I wonder who produces this show? Do they care about people watching? If so can they watch the successful ESPN broadcasts. During the coverage of the main event no active number of how many people left. Constantly asking people to like and subscribe. It's like boomers who've never watching content online took over the greatest poker tournament in the world and were like I know what people want, a paywall and for our commentators to say like and subscribe over and over .
In fact they even want people to pay for an annual subscription to PokerGO , because they offer a $20 off bonus code it's pretty annoying for the people that just want to see this one tournament which is the biggest one in the year. ppv is not even available...
My thoughts exactly. That was more of a punt than Kristen's. He is jamming into a 4 bet having to get through 2 other players and on final table no less. What do I know though. Too afraid to even play a $100 buyin.
Astedt is like a computer running all of the numbers and figuring out his decision before he even moves. Absolute baller. Brian Kim is one of my favorite players as well. This whole hand is incredible. Great street poker with the button opening wide, Brian being capable and exploiting it and Astedt being flawless in his play 🔥
Fish are commenting the punt, but they don't appreciate the 4b induce with TT. Most people would shove or fold with TT there and they get no extra chips
@@sonbaoho No. You're never supposed to cold call a 3bet there from the BB in this distribution. You should rarely cold call three bets, unless someone is already all in.
It's been this way for multiple years and it's valid since it doesn't block A5s that can 4b/f obviously and 99 and potentially TT since Lena almost folded.
I noticed a strange issue: 1. **Angelov's original raise:** 4,600,000 2. **Kim's 3bet:** 11,800,000 3. **Difference:** 11,800,000 - 4,600,000 = 7,200,000 Based on this difference, Astedt's minimum 4bet should be: 11,800,000 + 7,200,000 = 19,000,000 However, in the picture, it shows Astedt raising to 18,000,000, which is indeed less than the minimum raise required by the rules. According to the rules, his raise is not valid; the minimum should be 19,000,000. Therefore, Astedt's raise is indeed less than the minimum raise required by the rules.
@@russellalesi5715dealer said 18 million out loud AND you can see him put in 3 grays (5 mil a piece) and 3 pink (1 mil a piece). Was just an oversight by dealer and maybe everyone because no player nor commentator brought it up
@Cerealkiller050 hey bro...I had the sound off and just watched...calm down bro...humans make mistakes...you too...and that extra million had no bearing on the premises...only in your pedantic skull...
@@untouchable360x when did this term “blocker” become a thing? Like “oh I have a king so it’s impossible for him to have king king or a stronger king”. I saw another comment on another punt video about “well he had the jack of diamonds so it’s unlikely the other guy had a diamond draw” lol I know, cause you have one diamond the other guy can’t have 2 in his hand
@@Nasdupree9090This blocker became a thing ever since people started using solvers. Only thing blocker is supposed to do is show the obvious chance of them having the same card or same suit is lower than chance of them having other cards. But just because they have lower chance, they assume they dont have it. Thats where the leak is of the blocker mentality. That's what OP was making fun of. Just because he's holding K6, of all the range of hands Astedt can hold, he has lower chance of having KK than AA, QQ, JJ, TT. And indeed, he was right. 😂
why is the 4-bet to 18 mil? it should be to 19 mil. Kim raises 7.2, from 4.6 to 11.8. So, the min raise should be 7.2 and the total should be 11.8 + 7.2 = 19
Yes ur right. Kim's hand was a punt for sure. I've seen him play a lot he plays well usually. BB is never ever folding here after the 4b with those stacks
but brooo its easy to say like that.. but if you know LENA he is such a agresiive player which can 4bet some garbage.. and thats what he thought i think
He saw the monster stack 4-betting pre flop and assumed they had a weaker hand like theirs probably lol. A pair of tens ain’t exactly a hot hand either
bluffing is how you win. you cant just rely on lucky coolers to cash big. its always a punt when they run into the nuts but its genius when it works. poker is a ridiculous game
@@russellalesi5715 I don’t play I make my money in sales. Poker is stupid unless you’re an autistic gto nerd that wants to grind hundreds of tournaments and deal with variance.
