A Ban On Money Into China Is Imminent, Says Nicholas Glinsman

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 23 ต.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 366

  • @howardglenmartinez4473
    @howardglenmartinez4473 ปีที่แล้ว +29

    I am not from Wall Street, I know no one from Wall Street, and I have nothing invested in Wall Street, yet Wall Street has taken everything my country has and put it in their pockets. This is the story of Wall Street.

    • @dtsai
      @dtsai ปีที่แล้ว +3

      It's not just wall st. It's accounting. Just look at same thing in China and Russia. It's not Wall St. You have to make more money faster.

    • @itsallminor6133
      @itsallminor6133 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I love stocks, investments, wall street. The due dilligence or the gamble.
      But last couple decades, the street isn't in line with earnings. The government is intervening to much. You can be totally right, doing your homework, and still lose money from government or giant players just falsely rigging the market. The markets been detached from fundamentals. Also lots of politics, activists, has been embedded. It's not real any more. And the government, giant players, fake holding up of it, taking out the fundamentals these people stole my love from me. They've separated the market, and all its parts, from the underlying fundamentals and reality. Now 2 - 6 = 5. No one, even knowing finance, can go along with this its a fairy tale approach. Knowing markets don't help, when the actual market left the building. I've been totally 100% right on something or near 100%. Yet lost money as it went the other way. A lot of these forcasts turn out wrong. But not because the people are wrong. Because the markets fake.

    • @danman1287
      @danman1287 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      ​@@dtsai only the people in the US think like this... People don't think like that in Japan n in many countries

    • @danman1287
      @danman1287 ปีที่แล้ว

      ​​@@itsallminor6133 u just saw manipulation with printed money today...n the entire rally from the October low... Now they will sell to dumb money. The illusion of free mkts

    • @jonathanbatturs6359
      @jonathanbatturs6359 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      A very wise person (My Mother) once told me that Americas wealthy class is DIFFERENT than the wealthy class in other countries. Americas wealthy class is willing to ruin America in there quest for wealth, where as the wealthy in other countries want a disproportionate amount of the wealth, yet aren't willing to ruin there country to obtain that wealth.

  • @ivancho5854
    @ivancho5854 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    I had never heard of Nicholas Glinsman. Thank you for your talk with him. It was extremely interesting.

  • @ShirleYangZi
    @ShirleYangZi ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The great questions you asked are a powerful combination with the professor's excellent knowledge and communication skills.

  • @amunra5330
    @amunra5330 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Well this did not age well. China economy still going strong …..

  • @sjaw100
    @sjaw100 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    In China, there is high subsidies for healthcare. Retired also get pension. What nonsense when you say there is no such benefits for the people!

    • @GiorniVenibato
      @GiorniVenibato 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

      There is free healthcare in China!❤

  • @fredfrond6148
    @fredfrond6148 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    China’s trade surplus went from 50 billion a month to 80 billion a month over the course of 2023. The Chinese trade surplus is forty percent of India’s economy. But China is going down. 🤦‍♂️
    Notice he never says a number for everything. He just says that these numbers were a disaster but never says what the numbers are. Useless.

    • @GiorniVenibato
      @GiorniVenibato 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Americans are fooled by the media about China😂! China is not collapsing, US is!😢

  • @MoonBerryShrimp
    @MoonBerryShrimp ปีที่แล้ว +6

    26:22 We no longer have Fractional Banking, we moved to a "Sufficient Reserves" regime a year or two ago which set the Fractional Reserve Requirement to 0%. Too Big To Fail is now Official Fed Policy.

  • @zoeytank2921
    @zoeytank2921 ปีที่แล้ว +112

    As an elder millennial, one of the few advantages is having lived through the Great Recession. My advice. Reduce unnecessary expenses, increase your savings by investing in financial markets and do not sell. One thing I know for sure is that diversifying your income can help insulate you from much of the craziness going on in the world.

    • @graceocean8323
      @graceocean8323 ปีที่แล้ว

      “There’s more and more of a concern that incoming data is revealing that the Fed might be a little bit behind the curve than maybe they expected heading into this year,” said Bipan Rai, North America head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital Markets.

    • @mcginnnavraj4201
      @mcginnnavraj4201 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@graceocean8323 Only a good FA will be enough to guide you through the current market volatility. I've been speaking with an advisor for a while now, primarily because I don't have the necessary expertise or stamina to handle these recurrent market conditions. The fact that I made over $220K during this downturn proved that there is more to the market than the typical person is aware of. The greatest course of action right now is to have an investing consultant, especially for people who are nearing retirement.

    • @trazzpalmer3199
      @trazzpalmer3199 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@mcginnnavraj4201 We’re only just an information away from amassing wealth, I know a lot of folks that made fortunes from the Dotcom crash as well as the 08’ crash and I’ve been looking into similar opportunities in this present market, could this coach that guides you help?

    • @mcginnnavraj4201
      @mcginnnavraj4201 ปีที่แล้ว

      My Portfolio is managed by JEANNE LYNN WOLF, whom I found out about and contacted after seeing her on a CNBC interview. It has since acted as the starting and ending point for the games we have prioritized. If tracking is required, an internet search can be done.

    • @hannahdonald9071
      @hannahdonald9071 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Insightful. Your counsel couldn't have come at a better moment because I'm currently barely holding on. I'll do some research on her online before calling her.

