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Boxing I win way more than I lose cause I’ve been involved with it all my life, I’m trying with other sports cause of how many more games there is compared to fights but lose on them all except for ice hockey
Thank you for the video Frank. For me it has to be Table Tennis. It's straight Win or Loose because the odds of a draw are impossible! Still Learning, One Day!
Bravo man! I agree wholeheartedly with this. As an additional word of advice to any out there diving into this keep in mind these additional tips: 1) Look out (or look for) games that you feel will or should end up being a blowout. This can either hurt or help you. In NFL for example if you like a running back to hit over x amount of yards and his team ends up down big they will likely abandon the run game and cost you your bet. On the flipside, the QB and WRs may pile up garbage yards and hit their marks. In the NBA they are going to start sitting starters if the game gets lopsided. I can't tell you how many times I was on pace for easy wins just needing a basket or a rebound but because there was a 20 point lead the player was done for the game. 2) Learn to love Unders. It's human nature to bet overs and favorites etc. However, as a wise man once told me: "You are already winning anytime you bet an under as a team has to reach the number. Going back to the point I made above, if I pick say Devin Booker of the Suns to hit over 24.5 pts and he's red hot with 17 at halftime but the Suns are routing their opponent and they decide to play him only a few minutes it's going to be a lot harder than it looks to get those 8 needed pts. Happens more than you know especially if the team is playing a back-to-back where the coach is looking to reduce minutes. Also, if a player gets injured 2 minutes into the game you are a winner with the Under and a loser with the over. So many times I loved so and so to grab 10 RBs and he's got 6 midway through the 2nd qtr, goes up for his 7th and comes down on somebody's foot. I just lost an almost surefire winner. Now obviously the converse to this is Overtime as that will obviously favor an Over bet as players get additional time to reach their marks. However, OT is not especially common and there is still no guarantee a guy makes those additional baskets or yards. As I said learn to hunt for a good under. There's hidden value from these scenarios that I laid out above. Obviously don't just randomly take an under on a rebounder who is facing the team who surrenders the most rebounds, gotta do your homework. 3) Lastly, an advanced tactic. Alternate player lines. As LM said there is value here in player props. Let's maximize it. If say Jokic is going up against the worst rebounding team in the League, and the line on his rebounds is say 12.5, why not tweak it to 13.5 or 14.5? Instead of even money or less why not secure +150, +200 or more odds. I say this because Jokic had 22 rbs last night. It's not really that rare in some of these lopsided matchups. Since we're talking Jokic in 14 of his 27 games played this year he had 15 or more rebounds. Those would all probably beat the over by at least a full rebound or more. How much value was left on the table by just taking the straight over on his rebound total? This is a riskier strategy of course as it can be damn hard to even hit your play even on a well-researched bet but my advice is to paper bet these for a while to see what your WP% is and what profit you would've secured. Use them sparingly as they appear. Obviously, the converse holds as well, if a guy is up against a tough defensive team you can tweak the under lower as well for value and I already explained the value in unders. Good luck to all.
This a gem comment. I've been debating whether or not to stop betting props cuz their so volatile the -odds don't even seem worth it to me anymore cuz I tend to play overs. Gonna try only playing props I like that are at +odds and stick to -odds MLs/Spreads.
@@aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEM That's definitely true. Better off looking for a player that will have increased minutes. Tonight no Lauri means a night for John Collins. At least it should. 10.5 Rbs should be a hit. I'll ladder and keep my fingers crossed.
I made around 4000 euros in two weeks on live sports betting, I play only soccer. And i lost 2100 in one afternoon by making following mistakes 1) I chased my losses for no reason and after every bet I lost i placed more money 2) After i got into losing streak i started to place bets on things that i usually don't and i picked teams which I know for sure that are not my cup of tea Also I am very stubborn, I placed bet that Napoli will score first goal in first half against Udinese, my gut feeling was telling me this game is fixed but I placed 250 euros and of course, Udinese scored shortly after I placed the bet. Instead to say, ok, I am still 3800 euros good and to walk away, I placed 500e that Napoli will score next goal in first half, and they didn't. Second half started, odds on Napoli to score were low, I wanted to wait for odds to get higher, and you guess what? Napoli scored before I placed a bet, so I got nervous, furious, and placed 1000 Euros that Napoli will score one more, and game finished 1-1 I lost 1750 euros in one match for 90 minutes. Then I made few more bets on some other stuff and lose few hundreds more, after my winnigs went below 50% it just hit me what is going on and that if i stay 30 minutes more, I will lose all. I am intending to make a pause for week or two now, and start rebuilding with small bets like this win of 2000 euros never happened. I hope someone can take something from this, as a lesson.