@@russellalesi5715 I don’t play. Poker is stupid. Where do you play? You a big winner? Pretty sure you’re not cus you wouldn’t have asked me that petty question. Would love to see you’re lose rate
Brian and Kristen should sit down together for a cup of coffee, then honestly ask each other the same friendly question: “What the f… were you thinking?”
This really isn't a punt unless you're playing against nits. Lena absolutely should be caging Kim with the 4bet. I'll give you some free coaching since the nits and fun players are out in droves. The btn's range is basically irrelevant as it's so wide so Kim knows that and elects to 3bet bluff, Lena being the absolute end game online boss that wins everything decides to 4b. Which can be a lot wider than people realize since it can get btn to fold a vast majority of their range and also Kim can't really flat (hence using the minbet; I know it wasn't a legal bet, moving on). So that's why he clicks it back. With those dynamics in mind Kim has a hand that blocks a decent bit of stuff that calls like KK and AK. Unsure what KQs does for Lena but you get the idea. It also unblocks 99-QQ which most combos are calling but it's not like he's in terrible shape vs any of those, plus TT wanted to fold here but had to call ultimately.
His main mistake was to not count the chips. 1) Astedt just has to call $35.9M to win $114.4M 2) Astedt had so many chips over so even losing this hand He would’ve had $117M on chips…so That move could’ve been done if Kim had more chips and put Astedt on verge of elimination.
I once punted K6 suited preflop on BTN jam 15BBs with 20 players left in a 2k player field. That was a $600 tourney so Brian makes me feel a lot better 😂
Another sometimes easier way to calculate the min raise is to double the last bet and take away previous bet, 11.8 * 2 - 4.6 = 19, same equation rearranged. Dealer made a small error, no biggie. Players are also responsible for following the action and can (and should?) speak up if they see mistakes, but none of them did.
K6 suited all in preflop after grinding for 9 days to get to the final table. I guess all that poker does take a toll on your mind. I was hoping he would take it down since seeing him play on live at the bike. Maybe if he was deeper that all in would work but opp is basically priced in with his 10s at that point
are you implying they "let" him not do a full legal min. raise? at the biggest tournament on the planet? moreover, you're implying they DID let him do that, AND if he made it a measly extra 400k, Kim folds instead of jams? this is why poker is not dead.
I just watched this hand back again on the highlight reel and, as Lon astutely points out, players don't have to double the raise but they do have to match the raise of the last player. Unfortunately, Lon failed to notice that Astedt did NOT match the previous raise and was a million short if the graphics are correct. 4.6 to 11.8 is a raise of 7.2, but 11.8 to 18 is only a raise of 6.2. I realize this is inconsequential to the outcome of the hand but any dealer at the final table of the WSOP should have noticed.
He was targeting Angelov, but on his reckoning he didn't think Nicklas would even consider calling or raising behind him. This was sickening to watch. Nicklas to dominate and will have no opposition on the run in now, unless someone luckboxes.
Analysis: It’s always an interesting dynamic when play folds around on the button late in a tournament as stacks are short and picking up blinds and antes become essential to survive & win. In truth, most players struggle with button vs blind play as most common poker theory dramatically changes in this spot. Some players will relentlessly defend their blinds especially to the more than standard 2x raise late in a tourney claiming they have enough pot odds to justify a call with rags out of the BB. In most cases, making these calls will just have you bleed more chips over time and have you make more mistakes as you are at a big disadvantage post flop being both out of position, have no betting lead, or a range advantage. In this hand Angelov has an unsuited Ace on the button and there is no reason not to take a stab at the blinds. He raises a little more than 2x which I like a lot as a bigger button raise deters the blinds from defending and if they choose to defend than they put themselves in a disadvantage with a bigger pot. Kim picks up K6 suited in the SB and in most cases, you are just going to muck this hand, but Kim decides to take a stand with this hand. I like the play using this as a raise or fold strategy from the SB, but think he is much better off doing this with a suited wheel Ace. Astedt in the BB picks up a real hand with his pocket 10’s - he is the massive chip leader and covers both players combined. Calling here with his stack would be the worst thing to do as 1010 oop 3 ways becomes a much weaker holding. What is interesting about his 4 bet was how