I like that you guys have Hayao Miyazaki above the Spiderverse trio and I agree. Because he’s a foreign auteur and an academy darling, if the film is acclaimed as spirited away-tier, the narrative behind him getting into director is absolutely there. If Zone of Interest is just too inaccessible for the industry because of its heavy themes, I think he’s next in line for the foreign auteur package, personally
@@nicoleann0703 I need him to be the first animation director to win. It'll have to happen eventually, he's probably the only one the Academy respects enough
I have a strong feeling about How Do You Live?. And considering Across the Spider-Verse is a setup movie, i would like to award them next year and give this year to Miyazaki's possible last and swan song
1:24 David Lynch has been nominated for Best Director three times, with two of those nominations being the sole nod of their films (Blue Velvet, Mulholland Drive). The other was The Elephant Man
I feel like White Bird could get nominated for Costume Design, never heard of it either but the costumes are by Jenny Beavan (Cruella, Mad Max: Fury Road, Ms Harris Goes to Paris etc) she gets nominated ,like, every time she makes a movie
Man, I remember seeing trailers for that a year ago, then again when I saw Spiderverse. Wonder why they delayed it so far. As for the nomination chance, it certainly feels possible, but I do wonder if it'll happen three years in a row. Cruela and Ms Harris were both movies about the fashion world which lent themselves to Beavan getting to really flex her costuming skills, whereas this is a less showy wartime period piece. Also, she wasn't even nominated at all from Fury Road to Cruella (in which she did costume work for such masterpieces like The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Dolittle). If White Bird overperforms, its a possibility, and its a great mention, but I personally don't think its a likely chance.
Past Lives currently my best cinematography of the year (John Wick 4 is second, but I don’t expect the academy to care). But yeah, Dune Part 2 should be expected to run away with it.
Who I’m predicting for VFX for now: 1. Dune Part Two (Total no brainer) 2. The Creator (Wasn’t considering until I saw the trailer which looks very interesting and skyrocketed to number two.) 3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (Last two got nominated and the effects were fantastic. Only MCU movie I can see getting in.) 4. Spider-Man: Across the SpiderVerse (Just based on how it’s taking the animation to the next level, definitely!) 5. Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves (Haven’t seen it yet and after hearing great things but I heard it used both practical and CGI so maybe it has a chance.) Possibilities: Oppenheimer (Could this be a Dunkirk or Top Gun: Maverick for VFX?) Mission: Impossible- Dead Reckoning Part One (After the Top Gun: Maverick acclaim, maybe?) Rebel Moon (Not sure since Zack Snyder movies don’t get nominated in this category.) The Little Mermaid (Felt like the effects were inconsistent, some looked colorful and beautiful at times but then other times it didn’t look good.)
If eligible, I’d love for Daniel Pemberton to be nominated for Score with Across the Spider-Verse. While the song soundtrack for ASV isn’t as strong as ISV’s, the score itself is a huge step up. I also hope it gets Picture and Adapted Screenplay nods. Though I’m not super confident about Sound or VFX predictions.
What I’m predicting for Best Animated Film: 1. Spider-Man: Across the SpiderVerse (Definitely winning, hands down!) 2. How Do You Live? ( Could give SpiderVerse a run for its money.) 3. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem (Heard great reactions so far, I think it’s a lock plus by the same people who did Mitchells VS Machines and unique animation style.) 4. Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget (Hope this sequel is worth the over 20 year wait and I wouldn’t underestimate Aardman.) 5. Nimona (Also hearing great reactions so far and I think it’s narrative could help.)
@nediaelifra721 It’s possible Past Lives could win there too, but for some reason I’m not completely sold on Past Lives at Bafta. Look out for Saltburn perhaps
I swear to God, if Air gets nominated for anything, I'm gonna be done with the Academy entirely. It's seriously the most bland, dry, forgettable movie. That getting in over some much better contenders would just make me sick.
Re prod. design. You justify Oppenheimer getting nominated because ‘Tenet’ got nominated. Nathan Crowley was prod. designer on Tenet and has been 6 times nominated. He’s doing Wonka. That should be an automatic top 5.
For Best Director: Alexander Payne for The Holdovers. I heard from someone that it is very good. And Payne got a surprise nomination for Nebraska over the widely-predicted Paul Greengrass in 2014.
I think you guys must have seen something in Air that I didn't see.... it keeps getting slid into these categories as a maybe nomination. I don't think it's going to get any nominations. It's a nice enough movie with some good moments but I don't get why everyone keeps trying to make it happen at the Oscars.
