Dorian Singer has stepped up every game. He is just not getting enough looks. So many mouths to feed on the Utes! Now that we are in conference play we will play our starters the full game. Meaning Cam will likely play this whole game. I think Whit has been keeping Cam out as much as possible to ensure we win the Big 12.
First game was a blow out, so Rising sat when the game was in hand. Second game Rising was injured. Third game Rising was injured and they got good starter reps for the back up Wilson.
@@kyle8947 I think Utah has not shown everything yet. I think that they have held Singer packages out on purpose. Don’t want to give up your secret weapons.
Every other caster out here is sticking a finger in the wind, tapping into their ignorant biases, and then making predictions based on whether they are regular today. The numbers don't lie! Love the quantitative breakdown. Not enough of this out there. Grazie mille!!!
Some peripheral considerations for the game: 1) 97 degree heat and high humidity 2) The Boone crowd is loud and rowdy and right on top of the visitor's bench 3) The field is oriented east and west so the visitor side of the field will be in direct sunlight the entire game. The Cowboys O--line pass protection is the strength of the oSu passing game. They are are seniors who have been together for years. They have allowed zero QB sacks so far this year. Their run blocking has been suspect this year compared to last year. This will be a big question mark for me. On defense, the Cowboys have been very successful making adjustments at the half. Hopefully, they will not allow the utes to gain a big lead in the first half and dig a deep hole to try and climb out of.
You are doing the work of the divine every week so thank you! I did say preseason we lose this game, I think I am sticking with it though unfortunately. You seem to be the optimistic fan and I am the antithesis lol. Rising has yet to play a full game and our team seems to play down in heat historically (just an anecdote, no stats to back that up). I would also add that our history on the road against teams who finish in the top 25 (i do think osu finishes top 25 and this isnt to say we dont win against teams who are ranked at the time, just final ranking) isn't very good. I think our last win like that was almost a decade ago. Absolutely hope I am wrong! I would not be shocked if we win so I am not completely hopeless! I am thinking 35-28 OSU, very high scoring.
Joseph, excellent job breaking down the numbers. Based on the numbers, it seems that Utah's offense is going to over power OK St defense. I actually don't see them stopping the offense at all. On the flip side I think OK St offense is going to win most of the time against Utah's defense. But Utah's defense will only need one stop or one turnover to make the win. My final projection was Utah 42 OK St 35.
Haven’t watched your video yet, but I’m going with best case scenario for Utah. Utes 48, OkSt 27. OkSt defense is just too porous and the coaching staff will have Cam and Co. ready to expose it. OkSt with 128th passing defense, in the 90’s for rushing defense, 124th for total defense is not good. I’m looking for specific packages for Singer to be pulled out. I’m looking for big games from Kuithe and Lohner. Cam airs it out for 5 passing TD’s and Dijon and Bernard combine for 2 more. Our defense is the stoutest OkSt will face all year. Bowman will be sacked 2 or 3 times and the pressure will be relentless. He is turnover prone so I’m looking for 2 interceptions, maybe 3. Extra body in the box for Gordon. Our linebackers and DB’s should have themselves a field day.
Collin Oliver went out with an injury. That’s why he hasn’t gotten as many snaps. I don’t think? that he’ll be in for the game against Utah. Edit: just looked it up- sources: Collin Oliver out for at least a month.
I just started the video. How deep will you go. Osu 9 and 1 versus ranked teams at home as a dog. Cam is 7 and 6 on the road. Utah strength schedule is 113. How will cams timing be with 3 quarters and cut finger. Osu has 4 recievers that have had 100 yard games. Ive heard alot about utah's offense. Not that different from ksu and isu, both had top draft te. It will be 100 with over 140 on the field. 4th quarter will be tuff on utah.
Overall not a bad breakdown based on PFF grades, but the bias is definitely coming through lol. I think OSU will surprise you with their physicality, endurance, and drive to win. 38-34 Pokes
Another solid analysis. Thanks for taking time to crunch these numbers. Question: Is Bowman a bigger threat than What we faced in Caleb Williams? Bowman may get some numbers but I think we end up containing him. Need good secondary play though. Utah 34. OSU 27
I was wondering the same thing. Williams was a monster of an athlete who was able to escape, while often gaining yards. I don't think Bowman is that fast or slippery. Sounds like their OLine is pretty stout.
Really hard one to predict, but my guess is Utah winning 40-26. Haven’t seen much from Oke State D and can’t imagine this being the game that Gordon breaks back into 2023 form (pre-listening to the breakdown)
Kendall Daniels is actually a LB. He's actually closer 6' 5" 245. He'll likely be matching up with Kuithe. On the missed tackles, I would like to see Utah defenders try to tackle Ark QB Taylen Green, dude is crazy athletic.
