Quick maths: 12/53 x 11/52 x 10/51 x 9/50 x 8/49 = 95040/34436220 = 792/2869685 = 0.00027598847 = 0.028% chance of drawing 5 swamps off the top off a keep with 3 in the opener. That's roughly one out of 3600 games. If you played this deck and had and opener with 3 swamps 10 times every day its likely you would see that happen once a year.
@@KevinC137 the 12/53 and so on means the chance to draw one of the 12 swamp left in the deck out of the 53 cards left in the library. you then multiply it by the "second event" which is now 11 swamps in 52 cards and so on (5 times in this case since he drew 5 consecutive swamps). Shuffler is fine.
@@KevinC137 so u basically multiply each chance of drawing any swamp from the library. first chance is 12 swamps out of 53 cards which u multiply with the second chance that now is 11 swamps out of 52 cards and so on for 5 times (the number of time he draw the consecutive swamps) and you get (after multipling for 100) the % chance of that event happening. Shuffler is fine.
he calculated dependent probabilites. every remaining swamp/every other card in deck left+the remaining swamps. then you have to multiplicate with every following event. therefore after the first drawn swamp 11 left instead of 12 and 52 left cards instead of 53. you could do the same with odds simply by dividing throu every other card leaving out the swamps. odds are chances against failures. probability are not quite the same. nice games yow
Love the boros match flaming you with emotes like they're some masterful player when they couldn't even handle you screwing with a single source of black mana
@@empirate100is that an Arena streamer? Haven't heard of him, and can't find his name anywhere on Google. I was gonna try to find if he had a vid of the same game. I was curious how someone would justify the bm to their own audience.
I think the monored guy said "oops" because he cast the monstrous rage before attacking, where if he waited you might've blocked with dreamthief. Don't think he was trying to BM you lol
Either that or he attacked Lilliana by mistake. There's almost no circumstances I'd give up a face hit for 6-7 there against a fully tapped opponent, with Lilliana on only 1 loyalty.
I made my mono black deck's sideboard based on your new deck, so that I can downgrade my mana curve in classic. CGB, why do you not run any Shoot the Sheriff?
Even tho it's extremely low, the draw is not random due to the shuffler. So... It happens way more often. I actually did draw more than that. Started with 3 lands on my domain, drew 7 more in a row 😂
I'm not very good at evaluating cards within a format, but over the years I've gotten better at evaluating cards individually. What exactly is wrong with Deep Cavern Bat? This is the first time I've seen it but Duress was played in every black deck it was legal to play it in so what about attaching it to a body makes it undesirable? What am I missing?
Mostly the fact that it's easily killable and they get the card back when it dies. Cards similar to the bat have seen play before, to varying effectiveness, but they are certainly more unreliable than cards like duress since the stolen card isn't gone for good.
Steven lokao 😂😂😂 his opponent is screwed on black mana for 6 turns, and steven spams emotes like he did the plays of the century. typical day on mtga u always get one of those morons
StevenLokao fazendo o BR passar vergonha… CGB com um pântano apenas fazendo o cara passar sufoco. E ainda manda um early good game e não fechou o jogo no turn. Que fracasso.
Love this deck, though I have learned that the lands that are/make creatures are pretty important, as they give you a fallback vs control board clears, and in grindy match ups.
I like the video! I do prefer longer content, however, I 100 percent support doing what it takes to not burn out. And going to Amsterdam... let me just say visit the cafe, wander around downtown, get lost, and then find yourself some sweet 3 table Argentinian streakhouse. A great way to spend an afternoon.
@@FrenchCanadianGuy It makes them stand apart because it's a bad system. There's a reason modern CCGs don't make 1/3+ of your cards bland resources, and turn 5% of games into blowouts against a paralyzed player.
@@kylekonop4801 I want to say, you are right, but if there was no land then it would change a bunch of other mechanics. Also, it's like a Luck stat check in an RPG.
23:12 I have never seen Arena auto assign combat damage in that way. It knew to only assign 1 damage to each creature to get the full deathtouch effect instead of doing the full 2 damage to the first creature. Good on Arena but I wish this was more visible during the damage step
![White/Black Vampires | Ranked Standard [MTG Arena]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/yJs0MDlWgoo/mqdefault.jpg)
Quick maths: 12/53 x 11/52 x 10/51 x 9/50 x 8/49 = 95040/34436220 = 792/2869685 = 0.00027598847 = 0.028% chance of drawing 5 swamps off the top off a keep with 3 in the opener. That's roughly one out of 3600 games. If you played this deck and had and opener with 3 swamps 10 times every day its likely you would see that happen once a year.