  • @hammer6198
    @hammer6198 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Settle down Jack! You were hyped up in this interview! Let the man speak! 💯

  • @rd9102
    @rd9102 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    Best interview i have seen here in awhile. More of this please, good to see and mention Mark Mobius and stress to folks that going into China is NOT THE SAME AS getting out of China.

  • @BasslineHeavy
    @BasslineHeavy ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Fascinating stuff around China

  • @emmawang1999
    @emmawang1999 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I do not think that China is short of investment money. Now the middle eastern money starts flowing into China.

  • @detectiveofmoneypolitics
    @detectiveofmoneypolitics ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is still watching this very informative content cheers Frank ❤

  • @coliniveson2122
    @coliniveson2122 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Brilliant conversation. Always fascinating hearing from Nicholas. Also a big hat tip to Jack. Not only a very good interviewer but also the amount of information and research done to hold a two way conversation is very impressive.

    • @hakankinnunen3270
      @hakankinnunen3270 ปีที่แล้ว

      Jag börjar misstänka att 2023 kan bli starten på något som världen troligen aldrig någonsin tidigare skådat???????.
      Jo kanske romma rikets kolapps!?.

    • @hakankinnunen3270
      @hakankinnunen3270 ปีที่แล้ว

      Även om USA höjer skuld taket. Så är det inget annat än sparka burken lite längre framför sig!?. Detta löser ingenting!!!!! Troligen enbart gör problemet värre??????.

    • @hakankinnunen3270
      @hakankinnunen3270 ปีที่แล้ว

      Min pappa har tänkt på flytta in i sin stuga som inte går att bo i. 🤭. Han vägrar inse alla problem som finns!!!!!!!.
      Ja listan kan göras lång!!!!!!.
      Och min pappa har inget körkort!!!!!!!!. Och kan inte längre köra bil. Men han ska Fixa sin stuga.
      Detta kan bara sluta på ett sätt. Totalt kaos. Och pappa kommer att till slut kontakta mig!!!!! Och detta kommer då att svida big time. Jag vet inte idag om jag har någon lust med det??????.
      Mitt förtroende för pappa är borta.
      Vi för se om jag har rätt eller inte!?.

  • @dankurth4232
    @dankurth4232 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    A very detailed broad ranging interview and yet focused on the common denominator of deglobalization in particular decoupling from China. CRE crisis and decoupling are - against the obvious - at least indirectly linked by the FED‘s monetary tightening policy which simply accelerates the various transformations some for the better some maybe not so much

  • @andrewvare3173
    @andrewvare3173 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Hina is uninvestable anyway. Their property bubble literally dwarfs every bubble we are currently in.

  • @datboi449
    @datboi449 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    my previous client wants all employees to return to office. but they have hired so many they don’t have enough space for them all. even after a remodel of the office. they are already locked in to a 3 day a week mandatory for at least 10 years unless they have a huge amount of HR attrition

  • @Not_So_Weird_in_Austin
    @Not_So_Weird_in_Austin ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Blockworks always has insights you will never find on mainstream media

  • @QuiLe-qw5jb
    @QuiLe-qw5jb ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Good Video. Exposed some of what's CCP are about. We need a lot videos like this.

  • @desmondchan9766
    @desmondchan9766 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    NIcholas keeps talking about common law & common law of finance but on his own PPT (Reverse CFIUS) he points out that the US will do limit investments & enact clawbacks on foreign investment. Clawbacks are a euphemism for "was legal when you did it but now we changed our minds" which seems counter to free & open capitalism.
    Overall interesting interview and some valid points

    • @msimon6808
      @msimon6808 ปีที่แล้ว

      Free and open capitalism. Dr. Lonny Shavelson found that 70% of female heroin addicts had been sexually abused in childhood.

    • @rickjames18
      @rickjames18 ปีที่แล้ว

      National security needs trumps all (within reason).

  • @itsallminor6133
    @itsallminor6133 ปีที่แล้ว +18

    I love stocks, investments, wall street. The due dilligence or the gamble. Loved it since a child 40 + years.
    But last couple decades, the street isn't in line with earnings. The government is intervening to much. You can be totally right, doing your homework, and still lose money from government or giant players just falsely rigging the market. The markets been detached from fundamentals. Also lots of politics, activists, has been embedded. It's not real any more. And the government, giant players, fake holding up of it, taking out the fundamentals these people stole my love from me. They've separated the market, and all its parts, from the underlying fundamentals and reality. Now 2 - 6 = 5. No one, even knowing finance, can go along with this its a fairy tale approach. The s.e.c itself halting stocks. The band wagon groups, giant hedge funds. Way to many nefarious players. Knowing markets don't help, when the actual market left the building. I've been totally 100% right on something or near 100%. Yet lost money as it went the other way. A lot of these forcasts turn out wrong. But not because the people are wrong. Because the markets fake.
    So if you see all these people forecasts come out wrong, remember they may not so much be wrong and have studied the underlying quite heavily. Its that the games been rigged.

    • @letsRegulateSociopaths
      @letsRegulateSociopaths ปีที่แล้ว

      agreed.

    • @kye7967
      @kye7967 ปีที่แล้ว

      agree fully, it's always looked too rigged for a fair gamble

    • @regmalt3900
      @regmalt3900 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Agree totally same I know I,m right in my thinking however after20 years it,s getting HARD to maintain faith I,m running out of life !

