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Timmy's are Losers.
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 24 ก.พ. 2021
- This is the Largest UNAPPROVED / UNSPONSORED / UNCONTROLLED Magic The Gathering Channel in the world filled with Greed Monsters, Evil Investors, and ....3.696969% Women
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Rudy's Magic Store
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MTG - Zendikar Rising
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I'm 12 years old and what is this
Looks like im not the only one thats 13 or younger
he is your dad
Not with that username you're not..
N.F.G.....
This is the key to building your underground luxury cardboard empire. Pay attention!
I really like the 4 minute of black screen. Felt like rudy was telling me to relax and think for a couple minute
It was like Sopranos. Is rudy still alive? Did he get whacked...super deep and artsy
It was a short meditation video there yeah )
mhmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm absorb and process. i felt that suprisingly
“To the moon” - someone who has a 20c revised card that shot up 10c
Depending on the time held, I would take 50% returns YOY every day. But I know what you mean.
Gains are irrelevant when you never sell
What if I have tens of thousands 😁
@@notoriouslycody only If you have a way of unloading them without taking a huge haircut, selling thousands of bulk cards that no one wants is not easy, unless you're taking a huge discount you basically have to sell them to another speculator, it's the greater fool theory.
think of the negative equity
I have a lot of friends who encourage playing the options market. They told me to get into, I told them I had no idea how any of it worked. They said who cares just do it. No thanks, I aint no Timmy.
so many people were trying to get me to go in on gme and all of them but 1 lucky guy lost everything when they bought at 300 and sold at 100. I quietly held my war of the spark that ive been holding since release and doing my pokemon which ive done since 2018 and now theyre all raging at robinhood and wall street but guess what? they did it to themselves and i even warned some of my friends but the timmy mentality got to them
@asdrubale bisanzio Hamsters like to be in hose town.
@@Asuna3724 buying GME at 300 was an obvious trap everyone knew it was not going to last. People on the /wsb all knew and pointed this out
Nobody of sane mind wanted to buy at that point, even if they didn't block the trading
Did your friends go negative?
@@shibbidydoowop Oh yes lol
"Anger, and curly fries"
edit: this video went from funny and angry, to inspirational and making me feel better about being 23 and in debt. we appreciate you Rudy. And i will remember these words about my current day struggles.
Video starts at 2:30
Man THANK YOU for taking the time that you do to make videos like this. From a Timmy trying to become a Timothy.
I'm pretty sure it's illegal nowadays to tell people they are the consequence of their own decisions.
they're just gonna shit on your face and start complaining about ABC...
What you are saying is only is only partially right. For example: If a man is being robbed or something worse happens to him, did he forge his own destiny? The right thing to say would be: " Man is the product of his and every other mans decisions."
Right get locked up for having an opinion
We are all the consequence of coincidence.
@@CypresssChill I've been robbed, backstabbed, betrayed.
Man is the product of timing in the Universe.
Damn, I rushed over to my mom house to try and meet rudy since it was filmed at my moms house. But I guess I missed him :’( Maybe next time.
Finally, another whiteboard video!!!
Timmys won't like that!
I love the whiteboard videos
👏🏻 Whiteboard video 👏🏻
👏🏻whiteboard video 👏🏻
The only thing I disagree about is the statement that the value of the cards, or effectively the EV of the box, does not affect the price. It may not affect the ratio of Price to EV, but the value of the cards in the set definitely affects the final value of the box. This is why a Stronghold box which has an EV of $1300 has a price of $8k-$10k and a box of Fallen Empires with an EV of $121 has a price of $1000. The spread is about the same at 7-9x because of the age, but the final price is very dependent on the value of the cards.
That is too funny. I wrote that 5 mins into the video. Didn't know he was going to talk about stronghold.
also the EV for Revised is $2254 on Dawnglare today.
@@brewcrew7550 I think the supply for fallen empires is higher than for stronghold.
@@sirflipstar11 Supply certainly has some to do with it but I think because there is such a disparity in prices, this shows how little impact supply has on the box price. The reason the cards are so cheap is more to do with the fact that they are terrible cards and not really playable unless you are doing constructed play. To me, the price of the sealed box is much more closely related to the value of the cards. Rudy is correct in saying that the value of an old box does go up even if the cards suck. But this is a perfect example of the magnitude of the increase based on the value of the cards. both are about 7-9x the EV. The target final value is that the EV is 10% of the sealed box value and should move proportionally to the increase in EV as time goes on.
