Watch: Steve Kornacki breaks down Kamala Harris' starting point in polls as race reboots
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 14 ต.ค. 2024
- Steve Kornacki, MSNBC national political correspondent, talks with Rachel Maddow about how Kamala Harris polls against Donald Trump in comparison to Joe Biden's polling and how soon we might expect the rapid consolidation of Democratic support around Kamala Harris to be reflected in new polling, particularly in crucial swing states.
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#MSNBC #KamalaHarris #2024election
that this is in any way a close race is an horrific indictment of the United States as a nation. Shame on us
Yup. Agreed. Trump should be 80%
Agreed, that so many would continue to support such a despicable, lying, cheating, con-artist as Trump. He knows his audience, and what they like to see and hear.
Exactly. Trump should have it in a total landslide
Go troll somewhere magtard@@m.b5777
@@m.b5777 yikes.
I have never in 51 years been asked to answer a poll. Lol who is answering these??
word
No mayo sandwich
I’ve never been asked either,and I’m 77.
Only maga supporter have time for these polls
They aren't real.
Corporations and Media enterprises simply jot down whatever numbers they need in order to fuel the narrative.
Same as Game Of Thrones writers. They just write whatever they want!
They just need to keep everyone entertained while they pilfer the country and collapse the dollar.
It's all a show, and none of us are in the production team ;D.
How can you even put a number on Harris right now. This just happened today. I hate polls 🙄 😒
They just asked what would you do if Biden dropped out or something similar.
It makes no difference, Joe or Kamala. They'll both lose. They've done nothing for the country.
These polls were measured for over a year lol, she has bad approval rating, gotta change it asap
Let alone it's not 100 percent official she got the nomination. There's still a chance she may not get enough votes
Some polling companies have been running hypotheticals with Harris leading the ticket for a couple weeks now.
Polling data exists, although it is of limited quality.
I’m a life long Democrats but I’ve realized that my party has gone off the rails
Same. Not voting for dems this time.
@@albertorodriguez6287 us American citizens. When are we gonna come together and stop letting the career politicians get rich on dividing us? Haven’t you had enough? Nanc pelosi 144million! Mitch McConnell $35million! It’s disgusting!!
Less than a month ago Joe Scarborough was saying this is the 'best Joe Biden ever'.
😂😂😂
Morning joe is a SAD CLOWN!
MAGA: Biden should drop out!
Biden: Okay, I'm dropping out.
MAGA: No, you can't do that!!!!
Maybe just maybe they have been lying 😂😂😂
The list is endless of people saying one thing about trump and it not panning out.
Term limits for all senators and Supreme Court judges. Must retire by age 75.
Please these people stay way to long. It is rediculous.😮
Absolutely agree. Amendments to the US Constitution. .
ask yourself why strict term limit doesn't work in the corporate world?
Age limit for the presidency as well. Not to say peeps in this age group are not amazing but for this particular job we need a younger leader.
Yes. Needs to be amended to our constitution.
Who are they polling? I’ve never in my adult life been polled, nor have any of my friends and family. Who are they talking to?
I was called years ago on my landline.
Me either
Me too! I dont believe this data. The peopld.would have voted for him. Ive ever ever been polled. Weve been fooled by the press. Kamela will do fine, but we have been had.
Shame on the press.
Who cares... Trump has already won!
Don't mean to be rude, but that is a rather dumb observation.
Remember when news agencies use to report the actual story and let the viewer make their mind up about what was going on? Remember now they explain their opinions because you are assumed to be stupid!
watching european news coverage recently has been very refreshing
You can’t get the real news from these political propaganda outlets anymore. They are owned by the Democrat Party. They are all reading a script that was written by the DNC.
We knew trump was a fraud years ago. I’m black from NYC. Y’all didn’t know who he was and what he is
Thanks to all the useful idiots out there.
I am so sick of polls. I'm 60 something and I have never been polled.
60 something? Are you sure? Maybe that's why you haven't been polled. You're not sure how old you are.
What about being poled?
I'm 35 and I've been polled 3 times that I am fairly certain were legit polling outfits. Many more times from questionable ones that were probably campaign calls.
That's living in a consistent swing state my whole life.
But that makes sense that you weren't polled, mathwise
😂😂😂
My main concern is how to survive all of these financial and political crisis, especially in light of the US political power struggle.
I agree that hiring a portfolio coach is a smart move and that in this case, patience is your best friend. I make a lot of investments and cannot afford to take the risk of doing it alone. Instead, since the rona outbreak began in late 2019, my portfolio has been maintained by a qualified advisor. I only need about $86k more to reach my three million dollar ROI goal.
ELISE BERNADETTE MURRAY is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
What financial crisis? The economy is great, the stock market is market is great, and inflation is way down.
@@brendasnow8255are you serious, how can you say that when the price of every essential item or service you need has increased. Nothing this administration has done has helped the American public.
