Bond Vigilantes Voting Early: Why Rising Treasury Yields Are a Warning to the Fed

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 20 พ.ย. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 48

  • @Blair62
    @Blair62 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

    2020: WalMart frozen green bean, corn, carrots = $0.58 2024: WalMart frozen green beans, corn, carrots = $0.98 2020: fresh grapefruit = $0.78: 2024: fresh grapefruit = $1.38 2020: Gold $1800 2024 Gold $2700 What inflation?

  • @angelamontero9809
    @angelamontero9809 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Great summary and charts!! Many thanks.

  • @tmangeles7575
    @tmangeles7575 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great video, Ed. Like the short take approach. 👍

  • @jcd3869
    @jcd3869 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Good piece Ed thanks. ONe should notice that bond yields have risen but peaked in October/early November the past three years like clockwork. S&P returns for those years avg 8% from here to the end of the year.

  • @JK-zw8ec
    @JK-zw8ec 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Excellent analysis and summary. Timely and useful.

  • @lynnjohnson5511
    @lynnjohnson5511 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks finally someone that does not talk Greek! All my money is in bond income funds! I have less money in my portfolio now than I did in Jan 2021 and I’ve made no withdrawals! It’s hard to swallow!

    • @kirkhamster0024
      @kirkhamster0024 16 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Just hold till maturity. Enjoy the coupons and get the face value when it matures. Why worry?

  • @marcfd3756
    @marcfd3756 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Thanks for the balance you bring to market analysis. Much appreciated.

  • @RobboHouTex
    @RobboHouTex 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks for making your analysis available here.

  • @ttuck9603
    @ttuck9603 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Thank you Ed! Always appreciate your insights. Very enlightening!

  • @pureum1720
    @pureum1720 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Thank you always for the great insights- you have saved me so much money- I was shorting- and then I saw the market kept going up- listened to you- shorted less- went long more- I'm bullish on gold- it is what it is- a very uncertain world- Praying for the world- God bless us all-

  • @richardgordon
    @richardgordon 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Always enjoy Ed Yardeni’s take on things. One of the very best!

  • @starkest
    @starkest 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Thank you Dr Yardeni

  • @MehUnimpressed
    @MehUnimpressed 8 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Government employment is covering up the weakness in the labor market with debt

  • @jtrealfunny
    @jtrealfunny 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Yardeni has been doing basically this since the 90's and he brings a measured approach and a willingness to consider all possibilities that I really appreciate. He'll say things probably continue as they've been going, which has been right for years now in the midst of much hand ringing and bold predictions, and he will also point out the bond vigilantes starting to gather and either president is set to spend a lot of money. I have El Erian, Lynn Alden, and Doomberg as my youtube mt. rushmore, maybe I put Yardeni up there for his quiet consistency and record of being right.

    • @tastypymp1287
      @tastypymp1287 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Never 'Lynn' Alden.

    • @jtrealfunny
      @jtrealfunny 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@tastypymp1287 yea, ignore her.

    • @tastypymp1287
      @tastypymp1287 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@jtrealfunny I will ignore him.

    • @jtrealfunny
      @jtrealfunny 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@tastypymp1287 embarrassed for you

    • @dennykeaton9701
      @dennykeaton9701 24 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​She quite good

  • @dmo9314
    @dmo9314 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Thank you Ed, that was excellent.

  • @selma5885
    @selma5885 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Good overview... would love to know what portfolio he recommends for retirees.

  • @brianbruton
    @brianbruton 24 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you! I always appreciate your insights. The doomsday folks are squawking loudly so, it's good to hear your commentary.

  • @Mark-tm2zu
    @Mark-tm2zu 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Ed-Good analysis as usual. The bond is telling the Fed to hold and be one and done like you say. However, it is extremely costly to pay the Fed.’s interest. Oil is down and staying down even with Mideast action. If Powell holds in Nov., bond yields will rise further. I think Powell cuts by .25%. I am sure hoping Harris wins and has better economic policies. Trump is sounding more/more fascist and unstable!

  • @tylerwinkle323
    @tylerwinkle323 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    why does ed always ignore commodities prices including gold?

    • @ma2i485
      @ma2i485 24 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Maybe because he is not a gold proponent

  • @KingKoin88
    @KingKoin88 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Recession likely next yr, every cycle Wall Street cheerleads for SoftLanding, their economist blind sided by in your face housing crisis etc 😂

  • @faridgumilar2613
    @faridgumilar2613 24 วันที่ผ่านมา

    ISM PMI Manufacturing, job market, US consumers indicator (retail sales, average hourly earnings) all show weakening condition. what does the fed need more to be sure to implement more rate cut?

  • @donwatson1330
    @donwatson1330 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank You

  • @tastypymp1287
    @tastypymp1287 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I feel like there's other important data being ignored here.
    Like the Beige book....

  • @nitemoves3157
    @nitemoves3157 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Technically, I’m still of the opinion the yearly chart is gonna form a shooting star. NQ.

  • @robertjosan
    @robertjosan 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Those employment number are fraudulent numbers to showcase the incumbent , over 800,000 revised jobs numbers. You lost credibility right in the beginning of your video .

    • @tastypymp1287
      @tastypymp1287 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Even Powell said the numbers are likely artificially high!

  • @dennisw8026
    @dennisw8026 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Market would like a split congress, gridlock.

  • @nickhurley2472
    @nickhurley2472 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Your intro is too long

  • @ssuwandi3240
    @ssuwandi3240 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Only when unemployment is creeping above 4%>>Harris fiscal policy has been painfully silent and this us when Trump's fiscal is necessary

  • @MattMatusiak
    @MattMatusiak 24 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Based.

  • @martinross6416
    @martinross6416 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Yardeni vs Lacy FIGHT!

  • @rodneybohannon6947
    @rodneybohannon6947 24 วันที่ผ่านมา

    liked it

  • @nohopeequalsnofear3242
    @nohopeequalsnofear3242 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Hold on.. your stock market bull?