45min? This will be one of the good bois
Literally googling all this options stuff this morning. Now Rudy will better explain it all!
Thanks for your feedback and support 👍
I will advise you to diversify your portfolio and start my earning strategy with little capital to earn good profits using my strategies...
This man needs an award. The amount of free and excellent advise he provides not stuck behind some bs book or pyramid scheme is priceless. I’m still digging myself out of debt from Timmy decisions as a kid, but I wouldn’t be where I’m at with a light at the end of the tunnel in view breaking out of the Timmy mold and on my way to 6 figure income without some wake up calls and good advise this man has provided free of charge.
Oh boy! a 40+ minute video! Gonna get my popcorn! In all serious though, I love your content, Rudy! I don't even play Magic lol and I'm one of your 3.69% lady viewership. I watch because I honestly love learning from you!
Awesome magic is so much fun to play to invest and to just open packs. I love his videos I learn so much everyday every video he makes.
Rudy teaches us very important life lessons.
The existential dread of realizing that the “timmy” you have been mocking for weeks. Is actually you
Lol I think of all the singles I've bought and I have to admit to myself I have been a timmy. All my sealed pokemon boxes though make up for it though 👍
@@brokengames9020 so u invested with loss i can see :D
@@brokengames9020 Move on. Grow. Find something better to do with your time.
@@houseis I see broken games say the same thing in every comment of every video. Wonder if hes a bot working for the timmy empire lol
@@brokengames9020 Found the GME bag holder
Also, to add to this, graded 9.5s and 10s of Reserved List cards sell for SUBSTANTIALLY more than baseline, standard NM pricing. With just a little luck, you can still make money opening a box of 93/94 cards, when factoring in grading multipliers.
Dude, is that the Brandon Lee Crow variant for Hack/Slash The Crow I see? :)
@@theogballer5957 AYUP!
Rudy home run after home run on your videos. Thank you so much. Truly appreciate the time you take to give us free advice. Alot of people might not understand that uploading videos takes alot of time from your busy schedule. Thank you Rudy 🙏💕💕 C.M. & T.M.
I only hear "mwmwmwmmw there's going to be outliers. mwmwmwmmwmw" Then I mortgaged my house and bought BTC at $50k and weatherlight boxes at $4k
😂😂😂good luck
not the worst move lol
@@MultiShice not a very smart one indeed
You're going to make money on both soooooo
If you held those positions long enough they will still pay off big time long term.
If possible, you could buy the dips and lower your average portion.
As someone with a BS in Finance I love the high level terminology being integrated into mtg on this channel
Yea you can tell he took some classes or did some intensive research.
@@angelbradleyfamily700 He worked as a broker at a few investment firms before going fully into collectable asset investment. He also owns a restaurant, a few rental properties,... he's talked about how he made a lot of money in bonds speculation in 2008/2009 especially in cruise line industry. Yep, it's a fun channel.
Sure is hopefully my magic family can do the same but in our own special way. Thanks for the info I didn't know that about rudy seems like a awesome dude.
You inadvertently noticed the price of boxes did not correlate with their expected value... Congrats that u put yourself in that position to be able to open those boxes in the first place man. You were also insightful to other factors. The wolf of magic !
So weird, I couldn't understand Rudy for the first minute of the video, but when he put on the pink hat, I understood everything.
Did anyone else have this happen?
Post Hat Clarity
Rudy, please create an options + futures market for mtg cards. This way Timmys can combine their loves of mtg and losing money
Great idea. Then I'll be able to hedge my positions in Power 9 fractional shares with some Secret Lair futures. 📈
Dont worry they can already do that by buying packs and opening them!
And that's how ante returned to MTG...
Yea cause I'd like to invest into some black lotus but dont have the capital so if rudy would do that I could buy 1 share of a card lol
Anyone else skip around at the end there to see if Rudy was going to pop back in?
I'm letting the last four minutes play to see if there's any audio while I scroll comments.
@@jeffmilburn9747 thats the big brain play ngl
Yea I was waiting and got lost in the comments section
Rudy, I have never played a game a MTG in my life. But, I've been subscribed to you for years! I really enjoy listening to you break down market fundamentals . Keep up the great work!