@@brendasnow8255probably just paying lipservice to the Republicans who NEEED that to be a talking point. Their followers are so badgered with untruths, that they cannot see what is straight ahead of them. ... 😊
We NEED better media
AMEN
Dey need a better candidate
They are criminals
go watch Fox news or maybe news from Russia
True, but you wouldn't recognize better media if it would hit you in the face.
Knowing he does the playoff predictions for SNF towards the end of the season for fun just makes Kornacki a tier above everyone
That's gotta be the fastest national polling ever done
Yes it's because it was quickly done by the left side to mislead the country
Harris is too powerful
@@GrantMcgowan-w9t 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@silentmajority8365❄️❄️❄️
The polling might be fast but his rambling nonsense wasn't. He blabbed about polling numbers for 8-9 minutes when he could have summed it up in 45 seconds. I didn't even finish watching the entire thing.
the only good thing about US Elections is that we get to see more Steve Kornarcki
soft
that's just sad
Yeah he and John King over on CCN, make it almost worth dealing with an election.
Even in Europe we know him 😁
WHAT'S SO GOOD ABOUT ????????
The only thing I think is wrong with this is the incessant poll following. They have been more than just "wrong" in the last few voting cycles. I'm glad that Joe has conceded but the polling is absolutely horrible basis for any political decision.
The defenders of democracy pushed him out because their rich friends said to.
The polling was off in 2016, but they have been fairly accurate since then
@@angelgarza7437 The polling was accurate in 2016. It said Clinton would win the vote.. she did.
The miscalculation was on the Electoral College outcome.
Respect his decision and continue the fight against Trump! Let’s look forward and support Kamala 💙I think she will win big against Grampa Trump!
@angelgarza7437 actually not. They have been beyond "margin of error".
I'm so glad we'll have Steve Kornacki giving us straight dope for the next several months.
Really? Let me know when he starts doing a better job because I canceled my cable subscription. I don’t trust corporate media anymore.
My guy sleeves rolled up like he been up all night crunching numbers over coffee, I love it ! Lol
Polls 😂😂 they don't count 🤫
Theater
He spent all night trying to make it seem like Harris has a chance
@@Mystic.ape. kornake is a republican...but harris definitely has a chance...remember womens rights?...
@richardhenrysr5029 I didnt realize Kamala was up for election to the supreme court 🤔
Please add visible disclaimers for these polls. How many people were surveyed, were the samples within the respective parties or independents and what states were represented?
It was an internal Dem run poll they said multiple times they dont have the underlying data to validate. so as usual MSNBC just reporting on nothing.
"NAH!" - MSNBC
Soooo not a ton of high quality polling… then why was the press touting them every day?!?!?
polls are bs ...
The same reason Biden was pushed out for someone doing 1 point better than him.
Makes it seem sometimes that they have their own agenda and try to sway people's thoughts. Shame on the main stream media!!
Because it attracted viewers and clicks.
polls are easily manipulated by choosing which populations to take random sample from. It appears that the media is trying to make FDJT look less malignant than he really is. I blame this on the corporate overlords of these media entities who appear to be addicted to the profits associated with dysfunction... shameful that they have sunk so low.
Where are these polls coming from so fast?!
most cities do polls each week, usually through newspapers or online polls.
it comes from their fantasy lands
Never been polled in my whole voting lifetime.
The world doesn't revolve around you.
Same...70 yrs old
Alarming that some people have no idea how polls work. Mathematically asking a GOOD reference of about 1000 people is already pretty accurate. If you don't believe it, look it up
Media since 2010 became systematic propaganda. They laugh on people behind.
I have once
When i visited Florida, the polsters called my 80 year old Mom many many times. I know because i answered the phone and spoke to them. They called her landline
There should not even be an election with a long Time criminal as a candidate. Democracy should be the first priority in any election
Your poor mom does not deserve that
Our phone rings constantly. We have caller ID and don't answer unfamiliar numbers.
President Biden: a lifetime of service. Whether the Democrats go on to win or lose (& boy do I hope they win), President Joe Biden is a decent, honorable, principled human being who puts Country before himself (unlike the orange arsehat). I, (nitva US citizen) will miss him. Go on, Kamala and ???? !!!! I really, really hope you win !!!!
@@DouglasDrake-o8eI have a landline, don’t answer unknowns, and an answering machine just in case.
*Are people STILL deciding between DEMOCRACY and AUTOCRACY; Freedom and Rapture??!!!*
Freedom? Sorry there is no freedom choice.
How is Democracy working for you now? You’ve been lied to by the media and everyone around the president about everything and the elites will pick your candidate now, not the people.
What's the point of democracy if people don't have a clue about anything?
Please tell me your not a project 2025 believer!!! Oh wait I forgot this is MSNBC watchers!!!
Those MAGA followers of tRump can get an easy path to their so-called rapture. They are free to go to Jonestown and follow the cultists lifestyle. Leave the rest of the world out of their ignorance and hate.