Vegas also looks at matchups; there are mismatches and discrepancies to be found: but going against the best rushing defense will affect the line in an impactful way. Say Henry is averaging 120 yds per gm; going against the best rushing defense will lower what they are offering to 95 to 105. Then the bet becomes a bend/break proposition; the defense holds as usual or Henry keeps rolling.(90 to 100 yds gained on #1 nfl rushing defense by a single running back is impressive)
Good factual insight, appreciate you. It is also worth mentioning some of the variable on prop bets as you did with the others. 1. Foul trouble 2. Injury 3. Ejection 4. Fight with girlfriend just before the game. I agree with your point about less variables than other bets but still many with my point being even if you think, feel or know there is value make sure you sprinkle on these and go with low unit.
You can add the coach sitting them out in the 4th quarter with a big lead coming into the playoffs too, needed Trae Young to get 20 points and he had 18 going into the 4th quarter so I thought I’ve got this easy and then he didn’t come out for the 4th quarter smh lol
For me, I don't think about winning as much as how much I can get from winning. The bet matters, of course, but you have to find an edge in your bets. For ML, you have to have a higher winrate compared to spreads and O/U. But at the end of the day, edge is more important. You have to make sure that the odds you're getting is worth the implied win probability.
i like nba unders and go to alternative totals and subract one point to bring the bet to even money so there is no juice. you eliminate the juice for only one point which is up in the 200's anyways so numerically its well worth it. if all the bets are even money you only need to be 51% on them
To say player props don’t have variables is not exactly true. They are still affected by how well their team and the other team are playing. Also they get effected if they get injured but he is ultimately right you can find value. Also don’t always just look at the stars. Value can be found with the 4th-5 best starter and even bench players
Wondering if you could address this, maybe in a video? "How to handle losing"... a few times, after spending hours on 1 game, a 1 point bad beat loss happened. VERY discouraging + questioned if it's worth it. What's your mindset when this happens?
This makes no sense. Props have variables as well. That player you play could dislocate his middle finger the first 2 minutes on his shooting hand if so you are screwed. He could get 2 quick fouls and have to sit most of the first half.He could be having girlfriend problems. I could go on for hours with this.
Prime example. I has Larkin from the Redwings score 0.5 pts yesterday, he gets disqualified within 10 minutes of the first period for a high check.All my other plays hit accept that one. Unknown variables..JS
@ KJ Biker what’s way more then? If you’re not keeping records and winning percentage you’re not a real sports bettor. Only way to be profitable betting ML is if you’re at the bare minimum a 70% whereas if you’re betting -110 u just need to be 55%
I think there is a lot of misleading information in this video. For one - you don't "need" to diversify what you're betting. Some people specialize in totals or sides, stick to what you're good at. Also, while player props can be profitable and a good alternative option, there is still a ton of variance and unknowns. For example, what if the player you bet on gets injured during the game? You're already done. Whereas betting on a team on the full game, you'll always have a shot at winning because they still have to play the game. There are pros and cons with everything. Bottom line - stick to what you're good at and follow strict bankroll management and discipline. That's the ultimate recipe for success.
That’s the problem nobody specializes in anything 99% of sports bettors lose over the long term. Reason being they don’t split up wagers in certain areas thinking one area is enough it’s not.
They say bet 5% of bankroll, MAX... with 2% of Bankroll being a better option so you never run out of money.....So with that said, IMO your not really going to make much money per game unless you have atleast 1K... So wouldn’t it make sense to figure out HOW TO WIN right now than to try and get lucky, win a few larger $ bets (or worse yet, lose them and all your money)? I would challenge you to stick to 5% betting of $250 and try to increase your money to $1k... Then once you get there, the sky is the limit....