Sitting here, just noticed the length of the video and I must say, I REALLY MISSED RUDY LONG VIDEOS, I know it's a small audience that watches the whole thing, but as someone who used to work in the financial sales industry, I find it extremely interesting
Edit: My first job in the business was for an options company and even as a newbie I couldn't understand how people are basically betting on a movement with a set timeframe, instead of holding the asset and waiting for the value to match your targets.
Video really starts at 2:30, TIMMYS ONLY
Thank you for message. I will keep my FAB Acrane Rising Booster Box Alpha for long term.
TH-cam got it wrong, this channel is so undervalued/underrated.
You should be on Joe Rogan one day. Joe should acknowledge the collectibles people too imo
I learn a lot from this dude, not often you get free financial advice.
why would you want financial advice from a guy that works at Taco Bell part time and still lives in his mom's basement?
They way I explain it is as the box gets older the wrapper around it gets more expensive than the cards inside. It's pretty much the same with every collectible that has "sealed" versions.
I was so much into the video, that I was also watching the black screen at the end hoping for Rudy to jump out and throw some other pearl
"as it gets older the spread gets wider" threw me off topic :D
*G I G G I T Y*
*I*
*G*
*G*
*I*
*T*
*Y*
@@fsmoura Y T I G G I G
Rudy going down the gynaecology rabbit hole again.
I'm a simple man, I'm just here for Anger and Curly Fries
2002 post crash a Beta set was 8k$ and one of the only sealed Beta boxes I saw sold back then was already 20k$
Good stuff Rudy. Couple things that were missed are the possibility of theft or damage to these boxes, storage, Insurance, as well as the difficulty of buying and selling. You don’t have any of those issues with stocks.
With 10-year treasury yields continually hiking and poised to explode and take off any time; excess liquidity pressuring its way into the tiniest cracks, testing the limits of financial repression structures; and a record issuance and parabolic rise in SPACCs (Special Purpose Acquisition Cardboard Companies)-the markets stand, strained, pulled by opposing forces into a state of tension that can snap at a moment, sending prices in any direction. _Recommendation:_ Don't be a Timmy-make sure to carefully diversify your portfolio with allocations to meme stocks, meme coins, non-played CCGs like Flesh and Blood, and a small cash reserve to pounce on Musk Tweets opportunities as they present themselves.
Thanks for your feedback and support 👍
I will advise you to diversify your portfolio and start my earning strategy with little capital to earn good profits using my strategies..
This whole video just raised his equity on everything because people will soak up thee rest of the "low supply" variable.
I know I'm gonna lol
Thats what Timmys do :D
Many people talk about NFT. Rudy talks about NFG.
Good guy Rudy. Greek loving Timmy's should arm themselves with knowledge. Even a small Timmy can mitigate risk, improve their cost basis and probability of success.
43 minutes later...
I need some Arby's
It's so weird watching this being named Timmy but never acting the Timmy from the discussion cept when it works lol. Yea, I've bought tens of thousands worth of cheap revised and reserved list over the last year before meaningful spikes on hundreds of different cards. I didn't get rich. I still however have positions, I'm well in the black, tons of new decks for ME to play & enjoy the game, and thousands worth of inventory constantly making me money. I'm definitely not Alpha Rudy success, but I'm a happy stay at home dad rivaling my working girlfriends income staying at home, going to the post office 2/3 times a week, & clicking on magic things. Cheers folks.
Way to go Timmy! Seriously, this is awesome to read. I like stories like this. Where did you end up buying most of your revised and reserved list? Through collection buying or scouting deals across the interwebs?
@@notoriouslycody mostly just clearing out tcg player. EBay too. Gaining positions, waiting, selling on eBay. Honestly starcitygames can be pretty great for pricing on played stuff. Going for sealed products next. Never really had the capital before, but going for a decent position in commander legends for the next thing. Currently buying regular format staples at an all time low. Feeling it's a bit more risky because of reprints but could pay off big time if we get to play publicly & have actual events. I used to do flea markets before Covid & still buy storage lockers when I have the time. So I'm always looking for cards other places, but I have better success playing the singles market like the stock market than being reliably able to find cards outside the online magic market.
Keep up the hard work man you will have a good retirement fund in 10 to 20 years if not 5 who knows maybe next year.