small it was at is only a min 4 bet. If I was in this position covering both players only have 1/3 of my stack at risk - I would have made a 4 bet around 26-30M, put both players to the test and most likely take the pot down preflop, but I’m not a world class bro - his 4 bet sizing gets an easy fold Angelov. Kim now decides to take a stand and shove against Astedt representing a big hand. I love the heart and these are plays you have to make to win a big tournament - but the timing is probably wrong. Hard to think Astedt is bluffing with his 4 bet here and bullying around these two, but Kim who had a rough start at the final table losing a large portion of his stack to Griff when his nut flush ran into a Griff boat might have been tilting a little. This isn’t exactly an easy call by Astedt as Kim is representing a huge hand & Astedt is hoping that he is in a coin flip situation as he doesn’t block any AA-JJ. Let’s look at the math and range Kim is representing. Kim’s 3 bet in the SB followed by a shove is representing the top range. AA-JJ, AK, mixing in a few bluffs on this range chart - Astedt is a little more than 40%. It costs Astedt 41M to win a pot of 114M almost 3-1 needing him to be a 33% dog to be mathematically correct. If you factor in ICM and the fact that Astert only has to risk 1/3 of his stack and if he loses is still second in chips it’s a fairly easy call. Turns out he was way ahead and a 68% favorite. Astedt called hit his set on the flop, the turn gave Kim a flush draw but a brick river gave Astedt the hand. Of course, everyone will look at this play and think it’s an insane move by Kim. This is a genius 4 bet by Astedt as he is almost forcing Kim to do anything but fold with this small sizing and shows why he is one of the best in the world. Kim had the right idea but the wrong situation here - as folding to the 4 bet would have put him as the bottom stack but still not that far behind the field. Kim who was second in chips to start the final table had run into some tough luck and unfortunately was probably a little tilted in the heat of battle on this one here.
Dealer tells him he owes one more after Kim jams because I think earpiece let him know it was illegal. If Lena folds he’d have had to put in the extra million.
Just let Lon call it the kitchen. It is, after all, where everything starts cooking. Even though I call it a window myself. I can't even call it the door, like a few others do.
There was a Big mistake from the Dealer and nobody noticed, Kim raise 11.8 so 7.2 mil on top of Angelov 4.6, Astedt should raise minimum 19mil but instead he raise 18mill.
Everyone being outcome dependent here. 99% of the time Kim has AK+ including bigger pocket pairs the majority of that 99% of the time. This was actually a bad call with TT. Just happened to work this time
I agree. 1010 4bet then facing shove should have you worried. Even if it's a potential bluff. This is the WSOP final table....how many more will you make. Is 1010 worth it?
@@karanswaich9601 correct. Facing a 5bet TT is just a bluff catcher. And how many people are bluffing in the main final table? Not many. Maybe less than 5% of the time ever in that spot is someone bluffing. He just happens to catch him bluffing with a very very bad hand and flopped a set. Overall in the long run this is a - EV call. But hey It worked out. Happy for him
@@antzooma if you think it’s a punt. Ask yourself this. If Kim had QQ+… and he called off 26bb with TT after being 5 bet would you think that’s also a punt?… if your answer isn’t also that it’s a punt. Then you are being outcome biased… Because calling off with TT after being 5 bet is equally bad too…
![ทางเดินชีวิต - ธีเดช ทองอภิชาติ x อ.ไข่ มาลีฮวนน่า [Official MV]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/1f3wcG16dd4/mqdefault.jpg)
Putting a player break right in the middle of your one hour preview of the final table was one of the dumbest things you could have possibly done.
I wonder who produces this show? Do they care about people watching? If so can they watch the successful ESPN broadcasts. During the coverage of the main event no active number of how many people left. Constantly asking people to like and subscribe. It's like boomers who've never watching content online took over the greatest poker tournament in the world and were like I know what people want, a paywall and for our commentators to say like and subscribe over and over .
In fact they even want people to pay for an annual subscription to PokerGO , because they offer a $20 off bonus code it's pretty annoying for the people that just want to see this one tournament which is the biggest one in the year. ppv is not even available...
6:09 for a second I thought he went in to kiss Tonkaaa 😂
Lol, play it back at half speed and Tonka looks disappointed that he didnt get a kiss too😂😂❤😢
@@MOONRAK3R23 looks? he was
😂😂😂 It really looked like that for a second lol
Tonka looked excited for a second!
