1:12:44 you don't need to to give people's lives meaning by forcing them to work or starve. They could purse passions or their curiosities at university. It's not just: sit around and play video games, OR work a full time job.
Mungkin model AI futuristic adalah AI dengan kapasitas besar, AI dengan kecepatan dan kalibrasi berkecepatan tinggi , AI dengan model komputasi analisis parameter bergerak,AI dengan multiple fungsi ganda dll dll
Let's say I'm good at math, and I become an accountant. Later I consult on the matter of accounting for an AI firm and we develop a virtual accountant that looks like an automated spreadsheet. Now my business has been somewhat outmoded. Looks like I have to look for some new way to apply what I know how to do. Meanwhile more people are able to access a virtual accountant than I could have ever served myself. Suddenly accounting services become cheaper. I as an accountant would be possibly out of a job, accounting. But then what new opportunities and jobs will exist as a result of the change in the accounting industry? Automating work be it material or mental is a wonderful opportunity. But the problems of unemployment have yet to be addressed in situ, satisfactorily, AI or No.
Another bar of intelligence may be it's ability to relate to lesser intelligences and different intelligences in positive ways (Example: Carl Sagan explaining the cosmos in lower IQ level language so they can get the important concepts.)
I am a retired manager of a robotic company. As such I studied closely everything I do in our retired life. Nothing is close to be automated in my lifetime. The increasing portion of senior population desperately needs more competent assistance. Robots will be welcome to do that if they can. We have a long way to go on that. REPLY
@@Benbjamin- I need a computer assised car soon because of Macular Degeneration of my vision. I have been waiting for a suitable automatic driving car. Nothing perfect available yet. Closest is Tesla for most conditions but not all. I will probably buy a Tesla soon. Let you know if it really helps. I hope so.
@@willdehne1 Thanks, I hope it works great for you, I know they've made significant strides. Also, sorry to hear that. I hope advances in optometry are around the corner. With that being said, would you entertain the possibility of neuralink?
AI and robotics do not scare me at all (of course I have undergrad degree in "Mechatronics" and thrive on the multidisciplinary environment of electronics, mechanics, computer science, network technology, etc.). But, as usual it is not tech. that should scare us, rather how the tech will be used, "nothing is evil in and of it self, but that the mind makes it so", I hardly think that if you want to build a fence around your back yard that robots are going to keep you from doing so, robots are not going to come in your kitchen and force you to put the knife down...but we may end up with (personal digital assistants?, hmmm, that sounds familiar) robots that will make suggestions on how better to build that fence, best way to roast leg of lamb while preparing two side dishes, etc. AI is already all around us, it may not look like a "Robot" but is already here, "The future's so bright, I gotta wear shades"!
@andybaldman. Thank you for pointing this out @19:54. Nobody has the answer to what the future of work is other than becoming entrepreneurs, inventors, and solving Adam and Eve type problems. What happens when they learn how to do that? Isn’t that the point of singularity? And they wonder why there is so much pessimism regarding the matter.
The propaganda machine of forcing people to seek continuous acquisition of skills, not only according to employer's whims, but also on the expense of employees' time & money, remains very powerful in light of workforce becoming disposable. If only adaptation "opportunities" were fairly distributed, the world would be a better place.
Some relevant points but I believe that the up skilling element is just not viable with machine learning developing at an exponential pace there is no chance of people getting ahead of the curve when it comes to machine learning that can evolve a thousand times faster than we can. There id not an area of human endeavour that that Ai is not intruding into even the creative arts and even cooking and painting. In the past industrial displacement did ford opportunities for people to re train just because the pace of change was manageable today this model is just not even close to the speed of progress.Regulation and control from a human perspective travels much too slowly to maintain control.
The impression I get from this guy is when it comes to the next few decades he doesn't have a fucking clue as to what is going to happen, though it's highly likely his entire career is about to become redundant just like all the other number punching paper pushes. I believe this guy like so many others are absolutely desperate to find a way to maintain their way of life to ensure their entire education and way of thinking which they spent so many years developing isn't for nothing and doesn't go to waste, but honestly I think they are done for and good riddance to them.
*19:55**: "A.I. is not going to replace the human mind." Many of your colleagues at MIT (and much of the A.I. community) disagree with you. The only question is when, not if.*
The demise of unions is the reason for wage stagnation. Companys used to share productivity gains now they don't. They have to be coerced into paying a fair wage.
1:12:44 you don't need to to give people's lives meaning by forcing them to work or starve. They could purse passions or their curiosities at university. It's not just: sit around and play video games, OR work a full time job.
I can think of hundreds of productive things I'd like to do if I didn't have to work full time.
Mungkin model AI futuristic adalah AI dengan kapasitas besar, AI dengan kecepatan dan kalibrasi berkecepatan tinggi , AI dengan model komputasi analisis parameter bergerak,AI dengan multiple fungsi ganda dll dll
We have not been here before. It is one thing to have physical labor replaced it is quite another to have mental labor replaced.