I was wondering how rare it was 😭
Bro. I’m pretty bad at math. Would you mind explaining explains how you got that formula?
Like why 12/53x11/52 and so on.
I’m just trying to learn.
@@KevinC137 the 12/53 and so on means the chance to draw one of the 12 swamp left in the deck out of the 53 cards left in the library. you then multiply it by the "second event" which is now 11 swamps in 52 cards and so on (5 times in this case since he drew 5 consecutive swamps). Shuffler is fine.
@@KevinC137 so u basically multiply each chance of drawing any swamp from the library. first chance is 12 swamps out of 53 cards which u multiply with the second chance that now is 11 swamps out of 52 cards and so on for 5 times (the number of time he draw the consecutive swamps) and you get (after multipling for 100) the % chance of that event happening. Shuffler is fine.
he calculated dependent probabilites. every remaining swamp/every other card in deck left+the remaining swamps. then you have to multiplicate with every following event. therefore after the first drawn swamp 11 left instead of 12 and 52 left cards instead of 53.
you could do the same with odds simply by dividing throu every other card leaving out the swamps. odds are chances against failures. probability are not quite the same.
nice games yow
Love the boros match flaming you with emotes like they're some masterful player when they couldn't even handle you screwing with a single source of black mana
Steven Lokao making the ultimate effort to prove himself a douche to an audience.
And with the least creative deck in the format, pathetic
Thought the exact same thing. Some people are just sad little losers, even when they do manage to win.
Frustration spam. Boros and still in low Diamond at the end of the season.
@@empirate100is that an Arena streamer? Haven't heard of him, and can't find his name anywhere on Google. I was gonna try to find if he had a vid of the same game. I was curious how someone would justify the bm to their own audience.
Watching the game against Boros convoke right now. That is some major cringe 😢
that matches malone dude is pretty cool!
damn, wrong account!
IDK. Dude's always talking about Grimace, but Hamburglar is better.
@@scottwrathfon9872yes grimace! But what does grimace mean? I never understood
Yeah, he is!
That boros convoke player spamming emotes as if he only won thanks to his mastery and pure skill at the game is so cringe.
It's hard to think that Sheoldred the apocalypse is not a staple anymore
Yeah the dies to doom blade nature made it not as potent as it could be. Also the absence of a lot of midrange and most being either aggro or control
Maybe now I can pick one up for commander sometime in the next decade for less than $60
@@samv697 but she's black, she don't die to doom blade! 😉
@stefanoriva1738 she does have a throat though
@@edkolbe1850And could use a map or two.
2:58 “I’d never pitch you to March, Liliana!”
Fast forward to 21:44…
I'll miss the Marches cycle after rotation
Farewell channel lands :(
@@NickTemperistic Farewell Farewell :)
OK, now I understand why I'm suddenly facing so many mono black players TYVM CGB !
I think the monored guy said "oops" because he cast the monstrous rage before attacking, where if he waited you might've blocked with dreamthief. Don't think he was trying to BM you lol
Either that or he attacked Lilliana by mistake. There's almost no circumstances I'd give up a face hit for 6-7 there against a fully tapped opponent, with Lilliana on only 1 loyalty.
I made my mono black deck's sideboard based on your new deck, so that I can downgrade my mana curve in classic.
CGB, why do you not run any Shoot the Sheriff?
I haven’t played in a couple months, but I’ll definitely click for monoblack
for not liking the bat, mfer puts the bat in any deck with black in it
What's the odds of 5 straight lands after a keep? Pretty damn good according to arena 60% of the time that's how my games go 😂😂
Even tho it's extremely low, the draw is not random due to the shuffler. So... It happens way more often. I actually did draw more than that. Started with 3 lands on my domain, drew 7 more in a row 😂
But if the curve stops at 3, is it really midrange? Or is it aggro in disguise?
New to magic , I built this deck but it says that 20 cards are invalid? Did some cards rotate in the last 2 months?
I'm not very good at evaluating cards within a format, but over the years I've gotten better at evaluating cards individually. What exactly is wrong with Deep Cavern Bat? This is the first time I've seen it but Duress was played in every black deck it was legal to play it in so what about attaching it to a body makes it undesirable? What am I missing?
Mostly the fact that it's easily killable and they get the card back when it dies. Cards similar to the bat have seen play before, to varying effectiveness, but they are certainly more unreliable than cards like duress since the stolen card isn't gone for good.
@@alexanderblixt1221 People would play it if all it said was "look at your opponent's hand."