@@Charlie_Seswho wouldn’t be maaan? Kappapride
Brian Kim thought he was Rampage for a minute there. 😂
They're equally bad.
@@mastershredder2002 and equally Asian
Its Ramptard , that’s a true name
Dey cuzzins
He saw Kristen Foxens punt and said "I can do better".
My thoughts exactly. That was more of a punt than Kristen's. He is jamming into a 4 bet having to get through 2 other players and on final table no less. What do I know though. Too afraid to even play a $100 buyin.
Kristen's was worse
@@slugeramayeah but who 4-bet raises pre-flop with a pair of 10s? Wild on both sides lol especially for such a large prize pool
That's why none of us are in the wsop main final table, no imagination, you're always criticizing, much less empathy
I'm thinking of getting a pepperoni pizza
Gives a one hour review but has 20 min of a break. And turns the comments off.
Sux
That was BS …
Impressed by Astedst poise and demeanour
Hes a different level. Been to more FTs than all of the rest of the final table probably x5
@@wesleyb1458 more like x100
Solid, early favourite
His shove will get called with ATC...how can he shove 20BB with ICM?
I understand the 3 bet...ok...but that shove was completely stupid...
@@abrahampiep9800 yeah probably lol I was being conservative
Never 3-bet from the small blind with a crap hand for 25 % of your stack when you have a fearless player with a monster stack in the big blind.
Astedt is like a computer running all of the numbers and figuring out his decision before he even moves. Absolute baller. Brian Kim is one of my favorite players as well.
This whole hand is incredible. Great street poker with the button opening wide, Brian being capable and exploiting it and Astedt being flawless in his play 🔥
Fish are commenting the punt, but they don't appreciate the 4b induce with TT. Most people would shove or fold with TT there and they get no extra chips
He had position on Kim so the better play was to call there with TT.
@@sonbaoho No. You're never supposed to cold call a 3bet there from the BB in this distribution. You should rarely cold call three bets, unless someone is already all in.
@@JeffZuccMusk you are supposed to cold call 3 bet when you have a pair under JJ especially when you are in position (Kim was SB)
@@sonbaoho Not sure if you're trolling. You're supposed to 4bet non all in, 4bet shove or fold.
@@JeffZuccMusku make me sick
K6s is the new A5s
Negreanu: suited Kings are “in”!
It's been this way for multiple years and it's valid since it doesn't block A5s that can 4b/f obviously and 99 and potentially TT since Lena almost folded.
Practically same score in blackjack, practically the same hand
@@andylymbo He didn't almost fold 10s, at all.
@@andylymbo "almost folded" lol. He was never folding, just getting a count.
Both Kim and Foxen thinking they block AK mindset
Every calling it a punt, I an calling it a sick induce by Lena900 with the sub min click.
You are wrong. Its a punt. I have no idea where GTO-nerds come up with these fantasies.
You guys should add Kim's exit interview at the end of this video, it was nice to hear his thoughts.
I noticed a strange issue:
1. **Angelov's original raise:** 4,600,000
2. **Kim's 3bet:** 11,800,000
3. **Difference:** 11,800,000 - 4,600,000 = 7,200,000
Based on this difference, Astedt's minimum 4bet should be:
11,800,000 + 7,200,000 = 19,000,000
However, in the picture, it shows Astedt raising to 18,000,000, which is indeed less than the minimum raise required by the rules. According to the rules, his raise is not valid; the minimum should be 19,000,000.
Therefore, Astedt's raise is indeed less than the minimum raise required by the rules.
Unless the graphics were wrong...
@@russellalesi5715dealer said 18 million out loud AND you can see him put in 3 grays (5 mil a piece) and 3 pink (1 mil a piece). Was just an oversight by dealer and maybe everyone because no player nor commentator brought it up
Get all the players back, replay the final table
@@jffy9005 any more really stupid posts there cupcake?
@Cerealkiller050 hey bro...I had the sound off and just watched...calm down bro...humans make mistakes...you too...and that extra million had no bearing on the premises...only in your pedantic skull...