  • @jonEmontana
    @jonEmontana ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Great guest and interview Jack. Very informative

  • @mitchellmccallum9778
    @mitchellmccallum9778 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Chinese aren't consuming, chinese were always cheap, profit margins don't exist. Xi certainly doesn't want people to have 2 cars or even houses in the american context, it just isn't possible to make them cheap enough, the interviewer is way off in this rebuttal. Glinsman is right, finance IS next, its already starting to happen.

  • @josephfdunphymba3241
    @josephfdunphymba3241 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Jack talking wsy too fast. Nick is clear snd understandable.

  • @DavidGBlair
    @DavidGBlair ปีที่แล้ว +3

    SVB was not a risk management issue, it was a corruption issue.

  • @vanila2012
    @vanila2012 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    US also dictates the agriculture by the department of Agriculture by subsidy to farmers not to grow certain crops. Just diff way to deal with I suppose.

    • @ivancho5854
      @ivancho5854 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      True, however the market can overpower the state in the US system, whereas in an authoritarian regimes this safety valve is absent.

    • @o2807
      @o2807 ปีที่แล้ว

      markets will let people starve to protect profits, presentday authoritarians do not, so as to protect their resource of last resort

  • @davidrichards1741
    @davidrichards1741 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    Greetz from a family office investor (my family) in Singapore. Clearly, this act would be among the worst own-goal scored in modern history, as Ray Dalio explained, who knows something about money & finance.
    The US has the worst NIIP in the world (which means Net International Investment Position) and China has the best. That means the US is (by far) the biggest debtor on earth and China is the world's biggest creditor (plus China has ~180K tonnes of total gold sovereign + individual ~50/50 versus the US ~8K total tonnes of sovereign gold, unaudited and possibly zero in reality). For decades, the US used to be the world's largest creditor nation, and Britain was before that. But today the US is a mathematically insolvent nation and, per the unparalleled bank analyst Chris Whalen of Institutional Research Advisors, every US bank is technically bankrupt too.
    So in these desperate circumstances, with all the financially-surplus countries de-dollarizing ASAP, especially the rich ones in the Middle East and Asia, some fool in the US decided to initiate a capital war? LOL. That's like taking a knife to a gunfight.
    As Dalio just wrote, "A capital war will bring the US to its knees and possibly be its great undoing.". Also in a related piece per Dalio, "The US is now a poor country that thinks it's still a rich country. China is now a rich country that thinks it's still a poor country". This will end badly for the declining US and hasten its demise. Quite dumb, which is rather fitting for the Biden admin I think.
    Better for everyone to try getting along better and work together more instead of engaging in this kind of mutually destructive nonsense.

    • @TR-xr4ut
      @TR-xr4ut ปีที่แล้ว

      Not again. If China is winning, why whine?

    • @Fanta....
      @Fanta.... ปีที่แล้ว

      there is no such thing as getting along. its kill or be killed as china is showing. They don't want to play by the rules, they want to enforce their own. It's simply no longer viable for two countries with vastly opposing systems to be compatible.

    • @kennethli8
      @kennethli8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Stop repeating what the CCP paid you to spread misinformation. Michael Pettis, finance professor at Beijing University for over 20 years, who understands China's economy more than anyone, proven that the de-dollarization is bull crap since the 1970s. Also, Dalio was proven wrong over and over on his Principal book with his bias, lying claims that China will overtake USA. As Macro and Money on TH-cam have stated, "Ray Dalio's China Analysis Makes No Sense" and he has reached out to Dalio's publishers for answers to his flawed claimed but they were too scared to respond. th-cam.com/video/s1iv0q_SW3E/w-d-xo.html Are you WuMao?

    • @kennethli8
      @kennethli8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      All your explanations do not make any sense since those with surplus are not willing to take a huge haircut. Also, it's been proven that your bogus claims were concocted by the Russian and CCP. 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Good try, WuMao! 🤣🤣🤣

    • @shanghaiffgg
      @shanghaiffgg ปีที่แล้ว +2

      China is in dire straits. Their population is collapsing, property bubble finally bursting, the post zero covid economic rebound isn’t happening, inward investment is collapsing, export related activity especially in the south has collapsed, unemployment especially youth unemployment is rising steadily. Ideologically Xi is pulling them further away from the west so a trade realised rebound is unlikely materialise.

  • @montakute1328
    @montakute1328 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Sorry but I'll defer to the detailed counter view by Ray Dalio who has lived there and knows the score & ppl well. Who to believe, a tin-pot nobody here or a self-made mult-billionaire investor who founded and owns the best, most successful hedge fund on the planet? Hmm, no-brainer.

  • @JB-jkhb1972
    @JB-jkhb1972 ปีที่แล้ว

    Excellent

  • @warntheidiotmasses7114
    @warntheidiotmasses7114 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    4:35 Why did you cut him off on BRI? that's pretty damned important.

  • @jayleo8350
    @jayleo8350 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    His assessment of two ongoing decoupling processes is perhaps correct. But there is serious lack of in-depth analysis. That requires good understanding of how prevent global economics work, and also geo-economics. It is not trivial

  • @kschleic9053
    @kschleic9053 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Question that I haven't heard answered anywhere yet: in a world with a declining workforce (demographic collapse basically across the board in developed nations, even in the US the workforce is facing pressure with the boomers retiring) at what point does unemployment stop being a useful metric for predicting future economic performance? At some point soon increasing unemployment will be more indicative of automation driven efficiency outrunning a declining workforce, and that sounds like a recipe for booming corporate profits, not recession (until the guillotines come out, at least😂).