Wait, how was it decided that she's the candidate?
i mean it isn't set in stone, but it kind of makes sense. Kamala is the VP, there is no other democratic people running for office, and biden endorsed her.
by the very people they claim to be against, the elites. Big donors and influencers. All those ordinary democrats were tossed aside, the only Democracy they care about, is the Democracy of the privileged in the Democrat circles. It is all clear to see yet, how many will be annoyed come November and not vote or vote Trump to punish the Dems?
Obama, Pelosi, Schumer, Jeffries other party leaders and the donors decided that Joe had to go!
By a vote, of course.
Of the establishment elite.
@@stefan6412 I think I remember learning about this in Civics
The only wholesome thing we can look forward to this election season is Steve Kornacki’s chart breakdowns :’)
Yes, he does a good job. You can tell he both likes and understands what he’s doing and he just seems to spit out the facts on the political system. Good bad or ugly. I appreciate that.
Approval of Steve Kornacki: 100%
If they told me it was raining outside, I’d definitely look out the window. Zero credibility. None.
🤖
@@ziplockbaggies8707 🤖 👌🏼😉
@Changeiscoming47 you know polls are not exact, right?
@@Square-ow7oq more than that, they can and often are wildly inaccurate, whether it be due to insufficient sample sizes or sampling error that is biased towards certain demographics
Honestly, that’s accurate. Twice, I saw this channel and others breathlessly report some juicy tidbits that heavily implied that all these discussions were contentious and hostile. Based on “sources close to” whoever.
Then I’d see the actual person they were talking about, describing a very different interaction, in an interview. Both times, the person talked not about electability, but the concern that Biden was injuring his health by pushing too hard.
The electability issue focused on the fact that it’s really unfair to present a candidate that may or may not even make it to inauguration.
These channels leaned into the spicy gossip angle to a really disappointing degree. In future I’m going to assume that any secondhand or thirdhand report they pass on to us, is completely fallacious, nothing more than dressed up gossip.
Do a report on how all the same polls were off by 5-
20 percentage points in the 2022 midterms.
And off by 5+ total points in 2016, polls are just picked to make people feel better
The polling average was off by one point in each of the last two midterms and underestimated Trump by two points in 2020. The media glorifies outlier polls, which is probably why you feel like they were off significantly even though they weren't as a whole.
Trump wasn't on the ballot in 2022 and many Trump voters love Trump but don't trust the republicans.
A more accurate comparison would be the 2020 presidential election which massively overstated Democrat support
It's called cheating
@@Dan-dz1ws Yes Trump and the GOP did cheat. still are.
When people get a refresher course on Special K she'll have worse numbers than Joey.😂
Ive been phone polled once in my 60 years. They must really spread them out.
😂
Exactly...who's voting in these polls?
That's once more than anyone I know.
They poll many thousands of people. It’s just that out of many millions of the population of the US, individually we are just one tiny person.
You haven’t had a smart phone for 60 years
It wasn't about the polls, it was about the slowing of donations.
It’s almost as if you didn’t watch the video.
you do know he had 3x more tghan trump
The media are the biggest liars.
The problem was big corporate donors refused to give him more money so basically held a gun to their heads unless they got someone younger. That is because of the media continually harping on it. Dumpster is only a few years younger but says more crazy crap in 10 minutes than Joe ever did.
THE DONORS saw all the Gaslighting after the Debate and said they were out. It's those 9 Democrats, Mainstream Media and George Clooney's NYTimes article Fearmongering, that caused President Biden to be Forced out which is Super Sad.
Honestly polling is complete CRAP!
Plenty, and pretty much so! Now look at the hard work for Republicans, to bark about. Clear, clean reputation verses rats, whose last minute character assassignation, would be their biggest challenge.
Not really. Some polling is crap, would be more accurate.
So what’s your alternative
The Corrupt DNC really Hates Sleepy Joe. They didn't give him a chance.
Kamala is who we prefer to run against
Maybe we shouldn't believe everything we see on the internet.
Well we certainly can't believe everything on Fox News, MSNBC or CNN.
Yeah, like that nonsense about the 2020 election being rigged.
Maybe you shouldn’t believe MSNBC
Maybe you shouldn’t believe MSNBC
Seriously, who are these voters?
Proof, if you needed any, that half of the people out there are below average.
Russian bots.
There was study done on polling, and it showed that the majority of polling was done by Republicans, and only a very few Democrats spent time on polling. Because of this. It always shows that Republicans are ahead. It’s why Obama looked like he was behind in the polls in 2008 and 2012 and Biden in 2020.
Me
True American patriots.
Thank you! I can hardly wait to watch Joe and Mika tomorrow morning! 💜💜💜Morning Joe!☕️
Did you feel that same way about Trump when he called into the Fox 5?
