science-youtubers to check out, cause the Learning never ends?

    • @suprafluid3661
      @suprafluid3661 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Your duaghter dates a cool anime holo boy. Family drama 9000?

  • @samlosco8441
    @samlosco8441 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I'm 19 and just set my reminder for 3PM December 30th 2121. Hope to see you there Isaac, and also hope you are not a cyborg :)

  • @freddyjosereginomontalvo4667
    @freddyjosereginomontalvo4667 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Excellent channel with excellent quality and content.
    Take care and have a great end of the year 🌍💯

  • @daverei1211
    @daverei1211 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thanks Issac, always the optimist :-) wishing you the best for 2122

  • @LaikaLycanthrope
    @LaikaLycanthrope 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    16:34 Heh, I'm old enough to remember when "test tube babies" were seen as sketchy by a generation now extinct.

    • @nothingnobody1454
      @nothingnobody1454 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Brave New World beats 1984 for accuracy.

  • @zemorph42
    @zemorph42 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I'm almost 50 and below the poverty line in AZ. I very much doubt I will ever be able to access any therapy necessary to get me into the 22nd century.

    • @ChannelNotFound
      @ChannelNotFound 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      You never know..

    • @zemorph42
      @zemorph42 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@ChannelNotFound I still have hope, but I don't expect that to be fulfilled.

  • @rhhhX
    @rhhhX 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    THANK YOU ISAAC ARTHUR! HAVE A GREAT, INFINITE LIFE! ♡

  • @thinkinaboutpolitics
    @thinkinaboutpolitics 2 ปีที่แล้ว +32

    As someone who exclusively makes political/legal/historical content, I think you're right about 2100. There are good days on the horizon one we get past the 21st century. A real golden age.

    • @aboynamedcharliebrown8407
      @aboynamedcharliebrown8407 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Lets be honest though, turning on a camera and spouting establishment talking points doesn't require all that much "thinking" now does it. Perhaps "Bitchin' About Politics" would be a more fitting name.

    • @thinkinaboutpolitics
      @thinkinaboutpolitics 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@aboynamedcharliebrown8407 certainly agree. With the first point anyway. I don't see much use in bitching personally. Our content tries to be more informative than anything else -- but call it like you see it as we'll try to up our game.

  • @starblaiz1986
    @starblaiz1986 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Thank you for another great video and another great year for SFIA!

  • @Seventeen_Syllables
    @Seventeen_Syllables 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    The Future. It's a veritable buffet, perhaps a smorgasbord, of mishaps, accidents, disasters, disappointments, and crushing defeat. But we're on the train, may as well enjoy the view.

    • @agalah408
      @agalah408 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      As Homer once said: "Life is one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Ned Flanders was dead."

  • @rfak7696
    @rfak7696 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Just created my reminder for the next centure. I'm counting on you Isaac. Thanks for everything

  • @evil-scotsman335
    @evil-scotsman335 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Merry Christmas and a Happy New future Arthur ✨

  • @denh0006
    @denh0006 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I may have missed it but who does that amazing artwork ?? I love your content and I can’t wait to explore more play lists !!

  • @brydenburnett3526
    @brydenburnett3526 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Finding your channel was one of the best things for my 2021, i've learnt so much and look forward to what i can achieve in the future because of it

    • @harmonyspaceagency1743
      @harmonyspaceagency1743 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      One of my favourite things he said this year was in the aging video. Immortal pets since we would test on animals first.

  • @Drew_McTygue
    @Drew_McTygue 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    I didn't see giant fighting robots on this list of predictions

  • @hotfishdev
    @hotfishdev 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    For the baby thing, it’s *already* the case where you can get your kid dna tested before the second trimester. My wife has just entered the second, and we already know my daughter’s gender and that she’s not at risk for quite a few common genetic diseases. Plenty close to the field absolutely do find it very irresponsible to not test.

  • @DAYBROK3
    @DAYBROK3 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    they better get that life extention soon or I wont be able to pencil it in on my calendar, I am 60

  • @donaldhobson8873
    @donaldhobson8873 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    An AI that can do all that cool stuff sounds like a full super-intelligence. There is only so much AI can keep track of our lives for us without being a superintelligence, and with a superintelligence, the whole situation is different.