    • @vidard9863
      @vidard9863 ปีที่แล้ว

      Odds are you live in "the west" so the answer is never. "Unemployment" in the west means people who want work but cannot find it. Already western unemployment hides any automation and anyone who does not wish to participate in the legal employment sector.

  • @ulamss5
    @ulamss5 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Thanks for steering your guest back when he steers too for into political rants/fearmongering.

  • @Nolsie
    @Nolsie ปีที่แล้ว +1

    An interesting phenomena I noticed during this talk; private equity that doesn’t need to satisfy ESG are going to have access to a glut of commercial real estate and capital that are artificially blocked from being picked up by public companies. Might be an all time great idea to start a small private business if you have some startup capital.

  • @thomassimmer5186
    @thomassimmer5186 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    In 1986, I took out a $120K 30 year fixed rate mortgage for 6.75% and the bank grudgingly approved it. In December 2021, I took out a $500K 30 year fixed rate mortgage at 2.9% and the bank was eager to lend. Given the outlook, I couldn't understand why the bank was so eager to lock themselves into this arrangement. I will let the FED bail out the banks, and I will keep my mortgage.

    • @kreek22
      @kreek22 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Cheap mortgage on a house with declining value--dubious deal.

  • @Eric-is1jt
    @Eric-is1jt ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The main problem with big government has always been the same throughout history. If you need them there ready but most of the time you don't need them.But unfortunately you still have to pay them, so you can see how this creates an endless negative economic delima.

  • @drwaltchack
    @drwaltchack ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Guy gave a fantastic interview. I do wish he wouldn’t speculate in areas he really doesn’t know firsthand. On CRE, Insurance co’s are lenders but not large owners of office. He say retail CRE is bad and in trouble. That could t be further form the truth. Retail shops are as full as they’ve ever been in the United States due to very little new builds over the last 10 yrs.

    • @Gabe-bz9nk
      @Gabe-bz9nk ปีที่แล้ว

      Look at what Amazon and Walmart is doing to the small store . That’s all thanks to China . That is why we have to stop buying Chinese things

  • @Gemini73883
    @Gemini73883 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Home shoring, friend shoring et al is good but it is going to mean higher costs. Just ask Apple what their limited move to India has done for them. If Apple were to re-shore completely now to India or any other place they would essentially go out of business because their costs would go up immensely. The west thinks costs is China's only virtue. Since China's Labour costs have gone up markedly why are Apple et al still in China? Must be labour costs is not the biggest factor holding them in China? Steve Jobs and Cook have had their say? Just look it up!

  • @chynabad9804
    @chynabad9804 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    A shot for every 'rule based order' would kill me.
    Rules are simple - sovereignty not allowed.

    • @kreek22
      @kreek22 ปีที่แล้ว

      A cold cut of reality.

    • @jdg9999
      @jdg9999 ปีที่แล้ว

      America makes up the rules, everyone else has to follow them.

  • @mattanderson6672
    @mattanderson6672 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you

  • @ServoSambo
    @ServoSambo ปีที่แล้ว +14

    I have to say. It’s fascinating watching an American like Jack, so indocinated into capitalism trying to get his head around the fact China isn’t (and never was) interested in economic gain over political gain. It’s like Nicholas is speaking a foreign language:)

    • @ivancho5854
      @ivancho5854 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      I totally agree. I think that it's also a function of their respective ages as well.
      Similarly, I think that one of the reasons that the British and American political partnership has worked so well in the past and will work so well in the future is that our strengths are very much complementary. For instance the British seem to be able to grasp subtleties very well and the Americans have massive amounts of raw dynamism. Again this may be a function of the respective age of the countries or perhaps because the USA has power and the UK is much less so.
      All the best

    • @ramrao668
      @ramrao668 ปีที่แล้ว

      Why pin this only on Jack. Even Bill Clinton was fooled by China into letting them into the WTO.

    • @andrewescondido38
      @andrewescondido38 ปีที่แล้ว

      China literally enslaves their own people for economic gain.

    • @kreek22
      @kreek22 ปีที่แล้ว

      To the Chinese capitalism is an instrument to be used for geopolitical power and internal stability. To the Americans capitalism is an end in itself.

  • @happyd9733
    @happyd9733 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    For clarity here, there are CCP members on every board of every company that the CCP deems necessary, ie, all of a reasonable scale. They can veto everything the company does. It's a lottery with these guys. Some are hardcore and not open to being bought. Some are corrupt as hell and are difficult in the pursuit of bribes. Some don't give a crap and just enjoy the easy salary and are barely present. Some aren't even true believers and are somewhat progressive by Chinese standards. It's pot luck, and you just have to hope that you get a chilled out one who isn't constantly shaking you down.

    • @georgesiew6203
      @georgesiew6203 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yes you know because you visit all these boards. You realize that many European countries have the same thing in where they have stakeholders that represent the public good sit on company boards. This is also exactly what ESG is going to put in place in many companies in the west.

