Let’s hope majority of the teams have a competitive car. We need like races going different Winners close finishes, less tire management more pushes. I hope we have a insane season for 2022
Yes, a bit of a wild card in my books. I think Ferrari, RB, Merc, and Mclaren will be the main front runners because of the wind tunnel regs. But Alpine could definitely be in the mix
@@Firebolt1729 Yes, cause regulations change rarely. If you had different regulations each year, you'd see teams going from top to bottom and the other way around much more often. But right now, it is very much possible. Especially since the changes on the cars are so different. They're literally swaping car philosophies on this year's regulations. Most of downforce will come from the underground effect which hasn't been used in F1 for decades. The ones who will figure this the best will have that huge double diffuser gain at the start for sure
Want to say a big thanks to everyone at the race for the awesome content over the off season. Super excited for next season, the videos and podcasts have defiantly helped my f1 withdrawals.
I dont think they are like they used to be before, their video content has become repetitive and its more like a robot reciting recent news to you rather than telling anything new.
@@maximus2536 , totally agree. Robotic af. And sometimes completely useless clickbait with absolutely no new info throughout the video, even though the title def. suggests otherwise
given that McLaren did so well last year while not improving anything and just minimaly adapting to the new engine, I think they got a good chance to improve greatly. But: you never know xD
Or how about Alpine and Aston Martin who haven't used a new chassis / their own chassis since the new regs for 2021 (now postponed to 2022) were introduced...
Yeah, you just never know. Mercedes started working on this car a few years ago, at least one season before anybody else. But at the same time they lost Andy Carroll from the engine department and he was as influential as Toto or Lewis. But, again, you just never know! If I had a F1 wish it would be for McLaren to be top! As a team I'm more a Williams fan, not keen on the new investors McLaren have aligned with, but I love Lando! I've been keeping an eye on him since before he broke into F1. I've been delighted with the progress he's made and I think he's somewhat underrated. For me, he's one of the best on the grid. To give him a car to fight for a championship would be amazing to see.
You do realise all the 2021 cars were basically the same as 2020 cars no team made huge changes, everyone made minimal changes. Hence why the Redbull car from 2020 is called the RB16 and the 2021 version is just the RB16B same car.
Ferrari, McLaren and Alpine will be at the front I think challenging Merc and RB. Aston Martin and Haas will be surprising to watch, as Haas have literally put all their resources into this seasons car.
I think Alpine will disappoint compared to the expectations. McLaren will aim to close the gap but will ultimately still be just behind as the front midfield car, I believe. Ferrari is the only car that will be able to challenge the top 2 I think.
It will be super interesting to see what happens to Haas. Discounting the technical ability of their design team and facilities relative to the likes of Mercedes, Ferrari and Red Bull, it will be interesting to see what happens to a team when it has spent an entire year developing and understanding a car. That, and with even more time and development opportunities gifted to them by finishing last in the constructor's championship. I would wager though, if they make little progress say compared to Alfa and Williams, then I think it would be fair to say that something is fundamentally broken within that team. Especially considering it has literally given itself every opportunity possible (outside of hiring Adrian Newey and Lewis Hamilton) to make a decent car.
@@Wingbar considering they now have Otmar and BWT on their side, I think it is safe to say they will be comfortable midfielder, I think in AT level minimum.
@@Nikelaos_Khristianos 100% Haas resources spent on 2022 might still be less than the front runners spending on 2022. All teams were investing a lot in 2022. Mercedes, especially, hardly developed the 2021 car at all.
I'm most excited to see how Williams performs I think looking at the three last place teams will be exciting to watch this year. A/R has an exciting driver line up, Haas is going to be a real unknown, and Alex Albon wasn't really given a fair chance at red bull I'm more excited to see them then anything else.
@@ihavewaited90daystochangem51 and that's not even including the fact that Vettel lost 18 points in Hungary and many drivers (Stroll included) drove into him during the races.
@@Cloxxki The 2014 regulations fcked up Kimi. Before that for years excluding his first 2 years(2001, 2002) and 2008 he was one of the best drivers on the grid. He was as good as ever in 2012 and 2013.
I still believe McLaren will pull something off to regularly challenge for podiums. Everyone knows they have the personnel for it with Lando Norris continuing to evolve & considering how well Daniel Ricciardo did once he adapted in his second season at Renault. They have also been quietly confident on the MCL36 development & can finally build around the Mercedes engine which has reportedly made a "leap forward."
@@ignacioquindoslanderas531 Ferrari is subject to organizational and hierarchal problems that affect their performance on track, plus the engine development freeze is really gonna hurt them. The new technical regulation isn't gonna change that unfortunately. I'm with Robbo on this one that McLaren will probably be #3 behind Mercedes and RB this year unless something crazy happens.
I'm really hoping mclaren can move forward this year, lando has shown his skill and we all know how Danny ric is once settled. I'm hoping for a better finish this season for mclaren 💪🏻
I think/hope we will see Ferrari Mclaren and Williams once again at the top, where they belong. And I am pretty sure Ferrari would win thanks to the superior driver line-up. Had enough of RB and Mercedes. I mean in a whole decade just 2 different teams have won the driver and constructor championship, that never happened before in the history of the sport. So now it would be great to not see those 2 teams at the front for a while
This is the same mentality Man Utd fans have, keep looking at the past, the teams are at the top because they deserve to be. Ferrari and McLaren need to step it up if they wanna be up there 🤷🏽♂️
@@SH7SH7SH7 man u throw money at the sport and get no returns. Mclaren, Williams, alpine, Aston Martin haven't had the budgets to make a good enough car to fight the top 3 throwing almost double the money at the sport that mclaren and Renault can fork out.
@@Firebolt1729 Aston Martin’s future will be based at their new factory, the current facility is where Jordan used to be based therefore limiting their ability to improve as it’s just not up to scratch.
Williams in 2013 scored 5 points all season, finishing in 9th. In 2014, which featured quite a bit of regulation changes from the previous year, they scored 320 points, finishing a strong third. I disagree that the chances for Williams, Haas and Alfa Romeo to challenge at the top are 'miniscule'.
Most of the performance that year came from the Mercedes engine. They were simply miles ahead at the beginning of the hybrid era. The more the other engine manufacturers caught up, the further Williams fell behind...
@@benn87 you know, Williams wasn't the only car with Mercedes engines. But somehow they were miles better than McLaren and Force India in 2014. It wasn't just the engine then.
My money is on Ferrari and Aston Martin to be the biggest improvers. With Alpine being the dark horse. I think Red Bull might have damaged their chances focusing on last year. Mercedes will still be the team to beat.
What I think will be most interesting to see is how the "dirty air" improvements actually help Mercedes more than anyone else. The entire hybrid era, Mercedes had the proper strategy - win Saturday and you'll win Sunday - meaning, get out in front then we don't need to worry about the dirty air. We've seen for the last few seasons that the Merc hated dirty air, they didn't design the car to race from behind. I'm not sure anyone else struggled with racing behind others more than Mercedes did. With the reduction of the dirty air affect will this just make Mercedes even better?
@MrDufDaddy You have a point. Mercedes generally struggle more than others when following another car. In 2017/18 too their car had a very narrow operating window and was difficult to set up. It will be interesting to see how the W13 pans out.
If I had to bet, my money would be on Alpine. Every time when there was some big rule change, Renault was serious competitor in F1. Renault engine is capable in wining championships as proven 2005-2006 and 2010-2013. They also were serious compettitors and winning podiums with Lotus in 2010-2015. On top of that Renault team has lot experience with ground effect cars in F1. Also the new rules change and different wheels for 2022 cars are most simmilar to the ones in Endurance Series, and we know Alonso has lot of experience in that category aswell. So if everything goes according to "El Plan" there is serious chances in Alpine winning podiums.
