Dear Ken, please rewind to 21.08 where dealer draws 5 & you draw A + 6, hence you doubled down! However, after a player has doubled down, he has to draw one card only regardless! You cannot in this case stand on the original A + 6! Please correct me if I'm wrong! TQ
Just a boo boo on my part. That soft 17 would have got the 7 giving a 14. Then dealer would have taken next card. My whole point was and is....if you have a soft 13, 14,15,16,17 and dealer has 3,4,5,6... Double down in stead of just hitting.
Ken, during your soft 17 scenario, I would have liked seeing what happens, had you followed basic, put the 7 as your draw card and then hit the dealer 15 from the shoe. Same thing with the 12 vs 2. However, either way, the video was interesting. I'd like to know your thoughts on splitting and re-splitting pairs. Also, doubling on splits. Cheers...
From ace-ten:The no bust blackjck strategy is clearly foolish when facing a high upcard, when the dealer has a high probability of having a pat hand. It fares no better when you consider the chances across the spectrum of all possible situations. First, a player will be dealt a bust hand (one he will not hit by the no-bust rule) in 38.46% of all situations and as probability goes, he will lost 66.85% of them. This guarantees the house a 25.71% advantage over the player in these situations. Second, a no-bust player will only hit a hand of eleven or less, or a soft (hence unbreakable) hand of 12 to 16. This counts for only 26.63% of all possible two-card hands. What’s more, the chances are still 44.96% that the first hit will result in a bust hand-less than 17, but still breakable-and the player will also lose 66.85% of these. Finally, the probability that a player will be dealt a pat hand (17 or greater) at the onset is only 34.91%, and the chance of bringing an unbreakable hand to a tenable total only 14.65%. This gives the no bust player a 49.56% chance of making a tenable hand at all; there is no guarantee that these hands will win: the dealer has a 52.24% chance of beating a pat 17, a 38.37% chance of beating a pat 18, and so on. In the end, the odds are no bust player faces are even worse than if he had played his hand according to house rules which makes the no bust strategy a clear loser.
Yea, I'm not a fan of NB. There are lots of folks that are so I did want to do a video at least but with a basic( mine) to compare. But my main thrust is discipline and money management. How you play is important but cannot overcome bad MM and Dis.
@555 Craps Thanks Greg. I really appreciate your input. Truly. I'm going to do the back wall either tomorrow or Thursday. I got some tweaks and thoughts but I'll let you watch it first, then comment. Thanks again Sir.
Good stuff Ken. I'm still working on the discipline!
It is everything. Thanks.
Dear Ken, please rewind to 21.08 where dealer draws 5 & you draw A + 6, hence you doubled down! However, after a player has doubled down, he has to draw one card only regardless! You cannot in this case stand on the original A + 6! Please correct me if I'm wrong! TQ
Just a boo boo on my part. That soft 17 would have got the 7 giving a 14. Then dealer would have taken next card.
My whole point was and is....if you have a soft 13, 14,15,16,17 and dealer has 3,4,5,6...
Double down in stead of just hitting.
Plus you...the player can stand on any 2 cards you want to
Yes if you double, you only get 1 card period.
Thanks for another good video. No bust in most situations is definitely not the way to play long term. Keep the videos coming.
I agree 100%.
Thanks a million DR.
10:47 You covered both bets with your stack?
Thanks for your content Ken on all the games but especially the other aspects of play whether a table game or sports betting
Ken, during your soft 17 scenario, I would have liked seeing what happens, had you followed basic, put the 7 as your draw card and then hit the dealer 15 from the shoe. Same thing with the 12 vs 2. However, either way, the video was interesting. I'd like to know your thoughts on splitting and re-splitting pairs. Also, doubling on splits. Cheers...
If you double down on a soft 17 don't you have to take a card???
Yes. On a soft 17 you can stand, hit or double.
The extra card was irrelevant against the bust
From ace-ten:The no bust blackjck strategy is clearly foolish when facing a high upcard, when the dealer has a high probability of having a pat hand. It fares no better when you consider the chances across the spectrum of all possible situations.
First, a player will be dealt a bust hand (one he will not hit by the no-bust rule) in 38.46% of all situations and as probability goes, he will lost 66.85% of them. This guarantees the house a 25.71% advantage over the player in these situations.
Second, a no-bust player will only hit a hand of eleven or less, or a soft (hence unbreakable) hand of 12 to 16. This counts for only 26.63% of all possible two-card hands. What’s more, the chances are still 44.96% that the first hit will result in a bust hand-less than 17, but still breakable-and the player will also lose 66.85% of these.
Finally, the probability that a player will be dealt a pat hand (17 or greater) at the onset is only 34.91%, and the chance of bringing an unbreakable hand to a tenable total only 14.65%. This gives the no bust player a 49.56% chance of making a tenable hand at all; there is no guarantee that these hands will win: the dealer has a 52.24% chance of beating a pat 17, a 38.37% chance of beating a pat 18, and so on.
In the end, the odds are no bust player faces are even worse than if he had played his hand according to house rules which makes the no bust strategy a clear loser.
Yea, I'm not a fan of NB. There are lots of folks that are so I did want to do a video at least but with a basic( mine) to compare. But my main thrust is discipline and money management. How you play is important but cannot overcome bad MM and Dis.
@555 Craps Thanks Greg. I really appreciate your input. Truly. I'm going to do the back wall either tomorrow or Thursday. I got some tweaks and thoughts but I'll let you watch it first, then comment.
Thanks again Sir.
@555 Craps No worries.