    • @happyd9733
      @happyd9733 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@georgesiew6203 I know because I lived there for many years and worked for a great many companies. Back in your box, fool.

  • @graywilliams_77.
    @graywilliams_77. ปีที่แล้ว +23

    Understanding personal finances and investing will most likely lead to greater financial independence. By being knowledgeable about money and investing, individuals can make informed decisions about how to save, spend, and invest their money. A trader made over $350k in this recession influenced market.

  • @fernmoss-456
    @fernmoss-456 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Fascinating thanks!

  • @AS-kq7hw
    @AS-kq7hw ปีที่แล้ว +3

    This was a great interview. Jack was really on point for this, great questions! Good to hear Nick Glinsman's take, whether you agree or not, good points to consider.

  • @KingKoin88
    @KingKoin88 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Great interview n insights. Deglobalization sets the framework for all biz n investments in the next 30 yrs.

    • @davidzoller9617
      @davidzoller9617 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Historically deglobalization goes hand in hand with wars

  • @jogregg6442
    @jogregg6442 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    Both very informative and very frightening, especially for the Chinese people.

    • @jonEmontana
      @jonEmontana ปีที่แล้ว

      Have to agree. Such evil pushed on the Chinese people.

    • @georgesiew6203
      @georgesiew6203 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      Ya frightened about how ignorant western analysis of their country is.

    • @montakute1328
      @montakute1328 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Counter-point by Ray Dalio who has lived there and knows the score & ppl. Who to believe, a tin-pot nobody here or a self-made mult-billionairre investor who founded and owns the best, most successful hedge fund on the planet? Hmm.

    • @georgesiew6203
      @georgesiew6203 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@montakute1328 Did you actually read what Ray Dalio wrote about China? His opinions couldn't be more different from Nick Glinsman. Dalio has to temper his opinions for the American audience but if you read between the lines you know he has a very high opinion of the CCP and their policies. He is writing because he is worried about the US system and not the Chinese system.

    • @montakute1328
      @montakute1328 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@georgesiew6203 Up-voted. Yes I have read Dalio and yes I agree with your comment. Except that, like many others not being heard, Ray is pleading for cooperation as he loves both his US homeland and the China where he knows and lived in. THIS is what we need to hear more of - finding common ground and win-win for all we little people instead of confrontation, sacrifice, and war mongering. Alas some very powerful interests are pushing hard for war and getting their way. President Eisenhower warned us about that group in his famous farewell speech, and the General-turned-president sure knew what he was talking about!

  • @thomaskauser8978
    @thomaskauser8978 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Powell is two rate hikes behind? He has got to stop treasury bills from blowing out every morning?
    Getting 15- 20 basis points above fed. Funds consistently every morning is making treasury investors put off until tomorrow what they could buy today?
    CAN POWELL EVEN SPELL ECONOMY?

  • @globalinvestorradio
    @globalinvestorradio ปีที่แล้ว +4

    missing some major points , very one sided , sounds like Nicholas Glinsman swallowed a London newspaper like the telegraph

    • @rickjames18
      @rickjames18 ปีที่แล้ว

      Sounds like he swallowed the truth. That may not be what you like to hear but it is still important.

    • @globalinvestorradio
      @globalinvestorradio ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@rickjames18 "Europe’s largest asset manager Amundi is moving out of US assets in favour of China" i could list 100 points he failed to mention

  • @davidkao866
    @davidkao866 ปีที่แล้ว

    BOA and Wells do care about deposits. They are offering bond yields 5%+ with duration. They are not offering them in the branches on CD. Most people would not bother to look for them

    • @tactileslut
      @tactileslut ปีที่แล้ว

      I've been with BofA since 1987 and they haven't mentioned having a worthwhile rate on the app or the site. No point in keeping such things hidden. My money is flowing elsewhere.

    • @davidkao866
      @davidkao866 ปีที่แล้ว

      If they advertised then NIM would go to crap. All banks are in a profit squeeze. They are just trying to drag this out as long as possible. I just park money into Wells 18 month CD slightly over 5%, but not at Wells if that makes sense. TD and Fidelity are offering these CD products. No one is really going to borrow at the current rates and those who do are most likely a high credit risk. It’s going to be hard times for banks

    • @davidkao866
      @davidkao866 ปีที่แล้ว

      They are just banking (no pun) on the laziness of people that is why you wont see offer at the retail banking level

  • @1138prometheus
    @1138prometheus ปีที่แล้ว +1

    They're only billionaires on paper with private stock which basically means cotton candy values

  • @poobum9857
    @poobum9857 ปีที่แล้ว

    bring Nick back plse .. he's great with his answers and his knowledge as is Kyle Bass !

  • @rohitkothari3890
    @rohitkothari3890 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Like Jacks questioning n playing devils advocate for every scenario.

  • @YouKnow11111
    @YouKnow11111 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Youth unemployment is a silly metric

  • @1138prometheus
    @1138prometheus ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Pretty clear you don't have a firm understanding of what is taking place in China right now and how that will impact Germany and Europe. It's like an earthquake is starting and you're asking if maybe you should get an umbrella. Let's hope the Fed has a sense to wait until things get very bad before they start cutting.

  • @simonrobinson818
    @simonrobinson818 ปีที่แล้ว

    That was excellent Nick

  • @jrrrohm
    @jrrrohm ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I think your crystal ball is broken sir.