As an Aussie, my heart wants McLaren to be up there… But as a motorsports fan, my head says Ferrari is most likely to put the package together and make it happen. But honestly, who knows?… These things are going to very different animals once they actually start racing and I think things will look very different even a couple rounds in than they do in the testing phases. I’m looking forward to a year with something different.
I disagree. No team has lost more resources due to the spending cap than Ferrari. Their 6th place finish last season meant they got extra wind tunnel time but quite a bit of that will have been spent on last years car. McLaren by comparison have lost less through the budget cap and seem to have saved a lot of their wind tunnel time to for the new regs. As far as I’m concerned McLaren are just as likely to be at the sharp end as Ferrari.
@@gibospartan6185 i honestly don’t get how people think Ferrari are most likely, the only time they had a car worthy of their resources was in the schumi domination era. For their resources they were crap from 93-99 and the 80’s wasn’t exactly good for them either. They’ve been at least a step behind the front running team every season since 2008, you could argue they had the car to challenge in 2017 & 2018 but didn’t have the development, which is shocking considering their resources.
the only problems i’d foresee for mclaren is the fact that they are still engine customers compared to merc, rb, ferrari and even alpine so i don’t think their PU integration will be that good. apart from that and the off chance that Ric once again underperforms compared to Norris due to how differently the 22 car handles i’d only go as far as to say that they will get regular podiums and maybe a win but they won’t challenge for the wcc yet
@@spainobmxer69 in the early 80s Ferrari was good (apart from 1980). It would have 100% won the 1982 and 1983 world championship without Villeneuve dying and Pironi having an heavy crash. In 1999 it was also very good, but again driver bad luck meant no title (Schumacher broke his legs). In 2010 the car was decent enough, only crappy strategy in Abu Dhabi costed Alonso the title. In 2012 they had good reliability (important compared to McLaren and Redbull) and decent race pace. In 2017 they had decent car again. In 2018 they were close to Mercedes but Marchionne’s death meant that the whole team had to be reorganized (the same happened when Montezemolo left and from the mid 80s to mid 90s when Enzo Ferrari died).
Completely disagree about Haas, if they're still getting the Dallara input then they've got a massive ground effect head start on the other teams due to Indy having used it for years.
In the 2008 season Honda and red bull were both towards the bottom of the table, along with Toyota and williams. In 2009 a car designed by Honda under the Brawn name won and Red bull were right on their heels on points. Williams and Toyota had decent cars too in 2009. Bottom line, its foolish to count out any team, particularly Haas and Williams due to the extra time they get in development compared to the top teams.
You’re right, but the only difference is, Haas and Williams also have a smaller budget compared to the rest of the field. But Honda and Red Bull had quite a large budget at the time.
@@MrSpeedy99 not quite, admittedly Honda had done quite a lot of development prior to pulling out, but Brawn were running on fumes for most of the 2009 season. Merc didn't realise that when they bought Brawn, and found themselves on the back foot for the next 2-3 years.
While I don't think this is the case. I feel like Lawrence Stroll is the exact type of person who would sacrifice the 2021 season on purpose just to get extra time in the windtunnel for the new regulations in 2022.
It's going to be interesting to see whether a car designed by Adrian (king of aero ) Newey will be faster than one designed by Mercedes . Maclaren under Zak Brown , have made (as you said ) significant improvements . I reckon they could right up there , even ahead of Ferrari , who always seem to say their car will be brilliant , and then underachieve .
Newey isn't the end all be all... He made many championship winning cars... But an equal or even greater amount of cars that didn't win championships. In fact for the last 8 years his car hasn't won a single constructor championship (which is what matters in the grand scheme). Also from 2000 to 2009 none of his cars won either. It takes a looooot more than just one aero engineer to make a car. A looooooot more. But yes, having a Newey helps for sure.
@@lor7780 Exactly the only reason Max didn't win the title with 2 races to go. But yes, Perez struggled a lot in the few first races... BUT, how about Bottas? You could argue the same for him. He lost more points than Perez. A P2 in Monaco after the pit crew failed to remove his wheel. Got T-boned by Ricciardo when he was P3 in Mexico, crashed out in Hungary from P5, Mercedes gave him an unnecessary engine penalty just to make him try to hold back Max in Russia... Among other poor weekends he had just like Perez like in Baku where he was nowhere, Monza in the race... Mercedes had the better car overall. Max was the better driver by far.
If Ferrari improve , Alfa Romeo and Haas will improve. Ferrari used latest engine last year but Alfa Romeo and Haas didn't. I hope no one is miles ahead.
You guys are great, hope to keep hearing more of your opinions into the conversation. Nice to have your channel to listen to and have things to consider about the sport.
I really love the story of Williams F1 and I think Bottas is one of the most talented drivers on the grid. I'm really hoping he can put williams back in contention for wins in 2022. I doubt it will happen, but I really really want to see Williams doing well. My prediction is ferrari will be the strongest team to fight RB and Merc though.
I'll be happy if Mercedes aren't dominating, it is still what I fear though after nailing 2014 and then 2017 regulation changes. Would love a Ferrari or McLaren championship.
Ferrari nailed 2017 better than Merc; Merc spent most of the year playing catch up. Seb and the Ferrari strategy team just dropped the ball, allowing Lewis to streak away with the title in the latter stages of the season. Ferrari could do the same again, but they had to invest quite a lot of time fixing the absolute boat they brought in 2020. Merc have been all in on these new regs for 2 years already. They fired the W13 up, fully complete, a week after Abu Dhabi
Nah I agree about red bull- historical precedent makes your prediction justified. Imo they could be 5th fastest behind Mclaren and Alpine at the start of the season.
I agree, the engine hand over is a mystery for now, their 2014 adjustment was a disaster, and they poured a ton of energy for Max to win last year. All pointing to a possible drop.
@@sekhangati the amount of development in there 2021 car & the amount that Honda had to get done in the 22 spec engine before handing over to RB themselves I’m hoping not but just got that feeling
@@sekhangati redbull spend much more time on developing their 2021 car to win the championship while other teams where already mainly focused on 2022 this could maybe cost them performance
We can't compare Alpine 2021 with their 2022 car, remember they used the 2019 chassis, we don't know for sure how good their new chassis will be, the data we have on them makes no sense to use it as a precedent for 2022
@@Cloxxki had the Alpha Tauri car be an "easy car" to drive. Then rookie Tsunoda shouldn't have had such far results. I guess the car really suited Gasly well. He is a great driver nevertheless
Imagine a 4 way battle at the front. With the top 4 from last year. And the midfield actually being 5th to8th. It will make the top 10. Very interesting.
One thing is for certain: at least one team will get it totally wrong and will struggle through the entire year. So that the gap will be more abyssal than ever. The cards might be reshuffled but I’m not so optimistic about the whole close racing hopes. Hopefully we will get that the following years
The new regulations will make most of the field competitive. The exceptions are Haas and Alfa who will be at the bottom again. All the other teams will actually have a chance at the podium, believe it or not. Qualifying will be less important on the bigger tracks. There will be a lot more passing.
We don't even know if RBR and Mercedes will be best placed to challenge for a title this coming season. Although from the noises, I am hearing from Mercedes, they're in for a 2019 Ferrari season, strong engine, mediocre chassis. Alsp apparently, something's about the 22 cars have been leaving the RBR drivers scratching their heads too so yeh, also yeh, you could say this is all just bluff by the teams and I kinda agree but remember when Ferrari said they were gonna struggle in 2020 and no one believed them until Q2 of the season opener.
@@upperjohn117aka there was a budget cap also in 2021 of 145mln. In 2022 will be of 140mln. So the real problem I'd that they aren't only rich, they are also really good in using all they're shitty resources. Hope they crash at every race next year it would be awesome.
Since there is major cost caps its all designed so they can't be innovative, they might as well get the teams to join to gether to build a spec car and the let it all come down to the drivers abiliy.
i think the 2 teams that will show the most progress will be Ferrari and alpha Tauri, no offense to Yuki but he held back the team last year but towards the end of the season seemed to get better, this year if he's able to be consistent alongside gasly they'll be a super powerful team!