The main reason I want a “stunts” Oscar, is because if that Oscar existed, I truly believe John Wick 4 would be in cinematography and director conversations (guaranteed to win a tech starts those conversations).
I heard from my animation people in Japan that How Do You Live is freaking amazing. I hope Miyazaki can get nominated this year and it will be a direct fight with Spider-Verse if it does…Disney/Pixar seems a bit weak this year so… P.S. Poor Things and Asteroid City needs to get nominated for PRODUCTION DESIGN!!!! Also, if the leaked (?) teaser for Napoleon is real, I highly recommend that one.
@@joelanthonylim6792 me too! Japanese delegation would definitely send Kore-Eda for Best International Feature but RRR’s precedent may allow non-IF movies to get nominated…:)
27:34 now people are saying that MI-7 is the best in the franchise, and it has a 4.0 on Letterboxd It’s still gonna get no nominations 😢 Edit- it got two nominations, wow
Who I’m predicting for Best Director for now: 1. Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon (I think this could be the second film to win him another Oscar for Best Director since The Departed. I remember thinking he would win again for Hugo but he lost in 2012.) 2. Denis Villenueve- Dune Part Two (This does seem to be the meat of the story and if it is as truly as epic as we’re hoping for, I don’t see him getting snubbed for Director again.) 3. Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer (This is his second WWII movie after Dunkirk which got him his first Best Director nomination. Everything about the craft so far in the trailers, I can see him getting nominated. Hopefully this won’t be a Dark Knight or Inception snub.) 4. Celine Song - Past Lives 5. Jonathan Glazer - The Zone of Interest Possibilities: Blitz Bazawule - The Color Purple Emerald Fennell - Saltburn Greta Gerwig - Barbie Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things Hayao Miyazaki - How Do You Live?
First yo! Love that you guys have Nolan for Directing. I totally agree with you! Edit: For cinematography like I mentioned in my video, I feel like Rodrigo Prieto might get nominated for Barbie instead of Killers of the Flower Moon, cause the cinematography and production design in Barbie's trailer look pretty good. Also do you guys think Dan Laustsen might get nominated for the cinematography in John Wick instead of The Color Purple? I loved John Wick's cinematography, and I doubt The Color Purple will have better cinematography but on the other hand it will release close to the Oscars season so they might nominate him for The Color Purple instead of nominating him for John Wick but either way he is 100% getting a nom.
For Animated Feature: the only time in a year of 5 nominees that Disney blanked was the 2012 Oscars, that year they had Cars 2 and Mars Needs Moms. They also blanked in 2006 when all they had was Chicken Little.
Man those movies were awful. I can’t see Disney blanking again, yet honestly all of this year’s films outside of Disney are much more exciting (Spiderverse, HDYL?, TMNT, Chicken Run, Nimona, etc etc)
I don't know why everyone is dissmisng wish to not even get nomtnied , I think it has a shot at even winning It's the frist film to be using the paperman technology, IE, a new animation technique, and It will have the narrative of honoring Disney's 100-year legacy as the film is supposed to be their big 100th-anniversary movi
While I agree that Spiderverse was amazing, think you guys are overhyped for its awards chances. I think it'll just get an animated nomination and maybe score. That's it.
Regarding International Feature, Kaurismaki actually HAS had 2 movies nominated, he just had the second one withdrawn (also did the same for a third movie before it was even screened for the Academy) for various political reasons. Also, for Italy, I'd say Kidnapped has a much better shot than La Chimera. They've never submitted a Rohrwacher, but they sent Bellocchio's last movie, which was about as successful as this new one (i.e., it made basically no noise but was perfectly fine and didn't get nominated). Still praying for the day Ceylan gets his flowers!
BEST DIRECTOR: Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer Martin Scorsese - Killers of the flower moon Dennis Villeneuve - Dune part 2 Celine Song - Past Lives Jonathan Glazer - Zone of interest
If they used miniatures in the Oppenheimer explosion scenes, like miniature buildings getting shredded apart, some people would consider that vfx. I’m also thinking there could be a war scene sprinkled in somewhere.
Right now I have Scorsese, Lanthimos, Triet and Glazer for director. Don't know who will be the fifth. Oppenheimer is not happening in Screenplay. You don't nominate a script written SOLELY by Christopher Nolan.
If the new mob movie directed by Barry Levinson is any good is their a chance it could get a adapted screenplay nomination along with a best actor nomination for Robert De Niro
Just came here to update you guys in the original song category, Billie Eilish is going to win her second Oscar… there’s just no way any music from this season is going to top What Was I Made For?