@@jeesusmeesuss5247 Nice! What have you ended up pulling from a storage locker? That sounds fun.
@@notoriouslycody best was a literal fistfull of higher end gold and silver jewelry in a 10$ locker. Next was a tie between a plumbing store locker and a new product weed paraphernalia locker. Those ones cost 500$+ tho.
Imagine the day when there isn’t any more gold... and there isn’t ever going to be any more of it. The earth is completely exhausted... all that’s left is what’s out there now.
Sealed product is gold bars sitting in a vault. Gold will get made into jewelry, used in electronics... it just dwindles. Whatever is left can do nothing but go up until nobody wants gold for anything anymore.
I think there will always be people that want magic cards, particularly the older ones. Even with baseball cards, comics and other hobbies dwindling... the classic stuff, the most iconic stuff, the historically relevant rare stuff continues to be desired, continues to appreciate in value.
@Lexington73300 that does not say much. Niche services and markets have been shown to have huge profit margins if you have the knowledge to move the items. That stranger that chose the gold because he thought "oh easy money" just lost thousands of dollars because he was uninformed.
As a cardboard liberator I like to know that my role is opening product and enjoying it, while the evil investors lick their chops knowing that's just one less sealed box or pack in existence. You're welcome....
He even gets patrons to buy his sealed and opens it for more yt revenue while simultaneously pushing tbr price of his own remaining inventory.
This whole video is actually title "why you should never open a sealed box and just wait for the next guy to watch this video and buy it from you for profit".
As the biggest Timmy. I find this disgusting and I'm only gonna buy only one pallet of FaB.
Just 1?
Arbitrage= anger + curly fries
Shit! I am missing out on angry curly fries!!!
I just want the curly fries. I don't do well with spice.
Rudy, have you seen today's Hasbro press release? I think there is interesting data here for a video. Going forward they will segment WotC revenues in their press release. In 2020 WotC + Digital Gaming did about 905 000 000$. About 140 000 000$ more than in 2019!
This guy is a legend, I hope I will still be watching his videos in 20 years.
I wish there were more people talking about things like this rather than all the bullshit you see on social media of people "day gambling" and all their get rich schemes. People keep digging themselves deeper into their own shitty situation and they don't even realize it. They look for anything else to blame rather than looking inward and seeing that they are setting themselves up for failure.
I'm glad to see you are smart enough to repeat something you just heard in a youtube video.
Well his comment is the first "smart" comment I saw today. Not saying others are dumb, but obviously ppl tends to keep their head tightly set in their ass, disappointed when others speaks about what’s outside.
So, I don't comment often, but I love the fact you look and sound like Jim Carey in the mask when he whips out the till and calculator in the club.
xDDD
This man knows his shit :) Thank you for publicizing the knowledge to all the timmies that did not understand.
Supply and demand dictate price of sealed product and singles. As boxes are opened, single supply goes up, sealed product supply goes down. Therefore, single price goes down, while sealed supply price goes up.
When 20$ jeweled lotus?
Oh shit, I'm a Timmy. But I never sell, so I'm the worst kind.
Thanks for your feedback and support 👍
I will advise you to diversify your portfolio and start my earning strategy with little capital to earn good profits using my strategies...
@@nw1657 fakerrrr
Pigs get slaughtered on Wall Street.
You know he's good when he calls "Video starts at 2:40" and then gets the timing right for it so it works o.O
Jeez my guy, those last few minutes were brutal! But in some ways I think it was something people really needed to here, I really hope you leave them up so everyone can hear it!
Moral of the story - hold your position people! Don’t get frazzled and sell! 💎 🙌
16:23 So, you get NOTHING! You LOSE! Good day, SIR!
That comes from 1970s Willy winks right?
@@michaelsarzynski7876 Yes sir!
Buying all the wheel of fortunes and anvil of bogardens
I don't know anything about what you're talking about but I love your energy so I watched it anyway 🤣
Morning upload my taco is extremely hard
It's astounding to think that if my parents had given me a few thousand dollars in high school to buy a bunch of Urza's Saga boxes I'd be a millionaire now.