Ferrari vs McLaren are going to fight for the constructors title with Ferrari winning it. Leclerc will win the drivers title with Norris second and Sainz third. Red bull and Mercedes are going to be in the midfield at the beginning of the season, however they are going to be challenging for race wins at the end of the year. Alpine is going to score a couple of podiums. Williams and Aston Martin will be a consistent points threat with an odd podium a possibility. Haas and Alpha Tauri will fight for the last points positions, while Alfa Romeo will be at the very back of the grid with Zhou scoring no points in 2022
This hits nearly every situation I would love to see this year. Leclerc winning in a tough championship battle with Norris and Sainz would be a dream, as I strongly support all three with Charles my favorite. RB and Merc dropping back to the midfield would be fitting karma for an epic but ugly 2021 season. I would like to see Williams as a team, Schumacher, and Bottas be strongly in the midfield. And let Mazepin and Zhou languishing in the back.
A massive factor is the Engine. Considering this seasons engine is frozen until 2026 so if anyone of the engine suppliers doesn’t come up with a good package then I can’t see much hope for them and the teams they supply
Everyone seems to be eyeing up Ferrari as the team who will make the most serious challenge, but I just wonder how many times they've been in this situation, only for it to be a false dawn of sorts? I'm not sure we'll see anything conclusive until the first few races.
Tooooooo many times (since 1980) xD I think we are all too familiar with "Ferrari Master Plans" since the days of the FIA standing for "Ferrari International Assistance". I am 100% happy to be proven so wrong though.
Let's be honest, 2022 will be another Mercedes year. RB and Ferrari might duke it out for second and McLaren and Alpine for the best of the rest. Aston Martin don't have the tools yet to play with the big boys unless some of them are seriously underperforming (like Renault in 2019). Everyone else are minnows miles behind the current top 4/5.
I predicted that one day.. f1 will have advance helmet that showing a display holographic image to see other car around without having physical side mirror.. just like a pilot jet fighter helmet
Dont see it happening but I wish AM could get a rocket of a car so that Seb can slap the shit outta Ferrari. I hated the way they treated such a loved driver in his last year with them
Everyone would be closer near the beginning of the season. Wouldn't be shocked to see la scuderia pull off a "surprise" win It'll open up as the season goes on, but it'll be much tighter at first. I still think the top-three from last year will be the same.
@@Daniboi971 it's easy to predict really. It's almost happened every time after a massive regulations change. Also red bull have used almost all of their tokens and resources on last session car. It's almost guarantee they will start on some kind of back foot.
@@chriscollins550 Tokens do not apply, anyway Merc spent theirs too on a new nose they didn't end up using. I agree RB loaded the 2021 car, but you're having a laugh if you think the factory weren't also dealing with the 2022 car. Adrian Newey, as well. I think they'll be second or third
Its McLaren and Ferrari - the most likely to challenge at the top, but Aston Martin and Alpine has the potential to be surprise team at the top. lets see.
3:16 if alphatauri had 2 pierre gaslys instead of a dissapointing yuki tsunoda on their team in 2021, then they would have challenged Mclaren's danial riccardo. would love to see alex albon replace yuki in Alphatauri.
Would love to see a three way battle for the championship between Mercedes, Red Bull, and Ferrari. Ultimately I think It will be 1) Mercedes 2) Red Bull 3) Ferrari in the constructors and 1) Max 2) Hamilton 3) Russel 4) Sainz in the drivers championship. But whose to say really.
@Joey Gee Not true , many experts were expecting high rake cars to suffer the most due those rule changes, people were saying same thing like these guys above you, RB will be midfield etc, yet RB produced great car because Honda made great engine . But that story that FIA changed rules to hamper Mercedes is biased Merc fans story
Redbull are still the favorites They didn't threw everything to win the championship for max Infact they went backwards in 2021 while merc were faster than them after mid season And with newey in the house.. RB will have a huge advantage with aero This time they have equally good engine as mercs So with the new regs RB are the team to set the pace. They are just hustling now.
@@DooM_-_gAmeR_-_ RedBull are making their own engine from scratch right as the new era is being introduced. If they are the team to beat in 2022, it'll be through blind luck more than anything else.
I think Alpine-Renault or Ferrari, historically those teams seldom disappoint and can do everything. Although, going in and out of F-1, may have affected Alpine’s all important aerodynamics capabilities. Also, McLaren can’t be discarded. But the thing is they may received the packaging information from Mercedes too late. Will cooling be good? Will aero match engine strength? Mercedes-AMG, Red Bull as factory Honda team until recently, Ferrari and Alpine are in big advantage there. So, I expect McLaren to be stronger in 2023. Ferrari, Alpine and McLaren all have great drivers, with slight edge for Ferrari even when Ocon and Ricciardo are race winners and Sainz isn’t yet.
I think Alpine will be a team too look out for, they had such a consistent car last season that placed Esteban P1 (Albeit because of the turn 1 crash) and Alonso on podium, they had a very good car for being a mid field team. I know they placed 5th but since Alonso is a veteran of F1 and Ocon being a decent driver I think they could really show up this year (Even though I'm cheering for McLaren)
Personally I see all the discussion kind of pointless yes it’s fun to speculate but at the end of the day anything could happen for all we know Hass could innovate so incredibly with their extra money saved from last season but they win the entire championship
This year I believe Ferrari will be fighting at the front with Mercedes, more so then Red Bull. Not sure how prepared Red Bull is. Helmut Marko had been voicing his opinion about Ferrari’s chances, which sounds like a distraction to me, or he’s worried about Red Bull continuing to be challenging Mercedes at the front this year. We shall see in a month or so.
Realistic list goes as follows: 1. Ferrari or Mercedes 2. Mercedes 3. Redbull 4. Mclaren 5. Alpine 6. Williams 7. Aston Martin 8. Alpha Tauri 9. Haas 10. Alfa Romeo I say this because none of the teams are going to beat a customer team (Mclaren, aston martin, alpha tauri, haas, alfa romeo) which makes the top teams easily to place except for alpine since they dont seem to be making the right moves when it comes to management. Same with AM.
@@argaming-wm3ce True, but the overhaul may result in Ferrari and Redbull beating them. Mercedes started upgrading the cars from Silverstone, all the way till Brazil. That's a lot of time. Redbulls last upgrade was in Spa. Ferrari had a chassis issue; and have already covered significant ground in the engine department. I genuinely don't see them on top next year.
McLaren with James Key is definitely moving in the right direction. Ferrari only if its engine disadvantages fully recovered and they can have development pace of RB & Merc. Where since 2007 they often start strong and cannot develop well in-season. While Red Bull is seen might taking similar back foot like 2014 due to late title race last season. Renault are in dismal of its management and no key star engineering personnel and Alpha Tauri are a budget midfield team. These 2 definitely not gonna leap. While Aston Martin still too early to get its key star engineering recruitment actually involve in project, I dun rule them out to improve from 2021, but another team to rule out. Therefore, 3: McLaren 4: Ferrari 5: ™️Racing Point 6: Alpha Tauri 7: Alpine
Williams went from scoring 5 points in 2013 (scoring points in 2 GPs) to scoring 320 points in 2014 (while scoring points in every race and getting 9 podiums). Yes, a lot of it was to do with Merc engines, but as Williams showed you can't win only with a good engine. Williams fell back in the order because they couldn't upgrade/ develop their chassis as fast as others could. On AT, they had a super car over 1 lap but not for racing. What's the point of this video? On one hand, you say that the regulation change will change the running order, but on the other hand, you already have given Merc and RB the 2022 title. Merc and RB will fall back. When was the last time RB came out with a super car right from the start (discounting 2021 because that car was carried over from 2020 with minor changes and we all know how good RB is developing their cars over the season)? So much effort went into the Merc-RB title fight that it's easy to see they will be on a backfoot at the start or maybe even for the duration of the season. You say that Ferrari has the best chance to "join" the battle in the front, while they will be the cause why there will be the battle. Merc and RB can join that battle.