In college I worked for a polling company. The data I gathered was a joke. GIGO
Kinda deceptive to make the swing state color the same as the Dem color
Who are they polling? Rural seniors only? She just raised 50 million in 8 hours yesterday by small donation donors. Everyone I know is feeling way better
You mean the ridin with biden gang. The party just ignored your votes and forced your pres out. What about all that democracy talk?? 😂😂😂😂
Feeling way better about continuing to pump millions of illegals into the country, pushing towards World War with Russia, and pricing young people out of homes with inflation? You dems honestly have brain damage at this point
@@R3VELAT1ON that’s is just a logjam release of the same people who have been waiting for Joe to drop out to donate. That is not folks who weren’t going to donate and decided to donate as a result of Kamala. That’s a release of prior allocated donations.
When I still listened to NPR about 15 years ago, the show host (Diane Rheems?) had an older pollster as a guest talking about polling and how it's changed. He said that in the 1960s, there were only landlines without call screening. They had a 90% response rate then. He said that today (15 years ago), pollsters are lucky to get a 50% response rate rate. He said that polling today is terribly unreliable due to modern technology (cell phones, call screening) and lack of responses
Thank you!
Don't try to unskew the pools. Polls are much more accurate now than when they were getting 90% response rate. These people aren't amateurs this is what they do all day every day. They know what they're doing and it's safe to assume that polls give you a semi accurate view of the election at the time of the pool. There is always error but massive errors are very rare. Even 2016 wasn't that big of an error.
It’s always the person down in polls that copes hard saying polls aren’t accurate, trump last election and now biden/Harris this election
@@tothra and ppl who don't tell the truth...or intentionally lie...
The party complaining about the accuracy of polls is typically losing, jsyk
My yellow school bus has been unburdened by what has been towed.
“The little black girl on that bus WuZ me.” 🤡
Love it!
But the real question if this: did that yellow school bus make you think about the significance of the passage of time? That might unburden you of your towing burden.
How anyone falls for her talk is amazing.
@@GR-bn3xjMore like, how anyone "falls" for djt's lies!
FACT CHECK!
Without a single citizen voting for her. Wow. Crazy.
She was on my primary ballot
Love you Joe! Let’s go blue
In a day and a half and the point spread is THAT close!?!? Who exactly was polled, MSNBCs staff? 😂
Hahahaha
it's the older polls where they asked about other potential democratic nominees
Older polls but Trump is literally leading the swing states by 5-8% in most polls over Biden. It’ll be the same or worse for Kamala.
Kamala has exactly how much experience to lead the country? She’s in over her head
@@tenitri5023
Why does TH-cam think your comment needs translated, comrade?
I find it quite strange that these polls are supposedly being conducted EVERYWHERE, yet most have never been approached to participate. I'm 41 years old and have never been asked. I've even inquired among my family, friends, and acquaintances, and none of them have been approached either. It's quite interesting to me. 🤔🤨 😂
I was polled in 2012. There are 300 million citizens and they only need to poll about 1000 to get a good sample. After 10 thousand polls, a given person has a 3% chance of being polled at least once. For a 50% chance, it takes about 200 thousand polls.
74… lived in 4 different states.. have never been called for a poll…
Who said polls are being conducted everywhere?😂
You obviously don't live in a battle ground state...if you don't, we already know where your state delegates are going....not rocket science
It’s possible you saw a phone number you didn’t recognize and hit decline
I find it strange that people find it strange. They mostly call non-private lines during the work day, which means mostly land lines. They also focus almost entirely on battleground states. They also call only about 1000-1500 people. So basically, they get a handful of retired old people who pick up unknown numbers in battleground states. That said, my cell number must've ended up on someone's list at some point, because at 43, I've been getting calls several times a year for years.
no room for DEI. We all saw what happened with Secrete Service.
Just say you're racist
Most people are taught that "you only need a good job to become rich". These billionaires are operating on a whole other playbook that many don't even know exists
The secret to financial stability is having the right investment ideas to enable you earn more money, I don’t know who agrees with me but either way I recommend either real estate or crypto and stocks.
I'm a beginner in crypto investment, please can you guide me through on how you make profits
Same, I operate a wide range of Investments with help from My Financial Adviser. My advice is to get a professional who will help you, plan and enhance your management skills. For the record, working with Mr Ken griffin, has been an amazing experience.
51 years and I'm retiring next year 2025 all glory to Ken for all good works in my life.... 970k earned so far people fail to understand that living a Life without passive income isn't worth much except trying to pay off debts and loans.
yeah It would be more beneficial and yield more profit if you actually trade on cryptocurrency, i have made so much profit trading since the dip
Wow I'm just shocked you mentioned and recommend Mr Ken Griffin, l thought am the only one enjoying his services .... he is really awesome!
I guess the golf game challenge is off now.
BIDEN was never gonna do it.
Biden’s challenge: walk between each hole without falling uphill. (Impossible)
Trump’s challenge: carry his own bag. (Impossible)
Omg i’m so glad that now our choices aren’t That Old Guy and That Even Older Guy.