I had to rewind and make sure he didn't kiss Tonkaaaaa. 😂😂😂
Rampage would be proud
It’s ramptard
Not enough patience 😂😂😂😂
Ray Guy be proud of that punt , greatest punter ever in the nfl
Go Raiders
The balls to try that kinda move with that kinda money on the line is respectable tbh though it went to shyt real quick. I would've NEVER. Gg
Foxen punt is the craziest ever!
Brian Kim: hold my scarf
Thank you "blocker" mentality for another punt. He "blocks" AK and KK. He was right.
He blocks himself from winning the main event
If you are referring to Kim, he wasn't right. That's a weak hand to play with almost 50M in chips. He basically gave up. Same thing in 2022.
@@untouchable360x when did this term “blocker” become a thing? Like “oh I have a king so it’s impossible for him to have king king or a stronger king”. I saw another comment on another punt video about “well he had the jack of diamonds so it’s unlikely the other guy had a diamond draw” lol I know, cause you have one diamond the other guy can’t have 2 in his hand
@@Nasdupree9090This blocker became a thing ever since people started using solvers. Only thing blocker is supposed to do is show the obvious chance of them having the same card or same suit is lower than chance of them having other cards. But just because they have lower chance, they assume they dont have it. Thats where the leak is of the blocker mentality. That's what OP was making fun of. Just because he's holding K6, of all the range of hands Astedt can hold, he has lower chance of having KK than AA, QQ, JJ, TT. And indeed, he was right. 😂
brought to you by the Rampage school of punting
Ramptard is his name
huge fail thinking you're funny
@@slowery43 triggered cause its true
Rampage will like this punt !!! 😂
why is the 4-bet to 18 mil? it should be to 19 mil. Kim raises 7.2, from 4.6 to 11.8. So, the min raise should be 7.2 and the total should be 11.8 + 7.2 = 19
Shouldn't the min 4! be 19m? or am I tripping
Lol yeah you are right, guess it didn’t matter when they got it in pre anyway
You’re right. The 3-bet was for 7.2m more, and 11.8 + 7.2 = 19. Illegal 4-bet that went unnoticed
Yes ur right. Kim's hand was a punt for sure. I've seen him play a lot he plays well usually. BB is never ever folding here after the 4b with those stacks
Correct
Lon mentioned raise size and it didn’t match to what it should have been. $19milly was min raise
Solid punt
Not really a punt, just a loose play that they got outplayed on.
EPIC PUNT!
The main event final table is just a turbo sit n go now
think about it, is the correct spot jamming into a monster stack with king 6 suited? is that the spot? no, no it is not.
thanks captain obvious
wow you should really start playing tritons! you would crush all those fish like brian kim
but brooo its easy to say like that.. but if you know LENA he is such a agresiive player which can 4bet some garbage.. and thats what he thought i think
He saw the monster stack 4-betting pre flop and assumed they had a weaker hand like theirs probably lol. A pair of tens ain’t exactly a hot hand either
@@David-ij2ss right, all the fish nits are projecting their nitty tendencies on Lena. Like this is a BTN/SB/BB hand so it doesn't get wider than this.
A lot of these players channeling their inner Matusow.
I like tens too but that was risky biz on both ends of the hand there. Interesting to see for such a huge prize pool !
I also went shoves K6 suited on a final table last night
But it was 3 handed in a $40 turbo..
Didn't want to be outdone by Foxen with epic punts
Deion Sanders took that 70 yard punt to the house ! 🤣🤣🤣🤣
bluffing is how you win. you cant just rely on lucky coolers to cash big. its always a punt when they run into the nuts but its genius when it works. poker is a ridiculous game
Where do you play?
@@russellalesi5715 I don’t play I make my money in sales. Poker is stupid unless you’re an autistic gto nerd that wants to grind hundreds of tournaments and deal with variance.
@@russellalesi5715 I don’t play. Poker is stupid. Where do you play? You a big winner? Pretty sure you’re not cus you wouldn’t have asked me that petty question. Would love to see you’re lose rate
Doug please make a video on this one also. I'm curious 😇
I was so hoping Brian would win this thing.
Parker sweating the hardest lol
Brian and Kristen should sit down together for a cup of coffee, then honestly ask each other the same friendly question: “What the f… were you thinking?”
