Peter Zeihan Says: No Interest Rate Cuts For YEARS | My Reaction and Disagreement
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 12 พ.ค. 2024
- Peter Zeihan's Full Video: • Much Higher Interest R...
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Peter Zeihan gets EVERYTHING wrong all the time. i have no idea how he is supposed to be an expert on geopolitics when everything he says is wrong
He was only right about his prediction russia invading ukraine by 2022. Evweything else has been a miss.
Zeihan is funded by Zionists
Zehan assumes that Frying Saucers are actually Fried Eggs.
I say Eat it raw.....
He's the Andrew Huberman of geopolitics
I was gonna say this guy's take on all things geopolitical is always wrong. He's basically a mouthpiece for the institutions.
Whenever Peter Zeihan releases a video, the experts on the topic explain why he is wrong.
Because Peter is commonly wrong. He makes it too easy.
They explain their "opinion" why they think he's wrong. So somehow he's always wrong but someone else explaining why he's wrong is always right? They are debating his ideas. Doesn't mean they are incorrect. That's how this shit works. No one on earth has the answer for everything. Infact most of the shit you hear from Brian is just his opinion. Plenty of people release videos talking about why they think he's wrong. But I guess you have to rah rah your team.
Peter Zeihan Lies and makes up random nonsense. Total Leftist.
Sure buddy. Like you? Lmoa
@@ch-yq5yn Opinion on Opinions
There will be no interest rate cuts until something breaks!! It's always this way
Or if it looks like Biden will bungle the upcoming election.
I 100% agree. And they absolutely shouldn’t cut yet.
And the government is not letting anything break…. They keep bailing the victim out ( printing away)
It's an election year!
I hope they don’t cut this year, otherwise inflation thru the roof
Its already thru the roof, i guess it’ll be to the moon 🚀
@@Miguel-cz9fh 🚀!!
Completly wrong. If they dont cut the rates they need to print more money just for serving interest payments.
But if they cut rates, inflation will re-ignite. Screwed both ways.@@Artur-gn7ym
@@Artur-gn7ym They print money to serving interest payment every year that why the debt keeps growing this fast.
Waiting for some type of wild animal to get him😂😂😂
This made me laugh! 😂😂😂
I feel bad for the animal that eats him the guy is mostly full of sh!+.
Peter is more of a politician than an educator, he uses his knowledge of geopolitics to argue a worldview he wants to happen rather than analyzing things in an objective sense. He does this by over focusing on evidence that supports his predictions and under representing those that go against it. He’s trying to move the US to where he thinks it should be by trying to convince enough people that his approach is the most sensible and beneficial one, like a self-fulfilling prophecy. He’s a part of the establishment so he’s clearly biased with how he wants things to be. I dont dismiss his points outright since he clearly knows more about the stuff he’s talking about than the average person, but it’s obvious he has an agenda with how he communicates said information. In the end, time will reveal whether he’s right or wrong.
This is an absolutely splendid comment thank you for the breathe of fresh air.
I watch Brian because he’s not about click baiting 😆. Informative and tells it like it is. Sometimes truth hurts. But I’ve learned more from watching Brian than any other “oh no house market crash “ channel. Thanks!
I think Commercial Real Estate will fall first.
It is falling now.
Honest question, why do you think this? Thanks.
@@joshuaperry6091rate reset, won’t be able to afford the debt
@@widehotep9257 lol someone doesn't watch the rest of Brian's vids
Already is
How is unemployment going to go down when they’ve manipulated the data with part time jobs (Uber, restaurants, hotels etc)?
Man facts 💯
I suspect many un-Americans are filling job positions which throws the numbers off...
Oh please
Because people are claiming unemployment benefits…
Peter wants us to cry from hopelessness. I’m with Brian.
Brian wants you to live in delusion
We simply cannot predict what our government will do, because government is fully controlled by special interest groups. Even with high inflation they can cut interest rates and print more money.
And why can’t they get the spending under control and less printing. That can be every 1 to 2 years or something. This is crazy, do they want this country bankrupt and poorer than it is with that debt.
The super wealthy are gaining more wealth at record levels. They are not going to have their puppets in Washington rain on their own parade.
Who made it legal to print FIAT money? I read news article where they found counterfeit money looking for suspect.
I hope rates stay over 5 for a long time.
Why
I sleep better knowing my money isn't in stocks...
@@Zygote1205 I'm 50 and I've been praying that rates went up over 5 before I retire. This could be the event. Most people my age or younger have never seen the benefits of 5% interest as we are seeing now. Like the homey below said, I'd rather be getting 5% in my savings account than put it at risk for 8% in the market.
Yes I’m with you I can finally make money with money and not go into the gamble house of the stock market
@@roymoxley2587 It's the right call right now I think. So much investment money is in the market right now instead of housing that when housing adjusts...watch out s & P.