The best remedy against Mana Screw is to saddle a Bronco.
Is this rotation proof?
Just getting back but this looks fun.
That Boros player emoting should be the face of magic atm. Just get a cringe 1/1 deck and spam it to mythic.
To CGB's credit, he DID say he dislikes the bats only IF you're not closing out the game... Looks like [black] coffee is for closers on this one.
Too bad to lose against stupid opponents like the Steven guy, but sometimes they just draw the cards, played that game well despite the mana screw tho
Just saying I'm a mono black player by heart from Onslaught and this list is way too fun
Steven lokao 😂😂😂 his opponent is screwed on black mana for 6 turns, and steven spams emotes like he did the plays of the century. typical day on mtga u always get one of those morons
StevenLokao fazendo o BR passar vergonha… CGB com um pântano apenas fazendo o cara passar sufoco. E ainda manda um early good game e não fechou o jogo no turn. Que fracasso.
Hey CGB do you play Elden Ring or any other games when you arent on MTG arena?
"Chatty little red deck gamers." Love it
Bronco nation, let's ride.
It still looks like Sheoldred should be ran in some number just because of how much card draw is in the deck, but I trust CGB w/ his deck building.
I feel like one less Gix and add an obliterator may be a better mix
just thinking if you did have one of sheoldred and acla, if caustic hits op for 4 or 5 while getting the draw... thats actually insane.
Interestingly, Bronco doesn’t actually draw a card. It reveals the top card and puts it into hand, which doesn’t trigger draw effects.
Tbh I think the mono red player wasn't BMing. I think they realized that going face was the play.
Love this deck, though I have learned that the lands that are/make creatures are pretty important, as they give you a fallback vs control board clears, and in grindy match ups.
CGB loves DCB!!!
I like the video! I do prefer longer content, however, I 100 percent support doing what it takes to not burn out. And going to Amsterdam... let me just say visit the cafe, wander around downtown, get lost, and then find yourself some sweet 3 table Argentinian streakhouse. A great way to spend an afternoon.
Is anyone else try this deck. I’d love to craft it!!
Really leaning hard on the “nothing that costs more than 3” strat in Bo1.
MegaMogwai is an awesome channel, thanks for recommending! I’ve also been watching more Swayze while you enjoy your much-deserved vacay
The Rank pips tell the sad story of midrange in current standard, feelsbadman.
I’m a simple person. I see mono black, I click.
this deck only draw lands 😂
Back in Black i hit the sack
i mean, you're playing 24 land with 3 being the top cmc. i'd drop like 2 for sheoldred
CGB x Falcon
I thought only Malone could play MonoBlack decks 🤣
Have fun!
Sheoldred is gone? 😅
Cool Kids Club > Mesa Falcons
It's amazing how greedy you made your mana base despite it being mono color.
Either you flood or you color screw, I hate Arena sometimes
Ahh cgb and his incredibly greedy mana bases
buddy 5 swamps is nothing ive got 11 turns only getting land
No bming!
Just change your name to DCB already. I hate the bat 😂
I hate deep cavern bat
You are wrong. It's literally the best card in the game.
Guys, shitposting works! Apology accepted CGB 😂
!
But cgb….
Gotta love how rigged Arena is sometimes. That Boros game was ridiculous. They were playing terrible as well.
Remember, this game's lead designer thinks the mana system's lands are one of the *best things* about Magic.
@@kylekonop4801are you surprised they say that something that makes them stand appart, is some of their best feature?
You are salty my friend
@@FrenchCanadianGuy It makes them stand apart because it's a bad system. There's a reason modern CCGs don't make 1/3+ of your cards bland resources, and turn 5% of games into blowouts against a paralyzed player.
@@kylekonop4801 then, play those games?
@@kylekonop4801 I want to say, you are right, but if there was no land then it would change a bunch of other mechanics.
Also, it's like a Luck stat check in an RPG.
that's not a midrange deck, lol. top end of your curve is 3cmc
23:12 I have never seen Arena auto assign combat damage in that way. It knew to only assign 1 damage to each creature to get the full deathtouch effect instead of doing the full 2 damage to the first creature. Good on Arena but I wish this was more visible during the damage step
It always does that for deathtouch and trample
Why video so short? Laaame XD
CGB running half a deck full of land and then complains about the flood.
Seriously, in this low curve mono color type deck you need like 18 lands, and hes running 24
It always bug me a little when I draw something like more preachers than swamps in a mono black deck
Wow really pushing the envelope when it comes to deckbuilding aren't ya bud