Nah, most likely you would not have spent the few thousand to buy those boxes. Even if you somehow did, and resisted opening them, you likely would have sold them when their price doubled or tripled. The only way you would have held on to now is if you used a time machine (and the Time Police will be after you) or if you bought them and somehow abandoned them but found them again (e.g. you thought they were lost in a move but they weren't, misplaced then located them later, etc.)
@@HighChancellorAdam you have severely over estimated the competence and intellect of the time police. You'd find better law enforcement agents in reruns of Cops, but then you'd have an 80% chance of just randomly picking a bunch of life long white supremacists by sifting through that shitshow.
@@HighChancellorAdam lol I forgot about my Pokemon cards for 20 years in the closet. the sealed boosters in there are worth $###
Wow, I thought NFG was something finance related. I laughed so hard when you explained what it is 😂
Great video Rudy, thank you for it! I watch you since the beginning and I am the guy with the German revised Booster Box that once thought about selling it to you. I am glad I didn't :p
reminds me of George Costanza's Risk Management mentorship
“How do you have 3 legs?” That’s what she said. 😤
Lol
Which is why a sealed Crimson invasion box will reach $1k. Great video.
Why, for a rainbow Gyarados?
@@WaffleDragon makes no difference. Like the man says it’s all about the NFG.
@@warrbury yeah, that's true
You came in clutch with this rudy
Normally at these types of seminars, there's complementary coffee, doughnuts, and tacos in the hallway. I was pretty disappointed to not see anything of the sort when I looked down my hallway after the presentation. I was really looking forward to a cheese danish. So I thumbs downed 42 times and will be filling for a refund. Great information though.
Clearly, the only people who will dislike this, are Timmy's.
Nah I always thumbs up. I've made a bunch on Rudy's talks, plus have a decent collection that's better than I ever had playing and winning.
Great vid. I think this is going to change the way I view things quite a bit going forward. I was already looking at EV, I just didn’t know what it was called. But I’ve been struggling with making it more of an exact science when forecasting. There’s still some artistry but this helped a lot. Thanks.
Scrubbed thru the video - 2.5 mins in and the visor comes out. I’m in.
7:50 Given the speech on Timmies being obsessed with the value of cards...
Can anyone explain to me why Rudy is upset with the value of standard cards and modern cards? He's brought that up several times lately that this is a problem and yet based on this video it would be a homerun investment to buy Kaldheim boxes and sit on them long term. Just like any modern focused product that's sealed would be. Because over time whats in the boxes doesn't matter.
So right and I'm buying everything $$$ love the game so why not
I don't want to speak for Rudy, but my impression is that he's referring to the price of singles going nuts lately. The discussion in the video is specific to the value of sealed product over long periods of time vs. the price of singles week-to-week. His explanation of the E.V. of boxes (in other words, the value of individual cards that "Timmies are obsessed with") only going up slightly, while the price of a sealed box goes up ~10x in that same period of time, is highlighting how to invest money into magic cards while minimizing risk.
So, buying 6 boxes of a set to try to get specific cards to flip is a MUCH riskier endeavor than buying those same 6 boxes as an investment and holding them long-term as sealed product. With singles prices skyrocketing recently, some of the people flipping cards ARE making some money short-term. This can build bad habits though, because eventually the singles market is going to re-stabilize, and using that same strategy will result in losses long-term.
Another issue that is separate (sort of) from finance, high prices of cards are gate-keeping to new players. There is a lot to discuss there, but trying to keep this comment focused on finance.
@@dumediat_ yea your right about all that so I've been buying boxes just to hold on to but I still like getting packs and hitting some big cards fun but like you said as an investment its better to hold onto sealed product even just if you dont have alot of money get one seald old pack and work up to boxes.
The only losers are those not operating a LGS and seeing only dollar signs on cards instead of casting cost.
Yes cause the true value is playing the game. Priceless in my book for the best game ever.
Holy Hell Rudy, 43 minute video?!? i think this is one of your longest videos i have seen in a long time.
People forget too that when newer and more broken cards come out over time, eventually even reserve list cards get outclassed
I remember when this was a card game and not wall street jr edition.
Yup. Playing with no land because FE didn't give you any and your LGS was actually 70 miles away and the gas station 8 miles away that sold MTG didn't get sealed decks because they didn't sell to existing players.
2021 stock market has been wired and proven difficult to invest
Stock's are good but i swapped and invested in bitcoin and other cryptocurrency , I have been making good profits.