There is so much misinformation on TH-cam being people are in it for monetization. This is the only channel I trust and why I had subscribed.
I trust you more than anyone else. I've been with you for 31/2 yrs now and you haven't been wrong yet
16.5 years?
Beginning of 23 he predicted tech to crash further and energy stocks to spike. The exact opposite came true all year. This year however…
Before 2018 he wasn’t even making TH-cam
@@tyguy9456 It's a good thing 31/2yrs was after 2018.
NEVER just blindly trust ANYONE.... ever.
I don’t think they will raise rates. But I do think they need to raise them.
100%, it is the only way to control inflation, number 1 priority right now.
Agreed
That makes no sense whatsoever.
@@samuelmonreal9035read it again
@@samuelmonreal9035it’s a pretty clear statement. How does it not make sense, maybe he can elaborate
That guy is very disconnected from reality in a lot of topics.
Yup, and people believe that guy
Peter speaks on logic. Everyone else thinks with emotion
Most rich people are.
@@greatbear237197he makes the most sweeping in depth statements about China (and other countries) all the time and he’s never even been there. He speaks with absolute and smug authority about EVERYTHING.
@@growinglifeorganic940 and your perspective is of better quality because you aren't financially there?
I don’t think there’s enough oxygen going to Peter’s brain when he’s on these high altitude hikes.
I want to Scalp Peter pecker eater before someone else claims that hairpiece. Not kidding.
I am with Brian.
I am Brian
So you're voting blue in November?
@@mithall4198 Please tell me that's a joke. Brian is planning on voting for Brian?
@@sleepteam Ho Lee Fuk U need to work on your reading and comprehension.
Rate cuts = Super inflation (maybe hyper inflation)
Rates will stay higher for 15-20 years
They are really trying crush this economy.😅
its all based on debt anyways, is that even really an economy?
kind of the opposite. theyre trying to stop a fast collapse. best they can manage is a slow burn, everything is still burning to the ground instead of exploding. make it take 10 years to actually collapse instead of 2. if things collapse, they cant deny that. when everyone is homeless or broke theres no ignoring it. but if things are slowly going downhill, a few layoffs here, some higher prices there. everything gets harder for us, but looks better from them. they can pump numbers when it happens slow.
Ship is sinking faster than most believe...
How so
@@bansheezsyes … because all economies are debt based
I am on SSDI where does that leave us? We have been waiting for a $200 Social Security increase that seems like it is not going to happen
Same boat as all the people that were waiting on their student loans to be forgiven. It was all lies to manipulate votes
Thank you Brian happy Monday everyone!
Happy Monday J.cvaltierra!
If 4-5% rates holds inflation at 2%, why would they cut?
Interest has nothing to do with inflation when government spending is causing the problem. Fed interest is essentially just another tax.
Politics...
We went years at virtually zero interest rates. We can finally get some return on our savings.
I love it.
You would have 80% profit by investing in some stocks or real estates just 10 years back from today.
WE NEED RATES TO GO MUCH HIGHER TO BRING DOWN INFLATION. PERIOD.
Never happen in an election year.
NO, we need to hold and allow the government to hold corps accountable, ie grocery store supply chains.
@@lumpyrex007 So the government can overspend all it wants, have the Fed buy up all the US treasuries with freshly printed money, but somehow our corporations have to take these worthless pieces of paper at full value, even as their purchasing power plummets ? WHY DO YOU LET YOUR SPENDTRHIFT GOVERMENT GET AWAY WITH CHEATING YOU, BUT SOMEHOW PRIVATE ENTITIES HAVE TO MAKE UP THE DIFFERENCE ? Serious question. Why can't the party responsible for this mess clean it up, why do corporations have to lose money because of this government's evil acts ?
If you look at the average fed rate over the past 62 years, its right around 7%. So thinking that interest rates are high right now is simply flawed thinking. This is "normal." So Peter Zehan is probably close to bring correct...
exactly. And even if they wanna lower interest rates, they will let the governments give that money out at subprime.
Debt has never been this large, though. So this isn't unusual in terms of the ratio.
I agree, no need to cut rates
I agree that we will not see cuts in many years. 😢
Interest rates need to go alot higher!
Why
@@Zygote1205till he losses job
I agree
I'm begging that they raise interest rates at least to 7% - ideally higher
We've had artificially low rates for too long. It's time to correct the mistakes of the past
Last time they raised rates didn't a load of banks go bankrupt?
Going to lower rates just exacerbates the problem! Need to reduce housing cost profits!
Not going to happen. Too many Washington donors are getting rich off the current situation.
Agree lowering rates will just cause inflation to go up more quickly
Housing profits? It’s called inflation
well, if they don't cut before elections in november, why they would cut rates after 2024?