@@irenafarm Trump is a leader... his bag is carried for him.
❤ TRUMP2024 ❤
good riddance
@@edpeterson2293 how unamerican!
he should be the leader of some banana republic
here in america, WE CARRY OUR OWN BAGS........... and we PAY FOR OUR OWN MEALS..........
Polls don't vote
Voting is literally a poll
Yes, but unfortunately, to run for higher office, you have to raise as much money as possible. Joe has campaigned for over 50yrs, and he knows losing donor cash is fatal to any campaign.
Huh...?🤨
Stealing election
The same polls that said the midterms were supposed to be a red wave but it didn't happened
How do they come out with a Trump/Harris national poll in an hour?
Because there are polls that have been done just to see public sentiment. And they show Trump ahead 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Because that hypothetical has been polled since 2023 at least... Let that sink in!
They don't, in the same way that they lied to you about the cognition of the sitting US president, they are now lying to you about poll numbers surrounding Kamala Harris vs. Trump
They ask 4 people.
They don’t need to poll people about Kamala, she is unburdened by what has been.
We have had enough of polls. Goodnight!
Who is we whitefella
Yes!!! Ask Clinton about polls, they are useless.
Don't like what you see eh?
@@Mymindisablank Have you seen her make any sense besides laughing and repeating the same lines too sound like she knows what she is talking about? Everyone is aware of the embarrassment
Americans need an actual leader, not cheerleader. Kamala has more chance in Mexico than in US
isn't it great that in a country of 300,000,000 people that 40 or 50 thousand people actually decide the fate of the election ever 4 years?
For real!!
You can thank the electoral college for that.
We have to CHANGE this. Hope younger generation does. I have great faith in them
Ranked choice voting to break up the stranglehold the two parties have on state and local elections. Then get a few more states to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact which neuters the Electoral College.
Each state that joins, pledges to certify the electors for the candidate who wins the popular vote.
@@juliemissick4206But it would be totally fair if 50,000 voters swung the election by popular vote… 😂 🤡
Biden was unwillingly pushed out. I voted for Biden not Harris. Now I'm not voting at all.
💯
We can't confirm..but we report anyways😂😂
that is how journalism works, would you prefer to have no news at all? how about state based media that only tells you what they want to? independent media relies on statements from sources that cant confirm
What are they supposed to do? Not ever tell us about it? It's entertainment.
@@ML-cg2gd It's propaganda masquerading as entertainment masquerading as news.
Kamala -- Rerun your ad from 2020 when you were running to win the democratic primary. The ad compares you with Trump; it is brilliant and still fresh and timely. Start rerunning this ad immediately. It is perfect for this moment ! Go, Kamala !! ❤😊
She was the first to drop out in the last Democrat primary because no one was supporting her.
Sorry... we didn't know Cackling Kamala at that time. Now we all know. We love Cackling Kamala... she could copyright her laugh and sell it. But We do not want Cackling Kamala anywhere near power.
How many times do the polls have to be wrong before we stop using them as a predictive tool?
They aren't wrong. Kamala is deeply unlikable and has no positive accomplishments. The border was her only job and that has been historically disastrous.
Polls, in general, are actually quite accurate. I don't know what you are talking about and neither do you.
And always underestimating Dem support. The greatest example ever in history is Kansas abortion losing in polls then winning by 16. I think republican women are saying one thing to not get ostracized then voting blue.
@@creepy99 well this guy predicted a landslide Clinton win in 2016😂
@@jp57604 "This guy" is not a poll... so ... yeah. I didn't say they were perfect, I said they were generally accurate.
Can’t stop MAGA!
WANNA bet?
To America’s allies: please give us a moment to deal with a vandal, liar, and thief. Back shortly…
😂👍
The Biden family tree?
You all bullied him to step down. Shame on you media!
I mean, he IS old and cannot think well, he should spend time with his family instead before he forgets who they are you selfish human
That would be his party and his donors
Influencers and big donors, the establishment, the hierarchy, the elite... all those, ousted Biden and everyone can see with their eyes what sort of Democracy they represent.
Meaningless numbers about a situation that has just radically changed. What a waste of time.
Kamala's a DEI hire - need I say more?
This comment won't age well. Make an appointment with your counsellor for Nov. 6th 😂
@@ALLTake-v2p Oh, I think it will age well. Independent voters are livid at the Republican party and Trump and the polls are missing this fact. Trump and the Republicans are about to have their butts handed to them. This is why Trump and his supporters are already screaming about rigged elections.
@@ALLTake-v2p Better than making an appointment to invade the Capitol.
The show must go on. They have commercials to sell.
Trump 2024 baby. ❤️🇺🇸💥😇👍
WE ARE ALL BEHIND KAMALA!!!