WTF are you talking about?? 2014 Williams wasn't with Merc engines. and Merc failed only the 2010 regulations. otherwise they never failed. absolute non sense comment dude. 🙄🤦♂. even the rest of the comment is in the WTF league.
The thing is that it's completely new regs so mercedes and red bull might put all their money on the cars but not produce a good 1 which then put all the others team: Mclaren, Ferrari, Alpine(which I believe are the best challengers), on the front foot. They would be on the front foot if that happened because the drivers are absolutely brilliant too.
I would assume that HAAS is going to the be a contender based on their claims to under performing for the past 2 years being that they were developing their 2022 car.
There are just so many aspects to take in that makes me even more excited for the 22´ season. The fact that everyone starts off with a clean state should mean that anyone could challenge for the title (some team(s) will get it terribly wrong). The first budget cap (for real as the previous season just had cars carry over) which people underestimate, teams like Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari usually spend double, triple or even more than what the cap is, I do think at least one of these teams will struggle quite a lot because of it. McLaren new engineers can finally design their own car instead of trying to improve a car from Ron Dennis´s time. Aston Martins new project, will be interesting to see if they are on the right path, same with Alpine and Williams. I have a strange feeling that we will be seeing a new team at the top and during this new era.
@@lor7780 Can you shoot me a video on that? Cause Schumacher got to do a lot of extra testing for Ferrari so thought the FIA kept a tight clamp on that to keep teams from having an unfair advantage.
I think Mercedes gets back to dominating. Their engine is still superior, and had it not been for the rule changes in 2021 to bring them down to RB level, they would have dominated that season as well.
I feel like Ferrari, Aston & Alpine could be poised to make huge leaps forward to become true title contenders in 2022. I have a gut feeling that McLaren might slip back, while Williams will be firmly in the midpack with AlphaTauri. Mercedes & RB will definitely be contenders from the get go if you ask me, while Alfa & Haas are probably going to be stuck at the back of the grid...
Alpine will drop off more. From what ive heard they have problems with addapting the new PU to the biofuel, and changes to the structure are not good, as rhey dropped some good staff
I think a lot of teams are going to be a lot faster than they have been in the past few years. The grid is going to be tight for sure. With that said though, It takes more than raw speed to challenge for wins and the championship. You need to have the budget to develop at the speed of the top teams. Further more, I think that if there is a team that is going to have a large advantage over the rest of the field, it is going to be red Bull. The one that wins this year is going to me the one with the most accurate aero. A powerful engine is not going to be enough. And who is better at that than mister Newie.
Haas is absolutely the dark horse. They developed a car their very first year that was at the front of the mid field. Do not doubt that is possible again
I think Alpine will deliver in 2022, Renault has been working on the engine since 2020, they've had so much time i doubt they'll mess up. Also the Enstone team has been nailing the big regulation changes almost everytime (late 90's, mid 00's and early to mid 10's) so it's only right to expect they'll do it again. Also they've had like 20 to 30% more wind tunnel time than Mercedes and RedBull, which is a lot... They were also the least spending team in 2021, spending around $900k on repairs while the 2nd least spending McLaren spent $2.7M... Thats a lot of cash.
Let’s hope majority of the teams have a competitive car. We need like races going different Winners close finishes, less tire management more pushes. I hope we have a insane season for 2022
This season must live up to 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2012, 2016 and 2021
@@k4bster087 don’t forget some of the 90s too
Yup
Lmao don't set yourself up for disappointment F1 does't work that way 😂 just hope we don't have 2014 again
@@WjC00LEY or the 80s
Im just hoping to see 5-6 teams challenging for race wins. Im honestly expecting fireworks this season, even more exciting than 21.
If Alpine come good and Alonso can actually challenge for the title.. I may just cry with happiness
🙏🏽
Yes, a bit of a wild card in my books. I think Ferrari, RB, Merc, and Mclaren will be the main front runners because of the wind tunnel regs. But Alpine could definitely be in the mix
I want the exact same thing but for Ocon
Trust in El plan. It will occur
Firebolt's gonna disagree 💯
I personally think there will be a double diffuser type situation this year. Could be a complete wildcard running away with the first few races
AMR F1 gonna be last.
Things like that happen very rarely in this sport. Not the norm.
@@purwantiallan5089 you wish
There is a good possibility of that happening.
@@Firebolt1729 Yes, cause regulations change rarely. If you had different regulations each year, you'd see teams going from top to bottom and the other way around much more often. But right now, it is very much possible. Especially since the changes on the cars are so different. They're literally swaping car philosophies on this year's regulations. Most of downforce will come from the underground effect which hasn't been used in F1 for decades. The ones who will figure this the best will have that huge double diffuser gain at the start for sure
Want to say a big thanks to everyone at the race for the awesome content over the off season. Super excited for next season, the videos and podcasts have defiantly helped my f1 withdrawals.
I dont think they are like they used to be before, their video content has become repetitive and its more like a robot reciting recent news to you rather than telling anything new.
deFIAntly😂
@@maximus2536 , totally agree. Robotic af. And sometimes completely useless clickbait with absolutely no new info throughout the video, even though the title def. suggests otherwise
@@maximus2536 BS
@@wietzevanderwijk3169 BS
given that McLaren did so well last year while not improving anything and just minimaly adapting to the new engine, I think they got a good chance to improve greatly. But: you never know xD
Or how about Alpine and Aston Martin who haven't used a new chassis / their own chassis since the new regs for 2021 (now postponed to 2022) were introduced...
Yeah, you just never know. Mercedes started working on this car a few years ago, at least one season before anybody else. But at the same time they lost Andy Carroll from the engine department and he was as influential as Toto or Lewis. But, again, you just never know!
If I had a F1 wish it would be for McLaren to be top! As a team I'm more a Williams fan, not keen on the new investors McLaren have aligned with, but I love Lando! I've been keeping an eye on him since before he broke into F1. I've been delighted with the progress he's made and I think he's somewhat underrated. For me, he's one of the best on the grid. To give him a car to fight for a championship would be amazing to see.
You do realise all the 2021 cars were basically the same as 2020 cars no team made huge changes, everyone made minimal changes. Hence why the Redbull car from 2020 is called the RB16 and the 2021 version is just the RB16B same car.
El Plan
@@yeingsterable I think they mean the 2022 regs cos it used to be 2021 regs but that changed
Ferrari, McLaren and Alpine will be at the front I think challenging Merc and RB. Aston Martin and Haas will be surprising to watch, as Haas have literally put all their resources into this seasons car.
I think Alpine will disappoint compared to the expectations. McLaren will aim to close the gap but will ultimately still be just behind as the front midfield car, I believe. Ferrari is the only car that will be able to challenge the top 2 I think.
It will be super interesting to see what happens to Haas. Discounting the technical ability of their design team and facilities relative to the likes of Mercedes, Ferrari and Red Bull, it will be interesting to see what happens to a team when it has spent an entire year developing and understanding a car. That, and with even more time and development opportunities gifted to them by finishing last in the constructor's championship. I would wager though, if they make little progress say compared to Alfa and Williams, then I think it would be fair to say that something is fundamentally broken within that team. Especially considering it has literally given itself every opportunity possible (outside of hiring Adrian Newey and Lewis Hamilton) to make a decent car.
@@Wingbar hi Wingbar.
@@Wingbar considering they now have Otmar and BWT on their side, I think it is safe to say they will be comfortable midfielder, I think in AT level minimum.
@@Nikelaos_Khristianos 100% Haas resources spent on 2022 might still be less than the front runners spending on 2022. All teams were investing a lot in 2022. Mercedes, especially, hardly developed the 2021 car at all.