Also, if you listed The Super Mario Brothers Movie in Best Animated Feature predictions (at #12), how come you didn't list Migration? After all, it is from the same studio that made the highest grossing-animated film as of now!
If the first Spiderverse didn’t make it into Best Picture, the second won’t make it either. The animation in the second one is amazing, but the first one was so much better
Original Song is surprisingly weak this year so far, plus I'm 100% sure her 80 for Brady song will get nominated (and possibly win!) because it has the all-star lineup of oldies - Dolly Parton, Belinda Carlisle, Cyndi Lauper, Gloria Estefan, and Debbie Harry. A lot of people will want that for Oscar night. I'm hoping one of the Spider Verse songs get in. I'd love to see Metro Boomin be an Oscar nominee
I’m actually not sure if it’s original or adapted. It’s obviously based on an existing property, so I think they’re just putting it in adapted to be ahead of the curve
Listen, I was sitting here all last year going, “Why are people not predicting Banshees of Inisherin. McDonough never misses.” And I’m here again going, “Why are people not predicting Poor Things? Lanthimos never misses!”
@@nate-it9xqThat’s true, but the writer from The Great and The Favourite is working with him and has been getting award noms since working with him last.
I know it's still very early and Asteroid City just came out, but I do hope it gets at least one nomination for something, after The French Dispatch got completely shut out at the 2022 oscars.
I still think Wish still has a shot at winning over spiderverse It's the frist film to be using the paperman technology, IE, a new animation technique, and It will have the narrative of honoring Disney's 100-year legacy as the film is supposed to be their big 100th-anniversary movie. All Wish needs one good song and a decent box office to win an animated feature. While I believe we are in a new era of the academy that's more in younger and more in touch, I still can't say the same for the animated feature category nor academy views on animtion as a whole.
Across the spider verse was a shitty incomplete product of a movie. Another super hero, multiverse movie with hackneyed concepts. I even hated the excessive chromatic aberration smeared all over the movie. Once would hope that Miyazaki's last movie would be better than that schlock.
Here are my predictions (ALPHABETICAL ORDER!!!) Best Director 1.Denis Villeneuve-Dune: Part Two 2.Martin Scorsese-Killers of the Flower Moon 3.Christopher Nolan-Oppenheimer 4.Celine Song-Past Lives 5.Jonathan Glazer-The Zone of Interest Best Original Screenplay 1.The Holdovers 2.Maestro 3.May December 4.Past Lives 5.Saltburn Best Adapted Screenplay 1.Barbie 2.Dune: Part Two 3.Killers of the Flower Moon 4.Oppenheimer 5.Poor Things Best Animated Feature 1.Elemental 2.How Do You Live? 3.Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 4.The Super Mario Bros. Movie 5.Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem Best Cinematography 1.The Color Purple 2.Dune: Part Two 3.Killers of the Flower Moon 4.Oppenheimer 5.Poor Things Best Makeup And Hairstyling 1.Barbie 2.Dune: Part Two 3.Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 4.Maestro 5.Poor Things Best Costume Design 1.Barbie 2.The Color Purple 3.Dune: Part Two 4.Killers of the Flower Moon 5.Wonka Best Original Score 1.Dune: Part Two 2.Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 3.Killers of the Flower Moon 4.Oppenheimer 5.Poor Things Best Film Editing 1.The Color Purple 2.Dune: Part Two 3.Killers of the Flower Moon 4.Oppenheimer 5.Poor Things Best Production Design 1.Barbie 2.Dune: Part Two 3.Killers of the Flower Moon 4.Oppenheimer 5.Poor Things Best Sound 1.The Color Purple 2.Dune: Part Two 3.Ferrari 4.Maestro 5.Oppenheimer Best Visual Effects 1.The Creator 2.Dune: Part Two 3.Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 4.Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 5.Rebel Moon Best International Feature 1.About Dry Grasses 2.Four Daughters 3.How Do You Live? 4.La Chimera 5.The Zone of Interest Best Documentary 1.Beyond Utopia 2.The Deepest Breath 3.The Eternal Memory 4.Four Daughters 5.Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
I like your nominations but you gotta think about best picture, the big picture. BP winners always always either win screenplay or director, you have either Barbie holdovers or Dune really winning the top prize?? Gotta work these things backwards in my opinion
Air has zero chance for Original Screenplay, Wes Anderson has a better shot. The Asteroid City is doing not only well in Box Office, but Wes himself is a super darling in the writer branch, check his records!