VOTE BLUE 💙
knees first
❤
Well, as I’ve lived almost 60 years in America and have never once been “polled”, nor has anyone in my family, nor anyone else I’ve asked. I’d be interested to know who actually gets polled and how do we know which are partisan or not? Apparently there are enormous swaths of US citizens who are never asked. I know Kellyanne Conway was a former pollster and there are partisan organizations all over the place we know use polls as propaganda. Do we even have oversight over any of this?
You should research how polling works, you'll be amazed. But what's really amazing is just how accurate it is if they ask the right questions.
How can a poll within 24 hours be accurate? These numbers are fuzzy
They are using some polls from the 2020 election and polls from before the debate and shortly after.
Those are the numbers that is not the issue the issue is the number of people polled. Where they were polled. What questions were asked. Did the people answer honestly. Did they change thier minds an hour later.
The largest poll I have seen only talked to 3,000 people. They then run that number through equations to make it fit over an entire population.
When the truth is that poll was only accurate for those 3,000 people at that place and time.
That is all that anu poll can speak for the moment in time that it was taken and it only speaks for the people polled.
They have hypothetical polls of Harris vs Trump from 2023... Let that sink in!
@@mikjbWhile that's technically true, the math is that a sample size that big, assuming it's randomly chosen from the population, is sufficient to provide a high degree of confidence with a low margin of error. For example (I'm making numbers up now) 99.5% confident that the percentages are within 2% of the actual number for the entire population.
Yes...but we privately love it and if Steve wasn't here now, we would be asking for him.
STEALING ELECTION
How does Harris poll among males?
That’s crazy they found polls that have her a point behind when she has a national approval rating of 38%. 🤔
What’s funny is that 2 years ago she was being harped on for being more unpopular than the corpse who thought it was a mistake bringing her on as VP
The VP's approval rating is essentially the presidents approval rating, if she is allowed to continue as the candidate then she will be able to develop her own national identity in peoples minds over the coming months as they view her independently from the Biden presidency.
No one really knows what a VP does so it is just a reflection of the president.
Because for at least 90% of voters this is still a referendum on Trump as a person, whether you love or hate him. Third GOP candidate in a row and still unlikely to win a single popular vote. It'll come down to the opinions of a couple million people combined across like ten states
Bingo. ~ @@gothenmosph5151
Polls dont mean crap, look at 2016 and 2020
1. It's all about the swing states. Only very few people get to decide who will be President.
2. Poll results in the US have always been not very telling in general for some reason. Probably not independent, not representative, many people change their decision by whim and many people too busy to take part in polls.
3. Many Americans wanted neither Trump nor Biden. That should give the new Democratic candidate a big edge, whoever it will be.
Good calls, especially on the 3rd point
The Dems need to lay the groundwork now to stop Republican oppressing voting rights and blocking manipulating the Supreme Court/congress to try to steal the election when the Dems. Win.
Voting for kamala is voting for Biden, i really cant say who was more useless in this last almost 4 years, was it biden or kamala
True but Harris is not the choice people want.
Nope. Incumbent president has always had the biggest chance of winning. Check 13 keys to White House, if there's gonna be open contest in DNC, the chances for democrats are low.
This man takes the sceniccccc route to answer questions.
They have to get a work day in somehow.
Vote💙💙💙💙
No
❤
Do these polls ask Americans?
only people who have landlines
🤣🤣
@@Jack0fAllTrades so mostly russians then......
Who else would possibly be useful to ask?
I've wondered where are these polls coming from ? I was never asked. And I'm betting anyone reading this hasn't either.
Raskin for VP
Interesting 👍🏻
Let's get a younger person for the future.
You “Taskin for Raskin”?
Pete Buttigieg for VP. He would make a VERY interesting juxtapostion with JD Vance as they are both millenials, both military vets, both fathers, both Ivy league graduates. Pete all the way for me.
Jeffries or Whitmer!
Can't wait to see how they cope as they coped in 2016
The fact that it is even anywhere near close astounds me! Dictatorship or democracy? Simple choice America...come on!
I would choose a good dictatorship over a good democracy
@@tempejkl yep, I think this new guy rising to power in Germany is really going to turn things around and make our country great again!
I will happily turn over my democratic rights for safety and security!
forcing a presidential candidate on you that you didnt vote for is not democracy
Come on Harris doesn't mean dictatorship...
How is Trump able to carry those kind of numbers 🤷♂️🤷♂️🤷♂️ ~ It's just bizzaro world.
I’m wondering why they aren’t higher.
Very Twilight ZoneISH!!
@@Bryan-sk214 Ya it is
How you can't see it after what your own party did to Biden is hilarious
@@madmike7551 Glad I to give you a laugh
In the professional media this is called crafting a narrative.
what is? polling? yes.
Kornacki got a new pair of pants, yay!! (I am drinking coffee from my "Tracking Kornacki" mug.) Love his analysis.
The donors wanted this to happen this was not an accident!
So the defenders of democracy gave in to their rich friends?
Biden follows the money, that's for sure!!! He himself didn't consider dropping out until he realized the donations weren't just being paused for a few days while he recovered.