    • @nothingnobody1454
      @nothingnobody1454 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Depends on what a person means by "intelligent". A lot of what we call artificial intelligence is just a logic engine. It's a machine built out of command scripts not a mind capable of novel decisions, only unforseen ones we didn't realize we'd programmed.

  • @lonjohnson5161
    @lonjohnson5161 2 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    I would love to see this kind of treatment on a look backwards. That is to say, what did we think the future would be and how did it turn out?

    • @isaacarthurSFIA
      @isaacarthurSFIA  2 ปีที่แล้ว +15

      It's tempting though many attempts at those I've seen get kinda snobby about how wrong they were or get pretty generous with handing out predictive credit. I'm not sure I wouldn't do the same and give our predecessors the proper credit and proper call outs for bad guesses.

    • @lonjohnson5161
      @lonjohnson5161 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      @@isaacarthurSFIA I'm not sure I agree. Near as I can tell, you seem to be fairly even handed. If you're worried about it, team up with Joe Scott and each of you can actively promote a viewpoint.

    • @dsnodgrass4843
      @dsnodgrass4843 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Oddly enough, one of science fiction's first books does that, fictionally; William Bellamy's "Looking Backward", 1887. It's set in the year "2000" in his speculative world, and looks at how it got there.
      Fun read.

  • @OpreanMircea
    @OpreanMircea 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    7 views, 10 likes, that's how I like it. thanks for the video!

  • @mr.wookiesack
    @mr.wookiesack 2 ปีที่แล้ว +17

    I remember discussing addiction with a professor. We debated weather someone had a drug problem if they could easily attain it, it wasn't impacting health, and it wasn't expensive. Technically they do not have a drug problem under those conditions.

    • @cartermclaughlin2908
      @cartermclaughlin2908 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      The only thing that really makes heroin a problem is prohibition. It usually only kills you when you have a bad supply, or you take a break and don't realize how much your tolerance dropped. However there is also a pernicious emotional toll any mind altering substance has as it allows you to ignore your mental health until your problems become overwhelming. Heroin may not be bad for you, but it's terrible for your marriage for example.

    • @nothingnobody1454
      @nothingnobody1454 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Gotta add "isn't impacting your ability to perform your responsibilities both personal and social"

    • @mr.wookiesack
      @mr.wookiesack 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@nothingnobody1454 that's totally a given. If I remember correctly, an addict needed 3 traits out of the list to be considered an addict. Really weird. The dsm changes alot so it may be different now

  • @hunam1464
    @hunam1464 2 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Why do you consider it a “slipup” by treating negative interactions no differently than a positive one? Social media companies have figured out that people will engage, and that is their incentive. They are not beholden to the consumers of data in any way, and are madly profitable from it. From their perspective, they are not slipping up, they are actively incentivized to pursue their current course of action.

  • @charlesmclain6558
    @charlesmclain6558 2 ปีที่แล้ว +36

    Prediction 10 is fairly optimistic. Though I feel like the battle field will be in the digital realm. Something like that will still cost lives but might not be as obvious. Imagine global scale digital warfare. I makes me a bit nervous since things like this are already starting to pop up

    • @CMacK1294
      @CMacK1294 2 ปีที่แล้ว +16

      It's already happening to some degree. Fourth and Fifth generational warfare is alive and well. Infiltration of governments, disinformation campaigns by totalitarian regimes, growing Eastern Imperialism. Flooding drugs, fake IDs, counterfeit currency, suppression of certain ideas, the destruction of viable heterodox thought and discussion. Hacking, IP theft, technology drain through state programs and initiatives.

    • @dansmith1661
      @dansmith1661 2 ปีที่แล้ว +11

      @@CMacK1294 Israel infiltrating White governments and undermining its cultures. Open borders and endless waves of black migration.

    • @whatwhale5888
      @whatwhale5888 2 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      Wow I never thought id see racists in an Issac Arthur video, but here we are...