I'm most excited to see how Williams performs I think looking at the three last place teams will be exciting to watch this year. A/R has an exciting driver line up, Haas is going to be a real unknown, and Alex Albon wasn't really given a fair chance at red bull I'm more excited to see them then anything else.
I would like to know why you think Alex wasn't given a fair chance at red bull
@@notshubhransh he was on track to podium multiple times and each time it was taken from him through no fault of his own.
@@alexdotzko He had a season and a half to prove himself though. I think that is plenty of time
@@justinburley8659 I agree, you could argue Gasly wasn’t given a fair chance at RB, but Albon was given more than enough time in a Red Bull
@@spainobmxer69 fair enough. I still think he's got a lot left to give to the sport and I'm excited to see how he does with less pressure on him.
I just want to see Seb back in the mix.
He's too bad for that.
Won't happen with that team. Cant copy anymore. Dead mid field team
@@Cloxxki
What are you on about? Vettel did whoop lances ass thoroughly.
@@ihavewaited90daystochangem51 and that's not even including the fact that Vettel lost 18 points in Hungary and many drivers (Stroll included) drove into him during the races.
@@Cloxxki The 2014 regulations fcked up Kimi. Before that for years excluding his first 2 years(2001, 2002) and 2008 he was one of the best drivers on the grid. He was as good as ever in 2012 and 2013.
I still believe McLaren will pull something off to regularly challenge for podiums. Everyone knows they have the personnel for it with Lando Norris continuing to evolve & considering how well Daniel Ricciardo did once he adapted in his second season at Renault.
They have also been quietly confident on the MCL36 development & can finally build around the Mercedes engine which has reportedly made a "leap forward."
I think Ferrari has both better resources and better drivers to do that…
@@ignacioquindoslanderas531 Ferrari is subject to organizational and hierarchal problems that affect their performance on track, plus the engine development freeze is really gonna hurt them. The new technical regulation isn't gonna change that unfortunately. I'm with Robbo on this one that McLaren will probably be #3 behind Mercedes and RB this year unless something crazy happens.
I'm really hoping mclaren can move forward this year, lando has shown his skill and we all know how Danny ric is once settled. I'm hoping for a better finish this season for mclaren 💪🏻
DR has never come close to living up to the hype, this is his chance, all things being as equal as they'll ever be again in F1 and within his team.
@@cristobalcatalan5237 lol
I think/hope we will see Ferrari Mclaren and Williams once again at the top, where they belong. And I am pretty sure Ferrari would win thanks to the superior driver line-up. Had enough of RB and Mercedes. I mean in a whole decade just 2 different teams have won the driver and constructor championship, that never happened before in the history of the sport. So now it would be great to not see those 2 teams at the front for a while
Tbf as a mclaren fan if mclaren aren't at the top I want ferrari. Would love Charles to win the WDC
This is the same mentality Man Utd fans have, keep looking at the past, the teams are at the top because they deserve to be. Ferrari and McLaren need to step it up if they wanna be up there 🤷🏽♂️
Ferrari are a joke with the money they get. If they aren't challenging, they are failing. They have no excuse.
@@SH7SH7SH7 man u throw money at the sport and get no returns. Mclaren, Williams, alpine, Aston Martin haven't had the budgets to make a good enough car to fight the top 3 throwing almost double the money at the sport that mclaren and Renault can fork out.
I’m a mainly a Merc fan but yeah I’d love to see them become top!!
I think McLaren and Aston won't be as good as we think until their windtunnels are complete next year.
Ye I agree, just look how crap Aston Martin’s current factory is
@@proffesionalretard ?
@@Firebolt1729 Aston Martin’s future will be based at their new factory, the current facility is where Jordan used to be based therefore limiting their ability to improve as it’s just not up to scratch.
Williams in 2013 scored 5 points all season, finishing in 9th. In 2014, which featured quite a bit of regulation changes from the previous year, they scored 320 points, finishing a strong third. I disagree that the chances for Williams, Haas and Alfa Romeo to challenge at the top are 'miniscule'.
Well, that has mainly to do with the op Mercedes engine and less with their own improvements
Most of the performance that year came from the Mercedes engine. They were simply miles ahead at the beginning of the hybrid era. The more the other engine manufacturers caught up, the further Williams fell behind...
@@benn87 you know, Williams wasn't the only car with Mercedes engines. But somehow they were miles better than McLaren and Force India in 2014. It wasn't just the engine then.
My money is on Ferrari and Aston Martin to be the biggest improvers. With Alpine being the dark horse. I think Red Bull might have damaged their chances focusing on last year. Mercedes will still be the team to beat.
What I think will be most interesting to see is how the "dirty air" improvements actually help Mercedes more than anyone else. The entire hybrid era, Mercedes had the proper strategy - win Saturday and you'll win Sunday - meaning, get out in front then we don't need to worry about the dirty air. We've seen for the last few seasons that the Merc hated dirty air, they didn't design the car to race from behind. I'm not sure anyone else struggled with racing behind others more than Mercedes did. With the reduction of the dirty air affect will this just make Mercedes even better?
Aston have no chance they are mercs sister team
@MrDufDaddy You have a point. Mercedes generally struggle more than others when following another car. In 2017/18 too their car had a very narrow operating window and was difficult to set up. It will be interesting to see how the W13 pans out.
@@krishnakanth2697 hi krishna. I am gonna put my money for Aston Martin.
@@MrDufDaddy Brazil 2021 and Germany 2018 laugh in dirty air
I hope Alpine Renault and Ferrari will be added to the competition this season.
If I had to bet, my money would be on Alpine.
Every time when there was some big rule change, Renault was serious competitor in F1. Renault engine is capable in wining championships as proven 2005-2006 and 2010-2013. They also were serious compettitors and winning podiums with Lotus in 2010-2015. On top of that Renault team has lot experience with ground effect cars in F1. Also the new rules change and different wheels for 2022 cars are most simmilar to the ones in Endurance Series, and we know Alonso has lot of experience in that category aswell. So if everything goes according to "El Plan" there is serious chances in Alpine winning podiums.
Past performance is no guarantee of future success
@@paulcalvert8105
Of course not.
But it’s a proof that team is more than capable in winning championships.
As an Aussie, my heart wants McLaren to be up there… But as a motorsports fan, my head says Ferrari is most likely to put the package together and make it happen.
But honestly, who knows?… These things are going to very different animals once they actually start racing and I think things will look very different even a couple rounds in than they do in the testing phases. I’m looking forward to a year with something different.
I disagree. No team has lost more resources due to the spending cap than Ferrari. Their 6th place finish last season meant they got extra wind tunnel time but quite a bit of that will have been spent on last years car.
McLaren by comparison have lost less through the budget cap and seem to have saved a lot of their wind tunnel time to for the new regs.
As far as I’m concerned McLaren are just as likely to be at the sharp end as Ferrari.
@@gibospartan6185 i honestly don’t get how people think Ferrari are most likely, the only time they had a car worthy of their resources was in the schumi domination era. For their resources they were crap from 93-99 and the 80’s wasn’t exactly good for them either. They’ve been at least a step behind the front running team every season since 2008, you could argue they had the car to challenge in 2017 & 2018 but didn’t have the development, which is shocking considering their resources.
the only problems i’d foresee for mclaren is the fact that they are still engine customers compared to merc, rb, ferrari and even alpine so i don’t think their PU integration will be that good. apart from that and the off chance that Ric once again underperforms compared to Norris due to how differently the 22 car handles i’d only go as far as to say that they will get regular podiums and maybe a win but they won’t challenge for the wcc yet
@@spainobmxer69 in the early 80s Ferrari was good (apart from 1980). It would have 100% won the 1982 and 1983 world championship without Villeneuve dying and Pironi having an heavy crash.
In 1999 it was also very good, but again driver bad luck meant no title (Schumacher broke his legs).