![[Full Episode] The Restaurant War Thailand ศึกพ่อค้าซ่าแม่ค้าแซ่บ Episode 2 | 29 ก.ย. 67](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/r3lfLNH6Ke4/mqdefault.jpg)
I like that you guys have Hayao Miyazaki above the Spiderverse trio and I agree. Because he’s a foreign auteur and an academy darling, if the film is acclaimed as spirited away-tier, the narrative behind him getting into director is absolutely there. If Zone of Interest is just too inaccessible for the industry because of its heavy themes, I think he’s next in line for the foreign auteur package, personally
I'll take Miyazaki over Spider-Man any day.
I want him to win so badly! I'm eagerly anticipating How do you Live
@@nicoleann0703 If he doesn't, at least he already won an Oscar years ago for Spirited Away.
@@nicoleann0703 I need him to be the first animation director to win. It'll have to happen eventually, he's probably the only one the Academy respects enough
@@nickcopeland6915Yes I'm aware.. I agree.. I'm a huge fan of his ☺️
I have a strong feeling about How Do You Live?. And considering Across the Spider-Verse is a setup movie, i would like to award them next year and give this year to Miyazaki's possible last and swan song
1:24 David Lynch has been nominated for Best Director three times, with two of those nominations being the sole nod of their films (Blue Velvet, Mulholland Drive). The other was The Elephant Man
They said "only director" so I think they just referring to lone director noms
GET REAL
I feel like White Bird could get nominated for Costume Design, never heard of it either but the costumes are by Jenny Beavan (Cruella, Mad Max: Fury Road, Ms Harris Goes to Paris etc) she gets nominated ,like, every time she makes a movie
Man, I remember seeing trailers for that a year ago, then again when I saw Spiderverse. Wonder why they delayed it so far.
As for the nomination chance, it certainly feels possible, but I do wonder if it'll happen three years in a row. Cruela and Ms Harris were both movies about the fashion world which lent themselves to Beavan getting to really flex her costuming skills, whereas this is a less showy wartime period piece. Also, she wasn't even nominated at all from Fury Road to Cruella (in which she did costume work for such masterpieces like The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Dolittle).
If White Bird overperforms, its a possibility, and its a great mention, but I personally don't think its a likely chance.
Thomas Newman is doing the score for that movie as well I think (I remember Variety put it as a maybe for score in their early predictions last year.)
@BenPaz Yeah, but he would get nominated for Elemental instead
Poor Things is getting Cinematography mark my words, it will be Poor Things only nom
22:30 too be fair, it's not that shocking that three animated movies got in for Score in a year when the Academy split that category in two.
Well the category was already split in two, in fact 1998 was the last year it was.
@@blackguyofthesouth2161 Yes I know, but my point was that it isn't surprising that three animated movies were nominated since that was the case.
Past Lives should get a Cinematography nomination in my book.
absolutely, such a visually gorgeous movie
Agreed!
Past Lives currently my best cinematography of the year (John Wick 4 is second, but I don’t expect the academy to care).
But yeah, Dune Part 2 should be expected to run away with it.
What? It was uninspired as hell. What exactly do you think made it outstanding in that department?
That would be kinda like Tár getting nominated. We’ll see
Who I’m predicting for VFX for now:
1. Dune Part Two (Total no brainer)
2. The Creator (Wasn’t considering until I saw the trailer which looks very interesting and skyrocketed to number two.)
3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (Last two got nominated and the effects were fantastic. Only MCU movie I can see getting in.)
4. Spider-Man: Across the SpiderVerse (Just based on how it’s taking the animation to the next level, definitely!)
5. Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves (Haven’t seen it yet and after hearing great things but I heard it used both practical and CGI so maybe it has a chance.)
Possibilities:
Oppenheimer (Could this be a Dunkirk or Top Gun: Maverick for VFX?)
Mission: Impossible- Dead Reckoning Part One (After the Top Gun: Maverick acclaim, maybe?)
Rebel Moon (Not sure since Zack Snyder movies don’t get nominated in this category.)
The Little Mermaid (Felt like the effects were inconsistent, some looked colorful and beautiful at times but then other times it didn’t look good.)
If eligible, I’d love for Daniel Pemberton to be nominated for Score with Across the Spider-Verse. While the song soundtrack for ASV isn’t as strong as ISV’s, the score itself is a huge step up. I also hope it gets Picture and Adapted Screenplay nods. Though I’m not super confident about Sound or VFX predictions.
I agree, that score is amazing.
Pemberton has been been overlooked for too long. His score from Man from UNCLE functioned as a character.
@@rhythmoriented At he got a nod for Best Original Song with “Hear My Voice” from Trial of the Chicago 7.
@@Little1Cavethat’s right. Great stuff. Just these examples exemplify his range.