    • @dansmith1661
      @dansmith1661 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      @@whatwhale5888 Silence, zogbot.

    • @dsnodgrass4843
      @dsnodgrass4843 2 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      @@whatwhale5888 Unfortunately, these clowns are everywhere on here, bc that's all they do with their lives. "Endless waves". LMAO. Just glowing with delusions.

  • @metagen77
    @metagen77 2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    It's kind of nice to live in an age where I can benefit from technology before it utterly dictates my life

    • @harmonyspaceagency1743
      @harmonyspaceagency1743 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I wonder if we'll be alive when that switch happens. Hopefully it never will

  • @mark.fedorov
    @mark.fedorov 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you for this generally uplifting video. Happy New year!

    • @nenmaster5218
      @nenmaster5218 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      The next 100 Years will probably decide what wins:
      Science or Anti-Denial.
      To affect this, i even go so far as to ask random strangers like you: Want some
      recommendations? Some science-youtubers to check out, cause the Learning never ends?

    • @mark.fedorov
      @mark.fedorov 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@nenmaster5218 is this an ad for Nebula + Curiosity Stream?

    • @nenmaster5218
      @nenmaster5218 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@mark.fedorov XD
      No

  • @michaelgoff4504
    @michaelgoff4504 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I would note that there are already some regulations on video game/computer usage, such as China's recent ban on kids playing video games on school days. I understand what they are trying to accomplish with this policy, but I don't see it working out very well. Unfortunately, that's another prediction we can count on for 2121: there will continue to be bad laws.

  • @jancerny3657
    @jancerny3657 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    "Keep it simple, keep it dumb or you'll end up under Skynets thumb...or rendered into paperclips." - Isaac Arthur
    I love this quote :D

  • @dtphenom
    @dtphenom 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Happy New Years, Isaac! Cheers to 1Mil subs in 2022

  • @Will-el5yp
    @Will-el5yp 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Happy New Year, Issac!

  • @fugslayernominee1397
    @fugslayernominee1397 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Isaac you are such an amazing person. 2021 was a rough year for many and your videos helped me get through in toughest of times. Can't thank you enough for all the amazing content you make. I really hope you get to live a long long happy life.

  • @beardmonster8051
    @beardmonster8051 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    See you in a hundred years, Isaac! We could make it a centennial thing. A gathering every hundred years.

  • @michaelbawyll1574
    @michaelbawyll1574 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Prediction 11: fusion will still be 20 years away.

    • @agalah408
      @agalah408 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Maybe it will all be a big con and it will be known as 'confusion'

  • @Blaze6108
    @Blaze6108 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    2121 wishlist:
    - Cheap fusion energy
    - Widespread supersonic transport
    - A successor protocol to email

  • @archapmangcmg
    @archapmangcmg 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    @Isaac Arthur Seed and gene banks are already a thing in progress, which is great. AFAIK, doing a DNA databank is also. Both are works in progress but would never be truly finished, obviously.

  • @NillocsKeep
    @NillocsKeep 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I will pray that I shall have the opportunity to contact you somehow in 2121 should we both still live. Until then I will continue to enjoy your videos and your unending enthusiasm and optimism for our future!

  • @charlessmith2643
    @charlessmith2643 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I like this episode. You always manage to keep things on the bright side even if I am a natural pessimist many years ago I made some comments and you helped me get through some hard times you made my brain work you still do thanks for doing what you do I am glad you are successful

    • @harmonyspaceagency1743
      @harmonyspaceagency1743 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Futurism/ Science is good for that, you'll hear the news and its all doom and gloom but they'll always be 1 science story that gives hope.