In 2010 the car was decent enough, only crappy strategy in Abu Dhabi costed Alonso the title. In 2012 they had good reliability (important compared to McLaren and Redbull) and decent race pace. In 2017 they had decent car again. In 2018 they were close to Mercedes but Marchionne’s death meant that the whole team had to be reorganized (the same happened when Montezemolo left and from the mid 80s to mid 90s when Enzo Ferrari died).
I would love to see Alpine return to their glory days of Renault. Be interesting to see Haas under these new regs.
I've heared that Flavio will come back in a consultant-role. Might be the reason why Prost has been dropped.
Hi Andy Hughes.
@@Roguescienceguy why Prost dropped though? Are they lacked money?
@@Roguescienceguy he (flavio) is banned from f1 entirely.
Correction - seen his ban was lifted
@@ajorngjdonaydbr how did that happen?
Ferrari needs to be at the front, they have no excuses this year.
Newey designed ground effect cars before, the Valkyrie beeing one, he also wrote his university thesis on ground efect
Didn't know that!!
It's gonna be interesting to see what RB and Aston Martin can do with the knowledge from the Valkyrie project for sure.
@@cristobalcatalan5237 pretty sure aston martin road car and F1 team have different personnel, just like Mercedes
I'm hoping McLaren make a big jump this year! Excited for the season to start!
Me too🤞
Completely disagree about Haas, if they're still getting the Dallara input then they've got a massive ground effect head start on the other teams due to Indy having used it for years.
HAAS maybe last. Aston Martin second last.
If Ferrari has the best engine next season, HAAS will possibly be even 3rd fastest. Just like Williams in 2014 with the Mercedes engine.
Well, told you. When all jokers "F1 pundits" were waiting for Alfa P9 and Haas P10.
In the 2008 season Honda and red bull were both towards the bottom of the table, along with Toyota and williams.
In 2009 a car designed by Honda under the Brawn name won and Red bull were right on their heels on points. Williams and Toyota had decent cars too in 2009.
Bottom line, its foolish to count out any team, particularly Haas and Williams due to the extra time they get in development compared to the top teams.
I will bet my money on Haas coming in last again.
Haas will not do well. When was the last time that a team that came last leap up the order due to a rule change?
Never.
You’re right, but the only difference is, Haas and Williams also have a smaller budget compared to the rest of the field. But Honda and Red Bull had quite a large budget at the time.
@@MrSpeedy99 not quite, admittedly Honda had done quite a lot of development prior to pulling out, but Brawn were running on fumes for most of the 2009 season. Merc didn't realise that when they bought Brawn, and found themselves on the back foot for the next 2-3 years.
I hope Alpine have a good car so Alonso can fight at front.
El plan
While I don't think this is the case. I feel like Lawrence Stroll is the exact type of person who would sacrifice the 2021 season on purpose just to get extra time in the windtunnel for the new regulations in 2022.
Imagine Mercedes vs Ferrari vs Aston Martin 🤩
It will be mercedes ferrari redbull and then Aston Martin then Williams ,well that's my opinion ,if the teams prove me wrong then so be it.
It's going to be interesting to see whether a car designed by Adrian (king of aero ) Newey will be faster than one designed by Mercedes . Maclaren under Zak Brown , have made (as you said ) significant improvements . I reckon they could right up there , even ahead of Ferrari , who always seem to say their car will be brilliant , and then underachieve .
Newey isn't the end all be all... He made many championship winning cars... But an equal or even greater amount of cars that didn't win championships. In fact for the last 8 years his car hasn't won a single constructor championship (which is what matters in the grand scheme). Also from 2000 to 2009 none of his cars won either. It takes a looooot more than just one aero engineer to make a car. A looooooot more. But yes, having a Newey helps for sure.
The Ferrari part is unfortunately true 😢
They always under achieve
@@lor7780 Exactly the only reason Max didn't win the title with 2 races to go. But yes, Perez struggled a lot in the few first races...
BUT, how about Bottas? You could argue the same for him. He lost more points than Perez. A P2 in Monaco after the pit crew failed to remove his wheel. Got T-boned by Ricciardo when he was P3 in Mexico, crashed out in Hungary from P5, Mercedes gave him an unnecessary engine penalty just to make him try to hold back Max in Russia... Among other poor weekends he had just like Perez like in Baku where he was nowhere, Monza in the race...
Mercedes had the better car overall. Max was the better driver by far.
If Ferrari improve , Alfa Romeo and Haas will improve. Ferrari used latest engine last year but Alfa Romeo and Haas didn't. I hope no one is miles ahead.
I'm looking forward how Alpine and alpha Tauri do this year, these two are gradually moving up and I hope we get more variety in the podiums.
You guys are great, hope to keep hearing more of your opinions into the conversation. Nice to have your channel to listen to and have things to consider about the sport.
I really love the story of Williams F1 and I think Bottas is one of the most talented drivers on the grid. I'm really hoping he can put williams back in contention for wins in 2022. I doubt it will happen, but I really really want to see Williams doing well. My prediction is ferrari will be the strongest team to fight RB and Merc though.
I'll be happy if Mercedes aren't dominating, it is still what I fear though after nailing 2014 and then 2017 regulation changes.
Would love a Ferrari or McLaren championship.
Ferrari nailed 2017 better than Merc; Merc spent most of the year playing catch up. Seb and the Ferrari strategy team just dropped the ball, allowing Lewis to streak away with the title in the latter stages of the season. Ferrari could do the same again, but they had to invest quite a lot of time fixing the absolute boat they brought in 2020. Merc have been all in on these new regs for 2 years already. They fired the W13 up, fully complete, a week after Abu Dhabi
Der Plan > el plan
Ferrari or McLaren
I think RedBull are going into this season on the back foot but that’s my opinion
What makes you think so?
Nah I agree about red bull- historical precedent makes your prediction justified. Imo they could be 5th fastest behind Mclaren and Alpine at the start of the season.
I agree, the engine hand over is a mystery for now, their 2014 adjustment was a disaster, and they poured a ton of energy for Max to win last year. All pointing to a possible drop.
@@sekhangati the amount of development in there 2021 car & the amount that Honda had to get done in the 22 spec engine before handing over to RB themselves
I’m hoping not but just got that feeling
@@sekhangati redbull spend much more time on developing their 2021 car to win the championship while other teams where already mainly focused on 2022 this could maybe cost them performance
We can't compare Alpine 2021 with their 2022 car, remember they used the 2019 chassis, we don't know for sure how good their new chassis will be, the data we have on them makes no sense to use it as a precedent for 2022
Mid episode interruptions are becoming less distracting. Nice.
Still, would be better at the beginning or end tho
Alpha Tauri's improvement had a lot to do with how well Gasly performed. He was a great and quick driver for such a car!
@@Cloxxki had the Alpha Tauri car be an "easy car" to drive. Then rookie Tsunoda shouldn't have had such far results. I guess the car really suited Gasly well. He is a great driver nevertheless
Absolute shade at Danny Ric at 1:08!
This aged well 😅Alfa an Haas are actually doing great
Imagine a 4 way battle at the front. With the top 4 from last year. And the midfield actually being 5th to8th. It will make the top 10. Very interesting.
Great video Steve. It's going to be very interesting to see which team gets the most out of these new rules
One thing is for certain: at least one team will get it totally wrong and will struggle through the entire year. So that the gap will be more abyssal than ever. The cards might be reshuffled but I’m not so optimistic about the whole close racing hopes. Hopefully we will get that the following years
The new regulations will make most of the field competitive. The exceptions are Haas and Alfa who will be at the bottom again. All the other teams will actually have a chance at the podium, believe it or not. Qualifying will be less important on the bigger tracks. There will be a lot more passing.
We don't even know if RBR and Mercedes will be best placed to challenge for a title this coming season.