  • @Carutsu
    @Carutsu ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I think Jack was too excited on this one, uncharacteristically kept adding and interrupting the guest, happens now and then :-)

    • @jacksg2349
      @jacksg2349 ปีที่แล้ว

      Maybe what he he says is not convincing. That is why he need to interrupt to get more convincing evidence from him.

  • @szymonbaranowski8184
    @szymonbaranowski8184 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    he doesn't understand it means also stopping investment of chinese money in all kinds of western assets that increased in price funding US growth? 😂😂😂

  • @brockabaddy985
    @brockabaddy985 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Stopped listening when he got Hambantota wrong.

  • @mateoblanco285
    @mateoblanco285 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Isn’t the ceo of buttcoin in prison?

  • @letsRegulateSociopaths
    @letsRegulateSociopaths ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Quite a good talk.

  • @sooofisticated0499
    @sooofisticated0499 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I haven’t heard a British person speak the truth about Russia, ever.

    • @jdg9999
      @jdg9999 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I do, but you're right that the elites of my country for some reason has an obsessive hatred for Russia that I can't understand.

    • @10317
      @10317 ปีที่แล้ว

      Judge999 I think the United States has a grudge with Russia and I can see why.
      I went on a cruise and was supposed to board in Singapore but didn’t know where to stand.
      (My first for Asia and the cruise)
      I walked up to a small group that was milling around and asked them where we should go.
      Holy Crap! He looked at me then spit out your American you can figure it out!
      Well I was immediately pissed off but didn’t say anything.
      We found a line way the hell back in the south forty but I didn’t care.
      I just wanted to be able to get on board.
      When it came time to board our line was picked first to board,
      As we walked past his group I locked eyes with him and he knew I was mad. He looked embarrassed or sheepish. I gave him s little wave. But I know he could tell I was angry.

  • @sbar39
    @sbar39 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Finding the host of the show slightly defending the CCP these things never end well these people on total power and control

  • @kenknight6201
    @kenknight6201 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Why do you keep interrupting your guests? 18:53. Let him speak

  • @CBBC435
    @CBBC435 ปีที่แล้ว

    Fantastic channel.

  • @kalloh5519
    @kalloh5519 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Nicholas is SPOT ON about China, their gov system, geopolitical and youth trends...keep up the content on this topic!

    • @georgesiew6203
      @georgesiew6203 ปีที่แล้ว

      Ya he's as spot on as a blind man feeling up an elephant's ass and telling you this horse has a smooth face.

  • @mangonut
    @mangonut ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Wow, this guy knows what he’s talking about!

  • @emmawang1999
    @emmawang1999 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Ask all these Russian oligarchy whose money and properties were arbitrarily confiscated by the West governments. Where are the common laws of protections? Most of these people have already gained the citizenships of the Western countries.

    • @rickjames18
      @rickjames18 ปีที่แล้ว

      Accuse me if I don't feel bad for the richest people in the world who helps keep a dictator in office and stole from there own people to stay rich.

  • @Gr8erThan8
    @Gr8erThan8 ปีที่แล้ว

    Loved the interview. I’m looking into the daily. Seemed a little rushed, I guess you had a hard stop?

  • @leelaitiam19
    @leelaitiam19 ปีที่แล้ว

    Bain etc were collecting information for us Govt agencies. And were arrested.

  • @ronnielazo5294
    @ronnielazo5294 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    The interviewer needs to talk less and listen

  • @dtsai
    @dtsai ปีที่แล้ว +3

    The black swan event is the crash upwards! There was a double bottom if you zoom out and look at the charts. The stock market climbs a wall of worry and there is a lot of worry.

    • @fernmoss-456
      @fernmoss-456 ปีที่แล้ว

      Possible! Maybe massive double top on SPX.

    • @itsallminor6133
      @itsallminor6133 ปีที่แล้ว

      Don't count on anything. Read my other comment

    • @caronridge6912
      @caronridge6912 ปีที่แล้ว

      Quite possible with a currency crash, as the denominator is losing value rapidly. Anything real will appreciate in depreciating currency units. But historicaly, tangible assets do much better than financial assets in such circumstances.

    • @realjoshuat5551
      @realjoshuat5551 ปีที่แล้ว

      The stock market is not the 4 companies that dominate the spx and breadth would say otherwise.

  • @krcalder
    @krcalder ปีที่แล้ว

    It’s not a bug, it’s a feature.
    Why are our policymakers trying to drive our economy into a Great Depression?
    That always happens with neoclassical economics
    Neoclassical economics is the economics of the Roaring Twenties, the Wall Street Crash and Great Depression.
    Policymakers sooner or later use the economic growth model of the Roaring Twenties, oblivious to where this is leading.
    It was China’s turn after 2008.
    What goes wrong with neoclassical economics?
    1) It makes you think you are creating wealth with rising asset prices
    2) Bank credit flows into inflating asset prices.
    3) No one notices the private debt building up in the economy as neoclassical economics doesn’t consider debt.
    4) The banking system and the markets become closely coupled, and as soon as asset prices fall it feeds back into the banking system
    5) The money creation of unproductive bank lending makes the economy boom as you head towards a financial crisis and are left facing a Great Depression.
    Chinese exports to the West fell off a cliff after 2008, and they turned to their neoclassical economist to revive the economy.
    They started pumping bank credit into real estate.
    They were oblivious to the claims on future spending power piling up in the banking system.
    At 25.30 mins you can see the super imposed private debt-to-GDP ratios.
    th-cam.com/video/vAStZJCKmbU/w-d-xo.html

  • @annewebster3535
    @annewebster3535 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very interesting interview with Nick (englishman?) of his information first time I've seen & heard him
    Glad I stayed tuned
    need to hear this particular
    interview again with Nick
    😊

  • @awjames1121
    @awjames1121 ปีที่แล้ว

    Economic experts ask which nations want a soon to devaluation currency??????