  • @smileyp4535
    @smileyp4535 2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    "It's not politics, it's a survival strategy" I couldn't have said it better, which is exactly why we need to evolve past private profit based ownership of infrastructure as it is now and make it more democratic and allow more people access and opportunities to do what they like and what they would be best at until it can be automated, and give everyone a decent (and contuially increasing) minimum standard of housing, healthcare (including mental healthcare), Education, nutrition and public transportation with a foundation of democratic mutual aid and automation.
    We need to evolve past the persuit of wealth and power and replace it with the persuit of knowledge and experience. Industrialization is good, but undemocratic, privately owned industry (capitalism) is not. "It's not about politics it's a survival strategy"

  • @MyNiftyJourney
    @MyNiftyJourney 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Currently working on a sci-fi comic, your channel is such a great record.
    Thanks for the time and quality you've put in.

  • @abyssimus
    @abyssimus 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so, so much for this. Some other channels I watch have recently started going on some sort of weird doomspiral (not even channels that would normally be concerned with the future!), and the algorithm has decided (for whatever reason) that I'd like to see vids from preppers and WW3 predictions.

  • @eclipsenow5431
    @eclipsenow5431 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Having just watched "Don't look up" (and always being interested in meteorite scenarios - especially since reading "Footfall" and "Lucifer's Hammer" back in the 80's), the idea of a DNA vault just makes sense. We might build emergency bunkers and decades of food storage to guarantee humanity's survival after a big planet killer rock hits us - but what about the whales and giraffes and all those other critters? Also - DNA vaults and printers and growth tanks would of course be amazing for future colony ships heading out into the galaxy.

    • @nenmaster5218
      @nenmaster5218 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      The next 100 Years will probably decide what wins:
      Science or Anti-Denial.
      To affect this, i even go so far as to ask random strangers like you: Want some
      recommendations? Some science-youtubers to check out, cause the Learning never ends?

  • @MarcoLandin
    @MarcoLandin 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Fantastic as always! HAVE AN EXCELLENT 2022!!!!

  • @Nathouuuutheone
    @Nathouuuutheone 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I have a question about humanity's future: What will calendars look like? Keeping track of time without the straightforwardness of earth's orbit, what will our reference point be? What kind of new time scales will become culturally relevant?

    • @NIO4LIFE
      @NIO4LIFE 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Start counting lightyear light minutes or second from the exact start of the big bang

  • @jacobv3396
    @jacobv3396 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Really appreciate your optimism! It leaves me feeling hopeful.

  • @elmacho2789
    @elmacho2789 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Just some 3d printer machine in your basement that’s like
    Alright we need two cups of flour, one cup of milk, and four eggs
    One nuclear bomb coming right up

  • @EgoEroTergum
    @EgoEroTergum 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Mr. Arthur kind of reminds me of my Dad sometimes.
    "Well Boy, sure there's nuclear weapons, unemployment, climate change, immortal dictators and financial decay; but moping around never fixed anything. So chin up; and let's have lunch while we plan how to tackle the problems, one piece at a time."

  • @justicar5
    @justicar5 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    that comment about tailored ads sounds hellish, they have the right to know nothing about me at all, zero, ad companies are a plague that needs eradicating.

  • @mikeellery3336
    @mikeellery3336 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    One of the overlooked problems with keeping your information online and electronic instead of imprint, is the ease with which it can be manipulated and changed. How easily history can be erased if there is no hard copy

    • @harmonyspaceagency1743
      @harmonyspaceagency1743 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      gonna be hiding my hard drives in asteroids and the bottom of ocean trenches to keep records.

  • @Ikrist0
    @Ikrist0 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you for the realistic positivism about humanity and our path :)

  • @Dawx
    @Dawx 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Happy new year

  • @richardgreen7225
    @richardgreen7225 2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Our greatest challenge in this century will be achieving general (individual and social) SANITY.
    Not that achieving sanity would be difficult in terms of knowledge or logistics, but because huge fortunes rely on preserving a lack of sanity in the populace. We already have the knowledge and the logistics is a minor matter of evolving our P.A. to provide cognitive therapy suggestions. However, I expect the idea to be met with strong resistance and much disinformation.

    • @toby-xo6rb
      @toby-xo6rb 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Sadly no - our greatest challenge is somehow finding a way to block the chinese CCP from taking over most of the planet. If they succeed, we're all screwed (as in, work camps and torture, just like they do right now).