Although from the noises, I am hearing from Mercedes, they're in for a 2019 Ferrari season, strong engine, mediocre chassis. Alsp apparently, something's about the 22 cars have been leaving the RBR drivers scratching their heads too so yeh, also yeh, you could say this is all just bluff by the teams and I kinda agree but remember when Ferrari said they were gonna struggle in 2020 and no one believed them until Q2 of the season opener.
Where have you heard this?
I find funny (and accurate) the fact that the Hass livery was not displayed in the preview image lol
I’m sure nothing is going to change. Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari will dominate
I think (very sadly) that Red Bull and Ferrari will not be strong enough to really challenge Merceshit
@@vascop3642 tbf this car is cost capped so merc cant throw money at the problem anymore
@@upperjohn117aka there was a budget cap also in 2021 of 145mln. In 2022 will be of 140mln. So the real problem I'd that they aren't only rich, they are also really good in using all they're shitty resources. Hope they crash at every race next year it would be awesome.
Since there is major cost caps its all designed so they can't be innovative, they might as well get the teams to join to gether to build a spec car and the let it all come down to the drivers abiliy.
i think the 2 teams that will show the most progress will be Ferrari and alpha Tauri, no offense to Yuki but he held back the team last year but towards the end of the season seemed to get better, this year if he's able to be consistent alongside gasly they'll be a super powerful team!
Ferrari vs McLaren are going to fight for the constructors title with Ferrari winning it. Leclerc will win the drivers title with Norris second and Sainz third. Red bull and Mercedes are going to be in the midfield at the beginning of the season, however they are going to be challenging for race wins at the end of the year. Alpine is going to score a couple of podiums. Williams and Aston Martin will be a consistent points threat with an odd podium a possibility. Haas and Alpha Tauri will fight for the last points positions, while Alfa Romeo will be at the very back of the grid with Zhou scoring no points in 2022
if you get every single prediction right i will paypal you 10k you have my word
@@Tynah4729 There are witnesses now, myself included. See you in December.
@@vouchihasasuke perfect
@@Tynah4729 Imagine predicting everything right but then Zhou scores 1 point in Abu Dhabi
This hits nearly every situation I would love to see this year. Leclerc winning in a tough championship battle with Norris and Sainz would be a dream, as I strongly support all three with Charles my favorite. RB and Merc dropping back to the midfield would be fitting karma for an epic but ugly 2021 season. I would like to see Williams as a team, Schumacher, and Bottas be strongly in the midfield. And let Mazepin and Zhou languishing in the back.
A massive factor is the Engine. Considering this seasons engine is frozen until 2026 so if anyone of the engine suppliers doesn’t come up with a good package then I can’t see much hope for them and the teams they supply
Everyone seems to be eyeing up Ferrari as the team who will make the most serious challenge, but I just wonder how many times they've been in this situation, only for it to be a false dawn of sorts?
I'm not sure we'll see anything conclusive until the first few races.
Tooooooo many times (since 1980) xD I think we are all too familiar with "Ferrari Master Plans" since the days of the FIA standing for "Ferrari International Assistance". I am 100% happy to be proven so wrong though.
@@Nikelaos_Khristianos 1000 times now
Let's be honest, 2022 will be another Mercedes year. RB and Ferrari might duke it out for second and McLaren and Alpine for the best of the rest. Aston Martin don't have the tools yet to play with the big boys unless some of them are seriously underperforming (like Renault in 2019). Everyone else are minnows miles behind the current top 4/5.
Imagine if all cars end up being equal
I predicted that one day.. f1 will have advance helmet that showing a display holographic image to see other car around without having physical side mirror.. just like a pilot jet fighter helmet
Dont see it happening but I wish AM could get a rocket of a car so that Seb can slap the shit outta Ferrari. I hated the way they treated such a loved driver in his last year with them
Since change for 2022 is areo/chassis package, 80% sure RB will dominate. Rest 20% is for that 2009 BAR scenario
Everyone would be closer near the beginning of the season. Wouldn't be shocked to see la scuderia pull off a "surprise" win
It'll open up as the season goes on, but it'll be much tighter at first. I still think the top-three from last year will be the same.
2:12, I still think it should have been Mike Hawk
I just want to see Aston Martin and McLaren battle for 4th place again
Merc and RB wil be at the front, no doubt about that but I think Ferrari and McLaren will probably be a significant threat.
Indeed
I don't think red bull will be at the front
@@chriscollins550 Group think. This has become trendy to predict now.
@@Daniboi971 it's easy to predict really. It's almost happened every time after a massive regulations change. Also red bull have used almost all of their tokens and resources on last session car. It's almost guarantee they will start on some kind of back foot.
@@chriscollins550 Tokens do not apply, anyway Merc spent theirs too on a new nose they didn't end up using. I agree RB loaded the 2021 car, but you're having a laugh if you think the factory weren't also dealing with the 2022 car. Adrian Newey, as well. I think they'll be second or third
I would love for another team to challenge at the top of the standings. I am a little tired of the same teams dominating all the time.
Yeah it's Ferrari, Mercedes and Red Bull over and over again since 2014.
Its McLaren and Ferrari - the most likely to challenge at the top, but Aston Martin and Alpine has the potential to be surprise team at the top. lets see.
What has happened with the potential deal of VW groups Audi / Porsche teams joining the F1 grid?
3:16 if alphatauri had 2 pierre gaslys instead of a dissapointing yuki tsunoda on their team in 2021, then they would have challenged Mclaren's danial riccardo. would love to see alex albon replace yuki in Alphatauri.
Would love to see a three way battle for the championship between Mercedes, Red Bull, and Ferrari. Ultimately I think It will be 1) Mercedes 2) Red Bull 3) Ferrari in the constructors and 1) Max 2) Hamilton 3) Russel 4) Sainz in the drivers championship. But whose to say really.
For all we know mazepin could unlock his true goat potential and win all 23 races
Which drivers do you anticipate to adapt best/most quickly to the new cars? Would love to see a video about that
I wonder what the maximum number of teams can race in a f1 race?
I wonder how crazy races would be if 16 teams were battling it out?
The assumption that RedBull will hit the ground running in 2022 is very optimistic.
Yup i think it will be another 2014 situation
@@Cloxxki It's not a fluke when the governing body changes the rules in order to make yours the best car. Not to mention what happened at Abu Dhabi.
@Joey Gee
Not true , many experts were expecting high rake cars to suffer the most due those rule changes, people were saying same thing like these guys above you, RB will be midfield etc, yet RB produced great car because Honda made great engine . But that story that FIA changed rules to hamper Mercedes is biased Merc fans story
Redbull are still the favorites
They didn't threw everything to win the championship for max
Infact they went backwards in 2021 while merc were faster than them after mid season
And with newey in the house.. RB will have a huge advantage with aero
This time they have equally good engine as mercs
So with the new regs RB are the team to set the pace. They are just hustling now.
@@DooM_-_gAmeR_-_ RedBull are making their own engine from scratch right as the new era is being introduced. If they are the team to beat in 2022, it'll be through blind luck more than anything else.
I think Alpine-Renault or Ferrari, historically those teams seldom disappoint and can do everything. Although, going in and out of F-1, may have affected Alpine’s all important aerodynamics capabilities.
Also, McLaren can’t be discarded. But the thing is they may received the packaging information from Mercedes too late. Will cooling be good? Will aero match engine strength? Mercedes-AMG, Red Bull as factory Honda team until recently, Ferrari and Alpine are in big advantage there. So, I expect McLaren to be stronger in 2023.
Ferrari, Alpine and McLaren all have great drivers, with slight edge for Ferrari even when Ocon and Ricciardo are race winners and Sainz isn’t yet.
If they get Lando in a competitive car he’s definitely going to take the fight to RB and Mercedes.
Come on Williams, wild card run forward on the rule changes once again.