Yes, Chris….actually $12/bet, not a day…. But $12/bet you can still lose it all if you aren’t winning over half your bets. So If you have $250, my point is there is almost 100% chance you will lose it all if you are betting $50/game unless you are in the top 1% (basically a professional). So Unless a beginner has a winning strategy, its unlikely they are in the top 1%. Most people just follow someone that claims to be an “expert” and really they don’t pick more than 50% winners…. So since $250 really isn’t enough money anyway to make real money at a $12/bet (which is required to not lose your bankroll) i would use the money to try to develop a system that can win…. Unless you actually need this $250 for bills/expenses then your kinda screwed anyway so use the money to try and grow it with a system is my point…… but with $250 you have to approach it logically that you won’t make alot of money until you get your bankroll large or you have a winning system that can win with a lot of bets per day…..
@@LINEMAKERSPORTS I saw that Patrick Corbin had given up more than 5.5 hits vs the Braves in 8 of his last 10 appearances so I took the over 5.5 hits allowed for -160 and they pull him today in the 4th inning after giving up exactly 5 hits. Smh
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✅ Ready To Take Your Betting To The Next Level❓Go Here To Work With Us 👉 bet.linemakersports.com/?el=youtube
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Straight win or lose or over 1.5
Set winner in tennis
Boxing I win way more than I lose cause I’ve been involved with it all my life, I’m trying with other sports cause of how many more games there is compared to fights but lose on them all except for ice hockey
@Bullion 911 what was thee strategy or the video u watched please share with me
Thank you for the video Frank. For me it has to be Table Tennis. It's straight Win or Loose because the odds of a draw are impossible! Still Learning, One Day!
Watching your vids I hit 58 percent this month 🔥
Bravo man! I agree wholeheartedly with this. As an additional word of advice to any out there diving into this keep in mind these additional tips:
1) Look out (or look for) games that you feel will or should end up being a blowout. This can either hurt or help you. In NFL for example if you like a running back to hit over x amount of yards and his team ends up down big they will likely abandon the run game and cost you your bet. On the flipside, the QB and WRs may pile up garbage yards and hit their marks. In the NBA they are going to start sitting starters if the game gets lopsided. I can't tell you how many times I was on pace for easy wins just needing a basket or a rebound but because there was a 20 point lead the player was done for the game.
2) Learn to love Unders. It's human nature to bet overs and favorites etc. However, as a wise man once told me: "You are already winning anytime you bet an under as a team has to reach the number. Going back to the point I made above, if I pick say Devin Booker of the Suns to hit over 24.5 pts and he's red hot with 17 at halftime but the Suns are routing their opponent and they decide to play him only a few minutes it's going to be a lot harder than it looks to get those 8 needed pts. Happens more than you know especially if the team is playing a back-to-back where the coach is looking to reduce minutes. Also, if a player gets injured 2 minutes into the game you are a winner with the Under and a loser with the over. So many times I loved so and so to grab 10 RBs and he's got 6 midway through the 2nd qtr, goes up for his 7th and comes down on somebody's foot. I just lost an almost surefire winner. Now obviously the converse to this is Overtime as that will obviously favor an Over bet as players get additional time to reach their marks. However, OT is not especially common and there is still no guarantee a guy makes those additional baskets or yards. As I said learn to hunt for a good under. There's hidden value from these scenarios that I laid out above. Obviously don't just randomly take an under on a rebounder who is facing the team who surrenders the most rebounds, gotta do your homework.
3) Lastly, an advanced tactic. Alternate player lines. As LM said there is value here in player props. Let's maximize it. If say Jokic is going up against the worst rebounding team in the League, and the line on his rebounds is say 12.5, why not tweak it to 13.5 or 14.5? Instead of even money or less why not secure +150, +200 or more odds. I say this because Jokic had 22 rbs last night. It's not really that rare in some of these lopsided matchups. Since we're talking Jokic in 14 of his 27 games played this year he had 15 or more rebounds. Those would all probably beat the over by at least a full rebound or more. How much value was left on the table by just taking the straight over on his rebound total? This is a riskier strategy of course as it can be damn hard to even hit your play even on a well-researched bet but my advice is to paper bet these for a while to see what your WP% is and what profit you would've secured. Use them sparingly as they appear. Obviously, the converse holds as well, if a guy is up against a tough defensive team you can tweak the under lower as well for value and I already explained the value in unders.