You guys didn't fix the mistake from last time 😅 The country is called Tunisia not Tusnia. The "N" is before the "S" in writing and pronunciation.
Lol. Saying Disney's Wish is making a rehash but Spider verse is also making a reharsh and the Mutant Mayhem. Lol. Elemental will get that nomination.
Past Lives coming to sweep!!
What I’m predicting for Best Animated Film:
1. Spider-Man: Across the SpiderVerse (Definitely winning, hands down!)
2. How Do You Live? ( Could give SpiderVerse a run for its money.)
3. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem (Heard great reactions so far, I think it’s a lock plus by the same people who did Mitchells VS Machines and unique animation style.)
4. Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget (Hope this sequel is worth the over 20 year wait and I wouldn’t underestimate Aardman.)
5. Nimona (Also hearing great reactions so far and I think it’s narrative could help.)
If Oscars REALLY want to put Disney, they’ll swap TMNT or Chicken Run for Elemental…😅
Past Lives winning original screenplay. It’s just such a screenplay movie, and it has a good shot for both Critics Choice and WGA
who do you think will win bafta ? because dont think holdovers will win it
@nediaelifra721 It’s possible Past Lives could win there too, but for some reason I’m not completely sold on Past Lives at Bafta. Look out for Saltburn perhaps
i really feel like oppenheimer will underperform severely.
Ehhhh it worked out
36:35 Disney missed Animated Feature in 2011 when they had a lineup of Winnie the Pooh and Cars 2
I'm Just Ken v. Peaches Best Original Song, LET'S GOOOOOO
33:56
That laugh about putting Spaceman above Oppenheimer is just so maniacal, it's priceless!
You guys should do one of those vídeos predicting the metascore of the unreleased movies of the season before Barbie and Oppenheimer comes out 🙏🏻
23:00 I love a brotherly quarell because I can always come back next year to see who the jester is
I swear to God, if Air gets nominated for anything, I'm gonna be done with the Academy entirely. It's seriously the most bland, dry, forgettable movie. That getting in over some much better contenders would just make me sick.
Not listed, but I absolutely love the score from 'A Thousand and One'
I love spider verse, but an Oscar for music and sound. This gotta be some premium level of glazing.
Pablo Larraín's name is pronounced Pablo La-RA-EEN, not La-RAIN. The accent mark on the i makes a difference.
TUNISIA NOT TUSNIA!!!!!
"For cinematography they nominate what has the most colors"
*puts Barbie at 11*
Re prod. design. You justify Oppenheimer getting nominated because ‘Tenet’ got nominated. Nathan Crowley was prod. designer on Tenet and has been 6 times nominated. He’s doing Wonka. That should be an automatic top 5.
For Best Director: Alexander Payne for The Holdovers. I heard from someone that it is very good. And Payne got a surprise nomination for Nebraska over the widely-predicted Paul Greengrass in 2014.
I feel that his controversies are gonna hurt him in this category.
Yeah, the director’s branch isn’t touching Payne with everything that’s come out about him
I think you guys must have seen something in Air that I didn't see.... it keeps getting slid into these categories as a maybe nomination. I don't think it's going to get any nominations. It's a nice enough movie with some good moments but I don't get why everyone keeps trying to make it happen at the Oscars.
Kaurismaki actually did get one film nominated for international, The Man Without a Past from 2002.
The main reason I want a “stunts” Oscar, is because if that Oscar existed, I truly believe John Wick 4 would be in cinematography and director conversations (guaranteed to win a tech starts those conversations).
Poor Things MUST be in cinematography.
David Lynch got 3 directing Oscar nominations
I want the chaos of Spiderverse getting a Director nomination 😂😂😂
Cat.
I heard from my animation people in Japan that How Do You Live is freaking amazing. I hope Miyazaki can get nominated this year and it will be a direct fight with Spider-Verse if it does…Disney/Pixar seems a bit weak this year so…
P.S.
Poor Things and Asteroid City needs to get nominated for PRODUCTION DESIGN!!!! Also, if the leaked (?) teaser for Napoleon is real, I highly recommend that one.
I'm really rooting for Miyazaki for Director and Hisaishi for Score even if they're longshot
@@joelanthonylim6792 me too! Japanese delegation would definitely send Kore-Eda for Best International Feature but RRR’s precedent may allow non-IF movies to get nominated…:)
@@MchannnelWell, they submitted Princess Mononoke, so who knows.
@@cepho8349wait what…!? I’ve never heard about that! But Japanese delegation will be Kore-Eda anyways (it’s more reliable at the moment)
@@Mchannnel Yeah, Japan sent Princess Mononoke in 1997. But it failed to score a nomination.