  • @MRnobodyAIpodcast
    @MRnobodyAIpodcast ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Very great video

  • @JanoschNr1
    @JanoschNr1 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Given by their equal balding foreheads I'm 100% convicned that they are secretly related to each other

  • @zero-point3930
    @zero-point3930 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Wow, a lot of holes and fear mongering. Very Western centric interview.

  • @louisgiokas2206
    @louisgiokas2206 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    At the end there Nicholas is starting to sound like Peter Zeihan.

  • @志清刘-l6h
    @志清刘-l6h ปีที่แล้ว

    Yi Fuxian has calculated from vaccine and primary school enrollment that China only has 1.23 billion people in stead of official 1.4 billion; China real GDP of first quarter 2023 is minus 10% in stead of plus 4.5%. Yangtze delta and ZhuJiang delta labour income, Shanghai export containers index, satellite light index, Korea chips export of first quarter and April to China dropped 41%, highway logistics volume, methanol and vegetable oil from future market, all lead to minus 10% first quarter 2023.

  • @ParkerAt941
    @ParkerAt941 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Hey nick, I want bet a 100 bucks with you for you being broken before China 😂😂😂

  • @Frank-ig1fl
    @Frank-ig1fl ปีที่แล้ว

    I would say a lot of big pensions own the RE (levered) equity too

  • @Gemini73883
    @Gemini73883 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    When Deng opened China up to there were 2 streams of money invested in China. One stream came from the west. This stream mainly consisted of western (incl Japan) companies looking for cheap labour. The second stream came from the Chinese diaspora (Chinese living in South East Asia and elsewhere). This second stream wasn't looking for cheap labour!
    Even if western companies pulled out this second stream won't!

    • @gstlb
      @gstlb 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Hmm not sure. Why are they sending money and what is different since Deng? And will it be enough if the other stream dries up?

    • @Gemini73883
      @Gemini73883 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​​@@gstlbin fact there are more money coming into China. You do not have to worry for China. China has its own sources of money. So there are 3 sources of money in China.
      1 money from the west! This is money running from the rich in the west. They have essentially no place to put their money.
      2 internal savings of the Chinese people.
      3 diaspora money will not be pulled from China!
      Even if all western companies pulled out from China the Chinese economy will continue. In the case of those companies who pull out capital, where would they put their money.
      As to why diaspora money was invested into China there is a reason which the west will not understand. It is an urge to help the mother country.
      In the west an emigre becomes American and most will forget their roots (obviously not all, but most). It is not the same amongst the Chinese. Ties to the mother country remains strong.

  • @arussell8552
    @arussell8552 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    UK Trade Minister Dominic Johnson visit Hong Kong on May 9 2023 for what ?

  • @demonridera
    @demonridera ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Great news for China. They will get hundreds of factories for free including Tesla Shanghai and many others. Chinese companies have assured 3 billion consumers. China itself, Russia, Central Asian Republics, Almost all Islamic countries, wide swathes of Africa and Latin America. If decoupling from China was so attractive, it would have happened years ago. Actually, G7 should trade exclusively among itself. It will be a gift to rest of the world

    • @ramrao668
      @ramrao668 ปีที่แล้ว

      They got those factories for free the moment they were setup. The fools who invested in them are only now realizing that all they had was a license to operate and never owned these factories in the first place.

    • @TR-xr4ut
      @TR-xr4ut ปีที่แล้ว

      If so, don't whine any more about the decoupling. 🤣

    • @demonridera
      @demonridera ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@TR-xr4ut That's your speciality. We keep quiet till it's time to roar.

    • @TR-xr4ut
      @TR-xr4ut ปีที่แล้ว

      @@demonridera Time to roar? Are you a lion? 🤣

    • @demonridera
      @demonridera ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@TR-xr4ut Your whine is so alluring. I can't help myself.

  • @awjames1121
    @awjames1121 ปีที่แล้ว

    Economic experts believes china will use a very fair methods ? For people who has bring usa dollars and deposit in china banks earlier on?? And now they or and same in investor wants to cash out ?????

  • @andrewvare3173
    @andrewvare3173 ปีที่แล้ว

    I am looking at a 9 handle for the remimbe by year end.

  • @dungalunga2116
    @dungalunga2116 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Jack does an excellent job in this one

  • @vanessali1365
    @vanessali1365 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    You should congratulate yourself doing something right because the number of Wumaos commenting here.

    • @rmclarke83
      @rmclarke83 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Crazy hey. It's gotten worse.

    • @darth.severuss
      @darth.severuss ปีที่แล้ว

      You a wumao too.

  • @markcorwin5825
    @markcorwin5825 ปีที่แล้ว

    Farley has only been doing this a few years and is already one of the best Financial Interviewers.