Good luck to all.
This a gem comment. I've been debating whether or not to stop betting props cuz their so volatile the -odds don't even seem worth it to me anymore cuz I tend to play overs. Gonna try only playing props I like that are at +odds and stick to -odds MLs/Spreads.
If the joker has 15+ rebounds in over half his games, you wont' be likely to get +200 on that.
@@aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEM That's definitely true. Better off looking for a player that will have increased minutes. Tonight no Lauri means a night for John Collins. At least it should. 10.5 Rbs should be a hit. I'll ladder and keep my fingers crossed.
I made around 4000 euros in two weeks on live sports betting, I play only soccer.
And i lost 2100 in one afternoon by making following mistakes
1) I chased my losses for no reason and after every bet I lost i placed more money
2) After i got into losing streak i started to place bets on things that i usually don't and i picked teams which I know for sure that are not my cup of tea
Also I am very stubborn, I placed bet that Napoli will score first goal in first half against Udinese, my gut feeling was telling me this game is fixed but I placed 250 euros and of course, Udinese scored shortly after I placed the bet.
Instead to say, ok, I am still 3800 euros good and to walk away, I placed 500e that Napoli will score next goal in first half, and they didn't.
Second half started, odds on Napoli to score were low, I wanted to wait for odds to get higher, and you guess what? Napoli scored before I placed a bet, so I got nervous, furious, and placed 1000 Euros that Napoli will score one more, and game finished 1-1 I lost 1750 euros in one match for 90 minutes.
Then I made few more bets on some other stuff and lose few hundreds more, after my winnigs went below 50% it just hit me what is going on and that if i stay 30 minutes more, I will lose all.
I am intending to make a pause for week or two now, and start rebuilding with small bets like this win of 2000 euros never happened.
I hope someone can take something from this, as a lesson.
Vegas also looks at matchups; there are mismatches and discrepancies to be found: but going against the best rushing defense will affect the line in an impactful way. Say Henry is averaging 120 yds per gm; going against the best rushing defense will lower what they are offering to 95 to 105. Then the bet becomes a bend/break proposition; the defense holds as usual or Henry keeps rolling.(90 to 100 yds gained on #1 nfl rushing defense by a single running back is impressive)
Good factual insight, appreciate you. It is also worth mentioning some of the variable on prop bets as you did with the others.
1. Foul trouble
2. Injury
3. Ejection
4. Fight with girlfriend just before the game.
I agree with your point about less variables than other bets but still many with my point being even if you think, feel or know there is value make sure you sprinkle on these and go with low unit.
You can add the coach sitting them out in the 4th quarter with a big lead coming into the playoffs too, needed Trae Young to get 20 points and he had 18 going into the 4th quarter so I thought I’ve got this easy and then he didn’t come out for the 4th quarter smh lol
For me, I don't think about winning as much as how much I can get from winning. The bet matters, of course, but you have to find an edge in your bets. For ML, you have to have a higher winrate compared to spreads and O/U. But at the end of the day, edge is more important. You have to make sure that the odds you're getting is worth the implied win probability.
Priceless info, thanks. I'm glad I clicked on this
i like nba unders and go to alternative totals and subract one point to bring the bet to even money so there is no juice. you eliminate the juice for only one point which is up in the 200's anyways so numerically its well worth it. if all the bets are even money you only need to be 51% on them
This really makes sense. I’m gonna have to think about this. Thanks!
To say player props don’t have variables is not exactly true. They are still affected by how well their team and the other team are playing. Also they get effected if they get injured but he is ultimately right you can find value. Also don’t always just look at the stars. Value can be found with the 4th-5 best starter and even bench players
Wondering if you could address this, maybe in a video? "How to handle losing"... a few times, after spending hours on 1 game, a 1 point bad beat loss happened. VERY discouraging + questioned if it's worth it. What's your mindset when this happens?
He talked about this in one of his videos.. He said you need discipline
I'm good with NBA props but MLB I need to work on and I wish WNBA had more props 🤷🏽♂️
Excellent advice, I’m gonna sample this.👍
I usually bet on the over 8.5 corner market in soccer ⚽ game.