I really want Martin to win for Director. He needs to go off with 2.
Top 5 closing question from brother bro
27:34 now people are saying that MI-7 is the best in the franchise, and it has a 4.0 on Letterboxd
It’s still gonna get no nominations 😢
Edit- it got two nominations, wow
Who I’m predicting for Best Director for now:
1. Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon (I think this could be the second film to win him another Oscar for Best Director since The Departed. I remember thinking he would win again for Hugo but he lost in 2012.)
2. Denis Villenueve- Dune Part Two (This does seem to be the meat of the story and if it is as truly as epic as we’re hoping for, I don’t see him getting snubbed for Director again.)
3. Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer (This is his second WWII movie after Dunkirk which got him his first Best Director nomination. Everything about the craft so far in the trailers, I can see him getting nominated. Hopefully this won’t be a Dark Knight or Inception snub.)
4. Celine Song - Past Lives
5. Jonathan Glazer - The Zone of Interest
Possibilities:
Blitz Bazawule - The Color Purple
Emerald Fennell - Saltburn
Greta Gerwig - Barbie
Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things
Hayao Miyazaki - How Do You Live?
That’s a good ranking. I think Celine Song will probably get in, but 2 is a little high
I agree
First yo! Love that you guys have Nolan for Directing. I totally agree with you!
Edit: For cinematography like I mentioned in my video, I feel like Rodrigo Prieto might get nominated for Barbie instead of Killers of the Flower Moon, cause the cinematography and production design in Barbie's trailer look pretty good. Also do you guys think Dan Laustsen might get nominated for the cinematography in John Wick instead of The Color Purple? I loved John Wick's cinematography, and I doubt The Color Purple will have better cinematography but on the other hand it will release close to the Oscars season so they might nominate him for The Color Purple instead of nominating him for John Wick but either way he is 100% getting a nom.
I would be shocked if John Wick actually got nominated for cinematography, let alone over Color Purple. They’re still too snobby to do that I think
@@seankoontz4235 I think you are right, but it has incredible shots of cinematography. I would love to see it being nominated!
@AndreFernandesMovies Oh, I agree
i have my doubts, but i do very much hope across the spiderverse receives a best score nomination ( or even win )
I'm not doubting it, but why is Past Lives projected to be so strong when Aftersun was not?
It has international appeals, and it's not too artsy to go into niche category
it's waaaay more accessible than aftersun and aftersun was a24's like fourth priority last year
It helps that it's a much better film.
@@Clouden3 I prefer Aftersun
For Animated Feature: the only time in a year of 5 nominees that Disney blanked was the 2012 Oscars, that year they had Cars 2 and Mars Needs Moms. They also blanked in 2006 when all they had was Chicken Little.
Man those movies were awful. I can’t see Disney blanking again, yet honestly all of this year’s films outside of Disney are much more exciting (Spiderverse, HDYL?, TMNT, Chicken Run, Nimona, etc etc)
I don't know why everyone is dissmisng wish to not even get nomtnied , I think it has a shot at even winning It's the frist film to be using the paperman technology, IE, a new animation technique, and It will have the narrative of honoring Disney's 100-year legacy as the film is supposed to be their big 100th-anniversary movi
While I agree that Spiderverse was amazing, think you guys are overhyped for its awards chances. I think it'll just get an animated nomination and maybe score. That's it.
Regarding International Feature, Kaurismaki actually HAS had 2 movies nominated, he just had the second one withdrawn (also did the same for a third movie before it was even screened for the Academy) for various political reasons. Also, for Italy, I'd say Kidnapped has a much better shot than La Chimera. They've never submitted a Rohrwacher, but they sent Bellocchio's last movie, which was about as successful as this new one (i.e., it made basically no noise but was perfectly fine and didn't get nominated). Still praying for the day Ceylan gets his flowers!
BEST DIRECTOR:
Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese - Killers of the flower moon
Dennis Villeneuve - Dune part 2
Celine Song - Past Lives
Jonathan Glazer - Zone of interest
Emerald F is an Oscar WINNER and Greta is NOT. Watduf Brother Bro!?!? 😂😅
They had to create a new camera flr oppenheimer!
If they used miniatures in the Oppenheimer explosion scenes, like miniature buildings getting shredded apart, some people would consider that vfx. I’m also thinking there could be a war scene sprinkled in somewhere.
Right now I have Scorsese, Lanthimos, Triet and Glazer for director. Don't know who will be the fifth. Oppenheimer is not happening in Screenplay. You don't nominate a script written SOLELY by Christopher Nolan.