Let's say I'm good at math, and I become an accountant. Later I consult on the matter of accounting for an AI firm and we develop a virtual accountant that looks like an automated spreadsheet. Now my business has been somewhat outmoded.
Looks like I have to look for some new way to apply what I know how to do.
Meanwhile more people are able to access a virtual accountant than I could have ever served myself.
Suddenly accounting services become cheaper. I as an accountant would be possibly out of a job, accounting. But then what new opportunities and jobs will exist as a result of the change in the accounting industry?
Automating work be it material or mental is a wonderful opportunity.
But the problems of unemployment have yet to be addressed in situ, satisfactorily, AI or No.
That is precisely where we are now and then we have never been before....
the pareto distribution is maximizing
Another bar of intelligence may be it's ability to relate to lesser intelligences and different intelligences in positive ways (Example: Carl Sagan explaining the cosmos in lower IQ level language so they can get the important concepts.)
I am a retired manager of a robotic company. As such I studied closely everything I do in our retired life.
Nothing is close to be automated in my lifetime. The increasing portion of senior population desperately needs more competent assistance. Robots will be welcome to do that if they can. We have a long way to go on that.
REPLY
Interesting what about automated driving?
@@Benbjamin- I need a computer assised car soon because of Macular Degeneration of my vision. I have been waiting for a suitable automatic driving car. Nothing perfect available yet. Closest is Tesla for most conditions but not all.
I will probably buy a Tesla soon. Let you know if it really helps. I hope so.
@@willdehne1 Thanks, I hope it works great for you, I know they've made significant strides. Also, sorry to hear that. I hope advances in optometry are around the corner. With that being said, would you entertain the possibility of neuralink?
@@Benbjamin- No thank you. We will let Elon Musk lead the way. I am not that brave.
@@willdehne1 I understand.
AI and robotics do not scare me at all (of course I have undergrad degree in "Mechatronics" and thrive on the multidisciplinary environment of electronics, mechanics, computer science, network technology, etc.). But, as usual it is not tech. that should scare us, rather how the tech will be used, "nothing is evil in and of it self, but that the mind makes it so", I hardly think that if you want to build a fence around your back yard that robots are going to keep you from doing so, robots are not going to come in your kitchen and force you to put the knife down...but we may end up with (personal digital assistants?, hmmm, that sounds familiar) robots that will make suggestions on how better to build that fence, best way to roast leg of lamb while preparing two side dishes, etc. AI is already all around us, it may not look like a "Robot" but is already here, "The future's so bright, I gotta wear shades"!
THANK SIR, GOD BLESS AMERICA AND GREEECE-ROMAN
robots doing work should be taxed as human workers are
Fair point, although it fundamentally contradicts the purpose behind replacing humans with machines primarily.
@andybaldman. Thank you for pointing this out @19:54. Nobody has the answer to what the future of work is other than becoming entrepreneurs, inventors, and solving Adam and Eve type problems. What happens when they learn how to do that? Isn’t that the point of singularity? And they wonder why there is so much pessimism regarding the matter.
Chinese proverb says pursue a horse by riding a horse.
Skill of future: fast adaptation
Learn how to learn, is enough
The propaganda machine of forcing people to seek continuous acquisition of skills, not only according to employer's whims, but also on the expense of employees' time & money, remains very powerful in light of workforce becoming disposable. If only adaptation "opportunities" were fairly distributed, the world would be a better place.
Nice music
omg homer is alive!
Some relevant points but I believe that the up skilling element is just not viable with machine learning developing at an exponential pace there is no chance of people getting ahead of the curve when it comes to machine learning that can evolve a thousand times faster than we can. There id not an area of human endeavour that that Ai is not intruding into even the creative arts and even cooking and painting. In the past industrial displacement did ford opportunities for people to re train just because the pace of change was manageable today this model is just not even close to the speed of progress.Regulation and control from a human perspective travels much too slowly to maintain control.
Good speech, terrible slides. So 90ish.
The impression I get from this guy is when it comes to the next few decades he doesn't have a fucking clue as to what is going to happen, though it's highly likely his entire career is about to become redundant just like all the other number punching paper pushes. I believe this guy like so many others are absolutely desperate to find a way to maintain their way of life to ensure their entire education and way of thinking which they spent so many years developing isn't for nothing and doesn't go to waste, but honestly I think they are done for and good riddance to them.
I, for one, welcome our new AI overlords.
*19:55**: "A.I. is not going to replace the human mind." Many of your colleagues at MIT (and much of the A.I. community) disagree with you. The only question is when, not if.*
Slower wage growth has occured because we began to adopt more socialist policies in the 70s. Socialism is an economy killer.
The demise of unions is the reason for wage stagnation. Companys used to share productivity gains now they don't. They have to be coerced into paying a fair wage.
Awful, just awful.
Mr. Daron, a liar is not suitable for education, do not use "Prof." as your title, as iits a reputational title, and you are not entitle for this.