TO Play same BLAME GAME "It wasn't ME!"
Because something will break after election.
Because something will break after the election.
I hope the fed doesn’t lower rates anytime soon.
Isn't this the same guy who said that Bitcoin is going negative at Joe Rogan's podcast 18 months ago. Sure I will pay attention to this intelligent man 😂
How many Heartbeats would it take for
Bitcoin to go negative?
When the US Treasury struggles to support the FED,
who will support Bitcoin in a Currency Crisis?
Unemployment rate is also BS because they’re doubling counting gig workers. For example if someone drives for Uber and does DoorDash or is also a house cleaner or works for USPS, they are counting that as TWO jobs. Real unemployment rate is closer to 10%
Did they count ai Robots jobs too?
Peter always dropping some encouraging false information.
Then why do people even watch him?
@@CreativGamingbecause he parrots an agenda and certain people fucking worship that narrative
@@CreativGamingzehein deep throats verbatim whatever he's told to believe. Remember the Federal Reserve "not even thinking about thinking about raising interest rates"? They raised rates shorter thereafter.
He's tied into the P3ntagon. Fyi
@@CreativGaming Because farm animals like hay
Finally, the forest, and not just the trees.
Not only is Peter a statist, he’s incredibly hubris and smug about what he says.
When people are literally begging them to raise interest rates, that is a sure sign that they are too low.
Who is begging?
@@mattportnoyTLV
People
@@mattportnoyTLVme
Who's "literally begging" the fed to raise rates, the doom and gloomers that want to see the economy crash and millions of people to lose their jobs?
No cuts any time soon, although expecting no cuts over 2 years is a very unrealistic view.
Why is it unrealistic. Corps and governments and people were warned to change up. We were all given the oppurtunity and warning to make changes while the rates were low.
Rates wont cut, ever. Those interest rates were TOO low
I agree with you. The crash will happen FASTER than Peter thinks because of technology
who ever gets a general AI working first will make bank, and every one that can be replaced by it will loose their job.
"Because of techology" wow great point i agree makes total sense
Yup
General AI ain’t going to happen until the underlying architecture changes
Brian, you said rate cuts was happening this Spring, but it’s not. Why such push for rate cuts? Why not price cuts? Any rate cuts will put the US at hyperinflation scenario, which is the absolute worst case scenario possible.
I had a %12 mortgage when Jimmy Carter was president. Cd's at the bank were at %10. So I have no fear.
17 week T bills are paying at 5.3%.. I can live with that
Was the average home 10x the average salary?
@@oldscratch3535, this!
You’re old, this isn’t even comparable to 40 years ago 🙄 homes and living expenses cost 💲 20x’s more.
And your house cost $80,000
I love every video you post. They are very meaningful and informative. Today, the wholesale rose 0.5 %, which is high. It's very concerning to me.
Consequences of end cycle of a dying currency
Well well well
@@consequences9803 😆
Good, I think they should raise them more.
Its obvious that Peter has Handlers.
They are “ALWAYS” going to INTERVENE.
We fcked it up already. Why STOP now? 😂😂😂
My friend just got laid off. Job market is weakening every single month. His specific company slid off a total of 8% of their workforce.
We need higher rates.
These are normal rates. No cuts needed . Maybe raise the rate 1 to 2 more % just might end this inflation run.
you convinced me. previously I thought due to high inflation Fed will keep the rate high for a longer time than we expected. but you mentioned “we can not afford a recession”, which convinced me that Fed will cut rate very soon, otherwise US government and people will have bigger problems than inflation.
I also agree with Peter. If they drop interest rates we will automatically go into hyper inflation. We currently can't control inflation.
Ziehan is the new Jim Cramer.
People don’t buy nothing, car or house
That’s the only way this will fix itself
US Treasury can't pay interest if Fed don't lower the rate
china needs to fall first. They are far more leveraged than the usa.
That’s exactly right as the big con game continues
I agree with Peter. I absolutely agree with Peter 100%. And I would probably say that 2 to 5 years could be a very beginning, considering how long interest rates were kept down at the floor at 0%. So I fully agree with Peter and I'm finally glad that there's somebody that's saying what truly is gonna end up having it. Because we already know that interest rates are not gonna go up for 24 so body. It's time to take your head out of your but I mean seriously. The country is going to explode if those interest rates go down.
No rate cuts 2-3 yrs but after that ....not for decades
I hope they cut rates next year when I’m ready to buy with gods help I’ll be able to save 100k for a down payment.
The future is not ours to see.
The government should increase interest rates to double digits. Keeping them the same is bad. Lowering them would be even worse.
They should but they won't
In 1980 people were praying for 5 pct ffr.
Income inequality wasn't as extreme, though.