I would switch Jonathan Glazer with Greta Gerwig. Theyve got to put more women in that category
If the new mob movie directed by Barry Levinson is any good is their a chance it could get a adapted screenplay nomination along with a best actor nomination for Robert De Niro
I'm not sure about El Conde, since the chilean movie submitted may be The Settlers
Nah, El Conde is much more likely as long as it's acclaimed.
you’re going way overboard with anatomy of a fall
I think we should not underestimate "Dumb Money" in Adapted. It's easily in the Top 10, sight unseen.
Guardians 3 makes you sob the most when it shows CGI animals.
Just came here to update you guys in the original song category, Billie Eilish is going to win her second Oscar… there’s just no way any music from this season is going to top What Was I Made For?
Just listened to it- fabulous!
By the way audience score for asteroid city is not rotten
Also, if you listed The Super Mario Brothers Movie in Best Animated Feature predictions (at #12), how come you didn't list Migration? After all, it is from the same studio that made the highest grossing-animated film as of now!
Because Illumination movies are typically awful. The Mario Movie is only worth consideration because of it’s extreme profitability
If the Sing movies couldn’t get nominated, Migration won’t either
If the first Spiderverse didn’t make it into Best Picture, the second won’t make it either. The animation in the second one is amazing, but the first one was so much better
if celine song managed to win director... i'd be beside myself lol imagine a first time director winnings against all these veterans
Across the Spiderverse in cinematography?? No takers?
No way Spider-Man across the spiderverse will get sound
The Color Purple is being overestimated a lot in these categories..
No Alexander Payne in Director at all is interesting since he’s been nominated somewhat surprisingly multiple times
And against Martin Scorsese each time
Because he’s directing a fake movie. It’s the thirteen lives of this year.
@@RB-.-Absolutely not. Thirteen Lives was all released in june or may
I think Payne's previous scandals may hurt him this year
Fincher way too low
the holdovers gonna flop
Original Song is surprisingly weak this year so far, plus I'm 100% sure her 80 for Brady song will get nominated (and possibly win!) because it has the all-star lineup of oldies - Dolly Parton, Belinda Carlisle, Cyndi Lauper, Gloria Estefan, and Debbie Harry. A lot of people will want that for Oscar night.
I'm hoping one of the Spider Verse songs get in. I'd love to see Metro Boomin be an Oscar nominee
Where is Flash for VFX?
Did you even watch the movie?
Barbie is an adapted screenplay?
I’m actually not sure if it’s original or adapted. It’s obviously based on an existing property, so I think they’re just putting it in adapted to be ahead of the curve
Guardians should low key get in Costume Design I really think the Costumes were really good detailed
You’re overhyping Greta Gerwig bros lol
John wick chapter 4 is my personal pick for top 5 in cinematography
Currently my number 2 (after Past Lives). Deserves real consideration (but will likely not get it).
I think Germany will send The Teachers' Lounge rather than Perfect Days.
Couldn't help but notice but you seem to be very well-versed with movies so can you tell me your favourite movies?
@@sidrockx6399of all time?
@@pb.j.1753 sure
@@sidrockx6399 Hero (2002), In the Mood for Love, Caché, Capote, The Hours, Call Me By Your Name
I cracked up when Cole said we might be surprised at the amount of people who have been exposed to Joe Hisaishi. Probably true 😅
I'm Praying For a Nolan Sweep 🔥
Listen, I was sitting here all last year going, “Why are people not predicting Banshees of Inisherin. McDonough never misses.” And I’m here again going, “Why are people not predicting Poor Things? Lanthimos never misses!”
I mean... he usually misses (just in terms of awards)
@@nate-it9xqThat’s true, but the writer from The Great and The Favourite is working with him and has been getting award noms since working with him last.
@Sharpe1502 You were right
I know it's still very early and Asteroid City just came out, but I do hope it gets at least one nomination for something, after The French Dispatch got completely shut out at the 2022 oscars.
Barbie will get some techs but no way it’s getting director or screenplay.
“I’ll beach you off”
“I’ll beach you off harder”
Yeah… no screenplay.
Lmao EEAAO had dildo fights and stupid shit like ratatoing and it *won* best screenplay
I still think Wish still has a shot at winning over spiderverse It's the frist film to be using the paperman technology, IE, a new animation technique, and It will have the narrative of honoring Disney's 100-year legacy as the film is supposed to be their big 100th-anniversary movie. All Wish needs one good song and a decent box office to win an animated feature. While I believe we are in a new era of the academy that's more in younger and more in touch, I still can't say the same for the animated feature category nor academy views on animtion as a whole.
elemental take aging like milk lmao
Love you guys....cut down on the carbs!!!!