  • @josephlight349
    @josephlight349 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    i would argue that big data can and is being used to a much further degree than you give them credit for, the example i always give is the magician who through a few choice words and slights of hand will get you to pick a number, colour and time of day all of his choosing..... this is an age old trick and i simply refuse to believe that in current times people are not able to 100x time this

  • @bigjay875
    @bigjay875 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I truly appreciate your honest and straight forward approach to the hard subjects and your personal observations of life thanks for making these videos they truly help me from becoming overly concerned about technology and usually make me much more optimistic. Keep up the good work👍

  • @barryon8706
    @barryon8706 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    My prediction for 2121: there will be at least one sapient around. Not that I necessarily believe that, but if I'm wrong there will be no one to call me out on it.

    • @briandiehl9257
      @briandiehl9257 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I disagree, and i will personally live until then to say you are wrong

  • @charlesjmouse
    @charlesjmouse 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Excellent as always.
    Here's my roller-coaster of a prediction: The last human being alive has already been born.
    For myself I have no hope for the future of mankind at all. But that is not the same as thinking a bright future is impossible, or that we should stop trying.

    • @nothingnobody1454
      @nothingnobody1454 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Several humans were born since you posted this comment. More incoming tomorrow

  • @jeremypace249
    @jeremypace249 2 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    I have heard the statement that every new technology, even theoretical, is carefully chosen and metagamed to determine if it will increase a corporation's profit line or advance a country's totalitarian agenda. If it does not, if the technology will instead free people or give them more individuality, it is shelved or weaponized instead. Even then, prototypes in the laboratory can take 20-40 years to make it to the marketplace. So "new" technologies may not be as "new" as you might think, but carefully brought out, presented, and promoted for an agenda. An agenda that is most often not in the common good.

    • @CatsRock11000
      @CatsRock11000 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      One imagines what would have happened if they had not shelved thorium reactors.

    • @thekaxmax
      @thekaxmax 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      this does not explain smartphones and the apps you can put on them.

    • @xXx_Regulus_xXx
      @xXx_Regulus_xXx 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@thekaxmax actually I'd say it does explain smartphones. A little computer with a microphone, camera, and location tracker that everyone carries around basically all the time benefits governments and corporations.

  • @quantumhorizon7514
    @quantumhorizon7514 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Another incredible video. I just wanted to point out that on all your videos you seem to massively underestimate the current state of virtual reality. In the last 3 years, VR technology has exploded and now it has come to a point that (just to illustrate an example) someone like me who has never before played table tennis in real life can play table tennis in VR for a month or two and then beat most of their friends in table tennis in real life. Some people have even asked me if I play for a club.

  • @Monkey-fv2km
    @Monkey-fv2km 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Its interesting to try and predict technology of the future, and I think you can do so with some small accuracy for up to about 10 years, but looking more than 20 years and you're in the realm of pure guesswork. I suspect this is the main reason we don't see evidence of ET civilization.

  • @Chad_Thundercock
    @Chad_Thundercock 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    0:29
    You actually got me there for a second. Well done, sir. Well done.

  • @Jasonmakesvideo
    @Jasonmakesvideo 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    ill never get tired of that alien dance party graphic

  • @chainch0mp764
    @chainch0mp764 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I’m not gonna try to make any predictions, but I do hope that I’ll be around for the ride. See you lot in 2121!

  • @not2tees
    @not2tees 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    In 2121, I'll be 176, so I might have to send my good wishes forward to all the youngsters who'll only be around 135 or so.

  • @mashokaise6881
    @mashokaise6881 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    That extensive list from minute 3 to minute 4 is just a list from an evil god! If I didn't feel nervous beforehand, then I definitely do now. Still, thanks Isaac, listening all the way from Taipei.

    • @exvala2323
      @exvala2323 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Rejj
      🙂😖🥳🦘🐃

  • @Lukegear
    @Lukegear 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Quite a welcome video for the ending of the year

  • @lukekowa
    @lukekowa 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    thanks Isaac! great way to start my day!