Honestly am already hyped to see Mercedes absolutely crush all our hopes 🙂
They still got their development tokens
I think Alpine will be a team too look out for, they had such a consistent car last season that placed Esteban P1 (Albeit because of the turn 1 crash) and Alonso on podium, they had a very good car for being a mid field team. I know they placed 5th but since Alonso is a veteran of F1 and Ocon being a decent driver I think they could really show up this year (Even though I'm cheering for McLaren)
Personally I see all the discussion kind of pointless yes it’s fun to speculate but at the end of the day anything could happen for all we know Hass could innovate so incredibly with their extra money saved from last season but they win the entire championship
Are we just ignoring how Hast spend majority ugh last year's development time on this year's car
Let's hope they find masi in wheatleys back pocket, otherwise we might as well all go back home
This year I believe Ferrari will be fighting at the front with Mercedes, more so then Red Bull. Not sure how prepared Red Bull is. Helmut Marko had been voicing his opinion about Ferrari’s chances, which sounds like a distraction to me, or he’s worried about Red Bull continuing to be challenging Mercedes at the front this year. We shall see in a month or so.
Do the same but with drivers, the new cars will demand a new driving style, who is best to gain from this
Realistic list goes as follows:
1. Ferrari or Mercedes
2. Mercedes
3. Redbull
4. Mclaren
5. Alpine
6. Williams
7. Aston Martin
8. Alpha Tauri
9. Haas
10. Alfa Romeo
I say this because none of the teams are going to beat a customer team (Mclaren, aston martin, alpha tauri, haas, alfa romeo) which makes the top teams easily to place except for alpine since they dont seem to be making the right moves when it comes to management. Same with AM.
Is that Aston Martin new director really called Mike Krack/my crack?!! 😅
I hope Mercedes and Redbull become midfield teams and we get to watch a Ferrari vs McLaren title fight. It's healthy for the sport.
i dont think that will happen atleast with mercedes because : 1-they are geniuses 2-best facilities 3- they were focusing on this year
@@argaming-wm3ce True, but the overhaul may result in Ferrari and Redbull beating them. Mercedes started upgrading the cars from Silverstone, all the way till Brazil. That's a lot of time. Redbulls last upgrade was in Spa. Ferrari had a chassis issue; and have already covered significant ground in the engine department. I genuinely don't see them on top next year.
I just want to see how much Hass will improve.
McLaren with James Key is definitely moving in the right direction. Ferrari only if its engine disadvantages fully recovered and they can have development pace of RB & Merc. Where since 2007 they often start strong and cannot develop well in-season. While Red Bull is seen might taking similar back foot like 2014 due to late title race last season. Renault are in dismal of its management and no key star engineering personnel and Alpha Tauri are a budget midfield team. These 2 definitely not gonna leap. While Aston Martin still too early to get its key star engineering recruitment actually involve in project, I dun rule them out to improve from 2021, but another team to rule out. Therefore, 3: McLaren 4: Ferrari 5: ™️Racing Point 6: Alpha Tauri 7: Alpine
How much can RB learn from AlphaT's wind tunnel time and what are the rules on this?
Williams went from scoring 5 points in 2013 (scoring points in 2 GPs) to scoring 320 points in 2014 (while scoring points in every race and getting 9 podiums). Yes, a lot of it was to do with Merc engines, but as Williams showed you can't win only with a good engine. Williams fell back in the order because they couldn't upgrade/ develop their chassis as fast as others could.
On AT, they had a super car over 1 lap but not for racing.
What's the point of this video? On one hand, you say that the regulation change will change the running order, but on the other hand, you already have given Merc and RB the 2022 title. Merc and RB will fall back. When was the last time RB came out with a super car right from the start (discounting 2021 because that car was carried over from 2020 with minor changes and we all know how good RB is developing their cars over the season)? So much effort went into the Merc-RB title fight that it's easy to see they will be on a backfoot at the start or maybe even for the duration of the season. You say that Ferrari has the best chance to "join" the battle in the front, while they will be the cause why there will be the battle. Merc and RB can join that battle.
WTF are you talking about?? 2014 Williams wasn't with Merc engines. and Merc failed only the 2010 regulations. otherwise they never failed. absolute non sense comment dude. 🙄🤦♂. even the rest of the comment is in the WTF league.
The thing is that it's completely new regs so mercedes and red bull might put all their money on the cars but not produce a good 1 which then put all the others team: Mclaren, Ferrari, Alpine(which I believe are the best challengers), on the front foot. They would be on the front foot if that happened because the drivers are absolutely brilliant too.
I would assume that HAAS is going to the be a contender based on their claims to under performing for the past 2 years being that they were developing their 2022 car.
Yup Mazepin fighting for the drivers championship lmao
There are just so many aspects to take in that makes me even more excited for the 22´ season. The fact that everyone starts off with a clean state should mean that anyone could challenge for the title (some team(s) will get it terribly wrong).
The first budget cap (for real as the previous season just had cars carry over) which people underestimate, teams like Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari usually spend double, triple or even more than what the cap is, I do think at least one of these teams will struggle quite a lot because of it.
McLaren new engineers can finally design their own car instead of trying to improve a car from Ron Dennis´s time.
Aston Martins new project, will be interesting to see if they are on the right path, same with Alpine and Williams.
I have a strange feeling that we will be seeing a new team at the top and during this new era.
HAAS gonna win the drivers and constructor's championship this year
Between the 2 Ferrari drivers idk which one I'd like to win over the other cause I like them both
“Whilst we can’t see any of the back-markers making the leap to be at the front…” *cough* Brawn *cough*
I'll hold my excitement till after a few races. The last rule change was meant to bring us more closer racing but Mercedes clearly dominated.
@@lor7780 Can you shoot me a video on that?
Cause Schumacher got to do a lot of extra testing for Ferrari so thought the FIA kept a tight clamp on that to keep teams from having an unfair advantage.
I think Mercedes gets back to dominating. Their engine is still superior, and had it not been for the rule changes in 2021 to bring them down to RB level, they would have dominated that season as well.
I feel like Ferrari, Aston & Alpine could be poised to make huge leaps forward to become true title contenders in 2022. I have a gut feeling that McLaren might slip back, while Williams will be firmly in the midpack with AlphaTauri. Mercedes & RB will definitely be contenders from the get go if you ask me, while Alfa & Haas are probably going to be stuck at the back of the grid...
Alpine will drop off more. From what ive heard they have problems with addapting the new PU to the biofuel, and changes to the structure are not good, as rhey dropped some good staff
I'm doubtful about Aston Martin and Alpine.
McLaren slipping back, I can't take that anymore, enough of those false dawns 😭
You quickly wrote off Alfa, Williams and Hass. Remember when Brawn came from nowhere to the top......
I think a lot of teams are going to be a lot faster than they have been in the past few years. The grid is going to be tight for sure. With that said though, It takes more than raw speed to challenge for wins and the championship. You need to have the budget to develop at the speed of the top teams. Further more, I think that if there is a team that is going to have a large advantage over the rest of the field, it is going to be red Bull. The one that wins this year is going to me the one with the most accurate aero. A powerful engine is not going to be enough.
And who is better at that than mister Newie.
Alfa Romeo Sauber can surprise depends about Bottas and new Ferrari engine
Haas is absolutely the dark horse. They developed a car their very first year that was at the front of the mid field. Do not doubt that is possible again
Gotta think the top 3 will be the same this year, but McLaren is my pick for highest chance to upset things.
I think Alpine will deliver in 2022, Renault has been working on the engine since 2020, they've had so much time i doubt they'll mess up.
Also the Enstone team has been nailing the big regulation changes almost everytime (late 90's, mid 00's and early to mid 10's) so it's only right to expect they'll do it again.
Also they've had like 20 to 30% more wind tunnel time than Mercedes and RedBull, which is a lot...
They were also the least spending team in 2021, spending around $900k on repairs while the 2nd least spending McLaren spent $2.7M...
Thats a lot of cash.