Yh no doubt the crypto market has earned me a lot you just gotta understand the market
I've got interest in investing but afraid of doing it on my own to avoid loss from my end
@@marygiggs2693 That's the reason you need the help of a professionals who understands the market and how is works very well so you can be profiting very well.
His success stories are everywhere 😯
Rudy, I was sitting in your classroom today taking notes with my diamond hands. I know these notes might not be to legible for Timmy to copy off from, but just as l long as I understand them I feel we are going to be good.
Thank you for all you do for us and we really appreciate you sharing your knowledge and experience with all of us. You are a good person and an old soul in our lives.
I'm slowly spending more time in the comments then ever before I think the magic community is finally starting to pull together.
Location: your moms house 😂😂 Christ
Hey shes a really nice lady and quite classy lol
Stop insulting 99% of magic players Rudy.
As a boxes get older boxes will they become worth 5-7 times the expected value of the cards in the box.
Value of cards in a boxes matters!
Stronghold have Ev of $1250 so boxes cost around 7 times more than Ev.
Revised Ev $2500, box at $17500 so 7 times more expensive.
Weatherligth Ev is $650 boxes at $3000 so 5 times more expensive.
A year ago boxes for old set also was worth 5-7 more than Ev.
Only thing that have changed is that old cards have gone up in price,
Black swan events are ones that are estimated to be impossible, but were actually inevitable.
Boring! Do some box opening or some news about future sets. Might attract some more viewers.
thats the best and interesting content wherr you reallx learn something just listen
Video cuts out at 39 minutes. I'm just let it run thru. Its hard to understate the silence.
Just hit the 9 minute mark and this has already been a 10/10 video
These are the best videos you make, dad. Thanks for the lessons!
Thanks to Rudy, I turned my life around and my cardboard emporium. One word... Sealed. I love Pokemon and will always purchase enough product to keep sealed and product to enjoy and open.
I think people misunderstand the difference of of new and old boxes that ev like you said matters less as time goes on compared to new boxes where ev is important so people open the product and distribute the singles. Idk if that type of model will come backs as paper tournaments return or not but it makes sense why no one wants new boxes atm vs older ones where ev is less relevant than the sealed box itself
You mentioned BITCOIN... I'm sure you covered this in other videos that I haven't seen yet but... what do you think of bitcoin and do you own any???
In times of increased demand, the sway of emotions gets stronger. This cuts deep.
Cuts way deeep
I love watching your video's like this Rudy, I watched all 43mins 31sec of it.
I have seen stock companies make massive amounts of money and share drop like a brick, I have seen stock companies loosing a lot of money and their share explode in price. I have seen the market get wrecked ready to get destroyed and heard Obama say "Change" and all share prices rise faster then a space shuttle lifting off and go to space. Put / Call is really not that easy it rarely has something to do with profits either look Tesla.
I took so many notes I think I'm gonna do great in my investment playing for the long run no shortcuts doing it the rudy way not being a timmy!!!
I like how cleanly Rudy's whiteboard erases. So satisfying.
Buying revised from a card shop in uk at 0.30 p a card eBay prices are allready 15x that
I don't really leave comments on Rudy's Channel. Not for any particular reason, I just don't normally have much to say about them. They're straight forward, entertaining and I like them. This video was different because it was probably the most informative video I've ever watched on MTG investing. If you're interested in the financial part of MTG sealed product, you're doing yourself a disservice if you didn't watch this to completion. You've been warned....
What other markets are similar to collectible cards - in that only a finite and reducing supply exists? Antiques and old books I suppose. But their value increase is measured in many decades or centuries, rather than years. Precious metals have a finite supply, but not necessarily a reducing one. Comics I suppose, but I can't bring myself to care about those. Anyone got any interesting thoughts?
Love when you do vids like this. One thing you didn't discuss about your box investing techniques is popularity/playability of certain sets. Yes, all boxes gain value over time but I'm curious if you choose more based on age and current price or if you look at those other factors when building up your stock.
On a side note it would be awesome to get your opinion in a video on the new Digimon TCG which you've briefly mentioned in a few vids. Those boxes are being scalped like crazy (and people paying it) for a brand new game that doesn't even have an in person playing circuit yet. Is it just that there has been a long gap since they had a TCG or just the way the market is right now?