  • @Uranium-jj7le
    @Uranium-jj7le 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Keep it simple
    Keep it dumb
    Or you under Skynet’s thumb
    Or rendered in paperclip

  • @LA-vx3cf
    @LA-vx3cf 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Why doesn't this have more views I love this channel, good luck and ty for the great content.

    • @PhoticsTV
      @PhoticsTV 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      The views on this video fills a football stadium. I think that's pretty good. He's not that far from a million subscribers and has several videos over a million views - very nice! 🙂
      His videos have more longevity too. Just think of all the views this video will get in the year 2121. 😄

  • @Ikbeneengeit
    @Ikbeneengeit 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    This channel is one of the real gems of TH-cam, thanks so much for it!

  • @generalnawaki
    @generalnawaki 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    my data's open source baby, if netflix or good reads did recommend me something and I did love it I would be stoked.

  • @TheGovernmentputcrackinmyblunt
    @TheGovernmentputcrackinmyblunt 2 ปีที่แล้ว +20

    Hopefully we have genetic engineering since I want to be a 6'11 muscle bound 150 iq physicist

    • @mewletter
      @mewletter 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Fallout 4's Virgil will honestly frown upon such suggestion 😀

    • @spencervance8484
      @spencervance8484 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Awesome

    • @spacejunk2186
      @spacejunk2186 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      You want that, but all you will get are furries and catgirls.

    • @spencervance8484
      @spencervance8484 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@spacejunk2186 so whats the problem? As long as we are biocompatable.
      Im partially joking btw

    • @bbirda1287
      @bbirda1287 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      150 IQ? That's got to be the median viewership of this channel, why so low? I mean, I'm no rocket scientist, and I'm mid 140s.

  • @konstantinavalentina3850
    @konstantinavalentina3850 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    I think it would be nice if we can have 3D-bio-printing of whole, cutom, replacement bodies where then an AI surgeon can brain transplant us from an old, damaged, and/or diseased, unwanted body into the body of one's choice.
    I wonder what the world would look like if everyone could be the gender, youthful age expression, ethnic expression, size, shape, and color of their own subjective choice?

    • @giovannifoulmouth7205
      @giovannifoulmouth7205 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hey that's a pretty cool idea, I'd like to see it in a sci-fi.

    • @harmonyspaceagency1743
      @harmonyspaceagency1743 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@giovannifoulmouth7205 Or one better/weirder, you could have multiple bodies. All clones with transmitters, receivers, storage recording everything they do. Whenever you connect to them you all sync up your memories. You could live 3 lives day to day. Then one day your 4th self that was in the military comes home, syncs up and you all talk about your war stories.

    • @konstantinavalentina3850
      @konstantinavalentina3850 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@giovannifoulmouth7205 - I think it's been done in film, and literature, though not as focuses or main concepts. Citizens of The Culture in Iain M. Banks "Culture" novels have body, morphology, and substrate emancipation and choice of preference to choose their gender, shape, size, color, mods, etc., or even if they want to exist in virtual, or meat-space. Those things are, however, all more background coloring against which some of the novels tell their stories. Surface Detail illustrates most of this, though, it's one of the last in The Culture series, while the other novels in the series may mention a thing or two in passing.

  • @timevers6525
    @timevers6525 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Today I learned to never ask Isaac "what could go wrong"

  • @SoullisSinn
    @SoullisSinn 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    I for one cant wait for 2121 to see how many predictions you've got right. Maybe we can all get together for an Isaac Arthur con to celebrate it

    • @capt4in1
      @capt4in1 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      I added a note to my calendar! See ya there:)

  • @christophe5756
    @christophe5756 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Happy New Year, Brother Soldier! 🎊

  • @waffenwafflesreal
    @waffenwafflesreal 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I don't know if I'm going to reach 2121 even though I'm at a younger age (I'm currently 21 years old). But in any case, I will tell my descendants, direct ones or not, to embrace the future and if possible let them know about this video. I hope that we will still be alive by 2121, enjoying the truimps of humanity.

  • @therodney9268
    @therodney9268 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I really like your videos, they're always interesting.