A guy that big wull get burned by kuithe lil bro. And Utah has been dealing with Caleb Williams Anthony Richardson cam ward bo nix shudder sanders Micheal penix Noah fifita dtr for a while now
Good explanation of the stats leading up to the game, but why didn't you adjust for the opponents? Southern Utah is worse than Tulsa, Utah State is worse than SDSU, and Baylor is worse than Arkansas overall (while much better defensively). I don't see a 10-point win happening in either direction. Neither team is as good or bad as they look on paper. OSU 31 - Utah 30
I think he did. The final team stats looks like he didn't count Utah stats against SUU. And I think he mentioned early in the video that he was only counting stats against FBS opponents.
Both ok state starting lb’s are out, their already weak defense is significantly weaker in this game. I expect Utah’s offense to be the show stopper in this one.
Oliver is out but he moved back to playing primarily DE this year, Ozigbo replaced him and is playing well. Wright (other injury) has never taken a live snap for Ok State. However, Roberson is only in his 4th start, so he's relatively inexperienced. Daniels, an all B12 safety, (6' 5" 245) moved down from safety to LB this year after bulking up.
Im confused on where you got the stats for the last section from. Passing yard per game for Utah is wrong, as well the points scored. I think other things could be wrong there too
Thank you for the deep dive into the numbers and the time spent to provide your thorough analysis.
This is why I don’t trust PFF grades. Nick Martin is one of the best LBs in the country and is by no means a liability
Dorian Singer has stepped up every game. He is just not getting enough looks. So many mouths to feed on the Utes! Now that we are in conference play we will play our starters the full game. Meaning Cam will likely play this whole game. I think Whit has been keeping Cam out as much as possible to ensure we win the Big 12.
First game was a blow out, so Rising sat when the game was in hand. Second game Rising was injured. Third game Rising was injured and they got good starter reps for the back up Wilson.
Agree
@@kyle8947 I think Utah has not shown everything yet. I think that they have held Singer packages out on purpose. Don’t want to give up your secret weapons.
Every other caster out here is sticking a finger in the wind, tapping into their ignorant biases, and then making predictions based on whether they are regular today. The numbers don't lie! Love the quantitative breakdown. Not enough of this out there. Grazie mille!!!
Utes for the win, 27 - 13. Thank you for posting and sharing info and opinions. Go Utes!
i’m not buying utahs db room much a lot of their success comes down to offensive and qb mistakes. in my opinion it’s a issue year after year
You came highly recommended and I’m glad I came through!
Thank you! I’m glad you enjoyed it.
First time listening to a breakdown with numbers analytics. Was interesting to listen to.
I definitely agree about the Ollie Gordon comment at the end
Some peripheral considerations for the game: 1) 97 degree heat and high humidity 2) The Boone crowd is loud and rowdy and right on top of the visitor's bench 3) The field is oriented east and west so the visitor side of the field will be in direct sunlight the entire game.
The Cowboys O--line pass protection is the strength of the oSu passing game. They are are seniors who have been together for years. They have allowed zero QB sacks so far this year. Their run blocking has been suspect this year compared to last year. This will be a big question mark for me. On defense, the Cowboys have been very successful making adjustments at the half. Hopefully, they will not allow the utes to gain a big lead in the first half and dig a deep hole to try and climb out of.
It will be fun watching Utahs defense go up against Oklahoma States solid O line.
You are doing the work of the divine every week so thank you!
I did say preseason we lose this game, I think I am sticking with it though unfortunately. You seem to be the optimistic fan and I am the antithesis lol. Rising has yet to play a full game and our team seems to play down in heat historically (just an anecdote, no stats to back that up). I would also add that our history on the road against teams who finish in the top 25 (i do think osu finishes top 25 and this isnt to say we dont win against teams who are ranked at the time, just final ranking) isn't very good. I think our last win like that was almost a decade ago. Absolutely hope I am wrong! I would not be shocked if we win so I am not completely hopeless! I am thinking 35-28 OSU, very high scoring.
Joseph, excellent job breaking down the numbers. Based on the numbers, it seems that Utah's offense is going to over power OK St defense. I actually don't see them stopping the offense at all. On the flip side I think OK St offense is going to win most of the time against Utah's defense. But Utah's defense will only need one stop or one turnover to make the win. My final projection was Utah 42 OK St 35.
Before Utah 30 OSU 26
After Utah 34 OSU 24
Haven’t watched your video yet, but I’m going with best case scenario for Utah.
Utes 48, OkSt 27.
OkSt defense is just too porous and the coaching staff will have Cam and Co. ready to expose it.
OkSt with 128th passing defense, in the 90’s for rushing defense, 124th for total defense is not good. I’m looking for specific packages for Singer to be pulled out. I’m looking for big games from Kuithe and Lohner. Cam airs it out for 5 passing TD’s and Dijon and Bernard combine for 2 more.
Our defense is the stoutest OkSt will face all year. Bowman will be sacked 2 or 3 times and the pressure will be relentless. He is turnover prone so I’m looking for 2 interceptions, maybe 3. Extra body in the box for Gordon. Our linebackers and DB’s should have themselves a field day.
Collin Oliver went out with an injury. That’s why he hasn’t gotten as many snaps. I don’t think? that he’ll be in for the game against Utah.