Exactly what I told those pacts today asking for campaign contributions! I said go ask your big donors they chose her not me! 😅
So much for democracy
Did you wanted a deteriorated Biden to run?
President Kamala ❤ to the rescue
Laughing Harris is not winning
Cackling Kamala!
In my opinion, the media played a significant role in influencing his decision. Regardless of one's personal beliefs, it is difficult for anyone to remain unaffected by constant negative media coverage. News stations such as NBC, MSNBC, and others have a responsibility to present a balanced and objective perspective.😢😢😢😢
They should be reporting facts only not playing with a Ouija board.
We need to make decisions based on facts not reactionary polls.
the harshness of his own party - pelosi , shiff, telling him to give up! That is not unity. That is a disgrace! I will VOTE for a ham sammich before I allow my vote to go to the repukes.
Black American veterans for Trump!!!!!!!!!
I believe America will be surprised with the amount of black voters that will be voting Trump.
The pollsters are calling landlines. I'm 60 and even I don't have a land-line. 😔
No they're not. There may be some landline respondents, but the vast majority of polling entails calling the cell phones of registered and/or likely voters.
All phones are randomly called now.
"The majority of Gallup surveys in the U.S. are based on interviews conducted by landline and cellular telephones. Generally, Gallup refers to the target audience as "national adults," representing all adults, aged 18 and older, living in United States.
The findings from Gallup's U.S. surveys are based on the organization's standard national telephone samples, consisting of directory-assisted random-digit-dial (RDD) telephone samples using a proportionate, stratified sampling design. A computer randomly generates the phone numbers Gallup calls from all working phone exchanges (the first three numbers of your local phone number) and not-listed phone numbers; thus, Gallup is as likely to call unlisted phone numbers as listed phone numbers."
I got an email for one poll and a text for another poll earlier this year
I’m 30 and frequently get text polling.
I have a landline and both my landline and cell phone ring constantly with that kind of crap.
Donnie is freaking out over Bannon's interviews of Epstein about Trump's "participation" in decades of Epstein activities. 😂
You mean Bill Clinton.....I told you your side would turn on Biden
@@verilyveronica8430 No Trump. Sure Clinton was there too, but Trump was high on Epstein's list of evil doers. Do some research, oh, but not on your usual sites.
@@verilyveronica8430no, Bannon only name-checked Trump. No mention of Clinton.
@@heathw4739 We know Clinton flew there over a dozen times it’s in the logs
How can you have a poll this soon after Biden dropped out?
Right?
They prematurely do these Polls, so we have to wait and see what happens in a few weeks.
You weren't listening and watching carefully. These were not polls done after Biden dropped out. Kornacki explained that what he was showing was a total average of national polls from after the national debate but BEFORE Biden dropped out. The dates of the polling are shown on Kornacki's screen at the beginning (2:25).
@@TheBrownIslandif u really believe them ur part of the sheep hahaha. Democracy is dead the democrats just showed us it by taking Biden out
cause its made up its msnbc bro
Mark Kelley senator (Astronaut) and wife survived an assassination attempt from Arizona. There’s the VP!
Ha ha ha ha your looking really desperate, wait till they start airing Kelly,s voting record. This Election is over and poppy pants got thrown out and replaced with the talking word salad
The average polls numbers are within the margin of error. Geez…
No they are not, Trump just needs to keep the same stares he won and flip 3 . You are also forgetting in the last 2 elections cycles Trump gets 2points more than he polls.
@@DenisBurke-vb6vh Alot Easier said then done. I know if he can flip a couple hundred thousand in and around Phili that he will win Pa but they have been brainwashed by Democrats lies and empty promises for decades. And Comcast corporate, the owners of MSNBC and a bunch of other news outlets has it's headquarters in Phili. Go Figure eh?
good enough to cheat
I’d like to know who’s being polled so I can avoid ever going near them. It’s embarrassing that it’s even a question for anyone!
Don’t worry. Trump will win easily.
There are lots of MAGA fools on youtube - if you like to get depressed, look them up!
Or watch the pictures with these fools making fake patches on their ear to look like their orange messiah! 😀
Right! she’d clearly be an awful president. Crazy anyone would consider her.
💯. absolutely
They said it’s internal. Why are yall expecting to be polled? Yall aren’t THAT important. Come on 😂
who are you polling?? ive never been contacted to be in a poll and neither has anyone i know..where do these polls come from..explain that
From what I've gathered from the Internet and comments on the Internet (so obviously 100% true come on) I think it's mostly cold calling land lines and I'm ASSUMING cell phones have broken into there to some degree...
Depends on the polling company, what they're polling, and how big their polling panel is but for Pew, the odds of being contacted for a poll is about 1 in 23,000. That's a 0.0004% chance. You have better odds of being struck by lightning because that's about 1 in 15,000. I've been contacted for a state poll but I declined to participate.