Vanessa Selbst thought this was a bad punt
solid punt
This really isn't a punt unless you're playing against nits. Lena absolutely should be caging Kim with the 4bet. I'll give you some free coaching since the nits and fun players are out in droves. The btn's range is basically irrelevant as it's so wide so Kim knows that and elects to 3bet bluff, Lena being the absolute end game online boss that wins everything decides to 4b. Which can be a lot wider than people realize since it can get btn to fold a vast majority of their range and also Kim can't really flat (hence using the minbet; I know it wasn't a legal bet, moving on). So that's why he clicks it back. With those dynamics in mind Kim has a hand that blocks a decent bit of stuff that calls like KK and AK. Unsure what KQs does for Lena but you get the idea. It also unblocks 99-QQ which most combos are calling but it's not like he's in terrible shape vs any of those, plus TT wanted to fold here but had to call ultimately.
@@andylymbo punt
@@abrahampiep9800 sure thing nit fish. Keep telling yourself you know better than an LA pro with 7.5m in prizes.
His main mistake was to not count the chips. 1) Astedt just has to call $35.9M to win $114.4M 2) Astedt had so many chips over so even losing this hand He would’ve had $117M on chips…so That move could’ve been done if Kim had more chips and put Astedt on verge of elimination.
I once punted K6 suited preflop on BTN jam 15BBs with 20 players left in a 2k player field. That was a $600 tourney so Brian makes me feel a lot better 😂
yeah his punt definitely traveled further than Foxen
Great play by Lena inducing the shove by clicking it back with 10's. I would not have the cojones to induce with 10's
All in with K,6!?!? How did this person manage to get to the final table?!?!
how can he 4bet to 18 million when 3bet was a raise worth 7.2 million and 11.8+7.2=19?
Because dealers make mistakes and can't math, and other players know to mind their own business and say nothing
Another sometimes easier way to calculate the min raise is to double the last bet and take away previous bet, 11.8 * 2 - 4.6 = 19, same equation rearranged.
Dealer made a small error, no biggie. Players are also responsible for following the action and can (and should?) speak up if they see mistakes, but none of them did.
The dealer does announce "this has to be one more" just after Kim Shoves all in at 3:52.
2:48 Bro, those cups behind Kim made me think I was having blurry vision.
K6 suited all in preflop after grinding for 9 days to get to the final table. I guess all that poker does take a toll on your mind. I was hoping he would take it down since seeing him play on live at the bike. Maybe if he was deeper that all in would work but opp is basically priced in with his 10s at that point
I don’t mind the play but certainly not against the chip leader who can afford it. Gotta pick your spots there.
Its better to do against the big stack bc he has more 4bet bluffs. If a smaller stack 4bet here its always a premium so K6s can just snap fold
One of the few rational comments
The best part? Astedt knows the legal min raise there is to 19 but if he makes it 19 Kim folds. What a sicko
are you implying they "let" him not do a full legal min. raise? at the biggest tournament on the planet?
moreover, you're implying they DID let him do that, AND if he made it a measly extra 400k, Kim folds instead of jams?
this is why poker is not dead.
@phisharkk genuine question, how do you act smart and yet not recognise sarcasm?
@phisharkk, you fell right into the net like a big juicy salmon.
The 4 bet sizing made him think I can get him to fold 99 1010 AJs AQoff but his stack was too short 53 left behind if he had 80 it works
Kim wanted to go full foxen just once, but you never want to go full foxen
I thought it worked when he Jammed
what a dumb play
The year of the PUNTSSSSSS LOL
Tonka more nervous than Lena 😁
What’s hilarious is Jboogs or whatever on the Hustler stream was like I pick Kim to win it! Hahahahhahaha
It’s always fun playing on Hugewin.
Shouldn't Astedt's raise be 19M?
I love how tonka is in it with his buddy.
I miss the day whens the WSOP main event was free to watch in full on youtube - all alongside the hundreds of other videos they've paywalled.