What’s going on with Barbie? Did I miss something?
I'm certain Spider man across the spider verse is definitely taking home the Award for Aminated Feature. I'm 100% certain. so sure about it
Hope not. Movie is overrated.
We gotta make John wick happen fellas. Picture, Director, Cinematography, PD
I hope it will get several Razzies nominations. Such a dumb movie.
Is Carmen totally dead? I really thought Slip Away - Paul Mescal would be in consideration as Best Song!
ITS TIME for DIANE WARREN TO WIN
Across the spider verse was a shitty incomplete product of a movie.
Another super hero, multiverse movie with hackneyed concepts. I even hated the excessive chromatic aberration smeared all over the movie.
Once would hope that Miyazaki's last movie would be better than that schlock.
Here are my predictions (ALPHABETICAL ORDER!!!)
Best Director
1.Denis Villeneuve-Dune: Part Two
2.Martin Scorsese-Killers of the Flower Moon
3.Christopher Nolan-Oppenheimer
4.Celine Song-Past Lives
5.Jonathan Glazer-The Zone of Interest
Best Original Screenplay
1.The Holdovers
2.Maestro
3.May December
4.Past Lives
5.Saltburn
Best Adapted Screenplay
1.Barbie
2.Dune: Part Two
3.Killers of the Flower Moon
4.Oppenheimer
5.Poor Things
Best Animated Feature
1.Elemental
2.How Do You Live?
3.Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
4.The Super Mario Bros. Movie
5.Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
Best Cinematography
1.The Color Purple
2.Dune: Part Two
3.Killers of the Flower Moon
4.Oppenheimer
5.Poor Things
Best Makeup And Hairstyling
1.Barbie
2.Dune: Part Two
3.Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
4.Maestro
5.Poor Things
Best Costume Design
1.Barbie
2.The Color Purple
3.Dune: Part Two
4.Killers of the Flower Moon
5.Wonka
Best Original Score
1.Dune: Part Two
2.Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
3.Killers of the Flower Moon
4.Oppenheimer
5.Poor Things
Best Film Editing
1.The Color Purple
2.Dune: Part Two
3.Killers of the Flower Moon
4.Oppenheimer
5.Poor Things
Best Production Design
1.Barbie
2.Dune: Part Two
3.Killers of the Flower Moon
4.Oppenheimer
5.Poor Things
Best Sound
1.The Color Purple
2.Dune: Part Two
3.Ferrari
4.Maestro
5.Oppenheimer
Best Visual Effects
1.The Creator
2.Dune: Part Two
3.Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
4.Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
5.Rebel Moon
Best International Feature
1.About Dry Grasses
2.Four Daughters
3.How Do You Live?
4.La Chimera
5.The Zone of Interest
Best Documentary
1.Beyond Utopia
2.The Deepest Breath
3.The Eternal Memory
4.Four Daughters
5.Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
I like your nominations but you gotta think about best picture, the big picture. BP winners always always either win screenplay or director, you have either Barbie holdovers or Dune really winning the top prize?? Gotta work these things backwards in my opinion
@@percyvincent5252 it says alphabetical order
@@TheClubOrtiz who do you have winning those 3 categories?
@@percyvincent5252 none because it’s too early to say
Air has zero chance for Original Screenplay, Wes Anderson has a better shot. The Asteroid City is doing not only well in Box Office, but Wes himself is a super darling in the writer branch, check his records!
Guardians 3 could get nominated for sag ensemble
😂
@@seankoontz4235 The performances were amazing, it just needs people to build hype
Past Lives was not original at all. There have been plenty of multi year romances.
Yeah, everyone is biased😂 its like last year when EEAAO win an oscar, everyone thinks past lives is other one when its not
You hate my favorite A24 movie ever
@@dariussalepetru6770 Hate is a strong word, but yeah not my favorite. Glad you liked it though.
If adapted wasn’t stacked I think guardians 3 could’ve at least gotten close to a nomination a shame tbh😢
First!
Why the hell every list has to have some asian moveie lol 😂
The Color Purple's nomination for direction seems very doubtful for me. The film seems to be complete rubbish.
You don't think Past Lives could be a dark horse contender for a cinematography nomination? TÁR happened last year 🤷♂️
THE AWARD FOR THE BEST SUPPORTING NON BINARY "HAIRCUT" IS ......... TWIN IN BLACK SHIRT!!!!!!!!!
😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😅