  • @glendabilderback5038
    @glendabilderback5038 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    John Vallis's interview with Peter Alexander, who has lived and worked in China for 30 years, gives a more balanced and realistic view of China than Nick Glinsman's Anglo American perspective.

    • @rickjames18
      @rickjames18 ปีที่แล้ว

      What does Anglo American have to do with anything? typical nonsense when people do not like what they hear. It is hard to hear the truth sometimes but still important. Even Chinese economist are saying some of the exact same things he just did.

  • @Tim_in_Australia
    @Tim_in_Australia ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Incoherent nonsense.

  • @martinleepgg
    @martinleepgg ปีที่แล้ว

    Debt.., Debt predicated upon Debt can only end in bankruptcy no matter how you shuffle the chairs on this financial Titanic. Unfortunately the vast majority are in a self emposed ride on the hamster wheel of debt. Answer, strive to become your own central bank by paying off debt, then hold appreciating assets and maybe pms....or pull the blanket over your head in denial.

  • @Barone2013
    @Barone2013 ปีที่แล้ว

    The IMF and other western bodies are talking about accelerated growth in China and Asia as a whole while these newsletter sellers are talking about a slowdown. Where do they get their information?.
    Sounds more like wishful thinking

  • @cocosocialistrat8979
    @cocosocialistrat8979 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very interesting discussion.
    However I would bet on China over the West simply as the West doesn’t have the population that say the BRICKS+ block has.
    The US+the US vassal states are the imperialists not so much with the rest of the world.

    • @nelumkalachuchi1154
      @nelumkalachuchi1154 ปีที่แล้ว

      You don’t have money, do you😂

    • @rickjames18
      @rickjames18 ปีที่แล้ว

      That would be incorrect. India seems to be siding or growing closer to the west and they are being setup to become the next western partner of choice. BRICS as the next block is a pipe dream. Even as we speak none of them has excepted China as the leader or to use the Yuan full stop. It seems more like a propaganda narrative for the disgruntled masses. Imperialism? that is what many Asian and other countries are now accusing China of being. But again, everything you said in this comment is word for word CCP run propaganda. China claiming the entire SCS despite others having claims or moving in on India, Bhutan, Nepal, Phillipines seems very imperialist to me. Using debt traps to control mining concessions or building Chinese only colonies in Africa all very imperialist.

    • @cocosocialistrat8979
      @cocosocialistrat8979 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@nelumkalachuchi1154 No I do that has nothing to do with the growth of the industrial base in 🇨🇳. BRICS is 3.2 Billion G7 is 777M
      Clearly you haven’t been paying attention to world trade and who is winning because China is now the major trading partner for the vast majority of the world vs 20 years ago when it was the US 🤦‍♂️

    • @chiscoply97
      @chiscoply97 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Es mucho más complejo que mera población, que argumento tan pobre.

  • @simoncabral1004
    @simoncabral1004 ปีที่แล้ว

    Brilliant guest…great interview….

  • @davidzoller9617
    @davidzoller9617 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great insight on China, and the final question about who will join the Chinese side is a very good question to think about. For a while now I wonder how long the Chinese people gonna take it, and the CCP suddenly was forced to end the zero-covid-policy. Also I saw videos about this new agriculture policies, which probably will end in a Mao-kind disaster for the population. Exporting Soya to Brazil? Really? I think China will be very busy with national troubles. But not only China.
    Btw, there are many studies claiming that soya makes peop]e dumber, and I live in Indonesia and I must say there might be some truth to that.

    • @montakute1328
      @montakute1328 ปีที่แล้ว

      Actually, alcohol and obesity are proven to. So the US is so done!! There are indeed several new peer-reviewed research papers proving the medical link, and it's even on Dr Dhand's great channel, I think, unless it too has been censored like everything real on this garbage US platform, which has lost so much market share that the US now has to ban tiktok lol... losers!

    • @montakute1328
      @montakute1328 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Oh, I'm in singapore and for sure the muricans don't have a full deck. The global PISA scores and also the standardized intl test scores of graduating students prove it. Singapore #2, China #1, east asia takes all six top spots, and the US ranks well down in the 3rd quartile, saved only by the Asians in school there or else the US would probably rank in the lowest decile or so, LOL

    • @davidzoller9617
      @davidzoller9617 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@montakute1328 When I'm in Singapore I always feel like in a RoboCop-Movie: "Thank you for your cooperation".

    • @montakute1328
      @montakute1328 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@davidzoller9617 When I'm back in the US, I feel like I've stepped into a Mad Max movie. My in-law who's in law enforcement assures me that 90% of violent crime is unreported in US and swept under the rug, so that rat hole is really 10X worse than it seems. As for Indo, Malaysia is abt 10X better.

    • @davidzoller9617
      @davidzoller9617 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@montakute1328 Well, I'm in Indo for 8 years now, and it is safe, as long as you not do a stupid thing. Regarding the US, it depends a lot what state one talks about. I guess the crime rate in Montana will be low.

  • @awjames1121
    @awjames1121 ปีที่แล้ว

    Economic experts believes that usa is killing its own usa overprinted dollars?
    By not dare to guarantee the overprinted usa dollar note's worth?? It means usa overprinted dollars can become worthless???

  • @dadinjo5
    @dadinjo5 ปีที่แล้ว

    i will look @ this video, OK?