Edit: just looked it up- sources: Collin Oliver out for at least a month.
Geez. No bueno OSU. I think Utah is going to really dominate their defense. If Utah can slow their offense down enough, I think the Utes win
Let's say 27-23 Utah wins.
I just started the video. How deep will you go. Osu 9 and 1 versus ranked teams at home as a dog.
Cam is 7 and 6 on the road.
Utah strength schedule is 113. How will cams timing be with 3 quarters and cut finger.
Osu has 4 recievers that have had 100 yard games.
Ive heard alot about utah's offense. Not that different from ksu and isu, both had top draft te.
It will be 100 with over 140 on the field. 4th quarter will be tuff on utah.
Overall not a bad breakdown based on PFF grades, but the bias is definitely coming through lol. I think OSU will surprise you with their physicality, endurance, and drive to win. 38-34 Pokes
Utah fan here. You can see my comment above, we have the same prediction. I think the home field advantage will make the difference.
Lil bro acting like Utah isn’t physical have endurance or a crazy will to win
So u r saying that cam is due for a bad game
Another solid analysis. Thanks for taking time to crunch these numbers. Question: Is Bowman a bigger threat than What we faced in Caleb Williams? Bowman may get some numbers but I think we end up containing him. Need good secondary play though. Utah 34. OSU 27
I was wondering the same thing. Williams was a monster of an athlete who was able to escape, while often gaining yards. I don't think Bowman is that fast or slippery. Sounds like their OLine is pretty stout.
Gut feeling: 41-38 OSU
Really hard one to predict, but my guess is Utah winning 40-26. Haven’t seen much from Oke State D and can’t imagine this being the game that Gordon breaks back into 2023 form (pre-listening to the breakdown)
Kendall Daniels is actually a LB. He's actually closer 6' 5" 245. He'll likely be matching up with Kuithe. On the missed tackles, I would like to see Utah defenders try to tackle Ark QB Taylen Green, dude is crazy athletic.
A guy that big wull get burned by kuithe lil bro. And Utah has been dealing with Caleb Williams Anthony Richardson cam ward bo nix shudder sanders Micheal penix Noah fifita dtr for a while now
This is a tough one to predict the score… I’m thinking 24-21 Utes if we can contain Ollie Gordon.
Good explanation of the stats leading up to the game, but why didn't you adjust for the opponents? Southern Utah is worse than Tulsa, Utah State is worse than SDSU, and Baylor is worse than Arkansas overall (while much better defensively).
I don't see a 10-point win happening in either direction. Neither team is as good or bad as they look on paper.
OSU 31 - Utah 30
I think he did. The final team stats looks like he didn't count Utah stats against SUU. And I think he mentioned early in the video that he was only counting stats against FBS opponents.
Start of podcast prediction-
Utah - 31, OK St - 38
Final
Utah - 34, OK St - 38
Hope I'm wrong though.
BYU fan ahh prediction
35-27 pokes win
Gilman got carved up vs USU. He was constantly getting beat in coverage.
24 Utes/23 osu
Both ok state starting lb’s are out, their already weak defense is significantly weaker in this game. I expect Utah’s offense to be the show stopper in this one.
Oliver is out but he moved back to playing primarily DE this year, Ozigbo replaced him and is playing well. Wright (other injury) has never taken a live snap for Ok State. However, Roberson is only in his 4th start, so he's relatively inexperienced. Daniels, an all B12 safety, (6' 5" 245) moved down from safety to LB this year after bulking up.
@@spencermcintosh9223 But isn’t the OkSt run defense ranked like 120th in the country or something?
Pre show score, 27-24 Utah.
Im confused on where you got the stats for the last section from. Passing yard per game for Utah is wrong, as well the points scored. I think other things could be wrong there too
He took out the SUU game stats as not even Close to quality opponent
I’m gunna say 34-17 Utah but OSU scores first but then Utah goes back to back tuddys to answer back
Utah by 10
Utah 35 OSU 24
Gundy has won 10 out of his last 11 games as a home underdog.
incredible stat, who was the lone loss?
I think it was South Alabama 😂
@@Tobyoneal64 no way they were an underdog for south Alabama.
@@dbgii77 I was joking. My true guess is Texas.
@@Tobyoneal64 oh lol, I can never tell!
Utah 42-31
I have Utah winning 37-27
Before vid: pred utah W 41-24
is cam rising playing?
Yes they already announced it
@@matthewcastleton2263the team nor Whit has announced Cam will play.
@@michaelpeck1346 Dorian Singer spilled the beans.
If Utah can get two INTs, they win. And this OK St QB is prone to INTs.
Our PPG is 36.66
Yes, it is. But I think he was ignoring the 49-0 score against SUU
@@matthewcastleton2263 yes
UTAH 35 OKST 21
This seems like the most realistic prediction to me. Can’t see OK St. scoring more than 21-27 points. Utah in the 34-45 range.
Utah 38-Ok State 33
YOU ARE NOT GOING TO GO TO STILLWATER AND BEAT OSU THIS YEAR.