I just watched this hand back again on the highlight reel and, as Lon astutely points out, players don't have to double the raise but they do have to match the raise of the last player. Unfortunately, Lon failed to notice that Astedt did NOT match the previous raise and was a million short if the graphics are correct. 4.6 to 11.8 is a raise of 7.2, but 11.8 to 18 is only a raise of 6.2. I realize this is inconsequential to the outcome of the hand but any dealer at the final table of the WSOP should have noticed.
For sure a punt but on a smaller scale than the play that Foxen made with 13 left as a 6th place stack tbh.
He was targeting Angelov, but on his reckoning he didn't think Nicklas would even consider calling or raising behind him. This was sickening to watch. Nicklas to dominate and will have no opposition on the run in now, unless someone luckboxes.
Excellent point...we all do this sometimes....and when the guy behind you raises you must pivot...unless he's leveling somehow which is rare...
nice play nice call…
Kim played the FT like he had a plane to catch.
3:14 isn’t the min 4b 19M then? Kim’s raise size was 7.2M (11.6M - 4.2M) so then it’s 7.2M+11.8M = 19M
That was the worst move I've ever seen in televised poker
Analysis: It’s always an interesting dynamic when play folds around on the button late in a tournament as stacks are short and picking up blinds and antes become essential to survive & win. In truth, most players struggle with button vs blind play as most common poker theory dramatically changes in this spot.
Some players will relentlessly defend their blinds especially to the more than standard 2x raise late in a tourney claiming they have enough pot odds to justify a call with rags out of the BB. In most cases, making these calls will just have you bleed more chips over time and have you make more mistakes as you are at a big disadvantage post flop being both out of position, have no betting lead, or a range advantage.
In this hand Angelov has an unsuited Ace on the button and there is no reason not to take a stab at the blinds. He raises a little more than 2x which I like a lot as a bigger button raise deters the blinds from defending and if they choose to defend than they put themselves in a disadvantage with a bigger pot. Kim picks up K6 suited in the SB and in most cases, you are just going to muck this hand, but Kim decides to take a stand with this hand. I like the play using this as a raise or fold strategy from the SB, but think he is much better off doing this with a suited wheel Ace. Astedt in the BB picks up a real hand with his pocket 10’s - he is the massive chip leader and covers both players combined. Calling here with his stack would be the worst thing to do as 1010 oop 3 ways becomes a much weaker holding.
What is interesting about his 4 bet was how small it was at is only a min 4 bet. If I was in this position covering both players only have 1/3 of my stack at risk - I would have made a 4 bet around 26-30M, put both players to the test and most likely take the pot down preflop, but I’m not a world class bro - his 4 bet sizing gets an easy fold Angelov. Kim now decides to take a stand and shove against Astedt representing a big hand. I love the heart and these are plays you have to make to win a big tournament - but the timing is probably wrong. Hard to think Astedt is bluffing with his 4 bet here and bullying around these two, but Kim who had a rough start at the final table losing a large portion of his stack to Griff when his nut flush ran into a Griff boat might have been tilting a little. This isn’t exactly an easy call by Astedt as Kim is representing a huge hand & Astedt is hoping that he is in a coin flip situation as he doesn’t block any AA-JJ.
Let’s look at the math and range Kim is representing. Kim’s 3 bet in the SB followed by a shove is representing the top range. AA-JJ, AK, mixing in a few bluffs on this range chart - Astedt is a little more than 40%. It costs Astedt 41M to win a pot of 114M almost 3-1 needing him to be a 33% dog to be mathematically correct. If you factor in ICM and the fact that Astert only has to risk 1/3 of his stack and if he loses is still second in chips it’s a fairly easy call. Turns out he was way ahead and a 68% favorite.
Astedt called hit his set on the flop, the turn gave Kim a flush draw but a brick river gave Astedt the hand.
Of course, everyone will look at this play and think it’s an insane move by Kim. This is a genius 4 bet by Astedt as he is almost forcing Kim to do anything but fold with this small sizing and shows why he is one of the best in the world. Kim had the right idea but the wrong situation here - as folding to the 4 bet would have put him as the bottom stack but still not that far behind the field. Kim who was second in chips to start the final table had run into some tough luck and unfortunately was probably a little tilted in the heat of battle on this one here.
a punt rampage poker would be proud of.