Excellent video
What’s some good stat sites for these bets on different sports?
This makes no sense. Props have variables as well. That player you play could dislocate his middle finger the first 2 minutes on his shooting hand if so you are screwed. He could get 2 quick fouls and have to sit most of the first half.He could be having girlfriend problems. I could go on for hours with this.
Prime example. I has Larkin from the Redwings score 0.5 pts yesterday, he gets disqualified within 10 minutes of the first period for a high check.All my other plays hit accept that one. Unknown variables..JS
This is dope!!!
I liked to do business,see what you guys are all about,how do we get in contact?
for me moneyline does wonders
Need a video explaining when we can withdraw the right time
We also have a video explaining this as well on our channel.
@@LINEMAKERSPORTS Which video?
@@LINEMAKERSPORTS which video?
Ok you the 🐐 for this one
Moneyline all day
So I’m assuming you’re a 70% career winner? No other way to be profitable
@@themack1363 I win way more than I lose
@@themack1363 I only bet on soccer
@ KJ Biker what’s way more then? If you’re not keeping records and winning percentage you’re not a real sports bettor. Only way to be profitable betting ML is if you’re at the bare minimum a 70% whereas if you’re betting -110 u just need to be 55%
@@themack1363 I bet for fun it's not a career for me
I think there is a lot of misleading information in this video. For one - you don't "need" to diversify what you're betting. Some people specialize in totals or sides, stick to what you're good at. Also, while player props can be profitable and a good alternative option, there is still a ton of variance and unknowns. For example, what if the player you bet on gets injured during the game? You're already done. Whereas betting on a team on the full game, you'll always have a shot at winning because they still have to play the game. There are pros and cons with everything. Bottom line - stick to what you're good at and follow strict bankroll management and discipline. That's the ultimate recipe for success.
That’s the problem nobody specializes in anything 99% of sports bettors lose over the long term. Reason being they don’t split up wagers in certain areas thinking one area is enough it’s not.
If you choose the underdog team spread and the underdog wins the game. Do you lose the bet?
@@deprivome938 no
What I hate is I'm up on points on player he's bout to get 25 he's at 20 and he sits out of gets hurt . I lose my money 💰
Bro if I got 250 and I'm making a bet only one a day at 50 is that good or bad
No that would be 20% of your bankroll watch our other videos on bankroll management.
@@LINEMAKERSPORTS oh okay thanks bro 💯
They say bet 5% of bankroll, MAX... with 2% of Bankroll being a better option so you never run out of money.....So with that said, IMO your not really going to make much money per game unless you have atleast 1K... So wouldn’t it make sense to figure out HOW TO WIN right now than to try and get lucky, win a few larger $ bets (or worse yet, lose them and all your money)? I would challenge you to stick to 5% betting of $250 and try to increase your money to $1k... Then once you get there, the sky is the limit....
@@dustinschweser1204 thanks brother
Yes, Chris….actually $12/bet, not a day…. But $12/bet you can still lose it all if you aren’t winning over half your bets. So If you have $250, my point is there is almost 100% chance you will lose it all if you are betting $50/game unless you are in the top 1% (basically a professional). So Unless a beginner has a winning strategy, its unlikely they are in the top 1%. Most people just follow someone that claims to be an “expert” and really they don’t pick more than 50% winners…. So since $250 really isn’t enough money anyway to make real money at a $12/bet (which is required to not lose your bankroll) i would use the money to try to develop a system that can win…. Unless you actually need this $250 for bills/expenses then your kinda screwed anyway so use the money to try and grow it with a system is my point…… but with $250 you have to approach it logically that you won’t make alot of money until you get your bankroll large or you have a winning system that can win with a lot of bets per day…..
Hey i unsubscribed from your emails how do i get back on your list
ML
be a millionaire buy and hold aggle
So do u win money 😂
I do much worse on prop plays than i do on spreads and ml
You just might not be looking at the correct information for props
@@LINEMAKERSPORTS I saw that Patrick Corbin had given up more than 5.5 hits vs the Braves in 8 of his last 10 appearances so I took the over 5.5 hits allowed for -160 and they pull him today in the 4th inning after giving up exactly 5 hits. Smh