I swear this man matches his ties to the issues at hand... Today is dark purple meaning something depressing lol😅
Peter Zeihan is historically wrong in many of his predictions. He does have a good handle and idea of geopolitics and natural resources but not federal reserve monetary policy.
Zehan accommodates the wishes of investors seeking to buy
certain agreeable Political Prostitutes.
Gwine with the Flow.
He will just claim that his predictions are just “early.”
They really shouldn’t cut interest rates until asset prices decline or wages catch up.
Making money cheap to borrow will only start the cycle (over inflated asset prices) all over again.
isnt that how it usually goes after 2008 it took years to cut rates.
And there’s the wholesale inflation number. Interest rates are not coming down.
In the infamous words of the late great Stephen the Irishman " we're f00ked!" 😮😢
I'm sure this call will work out just as well as Peter's "Bitcoin is going to -$1000" call.
No rate cuts!? That will destroy most companies and small banks …
What is not discussed is the future downgrading of US debt. When this happens interest rates will remain higher.
I used to really believe in Zeihan's predictions. Now I watch him for the demographic facts and ignore everything else
Taxable items will need to remain high in order to maintain the yearly budget without the increase in the deficit.
i believe him. How are you gonna fight inflation when half of all us currency in existience was printed in last few years and they still keep sending billions overseas.
They wont cut interest rates until they get their "dividends"
Pretty sure he is like a govt agent
Dis info plant
yeah, and the birds are watching you...
He is. He has stated he works with US Department Of Defense
@@pmmackenzie1525 birds do watch people.
These are not high interest rates now, they are about where they should be. They are normal.
Very little is normal today.
This is not Your Daddy's Stagflation.
They never saw this kind of Debt in the 1980's.
When the 15% interest rates were common the debts were smaller.
the piles of Consumer Debt was not at $17 trillion.
This one could be interesting......
There’s a lot of people who failed Economics class and it’s finally showing
Gov't: Umm let's tax more to spend more..
Trump signed the Cares Act in 2020 and printed 13 Trillion dollars. At the time it was the most expensive bill ever signed into law. All that liquidity drove the markets up. Frenzy
Which is why inflation started to runaway in 2021, coincidentally one month after Biden signed a 1.8 trillion dollar boondoggle...
It's also one of the main reasons.We had such high inflation
Please don't ever stop this videos your viewpoint is helpful
Not only will they not cut they will go up. Hyperinflation is coming
I agree with you., I think the labor market will fall 1st.
Wow i just saw his video today and replied " hope your wrong"
*you're
@@christophejergales7852 honestly idc
@@DSNCB919 "I don't care. That's why I replied."
They can't lower rates for at least 6 years as inflation is the highest it has been in decades.
"from the New York Times" is all I needed to hear.
> Peter Zeihan
This guys wrong on everything. I don't know why we even spend time talking about him.
Just look at fast food prices to gauge where things are going. The dollar menu is gone now. A standard McDonald’s meal costs as much as a premium meal cost at a chain sitdown restaurant like TGI Fridays. That’s how you know nothing is getting cut anytime soon.
They just announced price changes coming
Ronald McDonald needs to eat too.
The dollar is only worth 64.3 cents last I knew
You were quick with this reaction. You are always on time and on point.
Peter Zeihan’s job is to speculate the possibilities not be correct.
Weathermen and Peter Zeihan are two protected classes that can be wrong all the time but still keep their jobs.
Brians Wrong ,, with fannie&freddie picking up the bank asset bailout, just after the Fed'd btfp,,>its obvious 'musical chairs'..
5%ish will be the floor needed..
The EU now yappin about cuts just to spur the dumb money too,,old game
Dont buy into any of it,,,
Real production/gdp rides above all waves regardless...
=end for speculators
Lazy first world westerners (i'm one) days of free ride are done
I expext rates to increase, before they cut. But i also expect something to break, and they will print more, leading to more rate hikes. I expext higher interest rates, and even higher inflation.
Probably won’t be for another year if I had to guess.
We’ve been broken, we are on our last piece duct tape right now.
Lol it's called duct tape. Your name is hilarious btw
@@nattypatty3667 dang, english class was boring lol
@@nattypatty3667 duct tape is the good stuff, but if you go to walmart its actually called duck tape. no joke lol
Peter needs to stick to hiking and counting babies. His bias is too strong with everything else.
He does not seem to be breathing so good as He proceeds downhill?
Hiking may not be that much of a Hobby?
1 point analysis based of demographics lol.
@@danielhutchinson6604 He's exhausted from all the BS he carries
Just because you graduate from Harvard does not mean you know everything nor make you smart
“Winter is coming.”
I watched many of his videos as well as Bryans, I value both of their opinions on subjects that affect American daily lives.
the guy glows so much that even he needs sunglasses