4-bet size is too small. Not my chatpro opinion (obv, it’s Lena). I mean it’s illegally too small. Minclick would be 19m.
it was purrfect sizing to suck in the donk
I think the graphics had to be wrong.
rewatched graphics are correct and not a legal 4 bet size
Dealer tells him he owes one more after Kim jams because I think earpiece let him know it was illegal. If Lena folds he’d have had to put in the extra million.
@@clownworld8403 so they let a final tablist of the biggest tournament on the planet not do a legal min raise amount? lol k.
I miss The ESPN broadcasting
Great to see Kristy Arnett Moreno in the stands. Still looks fine after all these years.
Rocking the scarves 😂 Looking for some attention
I had no idea Ric Flair was a dealer now
Kristen, hold my beer!
My pocket tens never coming through.
Ten was not in the kitchen. Also where tf is the kitchen? I thought it was the window.
Just let Lon call it the kitchen. It is, after all, where everything starts cooking. Even though I call it a window myself. I can't even call it the door, like a few others do.
also, typically your kitchen has a "window" in it; though, I've heard of and referred to first card turned to make the Flop called the "window card"
Lon is a tool
Wow what an awesome poker event. Too bad I only got to watch 18 minutes of the 1 hour preview.
If it got through yall would call him the best ever though. He’s got balls. Takes moves like that to win it all.
Tonka sweating harder than Astedt 😂
Tonkaaaa looked more nervous than Lena
When I have tens, jacks, queens or kings and get 5 bet jammed on the guy normally has aces. What a lucky guy
Hes going to be kicking him self for that
Nothing but PROS here folks
Is Rick flair son a professional poker dealer now😂
4:17 😈
ridix. Doing that to the big stack.
How can you all in with a chip leader that cover you 3to1 in chip which doesn't make any sense
9 days of tournament , a lot of pressure ...
your argument doesn't make any sense, the guy is a short stack covered by everyone
@@antzooma he is not cover by anyone idiot there were only two chips left that are above 100 millions
This could have been a 10 second video
Isn't 19 million should be the min4bet size? 11.8 minus 4.6=7.2; so 11.8 plus 7,2=19
Funny how you tile it mega put but with Foxen it's 10 million hopes shattered. The people trying to say that wasn't a punt from her LOL 😅😅😅😅
Punt of the tournament
Lena could have (and 9.5/10 players would have) shoved but decided the best route to maximum value was to min raise, what an animal
Well he should have some bluffs there as well if he is playing a solid balanced strategy so it’s hardly an amazing induce
lol cash games > tournys all day... the tourny chip price inflation completely alters the game imo.....
4 bet size is awful tbh. I like Kim's play but maybe with something with more connectivity and not sure how out line BB has been in the game.
A 3bet against the button withK6cc is fine, but both Angelov and Kim's sizing are too large. It's a clear and easy fold to the 4bet
There was a Big mistake from the Dealer and nobody noticed,
Kim raise 11.8 so 7.2 mil on top of Angelov 4.6, Astedt should raise minimum 19mil but instead he raise 18mill.
I would imagine the graphic was just wrong.
Everyone being outcome dependent here. 99% of the time Kim has AK+ including bigger pocket pairs the majority of that 99% of the time.
This was actually a bad call with TT. Just happened to work this time
I agree. 1010 4bet then facing shove should have you worried. Even if it's a potential bluff. This is the WSOP final table....how many more will you make. Is 1010 worth it?
@@karanswaich9601 correct. Facing a 5bet TT is just a bluff catcher. And how many people are bluffing in the main final table? Not many. Maybe less than 5% of the time ever in that spot is someone bluffing. He just happens to catch him bluffing with a very very bad hand and flopped a set. Overall in the long run this is a - EV call. But hey It worked out. Happy for him
its 26bb lol
@@antzooma if you think it’s a punt. Ask yourself this.
If Kim had QQ+… and he called off 26bb with TT after being 5 bet would you think that’s also a punt?… if your answer isn’t also that it’s a punt. Then you are being outcome biased…
Because calling off with TT after being 5 bet is equally bad too…
@@SwayPromo ermm i'm saying it's not a punt, you are saying it's a punt ? can you sort out your own argument before replying
I would "think" 20 min
Does Tonkaaa have a piece?