Politico
It was stated at the start of the video
NBC,NYT,CNN should operate from democrat party office instead
They are extentions of the DNC MACHINE
Just like FOX NEWS should operate from Republican HQ
They are all one sided stations lol
you mean the Pravda headquarters in NYC?
News corpos are republican but ok 💀💀
The Heritage Foundation worries me. They will not stop until they actualize their 2025 agenda, never.
@RustyCyler
It is the cross contamination between politics and religion that is the problem.
There is a separation of church and state for a multitude of reasons.
The separation protects both the government and the freedom to worship God as your faith tradition dictates or not.
They're worse than Bible thumpers. Waaaaaay worse.
The best thing about these elections is we get to see Steve Komacki again.
“It is time for us to do what we have been doing. And that time is every day.”
what?
I'd answer some of the polls I've been sent, but when ever I've clicked on them they want me to donate to a campaign with no way of not proceeding without a donation.
So I really don't know who actually is answering any polls. I've never been asked to do a poll that wasn't tied into something like that which is crazy, I'm an unaffiliated voter.
If they're calling, then these people are only getting poll numbers from people who are willing to answer random phone calls that never indicate who they are unless you answer.
Can someone tell me where are these polls. I have never been asked to fill out a poll.
I am an official polester. What is your vote?
It’s usually only 1500-3000 people , the US has almost 400,000,000 people living within it, your chances of getting a call are almost as good as winning the lottery
Lol
@@Mooseguy15 How many national polls per year? Let's say 100. So annually your chance of being polled is 1 in 26,000. If you live to 68, then your chance of being polled in your lifetime is 1 in 533. A bit better odds than the lottery, but still more likely you will never get polled than you will. [edit] Actually, the population will rise annually, so the odds are slightly longer.
I think they use the same people that Family Feud uses.
Harris' starting point is being projected as 38. Watch her finish it off at 8
"The polls show" is the new, "trust the science". All of this is bullocks. Meanwhile, I'm 43, never been polled - never met someone that's been polled.
Polls are entirely volatile opinion based data, Science works with evidence based research. Those are not the same.
do you have a landline? Are you MAGAtarded or something?
@@seraph4581 The point is that like polls, "science" is often wrong. That's because science too is volatile. It does change as new information is gathered via peer review. But both are good indicators. It's just funny how so few people we know actually get polled. It seems it would be easiest to manipulate.
A lot of these polls only take a little over 1,000. People into account. There are over 330,000,000. people in the U.S. These polls are a waste of everyone's time.
@RustyCyler The sample size isn't even enough to come close to filling Madison Square Garden and the polls have been wrong too much which is my reason for not taking them seriously. There's more cultists at a Trump rally than these stupid sample sizes. We don't even know where the people are that are being polled. States tend to have political leanings.
@RustyCyler TH-cam won't let me respond without deleting my harmless reply so I guess whatever. Hopefully this doesn't get deleted too. 😡
@@MobileDecay Isn't that population size? Of voting age is likely a lot lower than that.
@@Humannondancer still very small. You can fit more people in Madison square garden.
"A lot of these polls only take a little over 1,000. People into account. There are over 330,000,000. people in the U.S. These polls are a waste of everyone's time." - The "unemployment rate" is a statistic created from a poll of 60,000 eligible households (which supposedly represents 110,000 potential workers), and look at how much faith both parties put into that number.
Her numbers don't mean spit. She wasn't the top of the ticket when the polls were taken. Be interesting to see them in a couple of weeks for both parties.
She's going to be vigorous. I want to see a new debate but I doubt he will take on an experienced prosecutor. She would nail him to the wall.
Is she excessively witty ?? I missed it if she's a good public speaker ❤😂
@@schplengie1
HC was one of the top corporate lawyers in the country and we know what happened there.
@@schplengie1 If you support Harris, that's one thing you really don't want to see.
@@Walker_Bulldog Why?
How is Kamala getting delegates without primary voters? Is that how we are defending Democracy, by circumventing it?
She was on my primary ballot.
@deborahmanning-galarza1839 There have been no primaries and no ballots for her. No need to be dishonest.
Did Al Gore go through the primary process after being VP? I was too young and didn't follow politics closely then.
30 people at her rallies 😂
That's why the camera is only pointing at her so that we won't know how many is at her rally.
MSNBC, thank you so much for providing closed captioning considerations for the Deaf and hard of hearing on your TH-cam videos. Is there any way you could line up the dialog better, though? There is a considerable delay in the speaker and the captioning, and then the captioning gets cut off at the end. It isn't just this video, but almost all of the MSNBC TH-cam videos I've tried to watch. It makes it extremely difficult to follow. Thank you!
If it helps, FOX does a pretty good job with that sort of thing. Maybe try there?
Fox is the worst don'tgo there, better just read articles from a variety of places
Polls mean nothing
I love Steve's analysis on everything except polls
I live in Ohio and Trump polled 9 maybe 10 pts behind biden but won by 5 or so.